SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 11
Baixar para ler offline
January 2013
                                    THE IMPACT OF PRICE CHANGES


                                     By Tiuri van Agten, Analyst at Distimo

                                                            Publication - January 2013




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013



                                                                                  me is
                                                                             my na
                                                                      Hello,




                                     A brief introduction
                                     Distimo has a very clear objective: to make the app market transparent.
                                     The company was born out of the frustration of a lack of insights into
                                     the performance of apps and the manual work needed to track important
                                     metrics.

                                     Our goal is to provide the best and most actionable app intelligence for anyone who
                                     wants to compete in the app market. Our data-driven team seeks to help developers,
                                     brands and financial services companies gain actionable, timely and factual
                                     knowledge of what’s happening daily in the global app market.


                                     We offer three core services:

                                     •	App Analytics
                                        to track all of your important app data across all major app stores and ad networks.


                                     •	Conversion Tracking
                                     	 to measure your full app sales funnel from discovery and campaigns to app launch.

                                     •	Market Data
                                        to analyze the daily download and revenue volumes of any app in the market.



                                     Founded in 2009, Distimo is a privately held company based in The Netherlands.
                                     Follow us on Twitter, read our blog or learn more at www.distimo.com.




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013




New and noteworthy
	This month’s publication discusses the effects of price changes on download volumes and revenue. Does a price drop always increase download
   volumes? And what is the effect on revenue? Does the higher download volume compensate for the lower selling price? On the other hand, what
   happens to download numbers and revenue after a price increase? All data contained in this month’s report covers the Apple App Store for iPhone
   and the Apple App Store for iPad during December 2012 in the 10 largest countries, which are (in alphabetical order): Australia, Canada, France,
   Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, Russia, United Kingdom and United States. Moreover, this analysis is only based on applications that have reached
   the Top 400 Overall and had at least one price change in December 2012.




                                     The major findings are:
                                       The majority of price changes are within a $1.00 to $3.00 range. The largest price changes are in the Apple App
                                       Store for iPad, twenty percent of all price events involved a change larger than $4.00 in this store.



                                       The effect of a price drop is more intensive in the Apple App Store for iPhone than it is in the Apple App Store for
                                       iPad. On average, cumulative downloads grow by 1665% five days after the price drop in the Apple App Store for
                                       iPhone, while the growth is 871% on the iPad.


                                       The effect on downloads of a lower price ends, when the price increases again. Download volumes in the Apple
                                       App Store for iPhone drop by -46%, aggregated over five days after a price raise. In the Apple App Store of iPad,
                                       the drop in downloads is somewhat higher, -57%.


                                       A price drop positively affects revenue in both stores. Revenue in the Apple App Store for iPhone increases by 95%
                                       three days after the price drop. This percentage was lower in the Apple App Store for iPad, where revenue grows
                                       by 51% because of a price drop.



                                       The effect of a price drop on revenue is significant and becomes larger in the long run in both the Apple App Store
                                       for iPhone and iPad. Revenue from one-off fees and in-app purchases are both contributors to this increase in
                                       revenue in the long run.



                                       The price elasticity on revenue in Apple App Store for iPhone is the lowest, which means that revenue reacts most
                                       heavily on any price change in this store. Here, a 1% price drop leads to a 1.2% revenue increase within five days.
                                       The price elasticity in the Apple App Store for iPad is -0.7, which indicates that a 1% price drop causes a 0.7%
                                       increase in revenue.



                                       The effect of price events is similar to applications in Google Play. However, the effect in this store seems less
                                       powerful compared to the Apple App Store. The ranking effect seems to be an explanation for this difference.




                            Alongside this publication we host a free webinar on the subject of
                                   price events on Thursday 7th of February @ 5:00 PM (CET).
                                                     Please register here to join the webinar.

Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013




                                     Introduction
                                     This month’s publication discusses the effects of price changes on download volumes and revenue. Many stories are
                                     told and some rumors go around whether price strategies do pay off. However, what can we learn from the data?
                                     Does it really pay off to develop a price strategy or do consumers not react much to price change – if at all?


                                     We have received many questions over the years from our Distimo Analytics users about the impact of price drops or
                                     increments. We devoted our monthly publication a year ago to a related subject of being featured in the app store and
                                     the effect of putting an app on sale on an app’s rank. We are able to study the effect of price changes in more detail
                                     with the introduction of AppIQ, which includes daily estimates of download volumes and revenue for each application.


                                     In theory, price drops and increases might both be beneficial for developers for different reasons. On the one hand,
                                     developers can put their apps on sale to achieve a higher rank. This would attract more attention, which generates
                                     more revenue in the long run. Additionally, the surge in paid downloads due to the lower price could make up for the
                                     loss in price. Alternatively, consumers might be eager to pay a higher price for popular applications, which would be
                                     an incentive for developers to raise the price of popular applications. These are just general thoughts about pricing
                                     strategies, but essentially developers develop and engage in pricing strategies in order to boost revenue.


