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Swedbank’s year-end 2011 results
Michael Wolf, CEO
Göran Bronner, CFO
Håkan Berg, CRO
Delivered according to last years prospects
• Net profit of SEK 11.7bn for 2011

• Core Tier 1 capital ratio of 15.7 per cent

• Return on equity of 12.2 per cent for 2011

• Proposed dividend of SEK 5.30 per share




                                               2
All stakeholders affected by new environment
• Shareholders
   –   Two share issues totalling SEK 27bn
   –   Buy-back programme halted
   –   Goodwill write-downs
   –   Harder to reach ROE target

• Staff
   – Number of employees down by about 6 000 since end of 2007
   – Overhaul of remuneration systems will reduce variable pay

• Customers
   – Increased cost of money



                                                                 3
Group results

Continued stable development

SEKm
                           FY       FY
                                       Q3 11 Q4 11    • Goodwill write-down in Latvia
                         2010     2011

Net interest income     16 329   19 118 4 857 4 994
                                                        SEK 1913m
Net commission income    9 525    8 963 2 292 2 126   • SEK 330m restructuring
Net gains and losses     2 400    1 584   259   559     charge
Other income             2 790    3 850   782   839
                                                      • Increased capital markets
Total income            31 044   33 515 8 190 8 518     income and positive valuation
Total expenses          17 642   17 869 4 331 4 809     effects
Profit before
impairments
                        13 402   15 646 3 859 3 709
                                                      • Cost reduction 2012: SEK 1bn

 CT1 ratio, %*            13.9     15.7
                                                      • Continued focus on capital
                                                        efficiency
 Return on equity, %       8.1     12.2

* Basel 2

                                                                                        4
Liquidity and funding

Significantly lower issuance volumes going forward
•       SEK 44bn of long-term debt issued in Q4 (incl. SEK 7bn of senior unsecured)
•       Over-collateralisation in covered-bond pool increased to 29% (25%)
•       Continued strong liquidity reserves
SEKbn
                                                                               Term funding issuance
80

                                                                                                                                                         Average term funding issuance
                                                                                                                                                         Maturities 2012
60                                                                                                                                                       Average term funding need




40




20




    0
                             Q3 2010

                                       Q4 2010




                                                                                                               Q3 2012




                                                                                                                                             Q2 2013

                                                                                                                                                       Q3 2013




                                                                                                                                                                                     Q2 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                               Q3 2014
         Q1 2010

                   Q2 2010




                                                                                           Q1 2012

                                                                                                     Q2 2012




                                                                                                                         Q4 2012

                                                                                                                                   Q1 2013




                                                                                                                                                                 Q4 2013

                                                                                                                                                                           Q1 2014




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Q4 2014
                                                                     Q3 2011
                                                 Q1 2011

                                                           Q2 2011




                                                                                 Q4 2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   5
Swedbank regulatory compliant – transition completed
• Transformation of:
   – Maturity structure liabilities
   – Liquidity reserve
   – Capital buffer

• Significantly reduced risk in balance sheet

• Cost for regulatory compliance taken


Ratio                      Swedbank           Expected requirements
CT1-ratio, Basel 3             14.7%       10% (2013)    12% (2015)
Liquidity coverage ratio       139%       100% (2015)     EUR/USD
Net stable funding ratio        94%       100% (2018)



                                                                       6
Capital management
• Current capitalisation targets withdrawn

• Dividend policy of 50%

• Other capital repatriation on hold

• Proposal to issue convertible debt instruments

• Return target of 15%




                                                   7
Risk highlights

Net recoveries of SEK 174m in Q4
            Credit impairments, SEKm                            • Credit impairments in Sweden
                                                                  still low
                                                                   – Known problems
                                                                   – Limited inflow of watch list
                                                                     and problem loans

                          -324
                                                -174
                                                                • Collective provisions mortgage
                                                                  loans in Latvia and Ukraine
                                     -441

  -483




              -972



  Q4 10      Q1 11       Q2 11       Q3 11      Q4 11

  Retail   LC&I   Baltic Banking   Russia & Ukraine     Other


                                                                                                    8
Risk highlights

Focus on risk-weighted assets
                               RWA development                                   • Significant achievements 2011
SEKbn
550
                                                                                    –   Full organisational involvement
                                                                                    –   Credit volumes
                   4.4
540                                                                                 –   Customer quality
                             -22.3                                                  –   Market risks
530
                                                                                 • Focus areas 2012
520                                                                                 – Review of small and mid-sized
                                                                                      corporates Sweden
                                         -21.2
510     541.3                                                                       – Retail mortgage risk-weights

