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Sanjoy Sen - World Cards Conference - Key Note Presentation - Global Trends & Innovation in Cards & Payments - March 2012
1. Presented by:
Sanjoy Sen
Managing Director & Head of Consumer Bank – MENA
Innovation in Cards & Growth
Opportunities within the New
Generation Payment Systems
Presented at:
The World Cards and Payments Summit 2012
Dubai, 22-Feb-2012
2. Agenda
2
The State of the World
Conclusion
Drivers of Innovation
The Opportunity
The New Realities
3. State of the world – Change in customer behaviour
3
Increasing number of under-banked Rise of alternative lending
Write-offs remain high
Credit card write off as % of outstanding Projection
Deleveraging customers (UK)
Total lending (£bn) Adjusted growth rate
Source: Bank of England
Customers are deleveraging; write-offs remaining high. Tightening of
bank policies fosters the rise of alternative lenders such as payday lenders
4. State of the world – Change in the payment landscape
4
While payments continue to grow, debit growth is happening
at the expense of credit in an increasingly tightly regulated world
Payments still growing
Decline of Credit Cards Rise of debit
Tightened Regulation
Greater capital
requirements
Consumer
protection
Retail
ring fence
Interest rate /
pricing caps
Source: British Bankers’ Association (BBA), Mintel Debit and Credit Cards, July 2011
5. New Realities
5
Innovative new business models are emerging which could help banks to
sustain competitiveness as the payment and consumer credit markets open up
Credit card going through midlife crisis
Mobile payments will be common place
Mobile
payments
Mobile
banking
Mobile
marketing
Tipping point for digital transformation
P&L item Outlook Observation
+ interest, IC, fees
+ Interchange, fee
APR at all time
high, regulatory
pressure
- Cost of fund All time lows
- Cost of credit Depends on recovery
- Acquisition costs Intensified competition
- Operating Expense Regulation
Customers gearing up for easier switching
50%
35%
More than 1 banking relationshipLikely to switch bank
E&Y Survey among GCC customers
More than 1
banking relationship
Likely to
switch bank
Source: Ernst & Young, PWC
7. Payment Trends
7
Internet users (millions)
% population
1.1 1.3
1.7
2.3
3.2
3.8
4.4
30%
40%
49%
66%
72%
80%
2000 2006 2008 2010
31%
297 318
443
420
456 471
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
3 4 6 8
10
14 13 14 14 15
1
2
3
4
9 8
9 10
11
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012
Credit ($ bn)
Debit ex ATM($ bn)
A) Point-of-Sale (POS) B) Online Shopping
3.5 4
15
19 19
0.2 1
3
5
10
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F
Africa
Middle East
C) Mobile Payment D) Person-to-Person (P2P)
Growth across all channels; highest growth in online and mobile payments
8. What is the customer need?
8
Safety
Convenience
Credit
Rewards
Status
Having a Credit Card is NOT a customer need
9. Banks will stay
9
Banks move slowly and resist
disruption of their core business
Technology companies are likely to
develop work around solutions
Banks can be exposed
to full disintermediation
Banks cannot compromise on security,
reliability and reputation
Banks rarely have all systems / capabilities in place to compete in
this fast evolving markets. Acquisitions and partnerships are a way out.
