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PEMS IN THE UNITED STATES:
AND A BROAD LOOK AT ITS APPLICATIONS
Prepared by: Brent Schuchmann, Ph.D.
Senior Research Engineer
SGS North America, Inc
October 16-18, 2017
IQPC Conference – Real Driving Emissions
2
OVERVIEW
 SGS AT A GLANCE
 PEMS TESTING IN THE LAST YEAR
▪ THE ROLE OF TESTING SERVICES WITH PEMS
 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR
 ROAD-TO-LAB PEMS CORRELATION
 PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE
 PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS USING MACHINE LEARNING
▪ TRANSPORTATION ANALYTICS PLATFORM (TAPSM)
3
Nº1
WORLD LEADER
90 000
EMPLOYEES
2 000
OFFICES AND
LABORATORIES
11
GLOBAL
INDUSTRIES
GLOBAL
SERVICE
LOCAL
EXPERTISE
AT A GLANCE
4
CHEMICAL CONSUMERGOODSANDRETAIL
MINING OIL AND GAS PUBLIC SECTORLIFE SCIENCES
TRANSPORTATIONAGRICULTURE AND FOOD
ENERGY
INDUSTRIALMANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
5
US TRANSPORTATION TESTING SERVICES
▪ ISO Certified
• 9001, 17025, 14001
▪ Servicing Multiple Market
Segments:
• Automotive
• Aerospace
• Rail
• Marine
• Off-road
• Non Road
• Power Sports
• Industry Groups
• Government and Regulatory
Agencies
▪ On-Premise Customer Lab
Environments
▪ Growth, Expansion and
Investment
8 Commercial Labs
150 Employees
2 2
4
{ {
6
AURORA, CO
▪ High Feature Test Cells with Extreme Environmental Conditions
▪ Variable Altitude Engine and Chassis Dynamometer Testing
• Diesel and Spark Ignited Engines
• AWD/FWD/RWD Vehicles
• Motorcycle and ATV Chassis Dynamometer
• EPA and CARB Compliant Cells
▪ Particulate Matter Characterization
▪ PEMS & RDE Real Driving Emissions Testing
▪ Variable Temperature SHEDs for Evaporative Emissions
▪ Ideal for catalyst conversion efficiency determination,
light-off, drive cycle effects, complete system performance
▪ On-Road program design, consulting and data analytics
▪ 7 Eddy Current absorbing, Single 40” Roll, FWD/AWD, rapid non-road
Mileage Accumulation Dynamometers in a modern, secure facility.
Research, Development and Emissions Certification Testing
Mileage Accumulation Facility in Jackson, MI
7
ROCKY MTN. TEST CENTER - EMPIRE, CO
▪ Newly Commissioned User Facility - 8900’ (2710m) above sea level
▪ Centrally located near popular vehicle development venues including
Berthoud Pass, Hoosier Pass, Vail Pass, Loveland Pass, Dillon, and
Mount Evans
▪ Four large 50’ x 20’ bays (3 cold bays and 1 workshop with lift/hoist)
• Independently controlled refrigeration -22°F (-30°C)
• Large 12’ wide x 14’ high doors
• Vehicle exhaust ventilation
• Onsite fuel storage
• Accommodates multiple customer applications from individual components,
lawn equipment and power sports to light duty vehicles, Class 8 trucks and
construction equipment
▪ Secure Access
• Each bay individually keyed and features 24/7 video surveillance, guest Wi-Fi,
office areas and private restrooms
▪ Cost-effective short and long-term rental solutions
▪ Local engineering and calibration services available
