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Market Confidence Meter
The National Association
of Realtors reports
total existing-home sales
for 2013
were the strongest
in seven years.
Market Confidence Meter
Today’s jobs report
reveals the unemployment
rate down to 6.6%
More people working,
plus higher home prices,
means fewer foreclosures,
a continued housing
recovery and economic
strengthening.
Market Confidence Meter
Nearly every city in the
U.S. is expected to see
economic growth in 2014,
according to the U.S.
Conference of Mayors.
Case-Shiller forecasts a
6.8% rise in the median
home value for 2014.
Market Confidence Meter
In New Jersey,
2013 home sales contracts rose
to the highest level since 2006.
Average home prices in the
state rose 4-5% in 2013.
Housing inventory remains at
its lowest level since 2005.
Market Confidence Meter
The average rate
on a 30-year,
fixed-rate mortgage
hovers near
4.375%.
Buyers take note: rates
are projected to climb
above 5% in 2014.
Historic Home Prices
Remember, when adjusted for
inflation, American home prices
increased by an average of about half
a percentage point per year
from 1890 through 2008,
according to data compiled by Yale
University Professor Robert Shiller.
(www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
With an eye to Moving This Year!
If you are a Buyer,
•

with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.75% for 30year fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH !

•

consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to
assess your buying power and position yourself in the market.

If you are a Seller,
•

Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market.

•

Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a
good, negotiable offer.

•

Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a
contract for sale!

•

Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for
homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
Top Five Rules for Understanding
the Real Estate Market:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Real Estate is Local
Real Estate is Local
Real Estate is Local
Real Estate is Local.
Real Estate is Local
Understand the Local Market That
You are Buying into or
Selling out of!
How do we assess strength and vitality
in our real estate markets?

By checking the “Absorption Rate.”
This is the number of homes available
divided by the number of homes
that have gone under contract
in the past 30 days.
It is our most accurate measure
of current market strength.
Sample Market Absorption Rate
Anyt ow n., NJ
100 cur r ent act ive list ings
4 r epor t ed sales in last 30 days

25
= Mont hs’
absor pt ion
r at e

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
Market Absorption Scale
(Absorption Rate in Months)

12
Market Scale for Supply & Demand
1
2
3
4
Normal

Market Absorption in Months

Weichert, Realtors has

5
6
7
8
9

10
11
12

been studying market
conditions for more than 3
decades and has found a
direct correlation between
market absorption rates
and property values.
As absorption rates increase
beyond a normal market
level of 5-6 months,
property values depreciate
annually. As they decrease
below 5 months, they
increase—inverse
proportion. Although
different markets may not
see the amount of decrease
shown here, the pressure on
prices will be similar.
1/27/14
Towns

Active
Listings

Pending in Absorption
Last 30
Rate in
Days
Months

Net Gain
New Listings
(Loss) to
in 30 Days
Market

Listings
Reduced in
30 Days

% of Invent.
Reduced

Expired
Listings

W/drawn
Listings

Closed
Listings

West Windsor:
All Styles

46

12

3.83

14

2

5

10.9

7

5

13

West Windsor
Condo/
T.Houses

7

3

2.33

5

2

0

0

0

2

4

West Windsor
55+

0

0

0

0

0

--

--

0

1

3

West Windsor
Single Family

39

9

4.33

9

0

5

12.8

7

2

6

Lawrence: All
Styles

118

11

10.73

18

7

19

16.1

9

10

6

Lawrence:
Condo/
THouses

27

3

9

8

5

8

29.6

4

2

2

Lawrence:
55+

7

0

999

1

1

--

--

0

2

0

84

8

10.5

9

1

11

13.1

5

6

4

Lawrence:
Single Family
1/27/14
Towns

Active
Listings

Pending
in Last
30 Days

Absorption
Rate in
Months

New
Listings
in 30
Days

Net Gain
(Loss) to
Market

Listings
Reduced
in 30
Days

% of
Invent.
Reduced

Expired
Listings

W/drawn
Listings

Closed
Listings

Plainsboro
All Styles

33

3

11

10

7

1

3%

7

0

3

Plainsboro
Condo/
THouses

11

2

5.5

2

0

0

0

4

0

0

Plainsboro
55+

7

1

7

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

Plainsboro
Single
Family

15

0

15

5

5

1

6%

3

0

3

Cranbury:
All Styles

14

1

14

5

4

4

28%

1

0

0
1/27/14
Towns

Active
Listings

Pending
in Last
30 Days

Absorption
Rate in
Months

Ewing:
All Styles

180

13

14

Ewing :
Condo/
T.Houses

26

6

Ewing
55+:

