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Update on the Electric Industry in Texas:
            Summer Recap   

                                          Legislative Staff Briefing!
                                           September 28, 2011    !



  Legislative advertising paid for by: John W. Fainter, Jr. • President and CEO Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc.
             1005 Congress, Suite 600 • Austin, TX 78701 • phone 512-474-6725 • fax 512-474-9670 • www.aect.net
AECT Principles!



 • AECT is an advocacy group composed of member companies committed to:

            - Ensuring a modern, reliable infrastructure for the supply & delivery of
              electricity.

            - Supporting efficient competitive markets that are fair to customers and
              market participants.

            - Supporting consistent and predictable oversight and regulation that will
              promote investment and ensure the stability of Texas’ electric industry.

            - Promoting an economically strong and environmentally healthy future for
              Texas, including conservation and efficient use of available resources.

 • AECT member companies remain dedicated to providing Texas customers with
   reliable service and are committed to the highest standards of integrity.

 The Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc. (AECT) is a trade organization of investor-
 owned electric companies in Texas. Organized in 1978, AECT provides a forum for member
 company representatives to exchange information about public policy, and to communicate with
 government officials and the public. For more information, visit www.aect.net.
                                                                                                    2
U.S. Divided into Eight!
Reliability Regions!



 •  The eight reliability regions in the     FERC
 continental U.S. are subject to the
 oversight and enforcement authority of      NERC
 the North American Electric Reliability
 Corporation (NERC), which is subject to
 the Federal Energy Regulatory
 Commission’s (FERC) oversight. NERC
 is responsible for developing standards
 to ensure and improve reliability for
 delivery of electricity on the bulk power
 system.


•  Electric systems in Texas are located
 within four separate reliability regions:
 - Texas Reliability Entity (TRE),
   which oversees participants in the
   Electric Reliability Council of
   Texas (ERCOT);
 - SERC Reliability Corporation;
 - Southwest Power Pool (SPP); and
 - Western Electricity Coordinating
   Council (WECC).
                                             (ERCOT)



                                                       3
AECT Member Companies!
Within ERCOT!


                                Retail Electric Providers




                         Transmission and Distribution Utilities




                                Generation Companies




                                                               4
AECT Companies!
Outside of ERCOT!



                      SERC Reliability Corporation




                    Southwest Power Pool (SPP)




                    Western Electricity Coordinating
                           Council (WECC)




                                                       5
Unrelenting Summer Heat Affected!
         the Entire State!




                                    6
Texas Faced Extreme Heat 

This Summer!




     Summer 2011 has been one of the hottest and driest on record in Texas.
     In Austin, for example, high temperatures were above average nearly every
     day from June through August




                                                                                 7
August Heat Wave!
Particularly Harsh!


•    A statewide heat wave during the week of August 1 presented particular
     challenges to grid operators because of high demand
•    Temperatures well in excess of 105 combined with high humidity led to
     afternoon heat indices of more than 110 in several cities
•    During that week, ERCOT demand peaked on August 3 at 68,294 MW
     (4,396 MW more than predicted), triggering emergency reliability
     actions
•    Other AECT member companies across the state also experienced
     demand records during the heat wave, including:
      –  El Paso Electric: 1,711 MW on August 8
      –  Xcel Energy: 5,936 MW on August 2. Xcel Energy exceeded 2010
         peak demand 33 times this summer
      –  AEP SWEPCO: 2,687 MW on August 3. AEP SWEPCO exceeded
         the 2010 peak demand 16 times
                                                                              8
ERCOT Demand 

Records in August!


•    New Peak Demand Records This Year
      –  August 3, 2011: 68,379 MW
      –  August 2, 2011: 67,929 MW
      –  August 1, 2011: 66,867 MW

•    Prior to this year, the all-time peak demand record was 65,776 MW (set
     on August 23, 2010)


                      ERCOT Demand Monthly Records
                            2011                    2010
              May:      57,356 MW      May:     56,344 MW
              June:     63,102 MW      June:    62,278 MW
              July:     65,195 MW      July:    63,400 MW
              August: 68,379 MW        August: 65,776 MW
                                                                   Source: ERCOT

                                                                                   9
Texas Particularly Challenged

Throughout the Past Year!


