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RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION




Engineering Modules
For Financial Return
REC Webinar
September 18, 2012

Nick Rose, APAC Technical Manager
Disclaimer

This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current
expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and
industries that are major markets for REC ASA and REC ASA’s (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These
expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as
”expects”, ”believes”, ”estimates” or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are
or will be major markets for REC’s businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in
governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed
from time to time in the Presentation. Although REC ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon
reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as
set out in the Presentation. REC ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the
accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither REC ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees
will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

This presentation was prepared in May 2012. Information contained within will not be updated. The following slides should be
read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.

The REC shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be
offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.




2   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
About REC

 Founded in Norway in 1996, REC is a leading
     vertically integrated solar energy company
     and employs more than 3,100 people
     worldwide

 REC produces polysilicon, wafers, cells and
     modules for the solar industry, and silicon
     materials for the electronics industry

 REC is also engaged in project development
     activities in selected PV segments

 REC had revenues close to USD 2.4 billion
     (EUR 1.7 billion) in 2011

 REC is listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange
     under the ticker: REC

 Over 200 patents pending or granted


3   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Agenda




                                       Maximizing The Income Stream

                                       Reducing Capital Expenditure

                                       Risk Mitigation For The Revenue Stream




4   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Major contributing factors to PV project returns

                                                     REDUCE COSTS
                                             - Reduce   capital expenditure
       MAXIMISE REVENUE STREAM
                                             of equipment
    - High yielding equipment
                                             - Maximise performance ratio
    - Optimised design                       via equipment and design
    - Ongoing maintenance              IRR   - Efficient systems to limit
    - Minimising degradation rates           operating expenditure
                                             - Incentives and subsidies



                                                   MITIGATION OF RISK
                  COST OF FINANCE
                                             - Securing PPA
    - Interest rate
                                             - Technology selection
    - Term of loan
                                             - System durability
    - Loan guarantor
                                             - Service & support
    - Timing of repayments


5    © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Major contributing factors to PV project returns

                                                     REDUCE COSTS
                                             - Reduce    capital expenditure
       MAXIMISE REVENUE STREAM
                                             of equipment
    - High yielding equipment
                                             - Maximise performance ratio
    - Optimised design                       via equipment and design
    - Ongoing maintenance              IRR   - Efficient systems to limit
    - Minimising degradation rates           operating expenditure
                                             - Incentives and subsidies



                                                   MITIGATION OF RISK
                  COST OF FINANCE
                                             - Securing PPA
    - Interest rate
                                             - Technology selection
    - Term of loan
                                             - System durability
    - Loan guarantor
                                             - Service & support
    - Timing of repayments


6    © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Maximizing The
 Income Stream




RIGHT HERE IN GERMANY                 Commercial rooftop with REC AE modules
7   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
How yield impacts project return

     Increases in yield can accelerate the project IRR in a non-linear fashion

     PV modules are not a commodity! Project developers are prepared to pay a premium
         for higher yielding modules
     There are inherent technical features of REC modules that enable higher yield
         generation throughout the modules life                                      15%
                                                                                             Δ IRR
                                                                                                                                       11%
                                                                                     10%
                                                                                                                        8%
                                                                                      5%                 5%                ↑8%
                                                                                                          →6%
                                                                                      0% 0%
                                        -10%                      -5%                    0%                        5%                      10%
                                                                           -3%
                                                                                     -5%                        Δ Yield
                                                            -7%

                                            -10%                                    -10%                                  Change In Yield
                                                                                 Al-BSF + Al
                                                                                                                          Linear Reference
                                                                                    -15%



                                      Assumptions: Site location in Perth, Australia with a Base yield of 1650kWh/m2/yr, Debt:Equity ratio of
                                      70/30, WACC of 11%, FiT of US$0.11/kWh and a CAPEX of US$2.70/W

8   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Why watts don’t equate to yield
     Watts are a measure of power (W), which is an instantaneous measure of performance

     Developers and investors are interested in energy (Wh), which is the unit electricity is
         sold and the indicator which ultimately determines a projects value

                                       Standard Test
                         Parameter                                     Relevance
                                        Conditions
                                                       Close to maximum possible irradiance; not
                  Sunlight
                                         1000W/m2      representative of average expected sunlight
                  Irradiance                           levels

                                                       Normally modules sit around 25 degrees
                  Module
                                            25OC       above ambient, far greater temperatures than
                  Temperature                          25OC

                                                       The light spectrum cannot be fixed as it
                  Light Spectrum         Air Mass1.5   changes from time of day/year and many
                                                       localised effects

                                                       For non-tracking systems the sun is not at
                  Angle of             Normal
                                                       normal incidences to the array for most of the
                  Measurement          Incidence       energy production hours
9    © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Module part load efficiency is extremely important

