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THE CRUISE REVIEW
	          PUBLISHED FEBRUARY 2012
CONTENTS                                                 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
                                                             2011­ UK CRUISE MARKET




    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3                                      One in every eight package holidays booked is now a cruise
    CRUISING 4
    Fly-Free Cruises all the rage 6                          UK cruise passenger numbers increased 5% and, with sales of Ultra
    no place like home 8                                     Luxury cruises rising 8%, total cruise sales spending topped £2.4bn
    You never forget your first TIME 10
    WHEN the Winter gets tough, luxury-lovers get going 12   The average price paid rose less than 1% in 2011
    50 UK Ports share in cruise boom 13
                                                             More than four in every 10 cruises were bought for less than £1,000

                                                             Four out of every ten passengers were on their first-ever cruise

                                                             About 100,000 more UK passengers chose to start their cruise at
                                                             a UK port but higher flight costs saw a drop in flycruise numbers

                                                             Western Europe, Atlantic Islands, Norway and the Mediterranean
                                                             were the big cruise destination winners in 2011

                                                             An emerging trend for short cruises from UK ports meant that
                                                             nearly half of all cruises booked were of no more than seven nights

                                                             A second successive year of double digit growth in overseas and
                                                             UK passengers making a cruise visit at UK ports

                                                             Eight in ten passengers book cruises through travel agents
CRUISING
    ONE IN EVERY EIGHT PACKAGE HOLIDAYS NOW A CRUISE




               The number of British holidaymakers booking                           Later in the year, the UK travel marketplace           Although cruise prices have gradually crept                    None of the eight new ships introduced by the
               a foreign holiday in 2011 was the lowest so                           was also impacted by the Euro crisis which             up from a post credit-crunch low in 2009, the                  global industry last year or of the eight due this
               far this century so once again, although the                          put even more pressure on a fragile economy            average per diem of £132 paid by passengers                    year are primarily targeted at UK passengers
               package holiday business appeared to have                             and specifically on consumers’ willingness             in 2011 was the same as in 2005.                               but they do add to the ever-increasing range
               made a small recovery, the year’s real holiday                        to commit any of their declining disposable                                                                           of global cruise products marketed in the UK.
               success story was cruising.                                           income to a holiday.                                   Not surprisingly one in every eight foreign
                                                                                                                                            package holidays now taken by British travellers               The escalating cost of flights has, though,
               It maintained the upward curve on which it has                        The impact of both events is reflected in the          is a cruise when it was only one in 25 just nine               limited growth in flycruising in recent years
               been set for the best part of two decades with                        overall fall in foreign leisure travel but the value   years ago.                                                     and remains a threat to future growth.
               a near 5% increase in passengers, bringing a                          proposition offered by cruising clearly helped
               total of 1.7 million.                                                 this sector outperform the market and take             A return to double digit growth is predicted
                                                                                     an even greater share of it in the process.            in 2015 with the arrival of a PO Cruises’ ship
               This was exactly the level of growth forecast                                                                                specifically for the UK market. The rise could
               but was achieved despite the unpredicted                              Value for money still tops the list of reasons         come sooner if an existing ship is redeployed
               developments in the Middle East/North Africa                          for choosing a particular cruise ship with a big       to cruise out of the UK by an international
               region where the Arab Spring caused massive                           jump in the number of passengers for whom              brand or a UK brand buying or chartering
               disruption to Mediterranean cruise schedules                          the existence of all-inclusive drinks packages         additional ships.
               in the early part of the year. The cruise industry                    was also a key factor in their choice.
               has the unique ability to move its ships to other
               ports, away from trouble spots.                                       These packages have been made available by
                                                                                     an increasing number of brands as an additional
                                                                                     way of giving consumers more transparency
                                                                                     to the final cost of the holiday being booked.




