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BORUSAN EnBW Enerji



       Wind Power Turkey - 2011



                      Istanbul
             20 September2011
BORUSAN AND ENBW PARTNERSHIP
FIRST CONTACT DURING 2008 DAVOS SUMMIT – PARTNERSHIP WAS FOUNDED IN 2009

Borusan Enerji was established in 2007 as                 EnBW Holding A.S was founded in 2009
the energy arm of Borusan Holding, one of                 in Ankara as a 100% subsidiary of EnBW
the leading business conglomerates in                     AG which is the third-largest energy
Turkey active mainly in steel, logistics                  company in Germany active in
distributorship sectors.                                  electricity generation, trading, grid, gas
                                                          & environmental services.


                                                 JUL 09
                             APR 09
                                                 Closing
                             Partnership
                             Agreement




                          Borusan Holding A.S.               EnBW Holding A.S.
                               50%                               50%




                                                  1
STRATEGIC FOCUS AND TARGETS
JV HAS A PREDEFINED TARGET: 2000 MW INSTALLED CAPACITY BY 2020 WITH A RENEWABLE FOCUS



           Critical Year
            to lay the            1000 MW                  1000 MW                       2000 MW
    2009   foundations     2014    licensed       2016      installed       2020          installed
              of the               projects                 capacity                      capacity
             company




                                                  Current Portfolio             Target Portfolio
                                                     (611 MW)                     (2.000 MW)

      Target activity area
                                                                                              25%
       includes all energy                        43%
                                                                            50%
      sources particularly                                      57%
                                                                                              25%
       renewable energy
                                                                Wind    Hydro        Others




                                              2
TURKEY – WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY
CURRENT SITUATION

   INSTALLED CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT BY RESOURCES                                                CAPACITY – 2011 (50.985 MW)*
  GW
  60                                                                                                                    3,07%
                                                                          49,9 51,0                                      0,18%
  50                                                               44,8                                  15,96%
                                                       41,8
                                        38,8 40,6 40,8                                                         3,91%
  40                          35,6 36,8                                                                                              33,08%
                       31,8
  30     27,3 28,3                                                                                  7,09%

  20
  10
     0                                                                                                         36,70%
         2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

         INSTALLED CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT - WIND                                             Wind installed capacity has been
MW
                                                                                           increasing slowly over the years
2.000                                                                                      accounting for 3 % of the total
               Wind                Natural Gas    Other Thermal                   1.564    installed capacity by Sept 2011.
1.500          Geothermal          Coal           Added Wind              1.329    235
               Hydro               Lignite
1.000                                                                      537             Yet, with the finalization of
                                                                   792
                                                                                           tendering process a visible
                                                                   428
 500                                                         364                           increase is likely to be observed in
          19   19      19     19      19     20   59   146   217
                                                                                           3 - 4 years period.
                                                  39   87
     0                                       1

         2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
                                                                                          • TEIAS statistics as of September 2011
                                                                           4              Multiple fuels (solid & liquid) included in the thermal heading except liquid
                                                                                          natural gas which is placed under natural gas heading
TURKEY – WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY
REACHING THE TARGET OF 20 GW SEEMS AS AN AMBITIOUS OBJECTIVE


  Energy Market and Supply Security Document
   stipulated 2023 targets in the Turkish energy sector
   including the target of wind installed capacity - 20
   GW
  2010 - 2011 has been an important year for the
   wind energy investors (adoption of FIT &
   completion of evaluation of long-awaited 1st of
   November applications)

                                                                  Still half of the
     Existing WEPP Capacity                          1.564 MW
                                                                  way to go…
     Single WEPP applications1:                       1.876 MW
     Multiple WEPP applications2:                     5.587 MW
        TOTAL                                     (~) 9.000 MW
       1) already   licensed by EMRA
       2) total   capacity to be allocated in 13 packages

                                                            5
EUROPE - WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY
BY THE END OF 2010

WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW)

