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Water Quality Trading in
the Agricultural Community




          Dennis Frame
   Professor, UW – Extension
Director, UW – Discovery Farms
Purpose of This Presentation

   Discuss the reasons for, the challenges
    with and the possibilities of developing
    point/non-point trading programs

   Evaluate phosphorus losses from
    different farms and settings

   Discuss what point sources need/want
Water Quality Targets


   Total Phosphorus
     0.1 mg/l for non-wadable rivers

      and estuary

       0.075 mg/l for wadable streams
Water Quality Targets

   In this watershed you are
    evaluating sources of phosphorus
    and developing reduction targets
     Point sources
     Non-point sources

     Natural sources

     Background levels
Water Quality Targets


   The question is, can point sources
    afford to reduce phosphorus losses
    to achieve the new requirements?

   If not, how can they be achieved?
Water Quality Trading


   Can a process be developed
    where point sources can trade
    with non-point sources to
    achieve an overall reduction in
    phosphorus?
Water Quality Trading
   Can a process be developed where point sources can trade
    with non-point sources to achieve an overall reduction in
    phosphorus?


   Will changes in management show up
    in water quality?
       Annual variation
       Lack of precision in ag
Point Sources


   Easy to sample

   Easy to get flow rates

   Therefore, relatively easy to calculate
    nutrient loads
Nonpoint Sources




   Nonpoint source pollution, unlike
    pollution from industrial and sewage
    treatment plants, comes from many
    diffuse sources.
Nonpoint Sources

   NPS pollution is caused by rainfall or
    snowmelt moving over and through the
    ground. As the runoff moves, it picks up
    and carries away pollutants, finally
    depositing them into lakes, rivers,
    wetlands, coastal waters, and even our
    underground sources of drinking water.
Background


   A Dodge County Farmer:

     “I believe that all farmers are concerned about
     nutrients moving. We want to see real data---
     not something manufactured by someone
     behind a desk in an office.”
Background


   I start with this quote because you
    cannot solve a problem until all the
    people involved in the challenge take
    ownership of the problem.
Background

   I start with this quote because you cannot solve a problem until all the people
    involved in the challenge take ownership of the problem.




        What I believe and “know”;
        What you believe and “know”;
        Is not as important as what the people and
         businesses living in the watershed think, believe
         and know!
Total phosphorus yield, in pounds per
                                acre




                0.0
                      1.0
                            2.0
                                  3.0
                                        4.0
                                              5.0
                                                    6.0
                                                            7.0
                                                                      8.0
   SW1, 2005
   SW1, 2006
   SW1, 2007
   SW2, 2004                                          Mean
   SW2, 2005
   SW2, 2006
                                                      Frozen ground



   SW2, 2007
   SW2, 2008
                                                      Non-frozen ground




Pioneer, 2003
Pioneer, 2004
Pioneer, 2005
Pioneer, 2006
Pioneer, 2007
Pioneer, 2008
    SE1, 2006
    SE1, 2007
    SE1, 2008
    NE1, 2004
    NE1, 2005
    NE1, 2006
    NE1, 2007
    NE1, 2008
    NE2, 2005
    NE2, 2006
                                                                            Phosphorus Loss - Summary




    NE2, 2007
    NE2, 2008
Distribution of event-mean total P concentration 2003 - 08
Koepke
Koepke
Farms, Inc.
                                   KP3 (Surface) Annual P and Sediment Loss                                     Surface phosphorus loss
                               7                                              280
                                                                                                                was higher in corn years
                               6                                              240                               (FY06, FY08) vs the
                                       DRP
                                                                                                                soybean year (FY07)
 Phosphorus yield (lbs/acre)




                                                                                    Sediment yield (lbs/acre)
                               5       Particulate P                          200
                                       Sediment
                               4                                              160                               Dissolved phosphorus
                               3                                              120                               was the dominant form
                                                                                                                of P loss
                               2                                              80