                                                                                                                                                                      4 UK Passengers – Reasons* For Choosing Their Last Cruise

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2009     2010           2011
                                                                                                                                                                       Reasons                                     %        %              %
                                                                                                                                                                       Price/value for money                       68       66             67
                                                                                                                                                                       Service on-board                            n/a      n/a            29
                                                                                                                                                                       On-board atmosphere/service                 40       36             26
               1 Ocean Cruising’s Share Of The Foreign Holidays Market From The UK                                                                                     Dining                                      33       32             26
                                                                                      2 UK Ocean Cruise Market
                                                                                                                                                                       Facilities on board                         n/a      n/a            25
                                                           Ocean                                                                            3 UK Cruise Per Diems
                                   Foreign                 cruises’    Ocean                                                                                           Special occasion                            18       20             20
                                                                                      Year                      Passengers   % change
                                   inclusive    Ocean      share of    cruises’                                 (000)                       Year           £           All-inclusive nature of package             n/a      24             19
                       Foreign     holidays/    cruise     inclusive   share of
                       holidays    tours        holidays** foreign     all foreign    2004                      1,029        6.7            2004           124         Special offer                               25       19             17
               Year    (000s)      (000s)       (000s)     holidays    holidays       2005                      1,071        4.1            2005           132         Entertainment                               17       15             16
               2001    38,670      20,631       776           3.8%     2.0%           2006                      1,204        12.4           2006           130         Cabins and public rooms                     30       24             15
               2007    45,437      18,674       1,335         7.1%     2.9%           2007                      1,335        10.9           2007           137         Loyalty membership benefits                 17       17             13
               2008    45,531      17,914       1,477         8.3%     3.3%           2008                      1,477        10.5           2008           135         All-inclusive drinks package                n/a      4              11
               2009    38,492      14,507       1,533         10.6%    4.0%           2009                      1,533        3.8            2009           120         Cruise themes                               7        6              5
               2010    36,127      14,064       1,622         11.5%    4.5%           2010                      1,622        5.8            2010           130         Pre-post land stays                         5        5              3
               2011    36,100*     14,400*      1,700         11.8%    4.7%           2011                      1,700        4.8            2011           132         Maiden voyage                               2        2              1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
               * Estimated  ** Includes Republic of Ireland                           * Provisional estimates                                                          * Asked to select three principal reasons




                1 Source: IRN Research – International Passenger Survey Crown        2  3 Source: PSA/IRN Research                                                                                        4 Source: PSA/IRN Research
                  Copyright 2012
FLY-FREE CRUISES ALL THE RAGE                                                                                                                                                                                                   If current trends continue,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 within three years half of British
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 passengers will begin their cruise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       holiday from a UK port.




               If current trends continue, within three years            Last year, though, there was also an increase
               half of British passengers will begin their cruise        in the number of short cruises from UK ports.
               holiday from a UK port.                                   These have always been used as ‘tasters’ to
                                                                         appeal to first-time cruisers but are now a
               Given that one third of passengers was choosing           product in their own right, appealing to a new
               that option as recently as 2004, this is a dramatic       market looking for an alternative to hotel-based
               transformation of their cruising habits.                  short breaks which has more inclusive pricing.
                                                                         These cruises are particularly attractive to groups
               And it is a transformation that was never more            of multi-generational families or friends, often
               evident than in 2011 when – for the first time in         marking special occasions.
               six years – the number of flycruise passengers                                                                                      7 Cruise Durations Booked By UK Passengers (By Share)
               actually fell.                                            The passenger growth has resulted in cruise
                                                                                                                                                                  %
                                                                         industry revenues going up from £2.3bn to more                                           Up to         %                  %              %
               Previously it has simply been that sailing from           than £2.4bn with the average price paid for                               Year           7 nights      8-14               15-20          21+
               and returning to a UK port was growing even               a cruise also up slightly from £1,421 to £1,434.                          2004           52            40                 6              2
               faster than flycruising but 2011 was the year                                                                                       2005           52            39                 7              2
               when the impact of Air Passenger Duty(APD)                                                                                          2006           46            43                 8              3
               on UK long distance flights appears to have                                                                                         2007           49            42                 7              2
               hit home in earnest.                                                                                                                2008           45            45                 7              2
                                                                                                                                                   2009           39            49                 8              3
               While the number of Mediterranean flycruises              6 Average Duration (Nights) Of Cruises By UK Passengers                   2010           44            42                 8              2
               increased, those to the Caribbean – where                                                                                           2011           47            41                 8              4
               there is a disproportionately high APD cost
                                                                                  13.0
               – fell sharply by 13%, attracting 34,000
               fewer passengers.                                                  12.5                                                 Winter
                                                                                                                                                   8 Average Revenue (£) Per UK Passenger
                                                                                  12.0
               This trend towards cruising from UK ports                          11.5                                                             Year                Summer             Winter                Year
                                                                                                                                       Total
               has inevitably seen the average length of                          11.0                                                             2005                1267               1222                  1253
               cruise holidays lengthen with the average                          10.5                                                             2006                1196               1524                  1291
               staying at just short of 11 days for the                                                                                            2007                1270               1480                  1334
                                                                                  10.0
               second year running in 2011.                                                                                            Summer
                                                                                                                                                   2008                1313               1647                  1409
                                                                                   9.5
                                                                                                                                                   2009                1238               1532                  1330
                                                                                  9.0
                                                                                                                                                   2010                1323               1629                  1421
                                                                         Nights




                                                                                   8.5
                                                                                                                                                   2011                1331               1729                  1434
                                                                                  8.0
                                                                                         2004    2005   2006   2007   2008   2009    2010   2011