Turkey                        1.329
                                                                                                                         Finland
                                                                                                                                               Russia
European Union               84.278                                                                                        197
                                                                                                                                                 9
                                                                                        Norway
Candidate Countries           1.418                                                      441
                                                                                                  Sweden                      Estonia
                                                                                                   2.163                        149
Total Europe                 86.279                                                                                          Latvia
                                                                                                                               31
                                                                                                                         Lithuania
                                                 Ireland
Renewable Energy Directive                        1.428
                                                                                                                            154
                                                                  UK
EU has target to reach:                                          5.204                                          Poland
                                                                                 NL                              1.107
 a 20% share of energy from                                                    2.245
                                                                                          Germany                                        Ukraine
                                                                                           27.214                                          87
   renewable sources by 2020                                                Belgium               Czech Rep
                                                                              911                    215          Slovakia
 a 10% share of renewable energy                                                                                    3
                                                                                                   Austria
   specifically in the transport sector                                             Switzerland     1.011                            Romania
                                                                                                                                       462
 Envisages national support                                             France
                                                                          5.660
                                                                                        42
                                                                                                             Crotia
   mechanisms:                                                                                                 89
                                                                                                                                        Bulgaria
                                                                                                                                          375
      investment aid,
      tax incentives                               Spain
                                                    20.676                                                                      GR
                                                                                                                                                    TR
                                      Portugal                                                                                                     1.329
      green certificates             3.898                                                                                    1.208

      direct price support schemes
         including feed-in tariffs and
         premium payments
                                                             6                              Source: EWEA Wind in Power 2010 European Statistics
FEED-IN TARIFF FOR WIND ENERGY IN EUROPE - I
GERMANY WILL APPLY EEG 2012 AS OF JANUARY 2012


GERMANY
Scheme               Description

  EEG – 2012        Legal Basis: Renewable Energy Sources Act – EEG (adopted 19.03.2000 – revised on
                    01.08.2004 & 01.01.2009 – to be revised in 01.01.2012)
FIT – based on     Duration: 20 years (15 years for large hydro plants) plus start-up year
 specific
 electricity        Caps: No caps as to the amount generated or installed capacity
 generation costs   On–Shore Scheme:
 -plant operator
 receives FIT        8,93 € cent/kWh – initial compensation (first 5 years of commissioning)
 from the grid       4,87 € cent/kWh – basic compensation applicable after 5 years
 operator            System service bonus (0,48 € cent/kWh)

Bonuses            Off-Shore Scheme:
                     15.00 € cent/kWh – initial compensation (12 years) prolonged
Low-cost loans          0.5 months for each mile > 12 nautical miles
                         1.7 months for each meter water depth (ground) > 20 meters
                     19 € cent/kWh – optional shrinking model: Initial FIT increases but for a
                        duration of 8 years
                     3.50 € cent/kWh – basic compensation > 12years (20 years) Begin of
                        commissioning before January 1st, 2018)
                                                     7
FEED-IN TARIFF FOR WIND ENERGY IN EUROPE - II
SPAIN OFFERS TWO ALTERNATIVES FOR THE WIND INVESTORS


SPAIN
Scheme                Description

FIT or              Legal Basis: Royal Decree 667/2007
Premium on the      Duration: Whole project life time
 Wholesale
 Market Price        Caps: No caps as to the amount generated
 floor and ceiling
 prices              On–Shore Scheme:
                      ≤ 25 years - 7,7471 € cent/kWh OR reference premium floor – 7,5405; ceiling
                        8,9866 € cent/kWh
                      > 25 years - 6,4746 € cent/kWh

                     Off-Shore Scheme:
                      ONLY Reference premium - 8,918 € cent/kWh ceiling 17,3502 € cent/kWh




                                                     8
FEED-IN TARIFF FOR WIND ENERGY IN TURKEY
FIT FOR WIND ENERGY INCENTIVE REVITALISED THE SECTOR COUPLED WITH THE DOMESTIC
MANUFACTURING ADDITION
 FIT was introduced in 2005 as a unique tariff $/MWh                        Price Development
                                                               2011 Day Ahead Price , FIT & 2010 Day Ahead Price
    btw 5 – 5,5 €cents, applicable for defined 120
    renewable energy sources                       110

