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Industrial Outlook
Cincinnati | Q4 2016
Property Proposed buillding s.f. Acres
Former Gibson Greeting Card 600,000 56
Aero Hub 550,000 24.6
Nehemiah Manufacturing 172,000 7
JTM Warehousing 78,668 22
Class A leases signed in 2016
Source: JLL Research
Available blocks in the airport submarket
Source: JLL Research
Civic developments underway
Source: JLL Research
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
Total s.f. leased Number of leases signed
238,587,997
Market size (s.f.)
4,612,637
YTD total net absorption (s.f.)
$3.78
Average asking rent (p.s.f.)
2,346,546
Total under construction (s.f.)
4.2%
Total vacancy
1.9%
Net absorption (as a % of stock)
1.9%
12-month rent growth
4,776,365
YTD construction completions (s.f.)
Leasing activity finishes the year strong
Throughout 2016 developers have filled the construction pipeline with projects to
meet growing tenant demand for industrial space within the market. The fourth
quarter confirmed developers confidence as Class A leasing heated up,
absorbing over 650,000 square feet of space. As rental rates have risen,
developers have become increasingly confident in speculative buildings smaller
than 200,000 square feet. A trend was reversed from the start of 2016 in which
projects greater than 300,000 square feet accounted for the majority of the
development pipeline. Multiple deals were signed in recently delivered buildings
in the smaller size segment, confirming that higher rental rates can be achieved.
Quality space finally available in the Airport submarket
Over the last two years the airport submarket has become increasingly tight with
the vacancy rate falling below 2 percent to start 2016. Fortunately for tenants,
space have become available due to recently vacated spaces as well as new
construction in the submarket. The fourth quarter saw Innotrac vacate 646,000
square feet at Litton Lane, as well as 194,000 square feet that Dematic vacated
in Airpark West. One building delivered was the 151,800-square-foot Airpark
West # 16. Construction commenced on Hebron Logistics Center, containing two
buildings totaling 718,658 square feet and Dermody continued construction on
the 264,000-square foot LogistiCenter at 275 #2. Recent development activity
reaffirms developers confidence in tenant demand for space in the submarket.
Civic activity opens doors to infill sites in fourth quarter
While Cincinnati’s industrial market has seen continued growth since the Great
Recession, the market is still plagued by a shortage of available land for
industrial development. As our second quarter report touched upon, civic players
have become increasingly more involved preparing infill sites for industrial
development. The fourth quarter was no different as the City of Evendale
announced the purchase of the 24.6-acre “Aero-Hub”, an advanced
manufacturing campus. In addition, the Port Authority began demolition of the
former Gibson Greeting card building to make way for a 56-acre site for new
development. The Port Authority also partnered with JTM Food Group on a
78,668-square-foot freezer-cooler warehouse at 200 Industrial Drive in Harrison.
Market fundamentals strengthen to end year
Industrial Insight
Cincinnati | Q4 2016
0
4
8
100,000 - 249,999 250,000 - 499,999 >500,000 s.f.
#ofblocks
Existing Spec - Recently Delivered Spec - Under Construction
JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016
Inventory
(s.f.)
Quarterly
total net
absorption
(s.f.)
YTD
total net
absorption
(s.f.)
YTD
total net
absorption
(% of stock)
Total
vacancy
(% )
Total
availability
(% )
Average
total asking
rent
($ p.s.f.)
Quarterly
completions
(s.f.)
YTD
completions
(s.f.)
Under
construction
(s.f.)