                                     All data included in this month’s publication covers the Apple App Store for iPhone and the Apple App Store for iPad
                                     during December 2012 in the 10 largest countries, which are in alphabetical order: Australia, Canada, France, Germany,
                                     Italy, Japan, Korea, Russia, United Kingdom and United States. Moreover, this analysis is only based on applications
                                     that have reached the Top 400 Overall and had at least one price change in December. Please keep this mind, because
                                     these Top applications have reached some degree of popularity, which could bias this analysis towards higher growth
                                     figures.



Sizes of Price Events
Pricing regimes differ among the major application stores. Developers are bound to fixed price points ranging from
$0.99 to $999.99 in the Apple App Store, while developers in, for example, Google Play are free to set any price point
they wish in Google Play. However, the decision to change the price of an application solely lies with the developer.


Many applications changed prices in December 2012. We noted that respectivily 850 and 930 unique applications in
the Apple App Store for iPhone and Apple App Store for iPad changed prices at least once. Some of these applications
were put on sales only once during December, while other applications had multiple price fluctuations.




                                     The Majority of Price Changes is less than $3.00
                                     Sizes of the Price Events as Percentage of All Price Events, Increases and Drops


                                                         10% 8%                                             8% 9%
                                                                                                          7%
                                                      10%
                                                                                                         9%
                                                    13%                   33%
                                                                                                                    42%
                                                                                                         25%
                                                            26%


                                              < $1.00                                    $3.00 - $4.00
                                              $1.00 - $2.00                             $4.00 - $5.00
                                              $2.00 - $3.00                             > $5.00

Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013




                                     The graphs above provide insights about the size of price change events and include both price increases and price
                                     drops. The size of price events differs from event to event. Some prices changed less than one dollar, while other
                                     changes were more significant. Forty-two percent of price changes was in the range of $1.00 to $2.00 in the Apple
                                     App Store for iPhone, one-third of the changes on the iPad fitted in this range. Prices in the Apple App Store for iPad
                                     had the largest fluctuation when we look at the tiers that indicate large price changes. Twenty percent of all price
                                     events involved a change larger than $4.00, while in the Apple App Store for iPhone this percentage was 15%. The
                                     largest price change that we found was a $200.00 price change for Add2Cart Amana by Data Driven Decisions on
                                     the iPad.


1800%
1600%
                                  1665%
                                                          Effect on Downloads by Price Drops
1400%                                                     Growth in Cumulative Downloads after Five Days
1200%
                                                          The graph on the left depicts the growth in cumulative downloads five days after a price change
1000%             871%                                    took place. According to our data, a price change had a significant effect on download volumes.
  800%                                                    Not surprisingly, download volumes generally went up with a price drop and decreased when a
  600%                                                    price increased. The intention of the effect of the price change, however, depends on the store. On
                                                          average, downloads of applications in the Apple App Store for iPhone react most heavily on any price
  400%
                                                          change. Download volumes in this store grew by 1665%, five days after the price drop. The effect of
  200%                                                    a price drop is much lower for iPad applications; after five days the download volumes increased by
     0%                                                   only 871%.




The effects of price raises are depicted in the figure above. A price raise often marked
the end of a sales period. However, some developers raise prices without having put their
                                                                                                                            Downloads
application on sale. The outcome of a price raise is that it negatively affects download
volumes. However, the extension of the effect is lower for price raises compared to price                                   on the
drops. Downloads decreased by 46% in the Apple App Store for iPhone and by 57% in the
Apple App Store for iPad. We can conclude from this that applications do not maintain the                                   iPhone react
download level that is reached by a price drop once the price increased again.
                                                                                                                            most heavily
                                                                                                                            on any price
Effect on Downloads by Price Increases                                                                                      changes.
Growth in Cumulative Downloads after Five Days


   0%

-20%

-40%
                                                                                 -46%
-60%                           -57%



Please note that in general download volumes and revenue went up in December by 25% to 40% compared to November. This could have a significant effect on the
outcome of this analysis and could explain the extreme growth rate as result of a price drop compared to the less extreme drops for price increases.




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013



                                     Effect on Revenue
                                     The graph below shows the average revenue growth three, five and seven days after a price drop in both Apple
                                     App Stores. The graph supports the notion that the surge of downloads caused by the price drop, compensated
                                     the lower charged price during the sales period. This effect becomes already visible three days after the event
                                     took place. Revenue in the Apple App Store for iPhone went up by 95% within three days after the price drop.
                                     The revenue boost for applications on the iPad is significantly lower, revenue increased by 51% three days after the
                                     price drop.




Price Drops Positively Affect Revenue
Growth in Cumulative Revenue after Three, Five and Seven Days

175%
                                                                                                             159%
150%

125%

100%
                                                     71%
 75%

 50%

 25%

   0%




                 Growth After 3 Days                   Growth After 5 Days                   Growth After 7 Days




                                     A Lag in Revenue Growth
                                     Remarkably, the revenue growth rate grew the longer the application was on sale. The revenue growth rate increased
                                     to 137% after five days of the price drop in the Apple App Store for iPhone. Observing seven days resulted in an
                                     even large revenue growth rate to 159%. We noted a similar trend in the Apple App Store for iPad, where the growth
                                     numbers were somewhat lower: 63% after five days and 71% after a week.


