SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 22
Is there a strategic requirement for a fixed-wing, long range, maritime

patrol aircraft?




                                                                      i
Synopsis




The purpose of this document is to ascertain whether or not there is scope for further research into

the subject: “Is there a strategic requirement for a fixed-wing, long range, maritime patrol aircraft?”


        In 2010, the British Ministry of Defence elected to cancel the contract for the Nimrod MR2

replacement, and as such ended a project that had been in production for over 10 years. £3.6 billion

had already been spent on the project, and none of that money would have been returned to the

Treasury upon the project cancellation.


        This report will lay down some arguments for and against the cancellation of the Nimrod

MRA 4, discussing whether or not the Ministry of Defence will be able to conduct its elected tasks

without such a maritime presence. The Strategic Defence Review’s of 1998 and 2010 will be

compared to try and ascertain what has changed over this period. The UK’s abilities to defend its

interests at home and overseas will be researched, with particular interest to those roles the Nimrod

force covered and could have developed in the future.


        The content contained in this document will be weighted towards roles in which the MR2

fleet operated, and the expected abilities of the MRA 4. Other maritime patrol aircraft are available

for purchase, such as the P-3C Orion, however these capabilities will not be discussed, so as to keep

this report subjective and as detailed as possible due to the long standing argument and stream of

“experts” offering their viewpoints over the cancellation of the Nimrod MRA 4.




                                                                                                          ii
Contents

Is there a strategic requirement for a fixed-wing, long range, maritime patrol aircraft? ....................... i
   Synopsis .............................................................................................................................................. ii
   Nimrod MRA 4 Timeline ...................................................................................................................... 1
   1998 SDR – Modern Forces for the Modern World ............................................................................ 2
   2010 SDSR – Securing Britain in an Age of Uncertainty ...................................................................... 3
   Roles and Required Equipment .......................................................................................................... 5
       Anti-Submarine Warfare ................................................................................................................. 5
       Anti-Surface Unit Warfare .............................................................................................................. 7
       Overland Operations ....................................................................................................................... 7
       Search and Rescue .......................................................................................................................... 8
       Communications ............................................................................................................................. 9
   Post 2010 SDSR – Select Committee on Defence ............................................................................... 9
   Costs of a Maritime Patrol Aircraft vs Other Options ....................................................................... 12
       Type 26 Frigate.............................................................................................................................. 12
       Merlin ............................................................................................................................................ 12
       SOSUS ............................................................................................................................................ 13
   What is the threat? ........................................................................................................................... 13
   Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................... 14
   References ........................................................................................................................................ 16
Bibliography .......................................................................................................................................... 18
Table of Figures ..................................................................................................................................... 19




                                                                                                                                                          iii
Nimrod MRA 4 Timeline

In the November of 1992, the requirement for a replacement maritime patrol aircraft, one to

supersede the Nimrod MR2, was endorsed, and a data gathering phase was authorised. In the

January of 1995, 4 companies submitted proposals for this replacement aircraft, BAE Systems being

the winning bidder on the 25th July 1996. The initial plan was for 21 Nimrod MRA4 aircraft, along

with all the training and support, which would be delivered between 2001 and 2006. “Technical and

resourcing difficulties” (Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft) meant that during

1998 the project was delayed, by approximately 3 years.


        In February 2003, BAE and the MoD came to an agreement over the contract to the effect

that the initial requirement was changed so that the 3 development aircraft would be built, and

upon the proven maturity through flight trials, the contract for production would be awarded.

(Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft)


        December 2003, the Defence White Paper reduced the Nimrod MR2 fleet from 21 to 16 and

the MRA 4 fleet was reduced to “about 12”. Production slowed as the development aircraft went

through the flight testing phase. 5 further delays pushed the in service date further and further back

until, in 2009, an announcement was made which brought forward the MR2 out of service date.


        Finally, under the SDSR of 2010, the Nimrod MRA4 program was cancelled. No direct

replacement was planned, the “slack” left by the MRA 4, instead the plan is to “...depend on other

maritime assets to contribute to the tasks previously planned for them [MRA4]” (GOVERNMENT,

HM, 2010).




                                                                                                     1
Figure 1 - Nimrod MRA4 - £3.6 billion


1998 SDR – Modern Forces for the Modern World

In the July of 1998, while the Nimrod MRA 4 programme was approaching another delay, the

Secretary of State for Defence released the latest Strategic Defence and Security Review. This

document was to lay down how the MoD was to align itself to the perceived threats developing in

the 21st Century and onwards to around 2015. The report laid down the Military Tasks in which the

UK Forces could be expected to be employed, of interest are the following: (GOVERNMENT, HM,

1998)


        Peacetime Security

        Security of the Overseas Territories

        Support to Wider British Interests

        Regional Conflict outside the NATO area

        Strategic Attack on NATO


    This list covers 5 of the 8 broad missions set down by the Government. But these 5 are roles

which maritime patrol aircraft have been employed on, and could have been expected to in the

future. Whereas some elements of the military are directed to specific tasks and have singular roles,

the maritime forces have always been flexible and deployable to a wide range of theatres and

operations. Nimrod crews over the past 30 years have fought in conflicts from the Falkland Islands,




                                                                                                      2
through the Cold War, and on to more recent conflicts in the Balkans, Iraq, Afghanistan and many

more still covered by the official secrets acts.


        The 1998 SDR, however, was a turning point for the future of the Nimrod force. “The risks

and challenges we face are not simply those of the Cold War...” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998), this

forward thinking showed that the Government wasn’t expecting large scale battles such as had been

thought throughout the Cold War period. “In part, it was because the scale of the risks involved in

the Cold War obscured the potential importance of the newer style of security risks that were

emerging.” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998). This gave the first official signs that we were expecting the

Middle East and such states to be of military interest, no longer would be solely plan on fighting

another major world power.


        Furthermore, and more specifically, “At sea, the emphasis is continuing to move away from

large scale maritime warfare...” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998). This view showed that the battleground

was no longer going to be the Atlantic Ocean, or areas such as this. But instead, the maritime

battlefield would be within the littoral areas, probably within in 10 miles of the coastline.


        In relation directly to the subject of this report, there is a single mention of the Nimrod MRA

4 in the 1998 SDR: “The RAF’s modernised Nimrod maritime patrol aircraft... will provide a powerful

extension of our anti-submarine (ASW) capability, including in shallower waters...” (GOVERNMENT,

HM, 1998). Although there was little mention of the Nimrod fleets in this sizeable doctrine for the

Armed Forces, there was little sign that the force could be expected to be removed completely. Was

there a doctrinal change over the next 12 years that meant Nimrod was no longer required? Or was

the removal of the capability purely down to cost and politics?


2010 SDSR – Securing Britain in an Age of Uncertainty

By the time this document was published, the MRA 4 project was around 10 years late on its original

in service date, and the MR2 had not flown for 7 months. The MoD had managed without a long



                                                                                                      3
range maritime patrol aircraft for a significant period, and as such it is unsurprising that the MRA 4

project was cancelled in this way.


        As is usual with a strategic document, the new Military Tasks were laid down, all 7 are listed

here: (GOVERNMENT, HM, 2010)


        Defending the UK and its Overseas Territories

        Providing Strategic Intelligence

        Providing a Nuclear Deterrence

        Supporting Civil Emergency Organisations in times of crisis

        Defending our Interests by Projecting Power Strategically and through Expeditionary

        Interventions

        Providing a Defence Contribution to UK Influence

        Providing security for Stabilisation


    Again, looking over the past 30 years, it is possible to directly cross-reference Nimrod Operations

with these 7 Military Tasks. In Nimrod, the UK Government had an asset that was flexible enough to

fulfil all of these roles, to some extent at least. The 2010 SDSR describes how the maritime Future

Force 2020 (i.e., force disposition in the year 2020), can be expected to operate.


“Future Force 2020 will be able to provide:


        Nuclear Continuous at Sea Deterrence;

        Maritime defence of the UK and its South Atlantic Overseas Territories;

        An enduring presence within priority regions of the world to contribute conventional

        deterrence” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 2010)


    The list continues, however the three roles above were roles in which Nimrod was employed

daily and also held on standby in case it was required. Crews regularly flew through the Christmas

and New Year holidays whilst supporting the tasks listed above.