Cincinnati totals
Warehouse & Distribution 169,396,208 419,648 4,060,752 2.4% 5.0% 7.1% $3.84 737,050 4,776,365 2,346,546
Manufacturing 69,191,789 -194,733 551,885 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% $3.18 0 0 0
Totals 238,587,997 224,915 4,612,637 1.9% 4.2% 6.0% $3.78 737,050 4,776,365 2,346,546
Flex 11,626,806 153,447 494,364 4.3% 10.3% 13.2% $5.96 0 0 0
Airport
Warehouse & Distribution 26,687,243 -555,512 817,144 3.1% 4.5% 8.2% $3.82 151,800 1,780,360 1,062,658
Manufacturing 2,342,265 -194,733 -162,733 -6.9% 8.3% 10.7% $4.50 0 0 0
Totals 26,930,548 -750,245 654,411 2.4% 4.8% 9.3% $3.72 151,800 1,780,360 1,062,658
Flex 1,069,751 0 4,701 0.4% 3.8% 10.2% $6.24 0 0 0
Blue Ash
Warehouse & Distribution 8,181,331 -70,552 185,118 2.3% 1.7% 5.1% $3.84 0 0 534,560
Manufacturing 2,524,938 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% $3.00 0 0 0
Totals 10,706,269 -70,552 185,118 1.7% 1.3% 4.8% $3.84 0 0 534,560
Flex 1,719,749 16,795 37,214 2.2% 6.7% 7.9% $7.49 0 0 0
Campbell County
Warehouse & Distribution 2,235,913 12,000 -2,000 -0.1% 2.8% 2.8% $3.66 0 0 0
Manufacturing 1,045,402 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Totals 3,281,315 12,000 -2,000 -0.1% 1.9% 1.9% $3.66 0 0 0
Flex 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Central / Midtown
Warehouse & Distribution 29,801,858 185,312 424,568 1.4% 2.7% 4.0% $4.19 0 0 0
Manufacturing 14,794,799 0 75,200 0.5% 1.4% 2.5% $2.50 0 0 0
Totals 44,596,657 185,312 499,768 1.1% 2.3% 3.5% $3.96 0 0 0
Flex 902,506 -21,552 73,535 8.1% 29.2% 30.0% $8.75 0 0 0
Covington
Warehouse & Distribution 3,176,777 0 7,250 0.2% 2.6% 5.2% $4.16 0 0 0
Manufacturing 779,862 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 0 0 0
Totals 3,956,639 0 7,250 0.2% 2.1% 4.1% $4.16 0 0 0
Flex 20,000 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $6.21 0 0 0
East
Warehouse & Distribution 5,660,129 24,000 21,040 0.4% 2.0% 3.5% $4.61 0 0 0
Manufacturing 5,487,999 0 153,367 2.8% 12.3% 14.6% $2.70 0 0 0
Totals 11,148,128 24,000 174,407 1.6% 7.1% 9.9% $3.53 0 0 0
Flex 1,188,181 0 29,402 2.5% 10.6% 12.1% $6.41 0 0 0
Florence / Richwood
Warehouse & Distribution 12,679,936 -4,400 80,919 0.6% 12.9% 14.5% $3.66 0 1,116,804 0
Manufacturing 8,214,941 0 93,000 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% $3.50 0 0
Totals 20,894,877 -4,400 173,919 0.8% 8.2% 9.2% $3.57 0 1,116,804 0
Flex 795,699 0 3,694 0.5% 5.8% 10.8% $3.96 0 0 0
Hamilton
Warehouse & Distribution 6,209,488 23,062 8,916 0.1% 11.8% 12.6% $3.60 0 0 0
Manufacturing 1,741,094 0 -129,560 -7.4% 7.4% 7.4% $2.25 0 0 0
Totals 7,950,582 23,062 -120,644 -1.5% 10.8% 11.4% $2.74 0 0 0
Flex 249,734 0 0 0.0% 11.4% 11.4% $6.60 0 0 0
I-71 Corridor
Warehouse & Distribution 5,085,348 16,800 499,303 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% $4.62 0 300,000 0
Manufacturing 4,911,416 0 216,000 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% $2.75 0 0 0
Totals 9,996,764 16,800 715,303 3.9% 3.5% 3.7% $3.11 0 300,000 0