1

Ewing:
Single
Family

New
Listings in
30 Days

Net Gain
(Loss) to
Market

Listings
Reduced in
30 Days

% of
Invent.
Reduced

Expired
Listings

W/drawn
Listings

Closed
Listings

32

19

34

19%

23

6

10

4

8

2

3

12%

4

0

2

0

999

0

0

---

---

0

0

2

153

7

22

24

17

31

20%

19

6

6

East
Windsor:
All Styles

99

18

6

25

7

7

14%

12

3

16

East
Windsor:
Condo/
Thouses

48

12

4

13

1

4

8%

7

3

9

East
Windsor:
55+

8

1

8

0

-1

---

---

0

0

0

East
Windsor:
Single
Family

43

5

9

12

7

3

7%

5

0

7
1/27/14
Towns

Active
Listings

Pending
in Last
30 Days

Absorption
Rate in
Months

New
Listings in
30 Days

118

8

14.75

13

5

15

12.7%

Hopewell
Twp. Condo/
T.Houses

9

1

9.00

3

2

1

11.1%

Hopewell
Twp.:
55+

1

1

1.0

0

(1)

Hopewell Twp
Single Family

108

6

18.00

10

4

14

Hamilton: All
Styles

393

32

12.28

68

36

81

7

11.57

16

8

0

0

304

25

12.16

Hopewell
Twp.
All Styles

Hamilton:
Condo/ THouses

Hamilton:
55+

Hamilton:
Single Family

Net Gain
(Loss) to
Market

Listings
Reduced in
30 Days

% of
Invent.
Reduced

Expired
Listings

Closed
Listings

2

4

0

1

0

0

0

12.9%

5

2

3

67

17.1%

36

13

35

9

13

16.1%

11

4

2

1

1

0

0

0

1

51

26

54

25

9

32

0

0

0
17.8%

5

W/drawn
Listings

0
1/27/14
Towns

Active
Listings

Pending
in Last
30 Days

Absorption
Rate in
Months

New
Listings
in 30
Days

Net Gain
(Loss) to
Market

Listings
Reduced
in 30 Days

% of
Invent.
Reduced

Expired
Listings

W/drawn
Listings

Closed
Listings

Robbinsville
All Styles

60

9

7

18

9

9

15%

4

3

12

Robbinsville
Condo/
T.Houses

26

3

1

9

6

3

12%

3

3

7

Single Family

34

6

6

9

3

6

18%

1

0

5

Hightstown
Boro: All
Styles

27

5

5

3

(2)

2

7%

2

3

8

Pennington

19

0

999

5

5

1

5%

2

2

2

Hopewell Boro

9

3

3

1

(2)

2

22%

1

2

1
1/27/14
Towns

Active
Listings

Pending in
Last 30
Days

Absorptio
n Rate in
Months

New
Listings in
30 Days

Net Gain
(Loss) to
Market

Listings
Reduced
in 30 Days

% of Invent.
Reduced

Expired
Listings

W/drawn
Listings

Closed
Listings

Princeton:
All Styles

89

7

12.7

14

7

7

7.9%

2

6

14

Princeton:
Condo/
Thouses

27

5

5.4

8

3

3

11.1%

0

0

2

Princeton:
Single
Family

62

2

31

6

4

4

6.5%

2

6

12
2006 - 2008 Core Market Comparison: Week of 1/20/14

Town

’12
Inven.
Count

‘12
Pending
Sales

‘12
Absorp.
Rate

‘13
Inven.
Count

‘13
Pending
Sales

‘13
Absorp.
Rate

‘14
Inven.
Count

‘14
Pending
Sales

‘14
Absorp.
Rate

Inventory
compared
to 2012

Inventory
compared to
2013

West
Windsor

88

9

9.8

55

6

9.2

45

8

5.63

(48%)

(18%)

Plainsboro

61

10

6.1

77

7

11

35

5

5

(42%)

(54%)

Lawrence

161

6

26.8

120

6

20

119

7

17

(26%) (0.8%)

184

8

23

143

9

16

99

16

6

(46%)

(30%)

Hamilton

534

22

24.3

388

27

14.4

378

23

16.43

(29%)

