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Navigating Through the EB-5
 Landscape: Market Research, Tenant
Occupancy, and Alternative Approaches
        By Manuel Rivera & Yurop Shrestha
Outline of the Presentation
Manuel          Rivera
       Market Research
      Tenant Occupancy Issue


Yurop          Shrestha
      Objective     Comparison: Direct Investment
           V. Regional Center

April 3, 2012          www.aginskyconsulting.com   2
The Role of Market Research

For            the USCIS

For            Investors

For            the Management Team


April 3, 2012               www.aginskyconsulting.com   3
ACG Methodology: PFN
                General Industry                  Progressive   Focus
                 Trends (U.S.)
                                                   Narrowing
                Comparable Cities                  (PFN)Approach.
                                                  Precedes the
                    Portland
                                                   development of a
                    Neighbor
                     -hood
                                                   sound business
                                                   strategy.

April 3, 2012                       www.aginskyconsulting.com            4
General Industry Trends
           General Industry Trends                  Macroeconomic
                    (U.S.)
                                                     factors and their
                Comparable Cities                    impact in the
                      Portland
                                                     industry.
                                                    Penetration rate in
                    Neighborhood
                                                     similar markets.

April 3, 2012                       www.aginskyconsulting.com        5
Local Industry Trends
                                                                 Microeconomic
                General Industry Trends (U.S.)
                                                                  factors affecting
                      Comparable Cities                           the local industry.
                         Portland
                                                                 Distribution within
                                                                  a specific area.
                        Neighbor
                          hood
                                                                 Key local players.


April 3, 2012                                    www.aginskyconsulting.com        6
Tenant Occupancy
   “The „tenant-occupancy‟ methodology seeks credit for job
    creation by independent tenant businesses that lease space in
    buildings developed with EB-5 funding. USCIS continues to
    recognize that whether it is economically reasonable to
    attribute such “tenant-occupancy” jobs to the underlying EB-5
    commercial real estate project is a fact-specific question. Each
    case filed will depend on the specific facts presented and the
    accompanying economic analysis.”
                                                    (USCIS, Feb. 2012)




April 3, 2012             www.aginskyconsulting.com            7
Consequences
New   difficulties for investors seeking
   permanent residency through a RC.
     More        RFEs are being issued on I-526 and I-
          829
New            difficulties for RCs
     During     Q1 of 2012 the Agency denied 61% of
          the applications for new regional centers.
          Only 39% were denied during fiscal year
          2011
April 3, 2012             www.aginskyconsulting.com   8
Addressing the Problem
Painting               the RIGHT Picture
      Market Research is KEY
      Economic studies need to be more
       thorough:
                Show  vacancy: unemployment ratio
                Demonstrate wage and rental pressures




April 3, 2012               www.aginskyconsulting.com    9
The Situation




The RE Development                               The Tenant
Project




 April 3, 2012       www.aginskyconsulting.com                10
Employees VS Space Utilized
60,000                                                                                                                      200

                                                                                                                            180
50,000
                                                                                                                            160

                                                                                                                            140
40,000
                                                                                                                            120

30,000                                                                                                                      100

                                                                                                                            80
                                                                                                   STAGNATION
20,000
                                                                                                                            60

                                                                                                                            40
10,000
                                                                                                                            20

    0                                                                                                                       0
          Q1        Q2          Q3         Q4   Q1       Q2          Q3       Q4         Q1   Q2          Q3    Q4    Q1

                         2009                                 2010                                 2011              2012

                           # SF Utilized        # Employees           Log. (# SF Utilized)     Log. (# Employees)
         April 3, 2012                                www.aginskyconsulting.com                                      11
Avg. Wages and Rental Rates
$35,000.00


                                                                                                                                            45
$30,000.00




$25,000.00
                                                                                                                                            35



$20,000.00


                                                                                                                                            25

$15,000.00




$10,000.00                                                                                                                                  15
                Q1         Q2          Q3        Q4       Q1      Q2          Q3       Q4   Q1         Q2          Q3    Q4          Q1

                                2009                                   2010                                 2011                     2012

                        Wages               Leases ($/SF/Annum)         Expon. (Wages)           Expon. (Leases ($/SF/Annum))


        April 3, 2012                                      www.aginskyconsulting.com                                            12
Thinking Outside of the Box


Direct         Investment is an ALTERNATIVE.




April 3, 2012         www.aginskyconsulting.com   13
Regional Centers VS Direct
       Investment




April 3, 2012   www.aginskyconsulting.com   14
Business Control
Investor  maintains control over his/her
 investment rather than relinquishing it
 to a 3rd party
Final decision making power remains
 with the investor



April 3, 2012   www.aginskyconsulting.com   15
Higher Returns
The  typical regional center offers about
 1–3% returns on investment
By investing directly into a
 business, there is no limit to the
 recurring revenue stream



April 3, 2012   www.aginskyconsulting.com   16
Greater Numbers of Options
Regional    centers tend to invest into a
    very small no. of industries
      Majority are real estate developments
      Energy, Healthcare, Manufacturing


Taking         the Direct Investment path
      Virtually   any industry

April 3, 2012         www.aginskyconsulting.com   17
Involvement
Some  prefer a more passive role
Some investors prefer to be involved in
 the day to day operations and be the
 driving force behind the operation
Direct investment offers
 choice, regional centers don’t


April 3, 2012   www.aginskyconsulting.com   18
Transparency
Since   the investor
    owns the business

He     has access to
    any information
    related with the
    asset at ANY time
April 3, 2012    www.aginskyconsulting.com   19
Tangible Asset
By    investing into a regional center, an
    investor often gets shareholder rights in
    a large organization
      Ownership   structure is often confusing
With    a direct investment, there is no
    confusion regarding what was actually
    acquired