                                                                                                                                                   9 Price (£) Trends UK Cruise Market
               5 UK Port Cruises Vs Fly Cruises
                                                                                                                                                                        %            %        %            %
                                   Passengers         %        UK Port                   %                 Fly Cruise        %                               %          501-         1,001-   2,001-       2,501-       %
               Year                (000s)             growth   Passengers (000s)         share             Passengers (000s) share                 Year      500        1,000        2,000    2,500        5,000        5,000+
                                                                           13.0
               2004                1029               6.7      316                       30.7              713                69.3                 2004      15         25           40       8            9            3
                                                                           12.5
               2005                1071               4.1      403                       37.6              668                62.4                 2005      15         27           41       8            6            1
                                                                           12.0
               2006                1204               12.4     451                       37.5              753                62.5                 2006      13         21           40       11           12           2
               2007                1335               11.3     467          11.5         35.1              867                64.9                 2007      12         26           42       10           8            2
               2008                1477               10.2     557          11.0         37.7              920                62.3                 2008      11         24           40       11           11           2
               2009                1533               3.8      594         10.5          38.7              939                61.3                 2009      12         24           37       10           13           2
               2010                1622               5.8      653        10.0           40.3              969                59.7                 2010      14         26           38       10           12           2
               2011                1700               4.8      753           9.5         44.4              947                55.6                 2011      15         27           37       9            11           2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                            9.0
                                                                             8.5
                                                                            8.0




                5, 6, 7, 8  9 Source: PSA/IRN Research
NO PLACE LIKE HOME




               Itineraries remain the number one driver                 Some of these short cruises are also increasingly
               of cruise bookings and one of the traditional            featuring in the winter programmes of
               cruise destinations for British passengers has           UK-based ships.
               come right back into fashion.
                                                                        With fuel costs escalating, cruise lines are
               The Atlantic Islands – that’s the Canaries               looking for itineraries with shorter distances
               plus Madeira – recorded the highest increase             between ports and Western Europe clearly
               in popularity among the top four destinations            fits the bill.
               last year with 19% more passengers. This is
               mainly due to a 24% increase in the number of            The other big winner among the major
               cruises to the islands beginning from a UK port.         destinations was Norway where there was
                                                                        a 30% increase. The Baltic, though, ended a
               The most significant destination development in          decade of consistent growth with a 13% drop
               the UK cruise market was in the sales of cruises         due to itinerary changes by cruise lines but
               into Western Europe. These grew 30% putting              growth is forecast to return this year.
               them right on the heels of the Atlantic Islands.
               If the upsurge in interest in round-Britain cruises      Alaska sales were down again as the ongoing
               (+5% to 23,000 passengers in 2011) is added              impact of a high passenger tax imposed five
               to the equation, Western Europe overtakes the            years ago continues to be felt. A cut in that tax
               Atlantic Islands with its passenger numbers              has, though, seen several lines return ships to
               having doubled in just four years.                       the region for this or next year so an upturn
                                                                        in sales can be expected.
               This is significant because these close-to-home
               cruises, primarily to ports in France, Belgium, the
               Netherlands, Spain and Portugal, are forecast
               to become ever more numerous as brands look
               to develop a short-cruise niche out of the UK to
               match the one that is so important to the North
               American market.




                                                                                                                             11 UK Passengers – Reasons* For Choosing To Take A Cruise Holiday

                                                                                                                                                                         2009    2010            2011
                                                                                                                             Reasons                                     %       %               %
                                                                                                                             Itinerary/destinations                      65      75              69
               10 Destinations Booked By UK Passengers (000s)
                                                                                                                             Enjoyed previous cruise with line           54      58              64
                                                                                                                             Departure date                              36      39              31
                                                                                                                  % change
               Destination           2001            2007       2008       2009         2010         2011         10/11      Duration                                    31      27              22
               Mediterranean         334             543        606        592          697          766          10         Flights from local airport                  19      17              22
               Northern Europe       98              213        247        296          303          342          13         No flight                                   26      28              21
               Caribbean             146             228        255        275          272          238          (13)       To try another cruise line                  21      17              9
               Atlantic Islands      77              93         108        102          98           117          19         Personal recommendation                     11      7               9
               Other areas           121             258        261        268          252          237          (6)        Travel agent recommendation                 6       5               4
               Total                 776             1,335      1,477      1,533        1,622        1,700        5          Recommendation on web review/blog           7       4               4
                                                                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                             * Asked to select three principal reasons




                10 Source: PSA/IRN Research                                                                                  11 Source: IRN Research
YOU NEVER FORGET YOUR FIRST TIME                                                                                                                                                            A significant increase in the
                                                                                                                                                                                               number of passengers taking a
                                                                                                                                                                                              cruise holiday for the first time
                                                                                                                                                                                              in 2011 bodes well for the future
                                                                                                                                                                                                      growth of cruising.