500
                                                   -7.4

                                                              -2.6
490
                                                                       492.3
                    Increase         Decrease
480
        2010 Q4   Volume   Migrations    Other    Market   Operational 2011 Q4
                  (EAD)                  credit    risk       risk


                                                                                                                          9
Risk highlights

Many factors impacting outlook
• Challenging economic situation in Europe

• Real estate Sweden: Risk picture is going down

• Positive outlook in Baltic countries




                                                   10
Priorities going forward

Increased focus on operational efficiency
• Improve customer satisfaction

• Increase decision-making close to our customers

• Improve quality and cost effectiveness




                                                    11
Q&A
Appendix




           13
Mortgage loans gross margin (3-months)
                                   Swedbanks price towards
          6.0
                                   customer (3 months)
                                   Swedbank's funding cost

          5.0                      Stibor 3 months

                                   Swedish Riksbanks reporate
          4.0
                                                                                                                              Should cover:
                                                                                                                              Liquidy costs
Percent




          3.0                                                                                                                 Cost of adminis-
                                                                                                                              tration
                                                                                                                              Credit Impairments
          2.0                                                                                                                 Profit


          1.0



          0.0
                Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
                03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11
Development of ROE and net interest margin
ROE %                                                                                     NIM %
30                                                                                          1.6


25                                                                                          1.4


20
                                                                                            1.2

15
                                                                                            1.0

10
                                                                                            0.8
 5

                                                                                            0.6
 0
        2 004   2 005   2 006        2 007       2 008         2 009      2 010   2 011
                                                                                            0.4
 -5


-10                                                                                         0.2


-15                      ROE (left hand scale)   NIM (right hand scale)                     0.0

                                                                                                  15
Liquidity and funding

Funding development Q4
• SEK 44bn of long-term debt issued in Q4 (mainly domestic covered bonds
  and senior unsecured private placements)

• Demand for Swedbank short-term paper continued

• USD funding need covered for more than 12 months
SEKm           Long-term debt issued in Q4                SEKm               Outstanding short-term debt
35 000                                                    60 000

30 000                                                    50 000

25 000
                                                          40 000

20 000
                                                  Q4 11                                                                 Q3 11
                                                          30 000
                                                                                                                        Q4 11
15 000
                                                          20 000
10 000
                                                          10 000
 5 000

    0                                                         0
         Domestic CB   Euro CB   Other CB     Senior               Domestic ECP/CD   USCP   Yankee   Finnish   French
                                            unsecured                CP                       CD       CD        CD


                                                                                                                                16
Liquidity and funding

Funding development FY 2011
• SEK 254bn of long-term debt issued and SEK 180bn of maturities
  at beginning of 2011

• Good demand for Swedbank short-term paper


SEKm              Issued long-term debt                         SEKm          Outstanding short-term debt
160 000                                                         50 000

140 000
                                                                40 000
120 000

100 000                                                         30 000
                                                                                                                              2010
 80 000                                                 2011
                                                                                                                              2011
                                                                20 000
 60 000

 40 000
                                                                10 000
 20 000

       0                                                            0
           Domestic   Euro CB   USD CB   Other CB     Senior             Domestic ECP/CD   USCP   Yankee   Finnish   French
             CB                 (144A)              unsecured              CP                       CD       CD        CD



                                                                                                                                     17
Liquidity and funding

Long-term funding maturity profile
• Maturities for 2012 amount to nominal SEK 86bn




               Long-term funding maturity profile
SEKbn
200                                         Government
                                            guaranteed debt
                                            Senior unsecured
150                                         debt
                                            Covered bonds

100



 50



  0
        2012      2013     2014     2015    2016     2017-

                                                               18
Liquidity and funding

Remaining government guaranteed debt
• Exited the programme on 30 April 2010
• No issuance under the programme since summer 2009
• SEK 37bn of government guaranteed debt matures in April 2012


SEKbn          Maturity profile as of Q4 2011
40




                                                   USD
                                                   SEK
20                                                 EUR
                                                   CHF
                                                   HKD
                                                   JPY