Flex 518,639 -1,032 15,058 2.9% 17.6% 17.6% $7.25 0 0 0
Monroe / Middletown
Warehouse & Distribution 11,325,521 -12,000 319,848 2.8% 11.2% 13.2% $3.70 0 993,951 143,664
Manufacturing 6,976,617 0 0 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% $2.25 0 0 0
Totals 18,302,138 -12,000 319,848 7.4% 7.4% 8.7% $3.58 0 993,951 143,664
Flex 181,900 135,000 141,881 78.0% 14.7% 14.7% $7.88 0 0 0
Tri-County
Warehouse & Distribution 46,442,337 667,612 1,767,178 3.8% 4.3% 5.4% $3.52 585,250 585,250 605,664
Manufacturing 9,107,941 0 226,231 2.5% 0.0% 1.2% $3.70 0 0 0
Totals 55,550,278 667,612 1,993,409 3.6% 3.6% 4.7% $3.55 585,250 585,250 605,664
Flex 4,087,159 8,396 192,164 4.7% 9.7% 13.8% $5.76 0 0 0
West
Warehouse & Distribution 4,139,072 36,530 -143,402 -3.5% 4.4% 5.5% $4.53 0 0 0
Manufacturing 708,242 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Totals 4,847,314 36,530 -143,402 -3.0% 3.8% 4.7% $4.53 0 0 0
Flex 313,780 0 -18,400 -5.9% 14.3% 14.3% $4.95 0 0 0
Woodlawn / Evendale
Warehouse & Distribution 7,771,255 96,796 74,870 1.0% 2.4% 7.8% $3.38 0 0 0
Manufacturing 10,556,273 0 80,380 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0
Totals 18,327,528 96,796 155,250 0.8% 1.5% 3.3% $3.38 0 0 0
Flex 579,708 15,840 15,115 2.6% 8.7% 11.0% $4.75 0 0 0
Industrial statistics
Cincinnati | Q4 2016
JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016
This report analyzes all industrial developments under construction & new deliveries > 30,000 s.f.
Total leased at delivery (%) 34.4%
Total speculative at delivery (s.f.) 3,367,805
Total BTS at delivery (s.f.) 1,408,560
Total Owner-User at delivery (s.f.) -
Total # of properties delivered 10
Asking rental rate (low - high) $3.75 - $3.95
Top 5 projects delivered to date
Building RBA (s.f.) Delivery date
Leased at
delivery (%)
Park North at Monroe Bldg 8 993,951 Q3 2016 0%
Wayfair LogistiCenter at 275 898,560 Q2 2016 100%
Park 536 674,500 Q3 2016 0%
2125 Gateway Blvd 520,000 Q1 2016 100%
Union Centre Industrial Park I 446,500 Q4 2016 100%
Total pre-leased (%) 0.0%
Total speculative under construction (s.f.) 2,346,546
Total BTS under construction (s.f.) -
Total Owner-user under construction (s.f.) -
Total # of properties UC 7
Asking rental rate (low - high) $3.75 - $4.50
Top 5 projects currently under construction
Building RBA (s.f.) Delivery date
Pre-leased
(%)
Hebron Logistics Center Bldg 1 589,193 Q2 2017 0%
10900 Kenwood Rd 534,560 Q1 2017 0%
Union Centre Logistics Park Bldg 1 477,360 Q2 2017 0%
LogistiCenter at 275 #2 264,000 Q1 2017 0%
Park North Monroe Bldg 5 143,664 Q2 2017 0%Speculative
Speculative
Owner Construction type
Speculative
IDI Gazeley
Dermody
Northpoint
Citimark
Hillwood
Speculative
Speculative
Monroe / Middletown
Airport
Tri-County
Blue Ash
Airport
Historical deliveries (s.f.)
Construction typeOwnerSubmarket
Tri-County
Airport
Florence / Richwood
Airport
Monroe
Duke
Prologis
Van Trust
Dermody
IDI Gazeley
Speculative
BTS
New deliveries
Completions in-depth
4,776,365
Total delivered YTD (s.f.)
