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Interac(ve	
  Marke(ng	
  Trends	
  2012	
  
	
  Reflexions	
  of	
  the	
  Mexican	
  Internet	
  Adver5sing	
  Industry	
  
                                                      Adriana	
  Pena,	
  Sweden	
  Dec	
  2011	
  
Being	
  on	
  top	
  of	
  trends	
  and	
  making	
  business	
  decisions	
  based	
  on	
  their	
  
implica5ons	
  has	
  never	
  been	
  harder	
  but	
  in	
  the	
  other	
  hand	
  has	
  never	
  
been	
  as	
  fascina5ng	
  
	
  
                I´ve been a passionate participant of innovation all my life.
                Doing things different or for the first time has been the driver
                of my career.

                Now I have a unique opportunity to sit down from the pits and
                watch the cars running at accelerating speed and drawing
                conclusion from what I see.

                From these cold lands of Sweden I have been able to analyze
                great sources like Forrester, e-marketer, Mashable, Sociagility,
                Comscore, Brand Republic and tons of bloggers and journalist
                who had published an enormous amount of information. The
                data is all there, making sense of it and drawing
                conclusion for our market has been a thrilling
                endeavor.

                I hope you find this presentation interesting and useful, but
                most of all I hope you share the same passion I feel for being
                part of the generation that is driving such amazing changes in
                our business.
Interac5ve	
  marke5ng	
  budgets	
  will	
  be	
  as	
  
            big	
  as	
  TV	
  sooner	
  than	
  expected	
  in	
  US	
  



                                                                            In Mexico we still
                                                                            have a long way
                                                                            to go, but online
                                                                            advertising
                                                                            budgets are still
                                                                            expected to grow
                                                                            double digits in
                                                                            the next coming
                                                                            years




Source:	
  Forrester	
  
Disregarding	
  the	
  actual	
  size	
  of	
  online	
  adver(sing	
  budget	
  of	
  Mexican	
  
                                      adver(sers	
  the	
  trend	
  heads	
  towards	
  a	
  strong	
  growth,	
  making	
  online	
  
                                                marke(ng	
  a	
  discipline	
  that	
  cannot	
  be	
  minimized	
  anymore	
  	
  	
  




                                                                                                                                          In Mexico despite what official
                                                                                                                                           sources have been publishing,
                                                                                                                                             I estimate based on industry
                                                                                                                                         information that online budgets
                                                                                                                                            may not be more than 4.5% in
                                                                                                                                                                    2011

                                                                                                                                           On the other hand expected
                                                                                                                                           growth for 2012 is 20-30% at
                                                                                                                                            the expense of other media
                                                                                                                                                 like magazines, TV and
                                                                                                                                                           Newspapers
                                                                                                                                                                        	
  
One	
  of	
  the	
  challenges	
  to	
  agree	
  on	
  the	
  size	
  of	
  the	
  internet	
  adver5sing	
  budgets	
  lays	
  in	
  
the	
  defini5on	
  of	
  online	
  budget:	
  is	
  it	
  only	
  money	
  being	
  paid	
  to	
  media	
  partners,	
  or	
                                            	
  
does	
  it	
  inlcudes	
  brand	
  web	
  pages,	
  	
  development	
  of	
  aplica5ons	
  and	
  agency	
  fees?	
  	
  
In Mexico we have to consider these
                                                                        other factors as well:

                                                                        1.  Younger brand managers and
                                                                            younger employees in general at
                                                                            clients and agencies will pitch for
                Interac5ve	
  Embeds	
  itself	
  in	
                      their fresher ideas to be heard
                                                                        2.  Social Media and recent political
                    the	
  mix:	
  the	
  next	
  digital	
                 effects of it makes anyone who is
                                                                            not in touch with new media look
                                    decade	
  is	
  here	
                  outdated
                                                                        3.  Marketing effectiveness has not
                                                                            being proved for consumer brands
 The	
  following	
  factors	
  in	
  US	
  will	
  enable	
  the	
         but a 40% reach of internet in
 growth	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  five	
  years:	
                           Mexico makes a very compelling
                                                                            argument
 	
                                                                     4.  Tablets, Iphones androids and
 1.  Bigger	
  interac(ve	
  teams	
                                        other ”cool” devices in the hands
                                                                            of tons of people will make it very
 2.  Excitement	
  about	
  emerging	
  media	
                             hard to ignore the relevance of
                                                                            new media
 3.  Interac(ve	
  marke(ng	
  effec(veness	
                            5.  Rebates paid by media players to
                                                                            media agencies above 10%, makes
 4.  Customer	
  obsession	
                                                online adverstising the most
                                                                            profitable media for media
                                                                            agencies

Source:	
  Forrester	
  
Percep5on	
  of	
  effec5veness	
  will	
  
drive	
  a	
  different	
  mix	
  of	
  interac5ve	
  
                    marke5ng	
  spending	
              Although in Mexico investments on
                                                        Internet Marketing will grow, lack of proper
                                                        use of ad serving technology as well as an
                                                        over use of clicks or cost per click as
                                                        measurement of campaign´s ROI makes
                                                        it very difficult for Marketing Directors to
                                                        be fully convinced of effectiveness of
                                                        online media

                                                        The overall effectiveness of online media is still somehow a
                                                        myth to be proven especially for the mass consumption
                                                        advertisers that happen to have the biggest marketing
                                                        budgets
                                                         
                                                        •  TV penetration is overwhelming in the country and is the
                                                           most easy to be measured and proven media

                                                        •  Media agencies rarely use the required technology or
                                                           proper methodology to prove basic metrics like unique
                                                           total reach of an online campaign so traditional media
                                                           planning parameters like audience reach or number of
                                                           people touched by an online campaign are unknown or
                                                           severely under estimated since most campaigns are
                                                           being measured only by website visits or ad clicks

                                                        •    There are very little studies on actual effects on brand health
                                                             from an interactive marketing campaign in Mexico

                                                        •    Very few big advertisers have an e-commerce business and the
                                                             consequent experience of efficiencies in conversion rates that
                                                             internet has in e-commerce strategies
Social	
  Media,	
  Mobile	
  Marke5ng	
  and	
  Display	
  
                 adver5sing	
  will	
  drive	
  US	
  Interac5ve	
  Marke5ng	
  Spend	
  




   Search’s	
  	
  Share	
  Shrinks	
  
   	
  
   Share	
  will	
  shrink	
  11	
  points	
  as	
  marketers	
  
   refocus	
  their	
  search	
  marke5ng	
  strategies	
  
   based	
  on	
  ”geTng	
  found”	
  by	
  users.	
  	
  Brands	
  
   will	
  expand	
  the	
  play	
  field	
  in	
  which	
  they	
  
   could	
  be	
  found	
  by	
  its	
  customers	
  by	
  moving	
  
   their	
  search	
  budgets	
  to	
  be	
  present	
  in	
  mobile	
  
   devices	
  and	
  social	
  networks	
  
   	
  




Source:	
  Forrester	
  
 Video	
  ads	
  will	
  be	
  the	
  fastest-­‐rising	
  category	
  of	
  
                                          online	
  spending	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  coming	
  years	
  



 1.  US	
  online	
  video	
  ad	
  
     spending	
  to	
  grow	
  43%	
  in	
  
     2012.	
  	
