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The Perfect Storm
Human Capital
Challenges & Opportunities
in the
21st Century
EDWIN MOURIÑO-RUIZ, PH.D.
Today & Tomorrow’s Workplace will be
Different
Global/US
Demographic
Changes
Leader-Employee
Changes
Organizational
Changes
Technological
Changes
Workplace
Changes
Educational
Changes
Challenges
Evolving
Organizations
Technology Timeline & Impact
Radio
TV
Internet
Ipod
4
5.4
13
40 Yrs 30 Yrs 20 Yrs 10 Yrs
38
3
Pace of technological change accelerate with each new generation of discoveries and applications
1. $38 billion annual revenue generated by 2015 in Smartphone &Tablet apps.
2. Tablets will overtake desktop sales by 2015
3. More people in U.S. browse the Web from an iPad vs Desktop
9B
50M
100M
“When I wroteThe World is Flat,
• Facebook didn’t exist (or at least for most Americans),
• Twitter was a sound,
• The Cloud was in the sky,
• 4G was a parking space,
• LinkedIn was a prison,
• Applications is what you sent to college,
• and for most people Skype was a typo”.
4
Thomas Friedman, on Meet the Press, Sept., 4th, 2011
That all happened in just the last seven years. And what it's done is taken the world from connected to
hyperconnected. And that's created a huge opportunity and a huge challenge.
https://www.linkedin.com/today/post/article/20140704000621-19686690-understanding-the-internet-of-everything?trk=tod-posts-recentPosts-ptlt
Technology’s Impact in the 21st Century:
A New Business Perspective & Paradigm Shift – We’re not in Kansas Anymore
6
Technology increasingly dominates both the Economy and Society
Hollywood’s IT Implications New & EvolvingTechnology in the 21st Century
Future Workforce - Supply is Finite STEM Issues
Source-RisingAbove the Gathering Storm: Energizing and Employing America for a Brighter Economic Future, Cmte on Prospering in the Global Economy of the 21st Century, Norm Augustine, et al
The Talent Hunters: The US, China, and India in the battle over skills and jobs. Edward E. Gordon, 2012
U.S. ranked 26th out of 34 countries in math
38% of Ph.D. in science in US are foreign born
80% graduate from H.S. and we’re 16th in college education in the world
U.S. has highest rate of entrance into college – lowest rate to complete
By 2018, U.S. will need 22 million college educated and will be 3 million short
Earning a living in the 21st Century will require more education not less
New Media Zombies – lack basic academic, interpersonal, and critical thinking skills
http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=sir+ken+robinson+changing+education+paradigms&FORM=VIRE1#view=detail&mid=3339F149DE25F841D21C3339F149DE25F841D21C
The day Einstein feared… Media Zombies???
8
Having dinner out with your friends.
Out on a date.
Driving around with friends.
At the beach with friends.
"It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has
exceeded our humanity.” Albert Einstein
Skills for the future
 CriticalThinking and
Problem Solving
 Collaboration
 Initiative
 Interpersonal Skills
9
In 2000, A Fairly “Young” World …
7/17/2014 9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Percent of Population Age 60+
Under 5% 5% to 12.4% 12.5% to 20% Above 20%
10
. . . Rapidly Aging by 2025
7/17/2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Percent of Population Age 60+ 2025
Under 5% 5% to 12.4% 12.5% to 20% Above 20%
The Future Demographic Map
11
Potential population in working age group (2020)
Note: Potential surplus is calculated keeping the ratio of working population (age group 15-59) to total population constant
Source: U.S. Census Bureau; BCG Analysis – Presentation byTassu Shervani, Ph.D.
Spain
UK
France
Italy
Mexico
Brazil
US
Germany
Ireland
Russia
Japan
China
Australia
Egypt Malaysia
Indonesia
Philippines 5Mn
India
Labor Shortages and Avenues of Supply
2.1 is Replacement Rate No.
Spain 1.1
Germany 1.4
China 1.4
U.S. 2.0
India 2.8
Mexico 2.8
Japan 1.3
Common Denominator???
12
Alfonso Ribeiro Pablo Picasso Vicente Fox Roberto Clemente Jessica Elba Ricardo Montalban Raquel Welch
Cameron Diaz Cesar Romero Rita Hayworth Emilio Estevez Carolina Herrera Julio Iglesias Sammy Davis Jr.
Zoe Saldana Martin Sheen Anthony Quinn Lynda Carter Frankie Muñiz Walt Disney Oscar de la Renta
Jose Ferrer Bruno Mars William Levy SofiaVergara Shakira Pablo Casal Sammy Sosa
Habla Español?