Speculative
Speculative
Speculative
Submarket
Under construction
2,346,546
Under construction (s.f.)
Under construction in-depth
Upcoming deliveries by year (s.f., excludes YTD completions)
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
2017
Speculative
Industrial Development Report
Cincinnati | Q4 2016
JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016
Industry employment stratification: Cincinnati
Industrial Employment Update
Cincinnati | Q4 2016
4.9%U.S. unemployment
1.7%U.S. 12-month job growth
3.9%Cincinnati unemployment
1.9%Cincinnati 12-month job growth
4.8%Ohio unemployment
1.5%Ohio 12-month job growth
Employment vs. unemployment rate: Cincinnati
Job growth (12-month change): United States vs. Cincinnati
Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change): Cincinnati
Industrial employment trends (12-month change, 000s): Cincinnati
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cincinnati United States
JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
780,000
840,000
900,000
960,000
1,020,000
1,080,000
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Nonfarm employment
Unemployment
-400
-200
1,300
1,700
1,800
2,000
2,500
3,300
3,400
4,000
-1,500 -500 500 1,500 2,500 3,500 4,500
Information
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Manufacturing
Financial Activities
Professional & Business Services
Government
Other Services
Mining, Logging & Construction
Leisure & Hospitality
Educational & Health Services
Trade, Transportation
& Utilities,
194,100 , 18%
Professional &
Business Services,
177,200 , 17%
Government,
171,000 , 16%
Educational &
Health Services,
155,900 , 15%
Leisure & Hospitality,
104,700 , 10%
Financial Activities,
80,300 , 8%
Manufacturing,
72,700 , 7%
Other Services,
43,100 , 4%
Mining, Logging &
Construction,
37,700 , 3%
Information,
16,700 , 2%
-25.0
-15.0
-5.0
5.0
15.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Trade,Transportation & Utilities
Manufacturing
Other Services
Mining, Logging & Construction
Industrial Submarket Map
Notable construction projects
Airpark West #16
Signe tenant(s): none
Square Feet: 151,800
Landlord: Hemmer Construction
Park North Building 5
Signed tenant(s): none
Square Feet: 143,664
Landlord: IDI Gazeley
Union Centre Industrial Park 1
Signed tenant(s): Compucom
Square Feet: 446,500
Landlord: Duke Realty
10900 Kenwood Road
Signed tenant(s): none
Square Feet: 534,560
Landlord: Schuermann Properties
LogistiCenter at 275 #2
Signe tenant(s): none
Square Feet: 264,000
Landlord: Dermody Properties
Completed:
Q4 2016
Estimated completion:
Q1 2017
Estimated completion:
Q1 2017
Estimated completion:
Q2 2017
Completed:
Q4 2016
For more information, please contact:
About JLL
JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a professional services and investment management firm offering specialized real estate services to clients seeking increased
value by owning, occupying and investing in real estate. A Fortune 500 company with annual fee revenue of $4.7 billion and gross revenue of $5.4
billion, JLL has more than 230 corporate offices, operates in 80 countries and has a global workforce of approximately 58,000. On behalf of its clients,
the firm provides management and real estate outsourcing services for a property portfolio of 3.4 billion square feet, or 316 million square meters, and
completed $118 billion in sales, acquisitions and finance transactions in 2014. Its investment management business, LaSalle Investment Management,
has $56.0 billion of real estate assets under management. JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For
further information, visit www.jll.com.
About JLL Research
JLL’s research team delivers intelligence, analysis and insight through market-leading reports and services that illuminate today’s commercial real
estate dynamics and identify tomorrow’s challenges and opportunities. Our more than 400 global research professionals track and analyze economic
and property trends and forecast future conditions in over 60 countries, producing unrivalled local and global perspectives. Our research and expertise,
fueled by real-time information and innovative thinking around the world, creates a competitive advantage for our clients and drives successful
strategies and optimal real estate decisions.
This publication is the sole property of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,
either in whole or in part, without prior written consent of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc.
COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2016
Andrew Batson
Vice President, Director of Research
+1 216 937 4374
Andrew.Batson@am.jll.com
Ross Bratcher
Research Analyst
+1 513 719 3706
Ross.Bratcher@am.jll.com

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JLL Cincinnati Industrial Outlook - Q4 2016

  • 2. Property Proposed buillding s.f. Acres Former Gibson Greeting Card 600,000 56 Aero Hub 550,000 24.6 Nehemiah Manufacturing 172,000 7 JTM Warehousing 78,668 22 Class A leases signed in 2016 Source: JLL Research Available blocks in the airport submarket Source: JLL Research Civic developments underway Source: JLL Research 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Total s.f. leased Number of leases signed 238,587,997 Market size (s.f.) 4,612,637 YTD total net absorption (s.f.) $3.78 Average asking rent (p.s.f.) 2,346,546 Total under construction (s.f.) 4.2% Total vacancy 1.9% Net absorption (as a % of stock) 1.9% 12-month rent growth 4,776,365 YTD construction completions (s.f.) Leasing activity finishes the year strong Throughout 2016 developers have filled the construction pipeline with projects to meet growing tenant demand for industrial space within the market. The fourth quarter confirmed developers confidence as Class A leasing heated up, absorbing over 650,000 square feet of space. As rental rates have risen, developers have become increasingly confident in speculative buildings smaller than 200,000 square feet. A trend was reversed from the start of 2016 in which projects greater than 300,000 square feet accounted for the majority of the development pipeline. Multiple deals were signed in recently delivered buildings in the smaller size segment, confirming that higher rental rates can be achieved. Quality space finally available in the Airport submarket Over the last two years the airport submarket has become increasingly tight with the vacancy rate falling below 2 percent to start 2016. Fortunately for tenants, space have become available due to recently vacated spaces as well as new construction in the submarket. The fourth quarter saw Innotrac vacate 646,000 square feet at Litton Lane, as well as 194,000 square feet that Dematic vacated in Airpark West. One building delivered was the 151,800-square-foot Airpark West # 16. Construction commenced on Hebron Logistics Center, containing two buildings totaling 718,658 square feet and Dermody continued construction on the 264,000-square foot LogistiCenter at 275 #2. Recent development activity reaffirms developers confidence in tenant demand for space in the submarket. Civic activity opens doors to infill sites in fourth quarter While Cincinnati’s industrial market has seen continued growth since the Great Recession, the market is still plagued by a shortage of available land for industrial development. As our second quarter report touched upon, civic players have become increasingly more involved preparing infill sites for industrial development. The fourth quarter was no different as the City of Evendale announced the purchase of the 24.6-acre “Aero-Hub”, an advanced manufacturing campus. In addition, the Port Authority began demolition of the former Gibson Greeting card building to make way for a 56-acre site for new development. The Port Authority also partnered with JTM Food Group on a 78,668-square-foot freezer-cooler warehouse at 200 Industrial Drive in Harrison. Market fundamentals strengthen to end year Industrial Insight Cincinnati | Q4 2016 0 4 8 100,000 - 249,999 250,000 - 499,999 >500,000 s.f. #ofblocks Existing Spec - Recently Delivered Spec - Under Construction JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016