  Digital	
  video	
  ads	
  reproduces	
  
           the	
  richness	
  consumer	
  associate	
  with	
  TV	
  
           at	
  a	
  lower	
  cost	
  and	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  a	
  reach	
  
           extender	
  medium	
  for	
  TV	
  with	
  the	
  same	
  
                 	
  
           ad.	
  




Source:	
  eMarketer.com	
  
Search	
  spend	
  shicing	
  to	
  display	
  


     1.          Search	
  behavior	
  and	
  their	
  associated	
  marke5ng	
  spend	
  moves	
  to	
  other	
  
                 media.	
  	
  
                           A	
  por5on	
  of	
  marketer´s	
  search	
  budgets	
  will	
  move	
  to	
  mobile	
  and	
  social	
  networks	
  as	
  users	
  rely	
  more	
  on	
  non-­‐PC	
  devices	
  
                           and	
  nontradi5onal	
  search	
  engines	
  like	
  Youtube	
  or	
  FaceBook	
  	
  

     2.           SEO	
  Technology	
  tempers	
  the	
  growth	
  of	
  agency	
  fees.	
  	
  	
  
                           Development	
  of	
  be]er	
  SEO	
  pla^orms	
  will	
  make	
  it	
  easier	
  for	
  brand	
  pages	
  to	
  be	
  found	
  therefore	
  these	
  technologies	
  will	
  
                           undercut	
  or	
  replace	
  agency	
  fees	
  dropping	
  SEO	
  costs	
  about	
  15%	
  

     3.           Rich	
  search	
  ads	
  capture	
  brand	
  dollars.	
  	
  
                           Improved	
  search	
  engines	
  interfaces	
  will	
  deliver	
  new	
  display-­‐like	
  ad	
  formats	
  embedded	
  into	
  search	
  results	
  

     4.          Small	
  and	
  medium-­‐size	
  business	
  (SMB´s)	
  adopt	
  and	
  grow	
  search	
  
                 programs.	
  	
  
                           Affordable	
  search	
  management	
  solu(ons	
  	
  like	
  Clickable	
  and	
  offline	
  directories	
  like	
  SuperMedia	
  from	
  Verizon	
  
                           Superpages	
  are	
  managing	
  search	
  adver5sing	
  for	
  local	
  marketers	
  who	
  want	
  to	
  transi5on	
  away	
  from	
  yellow	
  pages	
  ads	
  

     5.           Search	
  spend	
  shicing	
  to	
  display.	
  	
  
                           Increasing	
  keywords	
  costs	
  will	
  eschew	
  paid	
  search	
  for	
  biddable	
  display	
  search,	
  display	
  ads	
  bought	
  through	
  
                           automated	
  auc(ons	
  
     	
  
Source:	
  Forrester	
  
Marketer´s	
  love	
  affair	
  with	
  display	
  media	
  is	
  back:	
  	
  
                                                                     Driven	
  by	
  ad	
  exchanges	
  that	
  simplify	
  media	
  buying	
  process	
  




 1.  Increasing	
  cost	
  of	
  niche	
  and	
  
     remnant	
  inventory.	
  Online	
  ad	
  
             exchanges	
  like	
  AdBrite	
  enable	
  adver5sers	
  to	
  
             buy	
  niche	
  inventory	
  and	
  also	
  to	
  buy	
  all	
  
             inventory	
  for	
  its	
  real	
  market	
  value	
  




 2.  Be]er	
  online	
  ad	
  
     management	
  tools.	
  New	
  data	
  
             management	
  pla^orms	
  improve	
  audience	
  
             targe(ng,	
  eliminate	
  overlap	
  across	
  mul5ple	
  
             publishers	
  and	
  measure	
  the	
  contribu(ons	
  of	
  a	
  
             given	
  impression	
  towards	
  business	
  goals	
  




Source:	
  Forrester	
  
According	
  to	
  Forrester	
  This	
  year	
  Mobile	
  overtakes	
  Email	
  and	
  Social	
  
                                                                                             Media	
  in	
  US	
  	
  
1.  Marketers	
  will	
  create	
  more	
  relevant	
  mobile	
  ads.	
  	
  A	
  
               skyrocket	
  growth	
  in	
  acquisi5on	
  of	
  smartphones	
  and	
  tablets	
  will	
  allow	
  
               be]er	
  ads	
  for	
  mobile	
  devices.	
  Also	
  be]er	
  mobile	
  ad	
  servers	
  will	
  enable	
  
               be]er	
  ad	
  targe5ng	
  to	
  specific	
  clusters	
  of	
  users	
  


2.  Tablets	
  with	
  their	
  expensive	
  ad	
  units	
  will	
  become	
  
    mainstream.	
  These	
  devices	
  will	
  contribute	
  to	
  the	
  increase	
  of	
  mobile	
  
               marke5ng	
  investment	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  innova5ve	
  and	
  expensive	
  ad	
  formats	
  
               they	
  enable	
  


3.  Adop5on	
  of	
  smartphones	
  and	
  tablets	
  accelerates	
  the	
  
    demand	
  for	
  content	
  consumed	
  on	
  these	
  devices	
  including,	
  video,	
  
               audio,	
  social	
  media,	
  games,	
  news,	
  books	
  and	
  other	
  types	
  


4.  Buyers	
  will	
  embrace	
  mobile	
  commerce	
  and	
  
    adver5sing	
  that	
  drives	
  it.	
  	
  Mobile	
  commerce	
  will	
  top	
  31	
  billion	
  
               and	
  the	
  upcoming	
  explosion	
  of	
  tablet	
  adop5on	
  will	
  amplify	
  this	
  virtual	
  
               circle.	
  Already	
  47%	
  of	
  tablet	
  owners	
  have	
  shopped	
  on	
  their	
  devices	
  


5.             Email	
  will	
  s5ll	
  be	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  mix	
  of	
  interac5ve	
  marke5ng	
  but	
  spend	
  
               on	
  email	
  marke5ng	
  delivery,	
  crea5ve,	
  analy5cs	
  and	
  so	
  won’t	
  
               increase	
  mainly	
  because	
  of	
  	
  their	
  very	
  low	
  CPM´s	
  	
  
	
  	
  
           Source:	
  Forrester	
  and	
  KPCB	
  
Although	
  all	
  brands	
  will	
  jump	
  into	
  some	
  kind	
  of	
  social	
  
                              media	
  ac5vity,	
  Social	
  Media	
  total	
  investment	
  will	
  grow	
  
                                                                                              moderately	
  

1.  	
  Due	
  to	
  the	
  rela5vely	
  low-­‐cost	
  of	
  Social	
  media	
  
    management,	
  brand	
  expenditures	
  on	
  it	
  won´t	
  
    grow	
  as	
  much.	
  