                                     There is a two-fold explanation for this lagged revenue growth effect: either an increase in income from one-off fees
                                     or an increase in income generated by in-app purchases. An increase of revenue from one-off fees was partly the
                                     cause on both stores, because average downloads went up in the long run. Additionally, revenue generated by in-app
                                     purchases is a second explanation for this lagged revenue effect. The data shows that the growth in income gained
                                     by in-app features increased in the long run, especially for iPhone applications.




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013



                                        Price Elasticity on Revenue
                                        We realize that developing some kind of price strategy is beneficial, however the question remains: to what extent
                                        does a price event have on the influence of revenue? To find out, we look at the price elasticity on downloads and
                                        revenue. Price elasticity is a number that stands for the change in revenue caused by a 1% price change.



Price Changes Most Effective on the iPhone
Price Elasticity on Revenue after Three, Five and Seven Days
                                                                                                     The graph on the left depicts the price elasticity on
                                                                                                     revenue. A number between -1 and 0 indicates that the
                                                                                                     product (in this case the store) is relatively inelastic,
           7 Days                                                      7 Days
                                                                                                     which means that a price drop of 1% results in revenue
           5 Days                                                      5 Days
                                                                                                     growth of less than 1%. This was the case for revenue
           3 Days                                                      3 Days
                                                                                                     in the Apple App Store for iPad, where a 1% drop in the
                      - 0.6-0.7 - 0.8
                                                                                   -0.9 -1.2 - 1.4   selling price of an iPad application resulted in a 0.7%
                                                                                                     increase in revenue aggregated over five days. The price
                                                                                                     elasticity on revenue for applications on the iPhone is
                                                                                                     lower than -1, which suggests that the revenue in this
                                                                                                     store are relatively elastic: a 1% price drop in the Apple
                                                                                                     App Store for iPhone led to a 1.2% increase in revenue
       Price Elasticity: -1                                         Price Elasticity: -1             within 5 days from the price event.



The relative high price elasticity in Apple App Store for iPhone compared to the lower price elasticity in the Apple App Store for iPad suggests that
consumers in Apple App Store for iPhone are more sensitive to price changes compared to the consumers in the Apple App Store for iPad.




                                        Price Effects in Google Play
                                        According to our data, the effect of price events is also noticed for
                                        applications in Google Play. A price drop stimulates download volumes and
                                        revenue positively. However, this effect seems to be less powerful compared
                                        to the Apple App Store, because of the fact that it is harder to reach the top
                                        of the charts in Google Play. This reduces the so-called ranking effect, which
                                        means that higher ranked applications have more visiblity than lower ranked
                                        applications. Consequently, higher ranked applications are downloaded and
                                        generate more revenue than lower ranked applications, disproportionally.




         Recap
         Based on our analysis, we can draw the conclusion that price drops pay out in terms of downloads and revenue in the Apple App
         Store. The effect on revenue became even more intense in the long run, which is caused by an increase of revenue from one-off fees
         and in-app purchases. Moreover, the relative high price elasticity in Apple App Store for iPhone compared to the lower price elasticity
         in the Apple App Store for iPad suggests that consumers in Apple App Store for iPhone are more sensitive to price changes compared
         to the consumers in the Apple App Store for iPad.


         Next week on Thursday 7 February, we will host a free webinar about price strategies where we discuss this month’s publication in
         even more detail. Aside from presenting the main findings from the publication, we will also show a case study about what happens
         when a paid application becomes free. Register for free here to join us for the webinar.




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013




                     Top 10 Applications that Benefit from Price Drops
                     By Revenue Growth in Apple App Store for iPhone (United States)


                           App name                                                App publisher                Price Change

           1.               Bladeslinger Ep.1                                      Bladeslinger Ep.1            $2.99-->$0.99


           2.               Super Mole Escape                                      [adult swim]                 $0.99-->$0.00


           3.               A Charlie Brown Christmas                              Loud Crow Interactive Inc.   $4.99-->$2.99


           4.               Ski Safari                                             Defiant Development          $0.99-->$0.00


           5.               I’d Cap That 2+ With Animated GIF Camera               Iddiction                    $1.99-->$0.00


           6.               MEGA MAN X                                             CAPCOM                       $4.99-->$0.99


           7.               MARVEL VS. CAPCOM 2                                    CAPCOM                       $4.99-->$0.99


           8.               Superbrothers: Sword & Sworcery EP                     Capybara Games Inc.          $4.99-->$1.99


           9.               FINAL FANTASY I, II & III                              SQUARE ENIX                  $8.99-->$3.99


          10.               Batman Arkham City Lockdown                            Warner Bros.                 $5.99-->$0.99




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013




                     Top 10 Applications that Benefit from Price Drops
                     By Revenue Growth in Apple App Store for iPad (United States)


                               App name                                               App publisher                Price Change