      Every module will have a different efficiency curve

      REC maintains high performance through all levels of irradiance


           Relative
        Efficiency (%)                                                                 REC             Tier 1 -Si          Poor Si

                102%
                100%
                  98%
                  96%
                  94%
                  92%
                  90%
                  88%
                  86%
                  84%
                  82%                                                      Al-BSF + Al
                  80%
                             0         100   200     300       400        500        600       700        800        900       1000

                                                               Irradiance (W/m2)
             Source: REC efficiencies generated from TUV Rheinland test reports, Tier-1 and Poor-Si irradiation numbers have
             been recreated form electrical data using the one-diode model

10   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Average irradiance levels highlight the STC deficiency

      The STC nominal power rating is not the best indicator of expected performance

      To make an appropriate assessment of a product special attention must be given to the
          efficiency level at the prevailing irradiance levels. Bangkok irradiance distribution shows
          the importance of the curve <600W/m2
                         Relative                                                Irradiation Frequency              REC                Hours/
                      Efficiency (%)                                                                                                    Year
                                                                                 Tier 1 -Si                         Poor Si
                              102%                                                                                                        800
                              100%
                                                                                                                                          700
                                98%
                                96%                                                                                                       600
                                94%                                                                                                       500
                                92%
                                                                                                                                          400
                                90%
                                88%                                                                                                       300
                                86%                                                                                                       200
                                84%                                             Al-BSF + Al
                                                                                                                                          100
                                82%
                                80%                                                                                                        0
                                       0    100       200       300      400       500        600      700      800       900   1000   1100

                                                                             Irradiance (W/m2)
                           Source: Global Horizontal Irradiance of Bangkok. Meteonorm file extracted from Pvsyst v5.55

11   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Average irradiance levels in Europe and APAC

 The majority of Asia
      and Europe have
      average irradiance
      levels under 600W/m2
      between sunrise and
      sunset
 If you are not sure of
                                         London
      the low-light efficiency
                                         220 W/m2
      levels of a module, ask                       Munich 264 W/m2
      the manufacturer                   Madrid     Napoli 399 W/m2      Beijing 320 W/m2
                                         383 W/m2                                               Tokyo 320 W/m2
 A performance                                                   Delhi 500   W/m2
      simulation used to
      underpin project
                                                                      Bangkok              Manila 346 W/m2
      finance should take                                             403 W/m2
      this factor
      into account                                                      Jakarta 370 W/m2

                                                                                               Sydney 408 W/m2




 12    © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
The excess energy gain from anti-reflection coatings

      Under STC conditions module power is measured at normal incidence, but…

      The energy yield advantages of the anti-reflection coating are measured at 30+ degrees


                                                                                                                                  Light
                                                                                                                              Transmission
                                                                                                REC Reflection Profile

                                                                                                Module Without AR Glass               99%

                                                                                                                                      97%

                                                                                                                                      95%

                                                                                                                                      93%

                                                                                                                                      91%

                                                                                                                                      89%

                                                                                                                                      87%

                                                                                                                                      85%
                       0-10            10-20   20-30       30-40         40-50        50-60        60-70         70-80        80-90
                                                             Angle of Incidence
                 Source: REC reflection characteristics as measured by Solar Energy Research Institute of Singapore. Standard glass
                 reflection profile as generated by Pvsyst using the ASHRAE model using a b0 value of 0.05
13   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Sunlight falls from all different angles

      The angle of light is rarely normal to the surface of the module

      In Bangkok the energy captured at 0-10 degrees represents only 4% of annual total


        Energy                                                                                 Energy/Year                      Light
     (kWh/kWp/yr)                                                                                                           Transmission
                                                                                               REC Reflection Profile
      350
                                                                                               Module Without AR Glass              99%
      300
                                                                                                                                    97%
      250
                                                                                                                                    95%
                                                                                                             1.2% more
      200                                                                                                    energy                 93%
      150                                                                                                    captured
                                                                                                                                    91%
      100                                                                                                                           89%

        50                                                                                                                          87%

          0                                                                                                                         85%
                       0-10            10-20   20-30      30-40        40-50         50-60        60-70        70-80        80-90
                                                            Angle of Incidence
                Source: Bangkok angle of incidences generated using vector analysis for sun positioning based on the Meteonorm
                climate file for Bangkok extracted from Pvsyst v5.55. Assumes an array facing due South tilted at 10 degrees
14   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Changes in light spectrum affect real-world performance
  The universal spectrum used to classify module power at Standard Test Conditions is
       called the Air Mass 1.5 spectrum
  Modules efficiency will vary depending on the consistency of the light spectrum they are
       exposed to.
  What is the spectrum most appropriate to the project site? Depends on altitude, cloud
       cover, humidity, pollution and more
                                                                        REC’s New Peak Energy Plus Module
                                                                        CONVENTIONAL CELL                              CELL WITH BACKSIDE
                                                                                                                       PASSIVATION




