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Corporate Wealth or Public Health?
Robert H. Lustig, M.D., M.S.L.
Division of Endocrinology, Department of Pediatrics
Institute for Health Policy Studies
University of California, San Francisco
Adjunct Faculty, UC Hastings College of the Law
Adjunct Faculty, Touro University—California
Chief Science Officer, Eat REAL
Food Literacy for All, U. Michigan, February 4, 2020
Disclosures
If a researcher isn’t willing to follow
his data into the policy arena, who
will?
— Dr. Jeremiah Stamler,
“Father” of Cardiovascular Epidemiology
The reason I am here today
Agenda
• 1. The problem
• 2. The three myths
• 3. The dark forces
• 4. The solutions
1. The Problem
T2DM increasing around the world
People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase
Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001
PROJECTED
Projected annualized inflation rate 3.88%
T2DM increasing around the world
People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase
Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001
285 MILLION IN 2010
Actual annualized inflation rate 6.55%
T2DM increasing around the world
People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase
Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001
422 MILLION IN 2014
Actual annualized inflation rate 10.30%
T2DM increasing around the world
People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase
Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001 WTF??
422 MILLION IN 2014
Over the past 40 years,
we’ve traded one disease for another
Heart disease Diabetes
Khasan, The Atlantic, Dec. 2016
The money is not going to hospitals, physicians, or Big
Pharma
The money is not going to hospitals, physicians, or Big
Pharma
It’s going to chronic metabolic disease
Two inconvenient truths
Two inconvenient truths
• There is no rational medical therapy to prevent
chronic metabolic disease
• There’s just long-term treatment
Two inconvenient truths
• There is no rational medical therapy to prevent
chronic metabolic disease
• There’s just long-term treatment
• You can’t fix healthcare until you fix health
• You can’t fix health until you fix the diet
• And you can’t fix the diet until you know what is wrong
2. The three myths
Myth #1
It’s about obesity
1. Which predicts metabolic syndrome best?
a.Total body fat
b.Subcutaneous fat
c. Visceral fat
d.Liver fat
e.Brain fat
1. Which predicts metabolic syndrome best?
a.Total body fat
b.Subcutaneous fat
c. Visceral fat
d.Liver fat
e.Brain fat
Obesity is the problem (?)
Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
Obesity is the problem (?)
Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
Obesity is the problem (?)
Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
Obesity is the problem (?)
Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
Obesity is the problem (?)
• Obesity is increasing worldwide by 2.78% per year
1975-2015 Lancet Oct 10, 2017
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60460-8
• Diabetes is increasing worldwide by 4.07% per year
• 1980-2014 Lancet Apr 6, 2016
• http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00618-8
JAMA 314:1021, 2015, doi:10.1001/jama.2015.10029
Secular trend in diabetes among
U.S. adults, 1988-2012
Secular trend in diabetes among
U.S. adults, 1988-2012
25% increase in obese
JAMA 314:1021, 2015, doi:10.1001/jama.2015.10029
Secular trend in diabetes among
U.S. adults, 1988-2012
25% increase in obese
25% increase in nl wt
JAMA 314:1021, 2015, doi:10.1001/jama.2015.10029
Obesity is not the problem
People don’t die of obesity
Obesity is not the problem
People don’t die of obesity
Metabolic Syndrome: where all the money goes
(75% of all healthcare dollars)
Obesity is not the problem
People don’t die of obesity
Metabolic Syndrome: where all the money goes
(75% of all healthcare dollars)
Diabetes
Hypertension
Lipid abnormalities
Cardiovascular disease
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease
Polycystic ovarian disease
Cancer
Dementia
“Exclusive” view of obesity
and metabolic dysfunction
Obese (30%)
Normal weight (70%)
240 million adults in U.S.
72 million
168 million
Obese (30%)
Obese and sick
(80% of 30%)
Normal weight (70%)
240 million adults in U.S.
72 million
168 million
Total: 57 million sick
“Exclusive” view of obesity
and metabolic dysfunction
Obese (30%)
Normal weight (70%)
240 million adults in U.S.
72 million
168 million
“Inclusive” view of obesity
and metabolic dysfunction
Obese (30%)
Normal weight (70%)
240 million adults in U.S.