Modern & Accessible, 4,800 sq. ft. High Altitude Cold Testing Facility
8
IN-USE REQUIREMENTS AND PEMS
 40CFR1065 Subpart J
▪ Field Testing and Portable Emission Measurement Systems
• On-road Heavy-Duty vehicles
• Needs 3 hours of non-idle collection time
• Processes data for valid NTE events
 40CFR1039 Subpart E and F
▪ In-use Non-Road Engines
• Does not require PEMS but references 40CFR1065 for testing procedures
 40CFR86 Subpart S
▪ In-Use Vehicle Program
• On-road vehicles ≤14,000 lbs GVWR
• Does not require PEMS
9
PEMS TESTING IN THE LAST YEAR
 NON-ROAD CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT
▪ IN-USE, MODAL, ALTITUDE, COLD-START EMISSIONS
 ON-ROAD HEAVY-DUTY DEVELOPMENT
 ON-TRACK HEAVY-DUTY DEVELOPMENT
 LIGHT-DUTY CORRELATION CVS TO PEMS
 LIGHT-DUTY RDE DEVELOPMENT
 LIGHT-DUTY IN-USE VERIFICATION
 LIGHT-DUTY ROAD TO LAB
10
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
 Available Non-road Excavator
▪ MY 2015, Final Tier 4 engine
▪ 124kW rated engine
▪ Emission Control Technologies:
• Exhaust Gas Recirculation, Turbocharger, Charge Air Cooler, Direct Fuel Injection,
SCR-U, AMOX
▪ PM standard: 0.02 g/kWhr (0.015 g/hphr)
▪ NOx standard: 0.4 g/kWhr (0.3 g/hphr)
 Series of modal operations were performed mimicking in-use applications
▪ Several ambient conditions (ambient temperature and elevations)
▪ Data were analyzed for cold starts, warmups, crawls, operation, shutdowns
and the whole test
11
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
12
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
 AVL 493 GAS PEMS
▪ CO/CO2, NO/NO2, THC
 AVL 494 PM PEMS
▪ Real-time soot concentration (black carbon)
▪ Gravimetric collection of total PM
 40CFR1065 compliant
494 PM PEMS 493 GAS PEMS
13
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
Brake-Specific g/kWh
< -1 °C > 1670 m > 1670 m
 13 days of testing:
▪ 300m (MI)
• 1400 ft
▪ 1980-2650m (CO)
• 6500 – 8700 ft
▪ -10C to 35C
• 14 - 95F
 Data processed with
no exclusions
comparing similar
“modal operations”
▪ Warmups, crawls,
operations
Outside NTE Zone
~ 20x NOx
emissions
at 2650 m
14
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
Outside NTE Zone
< -1 °C > 1670 m > 1670 m
 13 days of testing:
▪ 300m (MI)
• 1400 ft
▪ 1980-2650m (CO)
• 6500 – 8700 ft
▪ -10C to 35C
• 14 - 95F
 Data processed with
no exclusions
comparing similar
“modal operations”
▪ Warmups, crawls,
operations
Fuel-Specific g/kg
~ 20x NOx
emissions
at 2650 m
15
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
< -1 °C 1670 m 2650 m
 NOx emission
reduction strategies
can be observed in
real-time with PEMS
streaming data
 It is easy to observe
when EGR and urea
dosing are shut off or
reduced when above
the altitude
requirements for NTE
16
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
Outside NTE Zone
< -1 °C > 1670 m > 1670 m
 NOx emissions during
“operations” are
similar to the overall
result for each testing
day
 An “operation”
represents the work
performed for a
specific job (i.e.