Hispanic Perspectives and Implications
Facts
44.7 mil
$1Trillion impact on orgs
US Workforce 25%
Average Age
27 compared to 40
1-1 & 1-8
Education
58% H.S.
12% Bachelors
10% Masters
1% Doctorates
13
In 2017 Latinos will be the majority of
entrants the U.S. workforce.
14
Changing Workforce
Four Generations At WorkVeterans (5% workforce, Age 61+)
Dignity – respect and mine for knowledge, Mentor
Boomers (45% workforce, Ages 43--61)
Passion – meaningful work
X’ers (40% workforce, Ages 30-42)
Careers – keep them challenged and learning
Y’ers (10% workforce, Ages <29)
Opportunity – exercise intellectual curiosity and work in teams
14
Source: “Love “Em or Lose “Em” – 26 Strategies that Work
Presented by Human Resource Institute (HRI), 2005Different Communication modes being used
2020 Group
Mature workers Essential for Organizations
Net-Generation, Gen Y, Millennials
• Baby Boomers
• Next 20 yrs. 80% of workforce growth over 50
• Over 70% to continue wkng after retirement
• Avg. Life Expectancy: 1900– 47 2011– 80
• Increasingly more are “Working for a Purpose”
• AARP Best Employer List
• Two experienced for one inexperienced
• 8 Net Gen Norms
• Freedom
• Customize and Personalize
• New Scrutinizers
• Corporate Integrity & Openness
• Entertainment & Play @ work
• Collaboration & Relationship Gen
• Speed
• Innovators
15
As the population ages, organizations of the future will no longer be able to rely just on the younger workers.
Aka-Social Cyborg
Leadership Development: A Critical Investment
16
79% of CEOs believe ability to develop leaders is one of the most important factors for
competitive advantage Center for Creative Leadership, 2005
In spite of:
65,000 books on leadership
Billions spent on leadership development
The present situation is that…
Majority of people trust a stranger more than their boss (HBR, Jun 2009)
65% of people prefer a better boss over a raise
• Lacked respect / support
• Lacked leadership skills
• Not recognized for my contribution
• Displayed favoritism
• Poor employee relations
• Incompetent
• Limited training opportunities
51% Supervisor
The State of Managing Organizational Change
1. 90% of all companies fail to execute strategy successfully - Balanced
Scorecard Collaborative
2. 60% to 70% of technology insertions are ineffective – SEI
3. $75 billion spent annually on failed IT projects and poor management
is the culprit - Gartner, Inc.
4. Eight of the 10 largest mergers over the last 10 years failed, destroying
$789 billion in shareholder wealth - Fast Company
17
Why businesses need to always adapt and change
• Only 70 of the Fortune
500 that appeared in 1955
still exist
• Nearly 2000 companies
have come and gone
since then
• Corporate life expectancy
was 75 years and now its
less then 15 and
declining
• Former Organizations
(Extinction Event)
• Kodak
• Borders Books
• Circuit City
• Eastern Airlines
• Blockbuster
• MontgomeryWards
• Enron
• Woolworths
• Pan Am
• Arthur Andersen
• New Organizations
(Code Halos*)
• Pandora
• Amazon
• Netflix
• Microsoft
• Apple
• Google
• Bing
• Facebook
• Starbucks
• BestBuy
• Zappos
*Code Halos Connect Companies, Customers, Devices, Employees and Partners-critical to gaining new
business value. SMAC - Social, Mobile, Analytic technology, Cloud Computing
GOODBYE TO 20TH CENTURY JOBS
1. Top down hierarchies
2. Competing for market share
3. Silo/function-based work
4. Organization-centric
5. Command & Control
6. Hierarchy
7. Work-life balance
8. 30 years in one career
HELLO TO 21ST CENTURY WORK
1. Nimble orgs, transparent communications
2. Creating new markets
3. Project-based work
4. People-centric
5. Trust-based
6. Networks & Relationships
7. Life-work
8. 10+ Careers by 40
“The future starts today, not tomorrow.” John Paul II
Organizational Contradictions & Learning Opportunities
• Innovation and Creativity
• Engaged workforce
• Effective leaders
• Successful Change
• Collaboration and critical thinkers
• Bureaucratic and outdated practices
• Downsizing and ranking
• “Peter Principle” practices
• Flawed and ineffective practices
• Outdated educational framework
“The only sustainable competitive advantage is an organization's ability to learn faster
than the competition.” ― Peter M. Senge
So What…
21
“The Significant ProblemsWe Have
Cannot Be Solved at the Same
Level ofThinking withWhichWe
CreatedThem.”