                                                                                                         4
What is the mitigation against such an apparent loss of capability? “Maritime intelligence,

surveillance, target acquisition and reconnaissance (ISTAR) capabilities based on network enabled

warships submarines and aircraft.” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 2010) This would leave the UK’s maritime

force with 1 or 2 helicopter landing ships, 19 frigates and destroyers, 7 attack submarines, 4 ballistic

missile submarines, and their fleet Merlin helicopters. The smallest navy ever to be fielded by the

Royal Navy. (KIRKUP, Thomas Harding and James, 2010)


Roles and Required Equipment

Although the Nimrod MR2 fleet of aircraft conducting a wide selection of roles and responsibilities,

they can be summed up into a small list of over-arching headings:


        Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW)

        Anti-Surface Unit Warfare (ASuW)

        Overland

        Search and Rescue (SAR)


These 4 roles cover essentially all the operations and tasks that the Nimrod fleet could be expected

to participate in. We will look at each role and equipment required to conduct these roles.


Anti-Submarine Warfare

ASW was one of the first roles in which maritime air-assets were tasked. The advent of submarines

in WW1 became such that ships were not able to sufficiently defend themselves against any kind of

capable submarine threat. However submarines of this era “could stay underwater for 12 hours”

(British Submarines 1900 to 1918). A submarine would only manage this if its batteries were

completely charged and it stayed submerged until its batteries were depleted. Modern submarines

will aim to surface when their batteries around 50-60% full, ensuring they’re always in a position to

be tactically effective.




                                                                                                        5
With an apparent duration of 6 hours submerged, early submarines would regularly be

found sailing on the surface, with this information it didn’t take long for Navy’s to start to employ

long-range fixed-wing aircraft to give surface vessels warning of approaching submarines, or even to

destroy those vessels before they became a threat.


        There are several sensors which can be employed to detect surfaced and submerged

submarines:


                Radar can detect surfaced submarines by transmitting radio energy and receiving

                back an echo if a contact is within range, (Exactly how does radar work?)

                Electronic Support Measures (ESM) can detect an enemy transmitting on his radar,

                Passive Acoustic systems can hear noise being made by the submarines equipment

                and the noise of water on its hull,

                Active Acoustic systems work in a similar way to radar, except using wavelengths of

                noise energy rather than radio energy,

                Magnetic Anomaly Detectors are used to sense a disturbance in the earth’s

                magnetic field, a submarine will make a noticeable change to the level of magnetism

                which an aircraft can detect


There are many more pieces of equipment that could assist in locating and tracking a submarine, but

the 5 above are the most commonly used across all MPA fleets worldwide.




                                                                                                        6
Figure 2 - Various ASW MPA Sensors


Anti-Surface Unit Warfare

ASuW goes hand in hand with ASW. Submarines, in modern times, would usually operate with a

friendly fleet of surface vessels, or against a fleet of enemy surface vessels. This means MPA are

usually employed on both ASW and ASuW simultaneously. The main reason this can be

accomplished is because the equipment used is very similar, and in ASuW it is a little simpler.


        Only radar and ESM tend to be used to conduct ASuW. Radar can detect contacts, and

depending on the model of radar, provide some basic information such as target length and rough

outline (warship, merchant, fishing boat etc). ESM would then be used to further identify contacts

from the transmissions received by their radars.


Overland Operations

Overland operations are generally covered by the term ISTAR, (Intelligence, Surveillance, Target

Acquisition and Reconnaissance), although ASW and ASuW are both ISTAR roles as well. Overland

operations are generally those in support of conventional (Army/Marines etc) or special (SAS/SBS)

forces. For the Nimrod MR2, overland operations in Iraq and Afghanistan involved the use of the

Wescam MX-15 (Wescam MX-15) multi-spectral imaging sensor. This camera was fitted under one of

the aircrafts wings and could be used to detect and track targets of interest. The ground

commanders also had the capability to see Full Motion Video (FMV) by means of a downlink; this

ensured that vital information wasn’t missed in translation from aircrew to group operatives.


                                                                                                     7
Figure 3 - Wescam Operators on the Nimrod MR2


Search and Rescue

SAR was, in some ways, the most important part of the Nimrod MR2’s capability. It is difficult to

quantify how many lives were saved by the Nimrod fleet in this role. On July 6th 1988, 61 people

were saved when the oil platform “Piper Alpha” exploded, several Nimrod MR2 sorties were

conducted as a SAR command platform providing control for the various rescue assets involved.




                                    Figure 4 - Piper Alpha 6th July 1988


One of the most important pieces of equipment carried by MPA in their SAR roles is the apparatus

that they can deploy to those in need. Known in the UK inventory as the ASR (Air-Sea Rescue),

various different styles of deployable dingy and supplies can be dropped from aircraft allowing

survivors of an incident a much better chance of being rescued. The average human could survive for

up to 90 minutes in the North Sea if provided with a standard survival suit (Hypothermia Prevention:


                                                                                                    8
Survival in Cold Water). This could be extended to several weeks with the equipment available in an

ASR package.


Communications

Due to the long ranges MPA work at, and the amount of information they are likely to process, the

most vital part of the aircraft is the communications suite. Upon detection of enemy submarine,

enemy forces on the ground or survivor in the sea, it is vital that other parties are informed as

quickly as possible. Modern MPA can be expected to have around 10 radios covering different

frequency bands and agencies, as well as automatic data links which provide near real-time data

transmission, cutting down on ambiguities of voice-communications and improving situational

awareness.


Post 2010 SDSR – Select Committee on Defence

The 2010 SDSR brought out a lot of points for argument, not only the MRA 4 decision. Experts

argued over the basis for keeping Tornado over Harrier, the requirement for the future carriers was

in question, closure of bases was also unexpected. However in some ways, not keeping the MRA 4

appears to have been the most interesting, what is the point in having 2 carriers if you can’t protect

them from enemy submarines and ships?


        In July 1988 the oil facility “Piper Alpha” caught fire and subsequently 167 people died.

However much of this disaster was averted due to repeated Nimrod sorties which operated as on-

scene commander for the rescue operation. The Nimrod crews organised helicopters and ships such

that many people were saved.


        The Nimrod MR2 was also employed on operations in Iraq and Afghanistan in support of

Multi-National brigades. Its sensor suite was upgraded so that crews were able to locate, monitor

and track targets of interest throughout deserts and built up areas. This provided commanders at




                                                                                                         9
various levels with detailed information on enemy movements and threats to friendly forces without

having to send troops into an area.


        “The MRA4 was not just a submarine-hunter; it was capable of a variety of roles from ship

surveillance to search and rescue. It could act as a communications and disaster co-ordination

platform and perhaps its most important role would have been as an ISTAR (Intelligence,

Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance) platform in support of operations in

Afghanistan.” (ROBERTSON, Dr Sue, 2011).


Indeed, the potential of the MRA 4 as a platform was unmatched. The aircraft was built upon

modular technologies allowing any current NATO weapon system to be employed from it, as well as

future proofing it for future systems. As such the aircraft would have been able to be refitted for a

specific task within a very short period, maintaining the flexibility shown by its predecessor the MR2.


        Dr Robertson, in her report, continues: "Loss of the capability offered by the Nimrod

Maritime Reconnaissance and Attack Mk4 would have an adverse effect on the protection of the

strategic nuclear deterrent, the provision of which is one of the Ministry of Defence's Standing

Strategic Tasks.” (ROBERTSON, Dr Sue, 2011). The lack of a long range anti-submarine aircraft would

mean that the UK nuclear deterrent, aboard Vanguard submarines, would have to operate by

themselves in areas also patrolled by many nations’ submarines. It would be very difficult for the

Vanguard class boats to be able to detect another submarine if it was being followed, and near

impossible for them to do anything about it. There seems to be little point of having a nuclear

deterrent if the enemy can neutralize it easily.


