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WARNING SIGNS IN PILOTS
What Scares the Experts
Some Initial Findings from AERI
Bill Rhodes
Copyright, Aerworthy Consulting, LLC
September 2009
Airmanship Education and Research Initiative
(AERI)
AERI’s Sponsors
 Avemco Insurance Company
 Cirrus Aircraft Corporation
 Advanced Aviation Simulators, Inc.
 Independence Aviation, LLC.
 Research Boston Corp.
 University of Minnesota, Minneapolis
 University of Illinois, Champaign-Urbana
An Informal Survey
■ … of a group of aviation enthusiasts
■ Facts
■ Predictions
What is scary?
A Telling Tale
■ I began asking around about
what scares experts
■ Patterns emerged (we’ll see
some soon)
■ Then, eerily, some individuals
I knew emerged
■ Even more eerily…
The Experts: Hands-on Experience
■ Mature, highly experienced (OK, mostly
old) pilots
■ Insurance—Underwriters and Claims
■ Experienced CFI’s
■ Accident Investigators
Expert Pilots--Observed
■ Experimental Design (Partial)
- Simulator work
- Confidence-inspiring reactions
■ Results
- More patterns
- Positive reactions
■ Limitations: Sample size
What to do… or Who to be?
■ Doing is important
- Industry teaches what to do
- Often, pilots know what to do, and fail to do it
■ The sort of person one is matters a lot
- Common knowledge among GA insiders
■ But…
- Little or no theory of airmanship
- No convenient language
■ Working these issues…
So, What Scares Experts?
HTS1: Take risks
■ But doesn’t flying always involve risk?
■ A question of calibration
■ Risk-management
■ Self-Assessment
HTS2: Know it all
■ Resist advice and instruction
- Hurry through instruction
- Don’t study; don’t listen
- Blame airplane, sim, instructor
■ Brag a lot
- Status Consciousness
- If I had a dime for every time I’ve heard
“pilot” and “ego” in the same sentence …
HTS3: Plan on the
unrealistic/barely realistic
■ Lack of awareness of risk
■ Full (or beyond) exploitation of
airplane’s capabilities
■ Full (or beyond) exploitation of
own capabilities
HTS4: Be in a hurry
■ Gotta get moving
■ Gotta get there
■ Gotta speed through training
■ Got no time for the real business of flying
HTS5: Be extremely confident in
piloting skills
■ We need confidence, of course…
■ The trick seems to be in knowing how
confident to be
■ And in being realistic about ourselves and
what we attempt
HTS6: Advance very quickly
■ Upgrade quickly to high-performance equipment
■ Race through instruction/ratings
HTS7: Show off
■ Pilots and their airplanes really are doing
something remarkable
■ “Pushing it”
HTS8: Ignore the Book(s) and the Mentors
■ Performance
■ Avionics and Accessories
■ Weather
■ Human factors
“Scary Pilot” Syndrome
■ Lack of Skills? No!
■ Lack of Humility? YES!
■ CFI’s can easily work to develop skills
■ But a scary character is a challenge
So…Who should a pilot try to be?
■ Well, not scary!
■ What are the qualities we trust?
■ Not sure yet, but looks like:
- Self-Knowledge
- Self-Mastery
- Caring about what’s really important
- Giving aviation the time and devotion it
(and families) deserve

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Dr. Bill Rhodes: Warning Signs In Pilots

  • 1. WARNING SIGNS IN PILOTS What Scares the Experts Some Initial Findings from AERI Bill Rhodes Copyright, Aerworthy Consulting, LLC September 2009
  • 2. Airmanship Education and Research Initiative (AERI) AERI’s Sponsors  Avemco Insurance Company  Cirrus Aircraft Corporation  Advanced Aviation Simulators, Inc.  Independence Aviation, LLC.  Research Boston Corp.  University of Minnesota, Minneapolis  University of Illinois, Champaign-Urbana
  • 3. An Informal Survey ■ … of a group of aviation enthusiasts ■ Facts ■ Predictions
  • 5. A Telling Tale ■ I began asking around about what scares experts ■ Patterns emerged (we’ll see some soon) ■ Then, eerily, some individuals I knew emerged ■ Even more eerily…
  • 6. The Experts: Hands-on Experience ■ Mature, highly experienced (OK, mostly old) pilots ■ Insurance—Underwriters and Claims ■ Experienced CFI’s ■ Accident Investigators
  • 7. Expert Pilots--Observed ■ Experimental Design (Partial) - Simulator work - Confidence-inspiring reactions ■ Results - More patterns - Positive reactions ■ Limitations: Sample size
  • 8. What to do… or Who to be? ■ Doing is important - Industry teaches what to do - Often, pilots know what to do, and fail to do it ■ The sort of person one is matters a lot - Common knowledge among GA insiders ■ But… - Little or no theory of airmanship - No convenient language ■ Working these issues…
  • 9. So, What Scares Experts?
  • 10. HTS1: Take risks ■ But doesn’t flying always involve risk? ■ A question of calibration ■ Risk-management ■ Self-Assessment
  • 11. HTS2: Know it all ■ Resist advice and instruction - Hurry through instruction - Don’t study; don’t listen - Blame airplane, sim, instructor ■ Brag a lot - Status Consciousness - If I had a dime for every time I’ve heard “pilot” and “ego” in the same sentence …
  • 12. HTS3: Plan on the unrealistic/barely realistic ■ Lack of awareness of risk ■ Full (or beyond) exploitation of airplane’s capabilities ■ Full (or beyond) exploitation of own capabilities
  • 13. HTS4: Be in a hurry ■ Gotta get moving ■ Gotta get there ■ Gotta speed through training ■ Got no time for the real business of flying
  • 14. HTS5: Be extremely confident in piloting skills ■ We need confidence, of course… ■ The trick seems to be in knowing how confident to be ■ And in being realistic about ourselves and what we attempt
  • 15. HTS6: Advance very quickly ■ Upgrade quickly to high-performance equipment ■ Race through instruction/ratings
  • 16. HTS7: Show off ■ Pilots and their airplanes really are doing something remarkable ■ “Pushing it”
  • 17. HTS8: Ignore the Book(s) and the Mentors ■ Performance ■ Avionics and Accessories ■ Weather ■ Human factors
  • 18. “Scary Pilot” Syndrome ■ Lack of Skills? No! ■ Lack of Humility? YES! ■ CFI’s can easily work to develop skills ■ But a scary character is a challenge
  • 19. So…Who should a pilot try to be? ■ Well, not scary! ■ What are the qualities we trust? ■ Not sure yet, but looks like: - Self-Knowledge - Self-Mastery - Caring about what’s really important - Giving aviation the time and devotion it (and families) deserve