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Predicting the Future using
Deep Adversarial Networks
Soumith Chintala
Facebook AI Research
Learning With No Labeled Data
Overview
of the talk
• The problem at hand
• What are the benefits?
• How did we solve it
• What have we achieved
• What’s left?
You are here
You are here
Walk here!
Route 1
Route 2
Route 3
Let’s Train a Route Generator
Route Generator
Training
Data
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Route
Generator
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Route
Generator
noise
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Route
Generator
noise Route
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Route
Generator
noise Route Optimizer
Training
Data
Loss: MSE
Route Generator
Training
Data
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Eh?
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Eh?
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Eh? Eh?
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Eh? Eh? Eh?
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Eh? Eh? Eh? Eh?
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Eh? Eh? Eh? Eh? Eh?
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Problem!

Converges to the mean
of training samples
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Which is not a valid route!
Problem!

Converges to the mean
of training samples
Linear Regressor with
Mean-square Error
Route Generator
Let’s try again!
Linear Regressor with
Route Validator
Route Generator
Route
Generator
noise
Route Optimizer
Training
Data
Loss: MSEpoints
Route Generator
Route
Generator
Route Optimizer
Training
Data
Loss:
Valid Route
Linear Regressor with
Route Validator
noise
points
Route Generator
Route
Generator
Route Optimizer
Training
Data
Loss:
Valid Route
Linear Regressor with
Route Validator
noise
points
Route Generator
Route
Generator
Route Optimizer
Training
Data
Loss:
Valid Route
Linear Regressor with
Route Validator
????
noise
points
Generator
Generator Sample Optimizer
Training
Data
Loss:
Looks Real????
noise
points
Generator
Generatornoise Sample Optimizer
Training
Data
Loss:
Looks Real
Generator
Generatornoise Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Learnt Real/Fake
Cost function
Discriminator
Generator
Generatornoise Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Neural Net
Discriminator
Neural Net
Generator
Generatornoise Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Discriminator
Trained via Gradient Descent
Generator
Generatornoise Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Discriminator
Optimizing to fool D
Generator
Generatornoise Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Discriminator
Optimizing to not get fooled by G
Route 4
Route Crazy!
Route Crazy! But valid.
Generator
Generator
noise
Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Discriminator
Optimizing to not get fooled by G
class
Generator
Generatornoise Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Discriminator
Optimizing to not get fooled by G
Generator
Generatornoise Sample
Classification
Loss
Training
Data
Discriminator
Optimizing to not get fooled by G
MSE
Loss
Uses
• Unsupervised Learning
• Learn when there’s little labeled data
• Planning
• Look-ahead to take better decisions

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Soumith Chintala, Artificial Intelligence Research Engineer, Facebook at MLconf NYC - 4/15/16