        In regard to the roles of the MRA 4 and the Governments plans to mitigate the capability

gap, Dr Robertson produced the table below: (ROBERTSON, Dr Sue, 2011)




                                                                                                        10
THE ROLES OF THE NIMROD
Asset                         Nimrod MRA4                Merlin Mk1                  Type 23   C130
Task
Submarine Detection           Yes—6000nm range with 15    Yes—200 nm range with 90   Yes       No
(ASW)                         hour mission time           minute mission time
Shipping Surveillance         Yes—to 260nm at 40,000 ft   Limited Sensors            No        Limited—no adequate sensors
Fleet Protection              Yes                         Yes                        Limited   Limited—no adequate sensors
                                                                                     range
ISTAR (Support of Troops in   Yes                         No                         No        No
Afghanistan)
ELINT data gathering          Yes                         No                         No        No
Counter-terrorism             Yes                         No                         No        Perhaps
Weapons deployment            Yes                         Yes                        Yes       Yes?
Search & Rescue               Yes—2400nm range for three Limited—300 nm range with   No        Limited—600 nm range with
                              hours search               one hour search                       two hours search
Emergency Communications      Yes                         No                         No        Yes
Overseas Maritime Patrol      Yes                         No                         No        No
Counter-pirate operations     Yes                         No                         No        No
Protection of Trident         Yes                         Limited range              Limited   No
Submarines                                                                           range
Protection of Future Carriers? Yes                        Limited range              Limited   No
                                                                                     range




Although the report is undoubtedly biased, its remarks on the capabilities area accurate and ring

true. The Mk1 Merlin is the easiest platform to compare to the Nimrod when it comes to anti-

submarine and surface ship warfare. Although the Merlin has a small fraction of the capability from

its equipment, not to mention a vastly reduced range and endurance. This is mitigated somewhat by

deploying Merlin onto the ships at sea so they can be refuelled and deployed several times, whereas

a fixed-wing aircraft requires a large support network at a well established base.


           The Type 23 frigate is the UK’s anti-submarine ship. There are around 13 in operation in the

Royal Navy. Although it has an excellent suite of ASW sensors, it cannot do a vast range of other

tasks to which Nimrod was suited. The Royal Navy could not operate as it does without its fleet of

T23’s, however they are equipped for a specific role and can do little else. Finally, the C-130. Some

Government officials thought that since the Hercules transport aircraft could open its cargo doors in

flight it would be able to deploy some Search and Rescue apparatus to those requiring them.

However, the C-130 has neither the communications suite nor sensors to co-ordinate a rescue or

indeed find those in need of rescue. Its poor range when compared to the MRA 4 shows how it is a



                                                                                                                       11
poor asset for such a role, upon talking to some C-130 crewmen, it is doubtful that they could drop

SAR equipment accurately enough to be of any use.


Costs of a Maritime Patrol Aircraft vs. Other Options

The estimated cost of the MRA4 fleet was £200 million per year, this figure is reached from a plan to

“save over £2 billion over the next ten years” (COMMITTEE, House of Commons Defence, 2011). If

we transpose these costs onto the other 2 main ASW units, then we can see how much value 9

Nimrod MRA4 Maritime Patrol Aircraft were likely to be.


Type 26 Frigate

The Type 26 Frigate (Now possibly named the Global Combat Ship) is the future replacement for the

current Type 23. It is expected to start coming into service in 2020, and will replace the Type 23 on a

one-for-one basis. As they have not yet been built, any savings on the MRA4 could easily be used to

keep more frigates operating. Currently, the Royal Navy has 13 Type 23 Frigates, their costs for FY

08/09 were £340.3 million, and for FY 09/10 £313.8 million, (Type 23 Frigate). With these costs in

mind, and ignoring build costs, the RN could operate an extra 8 Type 26 Frigates purely within the

costs saved by not introducing the MRA4 into service.


Merlin

Due to the complexity of a modern helicopter, and the requirement to strip the mechanical

elements frequently for servicing, it is unlikely that more Merlin ASW helicopters would be an option

to replace the MRA4. According to thinkdefence.co.uk, the operating cost of a Merlin helicopter is

£28,000 per hour (The future of the RAF - Page 18), comparing this to an answer to a parliamentary

question, Nimrod MR2 cost £30,000 per hour (WINTERTON, Richard). Even with some padding

added to cover extra costs we could expect to incur for a more modern MRA4, It is doubtful that

more than 12-15 Merlins could be employed within the Nimrod cost saving.




                                                                                                      12
SOSUS

SOSUS (Sound Surveillance System) has been employed for many decades as a permanent under-

water acoustic detection system. Fields of sensors are deployed at strategically important

chokepoints, which are monitored by a UK/US partnership. The system is used as an early warning

system, and can queue other assets into an area so that more accurate tracking of a potentially

hostile submarine can be achieved. The SOSUS system was classified until 1991, and is now also used

by civilian agencies.




                            Figure 5 - Example of Theoretical SOSUS placements


SOSUS is being phased out as an option for ASW, and as such is being replaced by surface vessels,

meaning the MRA4 problem has been heightened.


What is the threat?

There are many countries procuring submarines in various different roles, from coastal insertion of

Special Forces, through open ocean maritime warfare and even nuclear deterrence.


        The Russian Navy has around 50 operational submarines, although it is unlikely that they

could all deploy simultaneously, the weapons on some of them have world-wide reach.



                                                                                                    13
Figure 6 - 33 Russian Submarines in Port


At last count the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy had 63 active submarines, including at least

10 home-built nuclear subs. Argentina is in the process of purchasing several of the latest generation

diesel electric submarines from France, and is investigation converting some to be nuclear powered.


        Submarines are no longer the machine of the modern military either; drug gangs of South

America have been seen to employ semi and fully submersible vessels for the purposes of

transporting drugs to mainland USA. (BBC NEWS, 2011).


        Perhaps more worrying than the military potential of submarines, is their ability to locate

and hack into communication cables. Several systems connect Europe and the United States which

utilise transatlantic fibre-optic connections (Transatlantic Telecommunications Cables). SDSR 2010

identified that Cyber Warfare is one of the greatest threats that we are facing within the UK theatre.


Conclusion

The arguments appear to be weighted; many agree that there is a requirement for a long-range

maritime patrol aircraft. However, there is more research needed into whether or not those assets

assigned to the roles traditionally covered by the Nimrod force can cover those roles sufficiently.


        Without considering the financial aspect, assuming the defence of the nation and its

dependencies are more important than international aid etc, perhaps the role of maritime patrol is

now suited to platforms fitted for specific roles, rather than a single platform which can do lots of

tasks. Nimrod could have been a victim of its own fame, by appearing to not be a vital unit in any

one area; it appears to have watered down its skill base by covering many roles.

                                                                                                        14
In answer to the question posed, I would say there is a massive gap in requirement and

capability when it comes to Maritime Warfare. The area covered by 13 Frigates and their associated

Merlins is minute when compared to the whole area of operations (North Sea/North Atlantic). There

can be little doubt that the effectiveness of the RN to be able to defend against National maritime

threats has been severely reduced by the removal of the Nimrod MRA4 from introduction.


        However, there is an argument that the MRA4 was too costly and the wrong asset for the

requirement. A smaller aircraft such as the Casa C-295M would have much lower running costs, but

with modern equipment would give similar capability in the maritime environment to the MRA4. An

airframe such as this is also modular so could be refitted for different tasks such as transport or

medivac.




                                                                                                      15
References

BBC NEWS. 2011. Drug submarine seized by Colombian navy. London.

British Submarines 1900 to 1918. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web:
<http://www.historylearningsite.co.uk/british_submarines_1900_to_.htm>

COMMITTEE, House of Commons Defence. 2011. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the
National Security Strategy. London.

Exactly how does radar work? [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web:
<http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/doppler/how.htm>

FOX, Dr Liam. 2010. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security Strategy -
Defence Committee - SDSR.

GOVERNMENT, HM. 1998. Strategic Defence Review: Modern Forces for the Modern World.

GOVERNMENT, HM. 2010. Securing Britian in an Age of Uncertainty: The Strategic Defence and
Security Review.