-- Albert Einstein
“Tomorrow’s Companies will
need to have the brains of a
Business School Graduate and
the heart of a Social Worker”
Thomas Friedman
“The World is Flat”
FUTURE Considerations, Implications, & Recommendations for Organizations
Foresee how your organization is ready (or not)
Unexpected should be expected
Trust andTransparency is fundamental
Underestimate these changes at your own risk
Reinvent, Retool, and Reskill
Engaging your workforce is imperative
22
Changes in the 21st Century
23
Poor Senior
Leadership
2%
Limited Career
Opportunities
16%
Supervisor
51%
Compensation
12%
Work Hours
6%
Poor Working
Conditions
3%
Other
4%
Unavoidable
Reasons
5%
Global/US
Demographic Changes
Leader-Employee
Changes
Organizational
Changes
Technological
Changes
Workplace
Changes
Educational
Changes
Challenges
Today &Tomorrow’s Workplace will be Different
Have a great Conference & Future
Thank you!
The mind is everything
What you think-you become
Buddha
Edwin Mouriño-Ruiz, Ph.D.
DREDWINM@GMAIL.COM
WWW.LINKEDIN.COM/IN/EDWINMOURINO/
Questions?
Back Up
25
Resources to Consider and Review
26
The Evolution of an Organization – Organizational Change Implications
http://www.kotterinternational.com/
Skills & Professions for the Future
Skills for the future
1. CriticalThinking and Problem Solving
2. Collaboration
3. Adaptability
4. Initiative
5. Oral &Written Communications
6. Accessing & Analyzing Information
7. Curiosity & Imagination
Best Job Opportunities
1. Biomedical Engineer
2. Diagnostic Medical Sonographer
3. Market Research Analysts & Marketing
Specialist
4. PhysicalTherapists
5. Dental Hygienist
6. Audiologists
7. Medical Scientist
8. Veterinarian
9. OccupationalTherapist
10. Optometrist
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NS2PqTTxFFc&feature=related DrTony Wagner
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-best-paying-jobs-of-the-future.html?page=all
28
“The U.S. is not creating more and more high-pay,
low-skilled jobs. It’s creating more high-pay($), high-
skilled jobs.
No one said that earning a living in the 21st century is
going to require less education. It’s going to require
more.”
Ed Gordon (author of Future Jobs), The Futurist, November-December 2013
29
Net-Generation, Gen Y, Millennials
Shifting Paradigms
• Changing Everything
• Work collaboratively
• Consumers > Prosumers
• Education – challenging Pedagogy and
teacher centered
• Family-changing relationships
• Citizen change
• Global touch
• 8 Net Gen Norms
• Freedom
• Customize and Personalize
• New Scrutinizers
• Corporate Integrity & Openness
• Entertainment & Play @ work
• Collaboration & Relationship Generation
• Speed
• Innovators
30
Communications mode is different from other generations
Social Networking
Aka-Social Cyborg
Mature workers are Essential Talent for Organizations of the Future
• Next 20 years 80% of workforce growth will be over the age of 50
• Over 70% expect to continue working after retirement
• Times are changing
• 1900 – avg. life expectancy – 47
• 2011 – avg. life expectancy – 80
• Increasingly more are “Working for a Purpose”
• AARP Best Employer List
• Employee development
• Health benefits
• Age of the workforce
• Alternative work arrangements and time off
• Retirement benefits and pensions
• For every two experienced workers leaving the workforce, only one (relatively inexperienced)
worker joins it.
31
As the population ages, organizations of the future will no longer be able to rely just on the younger workers.
Impact of Change on Productivity
Effective transition affects the depth and breadth of the productivity gap
Productivity
4.8 hours
Social “stuff”
1.5 hours
Personal
“stuff”
1.7 hours
In 8
Hours
Productivity
1.2 Hours
Speculation Gossip
3.2 hours
“ME” Issues
1.8 hours
What /How
1.8 hours
In 8
Hours
Pre Transition During Transition
32
Source – Pritchett & Associates
32
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L2zqTYgcpfg
X
X
X
CURRENT
STATE
NEW
STATE
SENSE
OF STABILITY
SENSE
OF CONSTANCY
INTELLECTUAL
ACCEPTANCE
•CONCEPTUALLY
•IMPLICATIONS
UNCLEAR
DECISION
•LET’S MOVE AHEAD
•IDENTIFYWHAT STEPS/
ACTIONS NEEDTO BE
TAKEN
Commitment
•IT “CLICKS”
•INTEGRATION
•IMPLEMENTATION
•RESULTS
IMPATIENCEUNCERTAINTY
LEARNINGMISTAKES
THE
STRUGGLE
T r a n s i t i o n
X
CHANGE
Announced
TIME
X
What May Change in as a Result
People/Behavior
Organizational culture
Process – Model
Communication
Systems
Structure
33
Why do businesses need to Change?