              1.               Snark Busters: High Society HD                         Alawar Entertainment, Inc    $3.99-->$0.99


              2.               A Witch’s Curse: Princess Isabella HD                  Big Fish Games, Inc          $4.99-->$1.99


              3.               A Charlie Brown Christmas                              Loud Crow Interactive Inc.   $4.99-->$2.99


              4.               Loopy HD                                               A Tasty Pixel                $7.99-->$3.99


              5.               SoundPrism Pro                                         Audanika GmbH                $15.99-->$7.99


              6.               The Lorax - Dr. Seuss                                  Oceanhouse Media             $4.99-->$0.99


              7.               Superbrothers: Sword & Sworcery EP                     Capybara Games Inc.          $4.99-->$1.99


              8.               F-Sim Space Shuttle                                    Ledinsky Software GmbH       $3.99-->$0.99


              9.               The Curse                                              Toy Studio LLC               $2.99-->$0.00


             10.               Air Tycoon 2 HD                                        TRADEGAME Lab Inc.           $4.99-->$1.99




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013




Track daily
downloads and
revenues of
any app with
Distimo AppIQ
Distimo AppIQ allows users to:
•	 Track and compare app downloads and competitor app downloads: Analyze an app’s
   market share and compare download figures versus a competitor’s in one chart.
   The chart shows the daily downloads and can also be aggregated per week or month.
   Events such as price changes, featured listings and version updates are also included,
   and allow the user to analyze the influence of each event on downloads.

•	 Analyze competing app revenues including those from in-app purchases:
   View daily revenues from competing apps side-by-side with the their own app and
   get extensive insight into the revenue generation of different business models,
   revenue per country, and platform.

•	 Identify the most popular and upcoming new apps: The Leaderboard provides the
   daily rankings of all applications, and can be viewed by app store, country, category,
   device, and free/paid/gross. All of the major app stores are supported, and for iOS
   and Android, the daily volumes per individual app are also provided. AppIQ users
   see the daily downloads and revenue from in-app purchases and one-off fees.
   Developers can also use the Leaderboard to see how many downloads are needed to
   achieve a certain ranking on any given day.



  Learn more about AppIQ at www.distimo.com/app-analytics/appiq




Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Publication - January 2013




                                     Contact us
                                     For sales inquiries, please contact Remco van den Elzen, VP Business Development at remco@distimo.com
                                     or call +31 30 82 00 567.


                                     For press inquiries please contact Mindy M. Hull at mindy@mercuryglobalpartners.com
                                     or call +31 62 504 7680 (EU) or +1 415 889 9977 (USA).




                                     Disclaimer
                                     This work is licensed under Creative Commons License “Attribution Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Netherlands”. This license is
                                     available for download at http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/nl/. This license ables you to use, copy, spread,
                                     and build upon this work non-commercially, as long as you credit Distimo and license your new creations under the identical
                                     terms.


Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Destaque

Sales presentation skills
Sales presentation skillsSales presentation skills
Sales presentation skillsRichard Riche
 
Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012
Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012
Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012Rgordon2012
 
1. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 1
1. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 11. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 1
1. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 1Mohammad Khaleque (Mak)
 
Sales skill development
Sales skill developmentSales skill development
Sales skill developmentMukul Bhartiya
 
Chapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales Forecasting
Chapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales ForecastingChapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales Forecasting
Chapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales ForecastingHoly Angel University
 
Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...
Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...
Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...ISBR Business School
 
Sales skills handouts
Sales skills handoutsSales skills handouts
Sales skills handoutsGeorges Caron
 
Sales skills ppt sesh sukhdeo
Sales skills ppt   sesh sukhdeoSales skills ppt   sesh sukhdeo
Sales skills ppt sesh sukhdeoSESH SUKHDEO
 
Essential sales skill pdf
Essential sales skill pdfEssential sales skill pdf
Essential sales skill pdfJatinder Singh
 
The 6 Pillars of Sales Productivity
The 6 Pillars of Sales ProductivityThe 6 Pillars of Sales Productivity
The 6 Pillars of Sales ProductivityDarren Cunningham
 
Chapter 2 strategic sales force management
Chapter 2 strategic sales force managementChapter 2 strategic sales force management
Chapter 2 strategic sales force managementLo-Ann Placido
 
Sales forecasting techniques
Sales forecasting techniquesSales forecasting techniques
Sales forecasting techniquesAbu Bashar
 

Destaque (13)

Sales presentation skills
Sales presentation skillsSales presentation skills
Sales presentation skills
 
Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012
Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012
Rob gordon sales skill sets core competencies 2-5-2012
 
1. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 1
1. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 11. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 1
1. Essential Selling Skills For Slide Share Part 1
 
Sales skill development
Sales skill developmentSales skill development
Sales skill development
 
Chapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales Forecasting
Chapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales ForecastingChapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales Forecasting
Chapter 4 Marketing Research and Sales Forecasting
 
Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...
Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...
Managing The Sales Force - By Dr. Karpagam Director – Academics, ISBR Busines...
 