2.  Developing	
  own	
  social	
  assets	
  like	
  a	
  Facebook	
  
    page	
  or	
  TT	
  profile	
  involves	
  low	
  costs,	
  mostly	
  
      community	
  managing	
  related	
  only.	
  Listening	
  pla^orms	
  cost	
  
      only	
  5k-­‐10k	
  a	
  month	
  and	
  there	
  are	
  very	
  good	
  open	
  source	
  
      pla^orms	
  


3.  Social	
  networks	
  offer	
  limited	
  paid	
  inventory.	
  
      The	
  biggest	
  social	
  media	
  outlets	
  for	
  adver5sers	
  FB	
  and	
  TT	
  
      have	
  only	
  a	
  few	
  pay	
  per	
  click	
  adver5sing	
  op5ons,	
  
      significantly	
  smaller	
  than	
  tradi5onal	
  media	
  portals	
  


4.  Listening	
  will	
  develop	
  into	
  social	
  intelligence.	
  	
  
      Social	
  data	
  will	
  be	
  integrated	
  to	
  exis5ng	
  CRM	
  databases	
  

5.    More	
  interac5ve	
  marke5ng	
  investment	
  will	
  spawn	
  more	
  
      ad-­‐supported	
  content	
                                                                   Source:	
  Forrester	
  and	
  KPCB	
  
 e-­‐commerce	
  reloaded:	
  Mobile	
  and	
  in-­‐store	
  digital	
  
                                                         experiences	
  
          Mobile	
  commerce	
  is	
  the	
  next	
  big	
  thing	
  in	
  business.	
  This	
  will	
  have	
  
          an	
  impact	
  specially	
  on	
  retailers	
  and	
  the	
  way	
  consumers	
  interact	
  with	
  them.	
  70%	
  of	
  
          those	
  who	
  have	
  smartphones	
  have	
  used	
  them	
  on	
  store.	
  On	
  the	
  other	
  hand	
  
          following	
  what	
  Trendwatching.com	
  calls	
  “Retail	
  Renaissance”	
  consumers	
  will	
  
          enjoy	
  shopping	
  products	
  and	
  services	
  in	
  the	
  real	
  world	
  more	
  than	
  ever	
  and	
  this	
  
          will	
  be	
  driven	
  by	
  the	
  fusion	
  of	
  technology	
  and	
  engaging	
  experiences.	
  
          	
  
          1.  Offline	
  in-­‐store	
  experiences	
  will	
  have	
  its	
  online	
  experience	
  too.	
  8	
  out	
  of	
  10	
  
                 consumers	
  research	
  their	
  purchases	
  online.	
  While	
  online	
  conversion	
  rates	
  for	
  
                 e-­‐commerce	
  are	
  around	
  2-­‐3.5%	
  offline	
  conversion	
  rates	
  from	
  digital	
  ads	
  to	
  
                 stores	
  for	
  fashion	
  retailers	
  are	
  20-­‐25%	
  
          2.  Barcode	
  scanning	
  is	
  on	
  the	
  rise	
  
          3.  Time-­‐or-­‐loca5on-­‐based	
  offers	
  and	
  rewarding	
  visits	
  through	
  some	
  kind	
  of	
  geo-­‐
                 located	
  social	
  media	
  like	
  Foursquare	
  will	
  be	
  more	
  frequently	
  used	
  
          4.  Tablets	
  will	
  fuel	
  deeper	
  experiences	
  and	
  interac5ons	
  with	
  retailers	
  and	
  
                 products,	
  especially	
  luxury	
  products	
  and	
  cars	
  

Source:	
  Trendwatching	
  and	
  e-­‐Marketer	
  
Reflexions	
  for	
  Mexican	
  Marke5ng	
  Industry:	
  
                                                                                              Display	
  Adver5sing	
  



Following	
  the	
  interna5onal	
  trend	
  in	
  Mexico	
  online	
  display	
  adver5sing	
  
(be]er	
  known	
  as	
  banners	
  and	
  videos)	
  	
  will	
  get	
  the	
  mayor	
  chunk	
  of	
  the	
  
growth	
  in	
  interac5ve	
  spend.	
  	
  These	
  are	
  great	
  news	
  for	
  media	
  players	
  and	
  bloggers	
  as	
  
well.	
  The	
  local	
  drivers	
  of	
  this	
  growth	
  are:	
  
	
  
1.  Tradi(onal	
  media	
  players	
  like	
  magazines,	
  TV	
  and	
  radio	
  are	
  becoming	
  full	
  mul(media	
  
    companies	
  and	
  will	
  encourage	
  a	
  strong	
  growth	
  of	
  their	
  digital	
  new	
  business	
  

2.  Small	
  niche	
  content	
  players	
  are	
  jumping	
  in	
  since	
  digital	
  is	
  cheaper	
  to	
  produce	
  than	
  all	
  
    other	
  media	
  (bloggers	
  like	
  whatevertomorrow,	
  etc)	
  and	
  some	
  old	
  small	
  players	
  will	
  shut	
  
    down	
  their	
  printed	
  edi5ons	
  and	
  leave	
  only	
  their	
  online	
  versions	
  
Reflexions	
  for	
  Mexican	
  Marke5ng	
  Industry:	
  Display	
  
	
  	
   Marke5ng:	
  Ad-­‐exchanges	
  already	
  here	
  but	
  s5ll	
  with	
  a	
  long	
  way	
  
                                                                                                                                                         to	
  go	
  
 	
  
 1.  As	
  in	
  the	
  US	
  ad-­‐exchanges	
  are	
  already	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  market,	
  providers	
  like	
  Ad-­‐
      Ne5ck	
  	
  are	
  successfully	
  selling	
  to	
  adver5sers.	
  This	
  technology	
  enables	
  a	
  much	
  more	
  
      cost	
  efficient	
  alloca5on	
  of	
  ads	
  and	
  makes	
  it	
  much	
  easier	
  to	
  buy	
  space	
  in	
  niche	
  content	
  players	
  
      including	
  bloggers	
  
 2.  These	
  players	
  could	
  represent	
  a	
  threat	
  to	
  	
  tradi5onal	
  media	
  buying	
  agencies	
  
      since	
  they	
  automa(zed	
  the	
  media	
  buying	
  process	
  and	
  reduce	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  “alloca5on”	
  advice.	
  	
  
      On	
  the	
  other	
  hand	
  they	
  bring	
  more	
  transparency	
  to	
  the	
  buying	
  process	
  since	
  buying	
  prices	
  are	
  
      auc5oned	
  directly	
  by	
  the	
  adver5ser.	
  These	
  could	
  represent	
  a	
  long	
  term	
  challenge	
  to	
  agencies	
  that	
  buy	
  
      media	
  since	
  another	
  source	
  of	
  revenue	
  for	
  them	
  are	
  markups	
  in	
  adver5sing	
  rates	
  	
  
Reflexions	
  for	
  Mexican	
  Marke5ng	
  Industry:	
  
	
  Social	
  Media	
  brand	
  ac5vity	
  will	
  increase	
  tremendously	
  
                                                                                                                                                                 	
  



1.  Relevance	
  of	
  social	
  media	
  has	
  grown	
  tremendously,	
  due	
  to	
  many	
  recent	
  public	
  
    events	
  the	
  percep5on	
  of	
  it	
  importance	
  in	
  society	
  has	
  grown	
  

2.  Mexico	
  is	
  one	
  of	
  most	
  ac5ve	
  countries	
  in	
  Social	
  Media	
  (see	
  Comscore	
  graphic	
  in	
  slide	
  
       11)	
  	
  


3.  Brands	
  and	
  Cyber	
  stars	
  are	
  already	
  ac5ve.	
  Many	
  brands	
  already	
  have	
  a	
  profile	
  in	
  
       FaceBook	
  ,	
  or	
  twi]er.	
  Celebri5es	
  are	
  already	
  charging	
  “Product	
  Placement”	
  fees	
  ranging	
  from	
  1k	
  to	
  60k	
  
       just	
  to	
  post	
  a	
  comment	
  about	
  a	
  brand.	
  	
