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                        Development
                            Topic 5.4
    Growth and Development Strategies
+
    Key pointers for Topic 5.4
          Growth models suggest how growth has
    1.
          occurred in the past.

          Growth strategies are economic polices and
    2.
          measures aimed at increasing GDP

          Development strategies are policies and
    3.
          measures aimed at improving human
          development / standard of living / welfare.


         Be careful about differences between models, strategies and the
             difference between development aims and growth aims.

                Economic Growth ≠ Economic Development
+
    Growth Models
         Harrod - Domar Model – identifies factors that
    1.
         affect the rate of economic growth (%
         change in GDP)
         Structural Change / Dual Sector Model –
    2.
         attempts to explain how an agricultural
         undeveloped society with a small
         manufacturing sector can move to become a
         modern economy with large manufacturing
         and service sector
+
    HarrodDomar Model
        Shows how factors can influence the rate of economic
    
        growth

        Suggests that the rate of growth of GDP is determined by
    
        national savings ratio and the ratio of capital to output in
        the economy.

                                               Savings Ratio
              Rate of GDP Growth =
                                          Capital / Output Ratio



    Savings Ratio = marginal propensity to save, for an extra dollar of income,
                    what is the percentage saved

    Capital / Output Ratio = spending on capital as a ratio of output from capital,
                                 efficiency of spending
+
    HarrodDomar Model
        So according to the formula…Growth can be increased by
    



            Increasing the level of savings in an economy
        

                This leads to an increase in investment
            

                Lower interest rates for borrowing
            

                Greater stock of capital available
            

                Should lead to increased output and efficiency do you try to
                                                   But how in the long term
            

                                                    apply these ideas to
            Reducing the capital / output ratio
        
                                                         developing
             Increased efficiency of capital, through greater technology,
                                                         countries?
              improved training, skill development.
                Improved managerial skills to that capital is used in intended
            
                ways.
                Increased research and development.
            
+
    Growth Models
         Structural Change / Dual Sector Model –
    1.
         attempts to explain how an agricultural
         undeveloped society with a small
         manufacturing sector can move to become a
         modern economy with large manufacturing
         and service sector


                           Manufacturing
                                            Profit reinvested




                                           Profit reinvested
             Agriculture
+
    Growth Strategies

         Export-led Growth – and outward orientated
    1.
         growth strategy. Aim is to stimulate AD by
         pursuing export growth.

         Import Substitution – inward orientated
    2.
         strategy, local people should by locally
         produced product rather than import them.

         Foreign Direct Investment
    3.
+
High exports
 +
       Current Account surplus
                                                 Balanced Current
        Export Led but strong
                                                     Account
          domestic market
                                                   Scandinavia
          Germany, Japan



Low imports                                                        High imports



          Balanced Current
              Account                            Current Account
                                                      Deficit
        Very inwards looking,
            self sufficient                        United States



                                 Low exports
+
    Types of Aid

     Bilateral,   multilateral aid
         Bilateral is aid is between two nations
     

         Multilateral aid is given to international aid agencies by
     
         wealthy donor nations and is distributed on a needs
         basis.
         International aid agencies include International
     
         Monetary Fund (IMF) or World Bank


     Grant   Aid, Soft Aid
         Gift of money, capital or technology with no reciprocal
     
         obligations. ‘no stings attached’
+
    Types of Aid
        Official Aid
    
            Official Development Assistance (ODA) is the sum of all the
        
            multi and bi lateral aid.
            The globally agreed aim is that Donor nations contributed on
        
            average 0.7% of global GNP per year.



        Tied Aid
    
            These are reciprocal arrangements between the donor and
        
            the recipient country.
            Usually such aid is given to a country for instance to build rail
        
            network. The material for the rail network will come from the
            donor country.
            Example: France provides loans to Thailand and Bangkok for
        
            building MRT lines which will use French technology.
+
    Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
         Long term investment by Multinational
    1.
         Companies in foreign countries.
+



                                    Very high level of
                                      Foreign Direct
                                   Investment into the
                                         country.

                                     “Net receivers”




    Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP
+
    Types of Aid

        Aid is the help, mostly economic, which may be provided
    
        to communities or countries in the event of a
        humanitarian crisis or to achieve a socioeconomic
        objective.