34 “An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential”. Ray Kurzweil - futurist
Of the 500 companies that appeared on the first Fortune
500 list in 1955, less than 70 hold a place on the list today.
Nearly 2,000 companies have appeared on the list since its
inception - most are now long gone.
However, companies like P&G, Johnson & Johnson and GE
have had more than a century of sustained success by
holding tight to core values and continuing to innovate.
And some of the most powerful companies on todays list—
businesses like Intel, Microsoft, Apple, Dell, and Google—
grew from nothing upon entirely new technologies.
Drivers of Transformational Change
35 Passion moves mountains. Creating a “passionate enterprise” is a modern leadership imperative. Tom Peters
Fifty years ago, “milking the cash cow”
could go on for many decades. What’s
different today is that globalization and
the shift in power in the marketplace from
buyer to seller is dramatically shortening
the life expectancy of firms that are
merely milking their cash cows. Half a
century ago, the life expectancy of a firm
in the Fortune 500 was around 75 years.
Now it’s less than 15 years and declining
even further.
Implementing & Institutionalizing Change
+ Skills + Incentive + Resources + Action Plan =Where
Vision + + Incentive + Resources + Action Plan =How ?
Vision + Skills + + Resources + Action Plan =WIIFM ?
Vision + Skills + Incentive + + Action Plan =WithWhat ?
Leadership Commitment & Support
Vision + Skills + Incentive + Resources + Action Plan = Change!
+
False Starts
Frustration
Gradual Change
Anxiety
Confusion
Vision + Skills + Incentive + Resources + =Game Plan
?
DidYou Know… ?
Source: Leigh Branham, “The 7 Hidden Reasons Employees Leave”, 2005
12% of Employees leave
for more $ money
88% of Employees leave
for other reasons
89% of Managers believe employees leave for more $
money
11% of Managers believe employees leave for other reasons
80% of Managers
believe employees just happy to
have a job
53% of employees feel this way
Many Workers Could Jump Ship USA
Today, Aug 2009
• Replacement costs
• 150% of employees salary
Poor Senior
Leadership
2%
Limited Career
Opportunities
16%
Supervisor
51%
Compensation
12%
Work Hours
6%
Poor Working
Conditions
3%
Other
4%
Unavoidable
Reasons
5%
Why They Leave
38
• Lacked respect / support
• Job duties boring / no
challenge
• Lacked leadership skills
• Not recognized for my
contribution
• Displayed favoritism
• Poor employee relations
• Incompetent
• Lacked technical skills
• Limited training
opportunities
• Discrimination
• Harassment
• Benefits
• Coworkers’ attitudes
Considerations and Recommendations
Learning Organization
Engage Internally & Externally
Anticipate &Adapt
Decide on Priorities
Environmentalist
Relationships of Respect & Recognition
40
41
Four Generations At WorkVeterans (5% workforce, Age 61+)
Dignity – respect and mine for knowledge, Mentor
Link – help them leave their legacy
Boomers (45% workforce, Ages 43--61)
Passion – meaningful work
Reward – notice and thank them for their dedication and commitment
X’ers (40% workforce, Ages 30-42)
Careers – keep them challenged and learning
Information – keep them in the loop, provide flexibility, work/life balance
Y’ers (10% workforce, Ages <29)
Opportunity – exercise intellectual curiosity and work in teams
Goals - help create multiple career options and a sense of security
41
Changing Population
Source: “Love “Em or Lose “Em” – 26 Strategies that Work
Presented by Human Resource Institute (HRI), 2005Different Communication modes being used2020 Group
External
Environment
Organizational
Departmental
Success
Satisfaction
Retention
Productivity
Loyalty
Trust
Commitment
Customer Loyalty
Organizational Benefits
Organizational/Departmental
Environment/Culture
Co-located
Employees
External
Environment
External
Environment
External
Environment
Employee
Leader
LMXVirtual/Co-located Model
Leader-Employee Relationships
Virtual
Employees
Employee
Satisfaction
Customer
Loyalty
Bottom
Line Impact
Leader
Behavior
Source: Edwin Mouriño, Ph.D., Barry University, 2005
The Future
of
Technology, Work, and our Lives???