excavation, trenching)
Fuel-Specific g/kg
17
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
Outside NTE Zone
< -1 °C
 Average NOx g/mi during
a “crawl” event are
nearly 2x during cold
temperatures excluded
from the NTE Zone at
the same elevation
 A “crawl” event
represents the machine
traveling to or from job
site, refueling, or
maintenance
 The “crawls” shown to
the right represent a
distance of 0.6 - 1 km
▪ 2000 – 3000 ft
18
MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING
PEMS
Outside NTE Zone
< -1 °C
 Average NOx
emissions during a
“Warmup” event are
37g/kg for multiple
conditions outside of
the NTE Zone
 A “Warmup” event
represents first
stationary 10-15
minutes after engine
start. In most cases
the ECU controlled the
RPM until the coolant
reached a certain
temperature
> 1670 m > 1670 m > 1670 m
< -1 °C
19
ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION
Highway
FTP and City
Real World Cycle
LA92
Downhill
Uphill
SRC
US06
Accels
 NOx vs CO2 (g/mi) for
a variety of drive
cycles for on-road and
on-dyno
 2013 Jeep Wrangler
▪ 3.6L V6
▪ T2B4: 0.04g/mi NOx
 Similar emissions are
measured within the
standards for both on-
road and on-dyno
cycles
 Simulated road-grade
for on-dyno cycles
20
ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION
12mg/mi Average
(±3mg/mi St.Dev)
18.2mpg Average
(±0.5mpg St.Dev)
50mg/mi Average
(±6mg/mi St.Dev)
21mpg Average
(±0.4mpg St.Dev)
21
ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION
 Discrepancy in CO
emissions between
on-road and on-dyno
 10x greater emissions
on-dyno
 PEMS also captures
the excess CO
emissions on-dyno
On-road
On-dyno
22
ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION
 Significant high-
throttle events on-
dyno produce excess
CO emissions not
present on-road
Excess CO emissions
Significant high-throttle events
23
PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE
American
WLTP
Duration
Stop
Duration
Distance p_stop v_max
v_ave w/o
stops
v_ave w/
stops
a_min a_max
s s miles mi/h mi/h mi/h m/s² m/s²
Low 589 156 1.9 26.50% 35.1 16.0 11.7 -1.47 1.47
Middle 433 48 3.0 11.10% 47.6 27.7 24.5 -1.49 1.57
High 455 31 4.4 6.80% 60.5 37.8 35.2 -1.49 1.58
Extra-High 323 7 5.1 2.20% 81.6 58.4 57.2 -1.21 1.03
Total 1800 242 14.5 81.6 28.9
Phase
PEMS route
IUVP
Duration
Stop
Duration
Distance p_stop v_max
v_ave w/o
stops
v_ave w/
stops
a_min a_max
s s miles mi/h mi/h mi/h m/s² m/s²
Low 471 - 1.8 - 25.5 - 7.3 -2.361 2.0809
Middle 259 - 2.1 - 41.0 - 15.3 -1.944 2.3611
High 591 - 5.2 - 63.4 - 21.9 -2.639 3.1944
Extra-High 738 - 7.5 - 70.2 - 35.5 -2.5 2.6389
Total 2059 16.6 70.2 29.3
Phase
Urban Rural Motorway
% % %
Low 100 0 0
Middle 58.9 41.1 0
High 23 55.5 21.5
Extra-High 14.4 18.1 67.5
Whole Trip 32.4 30.6 37
Phase
24
PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE
Low
Middle
HighExtra
High
25
PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE
 On-road NOx
emissions for gasoline
vehicles were at or
below their respective
standard.
 On-road NOx
emissions for the
diesel vehicle were 4-
5x greater than its
respective standard
(200 mg/mi)
26
PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE
 NOx emissions from
gasoline combustion were
more sensitive to higher
altitude conditions when
compared to route selection
▪ 2 tests were repeated in
reverse order for the F150
with minimal change in
NOx emissions.
▪ 4 different routes with
different trip shares were
driven for the Wrangler with
no significant change in
NOx emissions
 On-road NOx emissions
from diesel combustion
were much higher relative to
the emission standard
regardless of route selection
Different Routes Reverse Order RWC & BreakdownRDE
27
CASE STUDY:
PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS FOR LIGHT DUTY VEHICLE
PERFORMANCE
Chassis Dyno Testing
On-Road Testing
 PEMS provides laboratory-grade fuel consumption and emissions
data but may not be practical for testing all fleet vehicles over long
duration test campaigns
 SGS has used “machine learning” to determine if vehicle