        Humanitarian aid is therefore primarily used for
    
        emergency relief, Boxing Day Tsunami

        Development aid aims to create long-term sustainable
    
        economic growth, Water pumps, building schools.
+
+
+
    Reasons for Foreign Direct
    Investment
        Main motivations are revenue and profit and not
    
        development. No incentive to create equality, only to
        make money for shareholders.

        Firms investing directly can gain on a number of counts
    
            By setting up productions, multinational companies gain
        
            access to lower costs of production.
            International awareness of tastes and preferences.
        

            Can lead to multinationals avoiding tariffs.
        

            Countries can offer a geographical advantage, such as
        
            closeness to key markets, or global trade routes. Hong Kong,
            Shanghai, Singapore.
            Lower taxes of capital, labour and profits
        

            Can exploit countries with lower environmental standards.
        
+ Export Led Growth
           Ethopian Coffee Industry – Pre Trade
  P$
                                           SE




                                                  Consumer surplus


 PE                                                   Producer surplus


                                            DE

       0                       QE

                produced
+ Export Led Growth
           Ethopian Coffee Industry
  P$
                                      SE

                                           Consumer surplus
                                              after trade
 Pw

                                              Producer surplus
 PE                                              after trade


                                      DE

       0    QD         QE     Qs

                   exported
+ Export Led Growth
           Ethopian Coffee Industry
  P$
                                      SE



 Pw

                                           Gains from trade
 PE


                                      DE

       0    QD         QE     Qs

                   exported
+
    Reasons for Outward Orientated
    Strategies
        Increase in export revenue is an important boost to
    
        domestic GDP. Proportion of exports to GDP in Korea
        increased from 2.4% in 1962 to 42% in 1999.

        Benefits of Economies of Scale, as market size grows
    
        beyond the domestic population, average costs will tend
        to fall.

        Increased competition and incentive for domestic firms to
    
        compete with the world, increasing efficiency.
+
    Import Substitution

         Russian Market for Cars
    P$
                     SR


PR




                                   DR

          Qs QR          QD

              imported
+
    Import Substitution

         Russian Market for Cars
    P$
                     SR                 SR + Subsidy


PR                                                     Consumer Surplus with
                                                         trade or import
                                                           substitution


                                                            Domestic PS with
                                   DR
                                                               imports
                                                         Producer surplus gains
          Qs QR          QD                                  from subsidy


              imported
+
    Import Substitution

         Russian Market for Cars
    P$
                     SR                 SR + Subsidy


PR                                                     Consumer Surplus with
                                                         trade or import
                                     Tariff
                                                           substitution
                                       +
                                    Sworld

                                                            Domestic PS with
                                   DR
                                                               imports
                                                         Producer surplus gains
          Qs QR          QD                                  from subsidy


              imported
+ Failures and Successes of Import
  Substitution

      Lack of competition to drive quality
  

      Lack of price competition in limits markets
  

      Low incentives to invest for the future as likely to be hit by
  
      changes in import tariffs and laws.
+
    Micro Credit




        Microcredit is the extension of very small loans
    
        (microloans) to those in poverty designed to spur
        entrepreneurship.

        These individuals lack collateral, steady employment and
    
        a verifiable credit history and therefore cannot meet
        even the most minimal qualifications to gain access to
        traditional credit.

                      http://www.kiva.org/app.php
+
+
    Fair Trade
+
    What does Africa need?

                      More Aid



                                 Increased Foreign
         More trade and
                                 Direct Investment
            exports


                                 Less Debt
     Greater import
      substitution
                                         and why?
+
    Poverty Cycle

            Growth                            Development
                Low economic                    Low levels of
                   growth                       education and
                                                 healthcare


Low levels of                                                   Low levels of
                                Low incomes
 investment                                                     human capital



                 Low level of                       Low
                   savings                       productivity
+




                    Cutos




    Customs Union
+
    Examination Questions

         Explain the main characteristics, of an export led
    1.
         growth strategy. (10 marks)

         Evaluate the view that economic growth and
    2.
         development are best achieved through the adoption
         of an outward orientated strategy. (15 marks)