(30%)

Hopewell
Twp

122

7

17.4

103

5

20.6

115

7

16.43

(5%)

+11%

Robbinsville

106

15

7

61

10

6

51

8

6

(51%)

(16%)

Princeton

135

4

33.7

106

7

15.1

87

7

124

(35%)

(17%)

South
Brunswick

208

10

21

154

6

25

128

5

25

(38%)

(16%)

East
Windsor

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Greater Princeton NJ Real Estate Market Update

  • 1. Market Confidence Meter The National Association of Realtors reports total existing-home sales for 2013 were the strongest in seven years.
  • 2. Market Confidence Meter Today’s jobs report reveals the unemployment rate down to 6.6% More people working, plus higher home prices, means fewer foreclosures, a continued housing recovery and economic strengthening.
  • 3. Market Confidence Meter Nearly every city in the U.S. is expected to see economic growth in 2014, according to the U.S. Conference of Mayors. Case-Shiller forecasts a 6.8% rise in the median home value for 2014.
  • 4. Market Confidence Meter In New Jersey, 2013 home sales contracts rose to the highest level since 2006. Average home prices in the state rose 4-5% in 2013. Housing inventory remains at its lowest level since 2005.
  • 5. Market Confidence Meter The average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage hovers near 4.375%. Buyers take note: rates are projected to climb above 5% in 2014.
  • 6. Historic Home Prices Remember, when adjusted for inflation, American home prices increased by an average of about half a percentage point per year from 1890 through 2008, according to data compiled by Yale University Professor Robert Shiller. (www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
  • 7. With an eye to Moving This Year! If you are a Buyer, • with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.75% for 30year fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH ! • consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to assess your buying power and position yourself in the market. If you are a Seller, • Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market. • Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a good, negotiable offer. • Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a contract for sale! • Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
  • 8. Top Five Rules for Understanding the Real Estate Market: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Real Estate is Local Real Estate is Local Real Estate is Local Real Estate is Local. Real Estate is Local
  • 9. Understand the Local Market That You are Buying into or Selling out of!
  • 10. How do we assess strength and vitality in our real estate markets? By checking the “Absorption Rate.” This is the number of homes available divided by the number of homes that have gone under contract in the past 30 days. It is our most accurate measure of current market strength.
  • 11. Sample Market Absorption Rate Anyt ow n., NJ 100 cur r ent act ive list ings 4 r epor t ed sales in last 30 days 25 = Mont hs’ absor pt ion r at e 5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
  • 13. Market Scale for Supply & Demand 1 2 3 4 Normal Market Absorption in Months Weichert, Realtors has 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 been studying market conditions for more than 3 decades and has found a direct correlation between market absorption rates and property values. As absorption rates increase beyond a normal market level of 5-6 months, property values depreciate annually. As they decrease below 5 months, they increase—inverse proportion. Although different markets may not see the amount of decrease shown here, the pressure on prices will be similar.
  • 14. 1/27/14 Towns Active Listings Pending in Absorption Last 30 Rate in Days Months Net Gain New Listings (Loss) to in 30 Days Market Listings Reduced in 30 Days % of Invent. Reduced Expired Listings W/drawn Listings Closed Listings West Windsor: All Styles 46 12 3.83 14 2 5 10.9 7 5 13 West Windsor Condo/ T.Houses 7 3 2.33 5 2 0 0 0 2 4 West Windsor 55+ 0 0 0 0 0 -- -- 0 1 3 West Windsor Single Family 39 9 4.33 9 0 5 12.8 7 2 6 Lawrence: All Styles 118 11 10.73 18 7 19 16.1 9 10 6 Lawrence: Condo/ THouses 27 3 9 8 5 8 29.6 4 2 2 Lawrence: 55+ 7 0 999 1 1 -- -- 0 2 0 84 8 10.5 9 1 11 13.1 5 6 4 Lawrence: Single Family