performance can be learned in the chassis dyno lab and then used
to predict on-road fuel consumption and emissions
 MY 2013 Jeep Wrangler, 3.6L V6, PFI, EPA T2B4, no MAF
• On Dyno: 122 micro trips, 3.1 hours of operation
• On Road: 93 micro trips, 3.8 hours of operation
 Predictions were compared to measurements from AVL 493
MOVES
28
LDV FUEL ECONOMY PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING
The range of engine operation on-dyno was similar
to on-road tests
Micro Trip R2 = 0.972
Good fuel economy predictions were achieved,
and were more accurate than “OBD dongle”
estimates (not shown)
29
LDV EMISSIONS PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING
 Vehicle Specific Power bins were used to compare overall emissions rates
 The predictions showed potential to faithfully represent the real-world emissions rate
distribution by Vehicle Specific Power operating mode
 More explanatory data would improve predictions at the highest power conditions

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PEMS in the United States

  • 1. PEMS IN THE UNITED STATES: AND A BROAD LOOK AT ITS APPLICATIONS Prepared by: Brent Schuchmann, Ph.D. Senior Research Engineer SGS North America, Inc October 16-18, 2017 IQPC Conference – Real Driving Emissions
  • 2. 2 OVERVIEW  SGS AT A GLANCE  PEMS TESTING IN THE LAST YEAR ▪ THE ROLE OF TESTING SERVICES WITH PEMS  MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR  ROAD-TO-LAB PEMS CORRELATION  PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE  PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS USING MACHINE LEARNING ▪ TRANSPORTATION ANALYTICS PLATFORM (TAPSM)
  • 3. 3 Nº1 WORLD LEADER 90 000 EMPLOYEES 2 000 OFFICES AND LABORATORIES 11 GLOBAL INDUSTRIES GLOBAL SERVICE LOCAL EXPERTISE AT A GLANCE
  • 4. 4 CHEMICAL CONSUMERGOODSANDRETAIL MINING OIL AND GAS PUBLIC SECTORLIFE SCIENCES TRANSPORTATIONAGRICULTURE AND FOOD ENERGY INDUSTRIALMANUFACTURING CONSTRUCTION
  • 5. 5 US TRANSPORTATION TESTING SERVICES ▪ ISO Certified • 9001, 17025, 14001 ▪ Servicing Multiple Market Segments: • Automotive • Aerospace • Rail • Marine • Off-road • Non Road • Power Sports • Industry Groups • Government and Regulatory Agencies ▪ On-Premise Customer Lab Environments ▪ Growth, Expansion and Investment 8 Commercial Labs 150 Employees 2 2 4 { {
  • 6. 6 AURORA, CO ▪ High Feature Test Cells with Extreme Environmental Conditions ▪ Variable Altitude Engine and Chassis Dynamometer Testing • Diesel and Spark Ignited Engines • AWD/FWD/RWD Vehicles • Motorcycle and ATV Chassis Dynamometer • EPA and CARB Compliant Cells ▪ Particulate Matter Characterization ▪ PEMS & RDE Real Driving Emissions Testing ▪ Variable Temperature SHEDs for Evaporative Emissions ▪ Ideal for catalyst conversion efficiency determination, light-off, drive cycle effects, complete system performance ▪ On-Road program design, consulting and data analytics ▪ 7 Eddy Current absorbing, Single 40” Roll, FWD/AWD, rapid non-road Mileage Accumulation Dynamometers in a modern, secure facility. Research, Development and Emissions Certification Testing Mileage Accumulation Facility in Jackson, MI
  • 7. 7 ROCKY MTN. TEST CENTER - EMPIRE, CO ▪ Newly Commissioned User Facility - 8900’ (2710m) above sea level ▪ Centrally located near popular vehicle development venues including Berthoud Pass, Hoosier Pass, Vail Pass, Loveland Pass, Dillon, and Mount Evans ▪ Four large 50’ x 20’ bays (3 cold bays and 1 workshop with lift/hoist) • Independently controlled refrigeration -22°F (-30°C) • Large 12’ wide x 14’ high doors • Vehicle exhaust ventilation • Onsite fuel storage • Accommodates multiple customer applications from individual components, lawn equipment and power sports to light duty vehicles, Class 8 trucks and construction equipment ▪ Secure Access • Each bay individually keyed and features 24/7 video surveillance, guest Wi-Fi, office areas and private restrooms ▪ Cost-effective short and long-term rental solutions ▪ Local engineering and calibration services available Modern & Accessible, 4,800 sq. ft. High Altitude Cold Testing Facility
