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Making sense of a changing world
O C T O B E R 2 0 1 6
N
E
W
Economics/
Will the technology we
all love eventually make
us poorer?
Innovation/
Aberdeen Asset Management’s
Julie Chakraverty on life
as an innovator
Talent/
How the Chief Digital Officer
became the face of disruptive
corporate change
Technology/
Is blockchain the way
to claim back our
online identities?
Could urban farming be one way
to feed our ever-expanding cities?
Thefuture
offood
Less artificial,
more intelligence.
You can automate
tasks, but you can’t
automate people.
Automation is just
the start. Rainbird
can help you innovate
new solutions and
empower your workers.
Is your business ready for AI?
Learn how others have been
successful with Cognitive Reasoning:
www.rainbird.ai/idisrupted/
#CognitiveReasoning
Theworld
ischanging...
Emergingtechnologiesand
innovativebusinessmodels
aretransforminglife,
businessandtheglobal
economyataspeednoneof
ushaveeverseenbefore.As
aresult,thewaywe’vebeen
usedtodoingthingsisn’t
justbeingmodified,it’sbeing
replaced.That’sdisruption.
Astechnologiessuchas3Dprinting,advanced
robotics,artificialintelligence,autonomous
vehicles,blockchain,theInternetofThings
andvirtualrealitygoaboutdramatically
reshapingthemodernworld,businessesthat
wereestablishedinlessfluidtimesarehaving
tomakeincreasinglycomplexandcritical
decisionsagainstthetickingclockofchange.
Whattheydorightnowcouldaffecttheir
profitabilityforyears.Oreventheirsurvival.
Butlookbeyondthealarmistheadlinesandthe
proliferationofbuzzwordssurroundingthese
technologiesandmanybusinessleadersstill
lackasourceofexpertopinionandanalysisof
thisongoingdigitaltransformation.That’sthe
roleofD/SRUPTIONmagazine.
Bringingtogetherthebestandbrightest
entrepreneurs,thinkers,practitionersand
innovators,D/SRUPTIONcutsthroughthe
hypetoaddressthefullpotentialofthese
emergingtechnologies.Weaimtostimulate
discussionanddebatearoundthekey
questionsfacingthebusinessworldthrough
expertopinion,interviews,analysisandin-
deptharticles.
Theworldischangingandorganisations
needtoinnovateinordertothriveinthis
dramaticallyreshapedworld.JoinD/SRUPTION
asweallworkouthowtomakethathappen.
Wearealsoonthelookoutfortalented
contributors.Ifyouareinterestedinsharing
yourinsightsoropinions,pleasegetintouch-
editor@disruptionhub.com
/JohnStraw
Founder,D/SRUPTION
/welcome
03
/september_2016
Regulars
What is blockchain?
Innovation
Industry
04
Thefivestagesofdisruption
Signing-in06
Urbanfarminginnovators
The future of food16
Blockchainandpersonaldata
Disrupted loyalties28
Newsfromaroundtheglobe
In brief08
TechinvestorJulieChakraverty
A day in the life10
Willtechnologymakeuspoorer?
The big idea12
Insurance
andthe
digitalworld
Risk and
opportunity
22
Thetop10blockchainstartups
Beyond banking32
Thisconceptmaybeoneofthemost
transformativeideassincetheinternet,
withcryptocurrenciessuchasBitcoinbeing
merelyitsbest-knownapplication.
Theblockchainisapublictransactionledger
builtinadecentralisednetworkstructure
that’sbasedoncryptographicprinciples.
Anytradingofassetsdoesnotneedto
gothroughacentralisedintermediary.
Assetscanbeideas,healthdata,financial
assets,automobiles,andgovernment
documents.Anyassetmaybeencodedinto
theblockchainandtransacted,validated,or
preservedinamoreefficientmannerthan
atpresent.
Technology
05
InnovativeconstructioninDubai
3D printing42
WhatIoTmeansforconsultants
Internet of Things38
TheriseoftheChiefDigitalOfficer
Talent53
DoesVRhaveaplaceintheoffice?
Virtual reality44
Theopportunitiesofchange
Investing in disruption54
Theincreasing
valueofdata
Signing out58
Whatifmachinestakeallthejobs?
Artificial intelligence48
50
Theproblemwithpatents
IP strategy56
D/SRUPTIONmagazine
Editor/CamWinstanley
Editor-in-chief/JohnStraw
Publisher/RobPrevett
Headofmarketing/TaniaDuarte
Design/DylanChannon
disruptionhub.com
Contentmanager/LauraCox
Headofdigital/JaysonWinters
Copyeditor/KevCooke
Contributingeditors/
CalumChace,JulieChakraverty,TimothyChou,
IanGass,ClareJohnston,StephenLowery,
WillMcMaster,GwilymRoberts,
CollinThompson
iDisruptedLtd
86-90PaulStreet
LondonEC2A4NE
www.disruptionhub.com
@disruptionhub
Contactoureditorialteamon:
editorial@disruptionhub.com
Contactoursalesteamon:
media@disruptionhub.com
Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,
storedinaretrievalsystemortransmittedby
anymeanswithoutthePublisher’spermission.
Theeditorialdoesnotnecessarilyreflectthe
viewsofthePublisher.ThePublisheracceptsno
responsibilityforerrorswithinthepublication.
Thevalueofa
robotsidekick
inbusiness
Robotics
September 2016
Strategy
/signing_in
06
MostpeoplealreadyknowhowKodak
waswaytooslowtorecognisethe
cameramarket’srapidswitchto
digital.ThefatalblowtoKodakwas
therapidwholesaledestructionofits
consumablesbusiness-film.Losing
groundoncamerasalescertainly
hastenedtheendbutitwasthecollapse
offilmandprocessingthatdiditin.
Fromthelate‘90sonwards,huge
amountsofmoneywentintobuilding
internetinfrastructure.Butbythe
latenoughties,themarketstartedto
askwheretherevenues(letalonethe
profits)were.Theanswerwassuch
aresounding“don’tknow”thatthe
bubbleburstandthemarketvaluation
wasmassivelyreduced.Inotherwords,
disruptiongotdisrupted.
With Google Trends showing an upturn in search terms such as
“technology disruption”, John Straw founder of D/SRUPTION
gives his take on the process, stage by stage
Google Trends: “technology disruption” searches
May 2013 May 2014 May 2015
The Kodak
moment
Internet
infrastructure
Thefivestages
ofdisruption
07
Let’stakealookatUber–afabulous
pieceofusertechnologythatmarries
driverswithpassengers.Initself,that’s
notparticularlyinnovative…untilyou
bringinthe‘zeromarginalcost’benefit.
ThisallowsUbertousedriversina
‘deliveryforeverything’modelwithno
noticeableincrementalcoststoitself.It
coststhesametodeliveranything,from
customersandfastfood,toparcelsand
evenflujabs.
Onitsown,perhapsthisisenoughto
giveFedexandUPSaKodakmoment,
butit’sgonedeeperthanthat.Uber
recentlyboughtoutanAPIthatallows
otherbusinessestouseUberservices.
SocurrentlyinAmerica,Opentable,
anappforbookingrestauranttables,
includesUberaspartoftheservice
sothatbookingatableautomatically
includesanUberridethereandback.It’s
horizontalintegrationwithnomarginal
cost,andtechnology+zeromarginal
cost=scaleabledisruption.
Thesesamefiveprinciplescanbeseenhappeningacrossnumerousbusinesssectors.Valueand
profitbecomeentrenchedinthedatasetsheldbytheindustryleaders,movingrevenueaway
fromwhereit’straditionallybeenmade.Suchaprofoundshiftcananddoescreatesocialchange
asAIhasandwillcontinuetocreateunemploymentinpreviously‘safe’sectors.
Thedisruptionofdisruptionisn’toveryet…
Imagineabusinessworldwhere
everythingisconnected.Everything.
That’srawmaterialstotransport,to
manufacturing,distribution,retail
andtheconsumer,thenbeyondthatto
consumerengagement.
TheInternetofThingswillenableallof
that,providinganend-to-endviewof
thewholeprocessinrealtime.Atthe
veryleast,that’llmakesavingsatevery
stepoftheway.Theworldwastes$1
trillionoffoodeveryyearbutbyreal
timeanalyticsofproduction,transport
andconsumption,thatcouldbereduced
downtoafewtensofmillions.Allmade
possiblebytheadvancedunderstanding
ofreal-timedatathroughAIanalytics.
Teslacarscannowuseasoftware
upgradetoprovide‘ludicrousmode’
–0-60mphin2.9seconds.That’san
electriccargivingthesameperformance
asaFerrari488.TheTeslaupgradetakes
20minutestoinstallandcosts$10,000.
ToupgradetoaFerrari488willtakea
customertwoyearsonawaitinglistand
willcostnorthof$300,000.
Adoptioncurvesarebecomingsteeper.
Takevirtualreality,whichtenyearsago
hadvirtuallynousers.Thenalongcomes
OculusRift,whichexcitesusersenough
tobrieflythinkaboutspending$300but
notenoughformanytoactuallydoso.
Google,spottingtheopportunity,brings
outGoogleCardboard–a$5boxwith
aviewtogettingearlyadopters(and
evangelists-I’moneofthem)tomarket.
Justaddasmartphonetotheboxand
youhaveaVRheadsetthatcontent
makersarehappytodesignfor.Thus
theadoptioncurvesteepensbecause,
ofcourse,Googlehasamoreupmarket
(andprofitable)productdowntheline.
Technology meets
disruptive business
models
Internet of Things
and Artificial
Intelligence
The adoption
curve
08
WhileGoogle,TeslaandevenFord’s
advancesindriverlesscartechnology
havebeengrabbingthelimelight
recently,Uberhasbeenquietly
workingonaroadrevolution.Ina
recentinterviewwithBloomberg
Businessweek,Uber’sCEOTravis
Kalanickannounced“Wearegoing
commercial”ashesketchedoutaplan
toputafleetofspeciallymodifiedVolvo
XC90SUVsonthestreetsofPittsburgh
thisautumn.
Initially,customersusingtheUber
appwillberandomlyassignedoneof
theself-drivingcarsandpaynothing
fortheirtrip.Whileahumanengineer
willsitatthewheel,ifthetrialsare
successful,VolvoandUberplantospend
$300mtodevelopafullyautonomous
fleetthatwilluseGPS,camerasand
radartoeliminatedriversentirely.
ProducedbyLocalMotors,creatorsof
theworld’sfirst3Dprintedcar,Olliisa
12-personelectricbusthat’salready
ontheroadinDCandwillbeinMiami-
DadeCountyandLasVegasbytheend
of2016.It’sthefirstvehicletouse
IBMWatson’scloud-basedcognitive
computingtolearnnotjusttraffic
patternsbutalsopassengerbehaviour.
WatsonallowsOllitounderstand
questionsfrompassengersandanswer
verbally,hopefullyallowingforan
entirelyintuitivejourneyexperience.
The D/SRUPTION website offers daily updates covering disruption,
innovation and digital transformation. Visit disruptionhub.com
for opinion, insight, trend reports and more
DriverlessUber
carsprowlPittsburgh
Thebusthat
talksback
DISRUPTED CARS DISRUPTED AI
Volvo
IBM
/news
09
Afteryearsofdeveloperstrying
everythingtheycouldthinkoftospeed
uptheadoptionofaugmentedreality,it
turnsoutthatalltheworldreallywanted
wastousetheirphonestochaseand
traplittlecreatures.PokémonGohas
provedtobeahitinacrosstheglobe,
generatinganestimated$1.5maday
oniTunesaloneandgaining100musers
insixdayswhenittookCandyCrush
15months.Whatremainstobeseen
iswhetherthepublic’sinterestinAR
remainswhenallthehunting’sover.
AttheIntelDeveloperForuminSan
FranciscothisAugust,IntelCEO
BrianKrzanichunveiledIntel’sleap
intovirtualreality.ProjectAlloyisa
standaloneheadsetthatrequireno
computerorexternalsensorstoplace
theuserinsideavirtualspace.Its
RealSensecamerashavedepth-sensing
capabilities,allowingtheheadsetitself
totracktheuser’shandswhileother
systemsrequireadditionalsensors.
ProjectAlloywillbeofferedasanopen
platformin2017.
Inteljumps
intovirtualreality
PokémonGo
takesARmainstream
DISRUPTED VR
DISRUPTED AR
Become a disruptionhub.com
member and receive direct access
to trend reports, technology
guides and more.
IntelCoporation
From the Hub
www.disruptionhub.com
Disruption and innovation in retail
How technology is powering the
high streets’ fight back against
online retailers and why the IoT
will transform the way we all shop.
A guide to chatbots
See the power of AI as it
transforms the way businesses
communicate with their users.
/A day in the life
10
healarmalwaysgoesoffat7am
butI’moneofthosepeoplewho
needstohitsnoozeacoupleof
timesbeforeIcanopenmyeyes.
UnlessIhaveearlymeetings,Igettowalkto
schoolwithElla,mydaughter.Thisismyfavourite
waytostarttheday,hearingwhat’sonhermind
andcomparingwhatwe’vegotonforthecoming
day.ThenIdashintoeithertheCityortheWest
End.Beinganon-executivedirectormeansareal
varietyofchallengesandtopicstofocuson.
Atthemomentwearequitebusywithinnovation,
soImightbecheckingnewemployeeideasfor
our‘Ignite’competitions,helpingwithinterviews
forseniorappointments,ortalkingthroughour
innovationstrategywithourCTO.
Iamoftenthinkingaboutwhichinnovation
speakerstolineupforcommitteemeetings.Our
veryfirstspeakerwasJohnStraw,whogotour
attentiononhowtothinkaboutthreatsand
opportunitiesinanentirelydifferentway.
Irealisedthatnoneofmy‘bigideas’evercameto
mesittingatmydeskorinmeetings.Ialwaysget
themonholiday,sodefinitelyneedtoberelaxed
inordertolookataproblemdifferently.
Aboardmeetingdayinvolvessolidmeetings
back-to-back,havingalreadyreadthe500+pages
thatwouldtypicallyaccompanyAudit,Risk,and
MainBoardpreparation.AfterCitymeetings
arefinished,IcheckTwittertocatchuponnews
storiesasIheadbacktotheofficesofmystartup,
rungway.Istartedthis18monthsagotocreate
atoolforpeopletohelpeachotherwithworkplace
adviceandneedtoseehowdevelopmentisgoing.
Thenit’sbackhometodealwithemailsandfollow
upwiththeorganisationswhoaretriallingthe
app.Allhaveideasandquestionsthatneedtobe
respondedto,andI’lltypicallyhavesomephone
callsbookedtoo.Butfirstthing,Ichangeintomy
belovedtracksuit.It’salwayscomfortoverfashion
whenworkingfromhome!
