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How to save the planet
and make society more equal
By Zeeshan Hasan
Why are students striking for
climate?
 Increasing
awareness since
last October of
severity of climate
change
 Global warming
definitely
2018 UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Report
 Global warming must be limited to 1.5 C
 Only 12 years left to prevent dangerous
warming of more than 1.5 C by big annual
reductions of fossil fuels
 Currently the world is on track for
catastrophic warming of 3-4 C, which would
leave many tropical and sub-tropical prone to
droughts, crop failure, food shortage and civil
unrest
Syrian war fueled by drought
 After a severe multi-year drought in Syria
from 2006-9, millions of people migrated from
agricultural areas to cities, and ultimately
started rioting.
 Civil war broke out in Syria in 2011, causing a
huge refugee crisis
 A glimpse of the future if climate change is
not stopped
The danger of Hothouse Earth
 Actually IPCC is
optimistic
 “Feedbacks” in
climate system
could worsen
warming
 Polar ice reflects
Earth 5C hotter (James
Lovelock, Revenge of Gaia)
Carbon tax: The logical solution, but unpopular
● Basic problem: Fossil fuel prices only reflect the cost of extraction of coal, oil
and gas.
○ The massive costs of global warming are ignored in fuel prices.
○ This a huge failure of the market!
● This market failure to price fossil fuel at their true cost to society can be fixed
by carbon tax
○ We already accept this logic for tobacco
 tobacco causes many health costs not captured in price of cigarette
manufacture, and so is taxed heavily.
Problem: carbon taxes may be
regressive Any regressive tax is generally
unpopular
 Even the poorest use some fossil
fuels/carbon intensive products,
which become more expensive
with carbon tax.
 Lower income groups should not
be pushed into ‘fuel poverty’ by
carbon taxes which leave them
unable to afford household heating,
transport etc.
 Hence Macron’s clumsy attempt at
The solution: Carbon Fee And Dividend
● Carbon tax/’fee’ charged to coal, oil and gas companies, and accumulated in
a national fund
 Tax charged to fuel companies at point of extraction, refinement or import;
no paperwork for consumers
● A flat ‘Dividend’ from fund paid back equally to all individual taxpayers
 Rewards everyone with lower than average fossil fuel consumption
 Penalizes everyone with higher than average fossil fuel consumption
Fee and dividend is progressive
 Wealthier people:
 consume more fossil fuels
(more flights, more fuel for
bigger homes and more cars)
 So pay more in carbon tax
 All get the same flat dividend
 So they pay a net tax
 Poorer people:
 consume less fossil fuels
(fewer flights,smaller home to
heat, public transport instead
of car)
 So pay less in carbon tax
 All they get same flat dividend
 So they get a net benefit
Tax has to be popular / sustained
 Lower income people are immediately better off.
 So the system should immediately get popular support.
 Carbon tax has to be popular!
 Otherwise subject to random political/electoral cycle
 To slow global warming, carbon tax has to be sustained
 To stop global warming, carbon tax has to increase each year
 until fossil fuels replaced by renewables.
“What about China?”
 Countries imposing carbon tax can levy
“border adjustments” on all imports from
countries without carbon tax
 Like an import tariff; equal to the tax which
would have been collected on that product
made locally
 If UK/EU/US/Canada all do this, countries
such as China exporting goods into these
Won’t carbon taxes cause “oil
price shock” like 1970s?
 In 1970s, OPEC production cuts made fuel
prices rise, causing huge recession and
unemployment
– Then, oil importing countries lost the tax
revenue in fuel import payments. So oil
producers like Saudi Arabia were collecting the
“carbon tax”.
 With Carbon Fee and Dividend, local
What about plastic?
 Oceans are choking on plastic
 Plastic is everywhere because it is too
cheap
 Plastic is made from petrochemicals!
 Carbon tax which makes fossil fuels
expensive will also make plastic expensive
Endorsed by climate scientists
 Dr. James Hansen,
formerly of NASA,
is one of the world’s
most eminent
climate scientists
 First testified to US
Congress in 1980s
Fee And Dividend succeeded in Canada; why not
the UK? In Canada, after continuously
lobbying for years, CCL got the
support of enough MPs to pass a
carbon fee and dividend policy
 effective from January 2019!
● The UK should be next!