GUSTIN, Emmanuel. UK Radars. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web:
<http://www.uboat.net/allies/technical/uk_radars.htm>

HOON, Rt Hon Geoff. 2003. Delivery Security in a Changing World - Defence White Paper.

Hypothermia Prevention: Survival in Cold Water. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from
World Wide Web: <http://www.seagrant.umn.edu/coastal_communities/hypothermia>

KIRKUP, Thomas Harding and James. 2010. Navy to reduce to smallest size ever to save carriers.
[online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available from World Wide Web:
<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/8049674/Navy-to-reduce-to-smallest-size-
ever-to-save-carriers.html>

Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft. [online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available
from World Wide Web: <http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/europe/nimrod_mra4.htm>

ROBERTSON, Dr Sue. 2011. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security
Strategy - Defence Committee - Written Evidence from Dr Sue Robertson.

SELECT COMMITTEE ON DEFENCE. 2002. Memorandum from the Ministry of Defence on Major
Procurement Project Survey (March 2002).

The future of the RAF - Page 18. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web:
<http://www.thinkdefence.co.uk/2011/04/the-future-of-the-raf-18-%E2%80%93-vertical-lift-03-a-
sensible-future/>

Transatlantic Telecommunications Cables. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World
Wide Web: <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transatlantic_telecommunications_cable>



                                                                                                   16
Type 23 Frigate. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web:
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_23_frigate#Running_costs>

Wescam MX-15. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www2.l-
3com.com/wescam/products/products_services_1g.asp>

WINTERTON, Richard. Money down the Drain. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from
World Wide Web: <http://defenceoftherealm.blogspot.com/2007/11/money-down-drain.html>




                                                                                             17
Bibliography

FOX, Dr Liam. 2010. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security Strategy -

Defence Committee - SDSR.


GOVERNMENT, HM. 1998. Strategic Defence Review: Modern Forces for the Modern World.


GOVERNMENT, HM. 2010. Securing Britian in an Age of Uncertainty: The Strategic Defence and

Security Review.


HOON, Rt Hon Geoff. 2003. Delivery Security in a Changing World - Defence White Paper.


KIRKUP, Thomas Harding and James. 2010. Navy to reduce to smallest size ever to save carriers.

[online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available from World Wide Web:

<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/8049674/Navy-to-reduce-to-smallest-size-

ever-to-save-carriers.html>


Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft. [online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available

from World Wide Web: <http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/europe/nimrod_mra4.htm>


ROBERTSON, Dr Sue. 2011. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security

Strategy - Defence Committee - Written Evidence from Dr Sue Robertson.


SELECT COMMITTEE ON DEFENCE. 2002. Memorandum from the Ministry of Defence on Major

Procurement Project Survey (March 2002).




                                                                                                 18
Table of Figures

Figure 1 - Nimrod MRA4 - £3.6 billion .................................................................................................... 2
Figure 2 - Various ASW MPA Sensors ..................................................................................................... 7
Figure 3 - Wescam Operators on the Nimrod MR2 ................................................................................ 8
Figure 4 - Piper Alpha 6th July 1988 ....................................................................................................... 8
Figure 5 - Example of Theoretical SOSUS placements .......................................................................... 13
Figure 6 - 33 Rusian Submarines in Port ............................................................................................... 14




                                                                                                                                          19

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008
Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008
Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008
Luis Nassif
 
Lighthouse Article_VX-30
Lighthouse Article_VX-30Lighthouse Article_VX-30
Lighthouse Article_VX-30
Charles Fatora
 
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13thNishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
stimson
 
Role of submarine
Role of submarineRole of submarine
Role of submarine
IIT DELHI
 
Michael Jenkins US Navy Veteran Awards
Michael Jenkins US Navy Veteran AwardsMichael Jenkins US Navy Veteran Awards
Michael Jenkins US Navy Veteran Awards
Michael Jenkins
 
Future Expeditionary Mindset
Future Expeditionary MindsetFuture Expeditionary Mindset
Future Expeditionary Mindset
David Chang
 

Mais procurados (20)

Gulf war 2
Gulf war 2Gulf war 2
Gulf war 2
 
Watkins Commissioning Ceremony Booklet
Watkins Commissioning Ceremony BookletWatkins Commissioning Ceremony Booklet
Watkins Commissioning Ceremony Booklet
 
CLDJ 2014 Change of Command
CLDJ 2014 Change of CommandCLDJ 2014 Change of Command
CLDJ 2014 Change of Command
 
Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008
Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008
Uss Nebraska Submarine Embark November2008
 
EoT MAG
EoT MAGEoT MAG
EoT MAG
 
The Dragoon Newsletter- March 2014
The Dragoon Newsletter- March 2014The Dragoon Newsletter- March 2014
The Dragoon Newsletter- March 2014
 
Desert Voice Mag 3
Desert Voice Mag 3Desert Voice Mag 3
Desert Voice Mag 3
 
Lighthouse Article_VX-30
Lighthouse Article_VX-30Lighthouse Article_VX-30
Lighthouse Article_VX-30
 
AMCM (Airborne Mine Counter Measures)
AMCM (Airborne Mine Counter Measures)AMCM (Airborne Mine Counter Measures)
AMCM (Airborne Mine Counter Measures)
 
A 26 Article
A 26 ArticleA 26 Article
A 26 Article
 
4.1 Us Navy Ships
4.1 Us Navy Ships4.1 Us Navy Ships
4.1 Us Navy Ships
 
NS1 3.3 National Defense
NS1 3.3 National DefenseNS1 3.3 National Defense
NS1 3.3 National Defense
 
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13thNishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
 
Role of submarine
Role of submarineRole of submarine
Role of submarine
 
Michael Jenkins US Navy Veteran Awards
Michael Jenkins US Navy Veteran AwardsMichael Jenkins US Navy Veteran Awards
Michael Jenkins US Navy Veteran Awards
 
May 5 2011 executing the maritime strategy 5 may 11
May 5 2011 executing the maritime strategy 5 may 11May 5 2011 executing the maritime strategy 5 may 11
May 5 2011 executing the maritime strategy 5 may 11
 
MSRON 3 returns to San Diego from CENTCOM, EUCOM
MSRON 3 returns to San Diego from CENTCOM, EUCOMMSRON 3 returns to San Diego from CENTCOM, EUCOM
MSRON 3 returns to San Diego from CENTCOM, EUCOM
 
Future Expeditionary Mindset
Future Expeditionary MindsetFuture Expeditionary Mindset
Future Expeditionary Mindset
 
Bent spear study
Bent spear studyBent spear study
Bent spear study
 
MAC ATTACK
MAC ATTACKMAC ATTACK
MAC ATTACK
 

Destaque

Destaque (9)

EA Consolidated Slides from Q1-Q2 (2015)
EA Consolidated Slides from Q1-Q2 (2015) EA Consolidated Slides from Q1-Q2 (2015)
EA Consolidated Slides from Q1-Q2 (2015)
 
EA Secuity Thinking - Practical Exercise
EA Secuity Thinking - Practical Exercise EA Secuity Thinking - Practical Exercise
EA Secuity Thinking - Practical Exercise
 
Corporate Planning Consultants - An Overview
Corporate Planning Consultants - An OverviewCorporate Planning Consultants - An Overview
Corporate Planning Consultants - An Overview
 
Curriculum overview
Curriculum overviewCurriculum overview
Curriculum overview
 
Blakehill Ofsted Report Jan 2015
Blakehill Ofsted Report Jan 2015Blakehill Ofsted Report Jan 2015
Blakehill Ofsted Report Jan 2015
 
Presentatie magic beans factory
Presentatie magic beans factoryPresentatie magic beans factory
Presentatie magic beans factory
 
Strategic Requirement for FW MPA
Strategic Requirement for FW MPAStrategic Requirement for FW MPA
Strategic Requirement for FW MPA
 
Hussein Nassar CV
Hussein Nassar CVHussein Nassar CV
Hussein Nassar CV
 
BCS EA Practitioners Day Intro Slides
BCS EA Practitioners Day Intro SlidesBCS EA Practitioners Day Intro Slides
BCS EA Practitioners Day Intro Slides
 