AfterElla’sbedtimeroutine,alatedinnerwithmy
husbandandaquickbitofTVtogether,it’sback
tothePCtocheckthelatestonrungway.Allmy
colleaguesareusedtomylatenightemailsas
it’sthebesttimetoproperlyfocus.Ikeepmyself
awakewithchunksofDairyMilkOreo(thebest
treatevercreated)andlisteningtotheDaily
PoliticsshowoverBBCiPlayer.ThenI’musually
intobedby11.30atthelatest.Iturnonthe
electricblanketregardlessoftheweatherand
willbefastasleepwithinaminute.
The non-executive director and chair of Innovation at Aberdeen
Asset Management on her new mentoring app, innovation
competitions and the wonders of chocolate bars
Julie
Chakraverty
DownloadrungwayfromtheAppleStore,
GooglePlayorrungway.com
11
“None of my big
ideas ever came
to me sitting at
my desk”
/the_big_idea
12
psychology
economics technology
13
conomictheorydefines
wageasafunctionof
themarginalphysical
productivityoflabour.But
inapurelymarket-ledeconomy,wages
–andparticularlyminimumwages–are
drivenbydemand.Andifthemarket
decidesthatanhourlyrateshouldbe
lessthananagreed-upon$15anhour
minimum,that’swhatwillbepaid.
Thisisthe‘technonomy’–theeconomy
asdeterminedbytechnology.Foran
exampleofit,looknofurtherthanUber’s
taxi-bustingapp.EachUberdrivermust
paytheirownfuelandcommissionsto
Uberitself,nottomentionthecostofthe
carthey’redriving.Driversdon’tgetpaid
fordeadtimebetweenfaresbutsince
consumersdon’twanttowaitfortheir
Butwhenthealgorithmisboss,there
isnoroomforjudgmentsonfairnessor
humanity.Whenrewardsaresetentirely
accordingtomarketforces,workershave
toeitheracceptaconstantlyfluctuating
incomeortheymustfindadifferent
wayofscratchingaliving.Inthislight,
thebravenewworldofthesharing
economystartstolooklessappealing.So
istechnologyhelpingorhinderingthe
workforce’squestforalivingwage?Are
appsgivingusallfreshcareerchoices,or
killingincome?
Willtechnologyerodeincome?
Imagineaworldwhereinnovation
suddenlychangedeverything.Nuclear
fusiongivesanon-pollutingpower
sourceforuniversalwaterdesalination.
Bioengineeringallowsfoodtobe
ridetoarrive,theremustbeplentyof
capacityinthesystem,soidlingisbuilt
intothebusinessmodel.Fordriverstobe
guaranteedminimumwage,they’dhave
tochargecustomersafeethat’snotonly
$15anhourgreaterthantheiroverheads
butalsoonethatcoverstheirslacktime.
Andthat’snothowitworks.
Ubercalculatescostsbyalgorithm,as
doservicessuchasPeoplePerHour.com,
whichallowsfreelancerstoselltheir
services.Thesealgorithmsdetermine
supplyanddemandatapreviously
unimaginabledegreeofaccuracy,
calculatingwagefluctuationsbasedon
thescarcityofavailablelabourvirtually
inrealtime.Theyaretheembodimentof
economicforcesworkingexactlyhowthe
textbooksalwayssaidtheyshould.
Willthetechnology
wealllovemake
uspoorer?
Technology doesn’t happen in isolation – it can alter society
in unintentional ways. John Straw explores the ‘technonomy’
to show how technological causes and disruptive
economic effects can affect us all
14
manufacturedcheaperthanthecostof
farmingit.Anewlandtransportsystem
letsustravelatthespeedofflight.
Wouldn’tthatbegreat?
Surprisingly,theanswerisn’tcut-and-
dried.Forunlessthisworldsees
ademandforgoodsand
servicesriseintandem
withthegreater
productivitythese
innovationsallow,then
insteadofenteringan
ageofplenty,itmight
actuallyfaceanever-
endingdepression.It’sall
thosefarms,refineriesandcar
plantsclosedovernight,yousee.What
willbecomeofalltheworkersmade
redundantbychange?
Perhapsthiswasanunderlyingcause
ofAmerica’sGreatDepressioninthe
1930s.CoulditbethattheUShadnot
figuredoutawaytobenefitfromallthe
greatinnovationsofthelate19thand
early20thcentury?Ifso,thenittook
theKeynesianstimulusandupheavalof
WorldWar2toturnpotentialintoreal
wealthcreation.
Whataboutthegreatinnovationsof
thelate20thandearly21stcentury?
Theinternetpromisedtotalequalityyet
itwasn’tlongbeforeasmallminority
gatheredmostofitswealth.Hundredsof
thousandsofauthorshavepublishedon
Kindle,forexample,butonlyAmazonhas
gottrulyrichofftheirefforts.
InmybookiDisrupted,Inotethat
innovationisacceleratingatan
acceleratingrate.Thedreamofentering
anageofplentyisnolongerapipe
dreambutwillthiscreateplentyor
misery?Currently,GAFA–Google,Apple,
allbuttheelite.Youmayevenworry
thatitwillleadtoendlessinstability.
Butaneconomistwouldnotethatsuch
aneconomyisn’tevenoptimal.They’d
saythatsinceit’sbetterforeveryone
–especiallyGAFA–fortheeconomy
togrow,thatamajoritylivingonthe
breadlinewouldbeabraketothat.
Becauseofcourse,ifmostpeoplehave
nospendingpower,they’dceasetobe
consumers,whichwouldendtheelite’s
reignofexpansion.Paradoxically,a
consequenceofrisinginequalitymay,in
thelongrun,betomakethesuper-rich
worseoff.
Soifrisinginequality,theerosion
ofmedianlevelincomes,mass
unemploymentandmaybeeven
recessionarethepotentialdownsidesof
technologicalrevolution,isourconsumer
addictionultimatelygoingtomakeusall
worseoff?Notnecessarily.Onesolution
maycomefromthemarketsthemselves.
ArecentMcKinseyreportsuggestedthat
theinternetisnowdroppingbarriers
toentrysolowthatbigcorporatesare
facingrealcompetitionfromstartups.
“Whileglobalrevenuecouldincreaseby
some40percent,reaching$185trillion
by2025,”itsaid,“profitgrowthiscoming
underpressure.Thiscouldcausethereal
growthrateforthecorporateprofitpool
tofallfromaroundfivepercenttoone
percent,practicallythesameshareasin
1980,beforetheboombegan.”
Theinternethashelpedmakethis
competitionpossible,withthe
newer,moreagilecompanies
embracingthesortof
newtechnologies
thatestablished
companieshave
yettoeven
understand.
Facebook,Amazon–areenjoyingan
extendedperiodofprofitandexpansion.
Ifthisweretocontinueforallbig
businessesatthesamerate,we’dquickly
reachapointwheretheminoritythat
eitherbuildsorownstechnology,orthat
ownsthelandweliveandwork
on,wouldholdnearlyallthe
wealth.Farfromheralding
asgoldenage,such
rampantprofitwould
forcethemajorityto
settleforaminimum
wagejobasthebetter
alternativetobeing
surplustorequirement.
Manversusmachine
AreportfromCarlBenediktFreyand
MichaelOsbornefromOxfordUniversity
titledThefutureofemployment:How
susceptiblearejobstocomputerisation?,
lookedatthisverytopic.Theynotedthat
sincecomputersandrobotscanwork
tirelesslyanddextrously,eveninhot,
crampedspaces,thenmanufacturingjobs
aremostlikelytobetheonestakenfrom
humanworkers.Thereportalsonoted
thatjobsrequiringahighlevelofsocial
intelligenceareharderforcomputersto
do,makingrolesthatinvolvedeveloping
ideas,originality,negotiation,social
perceptivenessorcaringforothers
virtuallyfutureproof.Buthere’sthe
problem–skilledconstructionjobstend
tobewellpaidwhilecreativewriting,
socialcareorjobsrequiringempathy
aresopoorlypaid,manycarersareoften
volunteers.Therobots,itseems,areset
toscoopupallthewellpaidjobs.
Asanindividual,you
mayfretthatan
economyofsuch
inequality
isunfairto
/the_big_idea
psychology
economics
technology psychology
economics
15
WithprofitstoGDPsettofall,thenby
definition,wagestoGDPmustrise.In
thisway,wealthisredistributedfrom
corporategiantstostartups.Thisis
apossibleself-balancing
mechanism.Thevery
richestwouldbebetter
offiftheeconomy
wasbigger,even
iftheyowneda
smallershareof
it.Whilewe,the
workforce,retain
ourincome.
Improvementsinglobal
educationmayalsohelp.
Agrowingnumberofcompanies
complainaboutthelackofdigitalskills
withinthelabourmarket,soschools
couldsolvethisbyputtinggreater
emphasisoncoding.Newproductsand
servicessuchastheKhanAcademyare
settoimproveglobalaccesstohigh
qualityeducation.Atatimewhenthe
verybesteducationisunaffordableto
most,technologymaypushtheotherway
bytotallyflatteningtheplayingfield.
createdbythesurgeincorporateprofits
toGDP.Yetthedebatehasevolved
evenbeyondthisstate.Moreandmore
economistsaretalkingaboutanewform
ofquantitativeeasing,onethatinvolves
centralbanksfundinggovernment
spending,whichcouldbeintheformof
massivefiscalstimulusortaxcredits.
Inanageofpotentialplenty,butonethat
seesmassunemploymentandexcessive
inequality,thecreationofmoneyto
fundthekindofjobsthatpeopleneed,
butcannotafford,mayprovideapartial
solution.And,thankstotechnology
creatingmassiveunfulfilledproduction
potential,thedangerofinflationislow.
Wemaynoteverliveinaperiodoffree
powerandcleandrinkingwaterforallbut
wedoliveinaworldwhereinnovation
ischangingeverything.Andeven
thoughwecan’taccuratelypredictthe
implicationsofthischange,thatshould
neverstopusfromtrying.
Thatsaid,thereisstillaveryrealdanger
thatthepaceoftechnologicalchange
willbesoprofoundthatnoamountof
educationwillsolvetheunderlying
problem.Technologymaybecome
sosophisticatedthatthere
maybealimitedneed
forworkersemployed
inwealthcreation
activities.
Asbleakasall
thissounds,there
isstillhope.The
lastdecadehasseen
interestratesacrossthe
developedworldcollapseand
theevolutionofanewformofmonetary
policycalledquantitativeeasing,which
injectsmoneyintothebankingsystem
inordertopromotegreaterborrowing
and,it’shoped,moreconsumerspending.
Thesedevelopmentsaresymptomsof
underlyingchanges,partlychargedby
technology.Recordlowinterestrates
areaconsequenceofwhattheformer
FEDchair,BenBernanke,callsaglobal
savingsglut.Atleastinpart,thiswas
JohnStrawisthefounderofD/SRUPTION
andco-authorofiDisrupted
psychology
economics
technology
Keynesian stimulus vs Quantitative easing
Two-part solution to America’s Great
Depression of the 1930s
Monetary policy - interest rates reduced
Fiscal policy - government
infrastructure investment
Recession ended by: creating jobs
and encouraging people to spend
A central bank stimulus when
all other measures have failed
First used by Bank of Japan in 2001
in a bid to end ongoing recession
Widespread use after the crash of 2008
Recession ended by: encouraging
lending, thus stimulating spending
16
/food
16
1717
The
future
offoodThe countryside provides, the city
consumes. That’s how it’s always been…
until now. As pioneers test the market for
urban farms, what part might food grown
within the city play in ensuring food
security throughout the 21st century?
18
control.Ontheotherside,supporters
havearguedthatadvancesinrenewable
technologiessuchassolarpower,wind
turbines,LEDlightingandwatercapture,
inconjunctionwithverticalfarms’
proximitytoconsumers,makethema
viableformofrenewabletechnology.
What’sneededaremorecasesofworking
farms.PasonaO2ismarvellousbitit’s
justaproof-of-conceptshowcase.Ithas
noneedtoturnaprofitormakeastrong
businesscaseforitsownexistence.
Tofindanactualbusiness,youdon’t
havetotravelroundtheworld,justto
EastLondon.Youwon’tevenhaveto
lookup.Becauseoneoftheworld’sfew
commercialurbanfarmshasembraced
Despommier’sconceptbygoingdown.
OverthirtymetresbelowClaphamHigh
Street,aWorldWar2erabombshelter
housesGrowingUnderground,acompany
thatproducespesticide-freeherbs
andsaladleavesallyearround.Mostly
soldwholesaleatNewCoventGarden
Marketforthehotelandcateringtrade,
fewofthepeashoots,wasabimustard,
corianderorotherleaveseverescapethe
M25,almosteliminatingfoodmiles.
Bombproofsalads
Thecompanystartedwhenco-founder
RichardBallardshowedDespommier’s
booktohisbusinesspartner,Steven
ormostofits50years,
thePasonabuildinghas
beeninstantlyforgettable,
anine-storeycubeof
glassandconcreteatabusyTokyo
intersection.Butthena2010revamp
byNewYorkfirmKonoDesignsturnedit
intosomethingfarmorehighprofile-a
cityfarmthatfillsofficeswithcropsand
drapesvegetationdownexteriorwalls.
PasonaO2isthelargesturbanfarm-to-
tableschemeinJapan,usingafifthof
its20,000m2
officespacetogrowover
200speciesoffruits,vegetablesand
herbs.Protectedfrompestsandgrownin
optimumconditionsunderLEDlighting,
threericecropsmanagetothriveevery
yearinsidethebuilding.
PasonaGroupisarecruitmentcompany,
sowhilestaffareencouragedtotakean
interestinthecropsthatsurroundthem,
dedicatedgrowersdomuchofthegrunt
work.Atlunchtimethough,anyonecan
pickwhatevertheywantandaskthecafe
toincludefresh,zerofoodmilecropsinto
theirmeal.
Thebuildingisoneofthemostvisible
examplesof‘verticalfaming’–aconcept
firstproposedin1999byColumbia
UniversityprofessorDrDickson
Despommierandhispostgraduate
/food
“We decided that although anyone can
sit around talking about the problems,
we should get involved and just do it”
Steven Dring – Growing Underground
students.Indeed,thecoverofhisbook,
TheVerticalFarm,showsleafyhigh-rise
buildingsverysimilartoit.Inthebook,
Despommierarguesthatmassproducing
foodcropsundercontrolledconditions
withinskyscraperscouldbeawayof
solvingnumerousproblemsassociated
withmodernfarmingandspiralling
globalpopulations.Cropsproduced
withinacityforthecitywouldeliminate
thecostandpollutionoffoodmiles,while
countrieswithlimitedarablelandcould
growmorecropsbygoingupratherthan
out.Inallinstances,harvestswouldbe
guaranteedbyeliminatingthethreatof
droughtorpestilence,creatingagreater
securityoffoodsupply.