HTTP://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=G8YT4WXSBLC&FEATURE=YOUTUBE_GDATA _PLAYER
HTTP://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=BBJVQNKQSTI&FEATURE=RELATED
HTTP://WWW.MICROSOFT.COM/EN -US/SHOWCASE/DETAILS.ASPX?UUID=E7728AF1 -3FE4-4E25-A907-
3DBF689FE11A
HTTP://WWW.BING.COM/VIDEOS/SEARCH?Q=SIR+KEN+ROBINSON+CHANGING+ED UCATION+PARADIGMS
&FORM=VIRE1#VIEW=DETAIL&MID=3339F149DE25F841D21C3339F149DE25F841 D21C
43
21st Century Human Capital Challenges and Opportunities

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21st Century Human Capital Challenges and Opportunities

  • 1. The Perfect Storm Human Capital Challenges & Opportunities in the 21st Century EDWIN MOURIÑO-RUIZ, PH.D.
  • 2. Today & Tomorrow’s Workplace will be Different Global/US Demographic Changes Leader-Employee Changes Organizational Changes Technological Changes Workplace Changes Educational Changes Challenges Evolving Organizations
  • 3. Technology Timeline & Impact Radio TV Internet Ipod 4 5.4 13 40 Yrs 30 Yrs 20 Yrs 10 Yrs 38 3 Pace of technological change accelerate with each new generation of discoveries and applications 1. $38 billion annual revenue generated by 2015 in Smartphone &Tablet apps. 2. Tablets will overtake desktop sales by 2015 3. More people in U.S. browse the Web from an iPad vs Desktop 9B 50M 100M
  • 4. “When I wroteThe World is Flat, • Facebook didn’t exist (or at least for most Americans), • Twitter was a sound, • The Cloud was in the sky, • 4G was a parking space, • LinkedIn was a prison, • Applications is what you sent to college, • and for most people Skype was a typo”. 4 Thomas Friedman, on Meet the Press, Sept., 4th, 2011 That all happened in just the last seven years. And what it's done is taken the world from connected to hyperconnected. And that's created a huge opportunity and a huge challenge.
  • 6. Technology’s Impact in the 21st Century: A New Business Perspective & Paradigm Shift – We’re not in Kansas Anymore 6 Technology increasingly dominates both the Economy and Society Hollywood’s IT Implications New & EvolvingTechnology in the 21st Century
  • 7. Future Workforce - Supply is Finite STEM Issues Source-RisingAbove the Gathering Storm: Energizing and Employing America for a Brighter Economic Future, Cmte on Prospering in the Global Economy of the 21st Century, Norm Augustine, et al The Talent Hunters: The US, China, and India in the battle over skills and jobs. Edward E. Gordon, 2012 U.S. ranked 26th out of 34 countries in math 38% of Ph.D. in science in US are foreign born 80% graduate from H.S. and we’re 16th in college education in the world U.S. has highest rate of entrance into college – lowest rate to complete By 2018, U.S. will need 22 million college educated and will be 3 million short Earning a living in the 21st Century will require more education not less New Media Zombies – lack basic academic, interpersonal, and critical thinking skills http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=sir+ken+robinson+changing+education+paradigms&FORM=VIRE1#view=detail&mid=3339F149DE25F841D21C3339F149DE25F841D21C
  • 8. The day Einstein feared… Media Zombies??? 8 Having dinner out with your friends. Out on a date. Driving around with friends. At the beach with friends. "It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has exceeded our humanity.” Albert Einstein Skills for the future  CriticalThinking and Problem Solving  Collaboration  Initiative  Interpersonal Skills
  • 9. 9 In 2000, A Fairly “Young” World … 7/17/2014 9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Percent of Population Age 60+ Under 5% 5% to 12.4% 12.5% to 20% Above 20%
  • 10. 10 . . . Rapidly Aging by 2025 7/17/2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Percent of Population Age 60+ 2025 Under 5% 5% to 12.4% 12.5% to 20% Above 20%
  • 11. The Future Demographic Map 11 Potential population in working age group (2020) Note: Potential surplus is calculated keeping the ratio of working population (age group 15-59) to total population constant Source: U.S. Census Bureau; BCG Analysis – Presentation byTassu Shervani, Ph.D. Spain UK France Italy Mexico Brazil US Germany Ireland Russia Japan China Australia Egypt Malaysia Indonesia Philippines 5Mn India Labor Shortages and Avenues of Supply 2.1 is Replacement Rate No. Spain 1.1 Germany 1.4 China 1.4 U.S. 2.0 India 2.8 Mexico 2.8 Japan 1.3
  • 12. Common Denominator??? 12 Alfonso Ribeiro Pablo Picasso Vicente Fox Roberto Clemente Jessica Elba Ricardo Montalban Raquel Welch Cameron Diaz Cesar Romero Rita Hayworth Emilio Estevez Carolina Herrera Julio Iglesias Sammy Davis Jr. Zoe Saldana Martin Sheen Anthony Quinn Lynda Carter Frankie Muñiz Walt Disney Oscar de la Renta Jose Ferrer Bruno Mars William Levy SofiaVergara Shakira Pablo Casal Sammy Sosa Habla Español?