  • 3. Inventory (s.f.) Quarterly total net absorption (s.f.) YTD total net absorption (s.f.) YTD total net absorption (% of stock) Total vacancy (% ) Total availability (% ) Average total asking rent ($ p.s.f.) Quarterly completions (s.f.) YTD completions (s.f.) Under construction (s.f.) Cincinnati totals Warehouse & Distribution 169,396,208 419,648 4,060,752 2.4% 5.0% 7.1% $3.84 737,050 4,776,365 2,346,546 Manufacturing 69,191,789 -194,733 551,885 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% $3.18 0 0 0 Totals 238,587,997 224,915 4,612,637 1.9% 4.2% 6.0% $3.78 737,050 4,776,365 2,346,546 Flex 11,626,806 153,447 494,364 4.3% 10.3% 13.2% $5.96 0 0 0 Airport Warehouse & Distribution 26,687,243 -555,512 817,144 3.1% 4.5% 8.2% $3.82 151,800 1,780,360 1,062,658 Manufacturing 2,342,265 -194,733 -162,733 -6.9% 8.3% 10.7% $4.50 0 0 0 Totals 26,930,548 -750,245 654,411 2.4% 4.8% 9.3% $3.72 151,800 1,780,360 1,062,658 Flex 1,069,751 0 4,701 0.4% 3.8% 10.2% $6.24 0 0 0 Blue Ash Warehouse & Distribution 8,181,331 -70,552 185,118 2.3% 1.7% 5.1% $3.84 0 0 534,560 Manufacturing 2,524,938 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% $3.00 0 0 0 Totals 10,706,269 -70,552 185,118 1.7% 1.3% 4.8% $3.84 0 0 534,560 Flex 1,719,749 16,795 37,214 2.2% 6.7% 7.9% $7.49 0 0 0 Campbell County Warehouse & Distribution 2,235,913 12,000 -2,000 -0.1% 2.8% 2.8% $3.66 0 0 0 Manufacturing 1,045,402 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Totals 3,281,315 12,000 -2,000 -0.1% 1.9% 1.9% $3.66 0 0 0 Flex 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Central / Midtown Warehouse & Distribution 29,801,858 185,312 424,568 1.4% 2.7% 4.0% $4.19 0 0 0 Manufacturing 14,794,799 0 75,200 0.5% 1.4% 2.5% $2.50 0 0 0 Totals 44,596,657 185,312 499,768 1.1% 2.3% 3.5% $3.96 0 0 0 Flex 902,506 -21,552 73,535 8.1% 29.2% 30.0% $8.75 0 0 0 Covington Warehouse & Distribution 3,176,777 0 7,250 0.2% 2.6% 5.2% $4.16 0 0 0 Manufacturing 779,862 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 0 0 0 Totals 3,956,639 0 7,250 0.2% 2.1% 4.1% $4.16 0 0 0 Flex 20,000 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $6.21 0 0 0 East Warehouse & Distribution 5,660,129 24,000 21,040 0.4% 2.0% 3.5% $4.61 0 0 0 Manufacturing 5,487,999 0 153,367 2.8% 12.3% 14.6% $2.70 0 0 0 Totals 11,148,128 24,000 174,407 1.6% 7.1% 9.9% $3.53 0 0 0 Flex 1,188,181 0 29,402 2.5% 10.6% 12.1% $6.41 0 0 0 Florence / Richwood Warehouse & Distribution 12,679,936 -4,400 80,919 0.6% 12.9% 14.5% $3.66 0 1,116,804 0 Manufacturing 8,214,941 0 93,000 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% $3.50 0 0 Totals 20,894,877 -4,400 173,919 0.8% 8.2% 9.2% $3.57 0 1,116,804 0 Flex 795,699 0 3,694 0.5% 5.8% 10.8% $3.96 0 0 0 Hamilton Warehouse & Distribution 6,209,488 23,062 8,916 0.1% 11.8% 12.6% $3.60 0 0 0 Manufacturing 1,741,094 0 -129,560 -7.4% 7.4% 7.4% $2.25 0 0 0 Totals 7,950,582 23,062 -120,644 -1.5% 10.8% 11.4% $2.74 0 0 0 Flex 249,734 0 0 0.0% 11.4% 11.4% $6.60 0 0 0 I-71 Corridor Warehouse & Distribution 5,085,348 16,800 499,303 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% $4.62 0 300,000 0 Manufacturing 4,911,416 0 216,000 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% $2.75 0 0 0 Totals 9,996,764 16,800 715,303 3.9% 3.5% 3.7% $3.11 0 300,000 0 Flex 518,639 -1,032 15,058 2.9% 17.6% 17.6% $7.25 0 0 0 Monroe / Middletown Warehouse & Distribution 11,325,521 -12,000 319,848 2.8% 11.2% 13.2% $3.70 0 993,951 143,664 Manufacturing 6,976,617 0 0 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% $2.25 0 0 0 Totals 18,302,138 -12,000 319,848 7.4% 7.4% 8.7% $3.58 0 993,951 143,664 Flex 181,900 135,000 141,881 78.0% 14.7% 