                                                                         Light is absorbed                             Reflected light will
                                                                                                                       generate additional current

The blue line is the Air Mass 1.5 standard spectrum. The red line       A cell with backside passivation will generate more current due to reflection of
indicates the wavelengths of light that can contribute to electricity   light at the backside of the cell. Backside passivation increases the sensitivity of
generation in a silicon solar cell                                      the cell to red light in the wavelength range between 1000 to1180 nm
Source: Entropy Production
 15   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Spectrums change from location to location

      Equatorial regions, such as most of Asia, generally have lower Air Mass levels due to
          higher sun altitudes
      However, differences in atmospheric particulates and humidity make the spectrums
          between locations highly variable
               Energy
            (kWh/kWp/yr)
              350

              300

              250

              200                                                    Bangkok, Thailand

              150                                                    Munich, Germany

              100

                50

                 -




                                              Air Mass
16   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
REC ranks as number 1 in yield

 Photon test 2011: most recognized test comparing module brands under real
      life conditions, over several years
 Generated more electricity than all its 45 competitors,
        6% more than test average
 Average irradiance in this region is approx 230W/m2




17   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Increasing yield performance reduces CAPEX
 REC is known for its high performing yield throughout the world

 As simulated in PVsyst, in Asia Pacific the advantage still exists, which
      translates to real value
                              REC                                                                                                  1,191


                    Sanyo HIT                                                                                                      1,191


                            Yingli                                                                  1,154


                      SunTech                                                                       1,154


                       JA Solar                                                            1,143


                             Trina                                             1,124


                       Kyocera                                             1,124


                           Sharp                                       1,120


                                       1,080     1,100            1,120            1,140            1,160            1,180            1,200
                                                                          Annual Yield (kWh/kWp)

                           Assumptions: Yield numbers generated in Pvsyst v5.51. Site location in Tokyo with a tilt of 28 degrees oriented due
                           South. Sunny Tripower 10000TL inverters and module specific values for NOCT, mismatch and module quality loss.
18   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
REC can command a $/W premium based on yield alone
 Translating the yield numbers into a project IRR calculation the premium REC can justify
      against the major competitors is evident
 This premium will change depending on climatic and financial factors, however the clear
      pattern is that REC maintains a yield advantage that has translated to higher ASPs
 Warranty, bankability and quality advantages will further extend the premium

                                                                                  Sanyo HIT                                      $0.05

                                                                                         REC     $0.00

                                                  -$0.07                                Yingli


                                                  -$0.07                           SunTech


                                        -$0.09                                      JA Solar


                    -$0.11                                                              Trina


                    -$0.11                                                          Kyocera


                    -$0.11                                                              Sharp


                 -$0.12                -$0.10    -$0.08    -$0.06   -$0.04     -$0.02        $0.00       $0.02       $0.04        $0.06

                   Assumptions: Debt:Equity ratio of 70/30, Cost of Debt 2%, cost of equity 9%, FiT of JPY38/kWh and a project
                   lifetime of 25 years. System specific capital costs based on module efficiency and equivalent BoS costs
19   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Reducing Capital
 Expenditure




     RIGHT HERE IN ITALY                Powerplant with REC Peak Energy modules
20    © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
How a module can reduce capital expenditure

  Reducing system cost is more involved than simply
       reducing the cost price of the module ($/W)
  Modules can influence the developed cost in the
       following ways:
       – Increasing efficiency reduces land and mounting structure
         costs
       – Increased reverse current rating reduces the amount of
         fusing
       – A high maximum system voltage that minimises the amount
         of strings and protection devices
       – Cable length that minimises additional string cables
       – Innovative frame design that allows for rapid installation rates
       – Equipment accessories that streamline the installation
         process
       – Packaging that reduces waste or simplifies transportation
       – By-pass diodes used to minimise yield loss from shading
       – Antireflection coatings to maximise sunlight transmission
       – Availability to finance via ECA

21   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
REC is reducing module cost at a high rate

                    Singapore module cash cost
                    Eurocents/watt                                    Q1 2012 costs;
                                                                       March run rate at 90 Eurocents/Watt

                                       -39%                           2012 cost reductions;
                              127                                      Increased average cell efficiency

                                                                       Improved sourcing of materials
                                                      -27%
                                               78                      Improved operational
                                                                         performance, debottlenecking and
                                                              57         higher equipment availability
                                                                       Reduced fixed costs and economies of
                                                                         scale in support functions