                A significant increase in the number of            Given the high percentage of first-timers, it
                passengers taking a cruise holiday for the first   is slightly surprising to find that the average
                time in 2011 bodes well for the future growth      age of passengers actually crept up a little to
                of cruising.                                       nearly 56 last year but it does makes sense as
                                                                   60% of passengers were repeat cruisers who
                Four out of every ten passengers – that’s nearly   – inevitably – were at least one year (and more
                700,000 – were on their first cruise compared      likely two or three years) older than when they
                with three out of ten the previous year.           took their previous cruise.

                This is the highest percentage since the PSA       The increase in first-timers does appear to have
                began collecting this data and, in 2011, more      impacted the booking pattern with more than
                than offset a sharp reduction in the number        a third of cruises booked within three months
                of people taking more than one cruise a year.      of departure – the highest number since 2003.
                                                                   Frequent cruise passengers still tend to book
                This drop reflected the general leisure            a year or so in advance.
                travel market. Research has shown consumers
                responding to their reduced disposable income      British holidaymakers still prefer to make a
                by taking fewer or no secondary breaks in          cruise reservation through a travel agent with
                order to ensure they can afford their main         eight in ten passengers choosing this method
                summer holiday.                                    of booking.

                                                                                                                                14 UK Cruise Market – Trends In Booking Lead Times

                                                                                                                                            % of bookings
                                                                                                                                            (no. of months)
                                                                                                                                Year        12+       9-12         6-9       3-6     0-3
                                                                                                                                2004        11        15           18        23      33
                                                                                                                                2005        17        17           18        22      22
                                                                                                                                2006        15        18           18        24      27
                                                                                                                                2007        18        17           18        23      24
                                                                                                                                2008        18        17           18        22      26
                                                                                                                                2009        25        19           17        22      17
                                                                                                                                2010        16        16           18        22      28
                                                                                                                                2011        15        15           17        20      34




                                                                                                                                15 UK Cruise Market Age Analysis

                                                                                                                                                       % passengers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Computed
                                                                                                                                Year                   Up to 26          26-34       35-44   45-54   55-64   65+   Average Age
                12 First Time Cruisers As % Of UK Market
                                                                                                                                2004                   9                 5           10      19      26      32    54.2
                                                                   13 UK Passengers Booking Multiple Cruises Annually
                Year                             % of UK Market                                                                 2005                   10                5           9       18      25      33    53.5
                2006                             36                         Number of cruises taken in the last year (%)        2006                   8                 5           11      21      27      27    54.3
                2007                             38                Year     1         2        3         4        5        6+   2007                   8                 4           9       19      27      31    53.2
                2008                             32                2008     50        32       11        4        2        2    2008                   8                 4           8       18      27      33    53.8
                2009                             29                2009     38        35       15        5        2        4    2009                   7                 4           8       18      28      35    55.6
                2010                             33                2010     43        33       12        5        3        6    2010                   9                 4           9       19      27      33    54.3
                2011                             40                2011     58        27       9         2        1        1    2011                   9                 4           9       19      26      35    55.6
10                                                                                                                                                                                                                                11




                 12, 13  14 Source: PSA/IRN Research                                                                           15 Source: IRN (From Cruise Lines)
WHEN THE WINTER GETS TOUGH,                                                                        50 UK PORTS SHARE IN CRUISE BOOM
     LUXURY-LOVERS GET GOING




                Maybe it was the ultra cold temperatures                                                The sustained demand for cruising into
                of recent seasons, but there has been a huge                                            as well as out of the UK is having a major
                surge in winter ultra-luxury cruise bookings.                                           positive economic impact on UK ports and
                                                                                                        their surrounding communities.
                A seasonal rise of 33% meant that, over the
                whole year, 8% more were sold – ahead of                                                In 2011, the outbound demand was strongest
                the 2011 growth for the overall cruise market.                                          from UK passengers with an additional 100,000
                                                                                                        joining their cruise at a UK port compared with
                                                                                                        2010. This more than offset a drop in overseas
                                                                                                        passenger embarkations so that overall there
                                                                                                        was 5% growth.