Semelhante a Strategic Requirement for FW MPA

Captain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft Carriers
Captain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft CarriersCaptain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft Carriers
Captain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft Carriers
ICSA, LLC
 
Operational Maneuver from the Air_Schenck
Operational Maneuver from the Air_SchenckOperational Maneuver from the Air_Schenck
Operational Maneuver from the Air_Schenck
John Schenck, PMP
 
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13thNishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
MoonKJun
 
Session 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf Deployments
Session 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf DeploymentsSession 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf Deployments
Session 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf Deployments
Navy Webmaster
 
OEE Red Diamond AUG16
OEE Red Diamond AUG16OEE Red Diamond AUG16
OEE Red Diamond AUG16
Marc Williams
 

Semelhante a Strategic Requirement for FW MPA (18)

Nov 17 2011 Strategic Systems Programs
Nov 17 2011 Strategic Systems ProgramsNov 17 2011 Strategic Systems Programs
Nov 17 2011 Strategic Systems Programs
 
United Change Paper on the issue of Trident and the NPT
United Change Paper on the issue of Trident and the NPTUnited Change Paper on the issue of Trident and the NPT
United Change Paper on the issue of Trident and the NPT
 
Public Policy Toward Business Presentation - The Defense Industry
Public Policy Toward Business Presentation - The Defense IndustryPublic Policy Toward Business Presentation - The Defense Industry
Public Policy Toward Business Presentation - The Defense Industry
 
Captain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft Carriers
Captain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft CarriersCaptain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft Carriers
Captain Nick Walker on the Queen Elizabeth Class Aircraft Carriers
 
Defence Industry... Plus Some Thoughts
Defence Industry... Plus Some ThoughtsDefence Industry... Plus Some Thoughts
Defence Industry... Plus Some Thoughts
 
United states nuclear forces 2020
United states nuclear forces 2020United states nuclear forces 2020
United states nuclear forces 2020
 
M1400 airship fact_sheet_25_may_12v2
M1400 airship fact_sheet_25_may_12v2M1400 airship fact_sheet_25_may_12v2
M1400 airship fact_sheet_25_may_12v2
 
Operational Maneuver from the Air_Schenck
Operational Maneuver from the Air_SchenckOperational Maneuver from the Air_Schenck
Operational Maneuver from the Air_Schenck
 
Global Defense MRO - Air Platforms Market Report
Global Defense MRO - Air Platforms Market ReportGlobal Defense MRO - Air Platforms Market Report
Global Defense MRO - Air Platforms Market Report
 
B2-Bomber Recherche ,history and characteristics
B2-Bomber Recherche ,history and characteristicsB2-Bomber Recherche ,history and characteristics
B2-Bomber Recherche ,history and characteristics
 
The Armies After Fcs
The Armies After FcsThe Armies After Fcs
The Armies After Fcs
 
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13thNishitani presentation oct_13th
Nishitani presentation oct_13th
 
Marine Corps History Essay
Marine Corps History EssayMarine Corps History Essay
Marine Corps History Essay
 
Session 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf Deployments
Session 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf DeploymentsSession 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf Deployments
Session 7 - Gimblett - RAN K-H 2009 - Gulf Deployments
 
OEE Red Diamond AUG16
OEE Red Diamond AUG16OEE Red Diamond AUG16
OEE Red Diamond AUG16
 
Knudson bmd overivew
Knudson bmd overivewKnudson bmd overivew
Knudson bmd overivew
 
Seminar report
Seminar reportSeminar report
Seminar report
 
Stealth Planes
Stealth PlanesStealth Planes
Stealth Planes
 

Último

The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptxThe basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
heathfieldcps1
 
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functionsSalient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
KarakKing
 

Último (20)

Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
 
On_Translating_a_Tamil_Poem_by_A_K_Ramanujan.pptx
On_Translating_a_Tamil_Poem_by_A_K_Ramanujan.pptxOn_Translating_a_Tamil_Poem_by_A_K_Ramanujan.pptx
On_Translating_a_Tamil_Poem_by_A_K_Ramanujan.pptx
 
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning ExhibitSociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
 
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan FellowsOn National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
 
Single or Multiple melodic lines structure
Single or Multiple melodic lines structureSingle or Multiple melodic lines structure
Single or Multiple melodic lines structure
 
COMMUNICATING NEGATIVE NEWS - APPROACHES .pptx
COMMUNICATING NEGATIVE NEWS - APPROACHES .pptxCOMMUNICATING NEGATIVE NEWS - APPROACHES .pptx
COMMUNICATING NEGATIVE NEWS - APPROACHES .pptx
 
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
 
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptxTowards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
 
How to setup Pycharm environment for Odoo 17.pptx
How to setup Pycharm environment for Odoo 17.pptxHow to setup Pycharm environment for Odoo 17.pptx
How to setup Pycharm environment for Odoo 17.pptx
 
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
 
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
 
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
 
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
 
How to Add New Custom Addons Path in Odoo 17
How to Add New Custom Addons Path in Odoo 17How to Add New Custom Addons Path in Odoo 17
How to Add New Custom Addons Path in Odoo 17
 
80 ĐỀ THI THỬ TUYỂN SINH TIẾNG ANH VÀO 10 SỞ GD – ĐT THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINH NĂ...
80 ĐỀ THI THỬ TUYỂN SINH TIẾNG ANH VÀO 10 SỞ GD – ĐT THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINH NĂ...80 ĐỀ THI THỬ TUYỂN SINH TIẾNG ANH VÀO 10 SỞ GD – ĐT THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINH NĂ...
80 ĐỀ THI THỬ TUYỂN SINH TIẾNG ANH VÀO 10 SỞ GD – ĐT THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINH NĂ...
 
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptxThe basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
 
HMCS Vancouver Pre-Deployment Brief - May 2024 (Web Version).pptx
HMCS Vancouver Pre-Deployment Brief - May 2024 (Web Version).pptxHMCS Vancouver Pre-Deployment Brief - May 2024 (Web Version).pptx
HMCS Vancouver Pre-Deployment Brief - May 2024 (Web Version).pptx
 
Plant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptx
Plant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptxPlant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptx
Plant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptx
 
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functionsSalient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
 
TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...
TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...
TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...
 