                               1                                              40                                Total P loss was not
                               0                                              0
                                                                                                                strongly linked to
                                     FY2006            FY2007       FY2008                                      sediment
                                       C                SB            C

                               The average total phosphorus loss for the
                               surface basin was 3.1 pounds/acre/year
Koepke
Koepke
Farms, Inc.
 Tile Phosphorus Loss: Concentrations and
 Loads      FY2005* FY2006  FY2007   FY2008                               FY2009
KP1                 Alfalfa       Alfalfa    Corn grain    Corn silage    Soybean
Concentration     0.03 mg/L    0.01 – 0.22   0.01 – 1.17   0.01 – 2.60   0.01 – 0.04
Range (Avg.)     (0.03 mg/L)       mg/L          mg/L         mg/L           mg/L
                               (0.04 mg/L)   (0.15 mg/L)   (0.38 mg/L)   (0.02 mg/L)
Load               0.01 lbs       1.5 lbs      10.8 lbs      36.1 lbs        -----


KP2              Corn silage    Corn grain    Soybean      Corn silage     Alfalfa
Concentration    0.02 – 1.02   0.01 – 2.02   0.00 – 0.57   0.01 – 5.59   0.01 – 0.06
Range (Avg.)        mg/L           mg/L         mg/L          mg/L           mg/L
                 (0.14 mg/L)   (0.23 mg/L)   (0.13 mg/L)   (0.78 mg/L)   (0.03 mg/L)
Load               0.01 lbs       9.5 lbs      10.3 lbs      52.8 lbs        -----
*Annotates partial year of sampling
Annotates only monthly base flow sampling
Koepke
Koepke
Farms, Inc.
 Speciation of                                       Total Tile Phosphorus Loss
 Phosphorus Loss
 1. The majority of P lost during the
                                                                 23%
 monitoring period on this farm was
                                                                              Particulate P
 dissolved P.                                            77%                  Dissolved P



      Total Surface Phosphorus Loss


                 18%

                                Particulate P   2. This farm’s no-till cropping system
          82%                   Dissolved P        greatly reduces sediment loss.
Koepke
Koepke
Farms, Inc.
 Conclusions
    Average total P loss for the surface basin (KP3)
     during the monitoring period was 3.1
     pounds/acre/year; typically occurred at
     snowmelt and spring runoff (March, April) and
     during large runoff events through the year.

    The contributing area for tile drainage systems
     could not be determined; P yields could not be
     generated. Raw water sample concentrations
     and loads were used to identify trends in water
     quality data.
Koepke
Koepke
Farms, Inc.
 Conclusions
     Tile total P loss under alfalfa was lower than corn
      and soybeans.

     Increases in total P concentration and loads in tile
      lines were correlated to recent manure applications.
      The timing of manure applications likely had a role
      in the timing of P loss, especially in the dissolved
      form, on this farm.
Surface Phosphorus Loss by Basin

                          4.5                                              FY2004 frozen ground

                           4                                               FY2004 non-frozen ground

                          3.5                                              FY2005 frozen ground


                           3                                               FY2005 non-frozen ground
       Yield (lbs/acre)




                                                                           FY2006 frozen ground
                          2.5
                                                                           FY2006 non-frozen ground
                           2

                                                    Site P2 removed
                                                                           FY2007 frozen ground

                                                    Not sampled
                          1.5
                                                                           FY2007 non-frozen ground
                           1
                                                                           FY2008 frozen ground
                          0.5
                                                                           FY2008 non-frozen ground
                           0
                                P1             P2                     P3



The average total phosphorus loss for all surface basins during the monitoring period
was 1.8 pounds/acre/year.
Tile Phosphorus Loss
                           Tile Phosphorus Loss by Basin