 Implementation Regulation of FIT was not 100
    adopted at that time.
 New RES Law was adopted in Dec 2010
                                                    90



 It proposes below mentioned FIT at
                                                    80



    differentiated rates (7,3 10,5 – 13,3 $ cents) 70
    for different renewable energy sources.         60


 Implementation Reg. is adopted & Domestic 50
                                                       Jan Feb       March      April        May       June      July                                 Aug
    Manufacturing incentive introduced.
                                                                       FIT Tariff Price   Day Ahead System Price 2011   Day Ahead System Price 2010




                                                                9
EVALUATION OF FIT SCHEME IN TURKEY


                   Feed-in Tariff:
                  Approximately at the same rate with previous incentive
                  Investors’ expectations are closer to European levels (i.e. Greece,
                   Germany, Spain)
                  Compared to the average system price in 2010 & 2011 it seems that
                   there is no visible attractiveness for FIT
                     Domestic Manufacture Incentive:
                    Positive development – additional incentives for 5 years
                    Tower and blades can be locally manufactured (thus max.
                     8.7$cent/kWh.
                    Even if there was an investment for locally produced wind turbines by
                     today, the time frame is too tight for the generation companies to get
                     benefit from domestic production incentive.
                    Unfair competition for projects and plants already in operation or
                     developed

                   Currency Difference:
                  New FIT stipulates incentives over dollar cent
                  Main turbine manufacturers are European-based companies
                  Investors are exposed to the euro/dollar parity risks
                                        10
RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER INVESTMENTS
SEVERAL HINDERANCES EXIST AGAINST WIND ENERGY INVESTORS


                      Incentive System
                        FIT still not a real incentive, should be reconsidered in
                          relation to system prices and be above this reference
                          price to be regarded as an “incentive”
                        Alternatively an incentive scheme should be
                          considered also by defining system prices

                      Legislative
                        Indexation of Wind Pennies with inflation by
                          stagnating, even decreasing electricity prices
                        Tenders held for substations, for which there is no
                          investment budget. Proposal: effective
                          reimbursement mechanism, when the WEPP investors
                          need to build the substation



                                        11
RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER INVESTMENTS
SEVERAL HINDERANCES EXIST AGAINST WIND ENERGY INVESTORS


                      Administrative
                        Coordination within MENR needed to solve
                         overlapping of mining areas with WEPP’s

                      Project Financing, Purchasing & Social issues
                        Project design should be made to facilitate
                          international financing which will be a major issue for
                          the coming years.
                        Long term purchasing agreements with turbine
                          suppliers is important to assure ROI.
                        Projects should be developed by taking into account
                          environmental and social impacts

                      Non-investors
                        Entrance to the market should be more difficult for
                         non-investors, protecting real investors.
                                        12
Thank you…