                                                                                                        The inbound demand growth was even
                                                                                                        stronger with 16% more cruise passengers
                                                                                                        visiting UK ports, many of them during Round
                                                                                                        Britain itineraries which are enjoying renewed
                                                                                                        popularity. The number of UK passengers
                                                                                                        enjoying Round Britain cruises rose to 23,000.
                16 Ultra-luxury Cruise Passengers 2005-2011                                             The number of ports benefiting also increased
                                                                                                        to 50.
                Year                Summer               Winter              Total   % of all cruises
                2005                12765                6311                19076   1.8
                2006                12860                5655                18515   1.5
                2007                13816                7552                21368   1.6
                2008                13238                6427                19665   1.3
                2009                14710                7960                22670   1.5
                2010                16125                7899                24024   1.5
                2011                15371                10498               25869   1.5




                                                                                                        17 Embarkations At UK Ports

            Maybe it was the ultra
        cold temperatures of recent                                                                                                      2005         2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011

         seasons, but there has been                                                                    Total embarkations               503          576    591    714    733    833    878

        a huge surge in winter Ultra                                                                    % increase
                                                                                                        UK passengers
                                                                                                                                         18
                                                                                                                                         403
                                                                                                                                                      15
                                                                                                                                                      451
                                                                                                                                                             3
                                                                                                                                                             460
                                                                                                                                                                    21
                                                                                                                                                                    557
                                                                                                                                                                           3
                                                                                                                                                                           594
                                                                                                                                                                                  14
                                                                                                                                                                                  653
                                                                                                                                                                                         5
                                                                                                                                                                                         753
           Luxury cruise bookings.                                                                      Overseas passengers              100          125    124    157    139    180    125
                                                                                                        % share of overseas              20           22     21     22     19     22     14




                                                                                                        18 Port Of Call Passengers At UK Ports

                                                                                                                                         2005         2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011
                                                                                                        Passengers (000s)                322          382    365    420    448    563    648
                                                                                                        % change                         (1)          19     (4)    15     7      26     15
                                                                                                        Ports                            44           50     46     38     43     48     50
                                                                                                        Ships                            85           85     91     101    92     118    107
                                                                                                        Lines                            48           50     52     53     49     53     50
12                                                                                                                                                                                              13




                 16 Source: PSA/IRN Research                                                            17  18 Source: CruiseBritian/IRN Research

                 Note: included Crystal, Compagnie du Ponant, Hapag Lloyd,
                 Hebridean, Regent, Seabourn, SeaDream, Silversea
14
FIRST FLOOR
41/42 EASTCASTLE STREET
LONDON W1W 8DU
TEL: 020 7436 2449
www.the-psa.co.uk
www.discovercruises.co.uk

