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Hydrologycal modeling of
boundary conditions of flash
          floods

           Peter Hegedüs
     University of Pécs, Hungary
        YWP 2012 May 16-18, Sofia
Introduction

• What is a flash floods?
• What are the earlier cases?
• Why are we dealing with kind of floods?
• How can we measure boundary
  conditions?
• What are the main goals of our study?
Generation of flash floods

• Increasing weather extremities

• Intensity of rainfall events are growing
• Rapid runoff according to relief
• Short concentration time
Earlier examples

• Boscastle (UK) 2004
• Rapid City (South-Dakota, USA)
  1972
• Mátrakeresztes (Hungary, 2005)
   Economic & Infrastructural damages
   Private property losses
   Life losses
Major property damages

• ~140m3/s peak discharge
• 100 houses damaged




                            Boscastle (UK)
Rapid city: dam breach
Pilot area properties
    Bükkösd Stream’s watershed in SW
                 Hungary

• Small low-mountainous & hilly region
• Quite high relief
• 7 major flood events from the earlier
  decades
• Relatively representative area (1.7 km 2 )
Measurement instruments
     • Rain gauges
       with EM-50 loggers
       (Decagon Devices Inc.)
     • 5-TM TDR-type
       soil moisture sensors
     • Stream gauges




http://ttk.pte.hu/kornyezettudomany/baross/galeria_kepek/decagon.JPG
Gauges indicated on orthophotos
Data analysis
• HEC-HMS 3.4 hydrologic modeling
  program (Davis, USA)
• Arc GIS 9.2
• AGROTOPO soil database
• CLC land cover
Results
• Precipitation is crucial, however soil
  properties are very important
• Time of concentration is also considerable

• Flood occurance in late spring, summer
Soil moisture
• Monthly averages (May, June) usually
  between 12.1 – 19.8 % (VWC)
• Major differences
Time of concentration
• Peak discharge & precipitation values needed
• Intensity can be variable between a short range
  of area
• More rapid concentration on tributary streams
Simulation of the flood event in
              2010 May
• Numerous data
  needed: water
  content, canopy
  cover, stream
  discharge etc.
• Western and
  eastern
  watershed
  differences
Conclusions
• HEC-HMS is suitable for modeling
• Plethora of data – consideration of
  boundary condition analysis is necessary
• Rainfall intensity greatly varies –
  secondary effect problems
• VWC & soil saturation calculation must be
  cautious – software sensibility
Acknowledgement



The present study was funded by the “TÁMOP
  4.2.1.B-10/2/KONV-2010-0002” Scolarship
 (Developing competitiveness of universities in
      the South Transdanubian Region)
Thank you for your attention!

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2. presentation hp

  • 1. Hydrologycal modeling of boundary conditions of flash floods Peter Hegedüs University of Pécs, Hungary YWP 2012 May 16-18, Sofia
  • 2. Introduction • What is a flash floods? • What are the earlier cases? • Why are we dealing with kind of floods? • How can we measure boundary conditions? • What are the main goals of our study?
  • 3. Generation of flash floods • Increasing weather extremities • Intensity of rainfall events are growing • Rapid runoff according to relief • Short concentration time
  • 4. Earlier examples • Boscastle (UK) 2004 • Rapid City (South-Dakota, USA) 1972 • Mátrakeresztes (Hungary, 2005) Economic & Infrastructural damages Private property losses Life losses
  • 5. Major property damages • ~140m3/s peak discharge • 100 houses damaged Boscastle (UK)
  • 7. Pilot area properties Bükkösd Stream’s watershed in SW Hungary • Small low-mountainous & hilly region • Quite high relief • 7 major flood events from the earlier decades • Relatively representative area (1.7 km 2 )
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Measurement instruments • Rain gauges with EM-50 loggers (Decagon Devices Inc.) • 5-TM TDR-type soil moisture sensors • Stream gauges http://ttk.pte.hu/kornyezettudomany/baross/galeria_kepek/decagon.JPG
  • 11. Gauges indicated on orthophotos
  • 12. Data analysis • HEC-HMS 3.4 hydrologic modeling program (Davis, USA) • Arc GIS 9.2 • AGROTOPO soil database • CLC land cover
  • 13. Results • Precipitation is crucial, however soil properties are very important • Time of concentration is also considerable • Flood occurance in late spring, summer
  • 14. Soil moisture • Monthly averages (May, June) usually between 12.1 – 19.8 % (VWC) • Major differences
  • 15. Time of concentration • Peak discharge & precipitation values needed • Intensity can be variable between a short range of area • More rapid concentration on tributary streams
  • 16. Simulation of the flood event in 2010 May • Numerous data needed: water content, canopy cover, stream discharge etc. • Western and eastern watershed differences
  • 17. Conclusions • HEC-HMS is suitable for modeling • Plethora of data – consideration of boundary condition analysis is necessary • Rainfall intensity greatly varies – secondary effect problems • VWC & soil saturation calculation must be cautious – software sensibility
  • 18. Acknowledgement The present study was funded by the “TÁMOP 4.2.1.B-10/2/KONV-2010-0002” Scolarship (Developing competitiveness of universities in the South Transdanubian Region)
  • 19. Thank you for your attention!