Swedbank is a major banking group in Northern Europe with home markets in Sweden, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. It also has operations in Russia, Ukraine, and other markets. The document provides an overview of Swedbank's business segments and their financial performance in the first half of 2008, noting continued solid results overall but signs of economic slowing in some markets.
2. (2)
Home markets, universal banking
Sweden
Estonia
Latvia
Lithuania
Swedbank Group today
Potential home markets
Russia - Banking and leasing in
Moscow, Kaliningrad and St Petersburg
Ukraine – OJSC Swedbank, universal banking
Other markets, niche banking
Denmark – 2 Swedbank branches
Finland - Swedbank branch
Norway - Swedbank branch, investment
banking through First Securities (51%),
EnterCard (50 % owned)
USA - Merchant/investment banking in New
York
Luxembourg - banking for Swedish expatriates
China - Swedbank branch in Shanghai
Japan - Rep. office in Tokyo
Spain - Rep. office in Marbella
3. (3)
Geographical reach
June 30, 2008
Sweden
Population 9.2 m
Employees 8,635
Private customers 4.1 m
of which Internet customers 2.4 m
Corporate customers 282,000
of which Internet customers 223,000
Organizations 117,000
Branches 436
ATMs 863
Cards 3.6 m
Estonia
Population 1.3 m
Employees 3,346
Private customers 1.2 m
of which Internet customers 0.9 m
Corporate customers 91,000
Branches 87
ATMs 560
Cards 1.2 m
Latvia
Population 2.3 m
Employees 2,659
Private customers 0.9 m
of which Internet customers 0.7 m
Corporate customers 57,000
Branches 74
ATMs 332
Cards 0.9 m
Lithuania
Population 3.4 m
Employees 3,237
Private customers 3.0 m
of which Internet customers 1.0 m
Corporate customers 80,000
Branches 123
ATMs 395
Cards 1.4 m
Russia
Population 142.1 m
Private customers 2,800
Corporate customers 600
Employees 474
Branches 3
ATMs 9
Ukraine
Population 46.2 m
Employees 3,481
Privates customers 0.2 m
Corporate customers 21,000
Branches 190
ATMs 164
Cards 0.4 m
4. (4)
Ukraine and RussiaBalticsSweden
Stable base
Growth and
experience
Future growth and
profitability
Share of lending: 80 % Share of lending: 16 % Share of lending: 2 %
Swedbank is the leading bank in
Sweden. Profitability is high and
stable, risk is low and the bank is
consolidating its market shares in
important segments in both the
private and corporate sectors.
Swedbank is the leading bank in
all Baltic countries. Continued
convergence means excellent
long-term growth for the Baltic
region. In the short-term we will
closely manage risk and growth.
Swedbank has a small but
growing presence in Ukraine and
Russia. In the long-term, a
significant share of Swedbank’s
growth will be generated in these
markets.
Stable platform in Sweden acts as engine
for growth
5. (5)
Swedbank, group overview
52%
32%
2%
8% 8%
-2%-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Swedish
Banking
Baltic
Banking
International
Banking
Swedbank
Markets
Asset
Management
& Insurance
Shared
Services
& Group
Staffs
Share of Group net profit 2007
6. (6)
Market shares
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Lending Mortgage Deposits
%
Private Corporate
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Lending,
corporate
Mortgage,
private
Deposits,
private
%
Estonia Latvia Lithuania
Market shares, Sweden Market shares, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
In Sweden, Swedbank is the market leader
in retail mortgages, retail deposits, mutual
funds and card payments
In Baltics, the bank is the market leader in
Estonia and Latvia, with also very strong
positions in Lithuania
7. (7)
Continued solid results
• Continued solid results in all
business areas
– Net profit for the period Jan-Jun
increased by 8 percent to
SEK 6 504m (6 022)
• Conversion to covered bonds on
21 April – decreased spreads,
increased liquidity and facilitated
funding
• New capital adequacy objective
for full Basel 2 – Tier 1 capital
ratio is to be 8.5-9.0 percent
• Credit quality remains good and in
line with expectations
• The macro environment in the
Baltic states has deteriorated
compared with expectations in
Q1, affected by a weaker
European economy
• Net gains and losses on financial
items were positively affected by
unrealized valuation effects –
valuation volatility expected to
decrease as from Q3 2008.
