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Wolfe Island, 198 MW
Scale
Stability
Diversified
Growth
Investor Presentation
Summer 2013
2
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation has been prepared by TransAlta Renewables Inc. (the “Company”) and the contents of this presentation are for information purposes
only. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any
shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or
investment decision.
Certain statements in this presentation about the Company’s current and future plans, expectations and intentions, results, levels of activity, performance, goals
or achievements or any other future events or developments constitute forward-looking statements. The words
“may”, “will”, “would”, “should”, “could”, “expects”, “plans”, “intends”, “trends”, “indications”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “estimates”, “predicts”, “likely” or “potential”
or the negative or other variations of these words or other comparable words or phrases, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking
statements are based on estimates and assumptions made by the Company in light of its experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and
expected future developments, as well as other factors that the Company believes are appropriate and reasonable in the circumstances, but there can be no
assurance that such estimates and assumptions will prove to be correct. Many factors could cause the Company’s actual results, level of activity, performance
or achievements or future events or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including, without
limitation, the following factors, which are discussed in greater detail in the final long form prospectus of the Company dated July 31, 2013 (the “Prospectus”)
under the sections entitled "Forward-Looking Statements" and "Risk Factors" in the Prospectus: expectations and plans for future growth, including expansion
into existing and new markets and other forms of power generation and acquisition activities, including acquisition activities involving TransAlta Corporation
(“TransAlta”); the need for additional capital and the expected sources of, and access to, such capital; the availability of sufficient liquidity for future growth and
payment of dividends to shareholders; possible changes in the regulatory regimes of the jurisdictions in which the Company operates or intends to operate; the
Company’s expectations regarding the ability of TransAlta to operate the Company’s renewable assets effectively; expectations for the growth in demand for
electricity in Canada and the U.S.; the possibility of the transfer of future assets held by TransAlta to the Company; the Company’s expectations regarding the
availability of industry consolidation opportunities in the future; expectations in relation to the effect of government regulation, incentives and taxation regimes
on the Company’s revenues, expenses and cash dividends; expectations in relation to the cost competitiveness of renewable power relative to other sources of
power generation; expectations for the retirement of aging energy facilities and the development, construction or operation of new renewable energy facilities
including TransAlta’s involvement in sourcing opportunities for the Company; the Company’s expected dividend policy and the amounts expected to be paid
under that policy; and expectations regarding TransAlta’s continued ownership of Common Shares. The purpose of the forward-looking statements is to
provide the reader with a description of management’s expectations regarding the Company’s financial performance and may not be appropriate for other
purposes; readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements made herein. Furthermore, unless otherwise stated, the forward-looking
statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date of this presentation, and the Company has no intention and undertakes no obligation to
update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities
regulations. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
The Company has obtained the statistical data, market research and industry data presented in this presentation from a combination of government and other
industry publications and reports and the estimates of management. Such data involve risks and uncertainties and are subject to change based on various
factors. See “Notice to Investors - Market Data” in the Prospectus. This presentation makes reference to certain non-IFRS measures, including Adjusted