    Change in 52-Week Year-On-Year Electric Output For Electric Utilities By EEI Region
                 August 2009-2010 Compared With August 2010-August 2011


                                                                                 +1.0%
                                        -0.9%
 +2.5%

                                                      +0.5%



                                                                               +0.7%
                          -0.3%

       +0.5%
                                                                      -1.0%


                                        +4.7%

 Comparing the past year to the previous year, nationwide electric output has risen by 0.6%.
         Output in the South Central region, including Texas, has risen by 4.7%.
                                                                                               10
                                                                                 Source: EEI
Long-Term Drought Could 

Impact Electric Generation !



•  AECT member companies represent the largest private
   owners, builders, and operators of reservoirs in Texas.

•  Water supply is essential to the reliable generation of
   electricity.

    –  Water supply is generally obtained in the form of water contracts/
       rights, prior to the construction of an electric generation station.

    –  Water contracts/rights are secured at a level to ensure a reliable
       water source during future drought periods.




                                                                              11!
How Texasʼ Power Plants

Use Water!




          Fuel




•    Most power plants heat water until it becomes steam, then pressurize that steam to
     turn a generating turbine.
•    The steam is then routed to a condenser, where the water is condensed and
     reused in the steam cycle.
•    Water from one or more reservoirs or cooling towers is used to cool the condenser,
     making it possible to recycle the water to make steam.
                                                                                          12!
How Texasʼ Power Plants

Use Water!




•    The heat added to the water as it flows through the condenser must be allowed to
     dissipate from the system in some way.
•    One way the cooling can occur is when cooling water is pumped from a reservoir
     through a condenser and is returned to the reservoir.
•    If the heat is dissipated in a cooling tower, the heat dissipation occurs almost
     entirely by conduction and convection, or by evaporation, depending on the type of
     cooling tower.




                                                                                          13!
High Consumption Means Potentially
 Higher Electric Bills Though Prices
            Remain Low   !



                                       14!
Potentially High Summer!
Electric Bills!



•  Typically, the bulk of customers’ electric bills is calculated based
   on the price of electricity and the amount consumed.

•  So even though electric prices have declined substantially in
   recent years, residents may still see increased electric bills due to
   higher weather-driven consumption.

•  Some residents may also see increased electric bills due to
   multiple months of consumption included on a single bill. This is
   an impact of disconnection moratoria that were in place to help
   protect customers during the hot summer months.




                                                                           15!
Benefits for Qualified!
Customers: REP Programs!


•    Several retail electric providers across the state also provide additional, voluntary
     programs to assist low-income customers.
      –    The Care to Share Fund provides bill payment assistance to eligible First Choice Power residential
           customers in need of emergency funding. Customers can donate to the Care to Share Fund and assist
           residential customers who need a little extra help.

      –    In 2011, nearly $800,000 in bill payment assistance was committed to Reliant's CARE program. Non-
           profit social service agencies review customer cases and qualify customers CARE funds based upon
           the agency's designated hardship criteria. In addition, more than a dozen Beat the Heat Centers were
           offered by Reliant in Corpus Christi, Dallas and Houston to provide heat relief in high-need areas.

      –    Below is information on several programs offered by TXU Energy.
             –  TXU Energy operates TXU Energy Aid, the largest bill-payment assistance program among
                 electricity companies in the nation. The company committed $25 million over 5 years (through
                 2012) to this program which has helped over 390,000 Texas families since 1983.
             –  TXU Energy also works collaboratively with ~1,000 agencies across the state to assist customers
                 in need.
             –  In addition, TXU Energy uniquely provides a self-funded, year-round low-income customer
                 discount of ~10 percent. The company committed $125 million over 5 years (through 2012) for
                 this program which assisted over 150,000 customers this summer. Since 2008, the company
                 has also helped 18,000 low income households reduce their energy consumption through grants
                 invested in energy efficiency improvements.

      –    Since September 2006, several REPs have participated in the low-income credit program resulting from
           CenterPoint Energy’s 2006 rate case settlement. This program is currently providing a credit of $7.68
           per month to eligible customers.