  


4.  Most	
  of	
  Mexican	
  adver(sers	
  will	
  jump	
  into	
  some	
  kind	
  of	
  social	
  media	
  ac(vity	
  
    in	
  the	
  near	
  future	
  since	
  Social	
  Media	
  is	
  the	
  “cool	
  thing”	
  to	
  be	
  doing	
  right	
  now	
  and	
  to	
  open	
  a	
  
       brand	
  profile	
  in	
  FB,	
  TT	
  or	
  YT	
  is	
  free.	
  
Reflexions	
  for	
  Mexican	
  Marke5ng	
  Industry:	
  	
  
                                     Social	
  Media	
  brand	
  ac5vity	
  will	
  increase	
  but	
  social	
  ad	
  
                                               investments	
  will	
  not	
  necessarily	
  grow	
  as	
  much	
  

Social	
  Media	
  Brand	
  ac5vity	
  will	
  grow,	
  crea5ng	
  a	
  new	
  market	
  for	
  related	
  service	
  
providers	
  

1.  Media	
  buying	
  within	
  social	
  media	
  pla^orms	
  is	
  somehow	
  a	
  limited	
  ground	
  since	
  mayor	
  
    players	
  offer	
  few	
  adver5sing	
  op5ons	
  	
  (although	
  this	
  may	
  change	
  in	
  the	
  near	
  future	
  since	
  
    52%	
  of	
  traffic	
  goes	
  to	
  SM).	
  	
  On	
  the	
  other	
  hand	
  a	
  significant	
  factor	
  in	
  Mexico	
  is	
  that	
  FB,	
  TT,	
  and	
  Google
    ´s	
  You	
  Tube	
  do	
  not	
  pay	
  direct	
  rebate	
  fees	
  to	
  media	
  agencies	
  (some	
  ad	
  networks	
  who	
  resell	
  social	
  
    media	
  ads	
  do	
  so)	
  therefore	
  social	
  media	
  ads	
  investments	
  won´t	
  grow	
  as	
  much	
  as	
  one	
  might	
  expect	
  

2.  Related	
  services	
  like	
  community	
  managing,	
  content	
  crea5on,	
  consul5ng,	
  development	
  
    services	
  like	
  social	
  media	
  applica5ons	
  and	
  “social-­‐media5on”	
  of	
  tradi5onal	
  webpages	
  	
  will	
  
    sprout.	
  This	
  will	
  bring	
  room	
  for	
  	
  new	
  revenue	
  streams	
  for	
  tradi5onal	
  online	
  agencies	
  and	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  new	
  
       independent	
  players	
  (many	
  bou5que	
  specialists	
  have	
  appeared	
  in	
  the	
  market	
  to	
  provide	
  with	
  community	
  
       managing	
  services	
  and	
  analy5c	
  services)	
  

3.     Mexico	
  is	
  par5cularly	
  fond	
  of	
  Twi]er	
  so	
  the	
  new	
  brand´s	
  profile	
  that	
  they	
  have	
  launched	
  for	
  21	
  
       global	
  adver5sers	
  will	
  drive	
  more	
  brands	
  to	
  	
  Twi]er	
  (h]p://bit.ly/tv0yfn)	
  .	
  	
  Some	
  of	
  these	
  
       global	
  adver5sers	
  already	
  have	
  interac5ve	
  marke5ng	
  investments	
  through	
  their	
  Mexican	
  branches	
  like	
  
       Coca-­‐Cola,	
  Dell,	
  American	
  Express,	
  Pepsi	
  and	
  Nike	
  
Reflexions	
  for	
  Mexican	
  Marke5ng	
  Industry:	
  
                                             	
  Search	
  will	
  keep	
  growing	
  but	
  at	
  a	
  lower	
  speed	
  




1.  Bigger	
  Adver5sers	
  in	
  Mexico	
  have	
  less	
  need	
  of	
  Search	
  based	
  online	
  strategies.	
  
      Search	
  is	
  a	
  fundamental	
  piece	
  of	
  the	
  interac5ve	
  mix	
  when	
  a	
  brand	
  is	
  doing	
  e-­‐commerce	
  or	
  
      when	
  the	
  main	
  objec5ve	
  of	
  a	
  campaign	
  is	
  to	
  drive	
  traffic	
  to	
  a	
  webpage.	
  Adver(sers	
  of	
  consumer	
  brand	
  
      products	
  who	
  are	
  currently	
  under-­‐spending	
  in	
  online	
  and	
  who	
  will	
  be	
  the	
  ones	
  driving	
  the	
  upcoming	
  
      growth	
  in	
  the	
  Mexican	
  market	
  are	
  not	
  into	
  e-­‐commerce.	
  Therefore	
  they	
  most	
  likely	
  tend	
  to	
  use	
  more	
  
      display,	
  social	
  media	
  or	
  develop	
  glossy	
  applica5ons	
  for	
  smart	
  phones	
  and	
  tablets	
  than	
  search	
  
                                                       They	
  don´t	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  found	
  as	
  much	
  as	
  they	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  
                                                       remembered	
  

2.  An	
  addi5onal	
  force	
  in	
  Mexico	
  to	
  keep	
  holding	
  back	
  the	
  share	
  of	
  Search	
  
    Marke5ng	
  is	
  that	
  the	
  main	
  player	
  Google	
  does	
  not	
  pay	
  to	
  any	
  agency	
  rebate	
  
    fees.	
  Therefore	
  profitability	
  of	
  media	
  alloca5on	
  in	
  search	
  is	
  significantly	
  lower	
  for	
  agencies	
  than	
  
      recommending	
  display	
  adver5sing	
  or	
  other	
  digital	
  online	
  ini5a5ves	
  to	
  their	
  clients	
  
Reflexions	
  for	
  Mexican	
  Marke5ng	
  Industry:	
  	
  
                                                        Search	
  will	
  keep	
  growing	
  but	
  at	
  a	
  lower	
  speed	
  




As	
  in	
  the	
  US	
  market,	
  	
  affordable	
  search	
  management	
  solu(ons	
  for	
  small	
  and	
  
medium	
  companies	
  (PYMES)	
  are	
  in	
  the	
  way	
  to	
  burst	
  into	
  the	
  market.	
  
	
  
The	
  dominant	
  player	
  in	
  this	
  sector	
  has	
  been	
  Seccion	
  Amarilla,	
  from	
  grupo	
  Carso.	
  They	
  have	
  a	
  very	
  good	
  
chance	
  to	
  lead	
  the	
  conversion	
  of	
  these	
  adver5sers	
  since	
  they	
  already	
  have	
  them	
  as	
  clients	
  and	
  they	
  have	
  all	
  
the	
  resources	
  and	
  the	
  strategy	
  to	
  do	
  so.	
  Most	
  of	
  these	
  adver5sers	
  won´t	
  develop	
  a	
  webpage	
  on	
  their	
  own	
  or	
  
a	
  Facebook	
  profile	
  but	
  would	
  gladly	
  migrate	
  to	
  something	
  digital	
  if	
  a	
  one-­‐stop	
  shop	
  solu5on	
  is	
  offered	
  to	
  
them.	
  	