10. Who is driving innovation?
Type and level of innovation
Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step Change
Market Player
Banks / Issuers
1
Processors
Technology providers4
Retailers2
Visa / MC3
New Entrants, Others5
Legend:
Very innovative Observing
10
Game changers will not come from existing players but from new entrants
11. Payroll Card
11
Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step
Change
An electronic payment
solution
An electronic account
which is pre-funded by a
corporate or government
client
Individuals receiving payments use the
prepaid card to draw on the funds
No credit allocation: simply a better way
to pay an individual
Not a bank account: beneficiary cannot
add funds to the card
Solution fully complies with the Wages
Protection System (WPS)
regulations in the UAE
Migration from credit to debit
What is it? Benefit
Market
Player
Issuer1
13. Gift Card / Loyalty Card
13
Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step
Change
Closed-loop / open-loop
Pre-Paid Card
Cards made for every occasion
No expiration date
No service or maintenance fees
What is it? Benefit
Market
Player
Retailer2
Closed loop Open loop
14. Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step
Change
Visa SimplyOne
14
A multi-application chip card
that combines Debit and Credit
in one Card
Similar to MasterCard Flex
Debit card issuers: Opportunity to
cross-sell a convenient and appealing
credit card
Consumers: One card
Retailers and businesses: Debit
customers have access to credit
What is it? Benefit
Market
Player
Visa / MC3
16. Mobile Innovations target each component of the retail
experience
16
Source: McKinsey
Mobile to generate demand, consummate
transactions and broadcast to social network
17. Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step
Change
Mobile Payments via Zong
Mobile payments service
for online games and social
networks
Allows Users to make
micro payment via
internet, if they have post
paid mobile phone
Payment solution for the unbanked –
added directly to customer’s mobile bill
No exchange of financial information
Only one-time PIN is provided via SMS
By-passes the banking system
17
What is it? Benefit
Market
Player
4 Tech
provider
18. Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step
Change
Mobile Credit Card POS with Square
18
Proprietary application
turns smart phones/tablets
(iPhone, Android, iPad) into
smart POS machines
Accept credit card payments anywhere
where internet / WIFI is available
Lower costs; easy set up
Eliminate needs for merchants
What is it? Benefit
Market
Player
4 Tech
provider
19. Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step
Change
PayPal
Easy and secure Internet
and Person-To-Person
(P2P) payments
No need to exchange credit card
numbers or account details
Solves the mistrust problem: Customer
gets promised goods and merchant
gets the promised money
Fast / instant, secure, easy, global
19
Pay Online
Shop for what you want
quickly and secure
Send Money
Send money to just about
anyone with an email
address
Get Paid
Accept online payments for
items you sell
What is it? Benefit
Market
Player
Tech
provider
4
20. Continuous,
Incremental
Game
changer
Step
Change
M-PESA
20
What is it? Benefit
Market
Player
5 New
entrant
Mobile P2P payment by
SafariCom (Vodafone Affiliate)
Vodafone partnered with
Citi Transaction Services for
international remittance
No bank account required, just a mobile
with SMS / text messaging capability
22. Leveraging Social Media
22
Earning trust, building relationships and empowering communities
Increase brand
awareness
Communicate
to customers
Understand
preferences /
needs
Listen to
complaints
Define
Objective
Social Networks,
Blogs, Micro
Blogs, Online
Videos, Widgets,
Product casts,
Financial Social
Networks
Examples
Live Chat
Define
Delivery Channel
23. Agenda
23
The State of the World
Conclusion
Drivers of Innovation
The Opportunity
The new realities
24. If Facebook was a nation
24
Banks have to think and act like a digital company
while retaining a strong focus on security and reliability
25. Conclusion
25
Safety
Convenience
Credit
Rewards
Status
Banks won’t go away, BUT …..
Customer needs:
Payment channels:
A) POS B) Online Shopping
C) Mobile Payment D) P2P
Watch out for new entrants and
disruptive innovations
Broaden digital capabilities
Create a platform for innovation
Get success through strategic
partnerships
Notas do Editor
Allow me to start with the changed customer behaviorTop left:Customers are deleveraging across the worldAs you see on the chart, the UK total lending volume stagnates since the beginning of the crisis, same applies to the Middle EastTop right:Write-offs came down significantly from peak levels but are still high compared to the long term averagesBottom left:Increased write-offs during the crisis led to a wide-spread deterioration of credit scoresThis in combination with banks across the globe tightening their credit policies resulted in an increasing number of under-banked Bottom right:With the broad decline in credit scores, alternative lenders emerged: payday lenders, pawn brokers, credit unions or home credit.
Top left:The payment market in contrast is still growingTop right:Regulators post crisis across the world are tackling financial services: Greater capital requirements, fostering competition among market players, ring fencing retail operations and pricing / interest rate caps as we have seen in the Middle EastBottom left:As we discussed on the previous slide, customers are deleveraging and the number of credit cards as well as the their outstandings are declining in the developed worldBottom right:One clear winner of deleveraging is debit
Top left:Credit cards are going through a midlife crisis. Interest rates are at all time highs and regulators pressure rates and feesCost of funds are at all time lows with little downward potentialGood news on cost of credit which stabilized due to improved environmentWith moving towards the more affluent segments, acquisition costs are expected to increase given the intensified competitionIncreased regulation will impact Operating Expense Top right:More and more customers have banking relationships with more than one bank and the likelihood to switch is increasingTop reason for customers to switch is serviceBottom left:Mobile payments will become realityBottom right:And the digital transformation will reach its tipping point
Before we discuss the opportunity, let’s define the battlefieldOffline and Point-of-Sale transactions have still by far the biggest payment volumeOnline as we will see is growing fast across the world with the Middle East still to catch upLike Online, Mobile Payments is an area that is growing fastLast but not least, Person-to-Person Payments
POS is growing again – as we discussed earlier, debit cards are outgrowing credit cardsOnline Shopping is gaining momentum in all parts of the worldMobile Payments are growingP2P is growing slowly
Questions:Are card issuers really the only players that can meet these customer needs?Big internet players such as Amazon already entered the payment space in the US with Amazon Checkout for B2C. How could Apple change the consumer payment landscape?How much of the payment space could be stolen by Telecoms entering the field?
