This was a featured presentation at DevLearn 2011.

2. ( )
Technology Trends on the
Horizon: Where eLearning
is Headed
Aaron E. Silvers,
Chief Learning Officer - Problem Solutions,
Contracted to Advanced Distributed Learning (ADL)
November 3, 2011

5. ( The Horizon
What powers eLearning tomorrow
builds on today’s technology,
developing a learner’s adaptive stance.
)

8. ( What I want for you...
)
⊛ Take notes, tweet,
share your questions.
⊛ Follow up on anything
you find relevant.
⊛ Ask your service
providers and vendors
about how they’ll help
you keep up with
these trends.

11. ( Prologue
)

14. ( Pubs, Tea
Houses &
Coffeeshops
Diverse groups and individuals get together,
co-mingle and work.
)

17. ( Things made in
Coffeeshops... Electricity
)

20. ( The Insurance Industry
)

23. ( Modern Democracy
)

26. ( The Eagle and Child
)

29. ( The Inklings
)

32. ( Self-
Organizing
Networks
Opportunities for serendipity in
)
such spaces reflect how our
brains create new connections.

35. ( Higher Orders of
Reuse
#trend:
Reusing (and repurposing) entire technologies
)

38. ( Mash-up
Artists
Repurposing/remixing are trends
)
of reuse that span 50 years of
recorded music.

41. ( The Beach Boys were
pioneers. )

44. ( Brian Eno & David Byrne
took it to another level. )

47. ( Recontextualized
In each of these examples,
)
artists take a sound that has
meaning on its own and
recontextualize it to produce a
new musical experience.
This is a metaphor for the
trends in eLearning.

50. ( Social Business The interplay of work and learning.
)

53. ( Organization Charts (ugh...)
)

56. ( Alfred
Chandler
Chandler developed & promoted
)
the concept of management
hierarchy in the workplace:
“Hierarchical structure increases
productivity, lowers cost.”

58. Productivity Cost

59. Productivity Cost
( )

60. Productivity Cost
100
( )
75
50
25
0 0
20
40
60
80
100

61. Productivity Cost

63. ( My Point...
)

64. ( My Point...
)
Complex
Simple

65. ( My Point...
)
Complex Complicated
Simple

66. ( My Point...
)
Complex Complicated
Chaos Simple

67. (
Chaos
Complex
My Point...
Simple
To
Complicated
w p-D
ith o
fe wn
w
/n Or
o ga
co n
nd iza
iti tio
on n
s
)

68. (
Chaos
Complex
My Point...
Simple
w
To
Complicated
To ith
w p-D p- m
ith o Do a
fe wn w ny
w n co
/n Or O n
o ga rg d
co n an itio
nd iza iza ns
iti tio tio
on n n
s
)

69. Se
lf-
O
rg
ani
( zin
g
Chaos
Complex
My Point...
Simple
w
To
Complicated
To ith
w p-D p- m
ith o Do a
fe wn w ny
w n co
/n Or O n
o ga rg d
co n an itio
nd iza iza ns
iti tio tio
on n n
s
)

72. ( Communities
Powered by Content
#trend
)

75. ( Elements of Content-
Powered Communities
⊛ Content as a Service (CaaS)
)
⊛ Repositories
(Content Servers)
Content
⊛ Authoritative Versions
(“Latest & Greatest”)
⊛ Better Interfaces
⊛ APIs
⊛ Metadata
⊛ Social Metadata
⊛ Learner data

78. ( Elements of Content-
Powered Communities
Community )
⊛ Social Learning with
Collaborative Structure
⊛ Frictionless Experiences
⊛ Search, Discovery and
Suggestion
⊛ Semantic Analysis
⊛ Powerful Analytics

81. ( What does this
mean to you?
What if you already have a big implemenation?
What if you’re working now on requirements?
)

84. Legacy Next Generation
( )
Data Model Activity Streams
JavaScript API Web Services
Intelligent Tutoring,
Sequencing & Navigation
Suggestion Engines
Registries, Repositories
Registries & Repositories powering Content as a
Service

85. Legacy SCORM
Legacy Next Generation
( )
Data Model Activity Streams
JavaScript API Web Services
Intelligent Tutoring,
Sequencing & Navigation
Suggestion Engines
Registries, Repositories
Registries & Repositories powering Content as a
Service

86. Legacy SCORM Next Generation SCORM
Legacy Next Generation
( )
Data Model Activity Streams
JavaScript API Web Services
Intelligent Tutoring,
Sequencing & Navigation
Suggestion Engines
Registries, Repositories
Registries & Repositories powering Content as a
Service

90. ( What is Business
Asking For? )
⊛ Communities mediated through technology.
⊛ Content intelligently suggested in context of
community activity.
⊛ “Frictionless” experiences that span
multiple devices, tools and situations.
⊛ Robust analytics tying online activities to
performance metrics.