  
	
  
It´s	
  hard	
  to	
  speculate	
  if	
  this	
  market	
  will	
  be	
  shared	
  with	
  Google	
  or	
  other	
  big	
  players	
  including	
  Facebook	
  or	
  if	
  it	
  
will	
  be	
  mainly	
  a	
  transi5on	
  of	
  business	
  model	
  within	
  Seccion	
  Amarilla	
  who	
  is	
  the	
  leader	
  in	
  Yellowpages	
  	
  
segment	
  
Reflexions	
  for	
  Mexican	
  Marke5ng	
  Industry:	
  	
  
           Mobile	
  Marke5ng	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  more	
  common	
  part	
  of	
  	
  the	
  mix	
  than	
  
                                                                                                before	
  


1.  Explosion	
  of	
  Smart	
  phones	
  and	
  Tablets	
  
    acquisi5on.	
  There	
  are	
  already	
  at	
  least	
  9	
  million	
  
           smart	
  phones	
  in	
  Mexico	
  and	
  penetra5on	
  of	
  this	
  
           kind	
  of	
  devices	
  will	
  grow	
  at	
  a	
  85%	
  rate.	
  Also	
  
           tablets	
  are	
  in	
  the	
  rise	
  worldwide	
  and	
  in	
  Mexico	
  as	
  
           well.	
  These	
  premium	
  consumers	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  very	
  
           a]rac5ve	
  market	
  to	
  be	
  reached	
  

2.  Innova5ve	
  ad	
  formats	
  will	
  a]ract	
  
    trendy	
  adver5sers	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  luxury	
  
    brands.	
  	
  Smartphones	
  and	
  especially	
  tablets	
  
           allow	
  more	
  engaging	
  ad	
  formats	
  and	
  branded	
  
           content.	
  These	
  will	
  be	
  very	
  appealing	
  to	
  early	
  
           adop(ng	
  adver5sers	
  and	
  to	
  agencies	
  or	
  
           developers	
  that	
  will	
  try	
  to	
  sell	
  these	
  higher	
  
           revenue	
  ads	
  to	
  its	
  clients	
  
	
  	
  
4	
  Take	
  outs	
  for	
  the	
  road	
  
	
  
1.  In	
  2012	
  Interac(ve	
  spending	
  will	
  surpass	
  magazines	
  
     and	
  maybe	
  even	
  Paid	
  TV	
  in	
  Mexico	
  

2.  Brands	
  will	
  fully	
  embrace	
  social	
  media	
  ac5vity	
  this	
  
    will	
  sprout	
  many	
  new	
  services	
  related	
  to	
  community	
  
                	
  	
  
    management,	
  content	
  produc5on	
  and	
  measurement	
  
                	
  

3.  Mexican	
  adver5sers	
  will	
  increase	
  their	
  investments	
  
    on	
  display	
  adver5sing	
  triggering	
  more	
  demand	
  for	
  
    online	
  inventory,	
  specially	
  the	
  one	
  for	
  video	
  ads	
  

4.  Brands	
  will	
  explore	
  different	
  ways	
  to	
  get	
  advantage	
  
     of	
  the	
  rise	
  of	
  Smart	
  Phone	
  and	
  tablets	
  euphoria	
  	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
Challenges	
  and	
  Opportuni5es	
  
	
  Agencies	
                                                 Clients	
                                                     Media	
  and	
  Content	
  producers	
  
1.  The	
  center	
  of	
  the	
  conversa5on	
  will	
        1.  Clients	
  will	
  demand	
  more	
  mature	
             1.  More	
  revenue	
  will	
  come	
  from	
  digital	
  
    be	
  how	
  the	
  online	
  marke5ng	
                       agencies	
  that	
  can	
  provide	
  them	
  with	
          adver5sing	
  
    budget	
  should	
  be	
  split	
  among	
  all	
              solid	
  clear	
  integrated	
  interac5ve	
              2.  Tradi5onal	
  media	
  companies	
  will	
  
    the	
  possible	
  interac5ve	
  ac5vi5es	
                    strategies;	
  the	
  core	
  issue	
  will	
  how	
          seize	
  the	
  opportunity	
  reinforcing	
  
    and	
  how	
  these	
  make	
  sense	
  in	
  a	
              much	
  they	
  should	
  be	
  inves5ng	
  in	
              their	
  online	
  adver5sing	
  s	
  offer	
  to	
  
    bigger	
  scheme	
  of	
  things.	
  This	
  is	
  a	
         online	
  marke5ng	
  but	
  how.	
                           their	
  clients	
  
    challenge	
  for	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  current	
         2.  Level	
  of	
  complexity	
  of	
  interac5ve	
           3.  Social	
  Media	
  and	
  Mobile	
  will	
  trigger	
  
    par(cipants	
  in	
  the	
  market	
  since	
                  marke5ng	
  for	
  clients	
  will	
  rise	
  since	
         demand	
  for	
  content,	
  content	
  
                                                  	
  	
  
                  	
  
    they	
  are	
  specialized	
  in	
  their	
  
    discipline.	
  	
                             	
  
                                                                   brands	
  will	
  need	
  to	
  have	
  an	
  any-­‐
                                                                   Time	
  any-­‐where	
  digital	
  points	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                 producers	
  could	
  produce	
  content	
  
                                                                                                                                 for	
  clients	
  or	
  find	
  new	
  ways	
  to	
  get	
  
2.  More	
  budget	
  on	
  online	
  will	
  demand	
             contacts	
  with	
  their	
  consumer	
                       digital	
  sponsored	
  deals	
  
    more	
  produc(on	
  of	
  ad	
  formats,	
                    deploying	
  conversa5ons	
  and	
                        4.  Small	
  players	
  will	
  become	
  more	
  
    social	
  media	
  and	
  mobile	
  apps,	
  social	
          presence	
  according	
  to	
  each	
  digital	
              relevant	
  
    media	
  glossy	
  profiles	
  therefore	
                      channel	
  
                  	
  
    many	
  independent	
  providers	
  will	
  
    jump	
  in	
  to	
  the	
  arena	
  
                                                               3.  More	
  clients	
  will	
  have	
  their	
  own	
  
                                                                   internal	
  experts	
  on	
  interac5ve	
  
3.  Social	
  Media	
  bring	
  opportunity	
  for	
               marke5ng	
  
    new	
  services	
                                          4.  Mobile	
  e-­‐commerce	
  and	
  mobile	
  
                                                                     apps	
  will	
  be	
  explored	
  	
  by	
  early	
  
                                                                     adopter	
  adver5sers	
  
Some	
  References	
  
           	
  
           US	
  interac5ve	
  Marke5ng	
  Forecast	
  2011	
  to	
  2016	
  
           Forrester	
  Research	
  
           	
  State	
  of	
  Media-­‐Social	
  Media	
  Report	
  Nielsen	
  
           KPCB	
  Internet	
  Trends	
  2011	
  October	
  18	
  
	
  	
  
           Millward	
  Brown	
  UK	
  Predi5ons	
  2012	
  
	
  
           Contagiousmagazine.com	
  2011-­‐2012	
  digital	
  
           predi5ons	
  
           eMarketer	
  2012	
  trends	
  
           Euro-­‐RSCG	
  TrenspoTng	
  for	
  2012	
  
           Trendwatching.com	
  12	
  crucial	
  consumertrends	
  2012	
  
           Trendwatching.com	
  Retail	
  Renaissance	
  
           	
  