 0
        2012              2013              2014

                                                                 19
Swedbank’s cover pool

House price sensitivity of the cover pool
       House price sensitivity of the cover pool
Over-
collateralisation
35%

30%

25%                                           OC

20%

15%

10%

 5%

 0%

-5%

-10%

-15%

-20%
        0%   5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

                     House price drop




                                                      20
Liquidity and funding

Liquidity reserve                                                                                                            SEKm
According to the template defined by the Swedish Bankers' Association1


Cash and holdings in central banks                                                                                           163 215
Deposits in other banks available overnight
Securities issued or guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks or multilateral development banks                                27 880
Securities issued or guaranteed by municipalities or Public sector entities
Covered bonds                                                                                                                 54 132
    - Issued by other institutions                                                                                            54 132
    - Own issued
Securities issued by non-financial corporates
Securities issued by financial corporates (excl. covered bonds)                                                                1 715
Other

Total                                                                                                                        246 942


 Additional liquid assets, Group 2                                                                                            62 082
 Other, over-collateralisation in the cover pool                                                                             149 500

 Total                                                                                                                       458 524




 1   96% of the securities in the liquidity reserve as of Q4 2011 are rated AAA
 2 80% of the additional liquid assets fulfill the Liquidity Reserve definition by the Swedish Bankers’ Association except
 from that they are held outside Group Treasury.

                                                                                                                                       21
Asset quality

Impaired loans decreasing
• Excluding FX effect down SEK 3.4bn in Q4

• Corporate portfolio quality improvements

SEKm
45 000                                       42 719 38 631
                             40 132 40 328   2 391
40 000                                               -4 088   34 778
                    35 770   4 362   196
                                                              -3 853   31 747
35 000                                                                                                             Share of
                    6 113                                              -3 031   30 669
           29 657                                                                        28 743                    impaired
                                                                                -1 078            24 805
30 000                                                                                   -1 926                    loans, gross
                                                                                                  -3 938
25 000
                                                                                                           5 366   Ukraine 61%
20 000
                                                                                                           1 281   Russia 20%

15 000                                                                                                     4 792   Lithuania 13%
           29 657

10 000                                                                                                     7 696   Latvia 21%

 5 000                                                                                                             Estonia 6.6%
                                                                                                           3 620
                                                                                                            319    LCI 0.13%
                                                                                                           1 731   Retail 0.19%
       0
           Q2 09    Q3 09    Q4 09   Q1 10   Q2 10   Q3 10    Q4 10    Q1 11    Q2 11    Q3 11    Q4 11    Q4 11



                                                                                                                                   22
Asset quality

Loans past due 60 days – performance Q/Q



EURm

 30
 10
 -10
 -30
 -50
 -70
 -90
-110
-130
-150
               Q1 11
                       Q2 11
                               Q3 11
                                       Q4 11




                                                        Q1 11
                                                                Q2 11
                                                                        Q3 11
                                                                                Q4 11




                                                                                                 Q1 11
                                                                                                         Q2 11
                                                                                                                 Q3 11
                                                                                                                         Q4 11




                                                                                                                                         Q1 11
                                                                                                                                                 Q2 11
                                                                                                                                                         Q3 11
                                                                                                                                                                 Q4 11




                                                                                                                                                                                 Q1 11
                                                                                                                                                                                         Q2 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Q3 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Q4 11
       Q4 10




                                               Q4 10




                                                                                         Q4 10




                                                                                                                                 Q4 10




                                                                                                                                                                         Q4 10
               Estonia                                 Latvia                           Lithuania                                 Ukraine                                           Russia




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 23
Asset quality

Provisions – well provided for
• Individual provisioning rates maintained
• Additional portfolio provisions in Latvian and Ukrainian mortgages
• Positive rating migrations
SEKm
30 000                                                                                                             Provision ratios, %   Q4 11
                                                                                                                   Retail                  90
               62.7%
25 000                                                                                                             LC&I                   135
                                      61.0%
                                                                                                                   Baltic Banking          55
                3 297                                   60.0%                59.8%               61.5%
20 000                                                                                                             Russia                  46
                                       2 769
               18 494                                   2 436                                                      Ukraine                 72
                                                                              2 409
15 000                                16 598            15 952
                                                                             14 782              2 435             Group                   62
                                                                                                 12 821
10 000                                                                              8 206             9 255
                                                            6 306
                                               5 204
 5 000                  4 373