                     1.4
                                                                      FY2005 frozen ground

                     1.2
                                                                      FY2005 non-frozen ground

                     1.0
                                                                      FY2006 frozen ground
 Yield (lbs/acres)




                     0.8                                              FY2006 non-frozen ground


                     0.6                                              FY2007 frozen ground


                     0.4                                              FY2007 non-frozen ground


                     0.2                                              FY2008 frozen ground



                     0.0                                              FY2008 non-frozen ground

                                     P4                    P5


Total phosphorus loss - tile basins = 0.9 pounds/acre/year
• As water moves through the soil, it carries phosphorus with it through the preferential
flow paths and soil profile.
Surface vs. Tile Comparison
                            4-yr Basin Average: Total Phosphorus Loss

Tile: 0.9 pounds/acre/year average
                                                                                Surface
                                                                                Tile

                      34%




                                                           66%




                                                                          Surface:
                                                                  1.8 pounds/acre/year average

Tile phosphorus loss was 34 percent of the combined total loss.
Some phosphorus is lost via tile, but surface loss is the most dominant phosphorus
pathway in these agricultural landscapes.
Basin Comparison
                                      Total Phosphorus Loss by Basin

                       6


                       5
                                                                                   Surface     Tile
                       4
    Yield (lbs/acre)




                       3


                       2


                       1


                       0
                           P1/P4     P3/P5   P1/P4      P3/P5   P1/P4      P3/P5       P1/P4    P3/P5


                            FY2005             FY2006             FY2007                   FY2008
Collaboration


   Water quality cannot be improved
    without everyone being involved and
    being part of the solution.

   Every acre counts!

   Every source matters!!!
Challenges with Trading

   How do we estimate the current levels of loss
    (P-index, APEX, SWAT, etc.)?

   How do we accurately predict reductions?

   How do we account for variations based on
    weather, farming system and management?
Challenges with Trading
   The producers who are looking to get engaged
    with trading are probably the ones with the lowest
    levels of loss.
       Can they make changes that reduce losses to a level
        that is measurable in water quality?


   Farmers want to protect water quality –
    they need to be involved throughout the
    process.
Bragger Base Flow Samples
                                                     Total P, WY02 - WY08
TP Concentration, mg/L




                                                                                                    Dam Installed
                         0.40
                                                  North TP
                         0.35

                         0.30
                                                  South TP

                         0.25

                         0.20

                         0.15

                         0.10

                         0.05

                         0.00
                                                  Mar-02




                                                                                                                                                        Mar-08
                                                           Sep-02




                                                                                               Dec-04
                                                                             Oct-03




                                                                                                                             Jul-06




                                                                                                                                                                 Oct-08
                                Jan-01




                                                                                                                    Jan-06
                                                                                                          Jun-05




                                                                                                                                      Feb-07
                                                                    Apr-03




                                                                                      May-04
                                         Aug-01




                                                                                                                                               Aug-07
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Clean Rivers, Clean Lake 8 -- Water Quality Trading -- Dennis Frame