           	
  
           	
  

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Usmx2012 onlinetrends ap.pptx

  • 1. Interac(ve  Marke(ng  Trends  2012    Reflexions  of  the  Mexican  Internet  Adver5sing  Industry   Adriana  Pena,  Sweden  Dec  2011  
  • 2. Being  on  top  of  trends  and  making  business  decisions  based  on  their   implica5ons  has  never  been  harder  but  in  the  other  hand  has  never   been  as  fascina5ng     I´ve been a passionate participant of innovation all my life. Doing things different or for the first time has been the driver of my career. Now I have a unique opportunity to sit down from the pits and watch the cars running at accelerating speed and drawing conclusion from what I see. From these cold lands of Sweden I have been able to analyze great sources like Forrester, e-marketer, Mashable, Sociagility, Comscore, Brand Republic and tons of bloggers and journalist who had published an enormous amount of information. The data is all there, making sense of it and drawing conclusion for our market has been a thrilling endeavor. I hope you find this presentation interesting and useful, but most of all I hope you share the same passion I feel for being part of the generation that is driving such amazing changes in our business.
  • 3. Interac5ve  marke5ng  budgets  will  be  as   big  as  TV  sooner  than  expected  in  US   In Mexico we still have a long way to go, but online advertising budgets are still expected to grow double digits in the next coming years Source:  Forrester  
  • 4. Disregarding  the  actual  size  of  online  adver(sing  budget  of  Mexican   adver(sers  the  trend  heads  towards  a  strong  growth,  making  online   marke(ng  a  discipline  that  cannot  be  minimized  anymore       In Mexico despite what official sources have been publishing, I estimate based on industry information that online budgets may not be more than 4.5% in 2011 On the other hand expected growth for 2012 is 20-30% at the expense of other media like magazines, TV and Newspapers   One  of  the  challenges  to  agree  on  the  size  of  the  internet  adver5sing  budgets  lays  in   the  defini5on  of  online  budget:  is  it  only  money  being  paid  to  media  partners,  or     does  it  inlcudes  brand  web  pages,    development  of  aplica5ons  and  agency  fees?    
  • 5. In Mexico we have to consider these other factors as well: 1.  Younger brand managers and younger employees in general at clients and agencies will pitch for Interac5ve  Embeds  itself  in   their fresher ideas to be heard 2.  Social Media and recent political the  mix:  the  next  digital   effects of it makes anyone who is not in touch with new media look decade  is  here   outdated 3.  Marketing effectiveness has not being proved for consumer brands The  following  factors  in  US  will  enable  the   but a 40% reach of internet in growth  over  the  next  five  years:   Mexico makes a very compelling argument   4.  Tablets, Iphones androids and 1.  Bigger  interac(ve  teams   other ”cool” devices in the hands of tons of people will make it very 2.  Excitement  about  emerging  media   hard to ignore the relevance of new media 3.  Interac(ve  marke(ng  effec(veness   5.  Rebates paid by media players to media agencies above 10%, makes 4.  Customer  obsession   online adverstising the most profitable media for media agencies Source:  Forrester  
  • 6. Percep5on  of  effec5veness  will   drive  a  different  mix  of  interac5ve   marke5ng  spending   Although in Mexico investments on Internet Marketing will grow, lack of proper use of ad serving technology as well as an over use of clicks or cost per click as measurement of campaign´s ROI makes it very difficult for Marketing Directors to be fully convinced of effectiveness of online media The overall effectiveness of online media is still somehow a myth to be proven especially for the mass consumption advertisers that happen to have the biggest marketing budgets   •  TV penetration is overwhelming in the country and is the most easy to be measured and proven media •  Media agencies rarely use the required technology or proper methodology to prove basic metrics like unique total reach of an online campaign so traditional media planning parameters like audience reach or number of people touched by an online campaign are unknown or severely under estimated since most campaigns are being measured only by website visits or ad clicks •  There are very little studies on actual effects on brand health from an interactive marketing campaign in Mexico •  Very few big advertisers have an e-commerce business and the consequent experience of efficiencies in conversion rates that internet has in e-commerce strategies
  • 7. Social  Media,  Mobile  Marke5ng  and  Display   adver5sing  will  drive  US  Interac5ve  Marke5ng  Spend   Search’s    Share  Shrinks     Share  will  shrink  11  points  as  marketers   refocus  their  search  marke5ng  strategies   based  on  ”geTng  found”  by  users.    Brands   will  expand  the  play  field  in  which  they   could  be  found  by  its  customers  by  moving   their  search  budgets  to  be  present  in  mobile   devices  and  social  networks     Source:  Forrester  
  • 8.  Video  ads  will  be  the  fastest-­‐rising  category  of   online  spending  in  the  next  coming  years   1.  US  online  video  ad   spending  to  grow  43%  in   2012.    Digital  video  ads  reproduces   the  richness  consumer  associate  with  TV   at  a  lower  cost  and  can  be  used  a  reach   extender  medium  for  TV  with  the  same     ad.   Source:  eMarketer.com  
  • 9. Search  spend  shicing  to  display   1.  Search  behavior  and  their  associated  marke5ng  spend  moves  to  other   media.     A  por5on  of  marketer´s  search  budgets  will  move  to  mobile  and  social  networks  as  users  rely  more  on  non-­‐PC  devices   and  nontradi5onal  search  engines  like  Youtube  or  FaceBook     2.  SEO  Technology  tempers  the  growth  of  agency  fees.       Development  of  be]er  SEO  pla^orms  will  make  it  easier  for  brand  pages  to  be  found  therefore  these  technologies  will   undercut  or  replace  agency  fees  dropping  SEO  costs  about  15%   3.  Rich  search  ads  capture  brand  dollars.     Improved  search  engines  interfaces  will  deliver  new  display-­‐like  ad  formats  embedded  into  search  results   4.  Small  and  medium-­‐size  business  (SMB´s)  adopt  and  grow  search   programs.     Affordable  search  management  solu(ons    like  Clickable  and  offline  directories  like  SuperMedia  from  Verizon   Superpages  are  managing  search  adver5sing  for  local  marketers  who  want  to  transi5on  away  from  yellow  pages  ads   5.  Search  spend  shicing  to  display.     Increasing  keywords  costs  will  eschew  paid  search  for  biddable  display  search,  display  ads  bought  through   automated  auc(ons     Source:  Forrester  
  • 10. Marketer´s  love  affair  with  display  media  is  back:     Driven  by  ad  exchanges  that  simplify  media  buying  process   1.  Increasing  cost  of  niche  and   remnant  inventory.  Online  ad   exchanges  like  AdBrite  enable  adver5sers  to   buy  niche  inventory  and  also  to  buy  all   inventory  for  its  real  market  value   2.  Be]er  online  ad   management  tools.  New  data   management  pla^orms  improve  audience   targe(ng,  eliminate  overlap  across  mul5ple   publishers  and  measure  the  contribu(ons  of  a   given  impression  towards  business  goals   Source:  Forrester  