Strategic Requirement for FW MPA

  • 1. Is there a strategic requirement for a fixed-wing, long range, maritime patrol aircraft? i
  • 2. Synopsis The purpose of this document is to ascertain whether or not there is scope for further research into the subject: “Is there a strategic requirement for a fixed-wing, long range, maritime patrol aircraft?” In 2010, the British Ministry of Defence elected to cancel the contract for the Nimrod MR2 replacement, and as such ended a project that had been in production for over 10 years. £3.6 billion had already been spent on the project, and none of that money would have been returned to the Treasury upon the project cancellation. This report will lay down some arguments for and against the cancellation of the Nimrod MRA 4, discussing whether or not the Ministry of Defence will be able to conduct its elected tasks without such a maritime presence. The Strategic Defence Review’s of 1998 and 2010 will be compared to try and ascertain what has changed over this period. The UK’s abilities to defend its interests at home and overseas will be researched, with particular interest to those roles the Nimrod force covered and could have developed in the future. The content contained in this document will be weighted towards roles in which the MR2 fleet operated, and the expected abilities of the MRA 4. Other maritime patrol aircraft are available for purchase, such as the P-3C Orion, however these capabilities will not be discussed, so as to keep this report subjective and as detailed as possible due to the long standing argument and stream of “experts” offering their viewpoints over the cancellation of the Nimrod MRA 4. ii
  • 3. Contents Is there a strategic requirement for a fixed-wing, long range, maritime patrol aircraft? ....................... i Synopsis .............................................................................................................................................. ii Nimrod MRA 4 Timeline ...................................................................................................................... 1 1998 SDR – Modern Forces for the Modern World ............................................................................ 2 2010 SDSR – Securing Britain in an Age of Uncertainty ...................................................................... 3 Roles and Required Equipment .......................................................................................................... 5 Anti-Submarine Warfare ................................................................................................................. 5 Anti-Surface Unit Warfare .............................................................................................................. 7 Overland Operations ....................................................................................................................... 7 Search and Rescue .......................................................................................................................... 8 Communications ............................................................................................................................. 9 Post 2010 SDSR – Select Committee on Defence ............................................................................... 9 Costs of a Maritime Patrol Aircraft vs Other Options ....................................................................... 12 Type 26 Frigate.............................................................................................................................. 12 Merlin ............................................................................................................................................ 12 SOSUS ............................................................................................................................................ 13 What is the threat? ........................................................................................................................... 13 Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................... 14 References ........................................................................................................................................ 16 Bibliography .......................................................................................................................................... 18 Table of Figures ..................................................................................................................................... 19 iii
  • 4. Nimrod MRA 4 Timeline In the November of 1992, the requirement for a replacement maritime patrol aircraft, one to supersede the Nimrod MR2, was endorsed, and a data gathering phase was authorised. In the January of 1995, 4 companies submitted proposals for this replacement aircraft, BAE Systems being the winning bidder on the 25th July 1996. The initial plan was for 21 Nimrod MRA4 aircraft, along with all the training and support, which would be delivered between 2001 and 2006. “Technical and resourcing difficulties” (Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft) meant that during 1998 the project was delayed, by approximately 3 years. In February 2003, BAE and the MoD came to an agreement over the contract to the effect that the initial requirement was changed so that the 3 development aircraft would be built, and upon the proven maturity through flight trials, the contract for production would be awarded. (Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft) December 2003, the Defence White Paper reduced the Nimrod MR2 fleet from 21 to 16 and the MRA 4 fleet was reduced to “about 12”. Production slowed as the development aircraft went through the flight testing phase. 5 further delays pushed the in service date further and further back until, in 2009, an announcement was made which brought forward the MR2 out of service date. Finally, under the SDSR of 2010, the Nimrod MRA4 program was cancelled. No direct replacement was planned, the “slack” left by the MRA 4, instead the plan is to “...depend on other maritime assets to contribute to the tasks previously planned for them [MRA4]” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 2010). 1
  • 5. Figure 1 - Nimrod MRA4 - £3.6 billion 1998 SDR – Modern Forces for the Modern World In the July of 1998, while the Nimrod MRA 4 programme was approaching another delay, the Secretary of State for Defence released the latest Strategic Defence and Security Review. This document was to lay down how the MoD was to align itself to the perceived threats developing in the 21st Century and onwards to around 2015. The report laid down the Military Tasks in which the UK Forces could be expected to be employed, of interest are the following: (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998) Peacetime Security Security of the Overseas Territories Support to Wider British Interests Regional Conflict outside the NATO area Strategic Attack on NATO This list covers 5 of the 8 broad missions set down by the Government. But these 5 are roles which maritime patrol aircraft have been employed on, and could have been expected to in the future. Whereas some elements of the military are directed to specific tasks and have singular roles, the maritime forces have always been flexible and deployable to a wide range of theatres and operations. Nimrod crews over the past 30 years have fought in conflicts from the Falkland Islands, 2
  • 6. through the Cold War, and on to more recent conflicts in the Balkans, Iraq, Afghanistan and many more still covered by the official secrets acts. The 1998 SDR, however, was a turning point for the future of the Nimrod force. “The risks and challenges we face are not simply those of the Cold War...” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998), this forward thinking showed that the Government wasn’t expecting large scale battles such as had been thought throughout the Cold War period. “In part, it was because the scale of the risks involved in the Cold War obscured the potential importance of the newer style of security risks that were emerging.” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998). This gave the first official signs that we were expecting the Middle East and such states to be of military interest, no longer would be solely plan on fighting another major world power. Furthermore, and more specifically, “At sea, the emphasis is continuing to move away from large scale maritime warfare...” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998). This view showed that the battleground was no longer going to be the Atlantic Ocean, or areas such as this. But instead, the maritime battlefield would be within the littoral areas, probably within in 10 miles of the coastline. In relation directly to the subject of this report, there is a single mention of the Nimrod MRA 4 in the 1998 SDR: “The RAF’s modernised Nimrod maritime patrol aircraft... will provide a powerful extension of our anti-submarine (ASW) capability, including in shallower waters...” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 1998). Although there was little mention of the Nimrod fleets in this sizeable doctrine for the Armed Forces, there was little sign that the force could be expected to be removed completely. Was there a doctrinal change over the next 12 years that meant Nimrod was no longer required? Or was the removal of the capability purely down to cost and politics? 2010 SDSR – Securing Britain in an Age of Uncertainty By the time this document was published, the MRA 4 project was around 10 years late on its original in service date, and the MR2 had not flown for 7 months. The MoD had managed without a long 3
  • 7. range maritime patrol aircraft for a significant period, and as such it is unsurprising that the MRA 4 project was cancelled in this way. As is usual with a strategic document, the new Military Tasks were laid down, all 7 are listed here: (GOVERNMENT, HM, 2010) Defending the UK and its Overseas Territories Providing Strategic Intelligence Providing a Nuclear Deterrence Supporting Civil Emergency Organisations in times of crisis Defending our Interests by Projecting Power Strategically and through Expeditionary Interventions Providing a Defence Contribution to UK Influence Providing security for Stabilisation Again, looking over the past 30 years, it is possible to directly cross-reference Nimrod Operations with these 7 Military Tasks. In Nimrod, the UK Government had an asset that was flexible enough to fulfil all of these roles, to some extent at least. The 2010 SDSR describes how the maritime Future Force 2020 (i.e., force disposition in the year 2020), can be expected to operate. “Future Force 2020 will be able to provide: Nuclear Continuous at Sea Deterrence; Maritime defence of the UK and its South Atlantic Overseas Territories; An enduring presence within priority regions of the world to contribute conventional deterrence” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 2010) The list continues, however the three roles above were roles in which Nimrod was employed daily and also held on standby in case it was required. Crews regularly flew through the Christmas and New Year holidays whilst supporting the tasks listed above. 4