     0
                Q4 10                 Q1 11             Q2 11                Q3 11               Q4 11

    Individual provisions       Portf olio provisions      Write-of f s, gross, cum f rom 2010   Provision ratio


                                                                                                                                             24
Asset quality

Repossessed assets


SEKm
7 000


6 000


5 000


4 000


3 000


2 000


1 000


    0
           Q4 10                    Q1 11                    Q2 11                    Q3 11               Q4 11


          Real Estate Residential   Real Estate Commercial    Passenger & Commercial Transport   Shares   Other




                                                                                                                  25
Asset quality

Credit impairments by category
SEKm
1 000




  500




    0




 - 500

                                        - 324

                                                     - 441
-1 000
                                                                  - 174

                          - 972
            - 483
-1 500
           Q4 10         Q1 11         Q2 11        Q3 11        Q4 11

 Portfolio provisions   Individual provisions   Recoveries   Write-offs net


                                                                              26
Credit portfolio – Large Corporates & Institutions

Shipping and offshore
• Lending exposure to the shipping and                                                     Shipping and offshore portfolio
  offshore sector is SEK 22.7bn plus                                                                           Tanker
                                                                                                                26%
  unutilised commitments of SEK 6.1bn
        – Portfolio duration 4-5y
        – Average fleet age 7y                                                          Offshore
                                                                                         58%
        – Other represents dry bulk (4%),                                                                       Other
                                                                                                                16%
          ro/ro/car (7%), container (5%)
        – Strong employment profiles




Note: Portfolio breakdown based on total exposure (lending + unutilised commitments).

                                                                                                                             27
Swedish housing and mortgage market

Real estate prices – Sweden 2011
             Single-family homes1          Tenant owner rights2             Combined3
                                12M Δ                        12M Δ                12M Δ

Jan                                  0%                          8%                   2%

Feb                                  2%                          7%                   3%

Mar                                  2%                          6%                   3%

Apr                                  1%                          6%                   3%

May                                  0%                          6%                   2%

Jun                                  0%                          5%                   2%

Jul                                  0%                          6%                   2%

Aug                                 -2%                          3%                  -1%

Sep                                 -3%                          1%                  -2%

Oct                                 -4%                         -1%                  -3%

Nov                                 -5%                         -4%                  -5%

Dec                                 -7%                         -4%                  -6%


Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE

                                                                                                                 28
Real estate prices – Baltic countries
                                                                                                  Tallinn                                                                                                                                                                    Riga
1 800                                                                                                                                                                                                               2 000
                                                                                 1 616                                                                                                                                                                               1 762
1 600                                                                                                                                                                                                               1 800
1 400                                                                                                                                                                                                               1 600
1 200                                                                                                                                                                                                               1 400
                                                                                                                                                                                                              976   1 200
1 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1 000
  800
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      800                                                                                                                    590
  600                                                                                                                                                                                                                 600
  400                                                                                                                                                                                                                 400
  200                                                                                                                                                                                                                 200
    0                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Jan-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jun-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Dec-07


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Nov-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Aug-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sep-09
        Jan-05



                                     Jan-06




                                                                                                Jan-08



                                                                                                                           Jan-09



                                                                                                                                                         Jan-10
                                                                   Jan-07




                                                                                                                                                                                      Jan-11
                            Sep-05



                                                       Sep-06



                                                                                     Sep-07




                                                                                                                                                Sep-09



                                                                                                                                                                             Sep-10



                                                                                                                                                                                                           Sep-11
                                                                                                                  Sep-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Mar-06


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Oct-06


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                May-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Feb-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Apr-10
                                              May-06



                                                                            May-07



                                                                                                         May-08




                                                                                                                                                                                               May-11
                 May-05




                                                                                                                                       May-09



                                                                                                                                                                    May-10
                                 Nr.of deals                                                                                           EUR/m2                                                                                                                            Nr.of deals              EUR/m2
Source: Swedbank, Estonian Land Board                                                                                                                                                                               Source: Swedbank

                                                                                                   Vilnius
2 000
1 800                                                                                                       1 731
1 600
1 400                                                                                                                                                                                                   1 103
1 200
1 000
  800
  600
  400
  200
    0
        Jan-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jun-11
                                                                                              Dec-07