Inmanyrespects,PasonaO2seemsto
betheDespommierdreammadereal.
Withonly12percentofJapansuitable
forcultivation,thecountryimports
muchofitsfoodfrom,onaverage,over
9,000milesaway–thehighestfoodmile
rateintheworld.Ifanywherewasready
toembraceverticalfarms,itshouldbe
Japan.Yettheconcepthasstubbornly
remainedjustthat–aconcept.Sceptics
havearguedthatbuildingskyscraper
farmswillgeneratemorepollutionthan
eventhemostintensiveformsoffarming,
whileretrofittingexistingbuildings
wouldcreateanequallymassivecarbon
footprintthroughartificialclimate
19
Dring.“Wewerebothlookingatthis
field,”explainsDring,“whetheritwasthe
democratisationofenergy,waterscarcity
orfoodsecurity.Andwedecidedthat
althoughanyonecansitaroundtalking
abouttheproblems,weshouldget
involvedandjustdoit.Wefiguredifthe
sumsstackeduponpaperthenwe’dgo
foritandiftheydidn’t,we’dhaveproved
thattheacademicshadgotitallwrongin
termsofviability.Becauseit’sonething
tobuildagreenhouseandsomethingelse
tobuildacommercialurbanfarm.”
Whatfollowedwastwoyearsofresearch
intoeveryaspectofaprojectneitherhad
anyexperiencein.Howmuchstartup
moneywouldtheyneed?Whatabout
runningcosts?Andattheendoftheday,
wouldtheybeabletomakemoneyby
sellingatacompetitivemarketprice?
“Welookedatofficeblocksandtheywere
bloodyexpensive,evenbackduringthe
recession,soweknewtheywerealways
goingtogoupinprice,”saysDring.
“Richsaidheknewtherewereabunch
oftunnelsunderLondonbutthiswas
2012andwecouldn’tgetaccesstomany
ofthemduetosecuritysurroundingthe
Olympics.ThenTransportLondonshowed
usacoupleintheClaphamareaandwe
saidtothem‘Look,we’reastartup.We
haven’tgotanymoneyandweain’tgoing
tosignaleasewithyouuntilweknowit’s
aviablebusiness.’”
Fromtheseshakybeginnings,aone
metresquaresectionprovedtheycould
growcropswithoutnaturallight,sothey
scaledupto100m2
toattract£1.3million
ofinvestment,althoughthat“stillonly
onlyallowedustobuildproof-of-concept
ofacommercialfarm.Wegotthesurveys
andtheairqualitychecksdoneandsoon.
We’renothermeticallysealedfromthe
tunnelbutitisafoodsafeenvironment.
Thenitrequiredafurtherroundof
fundingtotakeoveranothersectionof
tunnelandstartbuildingthescale.”
GrowingUndergroundhasalwaysstuck
toitsfoundingecologicalprincipals.
Whereitoriginallyusedahempsubstrate
fortherootstogrowinto,forexample,
theyswitchedtoaproductmadefrom
carpetoffcutsoncetheydiscoveredthat
thisrecyledmattinghasalowercarbon
footprint.Butwhilethismakesfora
goodPRstory,itdoesn’tstackupatthe
NewCoventGardenwholesalemarket.
“We’reinapricecompetitivemarketand
youcan’treallyextractanyvaluefrom
thelovelystoryaboutthetunnel,our
sustainablevaluesoreventhatit’sgrown
justdowntheroadinClapham,”notes
Dring.“Ultimately,ifit’snottheright
price,wewon’tsell.”
Becausetheydosell,andbecause
theyhavemaybetwomoreyearsof
expansionintheircurrenttunnelsbefore
Whydon’tweeatinsects?Itseemsacrazy
questionyetaccordingtotheUnited
Nations,twobillionhumansalreadydo.
TheUNcalculatesthat30percentofthe
world’sice-freelandmassis
usedtoraiselivestockinan
industrythatgenerates
nearly15percentofall
greenhousegasemissions.
It’sanincrediblyinefficient
process,withonekiloofbeefrequiring
tenkilosoffeed–whichitselfmustbe
grown–andvastamountsofwater.With
anever-increasingglobalpopulation,
anddevelopingnationsswitchingfrom
traditionalvegetariandietstomore
westernones,thefiguresdon’tstackup.
Whichbringsusback
toinsects.TheUNnotes
thataround2,100typesarealready
beingeaten.Ittakesjusttwokilosof
feedtoproduceakiloofcricketsand
manyinsectscanbedriedandground
intoshelf-stableproteinpowderstobuild
upreservesagainstdisaster.Withtwice
theproteinofbeef,cricketflourcanbe
anpowerfullyeffectivefaminerelieftool.
Butfoodsecurityandtheenvironment
willneverconvincethegeneralpublicto
eatbugs.Whattheywantistasteand,
amazingly,insectsapparentlyprovide
plenty.BigCricketFarms,basedinarust
beltwarehouseinYoungstown,Ohio,
producecricketsforthegourmetmarket
andestimatetheycan
onlyserve10percentofthe
currentdemand.Thecompany’sfounder,
KevinBachhuber,describescricketsas“a
marriageofcashewsandsweetcorn.”
TinyFarms,aSiliconValleystartupthat
raised$75mofinvestment,hasfound
thataroundthreequartersofchildren
willsampleinsectsattrade
shows,compared
toaroundathird
ofadults.Witha
growingacceptance
andinsectflourstarting
tobecomeavailableinbothEuropeand
theUS,itseemsthatthebusinesscase
foredibleinsectsisgrowing.
A six-legged solution
20
/food
‘downstream’wastageofasystematic
farm-to-forkproblem.
Thesupermarkets’“cultofperfection”
meansthatharvestable,nutritious
producethathasripenedeithertooearly
ortoosoon,orblemishedbywindorrain,
isnotconsideredsellable.Afractionofthis
issoldtoprocessedfoodmanufacturersor
asanimalfeedbutmostissimplyploughed
under,producingthegreenhousegas
commentabouthyperlocalsaladversus
continent-spanningimportedleaves
doesputusontheroadtowardsour
conclusion.Forfoodis,inmanyways,the
verydefinitionofaFirstWorldproblem.
Inourlifetimes,thewesternworldhas
neverfacedfamine,foodinflationor
lingeringscaresabouttaintedmeat.
Quitetheoppositeinfact–industrial
farmingcurrentlymakesomuchclean
andnutritiousfoodthat’ssoldsocheaply,
manyofthefarmerswhoproduceit
arestrugglingtostayinbusiness,let
aloneturnaprofit.Andsinceconsumers
havegotusedtoallkindsoffoodbeing
availableallyearround,regardlessofthe
season,anentrenched,seeminglywilful,
policyofwastagehasbeenestablishedat
everystepfromfarmtoplate.
We’vebecomeusedtoheadlines
screaminginpanicthattheaverageUK
householdthrowsawaybetweenafifth
andaquarterofallfooditbuysbutthe
emergingpictureisthattherealityisfar,
farworsethanthat.ArecentreportinThe
Guardianconcludedthatwhileathirdof
Americanproduce–60mtonnesworth
$160bn–isindeeddiscardedannuallyby
retailersandconsumers,thisisjustthe
theymustfindanothersite–theseare
thereasonstotakenoteofGrowing
Underground.“Wealwayswantedto
provethatthegreensectorisanarea
toinvestinbyshowingwewereagood
returnoninvestment,”saysDring.“Our
differentiatoristhatwegoupagainstour
competitorseverydaysolelyonpriceand
qualityandservice.
“Iwantthistostandonitsowninterms
ofviabilityandprofitabilitywhileat
thesametimestickingtoourprinciples
ofgrowinghyperlocally.Icangive
Londoncorianderandmintallyearround
fromunderClaphamHighStreetwhile
competitorsareflyingitinfromPeru
andIsrael.Shouldweeverwanttosell
inBristol,ManchesterorEdinburgh,
we’llstartupinthosecitiesbecause
thewholepointofthisisnotmoving
producearoundthecountry.Bygrowing
andconsumingitlocally,wecanactively
engagesociallywithourconsumers.”
FirstWorldproblems
Theissuessurroundingfoodsecurityand
industrialagriculturearesovastthat
peoplecanandhavewrittenentirebooks
aboutthem.Whilewecanonlytouch
onsomeaspectshere,Dring’sprevious
The bloody
veggie burger
PatBrown,Stanfordgeneticistand
founderofImpossibleFoods,took
ascientificapproachtoproducehis
ImpossibleBurger,examiningata
molecularlevelwhatgivesbeefits
appealingflavourandaroma.He
hitonasubstancecalled‘heme’
that’sextractedfromyeastand
givesarich,red‘blood’oozeto
hisuncookedvegetarian‘mince’.
Withnocholesterol,hormones
orantibioticsandmoreprotein
thanbeef,theImpossibleBurger
appearstopassboththehealth
andtastetests.Itshouldn’tbea
surprisetolearnthatBillGatesis
amongthemanyinvestorsinthis
pioneeringcompany.
impossiblefoods.com
Hydroponics and LED lighting
produce optimum growing conditions
methane.AUNFoodandAgriculture
Organisationreportstatedthatin2007,
thecarbonfootprintofglobalemissions
fromtheproductionanddestructionof
uneatenfoodamountedto3bntonnes
ofcarbondioxide–morethanwhatmost
individualcountriesgenerate.
Combined,the‘upstream’and
‘downstream’wastagebringsUSfood
wastageuptoaround50percent,
althoughthere’slittletosuggestthat
Europeancountriesareanybetter.In
otherwords,thecapacitytofeedmany
morepeopleisalreadyhere,ifonlythe
foodchainwerebettermanaged.
SaysStevenDring,“Ifyoufeeltheneed
totakeastanceonhyperlocalfoodand
foodmiles,you’vegottounderstandthat
youcan’tpickandchoose.Areyoureally
passionateaboutit?Doyoureallyhold
thatopinion?Thenstopeatingmeatright
nowandyou’llinstantlystartaffectingthe
planet.Butsincepeoplearen’tpreparedto
dothat,andcarnivorousdietsareactually
increasing,that’snothappening.Sowe
allneedtoaffectwhateversmallareawe
can.ForGrowingUnderground,thatmeans
gettingsaladsgrownhyperlocallyinto
markets.”
WherePasonaO2standsasaproof-
of-concepttoverticalfarming,Going
Undergroundisbreakingnewgroundin
provingthatsustainablevaluesarenota
limittocommercialsuccess.TheLondon
skylineisunlikelytoeverbedottedby
toweringmulti-levelfields–property
pricesmakethatanunrealisticdream
–butthat’snottosaythatothercities
withdifferingprioritieswillneveradopt
them.Fornow,urbanfarmingremainsan
industrywithgreatpotentialthatstands
tobeonetoolintheneverendingproblem
offeedingtheworld.
2121
FURTHER READING
Edible insects:
Future prospects for food and feed security
The Vertical Farm:
Feeding the world in the 21st century
Ifthehumanpopulationincreasesby50percentoverthenext
40years,wherewillthecropsthatfeedthembegrownwhen
currentlyover80percentofarablelandisalreadyinuse?Thiswas
theproblemthathauntedDicksonDespommierinthe1990s.His
proposedsolutionisdescribedinTheVerticalFarm,his1999book
thatarguescitiesshouldproducemoreoftheirownfoodinspace
savingtowerblockhydroponicfarms.It’sonlynow,nearly20years
later,thathistheoriesarebeingputintopractice.
TheVerticalFarmispublishedbyPicador
CommissionedbytheFoodandAgricultureOrganisationof
theUnitedNationsin2013andrunningtonearly200pages,
thisreportlooksatthewiderangeofedibleinsectsandthe
potentialbenefitsofitsconsumptiononaglobalscale.It
concludesthatwhileindustrialproductionandstockpiling
ofinsectproteinasflourcouldbeaforceforgood,thatwe
stillallhavealongwaytogo,bothineducatingpopulations
andassessingtheenvironmentalimpactsofcommercial
harvesting.However,withitslowdependencyonwater
andland,insectfarmingdoesoffertheopportunityoffood
securitytoeventhepoorestinsociety,whileindustrialscale
farmingforanimalfeedcouldfreeuptheconsiderableamount
ofgraincurrentlyusedtorearmeatforhumanconsumption.
Downloadthereportfrom
www.fao.org/docrep/018/i3253e/i3253e.pdf
“If you feel the need to take a stance
on hyper local food and food miles,
you’ve got to understand that you
can’t pick and choose”
/insurance
22
How does a centuries-old industry
react to technological changes
that have only recently emerged?
By redefining the customer experience,
the insurance sector is starting to meet
fresh challenges head on
Riskand
opportunity
23
Notthattheonlineretailgianthasdone
anythingbadtoinsurers.It’sjustthat
Amazonhasdoneitsthingsowell,the
companyhasbecomethebenchmark
standardforalldigitalservices.
WillAbbottismarketingdirectorat
insuranceproviderHiscox:“Inaworld
whereyoucangostraighttoyourAmazon
app,findaproductwithavoicesearch,
payforitwithyourthumbprintandgetit
deliveredthenextday,financialservice
processescanfeelverydifferent.”
That’sanunderstatement.StevenMendel
co-foundedboughtbymany.comfour
yearsagowiththestatedaimofmakingit
easierforitscustomerstomakeinformed
choicesforthemselves.“It’sgenerous
tosaythatgettinginsurancecanbea
paininthebum,”hesays.“Whypeople
toleratethatitcantakeadaytofindthe
lowestpremiumtoreinsureyourhome
orcarisnotexactlyclear.Butit’ssimply
unacceptablethatthisisstillthenorm.”
claimandtheexperienceissoshockingly
bad,you’dneverusethatcompanyagain
regardlessofthepricetheyoffer.Or
three–youclaim,theycoughupquickly
andyoufeelgoodaboutthat.Butthena
monthbeforeyourenew,everyinsurance
companyyou’veeverspokentobombards
youwithquotesandhoweverfavourably
youthinktowardsyourcurrentinsurer,
you’llprobablymakeyourdecision
basedonpricealone.Nothingonthat
journeyisattractiveinanyshapeorform.
Unfortunately,that’sinsurance.”
TheAmazoneffect
Sothebusinessthatdoeseverything
rightstillmightlosetherenewal.Howcan
thathappen?Whyisinsuranceregarded
asanecessaryevilratherthanasocial
good?Andwhatrolecantechnologyplay
inalteringwidespreadperceptions?
