With the construction industry unwinding itself from the earlier holding pattern and looking to the
future, many firms will be devising strategies for building their business. But planning budgets and
thinking about potential expansion down the road are hard to do if a company doesn’t know what
its current financial standing is.
Forecasting helps answer questions, such as whether offering discounts is a feasible option, if the
company is in a place to accept new projects and where it may be “from a break-even standpoint”.1
Typically, a CFO would be able to use forecasting to answer these questions, but the task is extremely
helpful even in smaller organizations. From multinational corporations to local independent companies,
employees have to fulfill multiple responsibilities, including creating business reports on the state of
the company.
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Forecasting and the Construction Firm: How to do it and why you should bother
1. Forecasting and the Construction Firm:
How to do it and why you should bother
2. Table of Contents
What is forecasting and how is it used?................................................................ 3
Forecasting can help construction companies large and small ............................. 4
A few tips regarding forecasting, and using software to help ................................ 4
Conclusion........................................................................................................... 5
2
Forecasting and the Construction Firm: How to do it and why you should bother
3. What is forecasting and how is it used?
With the construction industry unwinding itself from the earlier holding pattern and looking to the
future, many firms will be devising strategies for building their business. But planning budgets and
thinking about potential expansion down the road are hard to do if a company doesn’t know what
its current financial standing is.
Forecasting helps answer questions, such as whether offering discounts is a feasible option, if the
company is in a place to accept new projects and where it may be “from a break-even standpoint”.1
Typically, a CFO would be able to use forecasting to answer these questions, but the task is extremely
helpful even in smaller organizations. From multinational corporations to local independent companies,
employees have to fulfill multiple responsibilities, including creating business reports on the state of
the company.
“Many owners are satisfied to see money coming in, bills being paid, checks clearing the bank and
the accountant preparing the company’s tax return,” notes Gregg Steinberg, president of International
Profit Associates.1 “In addition, most owners are wrapped up in day-to-day operations and don’t
have time to look at the company’s long-term growth and stability; however, this approach leaves
valuable money on the table.”
An added benefit of forecasting is that it can give you more insight into cash flow, catching potential
snags in profits and other problems that can affect the business down the line. In an industry like
construction, where the funding for one project often comes from the revenue of another, maintaining
a steady and reliable stream of cash is vital to survival.
The firm will have no hope of growing if it is only treading water. It needs tools to help it critically
analyze its current position and devise strategies for advancing in its market. This is where business
forecasting software can help.
As Ken Kaufman, the president and CFO of CFOwise, notes, forecasting can be a valuable undertaking
for any enterprise, especially those that have “less predictable revenue streams and cost containment
efforts,” such as construction firms.2 When developing the forecast and the corresponding budget,
be sure that the outlook takes into account variable factors and is regularly updated-things can
change fast in the construction industry.
While at first glance, construction forecasting may seem similar to project estimating, the two fields are
actually quite different. Estimations are typically related to a specific project, and take into consideration
resource costs, the amount of work required and the total expense.3 Construction forecasting looks
at factors outside and inside of the company, including economic conditions, the demand for
services, the performance of competitors in your region, the availability of skilled labor and a host of
other components.
3
1 http://www.constructionexec.com/Issues/August_2008/Special_Section3.aspx
2 http://www.openforum.com/articles/why-you-should-reconsider-your-business-forecasting-strategy
3 http://www.misronet.com/estimating.htm
Forecasting and the Construction Firm: How to do it and why you should bother
4. Forecasting can help construction
companies large and small
Since construction projects often extend for months or even years, it’s vital to know exactly how a
job will impact the rest of the business and to note if it has the potential to affect other work or parts
of the company.
In addition to improving the profitability of a construction firm’s projects, adopting a forecasting
system can increase collaboration across the organization, since everyone involved in making
important decisions will have access to the same information, ensuring they are all coming to the
discussion equipped with the same facts and figures.
Construction Executive magazine notes when each party engaged in a particular project knows
exactly how it is progressing, they are able to make better judgments about whether deadlines are
realistic or what budget rearranging must be done.4
More businesses are using forecasting software and automating their processes.5 According to Michael
Fauscette of the International Data Corporation, many organizations are spending more money on
the technology that can help them work smarter with the resources they have rather than on hiring
employees who will enable them to work more at a higher cost. Spending on automation software has
climbed 26 percent, he notes, and is becoming more popular in service sectors.
Companies are also turning to forecasting software and other solutions in order to determine how
they can increase their productivity.
“Companies have come to the realization that technology, particularly software, can be a competitive
advantage and serve to level playing fields between large, medium and small companies,” Fauscette
notes.5 “Through technology, companies can significantly increase productivity, lower costs, engage
new markets, innovate on business models and products, etc.”
A few tips regarding forecasting,
and using software to help
Sometimes, a cost-conscious company will try to avoid additional expenses by using a basic
spreadsheet for its forecasting process. However, this short-term solution can actually create
more problems than it solves in the long run. Generic spreadsheets fail to provide the kind of
context necessary to see how future costs and other factors-such as inflation, taxes and material
price increases-will affect your finances and operations. With software that works in tandem with
accounting and management solutions, you can optimize your forecasting while also getting an
edge on the competition.
By adopting a forecasting system that meshes the project management and financial divisions
through software integration, firms can make the entire process made much more efficient and can
4
4 http://www.constructionexec.com/Issues/September_2008/Special_Section2.aspx
5 http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2011-11/software-spending-and-the-economy.aspx?storyid=100786
Forecasting and the Construction Firm: How to do it and why you should bother
5. obtain insight, according to Construction Executive.4 This will allow everyone to quickly work the
conclusions into their daily responsibilities and start achieving the desired results.
If you do use spreadsheets, you open up the chances of an error occurring, because multiple people
are entering information at different entry points.4 Those mistakes can go undetected for a long time,
if they are caught at all, and that method of forecasting also takes up valuable time.
Before starting to forecast, it will be necessary to gather some information, such as historical data
on the costs of past projects, as well as the relationship between variables outside of your control
and of the company. those you determine (market demand vs. productivity).6 When undertaking
your forecasting project, focus on labor costs, incoming revenue and material expenses. Keep an
eye on a few key areas, such as increases in wages, commodity prices, prior sales and important
contracts that are starting or wrapping up.6 Once you have a forecast for what the coming months
will bring, you can go about creating a budget. When your business’ success relies on the whims
of consumers looking to build a new house or a local company’s decision to expand, being able to
quickly adjust your forecast and update your budget for the year can be a vital asset.
“The rolling forecast is a powerful, forward-looking solution to help entrepreneurs spot key trends,
make critical pivots and maximize their performance and results,” Kaufman concludes.2
Conclusion
Charging blindly into the future is not a solid business model, as many people learned in the years
after the housing bubble burst. By basing expansion and other major decisions on hard data, and
forecasting the effects that current conditions will have in the future, construction companies in
particular can plan for growth in a way that identifies and plans for any risks.
There’s no crystal ball to let you know where your construction firm and the industry as a whole will
be in the next year or further into the future. But with forecasting software, you can better manage
cash flow and make decisions that may insulate your business from major economic shocks.
5
2 http://www.openforum.com/articles/why-you-should-reconsider-your-business-forecasting-strategy
4 http://www.constructionexec.com/Issues/September_2008/Special_Section2.aspx
6 http://www.misronet.com/estimating.htm
Forecasting and the Construction Firm: How to do it and why you should bother