  • 13. Hispanic Perspectives and Implications Facts 44.7 mil $1Trillion impact on orgs US Workforce 25% Average Age 27 compared to 40 1-1 & 1-8 Education 58% H.S. 12% Bachelors 10% Masters 1% Doctorates 13 In 2017 Latinos will be the majority of entrants the U.S. workforce.
  • 14. 14 Changing Workforce Four Generations At WorkVeterans (5% workforce, Age 61+) Dignity – respect and mine for knowledge, Mentor Boomers (45% workforce, Ages 43--61) Passion – meaningful work X’ers (40% workforce, Ages 30-42) Careers – keep them challenged and learning Y’ers (10% workforce, Ages <29) Opportunity – exercise intellectual curiosity and work in teams 14 Source: “Love “Em or Lose “Em” – 26 Strategies that Work Presented by Human Resource Institute (HRI), 2005Different Communication modes being used 2020 Group
  • 15. Mature workers Essential for Organizations Net-Generation, Gen Y, Millennials • Baby Boomers • Next 20 yrs. 80% of workforce growth over 50 • Over 70% to continue wkng after retirement • Avg. Life Expectancy: 1900– 47 2011– 80 • Increasingly more are “Working for a Purpose” • AARP Best Employer List • Two experienced for one inexperienced • 8 Net Gen Norms • Freedom • Customize and Personalize • New Scrutinizers • Corporate Integrity & Openness • Entertainment & Play @ work • Collaboration & Relationship Gen • Speed • Innovators 15 As the population ages, organizations of the future will no longer be able to rely just on the younger workers. Aka-Social Cyborg
  • 16. Leadership Development: A Critical Investment 16 79% of CEOs believe ability to develop leaders is one of the most important factors for competitive advantage Center for Creative Leadership, 2005 In spite of: 65,000 books on leadership Billions spent on leadership development The present situation is that… Majority of people trust a stranger more than their boss (HBR, Jun 2009) 65% of people prefer a better boss over a raise • Lacked respect / support • Lacked leadership skills • Not recognized for my contribution • Displayed favoritism • Poor employee relations • Incompetent • Limited training opportunities 51% Supervisor
  • 17. The State of Managing Organizational Change 1. 90% of all companies fail to execute strategy successfully - Balanced Scorecard Collaborative 2. 60% to 70% of technology insertions are ineffective – SEI 3. $75 billion spent annually on failed IT projects and poor management is the culprit - Gartner, Inc. 4. Eight of the 10 largest mergers over the last 10 years failed, destroying $789 billion in shareholder wealth - Fast Company 17
  • 18. Why businesses need to always adapt and change • Only 70 of the Fortune 500 that appeared in 1955 still exist • Nearly 2000 companies have come and gone since then • Corporate life expectancy was 75 years and now its less then 15 and declining • Former Organizations (Extinction Event) • Kodak • Borders Books • Circuit City • Eastern Airlines • Blockbuster • MontgomeryWards • Enron • Woolworths • Pan Am • Arthur Andersen • New Organizations (Code Halos*) • Pandora • Amazon • Netflix • Microsoft • Apple • Google • Bing • Facebook • Starbucks • BestBuy • Zappos *Code Halos Connect Companies, Customers, Devices, Employees and Partners-critical to gaining new business value. SMAC - Social, Mobile, Analytic technology, Cloud Computing
  • 19. GOODBYE TO 20TH CENTURY JOBS 1. Top down hierarchies 2. Competing for market share 3. Silo/function-based work 4. Organization-centric 5. Command & Control 6. Hierarchy 7. Work-life balance 8. 30 years in one career HELLO TO 21ST CENTURY WORK 1. Nimble orgs, transparent communications 2. Creating new markets 3. Project-based work 4. People-centric 5. Trust-based 6. Networks & Relationships 7. Life-work 8. 10+ Careers by 40 “The future starts today, not tomorrow.” John Paul II