Blameisperhapsastrongwordtousebut
iftheinsurancesectorwantstopointa
fingerofblame,itwouldbeatAmazon.
et’sjustgetthisoverwith
straightaway–noone
lovesinsurance.Businesses
andindividualspayforit
becausetheyneeditand,insomecases,
havenochoice.Carinsuranceisalegal
requirement,forexample.Evenwhenit
doesprovidethesafetynetthatsaves
yourbusiness,replacesyourstolen
carorrebuildsyourfloodedhouse,it
meanssomethingreally,reallybadhas
happenedinyourlife.
BradleyGamage,adirectoratdigital
marketingagencySapientNitro,deals
withinsuranceindustryclientsona
dailybasis.He’sinnodoubtthatasector
currentlyundergoingprofounddigital
transformationalsohasanequallylarge
imageproblemtodealwith.
“Insurancecustomersonlyeverhave
oneofthreeexperiences,”hesays.“One
–youdon’tuseitbutayearlater,you
havetobuyitagain.Two–youhaveto
/insurance
24
BigcompaniessuchasAviva,Prudential,
Legal&GeneralandHiscoxarelike
ocean-goingsupertankers–theyrequire
alotoftimeandefforttochangecourse.
Butbyadoptingincubatorprogrammes,
embracingstartupsorgivingpartsof
theirbusinessadegreeofautonomy,
thesecompaniesare,ineffect,starting
tocreatefleetsofsmallerdepartmental
ships.Hiscox,forexample,hascreateda
businessclubinYork,wherestartupsfrom
acrossYorkshirearefreetouseoffice
spaceandshareideas.Avivahasdone
somethingsimilar,whileAxaandAlliance
havesetupventurecapitalinvestment
subsidiariestoinvestinstartups.But,
notesHiscox’sWillAbbott,“Peopletalk
aboutstartupsfailingfastandembracing
failure,whichcanbedifficultiffailing
hasasignificantdetrimentaleffectona
customer.Sowestilltreadcarefully.”
BradleyGamageconfirmsthateven
thecompanieswhowanttomovelike
startupsmuststillbehavelikeinsurers.
“Theyknowtheyhavetoprovidearicher,
consistent,morecompletecrosschannel
experience.Butsincetheyhavetoget
everythingright–data,transparency,
security,regulatory–that’swhatslows
themdown.Becauseasinanyfinancial
service,themediaisquicktojumpon
themwhenevertheygetitwrong.”
hasamagnitudeofcomplexitygreater
thanproductsonAmazon.Theinput
anddataneededtoassessriskandseta
premiumrequiresmoretimeandmore
questioning.Sorecognisedshortcuts
suchas‘Wealsorecommend’justdon’t
applyinthesameway.”
Otherlessonsfromonlineretailersare
moredirectlyapplicable.Creatingthe
singleviewofacustomerhaslongbeen
adrivingforceforretailerssuchasJohn
Lewis,whoaspiretorecogniseindividual
shoppersregardlessofwhethertheyshop
onlineorinstore.Yettoanylargeinsurer
thathasgrownoverdecades,often
throughacquisition,thecombinationof
legacysystems,disparatedatasources
andoutsourceddepartmentsmakethe
singleviewatrickyproposition.
“Whenacustomerwhoalreadyhascar
insurancephonesuptoaskaboutpet
cover,theyshouldn’tbetreatedasanew
customer,”notesSapientNitro’sBradley
Gamage.“Theyexpecttogotoasingle
placetoseealltheproductstheyhold,or
speaktosomeonewhoknowsthat.They
expectapersonalisedexperiencewith
benefits.Butbecausetheyareidentified
byonepolicynumberforcarinsurance
andanotherfortheirhome,that’snot
happening.Andthat’sjustnotsmart.”
It’sclearthattheindustrymustchange
anditischanging.Butbydesign,it’sbuilt
forstability,notinnovation.Itcanand
doesweatherstorms,quiteliterallyinthe
caseofshippinginsurance.Anysystem
robustenoughtoabsorbshockssuch
as9/11ortheChristmastsunamiis,by
definition,analmostimmovableforce.
It’snosurprise,then,thatinsurersare
lookingtoinnovatewithintheirexisting
frameworksratherthantearingitdown
andstartingagain.
Behavinglikeastartup
Retailbusinesseshaveledthewayin
digitaltransformationformanyreasons
butprincipallybecauseputtingproducts
onlinewasalwaysaneasysell.Ona
basiclevel,ecommercemimicspaper
catalogues,withrivalsabletoshowcase
productsandpricesthatthecustomer
canreadilycomparelike-for-like.
Itwasnoaccidentthatthebiggest
breakthroughforinsurersonlinewasthe
independentpricecomparisonwebsite.
However,insurancecompaniesarenow
workinghardtotaketheirproducts
backintodigitaldomainsoftheirown
creation.WillAbbottfromHiscoxagain:
“Whilechangeisbeingdrivenbythe
needtomakeprocesseseasierforthe
customer,pricingandbuyinginsurance
“Pricing and buying insurance has
a magnitude of complexity greater
than products on Amazon”
Will Abbott, Hiscox
25
Canstartupsgetahead?
Whileexistingcompanieshavepower,
scaleandformidablereputationbutare
heldbackbylegacysystemsandculture,
theoppositeitstrueofnewentrantsinto
themarket.
Entryintofinancialserviceshasalways
beendeliberatelydifficult.Itusedtotake
aminimumof18monthsand£25mto
getabankinglicence.However,recently
revisedregulationsnowmeanabusiness
cangetalicencewithinsixmonths
andbebackedby£5mcapital-enough
tosensiblywinddown12monthsof
business.Theresulthasbeenmanymore
onlineandnicheinsurersarriving.
Inadecade,SimplyBusinesshasbecome
thelargestinsurerofsmallUKbusinesses
byconcentratingononemarket.In
Australia,trov.comseekstoengage
theyoungwithitsphoneappwhile
Boughtbymanyengagesinonlinemedia.
Allappeartobeflourishing.
Yettheproblemsfacedbystartupsare
essentiallythesameasthosefacedby
theincumbents.SaysWillAbbott:“The
companieswhoputcustomersfirstand
usetechnologytoimprovetheirproducts
andserviceswilldowell.Theonesthat
getcomplacentwon’t.”
Insurance innovators
trov.com
Originallyadigitalinventoryof
auser’shigh-valuepurchases,
Australia’strovhasbecomean
app-basedinsuranceservicewhere
insuranceandclaimsareprocessed
withjustasmartphoneswipe.The
phone-basedsystemandemphasison
coveringindividualitemsareintended
toappealtoyoungeruserswho
typicallyignoreinsurance.
simplybusiness.co.uk
Startedin2005asanonlineprice
comparisonwebsite,SimplyBusiness
isnowtheUK’slargestbrokerof
smallbusinesses,shopandlandlord
insurance.Itbrokerspublicliability,
professionalindemnityandemployers’
liabilityinsuranceforover300,000
smallbusinesses.Itisalsocurrently
rankednumberoneintheSunday
Times ‘Best100companiestowork
for’list.
boughtbymany.com
Thisonlinebrokernegotiates
discountedpremiumsforgroupswith
specificneeds.Itcurrentlysupports
289suchgroups,fromtheresidents
ofYeovilinSomersetandmobile
hairdresserstobeardedcollieowners.
Bymatching“willingbuyersand
willingsellers”itclaimsanaverage
18.6percentreductiononpremiums
foritsnearly200,000customers.
lemonade.com
Foundedin2015,NewYorkbased
Lemonadeisanonlinecarrierthat
planstooperateasapeertopeer
insurer.Itsfounderssaytraditional
insurersare“inthebusinessof
denyingclaims.”Byarranginggroups
ofsimilarpolicyholdersintoclaims
pools,Lemonade’smodelisthateach
poolselffundsclaims,witheveryone
gettingarefundfromanyremaining
potmoneyattheendofeachpolicy.
/insurance
26
“My expectation is that we soon will see
businesses such as justmymacbook or
justmykeys popping up”
Steven Mendel, boughtbymany.com
2
Betteruseofdata
Insuranceisadata-drivenindustry,with
actuariesandunderwriterscombining
realworldinformationwiththeir
experiencetodeterminethelikelihoodof
outcomesinordertosetpremiums.Thisis
settobecomefarmorefine-grained.
SaysBradleyGamage:“Houseinsurance
careslessaboutyouthanyourpost
code.Soifyou’reonthefringeofaleafy,
safeareabutshareapostcodewitha
differentarea,tough-you’llgetcharged
ahigherpremium.”Theindustrytendsto
treatindividualsasstereotypeswithina
segmentedaudience,eventhoughdata
aboutpersonalpreferencesabounds.But
byseeingwhatFacebookusersaretalking
about,forexample,insurerscantarget
marketingmessagesmoreaccurately.
Amoreanalyticaluseofthirdpartydata
canalsobeusedtobetterdeterminerisk.
Increasinglyhyperlocalweatherdatacan
determinewhetheryourhouse,notarea,
ismoreorlesspronetoflooding.Or,by
cross-referencingflightinformationwith
travelinsurancepolicies,aninsurercan
payoutonflightdelaycovermoments
afteracustomer’splanemissesitstake-
offwindow.
The problems faced by the
insurance industry are glaringly
apparent - it’s hard to love,
people find it complicated and
companies have been slow to
implement a joined-up strategy.
But what about the solution?
Here are five changes that are
likely to transform insurance
within the next five years…
thingsthat
lieahead
1
Improvingtheuserjourney
Whenmostcrosschanneltransactions
arequickandeasy,insurancecontinues
tobefrequentlyslowandfrustrating.
Educatingcustomersastothereasonsfor
thisispartofthesolutionbutimproving
interfacesisapriorityforallinsurers.
Whateverittakestomaketheprocess
lesspainfulcanandwillbetried.Aviva
currentlyhasaMyDriveappwhosein-car
telemetricsmonitorhowyoudrive.On
thesurface,thisseemstobeamechanic
thatrewardssafedrivingwithalower
premium,althoughthis‘gamification’
ofinsuranceisasmuchaboutengaging
customersasreducingspeeding.
Ifsmartwatchfitnessdatastartsto
affecthealthinsurancepremiumsinthe
sameway,itsprimaryaimwouldsurely
betogetitsuserstopromoteinsurance
throughsocialmediachannels.
27
3
Microtransactions
andone-stopshops
Thinkingsmallerandthinkingbigger
aretwoendsofthespectrumthatshow
potentialforgrowth.Atoneextreme,
there’stheever-increasingcostof
individualitemsthatcustomersleavethe
housewith.Smartphonearehundredsof
pounds,whileevenamid-levelroadcycle
cancostsseveralthousand.Singleitem
insuranceservicetrov.comisprobably
justthefirst,thinksStevenMendel.
“Myexpectationisthatwesoonwillsee
businessessuchasjustmymacbookor
justmykeyspoppingup,”hesays.
Attheotherextreme,asingleprovider
foreverythingisanequallyappealing
propositiontocustomerswhofearthe
annualdrudgeryofrenewal.Onlyby
treatingeachcustomerasanindividual
whoholdsnumerouspoliciesrather
thanasetofpoliciesthathappentobe
takenoutbythesameindividualcan
theindustryworktowardsseamlessly
offeringasinglestopforhome,car,life,
health,pet,dentalandtravelinsurance.
4
Blockchain
Thepowerofblockchainandthe
distributedledgeristhatitcreates
secureyettransferablerecordsthatare
tamperfree.Mostwidelyassociatedwith
cryptocurrencies,blockchainalsoallows
anindividualtoholdtheirowndata.
Thishasaprofoundimplicationforthe
insuranceindustry:ifalltheinformation
abouteveryinsuranceproductismade
freelyavailableonlineandifevery
customerhasproofofalltheirdetailsand
historiesonblockchain,there’sverylittle
callforamiddleman.
Theresellersofinsurancearethebig
namedcompanieswhospendmostof
theirmoneyonmarketingbuthave
verylittleoftheriskassociatedwith
thepolicy.Theunderwritersarethe
companiescreatingthepolicies:they
shouldertheriskbutspendlittleon
marketingsincetheyselltothebig
companies.Sowhatifthecustomersstart
goingstraighttotheunderwriters?
5
Redefiningwhataninsureris
Eventoday,manynewcarbuyerstakeout
financeandinsuranceintheshowroom.
Whilethesetendtobewhitelabelthird
partyservicesbadgedtomatchthecar
brand,otherretailersarealsolookingto
getinonthisaction.
JohnLewishassuchbrandaffinitythat
fewcustomerswouldthinktwiceabout
notonlybuyinganewsofabutalso
insuringitthroughthem.RadioTimes,
withitshuge,agingsubscriberbase,is
lookingatnotonlymovingintotravel
insurancebutalsopackageholidaysas
perfectlysynchronousoffshootstothe
magazinebusiness.
In conclusion
Insurancewillalwaysbeatoughsell
– youbuyaproductthatyoudon’t
want,can’tseeandhopeyou’llnever
havetouse.Yetbymakingiteasier,
byincorporatingitintosocialmedia
conversationsandbyadaptingittosuit
theneedsofyoungergenerations,this
vastbusinesssectorischangingour
perceptionsofit.Itmayneverbeahot
topicbutintime,wemayallstartto
changetheconversationtowardsthe
protectionthissafetynetofferstous
allandawayfromtheonerousburdenof
premiumsorthedifficultiesofrenewal.
/blockchain
28
Disrupted
loyalties
Taking identity management
back from big business
Blockchain consultancy firm Distributed Vision’s co-founder Ian Gass
on how we should be reclaiming our online identities
29
lthoughperhapshard
toimagine,thereare
currentlytechnologies
onthehorizonthathave
asignificantchanceofdisruptingthe
dominationofGAFA–Google,Apple,
FacebookandAmazon.AlltheGAFA
companiesrequirenetworkeffectsfor
theirbusinessmodels,whichinturn
requireloyalty.Theproblemforusers
isthat,overtime,shouldyourloyalties
becomedividedforanyreason(for
example,youbecomeuncomfortable
withthelevelofpersonalinformationa
singlenetworkhas),theonlyoptionyou
haveistoleavethatnetwork,therefore
leavingallthatpersonaldatabehind.
Loyaltyisthereforeintertwinedwith
identitybuttechnologywillsooncreatea
fundamentalchangetothatstructureof
identitymanagement.
Currentcomputingnetworksrely
onorganisationalsuppliedservers
storingandprotectingourdata,
effectivelya‘walled-garden’that
usersexpectorganisationstodefend.
Yetnewdecentralisedpeer-to-peer
technologiesnowpermittheencryption
andauthenticationofindividualdata
elements.Thismeansnotonlynoneed
forserversbutalsononeedforthe
companiesthatprotectthem.
It’sallaboutidentity
Weliveinaparadoxicalworldwhenit
comestodigitalidentity.Rigorouslaws
existtopreservetheconfidentiality
andprivacyofourpersonaldata,yet
weregularlysignawayandwaivethose
rightscontractuallythrough‘termsof
service’thatfewofusread.Bydoing
this,wethenpermitastaggeringamount
ofourdatatobesoldandshared.