         Discuss three reasons for multinational company
    3.
         investment in developing countries (10 marks)

         Evaluate the role of Foreign Direct Investment in
    4.
         promoting economic growth and development in
         developing countries. (15 marks)
+
+ Development Bingo
 Revision Bingo

     Inflationary pressure        Recessionary Gap
                              
 
                                  Boom
     Recovery                 
 
                                  Elastic
     Peak                     
 
                                  Public Finance Act
     Unit Elastic             
 
                                  Public Provision
                              
     Allocative efficient
 
                                  Positive Externalities of
                              
                                  Consumption
     Involuntary Unemployed
 
                                  Increased equity
     Lorenz Curve             
 
                                  Inelastic
     Progressive Tax system   
 
                                  Real wage
                              
     Subsidy
 
                                  Monopsony
                              
     Subnormal Profit
 
                                  Free rider behaviour
                              
     Non Depletable
 

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5.4 Growth And Development Strategies

  • 1. + Development Topic 5.4 Growth and Development Strategies
  • 2. + Key pointers for Topic 5.4 Growth models suggest how growth has 1. occurred in the past. Growth strategies are economic polices and 2. measures aimed at increasing GDP Development strategies are policies and 3. measures aimed at improving human development / standard of living / welfare. Be careful about differences between models, strategies and the difference between development aims and growth aims. Economic Growth ≠ Economic Development
  • 3. + Growth Models Harrod - Domar Model – identifies factors that 1. affect the rate of economic growth (% change in GDP) Structural Change / Dual Sector Model – 2. attempts to explain how an agricultural undeveloped society with a small manufacturing sector can move to become a modern economy with large manufacturing and service sector
  • 4. + HarrodDomar Model Shows how factors can influence the rate of economic  growth Suggests that the rate of growth of GDP is determined by  national savings ratio and the ratio of capital to output in the economy. Savings Ratio Rate of GDP Growth = Capital / Output Ratio Savings Ratio = marginal propensity to save, for an extra dollar of income, what is the percentage saved Capital / Output Ratio = spending on capital as a ratio of output from capital, efficiency of spending
  • 5. + HarrodDomar Model So according to the formula…Growth can be increased by  Increasing the level of savings in an economy  This leads to an increase in investment  Lower interest rates for borrowing  Greater stock of capital available  Should lead to increased output and efficiency do you try to But how in the long term  apply these ideas to Reducing the capital / output ratio  developing  Increased efficiency of capital, through greater technology, countries? improved training, skill development. Improved managerial skills to that capital is used in intended  ways. Increased research and development. 
  • 6. + Growth Models Structural Change / Dual Sector Model – 1. attempts to explain how an agricultural undeveloped society with a small manufacturing sector can move to become a modern economy with large manufacturing and service sector Manufacturing Profit reinvested Profit reinvested Agriculture
  • 7. + Growth Strategies Export-led Growth – and outward orientated 1. growth strategy. Aim is to stimulate AD by pursuing export growth. Import Substitution – inward orientated 2. strategy, local people should by locally produced product rather than import them. Foreign Direct Investment 3.
  • 8. +
  • 9. High exports + Current Account surplus Balanced Current Export Led but strong Account domestic market Scandinavia Germany, Japan Low imports High imports Balanced Current Account Current Account Deficit Very inwards looking, self sufficient United States Low exports
  • 10. + Types of Aid  Bilateral, multilateral aid Bilateral is aid is between two nations  Multilateral aid is given to international aid agencies by  wealthy donor nations and is distributed on a needs basis. International aid agencies include International  Monetary Fund (IMF) or World Bank  Grant Aid, Soft Aid Gift of money, capital or technology with no reciprocal  obligations. ‘no stings attached’