                                                                                                              Jul-08




                                                                                                                                                                                  Nov-10
                          Aug-05




                                                                                                                                                Sep-09
                                          Mar-06

                                                          Oct-06

                                                                            May-07




                                                                                                                              Feb-09




                                                                                                                                                                  Apr-10




                                   Nr.of deals         EUR/m2
Source: Swedbank, State Enterprise Centre of Registers

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             29
Swedish housing market

New private lending in Sweden
• Internal LTV limit of 75% having a clear impact on average LTV levels
  of new origination


                                Weighted average LTV on new lending
78

76

74

72

70

68

66

64

62
                       2009                                 2010                               2011
                                                                                           1
                              Tenant owner rights           Single-family houses   Total

1   Total of Tenant owner rights and Single-family houses
                                                                                                      30

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Swedbank’s year-end 2011 results

  • 1. Swedbank’s year-end 2011 results Michael Wolf, CEO Göran Bronner, CFO Håkan Berg, CRO
  • 2. Delivered according to last years prospects • Net profit of SEK 11.7bn for 2011 • Core Tier 1 capital ratio of 15.7 per cent • Return on equity of 12.2 per cent for 2011 • Proposed dividend of SEK 5.30 per share 2
  • 3. All stakeholders affected by new environment • Shareholders – Two share issues totalling SEK 27bn – Buy-back programme halted – Goodwill write-downs – Harder to reach ROE target • Staff – Number of employees down by about 6 000 since end of 2007 – Overhaul of remuneration systems will reduce variable pay • Customers – Increased cost of money 3
  • 4. Group results Continued stable development SEKm FY FY Q3 11 Q4 11 • Goodwill write-down in Latvia 2010 2011 Net interest income 16 329 19 118 4 857 4 994 SEK 1913m Net commission income 9 525 8 963 2 292 2 126 • SEK 330m restructuring Net gains and losses 2 400 1 584 259 559 charge Other income 2 790 3 850 782 839 • Increased capital markets Total income 31 044 33 515 8 190 8 518 income and positive valuation Total expenses 17 642 17 869 4 331 4 809 effects Profit before impairments 13 402 15 646 3 859 3 709 • Cost reduction 2012: SEK 1bn CT1 ratio, %* 13.9 15.7 • Continued focus on capital efficiency Return on equity, % 8.1 12.2 * Basel 2 4
  • 5. Liquidity and funding Significantly lower issuance volumes going forward • SEK 44bn of long-term debt issued in Q4 (incl. SEK 7bn of senior unsecured) • Over-collateralisation in covered-bond pool increased to 29% (25%) • Continued strong liquidity reserves SEKbn Term funding issuance 80 Average term funding issuance Maturities 2012 60 Average term funding need 40 20 0 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q3 2012 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 5
  • 6. Swedbank regulatory compliant – transition completed • Transformation of: – Maturity structure liabilities – Liquidity reserve – Capital buffer • Significantly reduced risk in balance sheet • Cost for regulatory compliance taken Ratio Swedbank Expected requirements CT1-ratio, Basel 3 14.7%  10% (2013) 12% (2015) Liquidity coverage ratio 139%  100% (2015) EUR/USD Net stable funding ratio 94%  100% (2018) 6
  • 7. Capital management • Current capitalisation targets withdrawn • Dividend policy of 50% • Other capital repatriation on hold • Proposal to issue convertible debt instruments • Return target of 15% 7