Anecdotally,ourcollectiveattitude
towardsidentitymanagementseems
tovaryenormously,fromparanoidto
apathetictoignorant.Theseattitudes
tendtochangedependingonboth
demographicsandnationalities.Itis
interestingthatGenerationY,whose
adultlivesarelikelytobeheavily
digitised,seemtobefarmoreawareof
personaldatainfringementsbutalsoless
concerned,providedtheyknowtheycan
control‘write’access.
Thisisaworryingstateofaffairs,since
historyshowsusthatverybadthings
canhappenwhenwerelegateprivacy
toa‘nicetohave’status.Thereisalong
listofhistoricalevidence,forexample
theRwandangenocideof1994or
theadministrativeefficiencyinthe
NetherlandspriortotheSecondWorld
War,whichdirectlycontributedtoa
highpercentageoftheDutch-Jewish
population(75percent)beingidentified,
foundandmurderedduringtheyearsof
Germanoccupation.
Longperiodsofstabilityservetoweaken
theimportancethatsocietiesplaceon
identityandprivacy,whichisparticularly
relevantrightnow.Thecurrentstructure
oftheinternet,combinedwiththe
rapidpaceofchangeintechnologyand
services,meanweallhavetoaccept
termswe’dprobablyrathernot.
Therisksandconsequencesofdoingso
areamplifiedbythefactthatmostof
the‘free’onlineservicesandcontent
weconsumeisfundedthroughtargeted
advertising.Theimplicationsofthis
arenotfullyunderstoodbymost
people,whichiswhyitisnoaccident
thatlegislationischangingtoensure
businessesnowpayattentioninstead.
Conflictingidentityobjectives
BeforeIgointothetechnology,itis
worthhighlightingsomeofthehigh
levelissuesthatsurroundidentity.In
ordertogoaboutourcomplicatedlives,
weneedbothprivacyandtransparency,
yetitistheseconflictingobjectivesthat
causecomplexityandconfusion.Weall
bothneedandwantthepotentialtobe
differentpersona,indifferentsituations
andatdifferenttimes.It’sforthisreason
thatthecurrentfragmentedmanagement
ofonlineidentity,whichallowsany
individualtocreateanynumberof
accountsandidentities,isnotnecessarily
acompletedisaster.Whilethissystemis
inefficientandinsecure,attheveryleast,
ithasallowedforustokeepsomedegree
ofsegregationbetweenourpersonae.
However,we’reatatippingpoint.
Thesheernumberofonlineaccounts
andidentitieswealltrytomanageis
impracticalandrunstheriskofweak
passwordprotection.Tomakematters
worse,thereisalongandinfamouslistof
organisationsthathavefailedtoprotect
ourpersonaldata.
Isdataanassetoraliability?
Intheinternetage,thegatheringofdata
hasalwaysbeenconsideredanasset.That
isabouttochange.Take,forexample,the
newEUGeneralDataProtectionRules
“The missing link is very nearly here
and it’s called DENCS – Decentralised
Encrypted Networked Computers”
(EUGDPR),whichimposeanumber
offairlypunitiveobligationsonall
companiesastohowthey(andtheir
commercialrelationshipswithwhomthey
sharedata)handletheprivatedataofEU
citizens.TheEUGPDRisamuch-needed
pieceoflegislationinaworldthatsays
onethingbutdoesanotherwithprivate
data.Itisinevitablethatcompanieswill
betakentocourtoverbreachesrelating
totheEUGPDRandwhenthishappens,
theideaofthisdatabeingaliabilitywill
begintopermeatethroughbigbusiness.
Tocombattheseidentitymanagement
failures,therehasbeenanoticeable
increaseinidentity-basedbusinesses,
inadditiontowell-publicisedeffortsby
thelikesofGoogle,FacebookandApple
tofacilitatesinglesign-onservices.
WhileIapplaudtheeffortsofsomeof
thesecompanies,thereisafundamental
long-termdisconnectbetween
theseparticularcorporatebusiness
motivationsandtheinterestsoftheusers
attheircore.Evenifcurrentmotivations
arepure,no-oneknowswithcertainty
howthesecompanieswillbehaveinthe
future.Withoutsignificantcompromise,
itisunavoidableoverthelong-runforany
networkorservicetohaveanythingother
thantheprotectionofpersonaldataat
itscore.
Let’sdoitdifferently
Whatisneededisidentitymanagement
attheedgesofconnectednetworks
ratherthanatthecentre.Todate,thishas
alwaysbeentechnicallyimpossiblebutit
isthisthatisabouttochange.Advancesin
peer-to-peertechnology,cryptography,
blockchainanddecentralisedcontributed-
computingresourcesareabouttoofferus
anewparadigmofdigitalidentityanddata
management.Thesehavethepotential
toimpacttheentireworldaroundus,
fromthewaygovernmentsarerunand
howwevoteforthem,tohowweconduct
business,howwefundandaccesscurated
contentandhowwemanageourfinances.
We’reataveryinterestingtimein
computinghistory.Liveworkingexamples
existofdecentralisedpeer-to-peer
computingsystemsthatenablethe
electronictransferofassets,includingthe
agreementandsettlementofcontracts
throughtechnologiessuchasEthereum,
BitcoinandTendermint.
Thereisagreatdealofexcitement
surroundingthecommercialapplication
ofthesetypeoftechnologiesbut
theycurrentlytendtocomeatacost.
Specifically,thetrustedprovenanceof
thesenetworkstendstoalsocomewith
pseudonymityratherthantrueanonymity.
Althoughyoucaninteractwiththe
networksunderanameotherthanyour
own,youridentitytothenetworkwillbe
thepseudonymyouassume.Whileitis
possibleforasingleusertocreatemany
pseudonyms,itisequallypossiblethat
overtime,thisuser’strafficorhistory
couldbeusedtoidentifythem.Notethat
thisisnotinherentlybad,indeeditcan
bedesirable.Itisjustnotdesirableallthe
timeinallcircumstances.
ItisforthesereasonsthatIthink
blockchaintechnologiesareanimportant
andnecessaryingredientofidentity
managementbutthat theyarenotthe
completesolution.
Themissinglinkisnearlyhere–
DecentralisedEncryptedNetworked
Computers(‘DENCs’).Thecombination
ofbothDENCsandblockchainswill
createtherightconditionsneededfor
identitymanagement.Itwillpermitthe
appropriatebalancebetweentransparency
andanonymity,transitoryrecordsand
permanence.Itwillallowindividualsto
trulycontroltheirdatabypermittingthe
appropriatelevelofdisclosuretowhatever
datatheychooseunderagreedand
transparentterms.
TheendofGAFA?
Itishardtooverstatetheimpactthis
wouldhavewereittohappen.Atthevery
leastitwouldleadtoarethinkofcertain
businessmodels.Inthesamewaythat
ad-blockingwebbrowsersarecreating
panicamongonlinebusinessesthatrely
onadvertisingastheirprimarysourceof
revenue,anidentity-basedconfiguration
asdescribedabovecouldhaveanot-
dissimilarimpactontheGAFAcompanies. 
Otherestablishedbusinesseswouldalso
beinthefiringline.Agoodexampleis
Microsoft,asitsdominanceofcorporate
ITsystemsispartlypredicatedonits
directoryservices,whichcouldvery
quicklybecomeredundant.
UserloyaltytoGAFAcompaniesandother
householdnamesmaybeabouttoshift.
Howwillthataffectusall?Onlytimewill
makethatapparent.
IanGassisco-founderofDistributed
Vision,ablockchainconsultancy
www.distributed.vision
“The trusted provenance of these
networks tends to also come with
pseudonymity rather than anonymity”
/blockchain
30
Think blockchain is all about Bitcoin?
Think again. Collin Thompson
highlights ten innovative startups
who are taking blockchain in
very different directions
Beyond
Banking
/blockchain
32
33
Provenanceisareal-timedataplatformthatallowsbrandsto
takestepstowardgreatertransparencybytracingtheoriginsand
historiesofproducts.Withitstechnology,userscaneasilygather
andverifystories,keepthemconnectedtophysicalthingsand
embedthemanywhereonline.
JessiBakerandDrJuttaSteinerbringsomeserioustechnological
chopstothisproject,asbothhaveadeepunderstandingof
supply-chainengineeringandcryptography,whichlendswell
toauniqueperspectiveonproduct‘proofofexistence’and
transparencyutilisingtheblockchain.
ProvenanceisbasedinSouthEastAsiaandwhilethisisarea
hosttoafewimportantfinancialservicescentres,anevenlarger
opportunityfortransformationlieswithinshipping,logistics,
andcommercialtrade.Theregionishometofouroftheworld’s
topfiveshippingports:Shanghai,Shenzhen,Singaporeand
HongKong.Underthisvastindustryumbrellaexistsarich
varietyofsubcategoriesthatwouldallbewellservedbythe
Provenanceplatform.Luxurygoodsisagreatexample,asit’s
facedanongoingbattletowipeoutthescourgeofcounterfeit
productswhichProvenanceseemsprimedtomitigate.Outsideof
thisarea,onecanonlyimaginewhatthetechnologycouldmean
fortheartworld.
www.provenance.org
Cominginaclosesecondonmylistisastealthystartupcoming
outoftheMITmedialabcalledEnigma.LeadbyGuyZiskind
andOzNathanandadvisedbyProfAlexPentland,Enigma
isadecentralisedcloudplatformthatguaranteesprivacy.
Privatedataisstored,sharedandanalysedwithouteverbeing
fullyrevealedtoanyparty.Itprovidessecuremulti-party
computation,empoweredbytheblockchain.
Thisisasfuturisticandradicalastheblockchaingetsandif
proved–it’sstillinbeta–couldbeoneofthemostimportant
innovationstocomeoutinthespaceasitsolvestwoofthemost
difficultandpressingproblemsintechnologytoday,privacyand
security.Thiscorefunction,layeredontopofdistributedcloud
technology,isadynamiccombinationthatcouldtransform
howdataisstoredandretrieved.Itcouldpotentiallyprovide
industriesasdiverseasfinance,healthandcivilserviceswiththe
underlyingtrustandsecuritytotrulyunlockthepotentialofnext
generationmobileapplications.
enigma.media.mit.edu
Provenance
Enigma
/blockchain
34
Warning:thiscompanyisonlyabout
10,000fthighonthehardcoretech-nerd
scalebutisextremelyimportantnone
theless.IPFSisshortforInterplanetary
FileSystemanditdoesexactlywhatthat
nameentails.
Thinkofitasrewiringandre-routing
theentireinternetsothattrainsrunand
stopontimeandgopreciselywherethey
needtogo,allwhilegreatlyreducing
redundancy.Designedbythevisionary
technologistJuanBenet,IPFSisapeer-
to-peerdistributedfilesystemthatseeks
toconnectallcomputingdeviceswith
thesamesystemoffiles.Insomeways,
IPFSissimilartothewebbutIPFScould
alsobeseenasasingleBitTorrentswarm,
exchangingobjectswithinoneGit
repository.Inotherwords,IPFSprovides
ahighthroughputcontent-addressed
blockstoragemodel,withcontent-
addressedhyperlinks.
Lookformoreearlystagestartupsand
innovatorstoexperimentwiththisopen
sourcetechnologytotrulycreatesome
out-therenextgenerationtechnologies.
ipfs.io
UnderthestoicleadershipofJoseph
Lubin,Consensysisanantifragile
organisationthatissteepedinthe
theoreticalframeworksofRonaldCoase.
Ahubandspokemodel,itnurtures
aloosefederationofblockchain
technologistsallworkinginmultiple
verticals,yetleveragestheircollective
understandingandskills.Someofthe
companiescurrentlyundertheConsensys
umbrellaaregoodenoughtostandalone
hereonthistoptenlist,especiallyUport
andUjomusic.
LookforConsensystobuildupon
theirsuccesswithBlockAppsandthe
MicrosoftcollaborationonAzure,as
theirfederationandcoreteamgrowsto
bringsomeexcitinginnovationsinthe
blockchainspace.
consensys.net
AsmalloffshootoftheEthereumProject
leadbytheproject’sco-founderand
coreCdeveloper,DrGavinWood,EthCore
hasanall-starcastofhardcoredevelopers
andthoughtleaders,includingDrJutta
SteinerandVitalikButerin,whoaspire
toenablebusinessesandorganisations
tocapitaliseonblockchaintechnology
andbenefitfromthenewopportunities
itpresents.Theydevelopcutting-edge
softwaresolutionsforenterprisesand
industriestounlockthefullvalueof
decentralisedtechnology.
Atthevanguardofblockchain
technology,theEthcoreteamisprimed
tobeworkingonanddrivingalotofthe
changeintheindustryformultinational
businessesandgovernments.
ethcore.io
IPFSConsenys
Ethcore
35
Oneofthemostthoughtfulandambitiousprojectsinthe
blockchainthisyearisleadbyaformerartist/designernamed
JackDuRose.BeforeColony,Jackwasthejewellerwhocreated
FortheLoveofGod–theinfamousDamienHirstdiamondskull.
JackandColonyaretakingon“thefutureofwork”andarenow
droppingthefutureintoourhands,andalsoourlaptops.They
havecreatedabeautifullydesigneddecentralisedautonomous
organisationthatreplicatesacompany,exceptinsteadofbeing
managedbyfallibleindividuals,Colonyharnessesthewisdom
ofthecrowdusingAItoensurethattherightthingsgetdone
bytherightpeople,attherighttime.Peoplecannowconvene
andcollaborateonlargescaleprojects,evenstartups,andhave
awaytomanageandmeasureproductivityinordertoprovide
themeansforpeopletogetpaid.Colonyallowscreatorstostock
valueintheirowncryptocurrency,called‘nectar’.
Watchforstartupaccelerators,hackathonsandopensource
projectsaroundtheworldtotakenoticeofwhatJackandthe
Colonyteamhavecreated,asitsolvesmanyoftheorganisational
issuesoftalentandcapitallocalisation,aswellascompensation
foropensourceprojects.
colony.io
Colony
BasedinTelAviv,withawelldefinedandbroadlyskilledteam
ofengineersandthoughtleaders,Backfeeddevelopsresilient
technologyandneweconomicmodelsthatsupportfree,
large-scale,systematiccollaboration.Basedonadistributed
governancemodel,Backfeedprotocolsmakeitpossiblefor
peopletoeasilydeployandmaintaindecentralisedapplications
andorganisationsthatrelyonthespontaneousandvoluntary
contributionofhundreds,thousandsorevenmillionsofpeople.