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BORUSAN EnBW Enerji

  • 1. BORUSAN EnBW Enerji Wind Power Turkey - 2011 Istanbul 20 September2011
  • 2. BORUSAN AND ENBW PARTNERSHIP FIRST CONTACT DURING 2008 DAVOS SUMMIT – PARTNERSHIP WAS FOUNDED IN 2009 Borusan Enerji was established in 2007 as EnBW Holding A.S was founded in 2009 the energy arm of Borusan Holding, one of in Ankara as a 100% subsidiary of EnBW the leading business conglomerates in AG which is the third-largest energy Turkey active mainly in steel, logistics company in Germany active in distributorship sectors. electricity generation, trading, grid, gas & environmental services. JUL 09 APR 09 Closing Partnership Agreement Borusan Holding A.S. EnBW Holding A.S. 50% 50% 1
  • 3. STRATEGIC FOCUS AND TARGETS JV HAS A PREDEFINED TARGET: 2000 MW INSTALLED CAPACITY BY 2020 WITH A RENEWABLE FOCUS Critical Year to lay the 1000 MW 1000 MW 2000 MW 2009 foundations 2014 licensed 2016 installed 2020 installed of the projects capacity capacity company Current Portfolio Target Portfolio (611 MW) (2.000 MW) Target activity area 25% includes all energy 43% 50% sources particularly 57% 25% renewable energy Wind Hydro Others 2
  • 4. TURKEY – WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY CURRENT SITUATION INSTALLED CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT BY RESOURCES CAPACITY – 2011 (50.985 MW)* GW 60 3,07% 49,9 51,0 0,18% 50 44,8 15,96% 41,8 38,8 40,6 40,8 3,91% 40 35,6 36,8 33,08% 31,8 30 27,3 28,3 7,09% 20 10 0 36,70% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 INSTALLED CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT - WIND Wind installed capacity has been MW increasing slowly over the years 2.000 accounting for 3 % of the total Wind Natural Gas Other Thermal 1.564 installed capacity by Sept 2011. 1.500 Geothermal Coal Added Wind 1.329 235 Hydro Lignite 1.000 537 Yet, with the finalization of 792 tendering process a visible 428 500 364 increase is likely to be observed in 19 19 19 19 19 20 59 146 217 3 - 4 years period. 39 87 0 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 • TEIAS statistics as of September 2011 4 Multiple fuels (solid & liquid) included in the thermal heading except liquid natural gas which is placed under natural gas heading
  • 5. TURKEY – WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY REACHING THE TARGET OF 20 GW SEEMS AS AN AMBITIOUS OBJECTIVE  Energy Market and Supply Security Document stipulated 2023 targets in the Turkish energy sector including the target of wind installed capacity - 20 GW  2010 - 2011 has been an important year for the wind energy investors (adoption of FIT & completion of evaluation of long-awaited 1st of November applications) Still half of the  Existing WEPP Capacity 1.564 MW way to go…  Single WEPP applications1: 1.876 MW  Multiple WEPP applications2: 5.587 MW TOTAL (~) 9.000 MW 1) already licensed by EMRA 2) total capacity to be allocated in 13 packages 5
  • 6. EUROPE - WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY BY THE END OF 2010 WIND INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) Turkey 1.329 Finland Russia European Union 84.278 197 9 Norway Candidate Countries 1.418 441 Sweden Estonia 2.163 149 Total Europe 86.279 Latvia 31 Lithuania Ireland Renewable Energy Directive 1.428 154 UK EU has target to reach: 5.204 Poland NL 1.107  a 20% share of energy from 2.245 Germany Ukraine 27.214 87 renewable sources by 2020 Belgium Czech Rep 911 215 Slovakia  a 10% share of renewable energy 3 Austria specifically in the transport sector Switzerland 1.011 Romania 462  Envisages national support France 5.660 42 Crotia mechanisms: 89 Bulgaria 375  investment aid,  tax incentives Spain 20.676 GR TR Portugal 1.329  green certificates 3.898 1.208  direct price support schemes including feed-in tariffs and premium payments 6 Source: EWEA Wind in Power 2010 European Statistics