  • 20. Organizational Contradictions & Learning Opportunities • Innovation and Creativity • Engaged workforce • Effective leaders • Successful Change • Collaboration and critical thinkers • Bureaucratic and outdated practices • Downsizing and ranking • “Peter Principle” practices • Flawed and ineffective practices • Outdated educational framework “The only sustainable competitive advantage is an organization's ability to learn faster than the competition.” ― Peter M. Senge
  • 21. So What… 21 “The Significant ProblemsWe Have Cannot Be Solved at the Same Level ofThinking withWhichWe CreatedThem.” -- Albert Einstein “Tomorrow’s Companies will need to have the brains of a Business School Graduate and the heart of a Social Worker” Thomas Friedman “The World is Flat”
  • 22. FUTURE Considerations, Implications, & Recommendations for Organizations Foresee how your organization is ready (or not) Unexpected should be expected Trust andTransparency is fundamental Underestimate these changes at your own risk Reinvent, Retool, and Reskill Engaging your workforce is imperative 22
  • 23. Changes in the 21st Century 23 Poor Senior Leadership 2% Limited Career Opportunities 16% Supervisor 51% Compensation 12% Work Hours 6% Poor Working Conditions 3% Other 4% Unavoidable Reasons 5% Global/US Demographic Changes Leader-Employee Changes Organizational Changes Technological Changes Workplace Changes Educational Changes Challenges Today &Tomorrow’s Workplace will be Different
  • 24. Have a great Conference & Future Thank you! The mind is everything What you think-you become Buddha Edwin Mouriño-Ruiz, Ph.D. DREDWINM@GMAIL.COM WWW.LINKEDIN.COM/IN/EDWINMOURINO/ Questions?
  • 26. Resources to Consider and Review 26
  • 27. The Evolution of an Organization – Organizational Change Implications http://www.kotterinternational.com/
  • 28. Skills & Professions for the Future Skills for the future 1. CriticalThinking and Problem Solving 2. Collaboration 3. Adaptability 4. Initiative 5. Oral &Written Communications 6. Accessing & Analyzing Information 7. Curiosity & Imagination Best Job Opportunities 1. Biomedical Engineer 2. Diagnostic Medical Sonographer 3. Market Research Analysts & Marketing Specialist 4. PhysicalTherapists 5. Dental Hygienist 6. Audiologists 7. Medical Scientist 8. Veterinarian 9. OccupationalTherapist 10. Optometrist http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NS2PqTTxFFc&feature=related DrTony Wagner http://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-best-paying-jobs-of-the-future.html?page=all 28
  • 29. “The U.S. is not creating more and more high-pay, low-skilled jobs. It’s creating more high-pay($), high- skilled jobs. No one said that earning a living in the 21st century is going to require less education. It’s going to require more.” Ed Gordon (author of Future Jobs), The Futurist, November-December 2013 29
  • 30. Net-Generation, Gen Y, Millennials Shifting Paradigms • Changing Everything • Work collaboratively • Consumers > Prosumers • Education – challenging Pedagogy and teacher centered • Family-changing relationships • Citizen change • Global touch • 8 Net Gen Norms • Freedom • Customize and Personalize • New Scrutinizers • Corporate Integrity & Openness • Entertainment & Play @ work • Collaboration & Relationship Generation • Speed • Innovators 30 Communications mode is different from other generations Social Networking Aka-Social Cyborg
  • 31. Mature workers are Essential Talent for Organizations of the Future • Next 20 years 80% of workforce growth will be over the age of 50 • Over 70% expect to continue working after retirement • Times are changing • 1900 – avg. life expectancy – 47 • 2011 – avg. life expectancy – 80 • Increasingly more are “Working for a Purpose” • AARP Best Employer List • Employee development • Health benefits • Age of the workforce • Alternative work arrangements and time off • Retirement benefits and pensions • For every two experienced workers leaving the workforce, only one (relatively inexperienced) worker joins it. 31 As the population ages, organizations of the future will no longer be able to rely just on the younger workers.
