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Regenerative Cities in the Gulf?




   Herbert Girardet,
World Future Council
Presentation Outline
    1. A sustainable history
    2. Modern cities and fossil fuels
•   Fossil fuels and urban growth
•   Cities and the climate crisis
•   The global footprints of cities
•   The water crisis in the Gulf region
    3. Sustainable or regenerative urbanisation?
•   Towards “Ecopolis“
•   The renewable energy revolution
•   Food and cities
•   Towards a circular metabolism
•   Creating the regenerative city
Sanaa
Atlanta
The age of the city
• From 1900 to 2000 human numbers
    increased four fold – from 1.5 to 6 billion
• The global urban population grew 13 fold to
    2.9 billion, nearly 50 % of the world
    population
• By 2030, 60% of the world population, or 4.9
    billion people, are expected to live in urban
    areas, 3 times more than the world’s entire
    population in 1900
• Cities, on 3-4% of the world’s land surface
    use 80% of its resources, and discharge
    most solid, liquid and gaseous waste
Dubai
Dubai Today




Dubai was undergoing the rapid urbanisation : 1.8million
Dubai planned growth 5.6million in 10 years
CITY DIAGNOSTICS : NATIONAL ENERGY & WATER RESOURCES
Resource + Carbon Intensity of our Economies




        SOURCE             GENERATION   TRANSMISSION   DEMAND   EFFICIENCY
Abu Dhabi
(cc) 2011, Anupam Saraph




                           38
Masdar
Masdar City : Energy System
Doha
Riyadh
C02 emissions
Qatar has the highest C02 emissions
- 49.1 metric tons per person/year.
Kuwait with 30.1 tons is second
highest, closely followed by United
Arab Emirates with 25.5 and Bahrain
with 21.3 tons, Oman with 17.3 and
Saudi Arabia with 16.6 tons.
1




      1
                                   2
                             Dubai 2020                             Dubai today




0
                                                              0
                                                               Industry
                                                                                                        Dubai: CO2 Emissions




                      Industry
                                        Road transport

                                       Freight Transport




20
                                                              20




          Road transport               Sea Transport
                                       Air Transport
                                              Refrigerants
                                              Waste
      Freight Transport
                                              Water


      Sea Transport




40
                                                              40




                                       Buildings


      Air Transport
                                                                                  44,000,000tCO2/year




60              Refrigerants
                                                              60




                Waste
                Water
80
                                                              80
                                        97,000,000tCO2/year




          Buildings
100
Resource + Carbon Intensity of our Economies




   Europe




   US + UAE
WATER, the most precious resource
Al Hasa
Adelaide, S. Australia
Adelaide 2012
•   Over 20% of renewable electricity, 40% by 2020
•   120,000 PV roofs (of 600,000 houses) = 250 mw
•   20,000 ha of peri-urban horticulture
•   Recyled waste water used in crop irrigation
•   Nearly 100% composting of organic waste
•   Water sensitive development
•   60% carbon reduction by municipal buildings
•   1000s of new green jobs
•   Nearly 3 million trees planted on 2000 ha
•
Renewable energy

• Renewable energy technology has matured
    and is becoming cost competitive
• The ‚solar income‘ of the world is 15,000
    greater than current daily energy use
• The Gulf region has 7,000 watts of solar
    energy income per square metre in 12 hours,
    more than most regions of the planet
• Solar energy could generate sustainable
    energy supplies for the Gulf as well as huge
    export revenues
•
•
Regenerative urbanisation as
              organising principle
•   Cities need to take responsibility for their eco-footprints
•   National policies for regenerative urbanisation
•   RE supply from the urban territory and hinterland
•   “Circular metabolism”: Turning waste into a resource
•   Policies to enhance compact urban development
•   Support for zero carbon transportation
•   Composting bio-wastes for peri-urban food production
•   Support for large scale “out of town“ tree planting
•   Support for ecosystem protection and restoration

•
•
•
Can the Gulf take the lead in RU?
• The funds are available
• Solar resource in abundance
• Research already underway at
   Gulf un iversities
• Examples already in place:
   Masdar, etc.
•
Books and Reports
- Creating a sustainable Adelaide, 2003

- Cities People Planet – Liveable Cities for a Sustainable
World, Wiley, 2004 und 2008