  • 8. What is the mitigation against such an apparent loss of capability? “Maritime intelligence, surveillance, target acquisition and reconnaissance (ISTAR) capabilities based on network enabled warships submarines and aircraft.” (GOVERNMENT, HM, 2010) This would leave the UK’s maritime force with 1 or 2 helicopter landing ships, 19 frigates and destroyers, 7 attack submarines, 4 ballistic missile submarines, and their fleet Merlin helicopters. The smallest navy ever to be fielded by the Royal Navy. (KIRKUP, Thomas Harding and James, 2010) Roles and Required Equipment Although the Nimrod MR2 fleet of aircraft conducting a wide selection of roles and responsibilities, they can be summed up into a small list of over-arching headings: Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) Anti-Surface Unit Warfare (ASuW) Overland Search and Rescue (SAR) These 4 roles cover essentially all the operations and tasks that the Nimrod fleet could be expected to participate in. We will look at each role and equipment required to conduct these roles. Anti-Submarine Warfare ASW was one of the first roles in which maritime air-assets were tasked. The advent of submarines in WW1 became such that ships were not able to sufficiently defend themselves against any kind of capable submarine threat. However submarines of this era “could stay underwater for 12 hours” (British Submarines 1900 to 1918). A submarine would only manage this if its batteries were completely charged and it stayed submerged until its batteries were depleted. Modern submarines will aim to surface when their batteries around 50-60% full, ensuring they’re always in a position to be tactically effective. 5
  • 9. With an apparent duration of 6 hours submerged, early submarines would regularly be found sailing on the surface, with this information it didn’t take long for Navy’s to start to employ long-range fixed-wing aircraft to give surface vessels warning of approaching submarines, or even to destroy those vessels before they became a threat. There are several sensors which can be employed to detect surfaced and submerged submarines: Radar can detect surfaced submarines by transmitting radio energy and receiving back an echo if a contact is within range, (Exactly how does radar work?) Electronic Support Measures (ESM) can detect an enemy transmitting on his radar, Passive Acoustic systems can hear noise being made by the submarines equipment and the noise of water on its hull, Active Acoustic systems work in a similar way to radar, except using wavelengths of noise energy rather than radio energy, Magnetic Anomaly Detectors are used to sense a disturbance in the earth’s magnetic field, a submarine will make a noticeable change to the level of magnetism which an aircraft can detect There are many more pieces of equipment that could assist in locating and tracking a submarine, but the 5 above are the most commonly used across all MPA fleets worldwide. 6
  • 10. Figure 2 - Various ASW MPA Sensors Anti-Surface Unit Warfare ASuW goes hand in hand with ASW. Submarines, in modern times, would usually operate with a friendly fleet of surface vessels, or against a fleet of enemy surface vessels. This means MPA are usually employed on both ASW and ASuW simultaneously. The main reason this can be accomplished is because the equipment used is very similar, and in ASuW it is a little simpler. Only radar and ESM tend to be used to conduct ASuW. Radar can detect contacts, and depending on the model of radar, provide some basic information such as target length and rough outline (warship, merchant, fishing boat etc). ESM would then be used to further identify contacts from the transmissions received by their radars. Overland Operations Overland operations are generally covered by the term ISTAR, (Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance), although ASW and ASuW are both ISTAR roles as well. Overland operations are generally those in support of conventional (Army/Marines etc) or special (SAS/SBS) forces. For the Nimrod MR2, overland operations in Iraq and Afghanistan involved the use of the Wescam MX-15 (Wescam MX-15) multi-spectral imaging sensor. This camera was fitted under one of the aircrafts wings and could be used to detect and track targets of interest. The ground commanders also had the capability to see Full Motion Video (FMV) by means of a downlink; this ensured that vital information wasn’t missed in translation from aircrew to group operatives. 7
  • 11. Figure 3 - Wescam Operators on the Nimrod MR2 Search and Rescue SAR was, in some ways, the most important part of the Nimrod MR2’s capability. It is difficult to quantify how many lives were saved by the Nimrod fleet in this role. On July 6th 1988, 61 people were saved when the oil platform “Piper Alpha” exploded, several Nimrod MR2 sorties were conducted as a SAR command platform providing control for the various rescue assets involved. Figure 4 - Piper Alpha 6th July 1988 One of the most important pieces of equipment carried by MPA in their SAR roles is the apparatus that they can deploy to those in need. Known in the UK inventory as the ASR (Air-Sea Rescue), various different styles of deployable dingy and supplies can be dropped from aircraft allowing survivors of an incident a much better chance of being rescued. The average human could survive for up to 90 minutes in the North Sea if provided with a standard survival suit (Hypothermia Prevention: 8
  • 12. Survival in Cold Water). This could be extended to several weeks with the equipment available in an ASR package. Communications Due to the long ranges MPA work at, and the amount of information they are likely to process, the most vital part of the aircraft is the communications suite. Upon detection of enemy submarine, enemy forces on the ground or survivor in the sea, it is vital that other parties are informed as quickly as possible. Modern MPA can be expected to have around 10 radios covering different frequency bands and agencies, as well as automatic data links which provide near real-time data transmission, cutting down on ambiguities of voice-communications and improving situational awareness. Post 2010 SDSR – Select Committee on Defence The 2010 SDSR brought out a lot of points for argument, not only the MRA 4 decision. Experts argued over the basis for keeping Tornado over Harrier, the requirement for the future carriers was in question, closure of bases was also unexpected. However in some ways, not keeping the MRA 4 appears to have been the most interesting, what is the point in having 2 carriers if you can’t protect them from enemy submarines and ships? In July 1988 the oil facility “Piper Alpha” caught fire and subsequently 167 people died. However much of this disaster was averted due to repeated Nimrod sorties which operated as on- scene commander for the rescue operation. The Nimrod crews organised helicopters and ships such that many people were saved. The Nimrod MR2 was also employed on operations in Iraq and Afghanistan in support of Multi-National brigades. Its sensor suite was upgraded so that crews were able to locate, monitor and track targets of interest throughout deserts and built up areas. This provided commanders at 9
  • 13. various levels with detailed information on enemy movements and threats to friendly forces without having to send troops into an area. “The MRA4 was not just a submarine-hunter; it was capable of a variety of roles from ship surveillance to search and rescue. It could act as a communications and disaster co-ordination platform and perhaps its most important role would have been as an ISTAR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance) platform in support of operations in Afghanistan.” (ROBERTSON, Dr Sue, 2011). Indeed, the potential of the MRA 4 as a platform was unmatched. The aircraft was built upon modular technologies allowing any current NATO weapon system to be employed from it, as well as future proofing it for future systems. As such the aircraft would have been able to be refitted for a specific task within a very short period, maintaining the flexibility shown by its predecessor the MR2. Dr Robertson, in her report, continues: "Loss of the capability offered by the Nimrod Maritime Reconnaissance and Attack Mk4 would have an adverse effect on the protection of the strategic nuclear deterrent, the provision of which is one of the Ministry of Defence's Standing Strategic Tasks.” (ROBERTSON, Dr Sue, 2011). The lack of a long range anti-submarine aircraft would mean that the UK nuclear deterrent, aboard Vanguard submarines, would have to operate by themselves in areas also patrolled by many nations’ submarines. It would be very difficult for the Vanguard class boats to be able to detect another submarine if it was being followed, and near impossible for them to do anything about it. There seems to be little point of having a nuclear deterrent if the enemy can neutralize it easily. In regard to the roles of the MRA 4 and the Governments plans to mitigate the capability gap, Dr Robertson produced the table below: (ROBERTSON, Dr Sue, 2011) 10
  • 14. THE ROLES OF THE NIMROD Asset Nimrod MRA4 Merlin Mk1 Type 23 C130 Task Submarine Detection Yes—6000nm range with 15 Yes—200 nm range with 90 Yes No (ASW) hour mission time minute mission time Shipping Surveillance Yes—to 260nm at 40,000 ft Limited Sensors No Limited—no adequate sensors Fleet Protection Yes Yes Limited Limited—no adequate sensors range ISTAR (Support of Troops in Yes No No No Afghanistan) ELINT data gathering Yes No No No Counter-terrorism Yes No No Perhaps Weapons deployment Yes Yes Yes Yes? Search & Rescue Yes—2400nm range for three Limited—300 nm range with No Limited—600 nm range with hours search one hour search two hours search Emergency Communications Yes No No Yes Overseas Maritime Patrol Yes No No No Counter-pirate operations Yes No No No Protection of Trident Yes Limited range Limited No Submarines range Protection of Future Carriers? Yes Limited range Limited No range Although the report is undoubtedly biased, its remarks on the capabilities area accurate and ring true. The Mk1 Merlin is the easiest platform to compare to the Nimrod when it comes to anti- submarine and surface ship warfare. Although the Merlin has a small fraction of the capability from its equipment, not to mention a vastly reduced range and endurance. This is mitigated somewhat by deploying Merlin onto the ships at sea so they can be refuelled and deployed several times, whereas a fixed-wing aircraft requires a large support network at a well established base. The Type 23 frigate is the UK’s anti-submarine ship. There are around 13 in operation in the Royal Navy. Although it has an excellent suite of ASW sensors, it cannot do a vast range of other tasks to which Nimrod was suited. The Royal Navy could not operate as it does without its fleet of T23’s, however they are equipped for a specific role and can do little else. Finally, the C-130. Some Government officials thought that since the Hercules transport aircraft could open its cargo doors in flight it would be able to deploy some Search and Rescue apparatus to those requiring them. However, the C-130 has neither the communications suite nor sensors to co-ordinate a rescue or indeed find those in need of rescue. Its poor range when compared to the MRA 4 shows how it is a 11