EBITDA and cash available for distribution. These measures are not recognized measures under IFRS, do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by
IFRS and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. For more information relating to the non-IFRS
measures, see “Notice to Investors - Non-IFRS Measures” and “Selected Historical Financial Information” in the Prospectus. Copies of the Prospectus are
available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
3
British
Columbia
4 hydro
77 MW
Alberta
4 hydro
21 MW
10 wind
417 MW
One of the Largest Publicly-Traded Renewable Companies in Canada
28 megawatts installed
generating capacity
1,112 million in pro forma
adjusted EBITDA
$166 million estimated
annual dividend
$86renewable power
generation facilities
Ontario
4 hydro
7 MW
3 wind
398 MW
Quebec
1 wind
68 MW
New
Brunswick
2 wind
125 MW
Pingston, BC New Richmond, QC
Summerview 2, AB Blue Trail, AB
Bone Creek, BC Kent Hills, NB
Wolfe Island, ON Upper Mamquam, BC
Bone Creek 19MW
Upper Mamquam 25MW
Pingston 23MW
Akolkolex 10MW
Summerview One 70MW
Sinnott 7MW
Castle River 44MW
Belly River 3MW
Waterton 3MW
Cowley North 20MW
Summerview Two 66MW
Macleod Flats 3MW
Blue Trail 66MW
Soderglen 35MW
Taylor Hydro 13MW
McBride Lake 38MW
Ardenville 69MW
St. Mary 2MW Misema 3MW
Moose Rapids 1MW
Appleton 1MW
Galetta 2MW
Wolfe Island 198MW
Melancthon One 68MW
Melancthon Two 132MW
New Richmond 68MW
Kent Hills One 80MW
Kent Hills Two 45MW
High Quality Diversified Portfolio 5 Operating Regions
4
Premier Renewable Company
• Scale and diversification underpinned by high quality assets
• Low-risk portfolio consisting entirely of operating assets with fully contracted
investment-grade counterparties
• Multi-faceted growth strategy with potential access to >1,000 MW pipeline
• Conservative payout ratio and financial leverage
• Long-term alignment with TransAlta as sponsor and majority shareholder
Predictable, Stable Cash Flow Supports
Attractive Dividend Yield
4
Soderglen, 35 MW
5
1,007
563
434
405
331
303
282 266
230 216
TransAlta Enbridge TransCanada Brookfield Capital
Power
Kruger
Energy
Northland
Power
Innergex EDF Invenergy
Canada’s Largest Generator of Wind Power
Competitive Advantages of Unrivaled Scale
Source: CanWea June 2013 & company websites
Operating Wind Capacity in Canada (Net MW)
1,107
6
6
Operational
& Commercial
Strategy
6
Waterton, 3 MW
7
Diversified Asset Platform Across 5 Operating Regions
Combination of Wind and Hydro Favours Stable Cash Flow
Estimated Net Annual Generation (GWh)
41%
Alberta
33%
Ontario
10%
Quebec
10%
New
Brunswick
6%
British
Columbia 14%
Hydro
86%
Wind
8
Operational Excellence
• Proven technology from top wind equipment manufacturers
• 24/7 capability to operate remotely from centralized location
• Performance and equipment monitoring from centralized
operations diagnostic centre
• Experienced operations and engineering team
High Wind Fleet Availability and Low Operating Costs
9
100% Operating Assets with Established History
Predictable Production with No Development Risk
Historical & Expected Production (GWh)
2011 2012
3,059 GWh
Estimated Net
Annual Production1
2012 wind fleet availability
weighted average operating history
96.3%
5.8years
Adjusted for assets not yet
reaching full production
Reported
Production
2,993 2,805
214
177
3,207
2,982
1) Management estimates based on a near term base case production scenario, where there is an equal
chance of higher or lower actual net annual generation, and are therefore subject to potential uncertainties.
10
100% Contracted with Investment-Grade Off-Takers
Diversification Reduces Risk
33%
AA–
16%
A+
4%
BBB+
37%
BBB–
10%
AAA
Government Backed Entities
Sponsor
• Average Contract Life of 17 years
11
Growth
Strategy
11
Three Sisters, 3 MW
12
Renewable Power: The Fastest Growing Power Segment
12Experience to Execute on Multi-Faceted Growth Strategy
Le Nordais, 99 MW
Growth Focus:
• Consolidate fragmented industry
• Acquisitions of assets from TransAlta
• Expansion into other markets and technologies
13
Sponsor with a Proven Track Record in Renewables
Majority Shareholder Fully Aligned with Investors
801 1,112
1,100
9,051MW
100years
Proven Renewable Asset Growth (MW)
2000 2013
generating capacity
renewable operating experience
176%
increase
2,212
801
80retained interest –
intention to remain majority shareholder
-85%
14
Renewables are One of the Fastest Growing Power Sources
Positioned to Capitalize on Significant Growth
365
508
429
740
2010 2035 2010 2035
Canada U.S.