•    Texans can check their electric provider’s Web site or call their provider to see
     what other programs are available.
                                                                                                                   16!
Lower Bills Through!
Choice and Energy Efficiency!



•  Customers in the competitive retail electric market can contact
   their retail electric provider or visit www.powertochoose.org to
   learn more about available options.

•  All customers can contact their electric company to find out what
   programs are available, or to find a contractor or vendor who
   participates in the state energy efficiency programs.

•  Customers can also call 2-1-1, the Texas Health and Human
   Service Commission's information and referral network to learn
   about programs available in the area.

•  Additional resources
    –  Texas Department of Housing and Community Affairs:
       www.tdhca.state.tx.us/assist_repair.htm
    –  Texas Is Hot: www.texasishot.org
    –  U.S. Department of Energy: www.energy.gov/energyefficiency
    –  Get Energy Active: www.getenergyactive.org                      17!
Competitive Market Bringing
Sustained Lower Prices




                                                                                         Prices in the
                                                                                         competitive
                                                                                        market remain
                                                                                         at low levels




Source: www.powertochoose.org; prices are a simple average among service territories.                18
Lower prices available today than before
 competition began




Sources: PUC Historical Data, Bureau of Labor and Statistics, www.powertochoose.org offers as of September 26, 2011   19
Every Competitive Area in ERCOT Has
Variable and 1-Year Lock Offers Available
that are Lower than the National Average Price




                                       Sources: PowerToChoose.org offers as of May 17, 2011,
                                    U.S. Energy Information Administration, latest available data
                                                                                                    20!
Texasʼ National Price Ranking Has Improved
  With Competition Despite Input Fuel Cost
  Increases AND Customers Can Choose
  Plans To Meet Their Needs

        18
                                                          2001 State Ranking (Pre-Competition)
        16
¢/kWh




        14

        12
        10

         8

         6
         4

         2

         0
             KY
                  WA


                            WV




                                                          WY
                                                               MT


                                                                         MO


                                                                                   OK
                                                                                        MS




                                                                                                                                GA


                                                                                                                                          VA
                                                                                                                                               WI




                                                                                                                                                              MI
                                                                                                                                                                   AZ


                                                                                                                                                                             IA




                                                                                                                                                                                                      TX


                                                                                                                                                                                                                PA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    AK


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              MA


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        VT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ME
                       ID


                                 OR
                                      TN


                                                NE
                                                     UT




                                                                    IN


                                                                              AL




                                                                                             SD
                                                                                                  CO
                                                                                                       MN
                                                                                                            KS
                                                                                                                 MD
                                                                                                                      SC
                                                                                                                           AR




                                                                                                                                                    LA




                                                                                                                                                                        OH


                                                                                                                                                                                  FL
                                                                                                                                                                                       DE
                                                                                                                                                                                            IL
                                                                                                                                                                                                 NM


                                                                                                                                                                                                           NV


                                                                                                                                                                                                                     NJ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          CT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               CA


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         RI




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  NY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       HI
                                           ND




                                                                                                                                     DC




                                                                                                                                                         NC




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   NH
                                                May 2011 State Ranking (Latest Available)
                   Average lowest
                  available offer in
                    competitive
                     market in
                     May 2011:
                      6.1/kWh
¢/kWh




  Source: EIA average annual residential rates for 2001 and May 2011 monthly data (latest available information). Average lowest available price from
  powertochoose.org Web site as of 5/17/11 for a residential customer using an average of 1,000 kWh per month.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            21!
Federal Environmental Regulation!
Raises Concerns Over Resource
           Adequacy!



                                    22!
Texas Unexpectedly Included in 

Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) !




                                           23!
Texas Unexpectedly Included in 

Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) !



•  Power plants in Texas as a whole, based on 2010 emissions, will
   have to make about a 50% reduction in SO2 emissions and an
   11% reduction in NOx by the end of 2012.

    •  Coal units collectively, will have to make a 51% and 21%
       reduction respectively.
    •  Gas units collectively, will be allocated a surplus of 65% and
       45% respectively, over their 2010 emissions.

•  Compliance options available within this short timeframe include
   fuel switching, environmental dispatching, reducing load,
   seasonal operation, temporary mothballing and retirement. All of
   which could impact reliability in Texas.