  • 11. According  to  Forrester  This  year  Mobile  overtakes  Email  and  Social   Media  in  US     1.  Marketers  will  create  more  relevant  mobile  ads.    A   skyrocket  growth  in  acquisi5on  of  smartphones  and  tablets  will  allow   be]er  ads  for  mobile  devices.  Also  be]er  mobile  ad  servers  will  enable   be]er  ad  targe5ng  to  specific  clusters  of  users   2.  Tablets  with  their  expensive  ad  units  will  become   mainstream.  These  devices  will  contribute  to  the  increase  of  mobile   marke5ng  investment  due  to  the  innova5ve  and  expensive  ad  formats   they  enable   3.  Adop5on  of  smartphones  and  tablets  accelerates  the   demand  for  content  consumed  on  these  devices  including,  video,   audio,  social  media,  games,  news,  books  and  other  types   4.  Buyers  will  embrace  mobile  commerce  and   adver5sing  that  drives  it.    Mobile  commerce  will  top  31  billion   and  the  upcoming  explosion  of  tablet  adop5on  will  amplify  this  virtual   circle.  Already  47%  of  tablet  owners  have  shopped  on  their  devices   5.  Email  will  s5ll  be  part  of  the  mix  of  interac5ve  marke5ng  but  spend   on  email  marke5ng  delivery,  crea5ve,  analy5cs  and  so  won’t   increase  mainly  because  of    their  very  low  CPM´s         Source:  Forrester  and  KPCB  
  • 12. Although  all  brands  will  jump  into  some  kind  of  social   media  ac5vity,  Social  Media  total  investment  will  grow   moderately   1.   Due  to  the  rela5vely  low-­‐cost  of  Social  media   management,  brand  expenditures  on  it  won´t   grow  as  much.   2.  Developing  own  social  assets  like  a  Facebook   page  or  TT  profile  involves  low  costs,  mostly   community  managing  related  only.  Listening  pla^orms  cost   only  5k-­‐10k  a  month  and  there  are  very  good  open  source   pla^orms   3.  Social  networks  offer  limited  paid  inventory.   The  biggest  social  media  outlets  for  adver5sers  FB  and  TT   have  only  a  few  pay  per  click  adver5sing  op5ons,   significantly  smaller  than  tradi5onal  media  portals   4.  Listening  will  develop  into  social  intelligence.     Social  data  will  be  integrated  to  exis5ng  CRM  databases   5.  More  interac5ve  marke5ng  investment  will  spawn  more   ad-­‐supported  content   Source:  Forrester  and  KPCB  
  • 13.  e-­‐commerce  reloaded:  Mobile  and  in-­‐store  digital   experiences   Mobile  commerce  is  the  next  big  thing  in  business.  This  will  have   an  impact  specially  on  retailers  and  the  way  consumers  interact  with  them.  70%  of   those  who  have  smartphones  have  used  them  on  store.  On  the  other  hand   following  what  Trendwatching.com  calls  “Retail  Renaissance”  consumers  will   enjoy  shopping  products  and  services  in  the  real  world  more  than  ever  and  this   will  be  driven  by  the  fusion  of  technology  and  engaging  experiences.     1.  Offline  in-­‐store  experiences  will  have  its  online  experience  too.  8  out  of  10   consumers  research  their  purchases  online.  While  online  conversion  rates  for   e-­‐commerce  are  around  2-­‐3.5%  offline  conversion  rates  from  digital  ads  to   stores  for  fashion  retailers  are  20-­‐25%   2.  Barcode  scanning  is  on  the  rise   3.  Time-­‐or-­‐loca5on-­‐based  offers  and  rewarding  visits  through  some  kind  of  geo-­‐ located  social  media  like  Foursquare  will  be  more  frequently  used   4.  Tablets  will  fuel  deeper  experiences  and  interac5ons  with  retailers  and   products,  especially  luxury  products  and  cars   Source:  Trendwatching  and  e-­‐Marketer  
  • 14. Reflexions  for  Mexican  Marke5ng  Industry:   Display  Adver5sing   Following  the  interna5onal  trend  in  Mexico  online  display  adver5sing   (be]er  known  as  banners  and  videos)    will  get  the  mayor  chunk  of  the   growth  in  interac5ve  spend.    These  are  great  news  for  media  players  and  bloggers  as   well.  The  local  drivers  of  this  growth  are:     1.  Tradi(onal  media  players  like  magazines,  TV  and  radio  are  becoming  full  mul(media   companies  and  will  encourage  a  strong  growth  of  their  digital  new  business   2.  Small  niche  content  players  are  jumping  in  since  digital  is  cheaper  to  produce  than  all   other  media  (bloggers  like  whatevertomorrow,  etc)  and  some  old  small  players  will  shut   down  their  printed  edi5ons  and  leave  only  their  online  versions  
  • 15. Reflexions  for  Mexican  Marke5ng  Industry:  Display       Marke5ng:  Ad-­‐exchanges  already  here  but  s5ll  with  a  long  way   to  go     1.  As  in  the  US  ad-­‐exchanges  are  already  in  the  local  market,  providers  like  Ad-­‐ Ne5ck    are  successfully  selling  to  adver5sers.  This  technology  enables  a  much  more   cost  efficient  alloca5on  of  ads  and  makes  it  much  easier  to  buy  space  in  niche  content  players   including  bloggers   2.  These  players  could  represent  a  threat  to    tradi5onal  media  buying  agencies   since  they  automa(zed  the  media  buying  process  and  reduce  the  need  for  “alloca5on”  advice.     On  the  other  hand  they  bring  more  transparency  to  the  buying  process  since  buying  prices  are   auc5oned  directly  by  the  adver5ser.  These  could  represent  a  long  term  challenge  to  agencies  that  buy   media  since  another  source  of  revenue  for  them  are  markups  in  adver5sing  rates    
  • 16. Reflexions  for  Mexican  Marke5ng  Industry:    Social  Media  brand  ac5vity  will  increase  tremendously     1.  Relevance  of  social  media  has  grown  tremendously,  due  to  many  recent  public   events  the  percep5on  of  it  importance  in  society  has  grown   2.  Mexico  is  one  of  most  ac5ve  countries  in  Social  Media  (see  Comscore  graphic  in  slide   11)     3.  Brands  and  Cyber  stars  are  already  ac5ve.  Many  brands  already  have  a  profile  in   FaceBook  ,  or  twi]er.  Celebri5es  are  already  charging  “Product  Placement”  fees  ranging  from  1k  to  60k   just  to  post  a  comment  about  a  brand.     4.  Most  of  Mexican  adver(sers  will  jump  into  some  kind  of  social  media  ac(vity   in  the  near  future  since  Social  Media  is  the  “cool  thing”  to  be  doing  right  now  and  to  open  a   brand  profile  in  FB,  TT  or  YT  is  free.  
