Traditional phosphors on the verge of commoditization due to expected strong push from China after YAG patents fall into public domain. But Quantum Dots are finally ready for prime time.
Strong price pressure stalls revenue growth and pressures margins but masks a more complex picture
While volumes are expected to more than double between 2015 and 2020, LED Phosphor prices have declined dramatically, leading to a flat revenue outlook. Low technology barriers of entrance on the most mature compositions have prompted companies to procure turnkey manufacturing equipment and enter the market. With little to no quality control and R&D expenses, some have achieved low cost comparable to that of the tri-phosphors used in fluorescent lamps. In a bid to capture market shares, they triggered an intense price war. With major YAG IP expiring from 2017, leading domestic vendors such as Yuji, Grirem, YT Shield, Illuma or Sunfor will finally access overseas markets, further increasing YAG commoditization. Phosphor makers are therefore shifting their efforts toward higher added value materials such as nitrides, which, while price have also decreased significantly during the period, have maintained better margins.
29. 29
FIELDS OF EXPERTISE
Our 30
analysts
operate in the
following
areas.
MEMS &
Sensors
LED &
OLED
Compound
Semi.
Imaging Photonics
MedTech
Manufacturing
Advanced
Packaging
PV
Power
Electronics
30. 30
4 BUSINESS MODELS
o Consulting and Analysis
• Market data & research, marketing analysis
• Technology analysis
• Strategy consulting
• Reverse engineering & costing
• Patent analysis
www.yole.fr
o Reports
• Market &Technology reports
• Patent Investigation and patent infringement risk
analysis
• Teardowns & Reverse Costing Analysis
• Cost SimulationTool
www.i-Micronews.com/reports
o Financial services
• M&A (buying and selling)
• Due diligence
• Fundraising
• Maturation of companies
• IP portfolio management & optimization
www.yolefinance.com
Blu Morpho
o Media
• i-Micronews.com website
• @Micronews e-newsletter
• Technology magazines
• Communication & webcast services
• Events
www.i-Micronews.com
31. 31
A GROUP OF COMPANIES
Market,
technology and
strategy
consulting
www.yole.fr
M&A operations
Due diligences
www.yolefinance.com
Fundraising
Maturation of companies
IP portfolio management & optimization
www.bmorpho.com
Manufacturing costs analysis
Teardown and reverse engineering
Cost simulation tools
www.systemplus.fr
IP analysis
Patent assessment
www.knowmade.fr
32. 32
OUR GLOBAL ACTIVITY
Yole
Japan
Yole Inc.
Yole
Korea
40% of our business is
in EU countries
30% of our business is
in North America
30% of our business is
in Asia
33. 33
SERVING THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN
Our analysts
provide
market
analysis,
technology
evaluation,
and business
plan along the
entire supply
chain.
Integrators and
end-users
Device
makers
Suppliers: material,
equipment, OSAT,
foundries…
Financial investors,
R&D centers
34. 34
CONTACT INFORMATION
o Consulting and Specific Analysis
• North America: Steve LaFerriere, Director of Northern America Business Development,Yole Inc.
Email: laferriere@yole.fr
• Japan:Yutaka Katano, General Manager,Yole Japan & President,Yole K.K.
Email: katano@yole.fr
• RoW: Jean-Christophe Eloy, President & CEO,Yole Développement
Email: eloy@yole.fr
o Report business
• North America: Steve LaFerriere, Director of Northern America Business Development,Yole Inc.
Email: laferriere@yole.fr
• Europe: Fayçal El Khamassi, Headquarter Sales Coordination & Customer Service
Email: khamassi@yole.fr
• Japan & Asia:Takashi Onozawa, Sales Asia & General Manager,Yole K.K.
Email: onozawa@yole.fr
• Korea: HaileyYang, Business Development Manager, Korean Office
Email: yang@yole.fr
o Financial services
• Jean-Christophe Eloy, CEO & President
Email: eloy@yole.fr
o General
• Email: info@yole.fr
Follow us on
36. 36
FOCUS ON LED, OLED AND SAPPHIRE ACTIVITIES
Yole is active throughout the value chain (LED and Sapphire activities)
We are active
throughout
the value
chain: from
substrates to
systems! And
we interact
with industrial
/ R&D players
from each
level!