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PSA cruise review for 2011

  • 1. THE CRUISE REVIEW PUBLISHED FEBRUARY 2012
  • 2. CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2011­ UK CRUISE MARKET EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3 One in every eight package holidays booked is now a cruise CRUISING 4 Fly-Free Cruises all the rage 6 UK cruise passenger numbers increased 5% and, with sales of Ultra no place like home 8 Luxury cruises rising 8%, total cruise sales spending topped £2.4bn You never forget your first TIME 10 WHEN the Winter gets tough, luxury-lovers get going 12 The average price paid rose less than 1% in 2011 50 UK Ports share in cruise boom 13 More than four in every 10 cruises were bought for less than £1,000 Four out of every ten passengers were on their first-ever cruise About 100,000 more UK passengers chose to start their cruise at a UK port but higher flight costs saw a drop in flycruise numbers Western Europe, Atlantic Islands, Norway and the Mediterranean were the big cruise destination winners in 2011 An emerging trend for short cruises from UK ports meant that nearly half of all cruises booked were of no more than seven nights A second successive year of double digit growth in overseas and UK passengers making a cruise visit at UK ports Eight in ten passengers book cruises through travel agents
  • 3. CRUISING ONE IN EVERY EIGHT PACKAGE HOLIDAYS NOW A CRUISE The number of British holidaymakers booking Later in the year, the UK travel marketplace Although cruise prices have gradually crept None of the eight new ships introduced by the a foreign holiday in 2011 was the lowest so was also impacted by the Euro crisis which up from a post credit-crunch low in 2009, the global industry last year or of the eight due this far this century so once again, although the put even more pressure on a fragile economy average per diem of £132 paid by passengers year are primarily targeted at UK passengers package holiday business appeared to have and specifically on consumers’ willingness in 2011 was the same as in 2005. but they do add to the ever-increasing range made a small recovery, the year’s real holiday to commit any of their declining disposable of global cruise products marketed in the UK. success story was cruising. income to a holiday. Not surprisingly one in every eight foreign package holidays now taken by British travellers The escalating cost of flights has, though, It maintained the upward curve on which it has The impact of both events is reflected in the is a cruise when it was only one in 25 just nine limited growth in flycruising in recent years been set for the best part of two decades with overall fall in foreign leisure travel but the value years ago. and remains a threat to future growth. a near 5% increase in passengers, bringing a proposition offered by cruising clearly helped total of 1.7 million. this sector outperform the market and take A return to double digit growth is predicted an even greater share of it in the process. in 2015 with the arrival of a PO Cruises’ ship This was exactly the level of growth forecast specifically for the UK market. The rise could but was achieved despite the unpredicted Value for money still tops the list of reasons come sooner if an existing ship is redeployed developments in the Middle East/North Africa for choosing a particular cruise ship with a big to cruise out of the UK by an international region where the Arab Spring caused massive jump in the number of passengers for whom brand or a UK brand buying or chartering disruption to Mediterranean cruise schedules the existence of all-inclusive drinks packages additional ships. in the early part of the year. The cruise industry was also a key factor in their choice. has the unique ability to move its ships to other ports, away from trouble spots. These packages have been made available by an increasing number of brands as an additional way of giving consumers more transparency to the final cost of the holiday being booked. 4 UK Passengers – Reasons* For Choosing Their Last Cruise 2009 2010 2011 Reasons % % % Price/value for money 68 66 67 Service on-board n/a n/a 29 On-board atmosphere/service 40 36 26 1 Ocean Cruising’s Share Of The Foreign Holidays Market From The UK Dining 33 32 26 2 UK Ocean Cruise Market Facilities on board n/a n/a 25 Ocean 3 UK Cruise Per Diems Foreign cruises’ Ocean Special occasion 18 20 20 Year Passengers % change inclusive Ocean share of cruises’ (000) Year £ All-inclusive nature of package n/a 24 19 Foreign holidays/ cruise inclusive share of holidays tours holidays** foreign all foreign 2004 1,029 6.7 2004 124 Special offer 25 19 17 Year (000s) (000s) (000s) holidays holidays 2005 1,071 4.1 2005 132 Entertainment 17 15 16 2001 38,670 20,631 776 3.8% 2.0% 2006 1,204 12.4 2006 130 Cabins and public rooms 30 24 15 2007 45,437 18,674 1,335 7.1% 2.9% 2007 1,335 10.9 2007 137 Loyalty membership benefits 17 17 13 2008 45,531 17,914 1,477 8.3% 3.3% 2008 1,477 10.5 2008 135 All-inclusive drinks package n/a 4 11 2009 38,492 14,507 1,533 10.6% 4.0% 2009 1,533 3.8 2009 120 Cruise themes 7 6 5 2010 36,127 14,064 1,622 11.5% 4.5% 2010 1,622 5.8 2010 130 Pre-post land stays 5 5 3 2011 36,100* 14,400* 1,700 11.8% 4.7% 2011 1,700 4.8 2011 132 Maiden voyage 2 2 1 * Estimated  ** Includes Republic of Ireland * Provisional estimates * Asked to select three principal reasons 1 Source: IRN Research – International Passenger Survey Crown 2 3 Source: PSA/IRN Research 4 Source: PSA/IRN Research Copyright 2012