April 3, 2012        www.aginskyconsulting.com    20
Reduced Risk
“Always   try to invest in a company that
 a monkey could run and still reward
 shareholders because eventually a
 monkey will run it” – Warren Buffet
Too many moving parts and potential
 for pitfalls in RC’s
Meeting the job creation requirement
 can get challenging
April 3, 2012   www.aginskyconsulting.com   21
Global Business Diversification
EB-5    will allow investors who already
    have a business in their home country to
      Diversifygeographically
      Increase brand equity/overall value of the
       business
      Technology transfer
      Have access to US capital in the future


April 3, 2012       www.aginskyconsulting.com   22
Conclusion
Importance          of Market Research

Tenant         Occupancy Rule

Direct         Investment – An alternative


April 3, 2012         www.aginskyconsulting.com   23
Thank you
AGINSKY CONSULTING GROUP, LLC.
 WEB: www.aginskyconsulting.com
EMAIL: info@aginskyconsulting.com
        TEL: 877-WITH-ACG

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ACG EB-5 Presentation- Market Research, Tenant Occupancy, and Direct Investment

  • 1. Navigating Through the EB-5 Landscape: Market Research, Tenant Occupancy, and Alternative Approaches By Manuel Rivera & Yurop Shrestha
  • 2. Outline of the Presentation Manuel Rivera  Market Research Tenant Occupancy Issue Yurop Shrestha Objective Comparison: Direct Investment V. Regional Center April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 2
  • 3. The Role of Market Research For the USCIS For Investors For the Management Team April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 3
  • 4. ACG Methodology: PFN General Industry  Progressive Focus Trends (U.S.) Narrowing Comparable Cities (PFN)Approach.  Precedes the Portland development of a Neighbor -hood sound business strategy. April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 4
  • 5. General Industry Trends General Industry Trends Macroeconomic (U.S.) factors and their Comparable Cities impact in the Portland industry. Penetration rate in Neighborhood similar markets. April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 5
  • 6. Local Industry Trends Microeconomic General Industry Trends (U.S.) factors affecting Comparable Cities the local industry. Portland Distribution within a specific area. Neighbor hood Key local players. April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 6
  • 7. Tenant Occupancy  “The „tenant-occupancy‟ methodology seeks credit for job creation by independent tenant businesses that lease space in buildings developed with EB-5 funding. USCIS continues to recognize that whether it is economically reasonable to attribute such “tenant-occupancy” jobs to the underlying EB-5 commercial real estate project is a fact-specific question. Each case filed will depend on the specific facts presented and the accompanying economic analysis.” (USCIS, Feb. 2012) April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 7
  • 8. Consequences New difficulties for investors seeking permanent residency through a RC. More RFEs are being issued on I-526 and I- 829 New difficulties for RCs During Q1 of 2012 the Agency denied 61% of the applications for new regional centers. Only 39% were denied during fiscal year 2011 April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 8
  • 9. Addressing the Problem Painting the RIGHT Picture Market Research is KEY Economic studies need to be more thorough: Show  vacancy: unemployment ratio Demonstrate wage and rental pressures April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 9
  • 10. The Situation The RE Development The Tenant Project April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 10
  • 11. Employees VS Space Utilized 60,000 200 180 50,000 160 140 40,000 120 30,000 100 80 STAGNATION 20,000 60 40 10,000 20 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2009 2010 2011 2012 # SF Utilized # Employees Log. (# SF Utilized) Log. (# Employees) April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 11
  • 12. Avg. Wages and Rental Rates $35,000.00 45 $30,000.00 $25,000.00 35 $20,000.00 25 $15,000.00 $10,000.00 15 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2009 2010 2011 2012 Wages Leases ($/SF/Annum) Expon. (Wages) Expon. (Leases ($/SF/Annum)) April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 12
  • 13. Thinking Outside of the Box Direct Investment is an ALTERNATIVE. April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 13
  • 14. Regional Centers VS Direct Investment April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 14
  • 15. Business Control Investor maintains control over his/her investment rather than relinquishing it to a 3rd party Final decision making power remains with the investor April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 15
  • 16. Higher Returns The typical regional center offers about 1–3% returns on investment By investing directly into a business, there is no limit to the recurring revenue stream April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 16
  • 17. Greater Numbers of Options Regional centers tend to invest into a very small no. of industries Majority are real estate developments Energy, Healthcare, Manufacturing Taking the Direct Investment path Virtually any industry April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 17
  • 18. Involvement Some prefer a more passive role Some investors prefer to be involved in the day to day operations and be the driving force behind the operation Direct investment offers choice, regional centers don’t April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 18
  • 19. Transparency Since the investor owns the business He has access to any information related with the asset at ANY time April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 19
  • 20. Tangible Asset By investing into a regional center, an investor often gets shareholder rights in a large organization Ownership structure is often confusing With a direct investment, there is no confusion regarding what was actually acquired April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 20
  • 21. Reduced Risk “Always try to invest in a company that a monkey could run and still reward shareholders because eventually a monkey will run it” – Warren Buffet Too many moving parts and potential for pitfalls in RC’s Meeting the job creation requirement can get challenging April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 21
  • 22. Global Business Diversification EB-5 will allow investors who already have a business in their home country to Diversifygeographically Increase brand equity/overall value of the business Technology transfer Have access to US capital in the future April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 22
  • 23. Conclusion Importance of Market Research Tenant Occupancy Rule Direct Investment – An alternative April 3, 2012 www.aginskyconsulting.com 23
  • 24. Thank you AGINSKY CONSULTING GROUP, LLC. WEB: www.aginskyconsulting.com EMAIL: info@aginskyconsulting.com TEL: 877-WITH-ACG