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ELECTRICITY GENERATION OR:
HOW TO MARRY CONTRADICTIONS WITH
         INEFFICIENCIES ?



           Vlerick Finance Alumni

7th of March 2012                   C. De Groof



                                                  2
1. THE CONTRADICTIONS


• electricity generators are supposed to be managers of
  contradictions;
• contradiction n° 1: the logic behind decisions, viz.
  environment versus competition (= price) versus
  security of supply … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT
• contradiction n° 2: (cfr. financial crisis): the
  institutional aspect, viz.:
     EU versus member state versus, cfr. Belgium, regions
     at different speeds
   … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT


                                                            3
2. THE INEFFICIENCIES


• electricity generators are supposed to be managers of
  inefficiencies;
• inefficiency n° 1: combined EU objective of less CO2
  and more renewable energy sources (RES)
  … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT
• inefficiency n° 2: unjustified burden sharing and
  failing consistent translation in national (or: regional)
  legislation
  … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT




                                                              4
5
3. HOW TO MARRY BOTH?

• by interference in supply AND demand;
• with respect to supply:
      combination of intermittent RES with adapted use of fossil fired
      plants;
      ceteris paribus: will inevitably lead to higher prices;
      “back to square 1”? i.e. back to regulation but more expensive than
      previous one ?
      no place for new nuclear; instead proceed during transition to life
      time extension;
• with respect to demand:
      the myth of the smart meter / grid;
      no free lunch: expensive ticket!
      only a pragmatic and well reflected introduction is defendable;
      competition with “smart devices”.



                                                                            6
Chris De Groof, Director Strategy and Sustainable Development, Electrabel (Impact of energy sources on the competitive landscape)

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Chris De Groof, Director Strategy and Sustainable Development, Electrabel (Impact of energy sources on the competitive landscape)

  • 1. 1
  • 2. ELECTRICITY GENERATION OR: HOW TO MARRY CONTRADICTIONS WITH INEFFICIENCIES ? Vlerick Finance Alumni 7th of March 2012 C. De Groof 2
  • 3. 1. THE CONTRADICTIONS • electricity generators are supposed to be managers of contradictions; • contradiction n° 1: the logic behind decisions, viz. environment versus competition (= price) versus security of supply … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT • contradiction n° 2: (cfr. financial crisis): the institutional aspect, viz.: EU versus member state versus, cfr. Belgium, regions at different speeds … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT 3
  • 4. 2. THE INEFFICIENCIES • electricity generators are supposed to be managers of inefficiencies; • inefficiency n° 1: combined EU objective of less CO2 and more renewable energy sources (RES) … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT • inefficiency n° 2: unjustified burden sharing and failing consistent translation in national (or: regional) legislation … BUT this is unfortunately a FACT 4
  • 5. 5
  • 6. 3. HOW TO MARRY BOTH? • by interference in supply AND demand; • with respect to supply: combination of intermittent RES with adapted use of fossil fired plants; ceteris paribus: will inevitably lead to higher prices; “back to square 1”? i.e. back to regulation but more expensive than previous one ? no place for new nuclear; instead proceed during transition to life time extension; • with respect to demand: the myth of the smart meter / grid; no free lunch: expensive ticket! only a pragmatic and well reflected introduction is defendable; competition with “smart devices”. 6