Www.CitizensClimateLobby.org
 Worldwide group of
volunteers
dedicated to
promoting carbon
fee and dividend
 Focuses on
 Spreading

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How to save the planet and make society more equal

  • 1. How to save the planet and make society more equal By Zeeshan Hasan
  • 2. Why are students striking for climate?  Increasing awareness since last October of severity of climate change  Global warming definitely
  • 3. 2018 UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Report  Global warming must be limited to 1.5 C  Only 12 years left to prevent dangerous warming of more than 1.5 C by big annual reductions of fossil fuels  Currently the world is on track for catastrophic warming of 3-4 C, which would leave many tropical and sub-tropical prone to droughts, crop failure, food shortage and civil unrest
  • 4. Syrian war fueled by drought  After a severe multi-year drought in Syria from 2006-9, millions of people migrated from agricultural areas to cities, and ultimately started rioting.  Civil war broke out in Syria in 2011, causing a huge refugee crisis  A glimpse of the future if climate change is not stopped
  • 5. The danger of Hothouse Earth  Actually IPCC is optimistic  “Feedbacks” in climate system could worsen warming  Polar ice reflects
  • 6. Earth 5C hotter (James Lovelock, Revenge of Gaia)
  • 7. Carbon tax: The logical solution, but unpopular ● Basic problem: Fossil fuel prices only reflect the cost of extraction of coal, oil and gas. ○ The massive costs of global warming are ignored in fuel prices. ○ This a huge failure of the market! ● This market failure to price fossil fuel at their true cost to society can be fixed by carbon tax ○ We already accept this logic for tobacco  tobacco causes many health costs not captured in price of cigarette manufacture, and so is taxed heavily.
  • 8. Problem: carbon taxes may be regressive Any regressive tax is generally unpopular  Even the poorest use some fossil fuels/carbon intensive products, which become more expensive with carbon tax.  Lower income groups should not be pushed into ‘fuel poverty’ by carbon taxes which leave them unable to afford household heating, transport etc.  Hence Macron’s clumsy attempt at
  • 9. The solution: Carbon Fee And Dividend ● Carbon tax/’fee’ charged to coal, oil and gas companies, and accumulated in a national fund  Tax charged to fuel companies at point of extraction, refinement or import; no paperwork for consumers ● A flat ‘Dividend’ from fund paid back equally to all individual taxpayers  Rewards everyone with lower than average fossil fuel consumption  Penalizes everyone with higher than average fossil fuel consumption
  • 10. Fee and dividend is progressive  Wealthier people:  consume more fossil fuels (more flights, more fuel for bigger homes and more cars)  So pay more in carbon tax  All get the same flat dividend  So they pay a net tax  Poorer people:  consume less fossil fuels (fewer flights,smaller home to heat, public transport instead of car)  So pay less in carbon tax  All they get same flat dividend  So they get a net benefit
  • 11. Tax has to be popular / sustained  Lower income people are immediately better off.  So the system should immediately get popular support.  Carbon tax has to be popular!  Otherwise subject to random political/electoral cycle  To slow global warming, carbon tax has to be sustained  To stop global warming, carbon tax has to increase each year  until fossil fuels replaced by renewables.
  • 12. “What about China?”  Countries imposing carbon tax can levy “border adjustments” on all imports from countries without carbon tax  Like an import tariff; equal to the tax which would have been collected on that product made locally  If UK/EU/US/Canada all do this, countries such as China exporting goods into these
  • 13. Won’t carbon taxes cause “oil price shock” like 1970s?  In 1970s, OPEC production cuts made fuel prices rise, causing huge recession and unemployment – Then, oil importing countries lost the tax revenue in fuel import payments. So oil producers like Saudi Arabia were collecting the “carbon tax”.  With Carbon Fee and Dividend, local
  • 14. What about plastic?  Oceans are choking on plastic  Plastic is everywhere because it is too cheap  Plastic is made from petrochemicals!  Carbon tax which makes fossil fuels expensive will also make plastic expensive
  • 15. Endorsed by climate scientists  Dr. James Hansen, formerly of NASA, is one of the world’s most eminent climate scientists  First testified to US Congress in 1980s
  • 16. Fee And Dividend succeeded in Canada; why not the UK? In Canada, after continuously lobbying for years, CCL got the support of enough MPs to pass a carbon fee and dividend policy  effective from January 2019! ● The UK should be next!
  • 17. Www.CitizensClimateLobby.org  Worldwide group of volunteers dedicated to promoting carbon fee and dividend  Focuses on  Spreading