•  As subsequent slides show, Texas generators perform well in
   comparison with those in other states.
                                                                        24!
Texasʼ Electric Generating Plants Among
        Cleanest NOx Emitters in the Nation!


                 0.800



                 0.700



                 0.600
                                                  Texas has the 12th
                                                  cleanest average
                                                  NOx emissions rate.
NOx (lb/MMBtu)




                 0.500



                 0.400



                 0.300



                 0.200

                                                            U.S.
                                                            Average-0.156 lb/
                 0.100                                      mmBtu


                 0.000
                           IL




                          AL




                          FL
                         WV




                         NV
                         UT




                         VT
                          SD
                         ND


                         NE
                         DC

                          KS
                         OK
                         CO

                          MI

                          IN



                         MN


                         DE
                         OH
                         MS

                         MO

                         MD

                         TN

                          WI

                         NC


                         NH
                          SC




                           RI
                          ID
                          NJ
                         MT




                         ME
                          CT
                         WY




                          IA



                         KY




                         GA




                         NY
                         NM




                         MA
                         AR




                         OR




                         CA
                          PA




                         WA
                         AZ




                         LA




                         TX
                         VA




                                                                                   25!
                                                    EPA Acid Rain Database, 2010
Texasʼ Electric Generating Plants Among
           Cleanest SO2 Emitters in the Nation!

                 1.000


                 0.900


                 0.800
                                                     Texas has the 27th
                 0.700                               cleanest average
                                                     SO2 emissions rate.
SO2 (lb/MMBtu)




                 0.600


                 0.500
                                                          U.S. Average-
                                                          0.387 lb/mmBtu
                 0.400


                 0.300


                 0.200


                 0.100


                 0.000
                         AL
                           IL




                          FL
                         MT




                         UT



                          CT


                         VT
                         WV




                         NV
                         OH
                         NH
                         ND
                         SD
                          IN

                         DC
                         DE

                         MO

                         TN
                         NE



                          WI


                          SC

                         NC


                         OK

                         MS



                         KS
                         MD


                         CO




                         ME



                          ID
                          MI




                         MN




                         NM




                          RI
                         AR




                         OR




                         WA
                         TX
                         LA




                         AZ
                         VA




                          NJ
                         WY
                          IA
                         KY




                         GA




                         NY
                         MA




                         CA
                         PA




                                                                                      26!
                                                       EPA Acid Rain Database, 2010
1995-2010 Emission Rate Trends!




                          Sulfur Dioxide (SO2)                  Nitrogen Oxides (NOx)
                               lb./mmBtu                              lb./mmBtu
             Year          Nation     Texas                      Nation      Texas
             1995          1.088      0.526                      0.537       0.319
             1996          1.103      0.535                       0.53       0.325
             1997          1.093      0.524                      0.509       0.311
             1998          1.055      0.482                      0.481       0.307
             1999          0.999      0.481                      0.441       0.284
             2000          0.875      0.381                      0.399       0.261
             2001          0.843      0.385                      0.373       0.221
             2002          0.793      0.384                      0.348       0.173
             2003          0.815      0.389                      0.321       0.143
             2004          0.779      0.353                      0.286       0.124
             2005          0.753      0.349                      0.268       0.116
             2006          0.702      0.338                      0.255        0.111
             2007          0.644       0.32                      0.237       0.103
             2008          0.564      0.315                      0.222       0.103
             2009          0.458      0.309                      0.159       0.098
             2010          0.387      0.304                      0.156       0.095
                                                                                        27!
            EPA Clean Air Markets Division – 1995- 2010 Acid Rain Program Data
Web:     AECT.net

Blog:    AECTnet.wordpress.com

Twitter: twitter.com/AECTnet

Facebook: Association of Electric Companies of
          Texas, Inc.

Email:   info@aect.net
                                                 28!