  • 8. Risk highlights Net recoveries of SEK 174m in Q4 Credit impairments, SEKm • Credit impairments in Sweden still low – Known problems – Limited inflow of watch list and problem loans -324 -174 • Collective provisions mortgage loans in Latvia and Ukraine -441 -483 -972 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Retail LC&I Baltic Banking Russia & Ukraine Other 8
  • 9. Risk highlights Focus on risk-weighted assets RWA development • Significant achievements 2011 SEKbn 550 – Full organisational involvement – Credit volumes 4.4 540 – Customer quality -22.3 – Market risks 530 • Focus areas 2012 520 – Review of small and mid-sized corporates Sweden -21.2 510 541.3 – Retail mortgage risk-weights 500 -7.4 -2.6 490 492.3 Increase Decrease 480 2010 Q4 Volume Migrations Other Market Operational 2011 Q4 (EAD) credit risk risk 9
  • 10. Risk highlights Many factors impacting outlook • Challenging economic situation in Europe • Real estate Sweden: Risk picture is going down • Positive outlook in Baltic countries 10
  • 11. Priorities going forward Increased focus on operational efficiency • Improve customer satisfaction • Increase decision-making close to our customers • Improve quality and cost effectiveness 11
  • 12. Q&A
  • 13. Appendix 13
  • 14. Mortgage loans gross margin (3-months) Swedbanks price towards 6.0 customer (3 months) Swedbank's funding cost 5.0 Stibor 3 months Swedish Riksbanks reporate 4.0 Should cover: Liquidy costs Percent 3.0 Cost of adminis- tration Credit Impairments 2.0 Profit 1.0 0.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11
  • 15. Development of ROE and net interest margin ROE % NIM % 30 1.6 25 1.4 20 1.2 15 1.0 10 0.8 5 0.6 0 2 004 2 005 2 006 2 007 2 008 2 009 2 010 2 011 0.4 -5 -10 0.2 -15 ROE (left hand scale) NIM (right hand scale) 0.0 15
  • 16. Liquidity and funding Funding development Q4 • SEK 44bn of long-term debt issued in Q4 (mainly domestic covered bonds and senior unsecured private placements) • Demand for Swedbank short-term paper continued • USD funding need covered for more than 12 months SEKm Long-term debt issued in Q4 SEKm Outstanding short-term debt 35 000 60 000 30 000 50 000 25 000 40 000 20 000 Q4 11 Q3 11 30 000 Q4 11 15 000 20 000 10 000 10 000 5 000 0 0 Domestic CB Euro CB Other CB Senior Domestic ECP/CD USCP Yankee Finnish French unsecured CP CD CD CD 16
  • 17. Liquidity and funding Funding development FY 2011 • SEK 254bn of long-term debt issued and SEK 180bn of maturities at beginning of 2011 • Good demand for Swedbank short-term paper SEKm Issued long-term debt SEKm Outstanding short-term debt 160 000 50 000 140 000 40 000 120 000 100 000 30 000 2010 80 000 2011 2011 20 000 60 000 40 000 10 000 20 000 0 0 Domestic Euro CB USD CB Other CB Senior Domestic ECP/CD USCP Yankee Finnish French CB (144A) unsecured CP CD CD CD 17
  • 18. Liquidity and funding Long-term funding maturity profile • Maturities for 2012 amount to nominal SEK 86bn Long-term funding maturity profile SEKbn 200 Government guaranteed debt Senior unsecured 150 debt Covered bonds 100 50 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017- 18
  • 19. Liquidity and funding Remaining government guaranteed debt • Exited the programme on 30 April 2010 • No issuance under the programme since summer 2009 • SEK 37bn of government guaranteed debt matures in April 2012 SEKbn Maturity profile as of Q4 2011 40 USD SEK 20 EUR CHF HKD JPY 0 2012 2013 2014 19
  • 20. Swedbank’s cover pool House price sensitivity of the cover pool House price sensitivity of the cover pool Over- collateralisation 35% 30% 25% OC 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% House price drop 20
  • 21. Liquidity and funding Liquidity reserve SEKm According to the template defined by the Swedish Bankers' Association1 Cash and holdings in central banks 163 215 Deposits in other banks available overnight Securities issued or guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks or multilateral development banks 27 880 Securities issued or guaranteed by municipalities or Public sector entities Covered bonds 54 132 - Issued by other institutions 54 132 - Own issued Securities issued by non-financial corporates Securities issued by financial corporates (excl. covered bonds) 1 715 Other Total 246 942 Additional liquid assets, Group 2 62 082 Other, over-collateralisation in the cover pool 149 500 Total 458 524 1 96% of the securities in the liquidity reserve as of Q4 2011 are rated AAA 2 80% of the additional liquid assets fulfill the Liquidity Reserve definition by the Swedish Bankers’ Association except from that they are held outside Group Treasury. 21
