1. Tipping on the Edge of Chaos

2. Prevent

3. Environmental collapse

4. Economic collapse

5. Gross World Product, 1950-2009
1950-
Bright Economic Future…?

6. The global economy has
grown nearly 10-fold with
103% annual growth rate
Gross World Product, 1950-2009
1950-

7. Extrapolation of Illustr
lustrious economic past
into a promising future

8. Economy is destroying its natural supports
ing

9. Economy is destroying its natural supports
In fact we are ing
running up against

10. LIMITS

11. Aquifers

12. Soils

13. Fisheries

14. Forests

15. Atmosphere

16. Our Collective Demand

17. Overshooting

18. What Nature can provide

20. How
Ho can we assume
that
tha the growth of an
economic system that
eco
is destroying its
environmental
supports can simply be
sup
projected into the
LongLong-term future?

21. Gathering Storm

22. threatens

23. Civilization

24. Economic

25. Political

26. How
Ho can we assume
that
tha the growth of an
economic system that
eco
is destroying its
environmental
supports can simply be
sup
projected into the
LongLong-term future?

29. Indicator

30. WATCH

31. Food Prices

32. Hunger Rates
SOCIAL

33. POLITICAL

34. Sensing these INDICATORS
POLITICAL

35. How close we are to the ED OUR CIVILIZATION?
EDGE

36. 1. Rising FOOD PRICES ( ECONOMIC)
2. Rising HUNGER RATES ( SOCIAL)
3. Rising in NUMBERS OF FALLING
STATES (POLITICAL)
HOW CLOSE we are to the EDGE of
OUR CIVILIZATION

37. Our Global Food Situation

38. Precarious

39. Our Demand for FOOD

41. World population is
INCREASING by 80 MILLION
annually

42. Population Pressures
continues…

43. Population Pressures
continues…
World Population, 1950-2008,
1950with Projections to 2050
12
11
10
Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org
9
Billions
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1950
1970
1990
2010
Source: UNPop
2030
2050

45. World population is
Expanding
INCREASING by 80 MILLION
annually

49. SUV’s tank could take up
25-gallons of Ethanol
25-

50. That can feed one
person for an
entire year!

51. Rising price of oil has
made it
PROFITABLE to
turn
GRAIN
into
FUEL!

52. FOOD Supply

53. Tightening..

54. Growth in CROP yields – SLOWING!

55. Industrialization

56. Eroding Soils
Expanding DESERTS

57. Deforestation

58. AQUIFERS being OVER PUMPED

59. EXTREME WEATHER events

60. Threatens HARVEST

61. in Crop Yields Slowing
Growth in Crop Yields Slowing

63. Climate

64. Average Global Temperature and Atmospheric Carbon
ture
Dioxide Concentrations (1880-2010)
188014.8
400
Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org
380
14.4
360
Temperature
14.2
340
14.0
320
13.8
300
CO2
13.6
13.4
1880
280
260
1900
1920
1940
1960
1980
Source: NASA GISS; NOAA ESRL; Worldwatch
2000
Atmospheric CO2 (ppm)
Temperature (degrees Celsius)
14.6

65. As temperatures rise,
glaciers and ice sheets
melt, causing sea level
o rise
Current trajectory is alread
Cu
outpacing projection

66. 1° C
For every
rise i temperature above
ise in
the optimum level during the growing
season

67. Yields of wheat, rice, and corn drop by
10 % (percent)

68. Climate change threate food security and
eatens
could eventually create hundreds of millions
ate
of climate refugees.

69. Time to Think

70. Time to Think

71. Time to Think

72. No one knows for sure when it will be too
late to address the trends of decline in
he t
Natural Resources to avoid collapse

73. Business as usual is NOT working.

74. How to GO about it?

79. STABALIZE
POPOULATION

80. ERADICATE
POVERTY

81. RESTORE EARTH’s NATURAL
SUPPORT SYSTEMS

82. STABALIZE CLIMATE

83. STABALIZE
POPOULATION

84. Universal Basic & Reproductive health
Re
care and family planning services

85. ERADICATE
POVERTY

86. Basic Education program & Total
Fertility rates Efforts to eliminate
poverty and slow population growth
w po
always reinforce each other

87. RESTORE EARTH’s NATURAL
SUPPORT SYSTEMS

88. Planting Trees

89. Protecting Topsoil on cropland

90. Restoring Rangelands

91. Stabilizing Water Levels

92. Protecting the Climate

94. Reduce CO2 Emissions

95. Energy efficient
Transportation System

96. Alternative Renewable Sources

97. Energy Efficient Buildings

98. Appliances Efficiency

103. Energy Efficiency Measures
Improving Building Insulation & Lightings
Improving Appliances efficiency
Improving Industrial Efficiency
Restructuring Transportation

104. Above all

106. Mind Set

107. “What is ESSENTIAL is NOT
always visible to the eye”

108. We need to ramp our
RENEUABLES

109. Wind

110. Solar

111. Geo Thermal
hermal

112. NO Fossil Fuel

113. World Electricity Generation by Source in 2008 and in
tion
the Economy of 2020

114. Adopting less-intensive farming and
lessland management practices

115. Carbon Dioxide Emiss
issions Reduction Std.

117. Tax what you burn, not what you earn
rn, n

118. Raise Tax on Carbon Emission

119. Shift from Labor to Energy Taxes

120. Less CO2 and more Jobs

121. Redefine Security

122. Introspection

125. Preventing environmental and economic collapse
requires political action from all of us in order to
effect broad social change

127. Wait and Watch the disaster ahead

128. Be the generation that changes
direction, moving the world onto a
path of sustained progress?

129. The choice is ours. It will be made
by our generation, but it will
affect life on earth for all
generations to come