We have different players in the industry:Banks / IssuersProcessorsRetailersAssociations (Visa / MasterCard)Technology providers and new entrantsThe type and level of innovation varies by player. Banks and issuers have been focusing on continuous and incremental innovations. Associations have been very innovative in step changes. However, Game Changers will come from new entrants from other industries
Retailers have been focusing on innovations such as loyalty and gift cards . They can be open-loop or closed-loop.Closed-loop means: Gift card only works at one particular merchant or one group of merchantsOpen-loop means: PrePaid cards utilising Visa / MasterCard, hence are accepted worldwideCiti supports open-loop prepaid cards in various markets, e.g. the USCard can be made for any occasion, birthday, bridal shower, anniversary …High end retailers have custom packaging as well which can really take thegift to the next level and it can add a personal touch to a gift that is often thought to be impersonal. Gift Cards can also be open-loop, which means they can be used anywhere where Visa/MC is acceptedOther Benefits for retailer:Consumers spend more with gift cards 77% of gift card recipients reported spending more than the initial value of their gift card with an average increase of $39178% of consumers have purchased or received a gift card in the past 12 months2The average gift card buyer has purchased 4.7 cards in past 12 monthsEnhance brandConnect with customers and build your brand awareness A gift card recipient is receiving an endorsement of the merchant from the card purchaserGift cards attract new customersKeep profits in-houseSome merchants opt to use “store credit” via gift cards for merchandise returnsBalance on activated cards is held by the merchant until redemptionReduces fraud and is inexpensive to accept as a form of payment
Another example is mobile banking which brings Citi’s banking services to the customers fingertips. The Middle East is leading in terms of mobile penetration, for example we have 2 handsets per inhabitant in the UAECustomers can either download an application or use their embedded mobile internet browser to access all banking services that they can do online (check accounts, transfer locally / internationally, pay bills etc.)As additional mobile feature they can also locate the nearest branch
Retailers have been focusing on innovations such as loyalty and gift cards . They can be open-loop or closed-loop.Closed-loop means: Gift card only works at one particular merchant or one group of merchantsOpen-loop means: PrePaid cards utilising Visa / MasterCard, hence are accepted worldwideCiti supports open-loop prepaid cards in various markets, e.g. the USCard can be made for any occasion, birthday, bridal shower, anniversary …High end retailers have custom packaging as well which can really take thegift to the next level and it can add a personal touch to a gift that is often thought to be impersonal. Gift Cards can also be open-loop, which means they can be used anywhere where Visa/MC is acceptedOther Benefits for retailer:Consumers spend more with gift cards 77% of gift card recipients reported spending more than the initial value of their gift card with an average increase of $39178% of consumers have purchased or received a gift card in the past 12 months2The average gift card buyer has purchased 4.7 cards in past 12 monthsEnhance brandConnect with customers and build your brand awareness A gift card recipient is receiving an endorsement of the merchant from the card purchaserGift cards attract new customersKeep profits in-houseSome merchants opt to use “store credit” via gift cards for merchandise returnsBalance on activated cards is held by the merchant until redemptionReduces fraud and is inexpensive to accept as a form of payment
Visa and MasterCard have big scale and the required muscle for innovations. One example is Visa SimpleOne which combines Debit and Credit in just on physical chip enabled cardMasterCard offers a similar service under the name MC FlexVisa and MasterCard have many more innovations, be it Verified-by-Visa / 3D-Secure to secure online shopping payments or Chip-Cards to reduce fraud. All these innovations are then brought to the market in collaboration with one or usually multiple issuers
Another example of innovations between Associations and Banks are contactless cardsCiti launched Contactless Card in IndonesiaCiti launched Transit Cards in Singapore, Hong Kong, Delhi, Washington DC and Moscow - all functioning as contactless wallet with auto top-up feature Citi trialed NFC in Bangalore and Singapore There are talks that Apple might integrate NFC with its iPhone5. If this happens and it will be smoothly integrated with iTunes, then Apple has the potential to shakeup the payment industry as well. More on NFC will be covered in a dedicated speach
We need to watch out for mobile innovations along all elements of the value chain starting from pre-visit over decision making, transaction and then post-visit.The Actual transaction is just one element
