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Sleeping Financial Giants
Opportunities in financial leadership for climate stability
Beatrice Crona (Assoc Prof)
Executive Director
Global Economic Dynamics and the Biosphere,
Royal Swedish Academy of Science
Deputy Science Director
Stockholm Resilience Centre
Stockholm University
Will Steffen
Australian National
University
Victor Galaz
Stockholm
Resilience
Center
Alice Dauriach
Royal Swedish
Academy of
Science
Stability of the Earth’s climate system depends on…
GHG emissions reduction AND bolstering the resilience of key
biomes/regions of the planet
Identify actors with the power to lead a transformation
IPCC 2013
IPCC temperature projections
2
4
3
5
6
1
0
GlobalTemperature(°C)
IPCC Projections
2100 AD
Earth System moves to a new state?
Major systemic risks
Summerhayes 2015
Committed
Tipping points?
ROMAN EMPIRE
Source: Steffen et al 2018 Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science
Tipping Cascades
Ocean
50%
50%
Climate change: change in ocean/atmos
circulation => reduced rainfall;
increased drought
Dieback + fires
Deforestation: conversion to cropland or
pasture => reduced evaporation and
water recycling
The Amazon tipping element
Nobre and de Simone Borma 2009; Lovejoy and Nobre 2018
Tröskeldynamik i Amazonas
Only deforestation: tipping point when ~40% of original forest
cover cleared
Only climate change: 3-5oC temperature increase in
the Amazon region
Deforestation + climate change:
• Paris 2oC target reduces allowable deforestation to
significantly less than 25%.
• Paris commitments of ~3oC would reduce allowable
deforestation to near zero
Step 2:
Key economic
sectors
soy
beef
Victor Galaz, Beatrice Crona, Alice Dauriach, Bert Scholtens, Will Steffen
Method
Step 1:
Geographical
scope
Step 3:
Key economic
actors
supplychain
Equity
(Debt)
$
€
¥
£
Step 4:
Key financial
sources
Step 5:
Investors
Identifying investors (Financial Giants)
Earth system tipping point represent major systemic
risks for the financial sector
Climate change mitigation => building resilience of key
ecosystems/processes to buffer already ongoing
change; i.e. prevent them from tipping
Dialogues with financial actors
Stockholm June 2017
London March 2018
(co-hosted with UNPRI)
Tokyo March 2019 (co-
hosted with Future
Earth Asia hub)
THANK
For more info https://sleepinggiants.earth/
Download report (QR):
Sleeping Financial Giants: Opportunities in
financial leadership for climate stability
Sleeping Financial Giants
Opportunities in financial leadership for climate stability
Download report:
https://sleepinggiants.earth/backgroundr
eport/

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The role of the finance sector – lessons from dialogues with financial giants.

  • 1. Sleeping Financial Giants Opportunities in financial leadership for climate stability Beatrice Crona (Assoc Prof) Executive Director Global Economic Dynamics and the Biosphere, Royal Swedish Academy of Science Deputy Science Director Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm University Will Steffen Australian National University Victor Galaz Stockholm Resilience Center Alice Dauriach Royal Swedish Academy of Science
  • 2. Stability of the Earth’s climate system depends on… GHG emissions reduction AND bolstering the resilience of key biomes/regions of the planet Identify actors with the power to lead a transformation
  • 4. 2 4 3 5 6 1 0 GlobalTemperature(°C) IPCC Projections 2100 AD Earth System moves to a new state? Major systemic risks Summerhayes 2015 Committed Tipping points? ROMAN EMPIRE
  • 5. Source: Steffen et al 2018 Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene, Proceedings of the National Academy of Science Tipping Cascades
  • 6. Ocean 50% 50% Climate change: change in ocean/atmos circulation => reduced rainfall; increased drought Dieback + fires Deforestation: conversion to cropland or pasture => reduced evaporation and water recycling The Amazon tipping element
  • 7. Nobre and de Simone Borma 2009; Lovejoy and Nobre 2018 Tröskeldynamik i Amazonas Only deforestation: tipping point when ~40% of original forest cover cleared Only climate change: 3-5oC temperature increase in the Amazon region Deforestation + climate change: • Paris 2oC target reduces allowable deforestation to significantly less than 25%. • Paris commitments of ~3oC would reduce allowable deforestation to near zero
  • 8. Step 2: Key economic sectors soy beef Victor Galaz, Beatrice Crona, Alice Dauriach, Bert Scholtens, Will Steffen Method Step 1: Geographical scope Step 3: Key economic actors supplychain Equity (Debt) $ € ¥ £ Step 4: Key financial sources Step 5: Investors
  • 10. Earth system tipping point represent major systemic risks for the financial sector Climate change mitigation => building resilience of key ecosystems/processes to buffer already ongoing change; i.e. prevent them from tipping
  • 11. Dialogues with financial actors Stockholm June 2017 London March 2018 (co-hosted with UNPRI) Tokyo March 2019 (co- hosted with Future Earth Asia hub)
  • 12. THANK For more info https://sleepinggiants.earth/ Download report (QR): Sleeping Financial Giants: Opportunities in financial leadership for climate stability
  • 13. Sleeping Financial Giants Opportunities in financial leadership for climate stability Download report: https://sleepinggiants.earth/backgroundr eport/