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Update on the Electric Industry in Texas: Summer Recap

  • 1. Update on the Electric Industry in Texas: Summer Recap Legislative Staff Briefing! September 28, 2011 ! Legislative advertising paid for by: John W. Fainter, Jr. • President and CEO Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc. 1005 Congress, Suite 600 • Austin, TX 78701 • phone 512-474-6725 • fax 512-474-9670 • www.aect.net
  • 2. AECT Principles! • AECT is an advocacy group composed of member companies committed to: - Ensuring a modern, reliable infrastructure for the supply & delivery of electricity. - Supporting efficient competitive markets that are fair to customers and market participants. - Supporting consistent and predictable oversight and regulation that will promote investment and ensure the stability of Texas’ electric industry. - Promoting an economically strong and environmentally healthy future for Texas, including conservation and efficient use of available resources. • AECT member companies remain dedicated to providing Texas customers with reliable service and are committed to the highest standards of integrity. The Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc. (AECT) is a trade organization of investor- owned electric companies in Texas. Organized in 1978, AECT provides a forum for member company representatives to exchange information about public policy, and to communicate with government officials and the public. For more information, visit www.aect.net. 2
  • 3. U.S. Divided into Eight! Reliability Regions! •  The eight reliability regions in the FERC continental U.S. are subject to the oversight and enforcement authority of NERC the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), which is subject to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) oversight. NERC is responsible for developing standards to ensure and improve reliability for delivery of electricity on the bulk power system. •  Electric systems in Texas are located within four separate reliability regions: - Texas Reliability Entity (TRE), which oversees participants in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT); - SERC Reliability Corporation; - Southwest Power Pool (SPP); and - Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC). (ERCOT) 3
  • 4. AECT Member Companies! Within ERCOT! Retail Electric Providers Transmission and Distribution Utilities Generation Companies 4
  • 5. AECT Companies! Outside of ERCOT! SERC Reliability Corporation Southwest Power Pool (SPP) Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) 5
  • 6. Unrelenting Summer Heat Affected! the Entire State! 6
  • 7. Texas Faced Extreme Heat 
 This Summer! Summer 2011 has been one of the hottest and driest on record in Texas. In Austin, for example, high temperatures were above average nearly every day from June through August 7
  • 8. August Heat Wave! Particularly Harsh! •  A statewide heat wave during the week of August 1 presented particular challenges to grid operators because of high demand •  Temperatures well in excess of 105 combined with high humidity led to afternoon heat indices of more than 110 in several cities •  During that week, ERCOT demand peaked on August 3 at 68,294 MW (4,396 MW more than predicted), triggering emergency reliability actions •  Other AECT member companies across the state also experienced demand records during the heat wave, including: –  El Paso Electric: 1,711 MW on August 8 –  Xcel Energy: 5,936 MW on August 2. Xcel Energy exceeded 2010 peak demand 33 times this summer –  AEP SWEPCO: 2,687 MW on August 3. AEP SWEPCO exceeded the 2010 peak demand 16 times 8
  • 9. ERCOT Demand 
 Records in August! •  New Peak Demand Records This Year –  August 3, 2011: 68,379 MW –  August 2, 2011: 67,929 MW –  August 1, 2011: 66,867 MW •  Prior to this year, the all-time peak demand record was 65,776 MW (set on August 23, 2010) ERCOT Demand Monthly Records 2011 2010 May: 57,356 MW May: 56,344 MW June: 63,102 MW June: 62,278 MW July: 65,195 MW July: 63,400 MW August: 68,379 MW August: 65,776 MW Source: ERCOT 9
  • 10. Texas Particularly Challenged
 Throughout the Past Year! Change in 52-Week Year-On-Year Electric Output For Electric Utilities By EEI Region August 2009-2010 Compared With August 2010-August 2011 +1.0% -0.9% +2.5% +0.5% +0.7% -0.3% +0.5% -1.0% +4.7% Comparing the past year to the previous year, nationwide electric output has risen by 0.6%. Output in the South Central region, including Texas, has risen by 4.7%. 10 Source: EEI