- A Renewable World, Green Books, 2009

- 100% Renewable Energy For Cities, 2009

- Regenerative Cities, 2010
    www.worldfuturecouncil.org

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Dubai pp 30 min

  • 1. Regenerative Cities in the Gulf? Herbert Girardet, World Future Council
  • 2. Presentation Outline 1. A sustainable history 2. Modern cities and fossil fuels • Fossil fuels and urban growth • Cities and the climate crisis • The global footprints of cities • The water crisis in the Gulf region 3. Sustainable or regenerative urbanisation? • Towards “Ecopolis“ • The renewable energy revolution • Food and cities • Towards a circular metabolism • Creating the regenerative city
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 21. The age of the city • From 1900 to 2000 human numbers increased four fold – from 1.5 to 6 billion • The global urban population grew 13 fold to 2.9 billion, nearly 50 % of the world population • By 2030, 60% of the world population, or 4.9 billion people, are expected to live in urban areas, 3 times more than the world’s entire population in 1900 • Cities, on 3-4% of the world’s land surface use 80% of its resources, and discharge most solid, liquid and gaseous waste
  • 22.
  • 23. Dubai
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Dubai Today Dubai was undergoing the rapid urbanisation : 1.8million
  • 33. Dubai planned growth 5.6million in 10 years
  • 34. CITY DIAGNOSTICS : NATIONAL ENERGY & WATER RESOURCES Resource + Carbon Intensity of our Economies SOURCE GENERATION TRANSMISSION DEMAND EFFICIENCY
  • 35.
  • 37.
  • 38. (cc) 2011, Anupam Saraph 38
  • 40.
  • 41. Masdar City : Energy System
  • 42. Doha
  • 44. C02 emissions Qatar has the highest C02 emissions - 49.1 metric tons per person/year. Kuwait with 30.1 tons is second highest, closely followed by United Arab Emirates with 25.5 and Bahrain with 21.3 tons, Oman with 17.3 and Saudi Arabia with 16.6 tons.
  • 45. 1 1 2 Dubai 2020 Dubai today 0 0 Industry Dubai: CO2 Emissions Industry Road transport Freight Transport 20 20 Road transport Sea Transport Air Transport Refrigerants Waste Freight Transport Water Sea Transport 40 40 Buildings Air Transport 44,000,000tCO2/year 60 Refrigerants 60 Waste Water 80 80 97,000,000tCO2/year Buildings 100
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. Resource + Carbon Intensity of our Economies Europe US + UAE
  • 52. WATER, the most precious resource
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75.
  • 76.
  • 77.
  • 78.
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83. Adelaide 2012 • Over 20% of renewable electricity, 40% by 2020 • 120,000 PV roofs (of 600,000 houses) = 250 mw • 20,000 ha of peri-urban horticulture • Recyled waste water used in crop irrigation • Nearly 100% composting of organic waste • Water sensitive development • 60% carbon reduction by municipal buildings • 1000s of new green jobs • Nearly 3 million trees planted on 2000 ha •
  • 84.
  • 85.
  • 86.
  • 87.
  • 88.
  • 89. Renewable energy • Renewable energy technology has matured and is becoming cost competitive • The ‚solar income‘ of the world is 15,000 greater than current daily energy use • The Gulf region has 7,000 watts of solar energy income per square metre in 12 hours, more than most regions of the planet • Solar energy could generate sustainable energy supplies for the Gulf as well as huge export revenues • •
  • 90.
  • 91.
  • 92. Regenerative urbanisation as organising principle • Cities need to take responsibility for their eco-footprints • National policies for regenerative urbanisation • RE supply from the urban territory and hinterland • “Circular metabolism”: Turning waste into a resource • Policies to enhance compact urban development • Support for zero carbon transportation • Composting bio-wastes for peri-urban food production • Support for large scale “out of town“ tree planting • Support for ecosystem protection and restoration • •
  • 93.
  • 94.
  • 95. Can the Gulf take the lead in RU? • The funds are available • Solar resource in abundance • Research already underway at Gulf un iversities • Examples already in place: Masdar, etc. •
  • 96. Books and Reports - Creating a sustainable Adelaide, 2003 - Cities People Planet – Liveable Cities for a Sustainable World, Wiley, 2004 und 2008 - A Renewable World, Green Books, 2009 - 100% Renewable Energy For Cities, 2009 - Regenerative Cities, 2010 www.worldfuturecouncil.org

Notas do Editor

  1. This is a summary of the complex energy systems that power the city – there is no one single system but a carefully chosen combination ranging from waste to power pyrolosis, solar thermal and electric cells,and absorbtion dessicant cooling