Substrate
SiC / Sapphire / Silicon /
Bulk GaN / Engineered
substrates
LED epi-
wafer
Mesa LED, Flip Chip LED,
Vertical LED structures
LED dies-
on-wafer
LED dies
Front-end Level 0 - Epitaxy
• Nucleation layer
• n-type layer
• Active layers (MQW)
• p-type layer
Back-End Level 0 - Packaging
• Substrate separation & Bonding
• Die singulation
• Testing & Binning
LED systems and applications
Front-end Level 1 - Device Production
• Inspection
• Masking / Lithography
• Etching
• Metallization / Contacts / Mirrors
Back-End level 1 - Packaging
• Die Attach & Interconnections
• Phosphors
• Encapsulation & Optics
• Testing & Binning
Packaged LEDs
Module Packaging
• Substrates (PCB)
• Encapsulation & Optics
• Heatsink
• Testing & Binning
LED modules
37. 37
FOCUS ON LED, OLED AND SAPPHIRE ACTIVITIES
Insights on Forecast Methodology
“What’s Behind
the Crystal Ball?”
Only analysts
that follow the
industry on a
daily basis
(trough
interviews and
developed
market modeling
tools based on
discussions with
key players of
the industry.
APPLICATION
Forecast of standard
product market volume
(unit)
Ex.: Smartphone, TVs, lamps (…)
Definition of functions using
LEDs
Ex.: “Flash vs. Keypad” for
smartphone (…)
Definition of technical
requirements
Ex.: Efficacy, size (…)
Definition of LED
penetration rate and
competitiveness with
alternative technologies
Ex.: “OLED vs. LED” in smartphone
(…)
Forecast of LED market volume (unit)
Split by application, power type (low vs. medium vs. high
power), package type (single vs. multi-die…) (… )
Definition of LED
ASP
Per power type, packaged
type (…)
Forecast of LED market size ($)
Split by application, power type, package type
(… )
Definition of manufacturing flows for
front-end and packaging (process,
technologies, materials, yields…)
Split by application, power type, package type (…)
Forecast of LED manufacturing
equipment and material markets
(unit and $)
Ex.: Phosphors, encapsulant, dicing equipment
Definition of LED die
surface (mm²)
Definition of substrate die surface (mm²)
and epiwafer volume (unit)
Split by type of substrate (…)
Forecast of LED substrate
markets (unit and $)
Split by type of substrate (…)
Definition of sale
levels of key
manufacturers ($)
Ex: LED, packaging
materials, epitaxy
materials, manufacturing
equipment, MOCVD
reactor, substrate (…)
System Plus Consulting
expertise in reverse
costing / reverse
engineering
38. 38
FOCUS ON LED, OLED AND SAPPHIRE ACTIVITIES
AboutYole’s AnalystTeam
A team based
on persons
having
complementary
skills and
expertise.
Dr. Hong LIN - Market &Technology Analyst
Hong LIN holds a Ph-D in Physics and Chemistry of Materials from the University Pierre et Marie Curie (France). She
works as Market and Technology Analyst in the fields of Compound Semiconductors, Power Electronic and LED. She is also
responsible for investigation on China as being fluent in Chinese. Before joining Yole Développement, she has worked as R&D
Engineer (at Newstep Technologies SAS - France) and research scientist (at ONERA - French Aerospace lab).
Pars MUKISH - Business Unit Manager
Pars MUKISH holds a master degree in Materials Science & Polymers (ITECH - France) and a master degree in Innovation
& Technology Management (EM Lyon - France). Since 2015, Pars MUKISH has taken on responsibility for developing LED,
OLED and Sapphire activities as Business Unit Manager at Yole Développement. Previously, he has worked as Marketing
Analyst and Techno-Economic Analyst for several years at the CEA (French Research Center).
Dr. EricVIREY - Senior Market &Technology Analyst
Eric VIREY holds a Ph-D in Optoelectronics from the National Polytechnic Institute of Grenoble (INPG - France). He
works as Market and Technology Analyst in the fields of Sapphire and LED. In the last 12 years, he has held various R&D,
engineering, manufacturing and marketing positions with Saint-Gobain. Most recently, he was Market Manager at Saint-Gobain
Crystals, in charge of Sapphire and Optoelectronic products.
Dr. Milan ROSINA - Senior Market &Technology Analyst
Milan ROSINA holds a Ph-D in Optoelectronics from the National Polytechnic Institute of Grenoble (INPG - France). He
works as Market and Technology Analyst in the fields of Energy Conversion, LED / OLED and Emerging Materials. Before
joining Yole Développement, he has worked as research scientist and project manager in PV, microelectronics and LED
industries. He has more than 15 year experience with prominent research institutions and a utility company.