                            Q3’10             Q1’12          Q4’12
                                                             target
                Costs include SG&A, amortization, R&D, silicon at
                market price, cash production costs and excludes
                depreciation


22   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Risk Mitigation for the
Revenue Stream




 RIGHT HERE AT REC                      REC production plant, Tuas, Singapore
 23   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Durability tests to ensure long-term performance

 Most PV modules are warranted for a period of 25 years but few have been in
      the field for that time. Those that have are a vastly constitution than they were.
 How REC guarantees the lifetime of its module:
      –    Highly automated production facility
      –    Complete quality control (machine, man, method & material)
      –    ISO 9001, ISO14001 & OHSAS18001 Certified in Singapore
      –    Optional loading up to 5400Pa under IEC61215 (551kg/m2)
      –    TUV Salt Mist Corrosion - Severity 6
      –    TUV Ammonia Corrosion
      –    Extended qualification beyond IEC (DHT, TC, HF)
      –    Combined cycle testing


                                               TCT                200 cycles   400 cycles

                                               DHT                1000 hrs     2000 hrs

                                               HF                 10 cycles    40 cycles

                                               Combined cycle     -            (DH, TC, HF) X2
24   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Extended Qualification Testing: 2X IEC Standards

 Even at 2x IEC test REC modules are still performing within the standards



       REC Extended Qualification Test Results

                              TC400        DH2000    HF40               2X more than required
 % Power loss




                                                                              REC module test laboratory

                                                    IEC Pass Criteria



25       © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Industry leading linear warranty for REC modules




                                        Module bankability is key criteria for solar
                                        REC holds a strong reputation with banks
                                         in our active markets
                                        25 year linear performance warranty
                                        10 year product warranty
                                        Maximum degradation rate of 0.7%

26   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
Low customer claims provide evidence of quality
  Reduced module power or plant downtime will adversely affect the financial
       performance of a PV plant
  Faults can occur at periodic times throughout the life of a plant. Remoteness
       and lack of access to adequately trained personnel can cause systems to have
       downtimes of weeks or months.
  One bad module can affect the performance of an entire string of sub-array

      250
                PPM
                                                   Claim PPM               Acc PPM               2011 Target

      200



      150

                                                                             110
                                                               98                                                    97
      100                                                                                          90
                                       79                                                  79
                                                        72                           57
                      49
        50                                   35                      33                                        34


          0
                     Jan               Feb   Mar        Apr    May   Jun     Jul     Aug   Sep    Oct          Nov   Dec


27   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
REC has a strong track record of proven performance
                               Pandit Deendayal Petroleum University in Gujarat, India
                                            (7.61% Above Expectations)




28   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
REC has a strong track record of proven performance

                                       100kW REC Factory Rooftop, Tuas, Singapore




                       Energy Yield Compared to PVsyst
                                  Prediction

     Section 1                                           4.7%



     Section 2                                         4.3%



     Section 3                                                                7.3%



                  0.0%         1.0%      2.0%   3.0%    4.0%    5.0%   6.0%    7.0%   8.0%
              Predicted




29   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
REC has a strong track record of proven performance

                                         REC Systems’ Performance Ratio* Examples (%)
                                                                                                                                  91,8
                                                                                                                    85,7
                                                                84,0               81,9          83,7
                                                  80,5




                                                                                                                                                        Yield report
                                                                                                                                                        Actual




                                                        France                            Italy                          Freiburg
                                                         5MW                             5.7MW                           582kW
                                       * The performance ratio (PR) describes the relationship between the actual and theoretical energy outputs of the PV plant. Low
                                         conversion losses (glass reflection, temperature losses, transformer losses ...) are leading to a high PR.

30   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
REC has a strong track record of proven performance

                                LUXEL Project with 9 different locations in France (Jan-Dec 2011)
                                                                  (9% Above Expectations)
            MWh                                                                                                                        %
     1,000                                                                                                                                 120
        900
                                                                                                                                           100
        800
        700
                                                                                                                                           80
        600
        500                                                                                                                                60
        400
                                                                                                                                           40
        300
        200
                                                                                                                                           20
        100
            0                                                                                                                              0
                      Barats           Peyrohitto   Les Clottes    Puginier   St Paulet La Pomarède Fontanelles    Larnier   Pouzols
                     269 kWp            572 kWp      572 kWp       572 kWp    572 kWp     572 kWp    602 kWp      572 kWp    572 kWp


                                   % of Expected Yield                        Actual Solar Production         Expected Solar Production



31   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
The 5 Unique Selling Points of REC Modules

                                       More energy
                                       per ft²
                                       Provides more energy per square feet


                                       Robust and
                                       durable design
                                       Ensures long lasting quality