Zong is a Technology Provider in the Mobile Payment space that focuses on the new segment of purchases for online games and social network .What is it?Operates in almost 30 countries and connected to over 100 mobile carriers Allows users to buy goods from gaming and social networks through mobile phonesPurchase charge are added to monthly phone bill or deducted from prepaid planThis completely bypasses the banking systemBenefitPayment solution for the unbanked – purchase billed directly to carrier’s monthly invoice or deducted from prepaid balanceZong+ can be linked to a credit / debit card as an additional payment method
Service currently only available in the USRemove complexity of accepting payments from cards by eliminating need for contract with merchantsAvailability anywhere explicitly helpful for services sector, e.g. house repair visits, outdoor stands, …Lower costs: no set-up, no minimum contract period, better interchange and faster payments to merchantsEasy set up process via download from iTunes app store. The actual hardware is mailed by courier
Easy and secure Person-To-Person (P2P) payments over the internet without the need to exchange credit card numbers or account detailsSolves the mistrust problem: Customer gets promised goods and merchant gets the promised moneyFast / instant, secure, easy, globalOpened its API to developers Similar services are offered byAlipay and Google Checkout . More than 153 million accounts worldwide. Available in 190 markets and 23 currencies around the worldPayPal has received more than 20 awards for excellence from the internet industry and the business community -most recently the 2006 Webby Award for Best Financial Services Site and the 2006 Webby People's Voice Award for Best Financial Services Site.PayPal was founded in 1998 and was acquired by eBay in 2002.
An innovation clearly meeting thecustomer need for payments in a country with very low banking penetrationOf the 6.9 billion people on our planet, just 30% (2.1 billion) have bank accounts, but 75% have a mobile phoneM-PEAS isa service offered by SafariCom which is aVodafone affiliateM-PEAS was launched in 2007M-PESA is used by 35% of Kenyan adult populationM-PESAhas been a huge success in Kenya. With over 8 million subscribers, it accounted for more than USD 300 million in monthly M-Payment transfers in Nov 2009M-PESA is cost effective compared to other alternatives, i.e. 27% less expensive than the post office’s PostaPayM-PESA has a wide network of over 14,000agent outletsM-PESA has strong security features including PIN protection and value recovery in case of phone lossSimilar service is available in Bahrain called “ME2U Zain Wallet”The Me2U Zain Wallet provides banking facilities directly from the Mobile Phone. Itis a complete banking account that is powered by MODE Bahrain, BMI Bank and Nonoo Exchange, which are all licensed by the Central Bank of Bahrain. Offered services are:Save money in a secure place Receive money electronically in the account Send money to other Me2U account holders Top Up your Zain Prepaid account or any other account (e.g. Wife or children) Send money home at any time, from anywhere Balance enquires 24 hours, 7 days a week Withdraw or deposit money at selected Zain and Nonoo exchange branches
With the rise of social networks and digital we also see a rise of social lending dis-intermediating banks for creditBorrowers get lower cost loans and lenders are promised higher returns – subject to the borrower actually paying the lenders backZopa started 2005 in the UK and bills itself as the first marketplace for Social Lending, meaning that members of the community lend and borrow money with each other, sidestepping traditional banks. The premise is that both lenders and borrowers get better rates, because Social Lending is more efficient than traditional banks, which have much more overheadsProsper is the world's largest peer-to-peer lending marketplace, with more than 1,240,000 members and over $305MM in funded loans.
I think everybody has to acknowledge that Social Media is here to stay but the dynamics are different from traditional media. Direct selling does NOT work in Social MediaTo be successful, be clear on the objective, is it:Increased brand awareness?Communication to customers?Understanding of customer preferences?Complaint listening?Only then define the channelSome example:Citi’s Click-to-Chat. Prospect customers and existing customers can visit the website and initiate a life chat with the customer service centreOpen Forum is a social community sponsored by American Express that targets small business owners and provides videos, articles, expert blogs, success stories and advice from other business owners and limited networking opportunities. It functions as a hybrid between a networking community and a conventional portalNew ZealandsASB Bank launched a virtual branch on Facebook
We looked at the different payment channels and examples for innovationsIt is imperative that you focus on the customer need – again, having a credit card is not a needSo watch out for disruptive innovations from new entrantsContinue to enhance payment functionalities to address customer needs Develop a comprehensive strategy for mobile bankingCreate a solution for contactless payments