14.7% $7.88 0 0 0 Tri-County Warehouse & Distribution 46,442,337 667,612 1,767,178 3.8% 4.3% 5.4% $3.52 585,250 585,250 605,664 Manufacturing 9,107,941 0 226,231 2.5% 0.0% 1.2% $3.70 0 0 0 Totals 55,550,278 667,612 1,993,409 3.6% 3.6% 4.7% $3.55 585,250 585,250 605,664 Flex 4,087,159 8,396 192,164 4.7% 9.7% 13.8% $5.76 0 0 0 West Warehouse & Distribution 4,139,072 36,530 -143,402 -3.5% 4.4% 5.5% $4.53 0 0 0 Manufacturing 708,242 0 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Totals 4,847,314 36,530 -143,402 -3.0% 3.8% 4.7% $4.53 0 0 0 Flex 313,780 0 -18,400 -5.9% 14.3% 14.3% $4.95 0 0 0 Woodlawn / Evendale Warehouse & Distribution 7,771,255 96,796 74,870 1.0% 2.4% 7.8% $3.38 0 0 0 Manufacturing 10,556,273 0 80,380 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% - 0 0 0 Totals 18,327,528 96,796 155,250 0.8% 1.5% 3.3% $3.38 0 0 0 Flex 579,708 15,840 15,115 2.6% 8.7% 11.0% $4.75 0 0 0 Industrial statistics Cincinnati | Q4 2016 JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016
  • 4. This report analyzes all industrial developments under construction & new deliveries > 30,000 s.f. Total leased at delivery (%) 34.4% Total speculative at delivery (s.f.) 3,367,805 Total BTS at delivery (s.f.) 1,408,560 Total Owner-User at delivery (s.f.) - Total # of properties delivered 10 Asking rental rate (low - high) $3.75 - $3.95 Top 5 projects delivered to date Building RBA (s.f.) Delivery date Leased at delivery (%) Park North at Monroe Bldg 8 993,951 Q3 2016 0% Wayfair LogistiCenter at 275 898,560 Q2 2016 100% Park 536 674,500 Q3 2016 0% 2125 Gateway Blvd 520,000 Q1 2016 100% Union Centre Industrial Park I 446,500 Q4 2016 100% Total pre-leased (%) 0.0% Total speculative under construction (s.f.) 2,346,546 Total BTS under construction (s.f.) - Total Owner-user under construction (s.f.) - Total # of properties UC 7 Asking rental rate (low - high) $3.75 - $4.50 Top 5 projects currently under construction Building RBA (s.f.) Delivery date Pre-leased (%) Hebron Logistics Center Bldg 1 589,193 Q2 2017 0% 10900 Kenwood Rd 534,560 Q1 2017 0% Union Centre Logistics Park Bldg 1 477,360 Q2 2017 0% LogistiCenter at 275 #2 264,000 Q1 2017 0% Park North Monroe Bldg 5 143,664 Q2 2017 0%Speculative Speculative Owner Construction type Speculative IDI Gazeley Dermody Northpoint Citimark Hillwood Speculative Speculative Monroe / Middletown Airport Tri-County Blue Ash Airport Historical deliveries (s.f.) Construction typeOwnerSubmarket Tri-County Airport Florence / Richwood Airport Monroe Duke Prologis Van Trust Dermody IDI Gazeley Speculative BTS New deliveries Completions in-depth 4,776,365 Total delivered YTD (s.f.) Speculative Speculative Speculative Submarket Under construction 2,346,546 Under construction (s.f.) Under construction in-depth Upcoming deliveries by year (s.f., excludes YTD completions) 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 2017 Speculative Industrial Development Report Cincinnati | Q4 2016 JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016
  • 5. Industry employment stratification: Cincinnati Industrial Employment Update Cincinnati | Q4 2016 4.9%U.S. unemployment 1.7%U.S. 12-month job growth 3.9%Cincinnati unemployment 1.9%Cincinnati 12-month job growth 4.8%Ohio unemployment 1.5%Ohio 12-month job growth Employment vs. unemployment rate: Cincinnati Job growth (12-month change): United States vs. Cincinnati Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change): Cincinnati Industrial employment trends (12-month change, 000s): Cincinnati -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Cincinnati United States JLL | Cincinnati | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2016 