A “back of the envelope“ analysis of how many more adverse events could potentially be reported via online communities
All calculations done on the example of Copaxone patients within patientslikeme
1. Impact of social media on adverse event reporting
Example: Potential Copaxone AE cases on patientslikeme
By SiljaChouquet
Owner and managing director of whydot
Basel, April 21st, 2009
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2. Capturing AEs via online communities will help to
increase patient safety
Patientlikeme rationale for reporting AEs
Definition of Adverse Event (AE)
“Patients like you are becoming more and
An adverse event is any undesirable
experience associated with the use of a more influential in their treatment decisions. No
medical product in a patient. The event is longer are you simply consumers of
serious and should be reported when the pharmaceuticals and medical products, you
patient outcome is: are customers. In this emerging world, you
•Death have become better educated about your
•Life-Threatening treatment options, the risk and benefits of
•Hospitalization (initial or prolonged) different treatments, and your overall quality of
•Disability health. Now you have the opportunity to tell
•Congenital Anomaly. the FDA if you’ve had an adverse event.”
•Requires Intervention to Prevent
Permanent Impairment or Damage David S. Williams III
Founding Executive, Marketing and Business
Development
Patientslikeme
• FDA estimates that AEs are currently under reported with only 10% of serious and
2-4% of non-serious AEs getting captured
Is the systematic reporting of AEs via online communities going to improve
the amount and quality of cases reported?
Source: www.fda.gov,, http://blog.patientslikeme.com/2009/04/15/patientslikeme-offers-adverse-event-reporting-for-ms-patients/
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
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3. Copaxone number one MS treatment on patientslikeme
Top 5 prescription drugs in patientslikeme MS community
n= number of patients
Copaxone 2129
Baclofen 1413
Gabapentin 903
Avonex 820
Provigil 757
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Therefore, used Copaxone as example to analyze impact on number
and type of potential AEs
Source: http://www.patientslikeme.com/multiple-sclerosis/treatments/
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
4. Majority of Copaxone AE cases in FDA database
have been reported by patients
Example
63% of AE cases Copaxone
are
# of Copaxone cases reported in FDA database by …
currentlyreported
by patients N= 2854
2000 1788
1500
# of Cases
822
1000
500
110
100 89
38 12 4
3
0
Representative
Professional
Study
Literature
User Facility
Distributor
Other
Consumer
Foreign
Company
Health
Source: fdablecopaxone AE report
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
5. Currently patients report mainly via pharma and HCPs
HCPs
HCPsreport AEs on
a voluntary* basis
to the appropriate
source, most often
regulatory responsibility for
Patient the manufacturer.
ensuring the safety of all
marketed medical products.
Patient experiences
adverse event
(AEs)
Pharma
Source:http://www.fda.gov/medwatch/articles/medcont/postrep.htm#und *Note: AE reporting by an individual Healthcare
professional is voluntary, except for specified vaccines **as well as distributors of FDA approved pharmaceuticals (drugs and
biologics) and medical devices, plus pharmaceutical packers and device user facilities
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
5
6. Patientslikeme opens up a new “AE reporting channel”
for patients
Will FDA require
pharma to
collaboratewith site on
AE reporting?
How
HCPs
willphysiciansreact to
patients
reportingAEs?
Patient Pharma
Patient experiences
adverse event (AEs)
helps patients submit treatment-
related AEs directly to the FDA
through their site.
Source: http://blog.patientslikeme.com/2009/04/15/patientslikeme-offers-adverse-event-reporting-for-ms-patients/
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
6
7. Patientslikeme has more patients on Copaxone
than the product’s label data
Number of patients on Copaxone Example
(glatiramer acetate) Copaxone
2129
Patientslikeme 1601 528
Discont’d
Currently treated
Label 900
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
• AEs in Copaxone label based on data from 900 patients, but 2129
patientslikeme members have taken the product
Will the data captured in patientslikeme impact the current label?
Source: http://www.patientslikeme.com/multiple-sclerosis/treatments/show/823-copaxone, Copaxonelable,
http://www.fda.gov/medwatch/articles/medcont/postrep.htm#und
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
8. Potentially, reporting via patientslikeme could
increase AE cases by up to 23% for Copaxone
Number of Copaxone (glatiramer acetate) AE cases Example
Copaxone
4000
3521
3500
484-667* potential
additional AE cases=
3000
17-23%* increase
2500
Patientslikeme
2000
Moderate SE on treatment
1500 2854
Severe SE on treatment
1000
Discontinuation due to sever SE
500
0 Current FDA database
Number of Adverse events
How is a sudden 23% increase of AE cases going to be perceived by FDA?
Source: http://www.patientslikeme.com/multiple-sclerosis/treatments/show/823-copaxone, Copaxonelable,
http://www.fda.gov/medwatch/articles/medcont/postrep.htm#und *Note: not sure whether discontinued patients were counted in
side-effect analysis
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
9. A potential 7% increase of cases could come from
patients thatdiscontinuedtreatment due to severeSEs
Example
Copaxone
2129
•Currently, 2854 CopaxonerelatedAEs have been reported to FDA
•36% or 198 of Copaxone patients on patientslikemediscontinued due to
severesideeffects, representing a potential 7% increase in reportable AEs
Source: http://www.patientslikeme.com/multiple-sclerosis/treatments/show/823-copaxone, Copaxonelable,
http://www.fda.gov/medwatch/articles/medcont/postrep.htm#und
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
10. Another 16% increase of AEs could come from severe
and moderate side-effects reported by patients
Example
Copaxone
Side effects captured by patients in
patientslikeme community
• 22% of Copaxonepatientslikeme
members report severe or
moderate side-effects
• If severe side-effects can be seen
as a proxy for serious AEs, while
moderate side-effects can be taken
as a proxy for non-serious AEs
•Please note that only 299 out of 2129 patients on Copaxone within patientslikeme
community chose to disclose details about their side effects, percentages were
then applied to entire Copaxonepatientlikeme population
Source: http://www.patientslikeme.com/multiple-sclerosis/treatments/show/823-copaxone, Copaxonelable,
http://www.fda.gov/medwatch/articles/medcont/postrep.htm#und
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
10
11. Open questions on impact
• Under reporting: Actual increase in AE cases reported dependent on
transformation rate of severe and moderate side-effects to a reported AE.
How many AE cases will patients report, especially the non-serious ones?
• Biases: patientlikeme population might not be representative of total patient
population
Are inherent biases in patientlikeme population (ie. Age, educational level
etc.) likely to skew the AE reported?
• Clinical impact: new AE cases reported might reveal new or more reactions
than currently captured
Will increase of AE cases have an impact on Copaxone current label?
Are patients going to report reactions currently not part of label?
Are they going to report more on certain reactions vs. others?
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
12. What does this mean for pharma?
• For right now, only one social media online community is reporting AEs, but
many more will follow, if patientslikeme pilot is successful
Set up social media monitoring now to find out about side-effects and
AEs discussed online
• If large number of online communities start to report AEs, FDA might turn to
Pharma to
• check AEs for accuracy and quality as it done for HCPs reported events
• evaluate impact and need for follow up studies
Be proactive and start setting up processes to deal with FDA request
Get data on how many of your patients are active in online
communities and what the potential impact could be
Talk to online communities and FDA about potential implications of
patient-driven AE reporting
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com
13. Contact
SiljaChouquet
Owner and managing director of whydot GmbH
Bloggerwhydotpharma
E-mail: siljachouquet@whydot.net
whydotpharma presentation – www.whydotpharma.com