11. (11)
Swedish Banking
• Continued strong corporate lending
growth
• Mortgage lending growth has started
to decline
• Overall stable lending margins
– Back book mortgage margin stabilizing.
New lending shows increasing margin
– Corporate margins are increasing
slowly
• Deposit margins decreased as a result
of mix effects
• Continued increase in card volumes
• Capital gain of SEK 101m from sale of
MasterCard shares
• Continued strong credit quality
– Stable low LTV ratio at 43% in
Swedbank Mortgage
– Only 1.5% of the lending in Swedbank
Mortgage has a LTV ratio over 75%.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Q1
07
Q2
07
Q3
07
Q4
07
Q1
08
Q2
08
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Income Costs C/I-ratio
C/I-ratioSEKm C/I-ratioSEKm
12. (12)
A slowing Swedish economy
Real GDP growth
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
2007 2008F 2009F
Sweden Euro-zone
CPI growth
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
2007 2008F 2009F
Sweden Euro-zone
• The Swedish economy has performed better than the EU average. However, GDP growth,
CPI and other indicators show that the Swedish economy will grow more slowly in the next few
quarters
• Higher inflation, rising interest rates and weaker disposable income for households are
expected to lead to weakening household consumption and credit growth.
Source: Swedbank, Economic Secretariat
13. (13)
Baltic Banking Operations
• Strong and stable income
• Lending margins decreased as a
result of higher funding costs
• Deposit margins affected
negatively by decreasing local
interest rates and increased
competition
• Capital gain of SEK 66m from the
sale of PKK
• Profit based staff costs have been
reduced by SEK 185m owing to
lower provision requirements.
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400
Q1
07
Q2
07
Q3
07
Q4
07
Q1
08
Q2
08
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Income Costs C/I-ratio
SEKm C/I-ratio
C/I-ratio excluding one-offs
14. (14)
Baltic macro development weaker than expected
Real GDP growth
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F
Est Lat Lit
CPI growth
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F
Est Lat Lit
• Economic slowdown in Estonia continues: GDP growth will slow to about 2% in 2008 and
recover to 4% in 2009 if global economic developments improve and price growth slows
• In Latvia growth will slow to about 1.3% in 2008 and 2009, the bottom of the cycle is expected
to be in winter 2008/2009
• The slowdown in Lithuania is expected to be modest: growth of about 6.5% is expected in
2008 and about 5.5% in 2009
• Export growth remains relatively strong, while weak domestic demand dampens imports.
Trade and current account deficits are falling. The CPI has started to show signs of a
slowdown, but external risks are high (oil, food).
Source: Hansabank Markets
15. (15)
Baltic banking overdues vs market
Estonia - overdue over 60 days / current
portfolio
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
31.12.05
30.06.06
31.12.06
30.06.07
31.12.07
30.04.08
Rest of the market HB Bank
Estonia - overdue over 30 days / current
portfolio
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
31.12.05
30.06.06
31.12.06
30.06.07
31.12.07
30.04.08
Rest of the market HB Bank
Latvia - overdue over 30 days / current portfolio
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
31.12.04
30.06.05
31.12.05
30.06.06
31.12.06
30.06.07
31.12.07
Rest of the market HBA Bank
Latvia - overdue over 90 days / current portfolio
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
31.12.04
30.06.05
31.12.05
30.06.06
31.12.06
30.06.07
31.12.07
Rest of the market HBA Bank
Source: Swedbank, Bank of Estonia, and Financial and Capital Market Commission (Latvia)
16. (16)
Credit quality, Baltic Banking
0.54%
0.30%
0.73%
0.55%
Q2 08
0.39%
0.25%
0.53%
0.38%
Q1 08
0.47%
0.28%
0.64%
0.48%
H1 08
-0.18%Group level provision adjustment
0.28%Baltic Banking
0.10%Lithuania
0.63%Latvia
0.58%Estonia
Q4 07
*Loan loss ratio, net = (changes in provisions + net write-offs) /
credit portfolio at the beginning of the period
Loan loss ratio, net*
Overdue ratio (more than 60 days)*
0.86%
0.92%
0.79%
Q1 08
1.20%
1.11%
1.24%
Q2 08
0.71%Baltic Banking
0.75%Private
0.65%Corporate
Q4 07
*Overdue ratio (more than 60 days) = volume of loans more
than 60 days overdue /12 month-old credit portfolio
17. (17)
International Banking
• Annika Wijkström new head of
International Banking
• Strong net interest income development
• Continued strong economic growth in
Ukraine and Russia but with high inflation
• Ukrainian Banking operations
– Continued high lending growth
– Higher costs due to operational excellence
projects and profit-based staff costs
• Russian Banking
– Ownership transferred from Hansabank to
Swedbank
– Raimo Valo new CEO
– Recovered tax on lease assets of SEK 19m
• Strong lending growth in the Nordic
branches.