  • 7. FEED-IN TARIFF FOR WIND ENERGY IN EUROPE - I GERMANY WILL APPLY EEG 2012 AS OF JANUARY 2012 GERMANY Scheme Description EEG – 2012 Legal Basis: Renewable Energy Sources Act – EEG (adopted 19.03.2000 – revised on 01.08.2004 & 01.01.2009 – to be revised in 01.01.2012) FIT – based on Duration: 20 years (15 years for large hydro plants) plus start-up year specific electricity Caps: No caps as to the amount generated or installed capacity generation costs On–Shore Scheme: -plant operator receives FIT  8,93 € cent/kWh – initial compensation (first 5 years of commissioning) from the grid  4,87 € cent/kWh – basic compensation applicable after 5 years operator  System service bonus (0,48 € cent/kWh) Bonuses Off-Shore Scheme:  15.00 € cent/kWh – initial compensation (12 years) prolonged Low-cost loans  0.5 months for each mile > 12 nautical miles  1.7 months for each meter water depth (ground) > 20 meters  19 € cent/kWh – optional shrinking model: Initial FIT increases but for a duration of 8 years  3.50 € cent/kWh – basic compensation > 12years (20 years) Begin of commissioning before January 1st, 2018) 7
  • 8. FEED-IN TARIFF FOR WIND ENERGY IN EUROPE - II SPAIN OFFERS TWO ALTERNATIVES FOR THE WIND INVESTORS SPAIN Scheme Description FIT or Legal Basis: Royal Decree 667/2007 Premium on the Duration: Whole project life time Wholesale Market Price Caps: No caps as to the amount generated floor and ceiling prices On–Shore Scheme:  ≤ 25 years - 7,7471 € cent/kWh OR reference premium floor – 7,5405; ceiling 8,9866 € cent/kWh  > 25 years - 6,4746 € cent/kWh Off-Shore Scheme:  ONLY Reference premium - 8,918 € cent/kWh ceiling 17,3502 € cent/kWh 8
  • 9. FEED-IN TARIFF FOR WIND ENERGY IN TURKEY FIT FOR WIND ENERGY INCENTIVE REVITALISED THE SECTOR COUPLED WITH THE DOMESTIC MANUFACTURING ADDITION  FIT was introduced in 2005 as a unique tariff $/MWh Price Development 2011 Day Ahead Price , FIT & 2010 Day Ahead Price btw 5 – 5,5 €cents, applicable for defined 120 renewable energy sources 110  Implementation Regulation of FIT was not 100 adopted at that time.  New RES Law was adopted in Dec 2010 90  It proposes below mentioned FIT at 80 differentiated rates (7,3 10,5 – 13,3 $ cents) 70 for different renewable energy sources. 60  Implementation Reg. is adopted & Domestic 50 Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Manufacturing incentive introduced. FIT Tariff Price Day Ahead System Price 2011 Day Ahead System Price 2010 9
  • 10. EVALUATION OF FIT SCHEME IN TURKEY Feed-in Tariff:  Approximately at the same rate with previous incentive  Investors’ expectations are closer to European levels (i.e. Greece, Germany, Spain)  Compared to the average system price in 2010 & 2011 it seems that there is no visible attractiveness for FIT Domestic Manufacture Incentive:  Positive development – additional incentives for 5 years  Tower and blades can be locally manufactured (thus max. 8.7$cent/kWh.  Even if there was an investment for locally produced wind turbines by today, the time frame is too tight for the generation companies to get benefit from domestic production incentive.  Unfair competition for projects and plants already in operation or developed Currency Difference:  New FIT stipulates incentives over dollar cent  Main turbine manufacturers are European-based companies  Investors are exposed to the euro/dollar parity risks 10
  • 11. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER INVESTMENTS SEVERAL HINDERANCES EXIST AGAINST WIND ENERGY INVESTORS  Incentive System  FIT still not a real incentive, should be reconsidered in relation to system prices and be above this reference price to be regarded as an “incentive”  Alternatively an incentive scheme should be considered also by defining system prices  Legislative  Indexation of Wind Pennies with inflation by stagnating, even decreasing electricity prices  Tenders held for substations, for which there is no investment budget. Proposal: effective reimbursement mechanism, when the WEPP investors need to build the substation 11
  • 12. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER INVESTMENTS SEVERAL HINDERANCES EXIST AGAINST WIND ENERGY INVESTORS  Administrative  Coordination within MENR needed to solve overlapping of mining areas with WEPP’s  Project Financing, Purchasing & Social issues  Project design should be made to facilitate international financing which will be a major issue for the coming years.  Long term purchasing agreements with turbine suppliers is important to assure ROI.  Projects should be developed by taking into account environmental and social impacts  Non-investors  Entrance to the market should be more difficult for non-investors, protecting real investors. 12