  • 8. 8 IN-USE REQUIREMENTS AND PEMS  40CFR1065 Subpart J ▪ Field Testing and Portable Emission Measurement Systems • On-road Heavy-Duty vehicles • Needs 3 hours of non-idle collection time • Processes data for valid NTE events  40CFR1039 Subpart E and F ▪ In-use Non-Road Engines • Does not require PEMS but references 40CFR1065 for testing procedures  40CFR86 Subpart S ▪ In-Use Vehicle Program • On-road vehicles ≤14,000 lbs GVWR • Does not require PEMS
  • 9. 9 PEMS TESTING IN THE LAST YEAR  NON-ROAD CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT ▪ IN-USE, MODAL, ALTITUDE, COLD-START EMISSIONS  ON-ROAD HEAVY-DUTY DEVELOPMENT  ON-TRACK HEAVY-DUTY DEVELOPMENT  LIGHT-DUTY CORRELATION CVS TO PEMS  LIGHT-DUTY RDE DEVELOPMENT  LIGHT-DUTY IN-USE VERIFICATION  LIGHT-DUTY ROAD TO LAB
  • 10. 10 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS  Available Non-road Excavator ▪ MY 2015, Final Tier 4 engine ▪ 124kW rated engine ▪ Emission Control Technologies: • Exhaust Gas Recirculation, Turbocharger, Charge Air Cooler, Direct Fuel Injection, SCR-U, AMOX ▪ PM standard: 0.02 g/kWhr (0.015 g/hphr) ▪ NOx standard: 0.4 g/kWhr (0.3 g/hphr)  Series of modal operations were performed mimicking in-use applications ▪ Several ambient conditions (ambient temperature and elevations) ▪ Data were analyzed for cold starts, warmups, crawls, operation, shutdowns and the whole test
  • 11. 11 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS
  • 12. 12 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS  AVL 493 GAS PEMS ▪ CO/CO2, NO/NO2, THC  AVL 494 PM PEMS ▪ Real-time soot concentration (black carbon) ▪ Gravimetric collection of total PM  40CFR1065 compliant 494 PM PEMS 493 GAS PEMS
  • 13. 13 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS Brake-Specific g/kWh < -1 °C > 1670 m > 1670 m  13 days of testing: ▪ 300m (MI) • 1400 ft ▪ 1980-2650m (CO) • 6500 – 8700 ft ▪ -10C to 35C • 14 - 95F  Data processed with no exclusions comparing similar “modal operations” ▪ Warmups, crawls, operations Outside NTE Zone ~ 20x NOx emissions at 2650 m
  • 14. 14 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS Outside NTE Zone < -1 °C > 1670 m > 1670 m  13 days of testing: ▪ 300m (MI) • 1400 ft ▪ 1980-2650m (CO) • 6500 – 8700 ft ▪ -10C to 35C • 14 - 95F  Data processed with no exclusions comparing similar “modal operations” ▪ Warmups, crawls, operations Fuel-Specific g/kg ~ 20x NOx emissions at 2650 m
  • 15. 15 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS < -1 °C 1670 m 2650 m  NOx emission reduction strategies can be observed in real-time with PEMS streaming data  It is easy to observe when EGR and urea dosing are shut off or reduced when above the altitude requirements for NTE
  • 16. 16 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS Outside NTE Zone < -1 °C > 1670 m > 1670 m  NOx emissions during “operations” are similar to the overall result for each testing day  An “operation” represents the work performed for a specific job (i.e. excavation, trenching) Fuel-Specific g/kg
  • 17. 17 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS Outside NTE Zone < -1 °C  Average NOx g/mi during a “crawl” event are nearly 2x during cold temperatures excluded from the NTE Zone at the same elevation  A “crawl” event represents the machine traveling to or from job site, refueling, or maintenance  The “crawls” shown to the right represent a distance of 0.6 - 1 km ▪ 2000 – 3000 ft
  • 18. 18 MODAL EMISSIONS OF NON-ROAD EXCAVATOR USING PEMS Outside NTE Zone < -1 °C  Average NOx emissions during a “Warmup” event are 37g/kg for multiple conditions outside of the NTE Zone  A “Warmup” event represents first stationary 10-15 minutes after engine start. In most cases the ECU controlled the RPM until the coolant reached a certain temperature > 1670 m > 1670 m > 1670 m < -1 °C
