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Why forecasting?
● Agency’s profitability
● Client churn
● The need for a larger marketing budget & a larger
sales team
● Well selected clients result in clients that remain
for much longer
Client
selection criteria
General criteria:
● Agency capacity
● Budget
● Conflicts of interest
● Industry specialism
We add into this mix:
● Ethics
● Business case (forecasting)
● Objectives
● Viability
● Chemistry
When to forecast?
● Forecasting. After month three, four or five of a campaign
● Business case stress testing. As part of the qualification
process
How we stress test
a business case?
● 10.000 organic hits/month. 3% CR. 450 leads/year.
● Secondary CR: 25%. 112.5 new clients/year.
● Profit /new client: £3000 & £337,500 / campaign / year
● Annual cost of the campaign (to the client): £108,000
● Campaign profit (for the client): £229,500
● When we know there are thousands of good keywords
● Wargaming the scenario
● When there is a competitive field or a small number of
keywords to target
Additional fail safes:
When to set KPIs:
● Month 3, 4 or 5 of a campaign.
● Potential arbitrary checks
Setting the
campaign budget
Pitfalls of manual forecasting
● Lack of reliability
● Lack of effectiveness & dishonest
forecasts
● Time investment in building the models
Building reliable
forecasts
Forecasting checklist
● Intention
● Data
● Conservatism
● Traceability
● Accuracy
Creating the right
business proposal.
SEOmonitor.com
Business owners
need an output.
SEOmonitor.com
● How much value
can be created?
● Show and prove the
potential future
business results.
● Close the deal.
With the Google Ads Keyword Planner,
you can:
● Have a clear view on the data quality and accuracy.
● Do a forecast in minutes.
The process of getting
those ranks and how the
budgets are spent.
SEOmonitor’s
Forecasting
framework.
A reliable forecast will validate the
opportunity from two perspectives:
● Assess the client potential
● Evaluate the campaign’s budget and
ROI
Main controllable inputs:
● Keywords.
● Ranks.
A reliable SEO forecasting helps you:
● Understand the data modeling
● Explain it to your team and your stakeholders
Setting your
desired
ranking target
1
Keyword variables
influencing your
forecast
2
The average CTR curve.
SEOmonitor.com
Search volume, Year-over-Year trends,
and Seasonality.
SEOmonitor.com
SEOmonitor.com
Device Segmentation
SEOmonitor.com
Past Conversion
Rate
SEOmonitor.com
Long tail effect
SEOmonitor.com
Non-brand organic traffic
additional improvements
You’ll be able to:
● Validate the SEO opportunity and necessary budget
● Quantify the SEO efforts’ impact on a longer-term basis.
● Align expectations between sales, marketing, and other
stakeholders involved.
● Have confidence in the potential future outcomes.
SEOmonitor.com
George Box
“ “
All models are wrong
but some are useful
Go Up’s approach
to forecasting.
Client use case.
How To Forecast SEO With Better Precision & Transparency

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