  • 17. Reflexions  for  Mexican  Marke5ng  Industry:     Social  Media  brand  ac5vity  will  increase  but  social  ad   investments  will  not  necessarily  grow  as  much   Social  Media  Brand  ac5vity  will  grow,  crea5ng  a  new  market  for  related  service   providers   1.  Media  buying  within  social  media  pla^orms  is  somehow  a  limited  ground  since  mayor   players  offer  few  adver5sing  op5ons    (although  this  may  change  in  the  near  future  since   52%  of  traffic  goes  to  SM).    On  the  other  hand  a  significant  factor  in  Mexico  is  that  FB,  TT,  and  Google ´s  You  Tube  do  not  pay  direct  rebate  fees  to  media  agencies  (some  ad  networks  who  resell  social   media  ads  do  so)  therefore  social  media  ads  investments  won´t  grow  as  much  as  one  might  expect   2.  Related  services  like  community  managing,  content  crea5on,  consul5ng,  development   services  like  social  media  applica5ons  and  “social-­‐media5on”  of  tradi5onal  webpages    will   sprout.  This  will  bring  room  for    new  revenue  streams  for  tradi5onal  online  agencies  and  as  well  as  new   independent  players  (many  bou5que  specialists  have  appeared  in  the  market  to  provide  with  community   managing  services  and  analy5c  services)   3.  Mexico  is  par5cularly  fond  of  Twi]er  so  the  new  brand´s  profile  that  they  have  launched  for  21   global  adver5sers  will  drive  more  brands  to    Twi]er  (h]p://bit.ly/tv0yfn)  .    Some  of  these   global  adver5sers  already  have  interac5ve  marke5ng  investments  through  their  Mexican  branches  like   Coca-­‐Cola,  Dell,  American  Express,  Pepsi  and  Nike  
  • 18. Reflexions  for  Mexican  Marke5ng  Industry:    Search  will  keep  growing  but  at  a  lower  speed   1.  Bigger  Adver5sers  in  Mexico  have  less  need  of  Search  based  online  strategies.   Search  is  a  fundamental  piece  of  the  interac5ve  mix  when  a  brand  is  doing  e-­‐commerce  or   when  the  main  objec5ve  of  a  campaign  is  to  drive  traffic  to  a  webpage.  Adver(sers  of  consumer  brand   products  who  are  currently  under-­‐spending  in  online  and  who  will  be  the  ones  driving  the  upcoming   growth  in  the  Mexican  market  are  not  into  e-­‐commerce.  Therefore  they  most  likely  tend  to  use  more   display,  social  media  or  develop  glossy  applica5ons  for  smart  phones  and  tablets  than  search   They  don´t  need  to  be  found  as  much  as  they  need  to  be   remembered   2.  An  addi5onal  force  in  Mexico  to  keep  holding  back  the  share  of  Search   Marke5ng  is  that  the  main  player  Google  does  not  pay  to  any  agency  rebate   fees.  Therefore  profitability  of  media  alloca5on  in  search  is  significantly  lower  for  agencies  than   recommending  display  adver5sing  or  other  digital  online  ini5a5ves  to  their  clients  
  • 19. Reflexions  for  Mexican  Marke5ng  Industry:     Search  will  keep  growing  but  at  a  lower  speed   As  in  the  US  market,    affordable  search  management  solu(ons  for  small  and   medium  companies  (PYMES)  are  in  the  way  to  burst  into  the  market.     The  dominant  player  in  this  sector  has  been  Seccion  Amarilla,  from  grupo  Carso.  They  have  a  very  good   chance  to  lead  the  conversion  of  these  adver5sers  since  they  already  have  them  as  clients  and  they  have  all   the  resources  and  the  strategy  to  do  so.  Most  of  these  adver5sers  won´t  develop  a  webpage  on  their  own  or   a  Facebook  profile  but  would  gladly  migrate  to  something  digital  if  a  one-­‐stop  shop  solu5on  is  offered  to   them.       It´s  hard  to  speculate  if  this  market  will  be  shared  with  Google  or  other  big  players  including  Facebook  or  if  it   will  be  mainly  a  transi5on  of  business  model  within  Seccion  Amarilla  who  is  the  leader  in  Yellowpages     segment  
  • 20. Reflexions  for  Mexican  Marke5ng  Industry:     Mobile  Marke5ng  will  be  a  more  common  part  of    the  mix  than   before   1.  Explosion  of  Smart  phones  and  Tablets   acquisi5on.  There  are  already  at  least  9  million   smart  phones  in  Mexico  and  penetra5on  of  this   kind  of  devices  will  grow  at  a  85%  rate.  Also   tablets  are  in  the  rise  worldwide  and  in  Mexico  as   well.  These  premium  consumers  will  be  a  very   a]rac5ve  market  to  be  reached   2.  Innova5ve  ad  formats  will  a]ract   trendy  adver5sers  as  well  as  luxury   brands.    Smartphones  and  especially  tablets   allow  more  engaging  ad  formats  and  branded   content.  These  will  be  very  appealing  to  early   adop(ng  adver5sers  and  to  agencies  or   developers  that  will  try  to  sell  these  higher   revenue  ads  to  its  clients      
  • 21. 4  Take  outs  for  the  road     1.  In  2012  Interac(ve  spending  will  surpass  magazines   and  maybe  even  Paid  TV  in  Mexico   2.  Brands  will  fully  embrace  social  media  ac5vity  this   will  sprout  many  new  services  related  to  community       management,  content  produc5on  and  measurement     3.  Mexican  adver5sers  will  increase  their  investments   on  display  adver5sing  triggering  more  demand  for   online  inventory,  specially  the  one  for  video  ads   4.  Brands  will  explore  different  ways  to  get  advantage   of  the  rise  of  Smart  Phone  and  tablets  euphoria          
  • 22. Challenges  and  Opportuni5es    Agencies   Clients   Media  and  Content  producers   1.  The  center  of  the  conversa5on  will   1.  Clients  will  demand  more  mature   1.  More  revenue  will  come  from  digital   be  how  the  online  marke5ng   agencies  that  can  provide  them  with   adver5sing   budget  should  be  split  among  all   solid  clear  integrated  interac5ve   2.  Tradi5onal  media  companies  will   the  possible  interac5ve  ac5vi5es   strategies;  the  core  issue  will  how   seize  the  opportunity  reinforcing   and  how  these  make  sense  in  a   much  they  should  be  inves5ng  in   their  online  adver5sing  s  offer  to   bigger  scheme  of  things.  This  is  a   online  marke5ng  but  how.   their  clients   challenge  for  most  of  the  current   2.  Level  of  complexity  of  interac5ve   3.  Social  Media  and  Mobile  will  trigger   par(cipants  in  the  market  since   marke5ng  for  clients  will  rise  since   demand  for  content,  content         they  are  specialized  in  their   discipline.       brands  will  need  to  have  an  any-­‐ Time  any-­‐where  digital  points  of   producers  could  produce  content   for  clients  or  find  new  ways  to  get   2.  More  budget  on  online  will  demand   contacts  with  their  consumer   digital  sponsored  deals   more  produc(on  of  ad  formats,   deploying  conversa5ons  and   4.  Small  players  will  become  more   social  media  and  mobile  apps,  social   presence  according  to  each  digital   relevant   media  glossy  profiles  therefore   channel     many  independent  providers  will   jump  in  to  the  arena   3.  More  clients  will  have  their  own   internal  experts  on  interac5ve   3.  Social  Media  bring  opportunity  for   marke5ng   new  services   4.  Mobile  e-­‐commerce  and  mobile   apps  will  be  explored    by  early   adopter  adver5sers  
  • 23. Some  References     US  interac5ve  Marke5ng  Forecast  2011  to  2016   Forrester  Research    State  of  Media-­‐Social  Media  Report  Nielsen   KPCB  Internet  Trends  2011  October  18       Millward  Brown  UK  Predi5ons  2012     Contagiousmagazine.com  2011-­‐2012  digital   predi5ons   eMarketer  2012  trends   Euro-­‐RSCG  TrenspoTng  for  2012   Trendwatching.com  12  crucial  consumertrends  2012   Trendwatching.com  Retail  Renaissance