  • 19. 19 ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION Highway FTP and City Real World Cycle LA92 Downhill Uphill SRC US06 Accels  NOx vs CO2 (g/mi) for a variety of drive cycles for on-road and on-dyno  2013 Jeep Wrangler ▪ 3.6L V6 ▪ T2B4: 0.04g/mi NOx  Similar emissions are measured within the standards for both on- road and on-dyno cycles  Simulated road-grade for on-dyno cycles
  • 20. 20 ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION 12mg/mi Average (±3mg/mi St.Dev) 18.2mpg Average (±0.5mpg St.Dev) 50mg/mi Average (±6mg/mi St.Dev) 21mpg Average (±0.4mpg St.Dev)
  • 21. 21 ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION  Discrepancy in CO emissions between on-road and on-dyno  10x greater emissions on-dyno  PEMS also captures the excess CO emissions on-dyno On-road On-dyno
  • 22. 22 ROAD TO LAB CORRELATION  Significant high- throttle events on- dyno produce excess CO emissions not present on-road Excess CO emissions Significant high-throttle events
  • 23. 23 PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE American WLTP Duration Stop Duration Distance p_stop v_max v_ave w/o stops v_ave w/ stops a_min a_max s s miles mi/h mi/h mi/h m/s² m/s² Low 589 156 1.9 26.50% 35.1 16.0 11.7 -1.47 1.47 Middle 433 48 3.0 11.10% 47.6 27.7 24.5 -1.49 1.57 High 455 31 4.4 6.80% 60.5 37.8 35.2 -1.49 1.58 Extra-High 323 7 5.1 2.20% 81.6 58.4 57.2 -1.21 1.03 Total 1800 242 14.5 81.6 28.9 Phase PEMS route IUVP Duration Stop Duration Distance p_stop v_max v_ave w/o stops v_ave w/ stops a_min a_max s s miles mi/h mi/h mi/h m/s² m/s² Low 471 - 1.8 - 25.5 - 7.3 -2.361 2.0809 Middle 259 - 2.1 - 41.0 - 15.3 -1.944 2.3611 High 591 - 5.2 - 63.4 - 21.9 -2.639 3.1944 Extra-High 738 - 7.5 - 70.2 - 35.5 -2.5 2.6389 Total 2059 16.6 70.2 29.3 Phase Urban Rural Motorway % % % Low 100 0 0 Middle 58.9 41.1 0 High 23 55.5 21.5 Extra-High 14.4 18.1 67.5 Whole Trip 32.4 30.6 37 Phase
  • 24. 24 PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE Low Middle HighExtra High
  • 25. 25 PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE  On-road NOx emissions for gasoline vehicles were at or below their respective standard.  On-road NOx emissions for the diesel vehicle were 4- 5x greater than its respective standard (200 mg/mi)
  • 26. 26 PSEUDO IN-USE PEMS ROUTES FOR RDE  NOx emissions from gasoline combustion were more sensitive to higher altitude conditions when compared to route selection ▪ 2 tests were repeated in reverse order for the F150 with minimal change in NOx emissions. ▪ 4 different routes with different trip shares were driven for the Wrangler with no significant change in NOx emissions  On-road NOx emissions from diesel combustion were much higher relative to the emission standard regardless of route selection Different Routes Reverse Order RWC & BreakdownRDE
  • 27. 27 CASE STUDY: PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS FOR LIGHT DUTY VEHICLE PERFORMANCE Chassis Dyno Testing On-Road Testing  PEMS provides laboratory-grade fuel consumption and emissions data but may not be practical for testing all fleet vehicles over long duration test campaigns  SGS has used “machine learning” to determine if vehicle performance can be learned in the chassis dyno lab and then used to predict on-road fuel consumption and emissions  MY 2013 Jeep Wrangler, 3.6L V6, PFI, EPA T2B4, no MAF • On Dyno: 122 micro trips, 3.1 hours of operation • On Road: 93 micro trips, 3.8 hours of operation  Predictions were compared to measurements from AVL 493 MOVES
  • 28. 28 LDV FUEL ECONOMY PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING The range of engine operation on-dyno was similar to on-road tests Micro Trip R2 = 0.972 Good fuel economy predictions were achieved, and were more accurate than “OBD dongle” estimates (not shown)
  • 29. 29 LDV EMISSIONS PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING  Vehicle Specific Power bins were used to compare overall emissions rates  The predictions showed potential to faithfully represent the real-world emissions rate distribution by Vehicle Specific Power operating mode  More explanatory data would improve predictions at the highest power conditions