BackfeedisledbyDrMatanField,atheoreticalphysicistturned
entrepreneurwhowasalsothefounderofopen-sourceand
decentralisedcollaborativetransportationsystemLaZouzand
isdedicatedtochallengingthenotionofworkandorganisations
intheageofglobalisation.Buildingontheemergingblockchain
ecosystem,Backfeeddevelopsgrassroots-poweredtechnology
thatenablesscale-freehumancooperation.Thetoolkitsit
providesofferresilientinfrastructureandinnovativeeconomic
modelsthatpromotetheviabilityandsustainabilityof
decentralisedcommunitiesaswellaslegacyorganisations
throughequitabledistributionofco-createdvalue.
Asananalogy,iftheblockchaincanberegardedastheTCP/IP
(communicationlayeroftheinternet),Backfeedisbuildinga
canonicalprotocolandplatform(akintotheHTTPprotocoland
thewebbrowser)toenableblockchain-baseddecentralised
collaborationaseasilyasonewoulddeployawebsitetoday.
backfeed.cc
Backfeed
Blockchain architecture, research,
training and advisory services
Check out our Get Started package for corporations
www.chainsmiths.com
Enoughhasalreadybeensaidabout
Ethereumandtheprecociousand
visionaryleaderVitalikButerin,soIreally
don’thavethecapabilitytoaddmuch
moreotherthanthecourageandverveof
theproject,andteam,areinspiringand
everyoneshouldwatchwhattheyputout
thisyear.Iwishthemthebestingrowing
andscalingtheprojectsothatmore
innovationcanspringfromtheirinsights.
www.ethereum.org
Slock.itstandsattheintersectionoftwo
oftechnology’shottestareas–IoTand
blockchain.ItexploreshowEthereum
lightnodesembeddedinconnected
cars,homesandbusinessescould
revolutionisetheemergingsharing
economyinfrastructurebyenabling
anyonetorent,sellorsharetheir
propertywithoutamiddleman.It’sledby
oneoftheco-foundersoftheEthereum
project,StephanTual,andtheJentzsch
brothersSimonandChristoph.The
Slock.itcrewhasbeenatthevanguardfor
awhilenow,creatingsomeinteresting
productsaroundphysicallocks,mobility
andconnecteddevices.
slock.it
Sothere’smylist.They’reallgreatteamsworkingonsomeseriouslyinterestingproblems
andopportunitiesthatarehelpingtransformindustriesandtheworldthroughtheuse
ofimaginationandblockchain.Anyonewho’severscaledastartupwillknowthatit’san
unglamorousprocessthattakesasignificantamountofenergywithoutanyguaranteeof
success.IapplaudallthefoundersandteamsI’velistedfortheirvisionandcourage.
Theseguysaresmallandjuststarting
outbutIgotachancetotalktothe
founder,TerekJudi,andIreallyliked
hisfocusandambition.Plexisan
automotivetelematicsplatformthatuses
Ethereum,machinelearningandartificial
intelligencetogiveinsurancecompanies
real-time,remotediagnosticsonacar
anditsdriver.
Insuranceisastaidandwellmonied
industrythatdeservesmoreattention
fromtheblockchaincommunity,
especiallywiththedawningageof
automateddriving.
plex.ai
Ethereum
Slock.it Plex
CollinThompsonistheco-founderand
managingdirectorofIntrepidVentures,
aventuredevelopmentfirmthatinvests,
buildsandacceleratesblockchainand
IoTcompanies.
Conclusion
37
IoTforthe
management
consultant
Internet of Things investor Timothy Chou explains the value of
web-enabled machines to both manufacturers and users
38
/internet_of_things
39
samanagement
consultant,you’llalready
befamiliarwithsuch
buzzwordsastheInternet
ofThings(IoT),IndustrialInternetand
Industry4.0.Butwhatstaffresources
dobusinessesneedtoimplementan
IoTsolution?Howdoyoudealwiththe
client’ssecurityfears?And,maybemore
fundamentally,whointheorganisation
actuallyownsIoT?We’llanswereachof
theseinturnandhopefullyleaveyoualot
moreenlightened…
Let’sstartwithwhotheclientisby
dividingtheworldintoenterprisesthat
build‘Things’andbusinessesthatuse
them.SoAGCObuildscombineharvesters
butAugustFarmsusesthem.GEbuilds
MRIscannersbuttheChildren’sHospital
ofOrangeCountyusesthem.Goldwind
buildswindturbinesbutSemprauses
themtogenerateelectricity.Andsoon.
TobusinessesthatbuildThings,the
benefitoftheIoTisthataconnected
Thingwillgiveahigherqualityofservice.
Acombineharvestermustbereadyto
workround-the-clockduringharvest
time,soonethatcanselfanalyseto
predictfailureduringitslengthydown
timeisanobviouswin.Acompanythat
rentsconstructionequipmentglobally
canspend$1bnonmaintenancesoagain,
usingdatatoimprovemaintenancehas
massiveimplicationsonoperatingcosts.
Thisisinterestingtoexecutivesonthe
productorservicesideofthebusiness.
ButCEOsofleadingmanufacturersare
alsobeginningtounderstandthatthe
internethasthepotentialtochange
theirbusinessmodelsinordertoallow
foradditionalsourcesofrevenue
andproductdifferentiation.These
newer,web-enabledmodelsfollow
apathpioneeredbytheenterprise
softwarecompanies.Ifyourealisethat
increasingly,thevalueofthemachinesis
inthesoftware,thenthisshouldcomeas
nosurprisetoyou.
As-a-servicemodel
Theinternethasenabledthe‘as-a-
service’modelforITinfrastructureand
software.TheIoTenablesmachines-as-
a-serviceorequipment-as-a-service
businessmodelsforallkindsofproducts,
potentiallyallowingmanytypesof
companytoshiftfromsellingproductsto
sellingservicesbasedontheseproducts.
Thismodelcantransformlargecapital
expendituresintoapay-by-usage
operatingexpense.Emergingexamples
ofthistrendincludesellingtyresbythe
numberofmilesdriven,compressors
bytheamountofusageandindustrial
coalminingmachinessuppliedbasedon
thevolumeofcoalmined.Sellingsuch
serviceswilloftenbemoreprofitable
thansellingtheproductstheyarebased
on.Inyourindustry,whileyoumaynot
wanttotaketheriskofbeingthefirstto
moveintoofferingproduct-as-a-service,
youcertainlywon’twanttobethelast.
Reducingconsumables
Let’smoveontotheenterprisesthat
useThings:hospitals,farms,airlines,
manufacturersandutilities.Whyshould
theycareaboutweb-enabledprecision
technology?Thereareatleastfour
reasons:lowerconsumablecosts,higher
qualityservice,healthierproductsand
saferservices.
Mostmachinesrequireconsumables
tooperate.Planesneedfuel,gene
sequencersneedchemicalreagentsand
soon.Anyonewho’severrunaninkjet
printerknowsthatthemachinerarely
costsmorethanthetonerusedoverits
lifetimeandgenerally,consumablesare
sointegralthattheyformalargeportion
ofanyoperationalcoststructure.It
followthatanyreductioninconsumables
canbeasignificantbenefit.
Let’stakeNickAugust,ownerofAugust
Farms,asanexample.Precisionfarming
canlowerthecostofconsumables
suchasfuel,fertiliserandpesticides
andNickestimatesthatwithprecision
agriculturalmachines,hecanreducefuel
consumptionfrom60to5.9litresper
hectareforcropestablishment.That’s
ahugesavingtohimbutofcourse,he
alsousesfertilisersandpesticidesand
areducedconsumptionofthosenot
onlyreduceshiscosts,italsocreatesa
healthierproductthat’shavinglessofan
environmentalimpact.
Application
Sowhattechnologiesandskillsdoes
abusinessneedinordertoimplement
anIoTsolution?Suchapplicationscan
“CEOs of leading manufacturers are
beginning to understand that the
internet has the potential to change
their business models”
40
beverycomplexbecausetheycrossso
manydifferentdomains.Inmyrecently
publishedbook,Precision:Principles,
PracticesandSolutionsfortheInternet
ofThings,wesimplifythedomainintoa
five-layerframework:Things,Connect,
Collect,Learn,Do…
Thingsarebecomingsmarter.Driven
bythewidespreaduseofsensorsincell
phones,costshaveplummeted,allowing
next-genmachinestoincludenumerous
sensors–arecentoildrillingplatform
intheGulfofMexicohasover40,000.
Thecontinuingreductionincomputing
anddatastoragecostsallowsanyThing
–acropsprayer,bloodanalyserorsolar
grid–tobedrivenbyincreasinglymore
sophisticatedsoftware.AsanyTesla
ownercantellyou,theytendtogetnew
featuresmoreoftenthantherestofus.
ConnectingThingsrequireadiverseset
oftechnologiesbasedontheamountof
datathatneedstobetransmitted,how
faritneedstogoandhowmuchpower
youhave.Youalsohavemanychoiceson
howtomanagetheconnectionandhowit
isprotectedandsecured.
CollectingthishugevolumeofIoTdata
willbeachallenge.Currently,datamight
typicallycollectedandstoredusing
SQL,NoSQLandtraditionaltime-series
fromcompaniessuchasIBM,SAP,Oracle
andTeradata.Yourdataarchitectwill
bedealingwithadifferentkindofdata
thanatraditionaltransactionprocessing
systems.Learningandanalysisproducts
willalsoberequiredtomakesenseof
thisfloodofdata.Eachproductwill
includequerytechnologyaswellasboth
supervisedandunsupervisedmachine-
learningtechnologies.Because,until
now,wehavemostlyfocusedonIoP
(InternetofPeople)applications,mostof
thetechnologyappliedtolearningfrom
datastreamshasbeenappliedtolearning
fromdataaboutpeople.Machine-
learninginnovationisbeingdrivenby
largecompaniessuchasIBMandtheir
well-knownWatsontechnologyaswellas
companiesassmallasLecida,astealth
startupfromStanford.
InIoPthereisasetofhorizontal
packagedapplicationforERP,CRM,
PurchasingandHR.Thesamewillbetrue
ofIoT.AnexampleofanIoTmanagement
applicationcomesfromacompanycalled
Oomnitza.Traditionalassetmanagement
assumesthingsaredumb,soaperson
needstoscanabarcodeortypean
identifierintoanIoPapp.Furthermoreif
theThingneedstobeserviced,aperson
issuestheserviceorder. Butinthe
newworld,Thingsaresmartandcanbe
programmed.Sopotentially,eachThing
cannowidentifyitselfandissueitsown
servicerequest.
LiketheIoPworld,therewillbemany
morecustomapplicationsthanpackaged
applications.Manycompaniesare
startingtoprovidemiddleware,from
largecompaniessuchasGEwithPredix
downtoyoungcompaniessuchas
AtomitonwiththeiruniqueThingQuery
Language(TQL).Asmanyinthesoftware
industryalreadyknow,themovement
todeliveringsoftwareasaservicehas
revolutionisedtheenterprisesoftware
industry.Itpromisestobenodifferent
forenterprisesthatbuildmachinesand
thosewhousethem.
Amatterofsecurity
Nomatterwhichpartofthefivelayers
you’redesigningonorusing,you’llhave
tomakesureyou’reconsideringissues
relatingtosecurity.Someofthesewill
beuniquetoIoT.Forexample,datafrom
/internet_of_things
41
machinesasdifferentasagricultural
equipment,compressorsorgene
sequencerwillconsistoftwokindsof
data:machinedataandwhatI’mgoingto
callnomicdata.
What’sthedifference?Well,agene
sequencerhasmachinedatasuchasthe
powerlevelofthelaserortheamountof
chemicalreagents.Butitalsogenerates
ge-nomicdata,theactualgenesequence.
Onthefarm,seedspreadersandfertiliser
sprayersgeneratemachinedatasuch
asspeed,oilpressureandlocation,
alongsideagro-nomicdatasuchasthe
nitrogenlevelofthesoilorthemoisture
levelofthegrain.
Shouldallofthisdatabeavailabletothe
buildersofmachines?Carmanufactures
mightnotwanttosharethedatafrom
theirconstructionrobotsasthismightbe
usedtoforecastthecompany’squarterly
results.Semiconductormanufacturers
mightnotwantsensitiveprocessdata
outsideoftheirfourwallsforsimilar
reasonswhileChinesewindturbine
companiesmightnotwantenergydata
goingtoforeigncountries.Thisisgoing
tobeanongoingdebatesinceclearlythe
machinemanufacturercanonlybuilda
morereliable,secure,performantproduct
ifthisdataisshared.
Assomeonewho’sworkedinthearea
ofcloudcomputingforyearsI’moften
asked,“Isthecloudsecure?”Itellthem
thatweneedamoresophisticated
authenticationmightbeabletoskip
aheadandmovetoschemeswhich
requirenopasswords.
Akeyprincipleinbuildingsecuresystems
isauditing–therecordingofallthe
changesthathappentoanapplication
anditsunderlyingtechnology.Because
anysystembuiltbypeoplewillhave
flaws,youwanttobeabletostudythe
audittrailinordertoidentifythesource.
Intrusiondetectionsolutionsusereal
timeauditingtosoundthealarmwhen
asecurityfaultoccurs.Maybeoneday
likethecharactersinthemovieMinority
Report,we’llbeabletodiscoverasecurity
faultbeforeithappens.Whichbringsus
neatlytosecuritytesting…
Thereisawidevarietyofsecurity
testswhichcanberuntodetermine
whetherthesecurityoftheapplication
andunderlyingtechnologycanbe
compromised.Sincethisclassof
operationsmanagementcloudservices
isavailablefromanumberofcompanies,
itstillremainstobeseenwhatuniversal
standardswillemergeforIoT.
We’reonlyatthebeginningofthiswave
oftechnology,whatIthinkofasthethird
generationofenterprisesoftware.As
amanagementconsultant,youshould
considerbecomingastudentofthis
area.AsItellmyStanfordstudents,our
industryhassofaronlyreallyaffectedthe
virtualworld.We’vemadeiteasiertopay
forthingsorplanatripbutaswestart
beingabletousesoftwaretochangethe
physicalworld,we’regoingtoneedto
buildamoreprecisionplanet.
understandingwhattheword“secure”
actuallymeans.Securityisacomplex
topicbutasamanagementconsultant,
it’susefultosimplifythesubject.
AnyIoTapplicationissecureonlyifit
meetsfeaturespecificationsinfivekey
areas:hardening,identityandaccess
management,auditing,testingand,
finally,compliance.
ThesecurityofanyIoTapplication
dependsonnotonlytheintegrityof
theapplicationitselfbutalsoallthe
supportingsoftwareandhardware.Soat
thebasiclevel,youmustmakesurethe
latestsecuritypatcheshavebeenapplied
andtherearenovirusesormalware.A
well-documentedvulnerabilityinanIoT
applicationisthestoryoftheStuxNet
virus.Ifeverythingfromtheapplication
downtothenetworkisnothardened,
allbetsareoff.Aspecificexampleofa
securityfeatureforanIoTapplication
mightbethatfromthetimeasecurity
patchisissuedfromtensuppliers,433
testsareappliedandthepatchisplaced
intoproductionwithin32minutes,plus
orminus15seconds.