Sales skills handouts
Sales skills handoutsSales skills handouts
Sales skills handouts
 
Sales skills ppt sesh sukhdeo
Sales skills ppt   sesh sukhdeoSales skills ppt   sesh sukhdeo
Sales skills ppt sesh sukhdeo
 
Basic sales skills
Basic sales skillsBasic sales skills
Basic sales skills
 
Essential sales skill pdf
Essential sales skill pdfEssential sales skill pdf
Essential sales skill pdf
 
The 6 Pillars of Sales Productivity
The 6 Pillars of Sales ProductivityThe 6 Pillars of Sales Productivity
The 6 Pillars of Sales Productivity
 
Chapter 2 strategic sales force management
Chapter 2 strategic sales force managementChapter 2 strategic sales force management
Chapter 2 strategic sales force management
 
Sales forecasting techniques
Sales forecasting techniquesSales forecasting techniques
Sales forecasting techniques
 

Mais de Thierry Pires

MForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry pires
MForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry piresMForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry pires
MForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry piresThierry Pires
 
14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pub
14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pub14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pub
14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pubThierry Pires
 
Les grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juillet
Les grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juilletLes grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juillet
Les grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juilletThierry Pires
 
Livre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance web
Livre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance webLivre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance web
Livre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance webThierry Pires
 
Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...
Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...
Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...Thierry Pires
 
Multi screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studies
Multi screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studiesMulti screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studies
Multi screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studiesThierry Pires
 
Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)
Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)
Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)Thierry Pires
 
Sociomantic : étude power to the screens
Sociomantic : étude power to the screensSociomantic : étude power to the screens
Sociomantic : étude power to the screensThierry Pires
 
Etude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealo
Etude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealoEtude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealo
Etude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealoThierry Pires
 
Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !
Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !
Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !Thierry Pires
 
Baromètre mobile marketing association france 3ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france  3ème trimestre 2013Baromètre mobile marketing association france  3ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france 3ème trimestre 2013Thierry Pires
 
Mma location-terminology guide final
Mma location-terminology guide finalMma location-terminology guide final
Mma location-terminology guide finalThierry Pires
 
Webinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATION
Webinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATIONWebinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATION
Webinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATIONThierry Pires
 
Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013Thierry Pires
 
Les dix commandements du QR Code selon Unitag
Les dix commandements du QR Code selon UnitagLes dix commandements du QR Code selon Unitag
Les dix commandements du QR Code selon UnitagThierry Pires
 
Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013
Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013
Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013Thierry Pires
 
FEVAD chiffres clés 2013
FEVAD chiffres clés 2013FEVAD chiffres clés 2013
FEVAD chiffres clés 2013Thierry Pires
 
Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013Thierry Pires
 
The World in 2013 : ICTFacts and Figures
The World in 2013 : ICTFacts and FiguresThe World in 2013 : ICTFacts and Figures
The World in 2013 : ICTFacts and FiguresThierry Pires
 
OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012
OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012
OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012Thierry Pires
 

Mais de Thierry Pires (20)

MForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry pires
MForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry piresMForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry pires
MForum20 Digital Wallonie M-commerce - @thierry pires
 
14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pub
14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pub14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pub
14ème édition de l’Observatoire de l’e‐pub
 
Les grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juillet
Les grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juilletLes grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juillet
Les grands enjeux b2 b du marketing mobile - 2 juillet
 
Livre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance web
Livre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance webLivre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance web
Livre blanc stratégies marketing les dessous de la performance web
 
Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...
Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...
Soirée psoriasis 2.0 1er décembre 2014 - Présentation Marketing mobile - Thie...
 
Multi screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studies
Multi screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studiesMulti screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studies
Multi screen-moblie-whitepaper research-studies
 
Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)
Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)
Deloitte mobile consumer_2014 (UK)
 
Sociomantic : étude power to the screens
Sociomantic : étude power to the screensSociomantic : étude power to the screens
Sociomantic : étude power to the screens
 
Etude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealo
Etude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealoEtude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealo
Etude sur les acheteurs en ligne idealo
 
Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !
Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !
Keynote marketing mobile : Mobile is mainstream, it’s now or never !
 
Baromètre mobile marketing association france 3ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france  3ème trimestre 2013Baromètre mobile marketing association france  3ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france 3ème trimestre 2013
 
Mma location-terminology guide final
Mma location-terminology guide finalMma location-terminology guide final
Mma location-terminology guide final
 
Webinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATION
Webinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATIONWebinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATION
Webinar MMA LOCATION TERMINOLOGY GUIDE - THE LANGUAGE OF LOCATION
 
Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association france : 2ème trimestre 2013
 
Les dix commandements du QR Code selon Unitag
Les dix commandements du QR Code selon UnitagLes dix commandements du QR Code selon Unitag
Les dix commandements du QR Code selon Unitag
 
Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013
Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013
Slow steady apppromo-whitepaper2013
 
FEVAD chiffres clés 2013
FEVAD chiffres clés 2013FEVAD chiffres clés 2013
FEVAD chiffres clés 2013
 
Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013
Baromètre mobile marketing association France mai 2013
 
The World in 2013 : ICTFacts and Figures
The World in 2013 : ICTFacts and FiguresThe World in 2013 : ICTFacts and Figures
The World in 2013 : ICTFacts and Figures
 
OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012
OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012
OFcom : Communications Market Report 2012
 