  • 11. + Types of Aid Official Aid  Official Development Assistance (ODA) is the sum of all the  multi and bi lateral aid. The globally agreed aim is that Donor nations contributed on  average 0.7% of global GNP per year. Tied Aid  These are reciprocal arrangements between the donor and  the recipient country. Usually such aid is given to a country for instance to build rail  network. The material for the rail network will come from the donor country. Example: France provides loans to Thailand and Bangkok for  building MRT lines which will use French technology.
  • 12. + Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Long term investment by Multinational 1. Companies in foreign countries.
  • 13. + Very high level of Foreign Direct Investment into the country. “Net receivers” Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP
  • 14. + Types of Aid Aid is the help, mostly economic, which may be provided  to communities or countries in the event of a humanitarian crisis or to achieve a socioeconomic objective. Humanitarian aid is therefore primarily used for  emergency relief, Boxing Day Tsunami Development aid aims to create long-term sustainable  economic growth, Water pumps, building schools.
  • 15. +
  • 16. +
  • 17. + Reasons for Foreign Direct Investment Main motivations are revenue and profit and not  development. No incentive to create equality, only to make money for shareholders. Firms investing directly can gain on a number of counts  By setting up productions, multinational companies gain  access to lower costs of production. International awareness of tastes and preferences.  Can lead to multinationals avoiding tariffs.  Countries can offer a geographical advantage, such as  closeness to key markets, or global trade routes. Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore. Lower taxes of capital, labour and profits  Can exploit countries with lower environmental standards. 
  • 18. + Export Led Growth Ethopian Coffee Industry – Pre Trade P$ SE Consumer surplus PE Producer surplus DE 0 QE produced
  • 19. + Export Led Growth Ethopian Coffee Industry P$ SE Consumer surplus after trade Pw Producer surplus PE after trade DE 0 QD QE Qs exported
  • 20. + Export Led Growth Ethopian Coffee Industry P$ SE Pw Gains from trade PE DE 0 QD QE Qs exported
  • 21. + Reasons for Outward Orientated Strategies Increase in export revenue is an important boost to  domestic GDP. Proportion of exports to GDP in Korea increased from 2.4% in 1962 to 42% in 1999. Benefits of Economies of Scale, as market size grows  beyond the domestic population, average costs will tend to fall. Increased competition and incentive for domestic firms to  compete with the world, increasing efficiency.
  • 22. + Import Substitution Russian Market for Cars P$ SR PR DR Qs QR QD imported
  • 23. + Import Substitution Russian Market for Cars P$ SR SR + Subsidy PR Consumer Surplus with trade or import substitution Domestic PS with DR imports Producer surplus gains Qs QR QD from subsidy imported
  • 24. + Import Substitution Russian Market for Cars P$ SR SR + Subsidy PR Consumer Surplus with trade or import Tariff substitution + Sworld Domestic PS with DR imports Producer surplus gains Qs QR QD from subsidy imported
  • 25. + Failures and Successes of Import Substitution Lack of competition to drive quality  Lack of price competition in limits markets  Low incentives to invest for the future as likely to be hit by  changes in import tariffs and laws.
  • 26. + Micro Credit Microcredit is the extension of very small loans  (microloans) to those in poverty designed to spur entrepreneurship. These individuals lack collateral, steady employment and  a verifiable credit history and therefore cannot meet even the most minimal qualifications to gain access to traditional credit. http://www.kiva.org/app.php
  • 27. +
  • 28. + Fair Trade
  • 29. + What does Africa need? More Aid Increased Foreign More trade and Direct Investment exports Less Debt Greater import substitution and why?
  • 30. + Poverty Cycle Growth Development Low economic Low levels of growth education and healthcare Low levels of Low levels of Low incomes investment human capital Low level of Low savings productivity
  • 31. + Cutos Customs Union
  • 32. + Examination Questions Explain the main characteristics, of an export led 1. growth strategy. (10 marks) Evaluate the view that economic growth and 2. development are best achieved through the adoption of an outward orientated strategy. (15 marks) Discuss three reasons for multinational company 3. investment in developing countries (10 marks) Evaluate the role of Foreign Direct Investment in 4. promoting economic growth and development in developing countries. (15 marks)
  • 33. +
  • 34. + Development Bingo Revision Bingo Inflationary pressure Recessionary Gap   Boom Recovery   Elastic Peak   Public Finance Act Unit Elastic   Public Provision  Allocative efficient  Positive Externalities of  Consumption Involuntary Unemployed  Increased equity Lorenz Curve   Inelastic Progressive Tax system   Real wage  Subsidy  Monopsony  Subnormal Profit  Free rider behaviour  Non Depletable 