Theimplementationofanysuch
securitypolicyisdependentonknowing
theidentityofanindividual.Once
authenticated,accessmanagement
isdecidingwhatdataoroperations
anindividualcando.Justlikethe
speakeasiesduringtheProhibitionera,
someoneinsidehastoknowwhoyou
beforeyoucanenter.Thingormachine
TimothyChouistheformerpresidentof
OracleOnDemand,alectureratStanford
UniversityandchairmanofLecida,an
industrialmachinelearningcompany.
“As someone who’s worked in the area
of cloud computing for years I’m often
asked, “Is the cloud secure?”
just18people.The2,500squarefeet
officeuseda3Dprinterthatwas20feet
high,120feetlongand40feetwide,
suppliedbyaChinese3Dprintingand
constructioncompanycalledWinSun
Global.Partswereprintedinconcrete
beforebeingassembledonsiteinjusttwo
days.Afurtherthreemonthswerethen
requiredtofitout,decorateandfurnish
theofficebuilding.
hefirstfullyfunctional
officecreatedusing3D
printingtechnologyhas
openedinDubai.The‘Office
oftheFuture’sitsatthefootofEmirates
Towersandwasofficiallyinaugurated
on23MaybyHisHighnessSheikh
MohammedbinRashidAlMaktoum,
VicePresidentandPrimeMinisterofthe
UAEandrulerofDubai.Hesaid,“Today
/3d_printing
42
Laura Cox reports on an experimental building in Dubai that
lays the foundations of a major disruption to construction
weannouncetheopeningofthefirst
3D-printedoffice,afterlessthanamonth
oflaunchingDubai3Dprintingstrategy.
Theworldischangingrapidlyandwehave
toaccelerateourpaceofdevelopment,
together.Historydoesnotrecogniseour
plansbutourachievements.”
Thestructuretookjust17daystoprint
and,significantly,employedateamof
atriumphinenergyefficiency.Theoffice
usesLEDlighting,responsivebuilding
systemsandlowenergyairconditioning
throughout.Thespacewasdesignedto
encourageinventive,reflectiveworkand
facilitatespontaneousmeetings.
AccordingtothegovernmentofDubai,
theprojectcostaround$140,000to
complete.Throughtheuseofsucha
small,specialistteam,labourcosts
were50percentlowerthanasimilar
buildingbuiltusingconventional
techniques.TheOfficeoftheFuture
isasmuchastatementofintentasa
constructionproject,literallysetting
instonethecountry’scommitmentto
using3Dprintingtechniquesinaquarter
ofitsbuildingsitesby2030.Fromthe
standpointofreducedlabourcostsalone,
it’seasytoseewhy.
“Weseethisprojectasacasestudy
thatwillprovidevaluablelessons,”said
SheikhMohammed.“Itwillalsobenefit
governmentsaroundtheworldasthey
seektobetterunderstandandtake
advantageofthisimportanttechnology.”
Theprojectisregardedasacornerstone
forrealestateandhealthcare,aswellas
WatchtheconstructionoftheOfficeof
theFuturehere:http://bit.ly/1sNoM96
43
CreatingtheOfficeoftheFutureispart
ofalargerstrategycalledtheDubai
FutureAgenda,whichrepresentsthe
country’scommitmenttodeveloping
initiativeswithglobalpartners.The
officewillbethetemporaryhome
oftheDubaiFutureFoundation,the
governmentagencyresponsiblefor
prototypingfuturistictechnologies.It’s
hopedthattheadoptionof3Dprinting
onsuchalargescalewillencouragethe
disruptionofvarioussectors,aswell
asinspireotherglobalpowerstoinvest
inadditivemanufacturingtoincrease
costefficiency.Thissinglestoreyspace
haspavedthewayforthecreationof
multistoreystructuresthatwillcombine
theinnovativedesignpotentialof3D
printedconcretepieceswithease-of-
productionandcostbenefits.
Printingtime
17days
3Dprintedmaterials
Glassfiber-reinforced
gypsum,fiber-reinforced
plastic,concrete
Constructiontime
2days
Constructioncrew
18workers
Goal
25percentofbuildingin
Dubai3Dprintedby2030
Breakdown
/virtual_reality
44
atasimilarpointtointernetpioneers,
whomighthavegraspedtheideaof
socialmediabutwhocouldneverhave
foreseenhowFacebookandTwittercould
transformthebusinessworld.
What’sexcitingisthatmanycompanies
arenowworkingonmakingVRthenorm.
BusinessesarestartingtoapplyVRto
theiroperations,training,recruitment
anddevelopment.We’veseenmarketing
departmentsleadingthewaywith
innovativecampaignsthatattractand
holdcustomerattentionincompletely
newways.Butbusinessesstillhaven’t
graspedthatVRhasthecapabilityto
transformthewaytheyoperate.Instead,
we’reseeingcompaniesdeveloping
projectsthatmaygoliveormayjust
beproof-of-concept.Thesetendto
befocusedondrivingrecruitmentor
training,andsincethesearepartsofany
businessthathavetangiblemeasurement
metrics,itallowsthoseinmanagement
positionstomeasuretheireffectiveness.
enyearsfromnow,it’s
likelythatthisyearwill
beregardedastheyear
thatvirtualrealitywent
mainstream,yetthereisstillalotoftech
tobedevelopedandconceptsexplored
beforeVRcanbefullyingrainedinto
ourworkandbusinesslives.Fortheway
thingsarerightnow,whatcanbedone
withVRisfairlylimiting,especiallyin
businessapplications.
Evenso,we’veseenexamplesthat
showcaseVR’spotentialacrossalmost
allsectors,fromtravelcompanies
transportingtheircustomerstoholiday
destinationstotheautomotivesector
takingpotentialbuyersonvirtualtrack
days.We’veseenbusinessesinvesting
billionsintodevelopmentandtaking
theirVRproductstomarketbutwe
haven’tyetseenindustriesusingthose
productsaspartoftheirday-to-day
operations.Sowestilldon’tknowhow
VRwillmanifestitselfinbusiness.We’re
Usually regarded as a breakthrough in immersive gaming, virtual reality
has the potential to change work environments too. Will McMaster
from Visualise maps out his vision of a virtual office
Seeing business
differently
45
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Experiencingthemoment
WeatVisualisehaveworkedonaproof-
of-conceptcampaignwithDeloitte
topromotethecompany’sethicsand
bestpractice.Themajorityofinternal
trainingatthemomentdirectsstafftoa
companyintranetpage,whereanonline
coursepresentsthemwithscenarios
andasituation-basedmultiplechoice
question.Thisformatcanbequitedull,
butaddVRandstaffaretransportedtoa
real-life,360degreescenario.
Theycanhearwhat’sgoingonaround
them,experiencetheunfoldingscenario
andselectresponsesinaninteractive
way.Theirchoicesthenplayoutandthey
canseetheimplicationsoftheiractions.
Suddenly,trainingbecomesfarmore
interestingand,becauseheadsetsare
used,externaldistractionsareblocked
out.Perhapsthiswilleventuallychange
theperceptionofstafftraining.
VRconferencesmightemergesoonas
atime-savinginitiativethatwillallow
employeestointeractandlearnfrom
guestspeakersattheirowndesks.The
educationsectorhasalreadyexplored
this–BIMAlive-streameditsDigital
VisualisehasworkedonaBritishArmy
recruitmentdrivebycreatingacampaign
toattracttheverybesttalent.Asa
result,applicationswentup65percent
inFebruaryand41percentinMarch
comparedtothepreviousyear.Thatreally
bringshomewhatispossiblefromVR.
IthinkthatVRwithintheworkplacecould
totallytransformour‘normal’working
days.Flexibleworkingalreadyoffers
manythefreedomtochoosehoursthat
fittheirlifestyles.It’snowadefinite
possibilitythatemployerscouldcreate
virtualofficeenvironmentsinwhichto
attendmeetingswhileatothertimes
shuttingoutdistractions.VRcouldbea
greattimeandmoneysaverforstaffwho
currentlyhavealotofexternalmeetings
orwhocanavoidthecommutebyusing
virtualofficesfromthehomewheneverit
isappropriatetodoso.
Changingperceptions
Themostcommondeterrentstousing
VRapplicationsinbusinessareafailutre
tounderstanditspotentialandthe
perceptionthatit’sexpensive.But
consideredincontext,VRissurprisingly
inexpensive.Thefirstpersonalcomputer
wastheIBM610,whichwentonsale
for$55,000inthe1950s,atatime
whenanewcarcostunder$2,000.
Bycomparison,agoodVRsystemisa
fractionofthat.Andofcourse,VRcosts
willcomedownasthequalitygoesup,in
linewithallcomputingtechnologies.
There’snoreasontoexpectthatVRwon’t
havethesametransformativeeffectthat
thecomputer,mobileandsocialmedia
havehadonthebusinessworld.Watch
thisspace!
Daytoschoolstoinspireacareerinthe
sector.Weexpectthistrendtoexpand
intoconferenceandwebinarformats.
RecruitmentisanothersectorwhereVRis
alreadydeliveringbenefits.Asmuchasa
companylooksforpotentialincandidates
duringinterviews,theprocessalsolets
theintervieweesgetafeelforwhatit’s
liketoworkthere.ByinvestinginVRfor
recruitmentpurposes,companiescansee
pastanyexaggeratedCVclaimsandput
eachcandidatetothetestfromthevery
startoftheprocess,withoutthecostsof
arrangingface-to-faceinterviews.
“There’s no
reason to expect
that VR won’t
have the same
transformative
effect as the
computer, mobile
and social media...”
WillMcMasterisheadofVRatVisualise,a
London-basedVRstudiofoundedin2012.
visualise.com
Couldvirtuallyattendingmeetings
fromyourdeskbecomethenorm?
47
/artificial_intelligence
48
Is a world where machines do all the work a utopian
or dystopian vision? Calum Chace wonders how
close we’re getting to this tipping point
Preparing
for the
economic
singularity
49
yforthcomingbook,The
EconomicSingularity,
arguesthatimprovements
inmachineintelligenceare
goingtomakeitimpossibleformanyofus
–maybeallofus–toearnaliving.Ifthis
isevenanoutsidepossibility,we’dallbe
wisetospendsometimeworkingouthow
weintendtodealwithit.
In1900,40percentofAmericanworkers
wereemployedinagriculture.Thathas
nowfallenbelowthreepercentandwhile
thefarmworkerseventuallyfoundbetter
jobselsewhereintheeconomy,their
horsesdidn’t.Fortheyear1900was‘peak
horse’,witharound25mofthemworking
onfarmsinAmerica.Today,thereare
virtuallynone.Thedifferencebetween
thefateofhumanandhorsefarmworkers
isthatoncemachinesprovidedthe
muscle,humanshadsomethingelseto
offer:cognitive,emotionalandsocial
abilities.Sincehorseshadnothingelse
tooffer,theirpopulationcollapsed.
Thequestionnowiswhetherweare
approachingthe‘peakhuman’era.
Artificialintelligenceisimprovingatan
exponentialratebutmachinesarestill
farfrombecomingArtificialGeneral
Whilethatsoundsterrible,itcould
actuallybeextremelygoodnews.Aworld
inwhichmachinesdoalltheboringwork
couldbewonderful.Theycouldbeso
efficientthatgoodsandservicescould
beplentifuland,inmanycases,free.
Humanscouldgetonwiththeimportant
businessofplaying,relaxing,socialising,
learningandexploring.Surelythisiswhat
weshouldbeaimingfor?
Ofcoursetherearechallenges,and
mybookexplorestheseindetail.With
considerablereluctance,Iconcludethat
wemayneedtoadoptanentirelynew
economicsystem.Wedon’tknowwhat
thisshouldlooklike,orhowtogetthere,
whichiswhyItalkaboutan“economic
singularity”,borrowingthetermfrom
physicstodescribeapointatwhichthe
normalrulesceasetoapply.
Thebookarguesthatweshouldbe
monitoringoureconomiesforsigns
thattechnologicalunemploymentis
beginning,andundergoingcareful
scenarioplanningtohelpusto
avoidthenegativeoutcomesand
ensurethegoodones.Aswefacethe
prospectofwidespreadtechnological
unemployment,thisplanningmay
turnouttobemissioncriticalforour
economies,andourcivilisation.
Intelligences(AGIs)–possessingthe
sameflexiblecognitionofanadult.
Eventhesmartestmachinespossess
onlynarrowintelligences:theymay
playameangameofGo,buttheycan’t
experiencefearandtheycan’tyetwrite
agoodjoke.Mostsignificantly,even
thoughtheycanbeatahumanopponent
atGo,theyaren’tevenawaretheyare
playingagame.
Butmachinesdon’tneedtobecomeAGIs
todisplacemostofusfromourjobs–they
simplyhavetobecomebetterthanus.
Andbecausemachinesexcelatmany
formsofpatternrecognition,including
naturallanguageprocessingandimage
recognition,they’realreadywellontheir
waytoovertakingus.And,ofcourse,
onceamachinehasyourjob,itwilldoit
faster,better,longerandcheaperthan
youcan,withitsabilitiesimproving
exponentiallyallthetime.
Tosocietyatlarge,self-drivingcarswill
bethecanaryinthemine–thesingle
developmentthatservesasawakeup
call.Butthefateofdriversislikelytobe
swiftlysharedbyothersectors.Some
thinkthatmassunemploymentfearsare
prematuresincesocietywilldevelopnew
humanrolesasmachinestakeoverthe
oldones.Evenifthisispossible,these
areonlylikelytobetemporaryrespitesas
whateverthesenewjobsare,machines
willbemorecapableofdoingthemtoo.
Inthemediumterm,itdoesseemlikely
manywillnotbeabletoearnaliving.
CalumChaceisanauthorandspeaker
aboutartificialintelligence’slikelyfuture
impactonsociety.
“To society at large, self-driving cars
will be the canary in the mine –
the single development that serves
as a wake up call”
/robotics
50
heideaofrobotshasfed
ourcuriosityformorethan
halfacentury,withhumans
constantlyintriguedby
thepotentialofhavinganotherform
tointeractwithonourownnatural
terms.Inreality,robotsofferusmuch
moreand,throughrecenttechnological
innovations,robotsarenowhelping
usreachthenextfrontierinartificial
intelligenceresearchandengineering.
AtSoftBankRobotics,webelieveina
futurewhereinteractive,communicating
robotswillaccompanyhumansintheir
jobsandfamilylivesaswellaswiththeir
hobbies.Currently,ourrobotsaremainly
availableontheprofessionalmarketbut
ourgoalistomakethemavailablefor
everyonesoon.