  • 11. Long-Term Drought Could 
 Impact Electric Generation ! •  AECT member companies represent the largest private owners, builders, and operators of reservoirs in Texas. •  Water supply is essential to the reliable generation of electricity. –  Water supply is generally obtained in the form of water contracts/ rights, prior to the construction of an electric generation station. –  Water contracts/rights are secured at a level to ensure a reliable water source during future drought periods. 11!
  • 12. How Texasʼ Power Plants
 Use Water! Fuel •  Most power plants heat water until it becomes steam, then pressurize that steam to turn a generating turbine. •  The steam is then routed to a condenser, where the water is condensed and reused in the steam cycle. •  Water from one or more reservoirs or cooling towers is used to cool the condenser, making it possible to recycle the water to make steam. 12!
  • 13. How Texasʼ Power Plants
 Use Water! •  The heat added to the water as it flows through the condenser must be allowed to dissipate from the system in some way. •  One way the cooling can occur is when cooling water is pumped from a reservoir through a condenser and is returned to the reservoir. •  If the heat is dissipated in a cooling tower, the heat dissipation occurs almost entirely by conduction and convection, or by evaporation, depending on the type of cooling tower. 13!
  • 14. High Consumption Means Potentially Higher Electric Bills Though Prices Remain Low ! 14!
  • 15. Potentially High Summer! Electric Bills! •  Typically, the bulk of customers’ electric bills is calculated based on the price of electricity and the amount consumed. •  So even though electric prices have declined substantially in recent years, residents may still see increased electric bills due to higher weather-driven consumption. •  Some residents may also see increased electric bills due to multiple months of consumption included on a single bill. This is an impact of disconnection moratoria that were in place to help protect customers during the hot summer months. 15!
  • 16. Benefits for Qualified! Customers: REP Programs! •  Several retail electric providers across the state also provide additional, voluntary programs to assist low-income customers. –  The Care to Share Fund provides bill payment assistance to eligible First Choice Power residential customers in need of emergency funding. Customers can donate to the Care to Share Fund and assist residential customers who need a little extra help. –  In 2011, nearly $800,000 in bill payment assistance was committed to Reliant's CARE program. Non- profit social service agencies review customer cases and qualify customers CARE funds based upon the agency's designated hardship criteria. In addition, more than a dozen Beat the Heat Centers were offered by Reliant in Corpus Christi, Dallas and Houston to provide heat relief in high-need areas. –  Below is information on several programs offered by TXU Energy. –  TXU Energy operates TXU Energy Aid, the largest bill-payment assistance program among electricity companies in the nation. The company committed $25 million over 5 years (through 2012) to this program which has helped over 390,000 Texas families since 1983. –  TXU Energy also works collaboratively with ~1,000 agencies across the state to assist customers in need. –  In addition, TXU Energy uniquely provides a self-funded, year-round low-income customer discount of ~10 percent. The company committed $125 million over 5 years (through 2012) for this program which assisted over 150,000 customers this summer. Since 2008, the company has also helped 18,000 low income households reduce their energy consumption through grants invested in energy efficiency improvements. –  Since September 2006, several REPs have participated in the low-income credit program resulting from CenterPoint Energy’s 2006 rate case settlement. This program is currently providing a credit of $7.68 per month to eligible customers. •  Texans can check their electric provider’s Web site or call their provider to see what other programs are available. 16!
  • 17. Lower Bills Through! Choice and Energy Efficiency! •  Customers in the competitive retail electric market can contact their retail electric provider or visit www.powertochoose.org to learn more about available options. •  All customers can contact their electric company to find out what programs are available, or to find a contractor or vendor who participates in the state energy efficiency programs. •  Customers can also call 2-1-1, the Texas Health and Human Service Commission's information and referral network to learn about programs available in the area. •  Additional resources –  Texas Department of Housing and Community Affairs: www.tdhca.state.tx.us/assist_repair.htm –  Texas Is Hot: www.texasishot.org –  U.S. Department of Energy: www.energy.gov/energyefficiency –  Get Energy Active: www.getenergyactive.org 17!