0
25
50
75
100
Q1
07
Q2
07
Q3
07
Q4
07
Q1
08
Q2
08
International Banking, profit for the period
of which Russian Banking
of which Ukrainian Banking Operations
SEKm
18. (18)
Swedbank Markets
• Magnus Geeber new head of
Swedbank Markets
• Good development in fixed
income and FX trading despite
difficult conditions at times
• Stable market share in equity
trading and structured products
but lower market activity
• Increased activity in Project and
Corporate Finance compared with
Q1
• Good performance in First
Securities after a slow start to the
year.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Q2
06
Q3
06
Q4
06
Q1
07
Q2
07
Q3
07
Q4
07
Q1
08
Q2
08
of which First Securities
Profit for the period attributable to shareholders of Swedbank
SEKm
27. (27)
Key figures
Jan-Jun
2008
Jan-Jun
2007
Return on equity, % 18.7 19.5
Earnings per share, SEK 12.62 11.68
Equity per share, SEK 135.81 120.23
C/I ratio before loan losses 0.50 0.50
Loan loss ratio, net, % 0.12 0.03
Share of impaired loans, % 0.20 0.08
Tier 1 capital ratio, new rules, % 8.8 9.0
Tier 1 capital ratio, transition rules, % 6.7 6.7
Capital adequacy ratio, new rules, % 12.6 13.4
28. (28)
Swedbank lending and funding
Swedbank Treasury (excluding Mortgage)
• Large deposits
• Liquidity reserves
• Net lender in the interbank market
• Liquidity limits – conservative view
Swedbank Mortgage
constitutes a larger part of
Swedbank Group’s balance
sheet than other financial
institutions
Distribution of Net Funding Need
Swedbank Mortgage
Lending to the public, SEK 1,169bn
Swedbank
Group, excl.
Swedbank
Mortgage
SEK 596bn
Swedbank
Mortgage
SEK 573bn
- Exclusively Swedish
mortgage lending
Funding
12%
Equity
8%
Deposits
80%
Covered Bonds
73%
Equity
5%
Commercial
Papers
22%
Ukraine
1%
Russia
1%
Lithuania
5%
Latvia
5%
Estonia
7%
Swedbank
Mortgage
49%
Sweden
30%
Nordic; 3%
29. (29)
New capital adequacy target – mid-term
• New target:
The capital ratios will at least meet the level that at any given time is
considered appropriate to maintain sustainable financial stability and
develop operations. Considering full effect of Basel 2, the Tier 1 capital ratio
is to be 8.5-9.0%.
• Swedbank is currently well capitalized given the current risk profile and the
risk development under an adverse scenario
• Swedbank is currently capitalized in line with European peers in full Basel 2
• In relative terms Swedbank has a low risk business model with a
predominance of Swedish mortgage business and low counterparty risks,
which indicates a lower than average Tier 1 capital ratio. Growing presence
in Eastern Europe indicates higher Tier 1 capital ratio