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 780,000 840,000 900,000 960,000 1,020,000 1,080,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Nonfarm employment Unemployment -400 -200 1,300 1,700 1,800 2,000 2,500 3,300 3,400 4,000 -1,500 -500 500 1,500 2,500 3,500 4,500 Information Trade, Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Government Other Services Mining, Logging & Construction Leisure & Hospitality Educational & Health Services Trade, Transportation & Utilities, 194,100 , 18% Professional & Business Services, 177,200 , 17% Government, 171,000 , 16% Educational & Health Services, 155,900 , 15% Leisure & Hospitality, 104,700 , 10% Financial Activities, 80,300 , 8% Manufacturing, 72,700 , 7% Other Services, 43,100 , 4% Mining, Logging & Construction, 37,700 , 3% Information, 16,700 , 2% -25.0 -15.0 -5.0 5.0 15.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Trade,Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing Other Services Mining, Logging & Construction
  • 6. Industrial Submarket Map Notable construction projects Airpark West #16 Signe tenant(s): none Square Feet: 151,800 Landlord: Hemmer Construction Park North Building 5 Signed tenant(s): none Square Feet: 143,664 Landlord: IDI Gazeley Union Centre Industrial Park 1 Signed tenant(s): Compucom Square Feet: 446,500 Landlord: Duke Realty 10900 Kenwood Road Signed tenant(s): none Square Feet: 534,560 Landlord: Schuermann Properties LogistiCenter at 275 #2 Signe tenant(s): none Square Feet: 264,000 Landlord: Dermody Properties Completed: Q4 2016 Estimated completion: Q1 2017 Estimated completion: Q1 2017 Estimated completion: Q2 2017 Completed: Q4 2016
  • 7. For more information, please contact: About JLL JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a professional services and investment management firm offering specialized real estate services to clients seeking increased value by owning, occupying and investing in real estate. A Fortune 500 company with annual fee revenue of $4.7 billion and gross revenue of $5.4 billion, JLL has more than 230 corporate offices, operates in 80 countries and has a global workforce of approximately 58,000. On behalf of its clients, the firm provides management and real estate outsourcing services for a property portfolio of 3.4 billion square feet, or 316 million square meters, and completed $118 billion in sales, acquisitions and finance transactions in 2014. Its investment management business, LaSalle Investment Management, has $56.0 billion of real estate assets under management. JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit www.jll.com. About JLL Research JLL’s research team delivers intelligence, analysis and insight through market-leading reports and services that illuminate today’s commercial real estate dynamics and identify tomorrow’s challenges and opportunities. Our more than 400 global research professionals track and analyze economic and property trends and forecast future conditions in over 60 countries, producing unrivalled local and global perspectives. Our research and expertise, fueled by real-time information and innovative thinking around the world, creates a competitive advantage for our clients and drives successful strategies and optimal real estate decisions. This publication is the sole property of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, either in whole or in part, without prior written consent of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2016 Andrew Batson Vice President, Director of Research +1 216 937 4374 Andrew.Batson@am.jll.com Ross Bratcher Research Analyst +1 513 719 3706 Ross.Bratcher@am.jll.com