  • 1. Water Quality Trading in the Agricultural Community Dennis Frame Professor, UW – Extension Director, UW – Discovery Farms
  • 2. Purpose of This Presentation  Discuss the reasons for, the challenges with and the possibilities of developing point/non-point trading programs  Evaluate phosphorus losses from different farms and settings  Discuss what point sources need/want
  • 3.
  • 4. Water Quality Targets  Total Phosphorus  0.1 mg/l for non-wadable rivers and estuary  0.075 mg/l for wadable streams
  • 5. Water Quality Targets  In this watershed you are evaluating sources of phosphorus and developing reduction targets  Point sources  Non-point sources  Natural sources  Background levels
  • 6. Water Quality Targets  The question is, can point sources afford to reduce phosphorus losses to achieve the new requirements?  If not, how can they be achieved?
  • 7. Water Quality Trading  Can a process be developed where point sources can trade with non-point sources to achieve an overall reduction in phosphorus?
  • 8. Water Quality Trading  Can a process be developed where point sources can trade with non-point sources to achieve an overall reduction in phosphorus?  Will changes in management show up in water quality?  Annual variation  Lack of precision in ag
  • 9.
  • 10. Point Sources  Easy to sample  Easy to get flow rates  Therefore, relatively easy to calculate nutrient loads
  • 11. Nonpoint Sources  Nonpoint source pollution, unlike pollution from industrial and sewage treatment plants, comes from many diffuse sources.
  • 12. Nonpoint Sources  NPS pollution is caused by rainfall or snowmelt moving over and through the ground. As the runoff moves, it picks up and carries away pollutants, finally depositing them into lakes, rivers, wetlands, coastal waters, and even our underground sources of drinking water.
  • 13. Background  A Dodge County Farmer: “I believe that all farmers are concerned about nutrients moving. We want to see real data--- not something manufactured by someone behind a desk in an office.”
  • 14. Background  I start with this quote because you cannot solve a problem until all the people involved in the challenge take ownership of the problem.
  • 15. Background  I start with this quote because you cannot solve a problem until all the people involved in the challenge take ownership of the problem.  What I believe and “know”;  What you believe and “know”;  Is not as important as what the people and businesses living in the watershed think, believe and know!
  • 16.
  • 17. Total phosphorus yield, in pounds per acre 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 SW1, 2005 SW1, 2006 SW1, 2007 SW2, 2004 Mean SW2, 2005 SW2, 2006 Frozen ground SW2, 2007 SW2, 2008 Non-frozen ground Pioneer, 2003 Pioneer, 2004 Pioneer, 2005 Pioneer, 2006 Pioneer, 2007 Pioneer, 2008 SE1, 2006 SE1, 2007 SE1, 2008 NE1, 2004 NE1, 2005 NE1, 2006 NE1, 2007 NE1, 2008 NE2, 2005 NE2, 2006 Phosphorus Loss - Summary NE2, 2007 NE2, 2008
  • 18. Distribution of event-mean total P concentration 2003 - 08
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Koepke Koepke Farms, Inc. KP3 (Surface) Annual P and Sediment Loss Surface phosphorus loss 7 280 was higher in corn years 6 240 (FY06, FY08) vs the DRP soybean year (FY07) Phosphorus yield (lbs/acre) Sediment yield (lbs/acre) 5 Particulate P 200 Sediment 4 160 Dissolved phosphorus 3 120 was the dominant form of P loss 2 80 1 40 Total P loss was not 0 0 strongly linked to FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 sediment C SB C The average total phosphorus loss for the surface basin was 3.1 pounds/acre/year
  • 23. Koepke Koepke Farms, Inc. Tile Phosphorus Loss: Concentrations and Loads FY2005* FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 KP1 Alfalfa Alfalfa Corn grain Corn silage Soybean Concentration 0.03 mg/L 0.01 – 0.22 0.01 – 1.17 0.01 – 2.60 0.01 – 0.04 Range (Avg.) (0.03 mg/L) mg/L mg/L mg/L mg/L (0.04 mg/L) (0.15 mg/L) (0.38 mg/L) (0.02 mg/L) Load 0.01 lbs 1.5 lbs 10.8 lbs 36.1 lbs ----- KP2 Corn silage Corn grain Soybean Corn silage Alfalfa Concentration 0.02 – 1.02 0.01 – 2.02 0.00 – 0.57 0.01 – 5.59 0.01 – 0.06 Range (Avg.) mg/L mg/L mg/L mg/L mg/L (0.14 mg/L) (0.23 mg/L) (0.13 mg/L) (0.78 mg/L) (0.03 mg/L) Load 0.01 lbs 9.5 lbs 10.3 lbs 52.8 lbs ----- *Annotates partial year of sampling Annotates only monthly base flow sampling