72%
increase in
renewables
Growth in Renewable Power Generation (TWhs)
Sources: Annual Energy Outlook 2013 – EIA and Canada's Energy Future: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2035 - NEB, November 2011.
Increased demand
for renewables
Replacement of
retired power
facilities
Government
policy support
Growth Drivers
39%
increase in
renewables
15
Potential Acquisitions from TransAlta
813 MW of Hydro Assets
99 MW of Contracted Wind Assets
164 MW of Geothermal Assets 15
16Consistent Risk Profile with Existing Portfolio
Growth Criteria
Assets with proven operating history
Long-term PPA contracts
Investment-grade counterparties
Familiar technologies/suppliers
16
New Richmond, 68 MW
17
Proven Management Team
Extensive Industry and Growth Experience
TransAlta Renewables Inc. TransAlta Corp. and Other
Brett Gellner
President
CFO
Former VP Commercial Operations, Mergers & Acquisitions
12 years investment banking covering power, pipeline, midstream and forest products
13 years power industry experience
Cynthia Johnston
COO
EVP, Corporate Services
Former VP Renewable Operations
5 years at FortisAlberta Inc.
27 years power industry experience
David Koch
VP, Controller
VP, Controller
Former VP Financial Operations
10 years power industry experience
Maryse St.-Laurent
VP, Corporate Secretary
VP, Corporate Secretary
Previously senior legal counsel with TransCanada Corporation &
Corporate Secretarial of TC PipeLines LP
8 years power industry experience
Todd Stack
VP, Treasurer
VP, Treasurer
Previous senior roles in Finance and Engineering departments
23 years power industry experience
18
Board of Directors
Strong and Experienced Independent Directors
Allen Hagerman*
Chairman, Member of Audit Committee
EVP, Canadian Oil Sands; Director, Precision Drilling; Former CFO Canadian Oil
Sands, Past President of Financial Executives Institute, Calgary Chapter; Former
board positions include Capital Power, Syncrude Canada and Governor of the
University of Calgary
David Drinkwater*
Member of Audit Committee
Chairman of Rothschild Canada; Former Chief Legal Officer, Nortel; EVP & CFO,
Ontario Power Generation
Kathryn McQuade*
Chair of Audit Committee
Former CFO, EVP & COO and Senior Advisor Canadian Pacific Railway; EVP &
CIO Norfolk Southern; Former Director, North West Upgrading, Altria Group,
Shenandoah Life Insurance
Brett Gellner President, TransAlta Renewables
Cynthia Johnston COO, TransAlta Renewables
Paul Taylor President of TransAlta’s U.S. business operations; Former SVP, Corporate
Development involved in the establishment of TransAlta Power L.P. and President
and CEO of NaiKun Wind Energy Group
* Independent
1919
Financials
St. Mary, 2 MW
20
Cash Available for Distribution ($ millions)
Prudent Payout Ratio of 83% After Debt Principal Payments
$166.3
$125.0
$103.3
$(30.0)
$(10.0) $(1.4)
$(21.7)
Deduct:
Interest Expense
Deduct:
Maintenance
Capital
Expenditure
Estimated
Cash Flow
Available for
Distribution
Prior to Debt
Principal
Payments
Deduct:
Debt Principal
Payments
Estimated
Adjusted
EBITDA LTM
ending March
31, 2013
Deduct:
Cash Taxes
Estimated Cash
Flow Available for
Distribution After
Debt Principal
Payments
$86M IN ESTIMATED
ANNUAL DIVIDENDS
69% 83%
21
Financial Strength
Debt to EBITDA of 3.5X
Conservative payout ratio
Reimbursement based G&A Model
Access to capital markets
21Flexibility and Discipline
Wolfe Island, 198 MW
22
Investment Highlights
Predictable, Stable Cash Flow
Supports Attractive Dividend Yield
22
• Scale and diversification underpinned by high quality assets
• Low-risk portfolio consisting entirely of operating assets with fully contracted
investment-grade counterparties
• Multi-faceted growth strategy with potential access to >1,000 MW pipeline
• Conservative payout ratio and financial leverage
• Long-term alignment with TransAlta as sponsor and majority shareholder
Castle River, 44 MW