Normal weight,
Metabolic dysfunction
(40% of 70%)
Obese and sick
(80% of 30%)
57 million 67 million
Total: 124 million sick
72 million
168 million
“Inclusive” view of obesity
and metabolic dysfunction
Relation between visceral and subcutaneous obesity
TOFI (thin on the outside, fat on the inside)
Thomas et al. Obesity doi: 10.1038/oby.2011.142, 2011
Histology of (N)AFLD
Normal (N)AFLD
NAFLD is a worldwide problem,
even in normal weight people
Loomis et al. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 101:945, 2016
Obese
Normal
Weight
Obese
Over
Weight
Normal
Weight
Over
Weight
NAFLD is associated with diabetes,
even in normal weight people
MRI Fat Fraction Maps
Obese
Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
MRI Fat Fraction Maps
Obese
Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
MRI Fat Fraction Maps
Obese
Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
Obese
High Liver Fat = 24%
MRI Fat Fraction Maps
Obese
Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
Obese
High Liver Fat = 24%
MRI Fat Fraction Maps
Obese
Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
Obese
High Liver Fat = 24%
Thin
High Liver Fat = 23%
MRI Fat Fraction Maps
Obese
Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
Obese
High Liver Fat = 24%
Thin
High Liver Fat = 23%
48
The key to the kingdom:
It’s not about obesity (the fat you can see);
It’s about metabolic dysfunction (the fat you can’t see);
of which obesity is a result, not a cause
Myth #2
A calorie is a calorie
2. Fructose increases liver fat by:
a.increasing obesity
b.increasing visceral fat
c. by increasing de novo lipogenesis
d.by reducing exercise
e.by making the brain think it’s starved
2. Fructose increases liver fat by:
a.increasing obesity
b.increasing visceral fat
c. by increasing de novo lipogenesis
d.by reducing exercise
e.by making the brain think it’s starved
The Fiction
“Beating obesity will take action by all of us, based on
one simple common sense fact: All calories count, no
matter where they come from, including Coca-Cola and
everything else with calories…”
-The Coca Cola Company, “Coming Together”, 2013
• Some Calories Cause Disease More than
Others
• Different Calories are Metabolized
Differently
• A Calorie is Not A Calorie
– Fiber
– Protein
– Fat
– Fructose
The Science
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
Growth of
Sugar Industry
Stabilization
HFCS +
Sugar for Fat
WWII
U.S. Commerce Service 1822-1910, combined with Economic Research Service, USDA 1910-2010
http://ushealthcarespending.gov
PROCESSED
FOOD
(20%)
(80%)
(80%)
(100%)
Sugar is toxic unrelated to calories
Lustig et al. Obesity 24:453, 2016
Schwarz et al. Gastroenterology 153:743, 2017
Gugliucci et al. Atherosclerosis 253:171, 2016
Ac CoA*
Malonyl
CoA
Glycerol-P
Fatty
Acid*
TG*
De novo
Lipogenesis
DNL
VLDL*
Schwarz et al. Gastroenterology 133:742, 2017
Ac CoA*
Malonyl
CoA
Glycerol-P
Fatty
Acid*
TG*
De novo
Lipogenesis
DNL
VLDL*
LIVER
FAT
DNL
VLDL*
9 days
fructose
restriction
Visceral fat
Schwarz et al. Gastroenterology 133:742, 2017
Ac CoA*
Malonyl
CoA
Glycerol-P
Fatty
Acid*
TG*
De novo
Lipogenesis
DNL
VLDL*
Improved
Insulin
kinetics
LIVER
FAT
DNL
VLDL*
9 days
fructose
restriction
Visceral fat
Schwarz et al. Gastroenterology 133:742, 2017
62
Independent Confirmation
Fructose reduces liver mitochondrial
function, while glucose stimulates it
Softic et al. Cell Metab 30:735, Oct 1, 2019
"The most important takeaway of
this study is that high fructose in
the diet is bad," says Dr. Kahn.
"It's not bad because it's more
calories, but because it has
effects on liver metabolism to
make it worse at burning fat. As a
result, adding fructose to the diet
makes the liver store more fat,
and this is bad for the liver and
bad for whole body metabolism."