                                       Easy to install
                                       Reduces installation time



                                       Optimized for all sunlight conditions
                                       Provides reliable power output and high performance



                                       Energy payback time of one year
                                       Made with an industry leading carbon footprint and EPBT


32   © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION




                                                                                                                                                 THANK YOU




REC is the exclusive owner or licensee of the content, material, and information in this presentation. Any reproduction, publication or reprint, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. The information in this
presentation may not be accurate, complete or up to date, and is provided without warranties or representations of any kind, either express or implied. REC, as well as its directors, officers and employees, shall not
be responsible for and disclaims any liability for any loss or damages, including without limitation, direct, indirect, incidental, consequential and special damages, alleged to have been caused by or in connection with
using and/or relying on the information contained in this presentation.
 33    © 2012 REC All rights reserved.

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REC Webinar - Engineering Modules for Financial Return

  • 1. RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION Engineering Modules For Financial Return REC Webinar September 18, 2012 Nick Rose, APAC Technical Manager
  • 2. Disclaimer This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC ASA and REC ASA’s (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as ”expects”, ”believes”, ”estimates” or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC’s businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although REC ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. REC ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither REC ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use. This presentation was prepared in May 2012. Information contained within will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation. The REC shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act. 2 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 3. About REC  Founded in Norway in 1996, REC is a leading vertically integrated solar energy company and employs more than 3,100 people worldwide  REC produces polysilicon, wafers, cells and modules for the solar industry, and silicon materials for the electronics industry  REC is also engaged in project development activities in selected PV segments  REC had revenues close to USD 2.4 billion (EUR 1.7 billion) in 2011  REC is listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange under the ticker: REC  Over 200 patents pending or granted 3 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 4. Agenda  Maximizing The Income Stream  Reducing Capital Expenditure  Risk Mitigation For The Revenue Stream 4 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 5. Major contributing factors to PV project returns REDUCE COSTS - Reduce capital expenditure MAXIMISE REVENUE STREAM of equipment - High yielding equipment - Maximise performance ratio - Optimised design via equipment and design - Ongoing maintenance IRR - Efficient systems to limit - Minimising degradation rates operating expenditure - Incentives and subsidies MITIGATION OF RISK COST OF FINANCE - Securing PPA - Interest rate - Technology selection - Term of loan - System durability - Loan guarantor - Service & support - Timing of repayments 5 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 6. Major contributing factors to PV project returns REDUCE COSTS - Reduce capital expenditure MAXIMISE REVENUE STREAM of equipment - High yielding equipment - Maximise performance ratio - Optimised design via equipment and design - Ongoing maintenance IRR - Efficient systems to limit - Minimising degradation rates operating expenditure - Incentives and subsidies MITIGATION OF RISK COST OF FINANCE - Securing PPA - Interest rate - Technology selection - Term of loan - System durability - Loan guarantor - Service & support - Timing of repayments 6 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 7. Maximizing The Income Stream RIGHT HERE IN GERMANY Commercial rooftop with REC AE modules 7 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 8. How yield impacts project return  Increases in yield can accelerate the project IRR in a non-linear fashion  PV modules are not a commodity! Project developers are prepared to pay a premium for higher yielding modules  There are inherent technical features of REC modules that enable higher yield generation throughout the modules life 15% Δ IRR 11% 10% 8% 5% 5% ↑8% →6% 0% 0% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% -3% -5% Δ Yield -7% -10% -10% Change In Yield Al-BSF + Al Linear Reference -15% Assumptions: Site location in Perth, Australia with a Base yield of 1650kWh/m2/yr, Debt:Equity ratio of 70/30, WACC of 11%, FiT of US$0.11/kWh and a CAPEX of US$2.70/W 8 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 9. Why watts don’t equate to yield  Watts are a measure of power (W), which is an instantaneous measure of performance  Developers and investors are interested in energy (Wh), which is the unit electricity is sold and the indicator which ultimately determines a projects value Standard Test Parameter Relevance Conditions Close to maximum possible irradiance; not Sunlight 1000W/m2 representative of average expected sunlight Irradiance levels Normally modules sit around 25 degrees Module 25OC above ambient, far greater temperatures than Temperature 25OC The light spectrum cannot be fixed as it Light Spectrum Air Mass1.5 changes from time of day/year and many localised effects For non-tracking systems the sun is not at Angle of Normal normal incidences to the array for most of the Measurement Incidence energy production hours 9 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 10. Module part load efficiency is extremely important  Every module will have a different efficiency curve  REC maintains high performance through all levels of irradiance Relative Efficiency (%) REC Tier 1 -Si Poor Si 102% 100% 