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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT FEBRUARY 16 2022
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16 February 2022
Daily Analysis Report
2. +1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades almost flat against major peers as traders eye Russia – Ukraine decision, FOMC Mee ng Minutes; Asian stock markets in green, gold stabilizes above $1,850
mark
Key Headlines:
• U.S. TIC Long Term purchases stands at 114.5B vs 137.9B previous release.
• Australia MI leading index stands 0.1 pct vs 0.0 pct previous release.
• China CPI stands at 0.9 pct vs 1.5 pct previous release.
• China PPI stands at 9.1 pct vs 10.3 pct previous release.
• Increased uncertainty about the infla on outlook means the European Central Bank needs to keep its op ons fully open, especially on future interest rate hikes, ECB policymaker
Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Tuesday – Reuters.
• The Biden administra on is seeking $30 billion in addi onal funds from Congress to fight the COVID-19 pandemic to bolster vaccines, treatments, tes ng supply and research,
according to sources familiar with the ma er – Reuters.
• A U.S. pa ent with leukemia has become the first woman and the third person to date to be cured of HIV a er receiving a bone marrow transplant from a donor who was naturally
resistant to the virus that causes AIDS, researchers reported on Tuesday – Reuters.
• The Dutch government will li most of its coronavirus restric ons as of Friday, as the record levels of infec ons triggered by the Omicron variant have not translated in a peak of
hospitalisa ons, health minister Ernst Kuipers said on Tuesday – Reuters.
• Vaccina ng pregnant women against the coronavirus may help prevent COVID-19 hospitaliza ons in infants a er they are born, especially if the expec ng mothers got the shots
later in their pregnancy, U.S. researchers reported on Tuesday – Reuters.
• Canada will ease entry for fully vaccinated interna onal travelers star ng on Feb. 28 as COVID-19 cases decline, allowing a rapid an gen test for travelers instead of a molecular one,
officials said on Tuesday – Reuters.
• The European Union and the Gates Founda on will invest over 100 million euros ($113.4 million) over the next five years to help set up an African medicines regulator to boost the
con nent's drugs and vaccine produc on, the EU Commission said on Tuesday – Reuters.
• The COVID-19 related death toll in Turkey surged to 309 in the last 24 hours, the highest daily level in more than nine months, health ministry data showed on Tuesday, with new
cases over that period at 94,730 – Reuters.
• Italy reported 70,852 COVID-19 related cases on Tuesday, against 28,630 the day before, the health ministry said, while the number of deaths rose to 388 from 281 – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. CPI, previous 5.4, expected 5.4.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. Core CPI, previous 4.2, expected 4.3.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. PPI Input, previous -0.2, expected 1.0.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. PPI Output, previous 0.3, expected 0.6.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro Industrial Produc on, previous 2.3, expected 0.4.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada CPI, previous -0.1, expected 0.6.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Retail Sales, previous -1.9, expected 2.1.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Core Retail Sales, previous -2.3, expected 1.0.
• (1415 GMT/1945 IST) U.S. Industrial Produc on, previous -0.1, expected 0.4.
• (1415 GMT/1945 IST) U.S. Capacity U liza on Rate, previous 76.5, expected 76.8.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. Business Inventories, previous 1.3, expected 2.1.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1900 GMT/0030 IST) U.S. FOMC Mee ng Minutes.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.05% to 96.04 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7172
R2 S2
0.7199
R3 S3
0.7222
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7250
Buy Above 0.7170
0.7199
0.7149
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7137
0.7111
0.7162
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades almost flat on Wednesday ahead of Australia’s Employment Change
data due tomorrow. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7161 and low at $0.7143 mark.Aday chart is
down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$0.7155 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7137 will
check further supports.
0.7137
0.7110
0.7090
0.7065
FEBRUARY,
2022
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1362
R2 S2
1.1384
R3 S3
1.1405
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1432
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro trades slightly lower in Asian hours and hovers around $1.1350 mark. The pair
made intraday high at $1.1361 and low at $1.1345 mark. Today triple EMAon a day chart is down and
H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being.Aconsistent close above $1.1362 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1321 on H1 chart will check further
supports.
EUR / USD
1.1321
1.1301
1.1280
1.1265
Buy Above 1.1362
1.1389
1.1332
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1327
1.1300
1.1357
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3552
R2 S2
1.3570
R3 S3
1.3586
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3615
Buy Above 1.3550
1.3576
1.3530
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3527
1.3499
1.3550
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling enjoys roller coaster movement ahead of U.K.’s CPI data and trading around
$1.3540 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3549 and low at $1.3524 mark. A day chart is up
and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$1.3552 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3520 will
check further supports.
USD
1.3520
1.3498
1.3465
1.3450
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FEBRUARY,
2022
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2730
R2 S2
1.2750
R3 S3
1.2772
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2799
Buy Above 1.2730
1.2755
1.2710
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2700
1.2678
1.2722
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD trades flat on Wednesday ahead of Canada’s CPI data and hovers around
1.2720 mark. Pair made intraday high at 1.2725 and low at 1.2710 mark. Today a day chart is up and
H1 chart with triple EMA suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2730 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2700 on H1 chart will
check key supports too. Canada’s Housing start data is in focus.
USD /CAD
1.2700
1.2672
1.2650
1.2626
FEBRUARY,
2022
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
115.90
R2 S2
116.18
R3 S3
116.32
R4
Commentary
S4
116.54
Buy Above 115.78
115.99
115.62
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 115.52
115.27
115.72
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades marginally lower on Wednesday and hovers around 115.70
mark. The pair made intraday high at 11574 and low at 115.55 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart and
H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being.Asustained close above 115.81 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 115.57 on H1 chart will check further key
supports.
USD /JPY
115.57
115.25
114.90
114.65
FEBRUARY,
2022
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1857
R2 S2
1862
R3 S3
1868
R4
Commentary
S4
1874
Buy Above 1857
1865
1851
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1848
1841
1854
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold moves in rigid boundaries ahead of U.S. Retail Sales and FOMC Meeting
Minutes data. Today pair made intraday high at $1,854 and low at $1,850 mark.Atriple EMAon a day
chart is up and H1 chart suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,857 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,848 will check further
supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1842
1837
1832
1826
FEBRUARY,
2022
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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