  • 32. Impact of Change on Productivity Effective transition affects the depth and breadth of the productivity gap Productivity 4.8 hours Social “stuff” 1.5 hours Personal “stuff” 1.7 hours In 8 Hours Productivity 1.2 Hours Speculation Gossip 3.2 hours “ME” Issues 1.8 hours What /How 1.8 hours In 8 Hours Pre Transition During Transition 32 Source – Pritchett & Associates 32 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L2zqTYgcpfg
  • 33. X X X CURRENT STATE NEW STATE SENSE OF STABILITY SENSE OF CONSTANCY INTELLECTUAL ACCEPTANCE •CONCEPTUALLY •IMPLICATIONS UNCLEAR DECISION •LET’S MOVE AHEAD •IDENTIFYWHAT STEPS/ ACTIONS NEEDTO BE TAKEN Commitment •IT “CLICKS” •INTEGRATION •IMPLEMENTATION •RESULTS IMPATIENCEUNCERTAINTY LEARNINGMISTAKES THE STRUGGLE T r a n s i t i o n X CHANGE Announced TIME X What May Change in as a Result People/Behavior Organizational culture Process – Model Communication Systems Structure 33
  • 34. Why do businesses need to Change? 34 “An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential”. Ray Kurzweil - futurist Of the 500 companies that appeared on the first Fortune 500 list in 1955, less than 70 hold a place on the list today. Nearly 2,000 companies have appeared on the list since its inception - most are now long gone. However, companies like P&G, Johnson & Johnson and GE have had more than a century of sustained success by holding tight to core values and continuing to innovate. And some of the most powerful companies on todays list— businesses like Intel, Microsoft, Apple, Dell, and Google— grew from nothing upon entirely new technologies.
  • 35. Drivers of Transformational Change 35 Passion moves mountains. Creating a “passionate enterprise” is a modern leadership imperative. Tom Peters Fifty years ago, “milking the cash cow” could go on for many decades. What’s different today is that globalization and the shift in power in the marketplace from buyer to seller is dramatically shortening the life expectancy of firms that are merely milking their cash cows. Half a century ago, the life expectancy of a firm in the Fortune 500 was around 75 years. Now it’s less than 15 years and declining even further.
  • 36. Implementing & Institutionalizing Change + Skills + Incentive + Resources + Action Plan =Where Vision + + Incentive + Resources + Action Plan =How ? Vision + Skills + + Resources + Action Plan =WIIFM ? Vision + Skills + Incentive + + Action Plan =WithWhat ? Leadership Commitment & Support Vision + Skills + Incentive + Resources + Action Plan = Change! + False Starts Frustration Gradual Change Anxiety Confusion Vision + Skills + Incentive + Resources + =Game Plan ?
  • 37. DidYou Know… ? Source: Leigh Branham, “The 7 Hidden Reasons Employees Leave”, 2005 12% of Employees leave for more $ money 88% of Employees leave for other reasons 89% of Managers believe employees leave for more $ money 11% of Managers believe employees leave for other reasons 80% of Managers believe employees just happy to have a job 53% of employees feel this way Many Workers Could Jump Ship USA Today, Aug 2009 • Replacement costs • 150% of employees salary
  • 38. Poor Senior Leadership 2% Limited Career Opportunities 16% Supervisor 51% Compensation 12% Work Hours 6% Poor Working Conditions 3% Other 4% Unavoidable Reasons 5% Why They Leave 38 • Lacked respect / support • Job duties boring / no challenge • Lacked leadership skills • Not recognized for my contribution • Displayed favoritism • Poor employee relations • Incompetent • Lacked technical skills • Limited training opportunities • Discrimination • Harassment • Benefits • Coworkers’ attitudes
  • 39.
  • 40. Considerations and Recommendations Learning Organization Engage Internally & Externally Anticipate &Adapt Decide on Priorities Environmentalist Relationships of Respect & Recognition 40
  • 41. 41 Four Generations At WorkVeterans (5% workforce, Age 61+) Dignity – respect and mine for knowledge, Mentor Link – help them leave their legacy Boomers (45% workforce, Ages 43--61) Passion – meaningful work Reward – notice and thank them for their dedication and commitment X’ers (40% workforce, Ages 30-42) Careers – keep them challenged and learning Information – keep them in the loop, provide flexibility, work/life balance Y’ers (10% workforce, Ages <29) Opportunity – exercise intellectual curiosity and work in teams Goals - help create multiple career options and a sense of security 41 Changing Population Source: “Love “Em or Lose “Em” – 26 Strategies that Work Presented by Human Resource Institute (HRI), 2005Different Communication modes being used2020 Group
  • 43. The Future of Technology, Work, and our Lives??? HTTP://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=G8YT4WXSBLC&FEATURE=YOUTUBE_GDATA _PLAYER HTTP://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=BBJVQNKQSTI&FEATURE=RELATED HTTP://WWW.MICROSOFT.COM/EN -US/SHOWCASE/DETAILS.ASPX?UUID=E7728AF1 -3FE4-4E25-A907- 3DBF689FE11A HTTP://WWW.BING.COM/VIDEOS/SEARCH?Q=SIR+KEN+ROBINSON+CHANGING+ED UCATION+PARADIGMS &FORM=VIRE1#VIEW=DETAIL&MID=3339F149DE25F841D21C3339F149DE25F841 D21C 43