93. ( Rolling Your Own:
Open Source Community
Platforms )
⊛ Drupal Commons ⊛ BuddyPress
⊛ World Economic ⊛ GigaOM
Forum
⊛ Virginia Tech Carilion
⊛ Turner Broadcasting School of Medicine
⊛ Nvidia ⊛ MSU School of
Journalism
⊛ Symantec
⊛ CUNY Academic
Commons
⊛ Amplify

96. ( Chaordic Models:
Self-Organized & “Organized” )

97. ( Chaordic Models:
Self-Organized & “Organized” )

98. ( Chaordic Models:
Self-Organized & “Organized” )

99. ( Chaordic Models:
Self-Organized & “Organized” )

102. ( The Mash-Up
⊛ Talent Management Systems that marry
)
experience with content and performance
data
⊛ eCommerce systems that subtly recommend
products as customer service and sales tools
analyze customer-facing communications
⊛ Competency systems that coach young
leaders in their electronic communications
with direct reports, partners and
stakeholders.
⊛ These services can extend existing platforms
(some assembly required).

105. ( Augmented Reality:
Performance in-Place
#trend
)

108. ( It’s About Performance...
)

111. ( It’s About
Performance...
The Power of Planograms
)

114. ( ...And It’s In Your Hands
)

117. ( )

118. ( )
Digital Graffiti

121. ( )
Animated Terrain

124. ( ...And It’s In Your Hands
)

127. ( How does Augmented
Reality Fit In? )
⊛ It’s performance support.
⊛ It’s a vehicle for coaching-in-context.
⊛ It’s a canvas for immersive learning
experiences.

130. ( How to Play
Today...
ARIS is a platform built for Augmented Reality &
Interactive Storytelling.
)

133. ( Analytics Change
Everything
#trend
)

136. ( )

139. ( )

142. ( Activity Streams:
The Hotness )

145. ( )

148. ( Simplicity Power
)

150. I Did This

151. ( I Did This
)

152. I Did This

153. Noun Verb Object

154. ( Noun Verb Object
)

155. Noun Verb Object

157. ( Social Metadata:
How People Use Stuff )
⊛ Activity Streams, as just one example...
⊛ Highlight people and how they use stuff.
⊛ Highlight how “stuff” gets used.

160. ( The Learning Registry
)

163. ( What Will it Mean
for Your Company? )
⊛ Document Management
⊛ Knowledge Management
⊛ Project Management
⊛ Mergers & Acquisitions
⊛ Legal...

166. ( What Will This
Mean For You? )
⊛ Data-driven decisions about continuous
improvment.
⊛ You and I will both see how I’m developing
and performing.

169. ( Badges for
Competencies
#trend
)

172. ( LinkedIn
)

175. ( Badges:
Scouting > Gamification )

178. ( Badges for New
Skills
⊛ Young learners from disenfranchised
)
communities who participate in hackfest
competitions demonstrate a mastery of
engineering robotics, but no high school
diploma.
⊛ Web developers soak up O’Reilly texts,
coursework from P2PU, but lack enrollment
in an accredited institution.
⊛ Entrepreneurs generating $950K in revenue
audit all online courses from a state school
but lack the degree credential required to be
approved as a mentor in a university
program.

181. ( What Does It Mean
for Your Company? )
⊛ Captures and translates what employees
know and learn across contexts.
⊛ Encourages participation tethered to results.
⊛ Formalizes and enhances social aspects of
interest-driven learning.
⊛ The processes and practices that make your
company great can be formalized and
adopted by your customers, partners and
stakeholders.

184. ( Wrapping Things
Up
)

187. ( Trends on the
Horizon
⊛ Content Powered Communities
)
⊛ Next Generation SCORM
⊛ Augmented Reality: Performance-in-Place
⊛ A means for creating immersive learning
experiences
⊛ Analytics Change Everything
⊛ Project Tin Can & Learning Registry
⊛ Badges for Competencies
⊛ Mozilla Badges

190. ( Cheers!
)
⊛ Aaron E. Silvers
⊛ Chief Learning Officer, Problem Solutions
⊛ Contracted to Advanced Distributed
Learning (ADL)
⊛ http://adlnet.gov/
⊛ @ADL_Initiative
⊛ aaron.silvers.ctr@adlnet.gov
⊛ @aaronesilvers
⊛ http://about.me/aaronesilvers