South African Trade Industry - an overview 2012 - 2015
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Food and Beverages Industry, 2015: http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1854&PPN=Report-64-20-01&SCH=7083 Report No. 64-11-01 (2015) - Accommodation Industry, 2015 http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1854&PPN=Report-64-11-01&SCH=7082 Report No. 63-01-02 (2015) - Motor trade Industry, 2015 http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1854&PPN=Report-63-01-02&SCH=7084 Report No.62-01-02 (2015) - Retail trade Industry, 2015 http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1854&PPN=Report-62-01-02&SCH=7085 Report No.61-01-01 (2015) - Wholesale trade Industry, 2015 http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1854&PPN=Report-61-01-01&SCH=7086
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South African Trade Industry - an overview 2012 - 2015
- 1. The South African trade industry An overview 2012 – 2015 Dr Pali Lehohla Stats SA 26 October 2017
- 2. Retail Wholesale Demographic dividend Motor trade Accommodation Food & beverages Detailed data for five divisions in trade are now available • Large sample surveys providing data for 2015 • Detailed statistics on: • Income • Commodities sold • Concentration ratios • Expenditure • Profit margins • Employment • Capital expenditure Trade industry
- 3. The trade industry is responsible for 15% of SA economic production Shares of nominal GDP 2016
- 4. 14.2% 15.0% 12.0% 12.5% 13.0% 13.5% 14.0% 14.5% 15.0% 15.5% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 The trade industry contribution to GDP has grown slightly over the years
- 5. Income
- 6. The trade industry generated R3,17 trillion in income during 2015 1.13 1.33 1.49 1.56 2.39 3.17 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 2005 2006 2007 2009 2012 2015 Rtrillion That’s just over R100 000 generated per second!
- 7. Wholesale 52% Retail 26% Motor trade 19% Food & beverages 2% Accommodation 1% Wholesale trade generated just over half of total income in 2015 Total income R3,17 trillion Percentages have been rounded and may not sum to 100% Only includes formal business activities
- 8. R2,106,025m (66%) R392,234m (12%) R674,071m (21%) 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 Large enterprises Medium enterprises Small and micro enterprises Rmillion Large enterprises generated two-thirds of the R3,17 trillion in income 2015
- 9. Building material & hardware 32% Machinery & equipment 22% Food & beverages 19% Other 27% What are the most popular sources of income in each division (2015)? Wholesale Food & beverages 42% Clothing 16% Medical & cosmetics 11% Other 32% Retail New vehicles 33% Fuel 29% Parts 18% Used vehicles 17% Other 4% Motor* Food and snacks 81% Non-alcoholic drinks 9% Wines 5% Other 5% Food & beveragesAccommodation *New and used vehicles includes both retail and wholesale sales
- 10. Cape Town 14% Johannesburg 14% Tshwane 9% eThekwini 7% Other districts 51% 49% Accommodation: almost half of available rooms* are in five cities Eku- Rhuleni 4% *The unit of accommodation available to be charged out to guests; for example, a powered site in a caravan park or a room in a hotel.
- 11. Motor trade: vehicle sales* – number of units sold in 2012 and 2015 *Only includes retail sales; excludes wholesale sales of vehicles Total: 412 819 Total: 384 860 Total: 412 964 Total: 378 499
- 13. What do concentration ratios tell us? If an industry is dominated by a few large players, then it’s regarded as monopolistic. This can hinder competition and present a barrier to new entrants into the market
- 14. Proportion of income earned by the top 10 largest enterprises Retail and accommodation are dominated by a few large companies 15% 15% 21% 38% 42% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Food & beverages Wholesale Motor Accommodation Retail
- 15. The motor trade industry has become less concentrated over time Proportion of income earned by the top 10 largest enterprises 33% 26% 23% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2006 2009 2012 2015
- 16. And so has accommodation Proportion of income earned by the top 10 largest enterprises 55% 50% 44% 38% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2007 2009 2012 2015
- 17. Concentration in retail trade, however, has increased over time Proportion of income earned by the top 10 largest enterprises 39% 40% 41% 42% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2005 2009 2012 2015
- 18. Expenditure
- 19. A total of R3,09 trillion was spent by the trade industries in 2015 Wholesale 52% Retail 26% Motor 19% Food & beverages 2% Accommodation 1% Total expenditure R3,09 trillion Percentages have been rounded and may not sum to 100%
- 20. What did each division spend money on? 17% 50% 85% 75% 83% 24% 20% 7% 10% 6% 58% 30% 9% 16% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Accommodation Food & beverages Motor Retail Wholesale Purchases Employment costs Other expenditure
- 21. Profit margin
- 22. The profit margin rose in 2015 to 2,6% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Profitmargin Profit margin for the entire trade industry (net loss/profit after tax as a percentage of turnover)
- 23. Casino income contributed to accommodation’s high profit margin Profit margin (net loss/profit after tax) 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 9.9% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% Motor trade Food and beverages Wholesale trade All trades Retail trade Accommodation
- 24. In fact, casinos contribute just over a third of total accommodation income Accommodation 59% Casino facilities 34% Functions 4% Other services 3% 2015
- 25. Employment Photo: http://www.mediaclub.co.za, Chris Kirchhoff
- 26. The trade industry is the third largest employer in the formal business sector Community services 27% Business services 23% Trade 22% Manufacturing 12% Other 16% Source: Quarterly Employment Statistics (QES), June 2017 (Table B)
- 27. The trade industry employed 1,9 million people in 2015 0,3 million Number of jobs
- 28. 1 2 Retail – 44% (812 104 people) 3 4 5 Retail is the largest employer in the trade industry (2015) Wholesale – 26% (490 037 people) Motor – 15% (270 440 people) Food & beverages – 9% (174 601 people) Accommodation – 6% (109 196 people) 1 2 3 4 5 1,9 million people
- 29. 28% 34% 56% 57% 59% 47% 72% 66% 44% 43% 41% 53% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Motor Wholesale Accommodation Retail Food & beverages All trades Female Male Female employees outnumber male employees in three divisions 2015
- 30. But employees in those three divisions earn the lowest salaries Average income for all employees R 174,135 R 126,151 R 84,380 R 87,852 R 47,037 R 202,823 R 146,905 R 93,632 R 91,716 R 60,761 R 0 R 50,000 R 100,000 R 150,000 R 200,000 R 250,000 Wholesale Motor Retail Accommodation Food & beverages 2012 2015
- 31. Income vs employment (2015) 52% 26% 19% 2% 1% 26% 44% 15% 9% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Wholesale trade Retail trade industry Motor trade industry Food and beverages Accommodation Income Employment
- 32. Income vs employment: large enterprises (2015) 70.3% 70.1% 67.0% 61.7% 41.3% 50.6% 66.0% 40.3% 40.0% 39.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Accommodation Retail Wholesale Motor Food & beverages Income Employment
- 34. Wholesale 39% Retail 32% Motor 15% Food & beverages 4% Accommodation 11% Wholesale spend the most on acquiring new assets (2015) Total capital expenditure R49,9 billion
- 35. Thank you