39. 39
FOCUS ON LED, OLED AND SAPPHIRE ACTIVITIES
Report collection
Already published -Yole Développement:
• Status of the LED Industry
• LED in Road and Street Lighting
• LED Packaging
• LED Phosphors IP Investigation
• LED Front End ManufacturingTrends
• LED Front End Equipment Market trends
• GaN-on-SiTechnology and Market
From System Plus Consulting:
• LED CoSim+
• Reverse Engineering / Reverse Costing reports
To be published in 2015 -Yole Développement :
• 2015 UV LED - February 2015
• 2015 LED Phosphors Market andTechnologyTrends - April 2015
• 2015 Sapphire Market - June / July 2015
• Thermal management for LED and Power Electronic - Q3 2015
• 2015 High Purity Alumina (HPA) Market - Q3 2015
• LED Module (Chapter 1: LED Module Substrates) - Q3 2015
• 2015 OLED for Lighting - Q4 2014
A collection
of more than
15 reports on
LED, OLED
and Sapphire.
Our reports are unmatched in quality and technology depth and typically include:
• Technology trends and evolution:costs, barriers, roadmaps (…).
• Supply & value chain analysis:business models, relationships,value flows (…).
• In-depth analysis of applications and market drivers:challenges,inflection points (…).
• Market data ($, units, wafer starts…)
40. ORDER FORM
Phosphors & Quantum Dots 2015: LED Downconverters
for Lighting & Displays
SHIPPING CONTACT
First Name:
Email:
Last Name:
Phone:
PAYMENT
BY CREDIT CARD
Visa Mastercard Amex
Name of the Card Holder:
Credit Card Number:
Card Verification
Value (3 digits except AMEX: 4 digits):
Expiration date:
BY BANK TRANSFER
BANK INFO: HSBC, 1 place de la Bourse,
F-69002 Lyon, France,
Bank code: 30056, Branch code : 00170
Account No: 0170 200 1565 87,
SWIFT or BIC code: CCFRFRPP,
IBAN: FR76 3005 6001 7001 7020 0156 587
RETURN ORDER BY
• FAX: +33 (0)472 83 01 83
• MAIL: YOLE DÉVELOPPEMENT, Le Quartz,
75 Cours Emile Zola, 69100 Villeurbanne/Lyon - France
SALES CONTACTS
• North America: Steve Laferriere - laferriere@yole.fr
• Japan Asia: Takashi Onozawa - onozawa@yole.fr
• Europe RoW: Faycal El Khamassi - khamassi@yole.fr
• Korea: Hailey Yang - yang@yole.fr
• General: info@yole.fr
(1)
Our Terms and Conditions of Sale are available at
www.yole.fr/Terms_and_Conditions_of_Sale.aspx
The present document is valid 24 months after its publishing date:
April 16th, 2015
/
ABOUT YOLE DEVELOPPEMENT
BILL TO
Name (Mr/Ms/Dr/Pr):
Job Title:
Company:
Address:
City:
State:
Postcode/Zip:
Country*:
*VAT ID Number for EU members:
Tel:
Email:
Date:
PRODUCT ORDER
Please enter my order for above named report :
One user license*: Euro 4,990
Multi user license: Euro 5,990
For price in dollars, please use the day’s exchange rate. All
reports are delivered electronically at payment reception. For
French customers, add 20% for VAT
I hereby accept Yole Développement’s Terms and Conditions of Sale(1)
Signature:
*One user license means only one person at the company can use the report.
Founded in 1998, Yole Développement has grown to become a group of companies providing marketing, technology and strategy consulting, media
in addition to corporate finance services. With a strong focus on emerging applications using silicon and/or micro manufacturing (technology or
process), Yole Développement group has expanded to include more than 50 associates worldwide covering MEMS, Compound Semiconductors, LED,
Image Sensors, Optoelectronics, Microfluidics Medical, Photovoltaics, Advanced Packaging, Manufacturing, Nanomaterials and Power Electronics.
The group supports industrial companies, investors and RD organizations worldwide to help them understand markets and follow technology trends
to develop their business.
MEDIA EVENTS
• i-Micronews.com, online disruptive technologies website
• @Micronews, weekly e-newsletter
• Technology Magazines dedicated to MEMS, Advanced Packaging,
LED and Power Electronics
• Communication webcasts services
• Events: Yole Seminars, Market Briefings…
More information on www.i-micronews.com
CONTACTS
For more information about :
• Consulting Services: Jean-Christophe Eloy (eloy@yole.fr)
• Financial Services: Jean-Christophe Eloy (eloy@yole.fr)
• Report Business: David Jourdan (jourdan@yole.fr)
• Press relations: Sandrine Leroy (leroy@yole.fr)
CONSULTING
• Market data research, marketing analysis
• Technology analysis
• Reverse engineering costing services
• Strategy consulting
• Patent analysis
More information on www.yole.fr
REPORTS
• Collection of technology market reports
• Manufacturing cost simulation tools
• Component reverse engineering costing
analysis
• Patent investigation
More information on www.i-micronews.com/reports
FINANCIAL SERVICES
• Mergers Acquisitions
• Due diligence
• Fundraising
More information on www.yolefinance.com