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BROOKLINE MA
Single Family House Market Report
Brookline MA and Chestnut Hill MA House
Market Analysis and Forecast
By Ruth Lerner March 2014
Brookline’s Housing Market Trend
 Seller’s market, but weakening
 Fairly low inventory
of houses available
 Land values way up
 What to expect in 2014?
Market Action Index for 02445 & 02446 Only
Generally a Seller’s
Market, but Cooling
 An MAI over 30
indicates a seller’s
market
 Still a seller’s market,
but it has cooled
considerably since
Summer 2013.
MAI by Price Quartiles for 02445 & 02446 Only
 Bottom two quartiles,
with median prices of
$1.8 and $3.4 million
have the strongest
seller’s markets
 Top quartile of luxury
houses with a median
price of $4.4 million are
an even market with the
buyers.
Seller’s market in lower
price ranges
Market Recovery,
early 2012
Market heats up,
through 2013
Brookline: Zip Code 02445 & 02446
Median Asking Price by Quartiles
Median asking price of
listings on market.
 Top quartile median
prices are have fallen a
bit. This is a very small
sample of houses, with
extremely high prices.
 Time has been beneficial
to the second, third and
fourth (bottom)
quartiles.
Inventory of SF Listings, 02445 & 02446
Number of houses
available for sale.
 Current inventory of
about 19 condos, 20%
of peak inventory.
 Peak inventory in June
2013 if approximately
100 houses, with a
large sell-off since.
 Seasonal dips are
normal, but this year’s
seasonal low is
exceptionally low.
Median Asking Prices by Quartiles: 02445 & 02446
Inventory, by Quartiles
 Notice how the most
valuable asset is Land!
 Number of beds and
baths double from the
bottom to top quartile
 Average age of the
most luxurious houses
is younger due to
several new
construction projects.
 It takes triple the time
to sell a top quartile
house than a bottom
quartile house.
Chestnut Hill House Prices, zip code 02467
Chestnut Hill: Inventory of Houses for Sale
Three Years of Cycle
 Houses have a fairly
predictable cycle of
inventory in Chestnut
Hill.
 This winter’s inventory
is slightly lower than
last years, but not as
low as in 2012’s winter.
Chestnut Hill:
Median Asking Price per Square Foot
Chestnut Hill Prices per
Square Foot
 Price per square foot is
approximately 29%
higher than the low in
Summer 2011.
 Median price per
square foot for on
market houses peaked
one year ago.$385 +/-
$460 +/-
Chestnut Hill:
Market Action Index Still a Sellers’ Market
Stronger Seller’s
Market in Chestnut Hill
 Seller’s market when
MAI is above 30.
 Extremely strong
seller’s market in
second, third and fourth
quartiles.
 Mildly strong market for
sellers in ultra-luxury
houses in Chestnut Hill.
Chestnut Hill: Quartile Summary
Small Houses Sell Quickly
 Notice the difference
in lot size between the
bottom and top
quartile.
 Chestnut Hill’s houses
are younger, on
average, than those in
North Brookline.
What to Expect in 2014?
 Market more even handed in
buyer’s favor, but still tight.
 Many sellers ready to sell as
they realize the appreciation
of their properties.
 Many buyers will exit the
Brookline market as they are
out-priced.
 Housing market in Brookline
will cool overall.
What About Home Sellers?
 Selling a house in Brookline
requires extensive marketing
to the right buyers.
 Current conditions are ripe
for a fairly quicker sale for
“entry level” houses.
 Ultimately, it is up to you and
your timeline and needs.
Keep Up With the Market
Click to sign-up
for your weekly
updates and leading
indicators of the local
real estate market!
(617) 807 - 0471
Ruth.Lerner@raveis.com
RuthMalkinLerner.com

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Brookline MA Real Estate: Single Family Market Report March 2014

  • 1. BROOKLINE MA Single Family House Market Report Brookline MA and Chestnut Hill MA House Market Analysis and Forecast By Ruth Lerner March 2014
  • 2. Brookline’s Housing Market Trend  Seller’s market, but weakening  Fairly low inventory of houses available  Land values way up  What to expect in 2014?
  • 3. Market Action Index for 02445 & 02446 Only Generally a Seller’s Market, but Cooling  An MAI over 30 indicates a seller’s market  Still a seller’s market, but it has cooled considerably since Summer 2013.
  • 4. MAI by Price Quartiles for 02445 & 02446 Only  Bottom two quartiles, with median prices of $1.8 and $3.4 million have the strongest seller’s markets  Top quartile of luxury houses with a median price of $4.4 million are an even market with the buyers. Seller’s market in lower price ranges Market Recovery, early 2012 Market heats up, through 2013
  • 5. Brookline: Zip Code 02445 & 02446 Median Asking Price by Quartiles Median asking price of listings on market.  Top quartile median prices are have fallen a bit. This is a very small sample of houses, with extremely high prices.  Time has been beneficial to the second, third and fourth (bottom) quartiles.
  • 6. Inventory of SF Listings, 02445 & 02446 Number of houses available for sale.  Current inventory of about 19 condos, 20% of peak inventory.  Peak inventory in June 2013 if approximately 100 houses, with a large sell-off since.  Seasonal dips are normal, but this year’s seasonal low is exceptionally low.
  • 7. Median Asking Prices by Quartiles: 02445 & 02446 Inventory, by Quartiles  Notice how the most valuable asset is Land!  Number of beds and baths double from the bottom to top quartile  Average age of the most luxurious houses is younger due to several new construction projects.  It takes triple the time to sell a top quartile house than a bottom quartile house.
  • 8. Chestnut Hill House Prices, zip code 02467
  • 9. Chestnut Hill: Inventory of Houses for Sale Three Years of Cycle  Houses have a fairly predictable cycle of inventory in Chestnut Hill.  This winter’s inventory is slightly lower than last years, but not as low as in 2012’s winter.
  • 10. Chestnut Hill: Median Asking Price per Square Foot Chestnut Hill Prices per Square Foot  Price per square foot is approximately 29% higher than the low in Summer 2011.  Median price per square foot for on market houses peaked one year ago.$385 +/- $460 +/-
  • 11. Chestnut Hill: Market Action Index Still a Sellers’ Market Stronger Seller’s Market in Chestnut Hill  Seller’s market when MAI is above 30.  Extremely strong seller’s market in second, third and fourth quartiles.  Mildly strong market for sellers in ultra-luxury houses in Chestnut Hill.
  • 12. Chestnut Hill: Quartile Summary Small Houses Sell Quickly  Notice the difference in lot size between the bottom and top quartile.  Chestnut Hill’s houses are younger, on average, than those in North Brookline.
  • 13. What to Expect in 2014?  Market more even handed in buyer’s favor, but still tight.  Many sellers ready to sell as they realize the appreciation of their properties.  Many buyers will exit the Brookline market as they are out-priced.  Housing market in Brookline will cool overall.
  • 14. What About Home Sellers?  Selling a house in Brookline requires extensive marketing to the right buyers.  Current conditions are ripe for a fairly quicker sale for “entry level” houses.  Ultimately, it is up to you and your timeline and needs.
  • 15. Keep Up With the Market Click to sign-up for your weekly updates and leading indicators of the local real estate market!
  • 16. (617) 807 - 0471 Ruth.Lerner@raveis.com RuthMalkinLerner.com