Distimo : THE IMPACT OF PRICE CHANGES January 2013

  • 1. January 2013 THE IMPACT OF PRICE CHANGES By Tiuri van Agten, Analyst at Distimo Publication - January 2013 Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 2. Publication - January 2013 me is my na Hello, A brief introduction Distimo has a very clear objective: to make the app market transparent. The company was born out of the frustration of a lack of insights into the performance of apps and the manual work needed to track important metrics. Our goal is to provide the best and most actionable app intelligence for anyone who wants to compete in the app market. Our data-driven team seeks to help developers, brands and financial services companies gain actionable, timely and factual knowledge of what’s happening daily in the global app market. We offer three core services: • App Analytics to track all of your important app data across all major app stores and ad networks. • Conversion Tracking to measure your full app sales funnel from discovery and campaigns to app launch. • Market Data to analyze the daily download and revenue volumes of any app in the market. Founded in 2009, Distimo is a privately held company based in The Netherlands. Follow us on Twitter, read our blog or learn more at www.distimo.com. Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 3. Publication - January 2013 New and noteworthy This month’s publication discusses the effects of price changes on download volumes and revenue. Does a price drop always increase download volumes? And what is the effect on revenue? Does the higher download volume compensate for the lower selling price? On the other hand, what happens to download numbers and revenue after a price increase? All data contained in this month’s report covers the Apple App Store for iPhone and the Apple App Store for iPad during December 2012 in the 10 largest countries, which are (in alphabetical order): Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, Russia, United Kingdom and United States. Moreover, this analysis is only based on applications that have reached the Top 400 Overall and had at least one price change in December 2012. The major findings are: The majority of price changes are within a $1.00 to $3.00 range. The largest price changes are in the Apple App Store for iPad, twenty percent of all price events involved a change larger than $4.00 in this store. The effect of a price drop is more intensive in the Apple App Store for iPhone than it is in the Apple App Store for iPad. On average, cumulative downloads grow by 1665% five days after the price drop in the Apple App Store for iPhone, while the growth is 871% on the iPad. The effect on downloads of a lower price ends, when the price increases again. Download volumes in the Apple App Store for iPhone drop by -46%, aggregated over five days after a price raise. In the Apple App Store of iPad, the drop in downloads is somewhat higher, -57%. A price drop positively affects revenue in both stores. Revenue in the Apple App Store for iPhone increases by 95% three days after the price drop. This percentage was lower in the Apple App Store for iPad, where revenue grows by 51% because of a price drop. The effect of a price drop on revenue is significant and becomes larger in the long run in both the Apple App Store for iPhone and iPad. Revenue from one-off fees and in-app purchases are both contributors to this increase in revenue in the long run. The price elasticity on revenue in Apple App Store for iPhone is the lowest, which means that revenue reacts most heavily on any price change in this store. Here, a 1% price drop leads to a 1.2% revenue increase within five days. The price elasticity in the Apple App Store for iPad is -0.7, which indicates that a 1% price drop causes a 0.7% increase in revenue. The effect of price events is similar to applications in Google Play. However, the effect in this store seems less powerful compared to the Apple App Store. The ranking effect seems to be an explanation for this difference. Alongside this publication we host a free webinar on the subject of price events on Thursday 7th of February @ 5:00 PM (CET). Please register here to join the webinar. Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 4. Publication - January 2013 Introduction This month’s publication discusses the effects of price changes on download volumes and revenue. Many stories are told and some rumors go around whether price strategies do pay off. However, what can we learn from the data? Does it really pay off to develop a price strategy or do consumers not react much to price change – if at all? We have received many questions over the years from our Distimo Analytics users about the impact of price drops or increments. We devoted our monthly publication a year ago to a related subject of being featured in the app store and the effect of putting an app on sale on an app’s rank. We are able to study the effect of price changes in more detail with the introduction of AppIQ, which includes daily estimates of download volumes and revenue for each application. In theory, price drops and increases might both be beneficial for developers for different reasons. On the one hand, developers can put their apps on sale to achieve a higher rank. This would attract more attention, which generates more revenue in the long run. Additionally, the surge in paid downloads due to the lower price could make up for the loss in price. Alternatively, consumers might be eager to pay a higher price for popular applications, which would be an incentive for developers to raise the price of popular applications. These are just general thoughts about pricing strategies, but essentially developers develop and engage in pricing strategies in order to boost revenue. All data included in this month’s publication covers the Apple App Store for iPhone and the Apple App Store for iPad during December 2012 in the 10 largest countries, which are in alphabetical order: Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, Russia, United Kingdom and United States. Moreover, this analysis is only based on applications that have reached the Top 400 Overall and had at least one price change in December. Please keep this mind, because these Top applications have reached some degree of popularity, which could bias this analysis towards higher growth figures. Sizes