Atthemoment,wehavethreerobots.
Allhaveahumanoidformbecause
westronglybelievethatitmakesthe
interactionmorenatural.Quitesimply,
theirdesignfacilitatessocialinteraction.
Pepper,NAOandRomeowerecreated
toresembleahuman-likefigure,with
ahead,armsandlegs,buttheyarenot
meanttolookexactlylooklikehumans.
WecanseewithPepper(shownonthis
page)thatisahumanoidrobot–both
engagingandsurprising.Pepperis
thefirstemotionalrobot.Hewasnot
designedforanindustrialfunction,
rathertobeatruecompanionfordaily
life.Someotherroboticsplayerstoday
workonrobotsthatlookverymuchlike
humans,withfeaturessuchasartificial
‘skin’that’ssimilartoawaxfigure.That
isnotwhereweareheadedwithour
developments.Wewanttobecompletely
transparentandwantpeopletokeepin
mindthattheyaretalkingtomachines,
albeititmachinesthattheycontrol.
Far from taking our jobs, could the role of
interactive robots be to augment their user, being
a digital Robin to their human Batman?
51
RodolpheGelinisEVPchiefscientific
officeratSoftBankRoboticsEurope
www.ald.softbankrobotics.com
Moodandmemories
Areyousadorhappy?Bythetoneofyour
voice,theexpressiononyourface,your
gesturesandthroughthewordsyouuse,
Pepperisabletodetectyourmoodand
adapthisbehaviouraccordingly.Pepper’s
mainobjectiveistocommunicatewith
you.Hehasacertainpersonalityand
expresseshisown‘emotions’throughthe
colourofhiseyes,hisgesturesandwords
heuses.
There’snoneedforakeyboard,mouse
orscreen–allourrobotscommunicate
thesamewayyoudo,throughvoiceand
gestures.Thisisanotherexampleofhow
technologycanusethesimplestandmost
intuitiveformsofcommunication.
Today,ourrobotsareabletomemorise
names,facesandmoods.Tomorrow,
weaimforthemtoalsorememberan
individual’spersonaltastesandhabits.
Theirevolutionwillalsobefuelledbyan
applicationlibrarywhicheitheryouorthe
robotswillbeabletoaccesstofindnew
behaviours,activitiesandcontentthat
willinform,entertainorsurpriseyou.
Today,SoftBankRoboticshasnearlya
hundredCertifiedPartners.Alongside
them,wearecreatingB2Bsolutionsfor
Pepper.Thisinvolvesmakingawiderange
ofapplicationsthatcanbeincorporated
intoPepper’svariouscapabilities–which
includemotion,conversationandsensors
–toallowpeopletoexperiencePepper’s
businesscapabilities.Theseinclude
taskssuchaswelcoming,informingor
entertainingclientswithinindustriesas
diverseasretail,banking,hospitality
andhealthcare.
Sharedresponsibilities
SoftBankRoboticsmakesinteractive
robotsforthewell-beingofhumankind.
Ourrobotsarenotmeanttoreplace
humansandtaketheirjobs.Theyare
interactivecompanions,onlyabletodo
simpleandrepetitivetasksthatleave
employeesfreetofocusonmorevaluable
missions.Furthermore,theycannot
undertakeanyphysicaltasks.
Robotsmaytakesomejobsbuttheyare
morelikelytocreatemanymore,andof
adifferentkind.Ifyoulookatcountries
suchastheUS,GermanyandJapan,
theycurrentlyhavemorerobotsyetless
unemploymentthananywhereelse.
Wehopesomedayourrobotswillbe
abletobelifelikecompanionsbutour
goalisnottomakethemcompletely
interchangeablewithhumans.
Ultimately,ourrobotswillmake
interactionsmoremeaningfuland,as
faithfulsidekicks,theywillmaketheir
humansevenbetter!
(L to R) Nao,
Romeo, Pepper
Kemp Little - the leading technology
& digital media law firm_
Kemp Little
Cheapside House, 138 Cheapside, London EC2V 6BJ
Contact us for an informal chat about how we could help your business
www.kemplittle.com info@kemplittle.com
020 7600 8080 @KempLittle
KempLittle-theleadingtechnology
&digitalmedialawfirm_
KempLittle
CheapsideHouse,138Cheapside,LondonEC2V6BJ
Contactusforaninformalchatabouthowwecouldhelpyourbusiness
www.kemplittle.cominfo@kemplittle.com
02076008080@KempLittle
wtheEntrepreneuradvert-A4.indd127/08/201514:57:50
KempLittle-theleadingtechnology
&digitalmedialawfirm_
KempLittle
CheapsideHouse,138Cheapside,LondonEC2V6BJ
Contactusforaninformalchatabouthowwecouldhelpyourbusiness
www.kemplittle.cominfo@kemplittle.co
02076008080@KempLittle
FollowtheEntrepreneuradvert-A4.indd127/08/201
Kemp Little - the leading technology
& digital media law firm_
Kemp Little
Cheapside House, 138 Cheapside, London EC2V 6BJ
Contact us for an informal chat about how we could help your business
www.kemplittle.com info@kemplittle.com
020 7600 8080 @KempLittle
Follow the Entrepreneur advert - A4.indd 1 27/08/2015 14:57:50
/talent
53
TipsforhiringCDOs
nBesectoragnostic.Hirethosewiththe
experiencetodriveculturalchange
nEuropehasgreatdigitaltalentand
keyhubshaveemergedinLondon,
StockholmandBerlin
nBeopentopeoplefromboththe
corporateworldaswellasthosewith
pure-playexperienceandideallyfind
ahybridfrombothworlds
nEnsurethattheCEO
meetscandidatesto
demonstratethe
importanceof
therole
valuableexpertiseofhowadigital-first
businessworks,theycanalsoinjectan
‘intrapreneurial’spiritintotraditionally
slow-movingcorporateenvironments.
TheCDOwilltypicallybuildabroad
teamspanningUX,design,product,
engineering,digitalmarketinganddata.
Theseskillsareoftenacquiredexternally
buttrainingcanalsobeusedtounearth
existingtalentwithintheorganisation.
CDOs,andthedigitaltransformationthey
oversee,arenotjustconfinedtolarge
listedcorporates.Privateequityfirms
areseeingdigitalasakeygrowthdriver
fortheirmoretraditional,multichannel
portfoliobusinessesandsoarealso
hiringCDOstoleadthischange.
SincethemeasureofaCDO’ssuccess
istomaketheirownroleobsolete,
aseachbusinessbecomestruly
multichannelordigital-first,
theeraoftheCDOmayproveto
beatransitionalone.However,
today’ssuccessfulCDOscould
wellbesettobetomorrow’sCEOs.
Itisalsoimportanttonotethat
meangingfulchangehastocomefrom
thetop,withaCEOwhoiscommittedto
supportingtheCDO’svision.
ithnumerousdisruptive
newcomerssnapping
attheirheels,many
corporates,spanning
sectorssuchasfinancialservices,media
andretail,havedecidedtoinvestin
ChiefDigitalOfficers(CDOs)todrivethe
wholesaletransformationnecessaryfor
growth,orevensurvival.Thenumberof
CDOscurrentlystandsataround2,000
globallyandhiringonetypicallysignalsa
commitmenttotransformation.Butwhat
shouldtheroleencompass?Andhowdo
yougoaboutfindingtherightperson?
We’reoftentaskedby‘traditional’
businessestofindachangeagentwho
canembedbothdigital-andcustomer-
centricityintotheentirecompany’sDNA.
Longgonearethedayswheredigital
isthesoleconcernoftheCIOorCMO.
Instead,organisationsnowrequirea
leaderwhocanbreakdownsilos,build
teamsandevangelisedigitalandthe
customeracrosstheentirebusiness.
CDOscancomefrommarketing,strategy,
product,technologyorgeneral
management.AsthepathoftheDCO
becomesincreasinglywell-trodden,we’re
seeingmoredigitalexecutivesfrompure-
playsconsideringtransformationalroles
withincorporates.Aswellasbringing
Theriseofthe
ChiefDigitalOfficer
In today’s world, where businesses need to become truly
customer- and digitally-centric, the CDO is often the
human face of digital transformation
ClareJohnstonisfounderandco-CEOat
TheUpGroupwww.theupgroup.com
/finance
54
tSiliconValleyBankwe
havebeensupportingour
techclientsforover30
years,workingalongside
entrepreneursandinvestorsbyproviding
thebanking,debtandfinancingsolutions
thathelpthemmakeanimpact.
Inallthattime,wehavebeenatthe
heartofthetechecosystem,helping
tofinancethebuildingblocksofthe
industry–PCs,internet,sensors,
displays,communicationsandmobility
throughtosocialnetworks,bigdata,
cloudcomputingandAI–allthekey
developmentsthathaveledtomassive
change.Witheachdevelopment,there
hasbeenanewwaveofinnovationfor
eachcompanytoride.Buteachwaveis
travellingfurther,fasteranddeeperthan
theonebeforeit.
Today,technologyhasbeenabsorbed
intoeverydaylife,ineveryindustry,in
easily.Astheworldtriestodomoreand
more,aswealltrytosqueezeeverylast
dropoutoflife,we’reallseekingout
businesses,toolsandbrandsthatmake
ourlivesbetterandeasier.
Financialservicesandhealthcareare
twohugeindustrieswheresignificant
advancesarebeingmade,withnew
services,moreautomationandadvanced
usedofdataanalytics.Functionalareas
withinindustriesarealsobeingtargeted
fortransformation.Staffingisthelargest
expenseformanyemployersandwe’re
seeingfast-growingcompaniesthatare
addressingHRchallenges,makingit
easiertohirepeople,providebenefits
solutionsandimproveperformance.
everycorneroftheworld.Intheyearwe
openedourdoors,thetotalamountof
venturecapitalinvestedintheUSwas
lessthan$3bn.Thisyear,apointwas
reachedwhentheworld’sfivelargest
companiesbystockmarketvaluewere
venture-backedtechcompanies.Their
combinedvalue?Over$2,200bn.Withso
muchaheadofus,whatarewelookingfor
intheleadersoftomorrow?
Technology-ledsolutions
thatsimplifymajorproblems
We’relivingatatimewheretechnology,
businessmodelsandinnovationare
converging.Thecompaniesthatcombine
themalltomakethingssimple,orprovide
enrichingexperiences,aretheonesthat
aredisruptingmarkets.
It’swhathasworkedforthetechgiants.
Google–searchingeasily.Facebook–
keepingupwithfriendseasily.Amazon
–buyingthingseasily.Uber–travelling
Stephen Lowery, managing director of capital markets
at Silicon Valley Bank UK, on what it takes to benefit
from times of extreme change
55
Atthesametime,therearesignificant
newtechnologiesandtoolsbeing
developedaroundrobotics,dataanalysis
andmachinelearning/AI.Theseare
thenewtechnologiesthatwebelieve
willformthecoreoffutureinnovations
insocially-vitalsectorssuchas
transportation,retailingandeducation.
Teamswithvisionthatcan
executetheirplans
It’sbeensaidamilliontimesbutthe
team,andthesuccessfuldevelopmentof
theteam,arecriticalsuccessfactorsfor
buildingasustainablebusiness.
attributesonline,sothere’snoneedtogo
intogreaterdetailhere.
Whenthetippingpointtoscalehas
beenreached,welookforteamsthatare
investingforsuccessandbuildingstrong
positionsthroughacombinationof
organicgrowthandacquisitions.
Raisingcapitalisacompetitiveprocess
too.Welookforcompaniesthathavethe
tractiontheyneedtoraisethemoney
theyneedtofurthertheirambitions.Has
thebusinessdevelopedsufficientlyto
attracttheinvestmentontermsthatthe
teamwants?
StephenLoweryismanagingdirectorof
capitalmarketsatSiliconValleyBankUK
www.svb.com/uk/
“What has become clear from the
patterns of the last 30 years is that
while industries are disrupted, certain
characteristics remain constant”
Welookforpeoplewhocanattract,retain
anddeveloptalentandformitintostrong
teamsthatcanperformwell.Welookfor
teamsthatiteratequicklyandcanmake
decisionswiththepotentialtoscale
rapidlywithgreatexecution.Equally
importantly,welookforteamsthatcan
buildtheconfidenceofinvestorssothey
canraisethecapitaltheyneedtodeliver
theirplan.
Tractionandmomentumin
afastgrowthenvironment
Inacompetitiveandbusymarket,
buildingmomentumintherightdirection
iskey.Welookforcompaniesthataddress
asubstantialmarketwithaclearproduct-
marketfit,combininguniteconomics
withgreatcustomersatisfaction.Thereis
muchexcellentmaterialthatcoversthese
Inconclusion
Whathasbecomeclearfromthepatterns
ofthelast30yearsisthatwhileindustries
aredisrupted,certaincharacteristics
remainconstant.Leveragingmajor
technologytrends.Makingthingsmuch
cheaper,betterandfaster.Assembling
greatteams.Gainingmomentum.Raising
capital.Thesearetheconstants.
There’snosilverbullet–it’sjustaperfect
combinationofthefactorswe’velisted
abovethatmatcheachopportunity.If
youcanputthesetogether,there’sa
betterchancethaneverofmovingquickly
fromdisruptortoincumbent.
Onebusinessthatcaughtoureye
thisyearisGooee,whichconnects
lightingmanufacturerstothe
InternetofThings(IoT).
Keepingitsimple
Bydevelopingtheworld’sfirst
operatingplatformtoconnect
lightingtotheIoT,Gooeehassolved
theproblemsofintegrationand
interoperability,makingitsimple
forbusinessesandendusersto
accessthebenefitsoffeature-rich,
connectedsolutions.
Ateamwithvision
CEOAndrewJohnsonpreviously
foundedAuroraLightingandthe
managementteamismadeupof
expertsinLEDlighting,software
engineeringandembedded
hardwaredesign.Theyare
complementedbyastrongadvisory
boardfromthetechcommunity.
Intellectualproperty
AttheheartofGooeeisasensorthat
detectsmotionandambientlight
whiletrackingLEDperformance.
Theplatformalsoleveragesbigdata
fromlightingnetworks,opening
upopportunitiesforenergysaving
andproducttrackingbusinessesto
interfaceefficiently.
Scalability
Commercially,Gooeehaspartnered
with30lightingmanufacturersto
deliverthesolutionaroundtheworld
andisengagedwithafurther40
companies.Thisgivesusconfidence
aboutthepotentialofthisbusiness.
Smart lighting
CASE STUDY
Patentpending
DoesIPlagbehindinnovation?
/ip_strategy
56
Disruption at Food
Disruption at Food
Disruption at Food
Disruption at Food

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Disruption at Food