  • 22. Asset quality Impaired loans decreasing • Excluding FX effect down SEK 3.4bn in Q4 • Corporate portfolio quality improvements SEKm 45 000 42 719 38 631 40 132 40 328 2 391 40 000 -4 088 34 778 35 770 4 362 196 -3 853 31 747 35 000 Share of 6 113 -3 031 30 669 29 657 28 743 impaired -1 078 24 805 30 000 -1 926 loans, gross -3 938 25 000 5 366 Ukraine 61% 20 000 1 281 Russia 20% 15 000 4 792 Lithuania 13% 29 657 10 000 7 696 Latvia 21% 5 000 Estonia 6.6% 3 620 319 LCI 0.13% 1 731 Retail 0.19% 0 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q4 11 22
  • 23. Asset quality Loans past due 60 days – performance Q/Q EURm 30 10 -10 -30 -50 -70 -90 -110 -130 -150 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q4 10 Q4 10 Q4 10 Q4 10 Q4 10 Estonia Latvia Lithuania Ukraine Russia 23
  • 24. Asset quality Provisions – well provided for • Individual provisioning rates maintained • Additional portfolio provisions in Latvian and Ukrainian mortgages • Positive rating migrations SEKm 30 000 Provision ratios, % Q4 11 Retail 90 62.7% 25 000 LC&I 135 61.0% Baltic Banking 55 3 297 60.0% 59.8% 61.5% 20 000 Russia 46 2 769 18 494 2 436 Ukraine 72 2 409 15 000 16 598 15 952 14 782 2 435 Group 62 12 821 10 000 8 206 9 255 6 306 5 204 5 000 4 373 0 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Individual provisions Portf olio provisions Write-of f s, gross, cum f rom 2010 Provision ratio 24
  • 25. Asset quality Repossessed assets SEKm 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Real Estate Residential Real Estate Commercial Passenger & Commercial Transport Shares Other 25
  • 26. Asset quality Credit impairments by category SEKm 1 000 500 0 - 500 - 324 - 441 -1 000 - 174 - 972 - 483 -1 500 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Portfolio provisions Individual provisions Recoveries Write-offs net 26
  • 27. Credit portfolio – Large Corporates & Institutions Shipping and offshore • Lending exposure to the shipping and Shipping and offshore portfolio offshore sector is SEK 22.7bn plus Tanker 26% unutilised commitments of SEK 6.1bn – Portfolio duration 4-5y – Average fleet age 7y Offshore 58% – Other represents dry bulk (4%), Other 16% ro/ro/car (7%), container (5%) – Strong employment profiles Note: Portfolio breakdown based on total exposure (lending + unutilised commitments). 27
  • 28. Swedish housing and mortgage market Real estate prices – Sweden 2011 Single-family homes1 Tenant owner rights2 Combined3 12M Δ 12M Δ 12M Δ Jan 0% 8% 2% Feb 2% 7% 3% Mar 2% 6% 3% Apr 1% 6% 3% May 0% 6% 2% Jun 0% 5% 2% Jul 0% 6% 2% Aug -2% 3% -1% Sep -3% 1% -2% Oct -4% -1% -3% Nov -5% -4% -5% Dec -7% -4% -6% Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE 28
  • 29. Real estate prices – Baltic countries Tallinn Riga 1 800 2 000 1 616 1 762 1 600 1 800 1 400 1 600 1 200 1 400 976 1 200 1 000 1 000 800 800 590 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 0 Jan-05 Jun-11 Dec-07 Jul-08 Nov-10 Aug-05 Sep-09 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-07 Jan-11 Sep-05 Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11 Sep-08 Mar-06 Oct-06 May-07 Feb-09 Apr-10 May-06 May-07 May-08 May-11 May-05 May-09 May-10 Nr.of deals EUR/m2 Nr.of deals EUR/m2 Source: Swedbank, Estonian Land Board Source: Swedbank Vilnius 2 000 1 800 1 731 1 600 1 400 1 103 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 Jan-05 Jun-11 Dec-07 Jul-08 Nov-10 Aug-05 Sep-09 Mar-06 Oct-06 May-07 Feb-09 Apr-10 Nr.of deals EUR/m2 Source: Swedbank, State Enterprise Centre of Registers 29
  • 30. Swedish housing market New private lending in Sweden • Internal LTV limit of 75% having a clear impact on average LTV levels of new origination Weighted average LTV on new lending 78 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 62 2009 2010 2011 1 Tenant owner rights Single-family houses Total 1 Total of Tenant owner rights and Single-family houses 30