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% Al-BSF + Al 80% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Irradiance (W/m2) Source: REC efficiencies generated from TUV Rheinland test reports, Tier-1 and Poor-Si irradiation numbers have been recreated form electrical data using the one-diode model 10 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 11. Average irradiance levels highlight the STC deficiency  The STC nominal power rating is not the best indicator of expected performance  To make an appropriate assessment of a product special attention must be given to the efficiency level at the prevailing irradiance levels. Bangkok irradiance distribution shows the importance of the curve <600W/m2 Relative Irradiation Frequency REC Hours/ Efficiency (%) Year Tier 1 -Si Poor Si 102% 800 100% 700 98% 96% 600 94% 500 92% 400 90% 88% 300 86% 200 84% Al-BSF + Al 100 82% 80% 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 Irradiance (W/m2) Source: Global Horizontal Irradiance of Bangkok. Meteonorm file extracted from Pvsyst v5.55 11 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 12. Average irradiance levels in Europe and APAC  The majority of Asia and Europe have average irradiance levels under 600W/m2 between sunrise and sunset  If you are not sure of London the low-light efficiency 220 W/m2 levels of a module, ask Munich 264 W/m2 the manufacturer Madrid Napoli 399 W/m2 Beijing 320 W/m2 383 W/m2 Tokyo 320 W/m2  A performance Delhi 500 W/m2 simulation used to underpin project Bangkok Manila 346 W/m2 finance should take 403 W/m2 this factor into account Jakarta 370 W/m2 Sydney 408 W/m2 12 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 13. The excess energy gain from anti-reflection coatings  Under STC conditions module power is measured at normal incidence, but…  The energy yield advantages of the anti-reflection coating are measured at 30+ degrees Light Transmission REC Reflection Profile Module Without AR Glass 99% 97% 95% 93% 91% 89% 87% 85% 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 Angle of Incidence Source: REC reflection characteristics as measured by Solar Energy Research Institute of Singapore. Standard glass reflection profile as generated by Pvsyst using the ASHRAE model using a b0 value of 0.05 13 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 14. Sunlight falls from all different angles  The angle of light is rarely normal to the surface of the module  In Bangkok the energy captured at 0-10 degrees represents only 4% of annual total Energy Energy/Year Light (kWh/kWp/yr) Transmission REC Reflection Profile 350 Module Without AR Glass 99% 300 97% 250 95% 1.2% more 200 energy 93% 150 captured 91% 100 89% 50 87% 0 85% 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 Angle of Incidence Source: Bangkok angle of incidences generated using vector analysis for sun positioning based on the Meteonorm climate file for Bangkok extracted from Pvsyst v5.55. Assumes an array facing due South tilted at 10 degrees 14 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 15. Changes in light spectrum affect real-world performance  The universal spectrum used to classify module power at Standard Test Conditions is called the Air Mass 1.5 spectrum  Modules efficiency will vary depending on the consistency of the light spectrum they are exposed to.  What is the spectrum most appropriate to the project site? Depends on altitude, cloud cover, humidity, pollution and more REC’s New Peak Energy Plus Module CONVENTIONAL CELL CELL WITH BACKSIDE PASSIVATION Light is absorbed Reflected light will generate additional current The blue line is the Air Mass 1.5 standard spectrum. The red line A cell with backside passivation will generate more current due to reflection of indicates the wavelengths of light that can contribute to electricity light at the backside of the cell. Backside passivation increases the sensitivity of generation in a silicon solar cell the cell to red light in the wavelength range between 1000 to1180 nm Source: Entropy Production 15 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 16. Spectrums change from location to location  Equatorial regions, such as most of Asia, generally have lower Air Mass levels due to higher sun altitudes  However, differences in atmospheric particulates and humidity make the spectrums between locations highly variable Energy (kWh/kWp/yr) 350 300 250 200 Bangkok, Thailand 150 Munich, Germany 100 50 - Air Mass 16 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 17. REC ranks as number 1 in yield  Photon test 2011: most recognized test comparing module brands under real life conditions, over several years  Generated more electricity than all its 45 competitors, 6% more than test average  Average irradiance in this region is approx 230W/m2 17 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 18. Increasing yield performance reduces CAPEX  REC is known for its high performing yield throughout the world  As simulated in PVsyst, in Asia Pacific the advantage still exists, which translates to real value REC 1,191 Sanyo HIT 1,191 Yingli 1,154 SunTech 1,154 JA Solar 1,143 Trina 1,124 Kyocera 1,124 Sharp 1,120 1,080 1,100 1,120 1,140 1,160 1,180 1,200 Annual Yield (kWh/kWp) Assumptions: Yield numbers generated in Pvsyst v5.51. Site location in Tokyo with a tilt of 28 degrees oriented due South. Sunny Tripower 10000TL inverters and module specific values for NOCT, mismatch and module quality loss. 18 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 19. REC can command a $/W premium based on yield alone  Translating the yield numbers into a project IRR calculation the premium REC can justify against the major competitors is evident  This premium will change depending on climatic and financial factors, however the clear pattern is that REC maintains a yield advantage that has translated to higher ASPs  Warranty, bankability and quality advantages will further extend the premium Sanyo HIT $0.05 REC $0.00 -$0.07 Yingli -$0.07 SunTech -$0.09 JA Solar -$0.11 Trina -$0.11 Kyocera -$0.11 Sharp -$0.12 -$0.10 -$0.08 -$0.06 -$0.04 -$0.02 $0.00 $0.02 $0.04 $0.06 Assumptions: Debt:Equity ratio of 70/30, Cost of Debt 2%, cost of equity 9%, FiT of JPY38/kWh and a project lifetime of 25 years. System specific capital costs based on module efficiency and equivalent BoS costs 19 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 20. Reducing Capital Expenditure RIGHT HERE IN ITALY Powerplant with REC Peak Energy