  • 15. 1/27/14 Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days Absorption Rate in Months New Listings in 30 Days Net Gain (Loss) to Market Listings Reduced in 30 Days % of Invent. Reduced Expired Listings W/drawn Listings Closed Listings Plainsboro All Styles 33 3 11 10 7 1 3% 7 0 3 Plainsboro Condo/ THouses 11 2 5.5 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 Plainsboro 55+ 7 1 7 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 Plainsboro Single Family 15 0 15 5 5 1 6% 3 0 3 Cranbury: All Styles 14 1 14 5 4 4 28% 1 0 0
  • 16. 1/27/14 Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days Absorption Rate in Months Ewing: All Styles 180 13 14 Ewing : Condo/ T.Houses 26 6 Ewing 55+: 1 Ewing: Single Family New Listings in 30 Days Net Gain (Loss) to Market Listings Reduced in 30 Days % of Invent. Reduced Expired Listings W/drawn Listings Closed Listings 32 19 34 19% 23 6 10 4 8 2 3 12% 4 0 2 0 999 0 0 --- --- 0 0 2 153 7 22 24 17 31 20% 19 6 6 East Windsor: All Styles 99 18 6 25 7 7 14% 12 3 16 East Windsor: Condo/ Thouses 48 12 4 13 1 4 8% 7 3 9 East Windsor: 55+ 8 1 8 0 -1 --- --- 0 0 0 East Windsor: Single Family 43 5 9 12 7 3 7% 5 0 7
  • 17. 1/27/14 Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days Absorption Rate in Months New Listings in 30 Days 118 8 14.75 13 5 15 12.7% Hopewell Twp. Condo/ T.Houses 9 1 9.00 3 2 1 11.1% Hopewell Twp.: 55+ 1 1 1.0 0 (1) Hopewell Twp Single Family 108 6 18.00 10 4 14 Hamilton: All Styles 393 32 12.28 68 36 81 7 11.57 16 8 0 0 304 25 12.16 Hopewell Twp. All Styles Hamilton: Condo/ THouses Hamilton: 55+ Hamilton: Single Family Net Gain (Loss) to Market Listings Reduced in 30 Days % of Invent. Reduced Expired Listings Closed Listings 2 4 0 1 0 0 0 12.9% 5 2 3 67 17.1% 36 13 35 9 13 16.1% 11 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 51 26 54 25 9 32 0 0 0 17.8% 5 W/drawn Listings 0
  • 18. 1/27/14 Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days Absorption Rate in Months New Listings in 30 Days Net Gain (Loss) to Market Listings Reduced in 30 Days % of Invent. Reduced Expired Listings W/drawn Listings Closed Listings Robbinsville All Styles 60 9 7 18 9 9 15% 4 3 12 Robbinsville Condo/ T.Houses 26 3 1 9 6 3 12% 3 3 7 Single Family 34 6 6 9 3 6 18% 1 0 5 Hightstown Boro: All Styles 27 5 5 3 (2) 2 7% 2 3 8 Pennington 19 0 999 5 5 1 5% 2 2 2 Hopewell Boro 9 3 3 1 (2) 2 22% 1 2 1
  • 19. 1/27/14 Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days Absorptio n Rate in Months New Listings in 30 Days Net Gain (Loss) to Market Listings Reduced in 30 Days % of Invent. Reduced Expired Listings W/drawn Listings Closed Listings Princeton: All Styles 89 7 12.7 14 7 7 7.9% 2 6 14 Princeton: Condo/ Thouses 27 5 5.4 8 3 3 11.1% 0 0 2 Princeton: Single Family 62 2 31 6 4 4 6.5% 2 6 12
  • 20. 2006 - 2008 Core Market Comparison: Week of 1/20/14 Town ’12 Inven. Count ‘12 Pending Sales ‘12 Absorp. Rate ‘13 Inven. Count ‘13 Pending Sales ‘13 Absorp. Rate ‘14 Inven. Count ‘14 Pending Sales ‘14 Absorp. Rate Inventory compared to 2012 Inventory compared to 2013 West Windsor 88 9 9.8 55 6 9.2 45 8 5.63 (48%) (18%) Plainsboro 61 10 6.1 77 7 11 35 5 5 (42%) (54%) Lawrence 161 6 26.8 120 6 20 119 7 17 (26%) (0.8%) 184 8 23 143 9 16 99 16 6 (46%) (30%) Hamilton 534 22 24.3 388 27 14.4 378 23 16.43 (29%) (30%) Hopewell Twp 122 7 17.4 103 5 20.6 115 7 16.43 (5%) +11% Robbinsville 106 15 7 61 10 6 51 8 6 (51%) (16%) Princeton 135 4 33.7 106 7 15.1 87 7 124 (35%) (17%) South Brunswick 208 10 21 154 6 25 128 5 25 (38%) (16%) East Windsor

Notas do Editor

  1. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  2. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  3. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  4. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  5. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  6. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.