  • 4. FLY-FREE CRUISES ALL THE RAGE If current trends continue, within three years half of British passengers will begin their cruise holiday from a UK port. If current trends continue, within three years Last year, though, there was also an increase half of British passengers will begin their cruise in the number of short cruises from UK ports. holiday from a UK port. These have always been used as ‘tasters’ to appeal to first-time cruisers but are now a Given that one third of passengers was choosing product in their own right, appealing to a new that option as recently as 2004, this is a dramatic market looking for an alternative to hotel-based transformation of their cruising habits. short breaks which has more inclusive pricing. These cruises are particularly attractive to groups And it is a transformation that was never more of multi-generational families or friends, often evident than in 2011 when – for the first time in marking special occasions. six years – the number of flycruise passengers 7 Cruise Durations Booked By UK Passengers (By Share) actually fell. The passenger growth has resulted in cruise % industry revenues going up from £2.3bn to more Up to % % % Previously it has simply been that sailing from than £2.4bn with the average price paid for Year 7 nights 8-14 15-20 21+ and returning to a UK port was growing even a cruise also up slightly from £1,421 to £1,434. 2004 52 40 6 2 faster than flycruising but 2011 was the year 2005 52 39 7 2 when the impact of Air Passenger Duty(APD) 2006 46 43 8 3 on UK long distance flights appears to have 2007 49 42 7 2 hit home in earnest. 2008 45 45 7 2 2009 39 49 8 3 While the number of Mediterranean flycruises 6 Average Duration (Nights) Of Cruises By UK Passengers 2010 44 42 8 2 increased, those to the Caribbean – where 2011 47 41 8 4 there is a disproportionately high APD cost 13.0 – fell sharply by 13%, attracting 34,000 fewer passengers. 12.5 Winter 8 Average Revenue (£) Per UK Passenger 12.0 This trend towards cruising from UK ports 11.5 Year Summer Winter Year Total has inevitably seen the average length of 11.0 2005 1267 1222 1253 cruise holidays lengthen with the average 10.5 2006 1196 1524 1291 staying at just short of 11 days for the 2007 1270 1480 1334 10.0 second year running in 2011. Summer 2008 1313 1647 1409 9.5 2009 1238 1532 1330 9.0 2010 1323 1629 1421 Nights 8.5 2011 1331 1729 1434 8.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9 Price (£) Trends UK Cruise Market 5 UK Port Cruises Vs Fly Cruises % % % % Passengers % UK Port % Fly Cruise % % 501- 1,001- 2,001- 2,501- % Year (000s) growth Passengers (000s) share Passengers (000s) share Year 500 1,000 2,000 2,500 5,000 5,000+ 13.0 2004 1029 6.7 316 30.7 713 69.3 2004 15 25 40 8 9 3 12.5 2005 1071 4.1 403 37.6 668 62.4 2005 15 27 41 8 6 1 12.0 2006 1204 12.4 451 37.5 753 62.5 2006 13 21 40 11 12 2 2007 1335 11.3 467 11.5 35.1 867 64.9 2007 12 26 42 10 8 2 2008 1477 10.2 557 11.0 37.7 920 62.3 2008 11 24 40 11 11 2 2009 1533 3.8 594 10.5 38.7 939 61.3 2009 12 24 37 10 13 2 2010 1622 5.8 653 10.0 40.3 969 59.7 2010 14 26 38 10 12 2 2011 1700 4.8 753 9.5 44.4 947 55.6 2011 15 27 37 9 11 2 9.0 8.5 8.0 5, 6, 7, 8 9 Source: PSA/IRN Research
  • 5. NO PLACE LIKE HOME Itineraries remain the number one driver Some of these short cruises are also increasingly of cruise bookings and one of the traditional featuring in the winter programmes of cruise destinations for British passengers has UK-based ships. come right back into fashion. With fuel costs escalating, cruise lines are The Atlantic Islands – that’s the Canaries looking for itineraries with shorter distances plus Madeira – recorded the highest increase between ports and Western Europe clearly in popularity among the top four destinations fits the bill. last year with 19% more passengers. This is mainly due to a 24% increase in the number of The other big winner among the major cruises to the islands beginning from a UK port. destinations was Norway where there was a 30% increase. The Baltic, though, ended a The most significant destination development in decade of consistent growth with a 13% drop the UK cruise market was in the sales of cruises due to itinerary changes by cruise lines but into Western Europe. These grew 30% putting growth is forecast to return this year. them right on the heels of the Atlantic Islands. If the upsurge in interest in round-Britain cruises Alaska sales were down again as the ongoing (+5% to 23,000 passengers in 2011) is added impact of a high passenger tax imposed five to the equation, Western Europe overtakes the years ago continues to be felt. A cut in that tax Atlantic Islands with its passenger numbers has, though, seen several lines return ships to having doubled in just four years. the region for this or next year so an upturn in sales can be expected. This is significant because these close-to-home cruises, primarily to ports in France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Spain and Portugal, are forecast to become ever more numerous as brands look to develop a short-cruise niche out of the UK to match the one that is so important to the North American market. 11 UK Passengers – Reasons* For Choosing To Take A Cruise Holiday 2009 2010 2011 Reasons % % % Itinerary/destinations 65 75 69 10 Destinations Booked By UK Passengers (000s) Enjoyed previous cruise with line 54 58 64 Departure date 36 39 31 % change Destination 2001 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 10/11 Duration 31 27 22 Mediterranean 334 543 606 592 697 766 10 Flights from local airport 19 17 22 Northern Europe 98 213 247 296 303 342 13 No flight 26 28 21 Caribbean 146 228 255 275 272 238 (13) To try another cruise line 21 17 9 Atlantic Islands 77 93 108 102 98 117 19 Personal recommendation 11 7 9 Other areas 121 258 261 268 252 237 (6) Travel agent recommendation 6 5 4 Total 776 1,335 1,477 1,533 1,622 1,700 5 Recommendation on web review/blog 7 4 4 * Asked to select three principal reasons 10 Source: PSA/IRN Research 11 Source: IRN Research