  • 24. Koepke Koepke Farms, Inc. Speciation of Total Tile Phosphorus Loss Phosphorus Loss 1. The majority of P lost during the 23% monitoring period on this farm was Particulate P dissolved P. 77% Dissolved P Total Surface Phosphorus Loss 18% Particulate P 2. This farm’s no-till cropping system 82% Dissolved P greatly reduces sediment loss.
  • 25. Koepke Koepke Farms, Inc. Conclusions  Average total P loss for the surface basin (KP3) during the monitoring period was 3.1 pounds/acre/year; typically occurred at snowmelt and spring runoff (March, April) and during large runoff events through the year.  The contributing area for tile drainage systems could not be determined; P yields could not be generated. Raw water sample concentrations and loads were used to identify trends in water quality data.
  • 26. Koepke Koepke Farms, Inc. Conclusions  Tile total P loss under alfalfa was lower than corn and soybeans.  Increases in total P concentration and loads in tile lines were correlated to recent manure applications. The timing of manure applications likely had a role in the timing of P loss, especially in the dissolved form, on this farm.
  • 27.
  • 28. Surface Phosphorus Loss by Basin 4.5 FY2004 frozen ground 4 FY2004 non-frozen ground 3.5 FY2005 frozen ground 3 FY2005 non-frozen ground Yield (lbs/acre) FY2006 frozen ground 2.5 FY2006 non-frozen ground 2 Site P2 removed FY2007 frozen ground Not sampled 1.5 FY2007 non-frozen ground 1 FY2008 frozen ground 0.5 FY2008 non-frozen ground 0 P1 P2 P3 The average total phosphorus loss for all surface basins during the monitoring period was 1.8 pounds/acre/year.
  • 29. Tile Phosphorus Loss Tile Phosphorus Loss by Basin 1.4 FY2005 frozen ground 1.2 FY2005 non-frozen ground 1.0 FY2006 frozen ground Yield (lbs/acres) 0.8 FY2006 non-frozen ground 0.6 FY2007 frozen ground 0.4 FY2007 non-frozen ground 0.2 FY2008 frozen ground 0.0 FY2008 non-frozen ground P4 P5 Total phosphorus loss - tile basins = 0.9 pounds/acre/year • As water moves through the soil, it carries phosphorus with it through the preferential flow paths and soil profile.
  • 30. Surface vs. Tile Comparison 4-yr Basin Average: Total Phosphorus Loss Tile: 0.9 pounds/acre/year average Surface Tile 34% 66% Surface: 1.8 pounds/acre/year average Tile phosphorus loss was 34 percent of the combined total loss. Some phosphorus is lost via tile, but surface loss is the most dominant phosphorus pathway in these agricultural landscapes.
  • 31. Basin Comparison Total Phosphorus Loss by Basin 6 5 Surface Tile 4 Yield (lbs/acre) 3 2 1 0 P1/P4 P3/P5 P1/P4 P3/P5 P1/P4 P3/P5 P1/P4 P3/P5 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008
  • 32. Collaboration  Water quality cannot be improved without everyone being involved and being part of the solution.  Every acre counts!  Every source matters!!!
  • 33. Challenges with Trading  How do we estimate the current levels of loss (P-index, APEX, SWAT, etc.)?  How do we accurately predict reductions?  How do we account for variations based on weather, farming system and management?
  • 34. Challenges with Trading  The producers who are looking to get engaged with trading are probably the ones with the lowest levels of loss.  Can they make changes that reduce losses to a level that is measurable in water quality?  Farmers want to protect water quality – they need to be involved throughout the process.
  • 35. Bragger Base Flow Samples Total P, WY02 - WY08 TP Concentration, mg/L Dam Installed 0.40 North TP 0.35 0.30 South TP 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 Mar-02 Mar-08 Sep-02 Dec-04 Oct-03 Jul-06 Oct-08 Jan-01 Jan-06 Jun-05 Feb-07 Apr-03 May-04 Aug-01 Aug-07