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  One Child Policy:  impacts on reproductive health and attitudes  Therese Hesketh  UCL Centre for International Health and Development
[object Object]
Overview of the presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Policy?  Source: World Bank ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Policy works through reducing reproductive choice ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Policy – how it works ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Provincial Policies XINJIANG QINGHAI NEI MONGOL GANSU NINGXIA SHAANXI XIZANG SICHUAN CHONGQING YUNNAN GUIZHOU GUANGXI HAINAN TAIWAN HUNAN JIANGXI ZHEJIANG FUJIAN GUANGD ONG HONG KONG MACAU Shanghai SHANGHAI SHI Guangzhou Chengdu JIAN GSU ANHUI HUBEI HENAN SHANXI SHANDONG Beijiing Shenyang HEBEI BEIJING SHI TIA NJIN LIAONING JILIN HEILONGJIANG Relaxed 1 Child Policy Medium 1 Child Policy Strict 1 Child Policy
Policy underpinned by easy access to contraception and abortion
How does the Policy work for individuals?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Benefits of the Policy  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Has reduced  Total Fertility Rate Late, Long, Few One  Child  Policy Great  Leap  Forward
Source: World Bank And compared to other nations
How did the Chinese achieve acceptance of the Policy?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Carrots and sticks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Propaganda  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
The other side of choice:  gender preference ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sex Ratio at birth in China since onset of Policy  Sex-selective Abortion
Sex ratio in 1-4 age band  XINJIANG QINGHAI NEI MONGOL GANSU NINGXIA SHAANXI XIZANG SICHUAN CHONGQING YUNNAN GUIZHOU GUANGXI HAINAN TAIWAN HUNAN JIANGXI ZHEJIANG FUJIAN GUANGD ONG HONG KONG MACAU Shanghai SHANGHAI SHI Guangzhou JIAN GSU ANHUI HUBEI HENAN SHANXI SHANDONG Shenyang HEBEI BEIJING SHI TIA NJIN LIAONING JILIN HEILONGJIANG 110 - 120 120 - 130 > 130 < 110
Provincial Policies XINJIANG QINGHAI NEI MONGOL GANSU NINGXIA SHAANXI XIZANG SICHUAN CHONGQING YUNNAN GUIZHOU GUANGXI HAINAN TAIWAN HUNAN JIANGXI ZHEJIANG FUJIAN GUANGD ONG HONG KONG MACAU Shanghai SHANGHAI SHI Guangzhou Chengdu JIAN GSU ANHUI HUBEI HENAN SHANXI SHANDONG Beijiing Shenyang HEBEI BEIJING SHI TIA NJIN LIAONING JILIN HEILONGJIANG Relaxed 1 Child Policy Medium 1 Child Policy Strict 1 Child Policy
SRB by birth order rises dramatically in some provinces  Source: 2005 1% survey 142 138 111 Hainan 167 146 108 Guangdong 176 166 104 Henan 206 178 108 Jiangxi 227 190 107 Anhui Third Second  First
Problems of excess males  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
The reproductive health benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
On the negative side ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Attitudes ,[object Object],[object Object]
Attitudes to family size Source Ding & Hesketh 2006
Attitudes to the Policy: qualitative study   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Abortion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is changing? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
END

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Therese Hesketh, One Child Policy: impacts on reproductive health and attitudes