  • 6. YOU NEVER FORGET YOUR FIRST TIME A significant increase in the number of passengers taking a cruise holiday for the first time in 2011 bodes well for the future growth of cruising. A significant increase in the number of Given the high percentage of first-timers, it passengers taking a cruise holiday for the first is slightly surprising to find that the average time in 2011 bodes well for the future growth age of passengers actually crept up a little to of cruising. nearly 56 last year but it does makes sense as 60% of passengers were repeat cruisers who Four out of every ten passengers – that’s nearly – inevitably – were at least one year (and more 700,000 – were on their first cruise compared likely two or three years) older than when they with three out of ten the previous year. took their previous cruise. This is the highest percentage since the PSA The increase in first-timers does appear to have began collecting this data and, in 2011, more impacted the booking pattern with more than than offset a sharp reduction in the number a third of cruises booked within three months of people taking more than one cruise a year. of departure – the highest number since 2003. Frequent cruise passengers still tend to book This drop reflected the general leisure a year or so in advance. travel market. Research has shown consumers responding to their reduced disposable income British holidaymakers still prefer to make a by taking fewer or no secondary breaks in cruise reservation through a travel agent with order to ensure they can afford their main eight in ten passengers choosing this method summer holiday. of booking. 14 UK Cruise Market – Trends In Booking Lead Times % of bookings (no. of months) Year 12+ 9-12 6-9 3-6 0-3 2004 11 15 18 23 33 2005 17 17 18 22 22 2006 15 18 18 24 27 2007 18 17 18 23 24 2008 18 17 18 22 26 2009 25 19 17 22 17 2010 16 16 18 22 28 2011 15 15 17 20 34 15 UK Cruise Market Age Analysis % passengers Computed Year Up to 26 26-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Average Age 12 First Time Cruisers As % Of UK Market 2004 9 5 10 19 26 32 54.2 13 UK Passengers Booking Multiple Cruises Annually Year % of UK Market 2005 10 5 9 18 25 33 53.5 2006 36 Number of cruises taken in the last year (%) 2006 8 5 11 21 27 27 54.3 2007 38 Year 1 2 3 4 5 6+ 2007 8 4 9 19 27 31 53.2 2008 32 2008 50 32 11 4 2 2 2008 8 4 8 18 27 33 53.8 2009 29 2009 38 35 15 5 2 4 2009 7 4 8 18 28 35 55.6 2010 33 2010 43 33 12 5 3 6 2010 9 4 9 19 27 33 54.3 2011 40 2011 58 27 9 2 1 1 2011 9 4 9 19 26 35 55.6 10 11 12, 13 14 Source: PSA/IRN Research 15 Source: IRN (From Cruise Lines)
  • 7. WHEN THE WINTER GETS TOUGH, 50 UK PORTS SHARE IN CRUISE BOOM LUXURY-LOVERS GET GOING Maybe it was the ultra cold temperatures The sustained demand for cruising into of recent seasons, but there has been a huge as well as out of the UK is having a major surge in winter ultra-luxury cruise bookings. positive economic impact on UK ports and their surrounding communities. A seasonal rise of 33% meant that, over the whole year, 8% more were sold – ahead of In 2011, the outbound demand was strongest the 2011 growth for the overall cruise market. from UK passengers with an additional 100,000 joining their cruise at a UK port compared with 2010. This more than offset a drop in overseas passenger embarkations so that overall there was 5% growth. The inbound demand growth was even stronger with 16% more cruise passengers visiting UK ports, many of them during Round Britain itineraries which are enjoying renewed popularity. The number of UK passengers enjoying Round Britain cruises rose to 23,000. 16 Ultra-luxury Cruise Passengers 2005-2011 The number of ports benefiting also increased to 50. Year Summer Winter Total % of all cruises 2005 12765 6311 19076 1.8 2006 12860 5655 18515 1.5 2007 13816 7552 21368 1.6 2008 13238 6427 19665 1.3 2009 14710 7960 22670 1.5 2010 16125 7899 24024 1.5 2011 15371 10498 25869 1.5 17 Embarkations At UK Ports Maybe it was the ultra cold temperatures of recent 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 seasons, but there has been Total embarkations 503 576 591 714 733 833 878 a huge surge in winter Ultra % increase UK passengers 18 403 15 451 3 460 21 557 3 594 14 653 5 753 Luxury cruise bookings. Overseas passengers 100 125 124 157 139 180 125 % share of overseas 20 22 21 22 19 22 14 18 Port Of Call Passengers At UK Ports 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Passengers (000s) 322 382 365 420 448 563 648 % change (1) 19 (4) 15 7 26 15 Ports 44 50 46 38 43 48 50 Ships 85 85 91 101 92 118 107 Lines 48 50 52 53 49 53 50 12 13 16 Source: PSA/IRN Research 17 18 Source: CruiseBritian/IRN Research Note: included Crystal, Compagnie du Ponant, Hapag Lloyd, Hebridean, Regent, Seabourn, SeaDream, Silversea
  • 8. 14
  • 9. FIRST FLOOR 41/42 EASTCASTLE STREET LONDON W1W 8DU TEL: 020 7436 2449 www.the-psa.co.uk www.discovercruises.co.uk