of Price Events Pricing regimes differ among the major application stores. Developers are bound to fixed price points ranging from $0.99 to $999.99 in the Apple App Store, while developers in, for example, Google Play are free to set any price point they wish in Google Play. However, the decision to change the price of an application solely lies with the developer. Many applications changed prices in December 2012. We noted that respectivily 850 and 930 unique applications in the Apple App Store for iPhone and Apple App Store for iPad changed prices at least once. Some of these applications were put on sales only once during December, while other applications had multiple price fluctuations. The Majority of Price Changes is less than $3.00 Sizes of the Price Events as Percentage of All Price Events, Increases and Drops 10% 8% 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 13% 33% 42% 25% 26% < $1.00 $3.00 - $4.00 $1.00 - $2.00 $4.00 - $5.00 $2.00 - $3.00 > $5.00 Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 5. Publication - January 2013 The graphs above provide insights about the size of price change events and include both price increases and price drops. The size of price events differs from event to event. Some prices changed less than one dollar, while other changes were more significant. Forty-two percent of price changes was in the range of $1.00 to $2.00 in the Apple App Store for iPhone, one-third of the changes on the iPad fitted in this range. Prices in the Apple App Store for iPad had the largest fluctuation when we look at the tiers that indicate large price changes. Twenty percent of all price events involved a change larger than $4.00, while in the Apple App Store for iPhone this percentage was 15%. The largest price change that we found was a $200.00 price change for Add2Cart Amana by Data Driven Decisions on the iPad. 1800% 1600% 1665% Effect on Downloads by Price Drops 1400% Growth in Cumulative Downloads after Five Days 1200% The graph on the left depicts the growth in cumulative downloads five days after a price change 1000% 871% took place. According to our data, a price change had a significant effect on download volumes. 800% Not surprisingly, download volumes generally went up with a price drop and decreased when a 600% price increased. The intention of the effect of the price change, however, depends on the store. On average, downloads of applications in the Apple App Store for iPhone react most heavily on any price 400% change. Download volumes in this store grew by 1665%, five days after the price drop. The effect of 200% a price drop is much lower for iPad applications; after five days the download volumes increased by 0% only 871%. The effects of price raises are depicted in the figure above. A price raise often marked the end of a sales period. However, some developers raise prices without having put their Downloads application on sale. The outcome of a price raise is that it negatively affects download volumes. However, the extension of the effect is lower for price raises compared to price on the drops. Downloads decreased by 46% in the Apple App Store for iPhone and by 57% in the Apple App Store for iPad. We can conclude from this that applications do not maintain the iPhone react download level that is reached by a price drop once the price increased again. most heavily on any price Effect on Downloads by Price Increases changes. Growth in Cumulative Downloads after Five Days 0% -20% -40% -46% -60% -57% Please note that in general download volumes and revenue went up in December by 25% to 40% compared to November. This could have a significant effect on the outcome of this analysis and could explain the extreme growth rate as result of a price drop compared to the less extreme drops for price increases. Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 6. Publication - January 2013 Effect on Revenue The graph below shows the average revenue growth three, five and seven days after a price drop in both Apple App Stores. The graph supports the notion that the surge of downloads caused by the price drop, compensated the lower charged price during the sales period. This effect becomes already visible three days after the event took place. Revenue in the Apple App Store for iPhone went up by 95% within three days after the price drop. The revenue boost for applications on the iPad is significantly lower, revenue increased by 51% three days after the price drop. Price Drops Positively Affect Revenue Growth in Cumulative Revenue after Three, Five and Seven Days 175% 159% 150% 125% 100% 71% 75% 50% 25% 0% Growth After 3 Days Growth After 5 Days Growth After 7 Days A Lag in Revenue Growth Remarkably, the revenue growth rate grew the longer the application was on sale. The revenue growth rate increased to 137% after five days of the price drop in the Apple App Store for iPhone. Observing seven days resulted in an even large revenue growth rate to 159%. We noted a similar trend in the Apple App Store for iPad, where the growth numbers were somewhat lower: 63% after five days and 71% after a week. There is a two-fold explanation for this lagged revenue growth effect: either an increase in income from one-off fees or an increase in income generated by in-app purchases. An increase of revenue from one-off fees was partly the cause on both stores, because average downloads went up in the long run. Additionally, revenue generated by in-app purchases is a second explanation for this lagged revenue effect. The data shows that the growth in income gained by in-app features increased in the long run, especially for iPhone applications. Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 7. Publication - January 2013 Price Elasticity on Revenue We realize that developing some kind of price strategy is beneficial, however the question remains: to what extent does a price event have on the influence of revenue? To find out, we look at the price elasticity on downloads and revenue. Price elasticity is a number that stands for the change in revenue caused by a 1% price change. Price Changes Most Effective on the iPhone Price Elasticity on Revenue after Three, Five and Seven Days The graph on the left depicts the price elasticity on revenue. A number between -1 and 0 indicates that the product (in this case the store) is relatively inelastic, 7 Days 7 Days which means that a price drop of 1% results in revenue 5 Days 5 Days growth of less than 1%. This was the case for revenue 3 Days 3 Days in the Apple App Store for iPad, where a 1% drop in the - 0.6-0.7 - 0.8 -0.9 -1.2 - 1.4 selling price of an iPad application resulted in a 0.7% increase in revenue aggregated over five days. The price elasticity on revenue for applications on the iPhone is lower than -1, which suggests that the revenue in this store are relatively elastic: a 1% price drop in the Apple App Store for iPhone led to a 1.2% increase in revenue Price Elasticity: -1 Price Elasticity: -1 within 5 days from the price event. The relative high price elasticity in Apple App Store for iPhone compared to the lower price elasticity in the Apple App Store for iPad suggests that consumers in Apple App Store for iPhone are more sensitive to price changes compared to the consumers in the Apple App Store for iPad. Price Effects in Google Play According to our data, the effect of price events is also noticed for applications in Google Play. A price drop stimulates download volumes and revenue positively. However, this effect seems to be less powerful compared to the Apple App Store, because of the fact that it is harder to reach the top of the charts in Google Play. This reduces the so-called ranking effect, which means that higher ranked applications have more visiblity than lower ranked applications. Consequently, higher ranked applications are downloaded and generate more revenue than lower ranked applications, disproportionally. Recap Based on our analysis, we can draw the conclusion that price drops pay out in terms of downloads and revenue in the Apple App Store. The effect on revenue became even more intense in the long run, which is caused by an increase of revenue from one-off fees and in-app purchases. Moreover, the relative high price elasticity in Apple App Store for iPhone compared to the lower price elasticity in the Apple App Store for iPad suggests that consumers in Apple App Store for iPhone are more sensitive to price changes compared to the consumers in the Apple App Store for iPad. Next week on Thursday 7 February, we will host a free webinar about price strategies where we discuss this month’s publication in even more detail. Aside from presenting the main findings from the publication, we will also show a case study about what happens when a paid application becomes free. Register for free here to join us for the webinar. Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 8. Publication - January 2013 Top 10 Applications that Benefit from Price Drops By Revenue Growth in Apple App Store for iPhone (United States) App name App publisher Price Change 1. Bladeslinger Ep.1 Bladeslinger Ep.1 $2.99-->$0.99 2. Super Mole Escape [adult swim] $0.99-->$0.00 3. A Charlie Brown Christmas Loud Crow Interactive Inc. $4.99-->$2.99 4. Ski Safari Defiant Development $0.99-->$0.00 5. I’d Cap That 2+ With Animated GIF Camera Iddiction $1.99-->$0.00 6. MEGA MAN X CAPCOM $4.99-->$0.99 7. MARVEL VS. CAPCOM 2 CAPCOM $4.99-->$0.99 8. Superbrothers: Sword & Sworcery EP Capybara Games Inc. $4.99-->$1.99 9. FINAL FANTASY I, II & III SQUARE ENIX $8.99-->$3.99 10. Batman Arkham City Lockdown Warner Bros. $5.99-->$0.99 Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 9. Publication - January 2013 Top 10 Applications that Benefit from Price Drops By Revenue Growth in Apple App Store for iPad (United States) App name App publisher Price Change 1. Snark Busters: High Society HD Alawar Entertainment, Inc $3.99-->$0.99 2. A Witch’s Curse: Princess Isabella HD Big Fish Games, Inc $4.99-->$1.99 3. A Charlie Brown Christmas Loud Crow Interactive Inc. $4.99-->$2.99 4. Loopy HD A Tasty Pixel $7.99-->$3.99 5. SoundPrism Pro Audanika GmbH $15.99-->$7.99 6. The Lorax - Dr. Seuss Oceanhouse Media $4.99-->$0.99 7. Superbrothers: Sword & Sworcery EP Capybara Games Inc. $4.99-->$1.99 8. F-Sim Space Shuttle Ledinsky Software GmbH $3.99-->$0.99 9. The Curse Toy Studio LLC $2.99-->$0.00 10. Air Tycoon 2 HD TRADEGAME Lab Inc. $4.99-->$1.99 Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 10. Publication - January 2013 Track daily downloads and revenues of any app with Distimo AppIQ Distimo AppIQ allows users to: • Track and compare app downloads and competitor app downloads: Analyze an app’s market share and compare download figures versus a competitor’s in one chart. The chart shows the daily downloads and can also be aggregated per week or month. Events such as price changes, featured listings and version updates are also included, and allow the user to analyze the influence of each event on downloads. • Analyze competing app revenues including those from in-app purchases: View daily revenues from competing apps side-by-side with the their own app and get extensive insight into the revenue generation of different business models, revenue per country, and platform. • Identify the most popular and upcoming new apps: The Leaderboard provides the daily rankings of all applications, and can be viewed by app store, country, category, device, and free/paid/gross. All of the major app stores are supported, and for iOS and Android, the daily volumes per individual app are also provided. AppIQ users see the daily downloads and revenue from in-app purchases and one-off fees. Developers can also use the Leaderboard to see how many downloads are needed to achieve a certain ranking on any given day. Learn more about AppIQ at www.distimo.com/app-analytics/appiq Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
  • 11. Publication - January 2013 Contact us For sales inquiries, please contact Remco van den Elzen, VP Business Development at remco@distimo.com or call +31 30 82 00 567. For press inquiries please contact Mindy M. Hull at mindy@mercuryglobalpartners.com or call +31 62 504 7680 (EU) or +1 415 889 9977 (USA). Disclaimer This work is licensed under Creative Commons License “Attribution Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Netherlands”. This license is available for download at http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/nl/. This license ables you to use, copy, spread, and build upon this work non-commercially, as long as you credit Distimo and license your new creations under the identical terms. Distimo ©2013, some rights reserved. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.