The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX on April 21, 2021. It includes summaries of recent economic data releases from countries like New Zealand, Australia, South Korea. Upcoming economic data and events from the UK, Canada, and BOC are also listed. Technical analysis is given for several currency pairs such as AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. The analysis provides support and resistance levels as well as commentary on recent price action and trends for each currency pair on the hourly timeframe.
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Daily FX Analysis and Market Report
1. Daily Analysis Report
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21 April, 2021
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Asian Bulle n: Aussie weakens immediately a er retail sales data, Asian stock markets mixed, gold up
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand CPI q/q stands at 0.8 pct vs 0.5 pct previous release.
• Australia MI leading index stands at 0.4 pct vs 0.2 pct previous release.
• Australia retail sales stands at 1.4 pct vs -0.8 pct previous release (expected 1.0).
• South Korea PPI m/m stands at 0.9 pct vs 0.8 pct previous release.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. HPI, previous 7.5, expected 8.0.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada CPI, previous 0.5, expected 0.6.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) Canada Interest Rate Decision, previous 0.25, expected 0.25.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) BOC Press Conference.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.01% to 91.25 points.
3. AUD /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.7740 S1 0.7702
Buy Above 0.7740
0.7770
0.7710
0.7698
0.7677
0.7730
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.7770 S2 0.7677
R3 0.7790 S3 0.7638
R4 0.7812 S4 0.7622
Conclusion
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
APRIL,
Commentary
AUD/USD: The Aussie weakens sharply against U.S. dollar despite higher than
expected retail sales data. The pair made intraday high at $0.0.7736 and low at $0.7705
mark. A day chart suggests up trend while H1 chart with triple EMA confirms bearish
trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7740 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally. Alternatively, current downside movement will drag the parity down below
$0.7700 mark.
4. EUR / USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.2050 S1 1.2018
Buy Above 1.2050
1.2080
1.2020
1.2000
1.1980
1.2030
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2090 S2 1.2000
R3 1.2128 S3 1.1980
R4 1.2152 S4 1.1942
Conclusion
Commentary
EUR/USD: The euro exhibits range bound movement on Wednesday and consolidates
around $1.2030 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.2043 and low at $1.2024.
Today triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest slightly bullish trend for the time
being. A consistent close above $1.2050 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.2018 on H1 will check further supports.
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5. GBP /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.3952 S1 1.3920
Buy Above 1.3952
1.3970
1.3915
1.3910
1.3876
1.3940
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.3970 S2 1.3900
R3 1.4008 S3 1.3876
R4 1.4026 S4 1.3854
Conclusion
Commentary
GBP/USD: The sterling trades marginally lower in early Asia and stabilizes above
$1.3900 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.3949 and low at $1.3915. Today a day
and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $1.3952 requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$1.3920 will check further key supports.
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6. USD /CAD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.2618 S1 1.2590
Buy Above 1.2625
1.2655
1.2600
1.2590
1.2570
1.2620
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2640 S2 1.2565
R3 1.2670 S3 1.2540
R4 1.2692 S4 1.2518
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar trades almost flat ahead of Canada’s Interest Rate
Decision and Inflation results. The pair made intraday high at 1.2616 and low at 1.2597
mark. A day chart is bearish and H1 Chart with triple EMA confirms up trend for the time
being. A sustained close above 1.2618 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2590 will check key supports too.
Trends Up Trend
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7. USD /JPY
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 108.15 S1 107.92
Buy Above 108.15
108.40
107.90
107.85
107.60
108.15
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 108.40 S2 107.60
R3 108.90 S3 107.28
R4 109.27 S4 107.00
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen remains volatile on Wednesday and hovers around 108.00
mark. The pair made intraday high at 108.14 and low at 107.87 mark. The triple EMA on
a day chart is bullish while H1 chart confirms bearish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above 108.15 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a
consistent close below 107.92 on H1 will check key supports.
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8. XAU /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1787 S1 1776
Buy Above 1787
1794
1778
1775
1768
1783
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1794 S2 1772
R3 1799 S3 1767
R4 1805 S4 1762
Conclusion
Commentary
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold rises sharply on Wednesday and touches $1,785 mark in
Asian hours. Today pair made intraday high at $1,785 and low $1,776 mark. Today’s
U.S. session is empty again, suggesting high volatility during U.S. session. A day chart is
about to give successful crossover for the upside trend while H1 chart with triple EMA
has already confirmed bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,787
on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,775
will check further supports.
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9. Thank
you!
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