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TransAlta Renewables Summer 2013 Investor Presentation

  • 1. 1 Wolfe Island, 198 MW Scale Stability Diversified Growth Investor Presentation Summer 2013
  • 2. 2 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation has been prepared by TransAlta Renewables Inc. (the “Company”) and the contents of this presentation are for information purposes only. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Certain statements in this presentation about the Company’s current and future plans, expectations and intentions, results, levels of activity, performance, goals or achievements or any other future events or developments constitute forward-looking statements. The words “may”, “will”, “would”, “should”, “could”, “expects”, “plans”, “intends”, “trends”, “indications”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “estimates”, “predicts”, “likely” or “potential” or the negative or other variations of these words or other comparable words or phrases, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions made by the Company in light of its experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that the Company believes are appropriate and reasonable in the circumstances, but there can be no assurance that such estimates and assumptions will prove to be correct. Many factors could cause the Company’s actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements or future events or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, the following factors, which are discussed in greater detail in the final long form prospectus of the Company dated July 31, 2013 (the “Prospectus”) under the sections entitled "Forward-Looking Statements" and "Risk Factors" in the Prospectus: expectations and plans for future growth, including expansion into existing and new markets and other forms of power generation and acquisition activities, including acquisition activities involving TransAlta Corporation (“TransAlta”); the need for additional capital and the expected sources of, and access to, such capital; the availability of sufficient liquidity for future growth and payment of dividends to shareholders; possible changes in the regulatory regimes of the jurisdictions in which the Company operates or intends to operate; the Company’s expectations regarding the ability of TransAlta to operate the Company’s renewable assets effectively; expectations for the growth in demand for electricity in Canada and the U.S.; the possibility of the transfer of future assets held by TransAlta to the Company; the Company’s expectations regarding the availability of industry consolidation opportunities in the future; expectations in relation to the effect of government regulation, incentives and taxation regimes on the Company’s revenues, expenses and cash dividends; expectations in relation to the cost competitiveness of renewable power relative to other sources of power generation; expectations for the retirement of aging energy facilities and the development, construction or operation of new renewable energy facilities including TransAlta’s involvement in sourcing opportunities for the Company; the Company’s expected dividend policy and the amounts expected to be paid under that policy; and expectations regarding TransAlta’s continued ownership of Common Shares. The purpose of the forward-looking statements is to provide the reader with a description of management’s expectations regarding the Company’s financial performance and may not be appropriate for other purposes; readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements made herein. Furthermore, unless otherwise stated, the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date of this presentation, and the Company has no intention and undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities regulations. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. The Company has obtained the statistical data, market research and industry data presented in this presentation from a combination of government and other industry publications and reports and the estimates of management. Such data involve risks and uncertainties and are subject to change based on various factors. See “Notice to Investors - Market Data” in the Prospectus. This presentation makes reference to certain non-IFRS measures, including Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution. These measures are not recognized measures under IFRS, do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. For more information relating to the non-IFRS measures, see “Notice to Investors - Non-IFRS Measures” and “Selected Historical Financial Information” in the Prospectus. Copies of the Prospectus are available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
  • 3. 3 British Columbia 4 hydro 77 MW Alberta 4 hydro 21 MW 10 wind 417 MW One of the Largest Publicly-Traded Renewable Companies in Canada 28 megawatts installed generating capacity 1,112 million in pro forma adjusted EBITDA $166 million estimated annual dividend $86renewable power generation facilities Ontario 4 hydro 7 MW 3 wind 398 MW Quebec 1 wind 68 MW New Brunswick 2 wind 125 MW Pingston, BC New Richmond, QC Summerview 2, AB Blue Trail, AB Bone Creek, BC Kent Hills, NB Wolfe Island, ON Upper Mamquam, BC Bone Creek 19MW Upper Mamquam 25MW Pingston 23MW Akolkolex 10MW Summerview One 70MW Sinnott 7MW Castle River 44MW Belly River 3MW Waterton 3MW Cowley North 20MW Summerview Two 66MW Macleod Flats 3MW Blue Trail 66MW Soderglen 35MW Taylor Hydro 13MW McBride Lake 38MW Ardenville 69MW St. Mary 2MW Misema 3MW Moose Rapids 1MW Appleton 1MW Galetta 2MW Wolfe Island 198MW Melancthon One 68MW Melancthon Two 132MW New Richmond 68MW Kent Hills One 80MW Kent Hills Two 45MW High Quality Diversified Portfolio 5 Operating Regions
  • 4. 4 Premier Renewable Company • Scale and diversification underpinned by high quality assets • Low-risk portfolio consisting entirely of operating assets with fully contracted investment-grade counterparties • Multi-faceted growth strategy with potential access to >1,000 MW pipeline • Conservative payout ratio and financial leverage • Long-term alignment with TransAlta as sponsor and majority shareholder Predictable, Stable Cash Flow Supports Attractive Dividend Yield 4 Soderglen, 35 MW
  • 5. 5 1,007 563 434 405 331 303 282 266 230 216 TransAlta Enbridge TransCanada Brookfield Capital Power Kruger Energy Northland Power Innergex EDF Invenergy Canada’s Largest Generator of Wind Power Competitive Advantages of Unrivaled Scale Source: CanWea June 2013 & company websites Operating Wind Capacity in Canada (Net MW) 1,107
  • 7. 7 Diversified Asset Platform Across 5 Operating Regions Combination of Wind and Hydro Favours Stable Cash Flow Estimated Net Annual Generation (GWh) 41% Alberta 33% Ontario 10% Quebec 10% New Brunswick 6% British Columbia 14% Hydro 86% Wind
  • 8. 8 Operational Excellence • Proven technology from top wind equipment manufacturers • 24/7 capability to operate remotely from centralized location • Performance and equipment monitoring from centralized operations diagnostic centre • Experienced operations and engineering team High Wind Fleet Availability and Low Operating Costs
  • 9. 9 100% Operating Assets with Established History Predictable Production with No Development Risk Historical & Expected Production (GWh) 2011 2012 3,059 GWh Estimated Net Annual Production1 2012 wind fleet availability weighted average operating history 96.3% 5.8years Adjusted for assets not yet reaching full production Reported Production 2,993 2,805 214 177 3,207 2,982 1) Management estimates based on a near term base case production scenario, where there is an equal chance of higher or lower actual net annual generation, and are therefore subject to potential uncertainties.
