The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that includes:
- Key headlines on COVID cases and economic restrictions from Japan, Italy, Singapore, Australia, and Vietnam.
- Details on upcoming economic data releases from the US and speakers from the ECB and FOMC.
- Analysis of major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD against technical indicators to provide buy and sell signals.
The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf(CBTL), Business strategy case study
Daily Analysis Report and Major FX Pair Trend
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27 September 2021
Daily Analysis Report
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen remains vola le a er SPPI results, most Asian stock markets in green, gold hovers around $1,760 mark
Key Headlines:
• Japan SPPI stands at 1.0 pct vs 1.1 pct previous release.
• Italy reported 44 coronavirus related deaths on Sunday, compared with 50 the day before, the health ministry said, and the daily tally of new infec ons fell to
3,099 from 3,525 – Reuters.
• Singapore's health ministry reported 1,939 new COVID-19 cases on Sunday, the highest since the beginning of the pandemic – Reuters.
• Australia's Victoria state reported 779 new COVID-19 infec ons and two deaths on Sunday, off the previous day's record high as the country's prime minister
presses state leaders to be ready to reopen once they meet vaccina on targets – Reuters.
• Vietnam plans to ease coronavirus curbs and allow businesses to restart produc on from next week to prop up an economy which has suffered under lengthy
lockdowns, Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh said on Saturday – Reuters.
• The UK government has decided to temporarily suspend compe on rules for the country's downstream oil sector in an a empt to alleviate supply-chain
issues at fuel service sta ons – Sources.
• Iceland briefly celebrated elec ng a female-majority parliament Sunday, before a recount produced a result just short of that landmark for gender parity in the
North Atlan c island na on – Sources.
• German Chancellor Angela Merkel is stepping down a er 16 years in power – Sources.
• German’s exit polls say race between Social Democrats and Mrs Merkel's CDU is very close – Sources.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Durable Goods orders, previous -0.1, expected 0.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Core Durable Goods orders, previous 0.8, expected 0.5.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1145 GMT/1715 IST) ECB president Lagarde Speaks.
• (1200 GMT/1730 IST) U.S. FOMC member Evans Speaks.
• (1600 GMT/2130 IST) U.S. FOMC member Williams Speaks.
• (1800 GMT/2330 IST) U.K. BOE Governor Bailey Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.08% to 93.25 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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SEPTEMBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7290
R2 S2
0.7315
R3 S3
0.7350
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7370
Buy Above 0.7292
0.7315
0.7270
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7264
0.7241
0.7286
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades slightly up ahead of Retail Sales data due tomorrow. It made intraday
high at $0.7290 and low at $0.7250 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests
up trend for the time being.Asustained close above $0.7290 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7240 will check further supports.
0.7240
0.7215
0.7201
0.7180
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1740
R2 S2
1.1755
R3 S3
1.1780
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1906
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro trades in narrow range ahead of ECB President Lagarde’s speech and stabilizes
below $1.1750 mark. ECB President Lagarde is likely to testify before the Committee on Economic
and Monetary Affairs, via satellite. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1726 and low at $1.1711.
Today triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent
close above $1.1740 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below
$1.1706 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1706
1.1680
1.1650
1.1620
Buy Above 1.1740
1.1768
1.1710
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1699
1.1669
1.1732
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3690
R2 S2
1.3750
R3 S3
1.3780
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3815
Buy Above 1.3692
1.3720
1.3660
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3651
1.3620
1.3678
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades almost flat on Monday ahead of BOE Governor Bailey’s speech and
trading around $1.3675 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3680 and low at $1.3658 mark. A
day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $1.3690 on H1 chart will check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3650
will check further supports.
USD
1.3650
1.3620
1.3590
1.3570
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2670
R2 S2
1.2722
R3 S3
1.2750
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2772
Buy Above 1.2650
1.2672
1.2625
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2612
1.2582
1.2640
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar starts a new week on a positive note and remains well supported
below 1.2650 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2657 and low at 1.2611 mark. Today a day chart
is up and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above
1.2670 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2622 on H1
chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2602
1.2580
1.2555
1.2510
SEPTEMBER,
2021
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
110.80
R2 S2
111.15
R3 S3
111.47
R4
Commentary
S4
111.78
Buy Above 110.80
111.22
110.55
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 110.30
110.03
110.65
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen remains slightly volatile as Japan’s SPPI data misses expectations.
The pair made intraday high at 110.80 and low at 110.59 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart and H1
chart suggests bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 110.80 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 110.38 on H1 chart will check further key
supports
USD /JPY
110.38
110.00
109.70
109.55
SEPTEMBER,
2021
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1762
R2 S2
1767
R3 S3
1772
R4
Commentary
S4
1778
Buy Above 1762
1767
1755
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1748
1742
1754
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold appreciates in earlyAsian hours and touches $1,760 mark. Today pair made
intraday high at $1,760 and low at $1,748 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests
bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,762 on H1 chart requires for the upside
rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,748 will check further supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1748
1742
1737
1732
SEPTEMBER,
2021
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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