  • 18. Competitive Market Bringing Sustained Lower Prices Prices in the competitive market remain at low levels Source: www.powertochoose.org; prices are a simple average among service territories. 18
  • 19. Lower prices available today than before competition began Sources: PUC Historical Data, Bureau of Labor and Statistics, www.powertochoose.org offers as of September 26, 2011 19
  • 20. Every Competitive Area in ERCOT Has Variable and 1-Year Lock Offers Available that are Lower than the National Average Price Sources: PowerToChoose.org offers as of May 17, 2011, U.S. Energy Information Administration, latest available data 20!
  • 21. Texasʼ National Price Ranking Has Improved With Competition Despite Input Fuel Cost Increases AND Customers Can Choose Plans To Meet Their Needs 18 2001 State Ranking (Pre-Competition) 16 ¢/kWh 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 KY WA WV WY MT MO OK MS GA VA WI MI AZ IA TX PA AK MA VT ME ID OR TN NE UT IN AL SD CO MN KS MD SC AR LA OH FL DE IL NM NV NJ CT CA RI NY HI ND DC NC NH May 2011 State Ranking (Latest Available) Average lowest available offer in competitive market in May 2011: 6.1/kWh ¢/kWh Source: EIA average annual residential rates for 2001 and May 2011 monthly data (latest available information). Average lowest available price from powertochoose.org Web site as of 5/17/11 for a residential customer using an average of 1,000 kWh per month. 21!
  • 22. Federal Environmental Regulation! Raises Concerns Over Resource Adequacy! 22!
  • 23. Texas Unexpectedly Included in 
 Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) ! 23!
  • 24. Texas Unexpectedly Included in 
 Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) ! •  Power plants in Texas as a whole, based on 2010 emissions, will have to make about a 50% reduction in SO2 emissions and an 11% reduction in NOx by the end of 2012. •  Coal units collectively, will have to make a 51% and 21% reduction respectively. •  Gas units collectively, will be allocated a surplus of 65% and 45% respectively, over their 2010 emissions. •  Compliance options available within this short timeframe include fuel switching, environmental dispatching, reducing load, seasonal operation, temporary mothballing and retirement. All of which could impact reliability in Texas. •  As subsequent slides show, Texas generators perform well in comparison with those in other states. 24!
  • 25. Texasʼ Electric Generating Plants Among Cleanest NOx Emitters in the Nation! 0.800 0.700 0.600 Texas has the 12th cleanest average NOx emissions rate. NOx (lb/MMBtu) 0.500 0.400 0.300 0.200 U.S. Average-0.156 lb/ 0.100 mmBtu 0.000 IL AL FL WV NV UT VT SD ND NE DC KS OK CO MI IN MN DE OH MS MO MD TN WI NC NH SC RI ID NJ MT ME CT WY IA KY GA NY NM MA AR OR CA PA WA AZ LA TX VA 25! EPA Acid Rain Database, 2010
  • 26. Texasʼ Electric Generating Plants Among Cleanest SO2 Emitters in the Nation! 1.000 0.900 0.800 Texas has the 27th 0.700 cleanest average SO2 emissions rate. SO2 (lb/MMBtu) 0.600 0.500 U.S. Average- 0.387 lb/mmBtu 0.400 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 AL IL FL MT UT CT VT WV NV OH NH ND SD IN DC DE MO TN NE WI SC NC OK MS KS MD CO ME ID MI MN NM RI AR OR WA TX LA AZ VA NJ WY IA KY GA NY MA CA PA 26! EPA Acid Rain Database, 2010
  • 27. 1995-2010 Emission Rate Trends! Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) lb./mmBtu lb./mmBtu Year Nation Texas Nation Texas 1995 1.088 0.526 0.537 0.319 1996 1.103 0.535 0.53 0.325 1997 1.093 0.524 0.509 0.311 1998 1.055 0.482 0.481 0.307 1999 0.999 0.481 0.441 0.284 2000 0.875 0.381 0.399 0.261 2001 0.843 0.385 0.373 0.221 2002 0.793 0.384 0.348 0.173 2003 0.815 0.389 0.321 0.143 2004 0.779 0.353 0.286 0.124 2005 0.753 0.349 0.268 0.116 2006 0.702 0.338 0.255 0.111 2007 0.644 0.32 0.237 0.103 2008 0.564 0.315 0.222 0.103 2009 0.458 0.309 0.159 0.098 2010 0.387 0.304 0.156 0.095 27! EPA Clean Air Markets Division – 1995- 2010 Acid Rain Program Data
  • 28. Web: AECT.net Blog: AECTnet.wordpress.com Twitter: twitter.com/AECTnet Facebook: Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc. Email: info@aect.net 28!