modules 20 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 21. How a module can reduce capital expenditure  Reducing system cost is more involved than simply reducing the cost price of the module ($/W)  Modules can influence the developed cost in the following ways: – Increasing efficiency reduces land and mounting structure costs – Increased reverse current rating reduces the amount of fusing – A high maximum system voltage that minimises the amount of strings and protection devices – Cable length that minimises additional string cables – Innovative frame design that allows for rapid installation rates – Equipment accessories that streamline the installation process – Packaging that reduces waste or simplifies transportation – By-pass diodes used to minimise yield loss from shading – Antireflection coatings to maximise sunlight transmission – Availability to finance via ECA 21 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 22. REC is reducing module cost at a high rate Singapore module cash cost Eurocents/watt Q1 2012 costs;  March run rate at 90 Eurocents/Watt -39% 2012 cost reductions; 127  Increased average cell efficiency  Improved sourcing of materials -27% 78  Improved operational performance, debottlenecking and 57 higher equipment availability  Reduced fixed costs and economies of scale in support functions Q3’10 Q1’12 Q4’12 target Costs include SG&A, amortization, R&D, silicon at market price, cash production costs and excludes depreciation 22 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 23. Risk Mitigation for the Revenue Stream RIGHT HERE AT REC REC production plant, Tuas, Singapore 23 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 24. Durability tests to ensure long-term performance  Most PV modules are warranted for a period of 25 years but few have been in the field for that time. Those that have are a vastly constitution than they were.  How REC guarantees the lifetime of its module: – Highly automated production facility – Complete quality control (machine, man, method & material) – ISO 9001, ISO14001 & OHSAS18001 Certified in Singapore – Optional loading up to 5400Pa under IEC61215 (551kg/m2) – TUV Salt Mist Corrosion - Severity 6 – TUV Ammonia Corrosion – Extended qualification beyond IEC (DHT, TC, HF) – Combined cycle testing TCT 200 cycles 400 cycles DHT 1000 hrs 2000 hrs HF 10 cycles 40 cycles Combined cycle - (DH, TC, HF) X2 24 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 25. Extended Qualification Testing: 2X IEC Standards  Even at 2x IEC test REC modules are still performing within the standards REC Extended Qualification Test Results TC400 DH2000 HF40 2X more than required % Power loss REC module test laboratory IEC Pass Criteria 25 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 26. Industry leading linear warranty for REC modules  Module bankability is key criteria for solar  REC holds a strong reputation with banks in our active markets  25 year linear performance warranty  10 year product warranty  Maximum degradation rate of 0.7% 26 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 27. Low customer claims provide evidence of quality  Reduced module power or plant downtime will adversely affect the financial performance of a PV plant  Faults can occur at periodic times throughout the life of a plant. Remoteness and lack of access to adequately trained personnel can cause systems to have downtimes of weeks or months.  One bad module can affect the performance of an entire string of sub-array 250 PPM Claim PPM Acc PPM 2011 Target 200 150 110 98 97 100 90 79 79 72 57 49 50 35 33 34 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 27 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 28. REC has a strong track record of proven performance Pandit Deendayal Petroleum University in Gujarat, India (7.61% Above Expectations) 28 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 29. REC has a strong track record of proven performance 100kW REC Factory Rooftop, Tuas, Singapore Energy Yield Compared to PVsyst Prediction Section 1 4.7% Section 2 4.3% Section 3 7.3% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% Predicted 29 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 30. REC has a strong track record of proven performance REC Systems’ Performance Ratio* Examples (%) 91,8 85,7 84,0 81,9 83,7 80,5 Yield report Actual France Italy Freiburg 5MW 5.7MW 582kW * The performance ratio (PR) describes the relationship between the actual and theoretical energy outputs of the PV plant. Low conversion losses (glass reflection, temperature losses, transformer losses ...) are leading to a high PR. 30 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 31. REC has a strong track record of proven performance LUXEL Project with 9 different locations in France (Jan-Dec 2011) (9% Above Expectations) MWh % 1,000 120 900 100 800 700 80 600 500 60 400 40 300 200 20 100 0 0 Barats Peyrohitto Les Clottes Puginier St Paulet La Pomarède Fontanelles Larnier Pouzols 269 kWp 572 kWp 572 kWp 572 kWp 572 kWp 572 kWp 602 kWp 572 kWp 572 kWp % of Expected Yield Actual Solar Production Expected Solar Production 31 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 32. The 5 Unique Selling Points of REC Modules More energy per ft² Provides more energy per square feet Robust and durable design Ensures long lasting quality Easy to install Reduces installation time Optimized for all sunlight conditions Provides reliable power output and high performance Energy payback time of one year Made with an industry leading carbon footprint and EPBT 32 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.
  • 33. RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION THANK YOU REC is the exclusive owner or licensee of the content, material, and information in this presentation. Any reproduction, publication or reprint, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. The information in this presentation may not be accurate, complete or up to date, and is provided without warranties or representations of any kind, either express or implied. REC, as well as its directors, officers and employees, shall not be responsible for and disclaims any liability for any loss or damages, including without limitation, direct, indirect, incidental, consequential and special damages, alleged to have been caused by or in connection with using and/or relying on the information contained in this presentation. 33 © 2012 REC All rights reserved.