  • 15. poor asset for such a role, upon talking to some C-130 crewmen, it is doubtful that they could drop SAR equipment accurately enough to be of any use. Costs of a Maritime Patrol Aircraft vs. Other Options The estimated cost of the MRA4 fleet was £200 million per year, this figure is reached from a plan to “save over £2 billion over the next ten years” (COMMITTEE, House of Commons Defence, 2011). If we transpose these costs onto the other 2 main ASW units, then we can see how much value 9 Nimrod MRA4 Maritime Patrol Aircraft were likely to be. Type 26 Frigate The Type 26 Frigate (Now possibly named the Global Combat Ship) is the future replacement for the current Type 23. It is expected to start coming into service in 2020, and will replace the Type 23 on a one-for-one basis. As they have not yet been built, any savings on the MRA4 could easily be used to keep more frigates operating. Currently, the Royal Navy has 13 Type 23 Frigates, their costs for FY 08/09 were £340.3 million, and for FY 09/10 £313.8 million, (Type 23 Frigate). With these costs in mind, and ignoring build costs, the RN could operate an extra 8 Type 26 Frigates purely within the costs saved by not introducing the MRA4 into service. Merlin Due to the complexity of a modern helicopter, and the requirement to strip the mechanical elements frequently for servicing, it is unlikely that more Merlin ASW helicopters would be an option to replace the MRA4. According to thinkdefence.co.uk, the operating cost of a Merlin helicopter is £28,000 per hour (The future of the RAF - Page 18), comparing this to an answer to a parliamentary question, Nimrod MR2 cost £30,000 per hour (WINTERTON, Richard). Even with some padding added to cover extra costs we could expect to incur for a more modern MRA4, It is doubtful that more than 12-15 Merlins could be employed within the Nimrod cost saving. 12
  • 16. SOSUS SOSUS (Sound Surveillance System) has been employed for many decades as a permanent under- water acoustic detection system. Fields of sensors are deployed at strategically important chokepoints, which are monitored by a UK/US partnership. The system is used as an early warning system, and can queue other assets into an area so that more accurate tracking of a potentially hostile submarine can be achieved. The SOSUS system was classified until 1991, and is now also used by civilian agencies. Figure 5 - Example of Theoretical SOSUS placements SOSUS is being phased out as an option for ASW, and as such is being replaced by surface vessels, meaning the MRA4 problem has been heightened. What is the threat? There are many countries procuring submarines in various different roles, from coastal insertion of Special Forces, through open ocean maritime warfare and even nuclear deterrence. The Russian Navy has around 50 operational submarines, although it is unlikely that they could all deploy simultaneously, the weapons on some of them have world-wide reach. 13
  • 17. Figure 6 - 33 Russian Submarines in Port At last count the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy had 63 active submarines, including at least 10 home-built nuclear subs. Argentina is in the process of purchasing several of the latest generation diesel electric submarines from France, and is investigation converting some to be nuclear powered. Submarines are no longer the machine of the modern military either; drug gangs of South America have been seen to employ semi and fully submersible vessels for the purposes of transporting drugs to mainland USA. (BBC NEWS, 2011). Perhaps more worrying than the military potential of submarines, is their ability to locate and hack into communication cables. Several systems connect Europe and the United States which utilise transatlantic fibre-optic connections (Transatlantic Telecommunications Cables). SDSR 2010 identified that Cyber Warfare is one of the greatest threats that we are facing within the UK theatre. Conclusion The arguments appear to be weighted; many agree that there is a requirement for a long-range maritime patrol aircraft. However, there is more research needed into whether or not those assets assigned to the roles traditionally covered by the Nimrod force can cover those roles sufficiently. Without considering the financial aspect, assuming the defence of the nation and its dependencies are more important than international aid etc, perhaps the role of maritime patrol is now suited to platforms fitted for specific roles, rather than a single platform which can do lots of tasks. Nimrod could have been a victim of its own fame, by appearing to not be a vital unit in any one area; it appears to have watered down its skill base by covering many roles. 14
  • 18. In answer to the question posed, I would say there is a massive gap in requirement and capability when it comes to Maritime Warfare. The area covered by 13 Frigates and their associated Merlins is minute when compared to the whole area of operations (North Sea/North Atlantic). There can be little doubt that the effectiveness of the RN to be able to defend against National maritime threats has been severely reduced by the removal of the Nimrod MRA4 from introduction. However, there is an argument that the MRA4 was too costly and the wrong asset for the requirement. A smaller aircraft such as the Casa C-295M would have much lower running costs, but with modern equipment would give similar capability in the maritime environment to the MRA4. An airframe such as this is also modular so could be refitted for different tasks such as transport or medivac. 15
  • 19. References BBC NEWS. 2011. Drug submarine seized by Colombian navy. London. British Submarines 1900 to 1918. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.historylearningsite.co.uk/british_submarines_1900_to_.htm> COMMITTEE, House of Commons Defence. 2011. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security Strategy. London. Exactly how does radar work? [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/doppler/how.htm> FOX, Dr Liam. 2010. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security Strategy - Defence Committee - SDSR. GOVERNMENT, HM. 1998. Strategic Defence Review: Modern Forces for the Modern World. GOVERNMENT, HM. 2010. Securing Britian in an Age of Uncertainty: The Strategic Defence and Security Review. GUSTIN, Emmanuel. UK Radars. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.uboat.net/allies/technical/uk_radars.htm> HOON, Rt Hon Geoff. 2003. Delivery Security in a Changing World - Defence White Paper. Hypothermia Prevention: Survival in Cold Water. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.seagrant.umn.edu/coastal_communities/hypothermia> KIRKUP, Thomas Harding and James. 2010. Navy to reduce to smallest size ever to save carriers. [online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/8049674/Navy-to-reduce-to-smallest-size- ever-to-save-carriers.html> Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft. [online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/europe/nimrod_mra4.htm> ROBERTSON, Dr Sue. 2011. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security Strategy - Defence Committee - Written Evidence from Dr Sue Robertson. SELECT COMMITTEE ON DEFENCE. 2002. Memorandum from the Ministry of Defence on Major Procurement Project Survey (March 2002). The future of the RAF - Page 18. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.thinkdefence.co.uk/2011/04/the-future-of-the-raf-18-%E2%80%93-vertical-lift-03-a- sensible-future/> Transatlantic Telecommunications Cables. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transatlantic_telecommunications_cable> 16
  • 20. Type 23 Frigate. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_23_frigate#Running_costs> Wescam MX-15. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www2.l- 3com.com/wescam/products/products_services_1g.asp> WINTERTON, Richard. Money down the Drain. [online]. [Accessed 25 Nov 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://defenceoftherealm.blogspot.com/2007/11/money-down-drain.html> 17
  • 21. Bibliography FOX, Dr Liam. 2010. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security Strategy - Defence Committee - SDSR. GOVERNMENT, HM. 1998. Strategic Defence Review: Modern Forces for the Modern World. GOVERNMENT, HM. 2010. Securing Britian in an Age of Uncertainty: The Strategic Defence and Security Review. HOON, Rt Hon Geoff. 2003. Delivery Security in a Changing World - Defence White Paper. KIRKUP, Thomas Harding and James. 2010. Navy to reduce to smallest size ever to save carriers. [online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/8049674/Navy-to-reduce-to-smallest-size- ever-to-save-carriers.html> Nimrod MRA4 Replacement Maritime Patrol Aircraft. [online]. [Accessed 22 Aug 2011]. Available from World Wide Web: <http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/europe/nimrod_mra4.htm> ROBERTSON, Dr Sue. 2011. The Strategic Defence and Security Review and the National Security Strategy - Defence Committee - Written Evidence from Dr Sue Robertson. SELECT COMMITTEE ON DEFENCE. 2002. Memorandum from the Ministry of Defence on Major Procurement Project Survey (March 2002). 18
  • 22. Table of Figures Figure 1 - Nimrod MRA4 - £3.6 billion .................................................................................................... 2 Figure 2 - Various ASW MPA Sensors ..................................................................................................... 7 Figure 3 - Wescam Operators on the Nimrod MR2 ................................................................................ 8 Figure 4 - Piper Alpha 6th July 1988 ....................................................................................................... 8 Figure 5 - Example of Theoretical SOSUS placements .......................................................................... 13 Figure 6 - 33 Rusian Submarines in Port ............................................................................................... 14 19