  • 1. One Child Policy: impacts on reproductive health and attitudes Therese Hesketh UCL Centre for International Health and Development
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Provincial Policies XINJIANG QINGHAI NEI MONGOL GANSU NINGXIA SHAANXI XIZANG SICHUAN CHONGQING YUNNAN GUIZHOU GUANGXI HAINAN TAIWAN HUNAN JIANGXI ZHEJIANG FUJIAN GUANGD ONG HONG KONG MACAU Shanghai SHANGHAI SHI Guangzhou Chengdu JIAN GSU ANHUI HUBEI HENAN SHANXI SHANDONG Beijiing Shenyang HEBEI BEIJING SHI TIA NJIN LIAONING JILIN HEILONGJIANG Relaxed 1 Child Policy Medium 1 Child Policy Strict 1 Child Policy
  • 8. Policy underpinned by easy access to contraception and abortion
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Has reduced Total Fertility Rate Late, Long, Few One Child Policy Great Leap Forward
  • 12. Source: World Bank And compared to other nations
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.  
  • 17.
  • 18. Sex Ratio at birth in China since onset of Policy Sex-selective Abortion
  • 19. Sex ratio in 1-4 age band XINJIANG QINGHAI NEI MONGOL GANSU NINGXIA SHAANXI XIZANG SICHUAN CHONGQING YUNNAN GUIZHOU GUANGXI HAINAN TAIWAN HUNAN JIANGXI ZHEJIANG FUJIAN GUANGD ONG HONG KONG MACAU Shanghai SHANGHAI SHI Guangzhou JIAN GSU ANHUI HUBEI HENAN SHANXI SHANDONG Shenyang HEBEI BEIJING SHI TIA NJIN LIAONING JILIN HEILONGJIANG 110 - 120 120 - 130 > 130 < 110
  • 20. Provincial Policies XINJIANG QINGHAI NEI MONGOL GANSU NINGXIA SHAANXI XIZANG SICHUAN CHONGQING YUNNAN GUIZHOU GUANGXI HAINAN TAIWAN HUNAN JIANGXI ZHEJIANG FUJIAN GUANGD ONG HONG KONG MACAU Shanghai SHANGHAI SHI Guangzhou Chengdu JIAN GSU ANHUI HUBEI HENAN SHANXI SHANDONG Beijiing Shenyang HEBEI BEIJING SHI TIA NJIN LIAONING JILIN HEILONGJIANG Relaxed 1 Child Policy Medium 1 Child Policy Strict 1 Child Policy
  • 21. SRB by birth order rises dramatically in some provinces Source: 2005 1% survey 142 138 111 Hainan 167 146 108 Guangdong 176 166 104 Henan 206 178 108 Jiangxi 227 190 107 Anhui Third Second First
  • 22.
  • 23.  
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Attitudes to family size Source Ding & Hesketh 2006
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. END

Notas do Editor

  1. Includes attitudes
  2. Assume all know about the policy how it works etc Caveat: what changes are attributable to the Policy?
  3. Has created mostly one-child urban families, mostly two-child rural families, third and higher order births 9% Rural popualtion around 70%
  4. One and a half polcvy
  5. Long term contraception
  6. PUBLIC HEALTH DILEMMAS - CHOICE VS POPULATION BENEFIT Feels very oppressive/ Dracnonian. Today’s world of carbon footp[rints – world should be grateful.
  7. Tantalising question: would the decline have continued? Population still growing because 0.65% 148 in the world
  8. Just some perspective – look at other countries with no policy.
  9. How to make people accept restriction of choice in something so fundamental as reproduction
  10. How did the Chinese achieve this? Winning hearts and minds-Propaganda and carrots and sticks Too many people in China
  11. Quality, not quantity
  12. Example of extreme choice which has been influenced by the Policy. Normal sex ratio at birth 103-107 males to 100 females SSA illegal
  13. It was high in the 1930s and 40s, then declined after the Communist Revolution Many other Asian countries have high sex ratios: Taiwan 1.19, South Korea 1.12, parts of India 1.2 (Sen, 2002) Increase in sex ratio on China coincided with cheap, accessible ultrasound in rural and suburban areas
  14. Highest sex ratio in medium strict provinces 7 normal provinces have sex ratios of &lt;110 only 8% of the population % high provinces have 25% of the population
  15. One and a half polcvy
  16. Reproductive Choice to go for sex selective abortion being made with second births
  17. 19% of People’s congress female. Women’s status increased paradoxically
  18. BUT did they mind….?
  19. Dramatic change in South Korea with enforcement of the law and publicity campaigns. But IS THIS because of the Policy??
  20. Graduate unemployement concerns When allowed to have more they choose not to
  21. People said thay knew others who hadn’t wanted an abortion but were pressurised into getting on e