Notas do Editor

  1. Tellthemwhatyouaregoingtotellthem
  2. Read through the 3 key discussion points.The reason the presentation is structured this way is that reducing CAPEX is always a prominent issue with PV projects and reducing it is important way of enhancing project returns.Maximising the income stream and ensuring it survives is also key to meeting performance expectations
  3. There are many key inputs to assessing the profitability of a project Broadly we have separated the major issues into the following 4 categories with some key sub-categories that are pertinent to nearly all PV projects
  4. In the short time I have today these are the 3 key ingredients to project returns that I am going to focus on today
  5. Ton:
  6. Basically 100% of the revenue of a solar project comes through electricity so ensuring technology selection yields a healthy level of electricity is important- PV modules are not a commodity as invariably in the same conditions they will generate a different amount of electricity even given the same power rating- This graph illustrates that given the same CAPEX if the PV module yielding 6% more over the time period then the IRR of the project increases in a non-linear fashion. For the case here in Australia it is 8% change in IRR
  7. I mentioned in the previous slide the concept of nameplate power, here is how this works...1000W/m2 is somewhere to start the story but certainly not where it ends
  8. For the situation in Bangkok Thailand the irradiance distribution is heavily weighted toward the middle of the curve, 500W/m2 This curve serves as message on buyer beware as the marketed headline power rating is not appropriate for most projects- You wouldn’t buy a car designed to speed at 300kph if you are driving around suburban streets at 60kph
  9. This graph is interesting as it will lead me into the justification of yield back to capex valueYield is not currently the universal language in PV but is the most important for anyone at the pointy end of project finance calculationsHere is a demonstration of our superior performance in Japan as simulated by Pvsyst, the leading software for PV systems
  10. This is how the yield benefit translate to $/W, which is the universal language for PV- You can see the benefit from yield alone is significant in the premium a developer would be willing to pay for a certain module- Note Sanyo has a benefit here in that it is a more spatially efficient module and has less mounting and land costs
  11. Generally impacts and then how REC has positive influence: - increasing efficency, reduces land and mounting equipment needed some of minor electrical parameters can affect the BOS costs - reverse current rating as an exampleInnovative methods of installing can save material and labour cost, perhaps they increase the price of the module but need to look at the impact on the whole system
  12. - Relating back to REC we have many benefits to our module that reduce the system install cost but we’d also like to emphasise that our module cost is reducing at an aggressive rate and is set to remain one of the cost leaders in the market through 2012
  13. The risk of performance over a project’s lifetime is at the heart of all risk assessments of developers and financiers- With a changing and immature technology, quality needs to be assessed from the manufacturing and product development disciplineAt REC we pride ourselves on our quality and attitude to performance longevity- Range of certifications to help assist decisions here: additional loading weelbeyind IEC minimum requirments, Salt and Ammonia as extra certifications
  14. - Which is how we can have confidence in offering an industry leading warranty- 0.7% is worst case scenario
  15. - An insight into our claims rate as proof in the quality of our processes
  16. Further proof in our performance is via these test cases in the Asia Pacific region