  • 10. 10 100% Contracted with Investment-Grade Off-Takers Diversification Reduces Risk 33% AA– 16% A+ 4% BBB+ 37% BBB– 10% AAA Government Backed Entities Sponsor • Average Contract Life of 17 years
  • 12. 12 Renewable Power: The Fastest Growing Power Segment 12Experience to Execute on Multi-Faceted Growth Strategy Le Nordais, 99 MW Growth Focus: • Consolidate fragmented industry • Acquisitions of assets from TransAlta • Expansion into other markets and technologies
  • 13. 13 Sponsor with a Proven Track Record in Renewables Majority Shareholder Fully Aligned with Investors 801 1,112 1,100 9,051MW 100years Proven Renewable Asset Growth (MW) 2000 2013 generating capacity renewable operating experience 176% increase 2,212 801 80retained interest – intention to remain majority shareholder -85%
  • 14. 14 Renewables are One of the Fastest Growing Power Sources Positioned to Capitalize on Significant Growth 365 508 429 740 2010 2035 2010 2035 Canada U.S. 72% increase in renewables Growth in Renewable Power Generation (TWhs) Sources: Annual Energy Outlook 2013 – EIA and Canada's Energy Future: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2035 - NEB, November 2011. Increased demand for renewables Replacement of retired power facilities Government policy support Growth Drivers 39% increase in renewables
  • 15. 15 Potential Acquisitions from TransAlta 813 MW of Hydro Assets 99 MW of Contracted Wind Assets 164 MW of Geothermal Assets 15
  • 16. 16Consistent Risk Profile with Existing Portfolio Growth Criteria Assets with proven operating history Long-term PPA contracts Investment-grade counterparties Familiar technologies/suppliers 16 New Richmond, 68 MW
  • 17. 17 Proven Management Team Extensive Industry and Growth Experience TransAlta Renewables Inc. TransAlta Corp. and Other Brett Gellner President CFO Former VP Commercial Operations, Mergers & Acquisitions 12 years investment banking covering power, pipeline, midstream and forest products 13 years power industry experience Cynthia Johnston COO EVP, Corporate Services Former VP Renewable Operations 5 years at FortisAlberta Inc. 27 years power industry experience David Koch VP, Controller VP, Controller Former VP Financial Operations 10 years power industry experience Maryse St.-Laurent VP, Corporate Secretary VP, Corporate Secretary Previously senior legal counsel with TransCanada Corporation & Corporate Secretarial of TC PipeLines LP 8 years power industry experience Todd Stack VP, Treasurer VP, Treasurer Previous senior roles in Finance and Engineering departments 23 years power industry experience
  • 18. 18 Board of Directors Strong and Experienced Independent Directors Allen Hagerman* Chairman, Member of Audit Committee EVP, Canadian Oil Sands; Director, Precision Drilling; Former CFO Canadian Oil Sands, Past President of Financial Executives Institute, Calgary Chapter; Former board positions include Capital Power, Syncrude Canada and Governor of the University of Calgary David Drinkwater* Member of Audit Committee Chairman of Rothschild Canada; Former Chief Legal Officer, Nortel; EVP & CFO, Ontario Power Generation Kathryn McQuade* Chair of Audit Committee Former CFO, EVP & COO and Senior Advisor Canadian Pacific Railway; EVP & CIO Norfolk Southern; Former Director, North West Upgrading, Altria Group, Shenandoah Life Insurance Brett Gellner President, TransAlta Renewables Cynthia Johnston COO, TransAlta Renewables Paul Taylor President of TransAlta’s U.S. business operations; Former SVP, Corporate Development involved in the establishment of TransAlta Power L.P. and President and CEO of NaiKun Wind Energy Group * Independent
  • 20. 20 Cash Available for Distribution ($ millions) Prudent Payout Ratio of 83% After Debt Principal Payments $166.3 $125.0 $103.3 $(30.0) $(10.0) $(1.4) $(21.7) Deduct: Interest Expense Deduct: Maintenance Capital Expenditure Estimated Cash Flow Available for Distribution Prior to Debt Principal Payments Deduct: Debt Principal Payments Estimated Adjusted EBITDA LTM ending March 31, 2013 Deduct: Cash Taxes Estimated Cash Flow Available for Distribution After Debt Principal Payments $86M IN ESTIMATED ANNUAL DIVIDENDS 69% 83%
  • 21. 21 Financial Strength Debt to EBITDA of 3.5X Conservative payout ratio Reimbursement based G&A Model Access to capital markets 21Flexibility and Discipline Wolfe Island, 198 MW
  • 22. 22 Investment Highlights Predictable, Stable Cash Flow Supports Attractive Dividend Yield 22 • Scale and diversification underpinned by high quality assets • Low-risk portfolio consisting entirely of operating assets with fully contracted investment-grade counterparties • Multi-faceted growth strategy with potential access to >1,000 MW pipeline • Conservative payout ratio and financial leverage • Long-term alignment with TransAlta as sponsor and majority shareholder Castle River, 44 MW