Dr. C. Ronald Kahn,
CEO, Joslin Diabetes Center
Sugar and disease
• Causation
– Diabetes
– Heart Disease
– Fatty Liver Disease
– Tooth Decay
• Correlation
– Cancer
– Dementia
The American Heart Association knows
Circulation 120:1011, 2009
Recommends reduction in sugar intake from 22 tsp/day
to 9 tsp/day (males) and 6 tsp/day (females)
Myth #3
It’s about personal responsibility
3. Who invented personal responsibility?
a. The British
b. The French
c. The founding fathers
d. The Supreme Court
e. The tobacco industry
3. Who invented personal responsibility?
a. The British
b. The French
c. The founding fathers
d. The Supreme Court
e. The tobacco industry
Personal responsibility
is an ideology
Knowledge
Personal responsibility
is an ideology
56 names for sugar
Agave nectar Barbados sugar Barley malt Beet sugar
Blackstrap molasses Brown sugar Buttered syrup Cane juice crystals
Cane sugar Caramel Carob syrup Castor sugar
Confectioner’s sugar Corn syrup Corn syrup solids Crystalline fructose
Date sugar Demerara sugar Dextran Dextrose
Diastatic malt Diatase Ethyl maltol Evaporated cane juice
Florida crystals Fructose Fruit juice Fruit juice concentrate
Galactose Glucose Glucose solids Golden sugar
Golden syrup Grape sugar High-fructose corn syrup Honey
Icing sugar Invert sugar Lactose Malt syrup
Maltodextrin Maltose Maple syrup Molasses
Muscovado Organic raw sugar Panocha Raw sugar
Refiner’s syrup Rice syrup Sorghum syrup Sucrose
Sugar Treacle Turbinado sugar Yellow sugar
Why don’t they list “added sugars”?
Why is there no Dietary Reference Intake?
Knowledge
Access
Personal responsibility
is an ideology
Knowledge
Access
Affordability
Personal responsibility
is an ideology
Personal responsibility
is an ideology
Knowledge
Access
Affordability
Don’t hurt anyone else
Old medicine: infections microbes
New medicine: chronic multinational
disease corporations
Lancet 381:670, 2013
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
Growth of
Sugar Industry
Stabilization
HFCS +
Sugar for Fat
WWII
versus US health care spending (% GDP)
U.S. Commerce Service 1822-1910, combined with Economic Research Service, USDA 1910-2010
http://ushealthcarespending.gov
PROCESSED
FOOD
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
Growth of
Sugar Industry
Stabilization
HFCS +
Sugar for Fat
WWII
versus US health care spending (% GDP)
U.S. Commerce Service 1822-1910, combined with Economic Research Service, USDA 1910-2010
http://ushealthcarespending.gov
PROCESSED
FOOD
Morgan Stanley Report, The Bitter Aftertaste of Sugar, March, 2015
PROCESSED
FOOD
Kearns et al. PLoS Biol 15:e2003460, 2017
3. The Dark Forces
Ten conglomerates
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
World Sugar Research Organization
critique of WHO proposal to reduce sugar
to 5% of total calories
June 9, 2014
• 3.1: Sugar is less energy dense than fat;
4 kcal/gm vs. 9 kcal/gm
• In a cookie, the sugar is not displacing the fat;
it’s displacing the water
1/3 fat
1/3 CHO
1/3 water
39 cal
1/3 fat
1/3 CHO
1/3 sugar
51 cal
9 gram
cookie
http://www.wsro.org/Portals/12/Docs/public/documents/News/FINAL%20WSRO%20Comments%20on%20Draft
%20WHO%20Guideline%20on%20sugars.pdf
-2 gm fat
+13gm
CHO
+ 34 cal
“Snackwell”
The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate
Bentley et al. Econ Hum Biol 36:100818, 2020
Matrix of 46 calendar years vs. 75 life ages
The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate
Wisconsin
Bentley et al. Econ Hum Biol 36:100818, 2020
Matrix of 46 calendar years vs. 75 life ages
Generational time lag:
Obesity in year t at age y is calculated based on obesity in year t-1 at age y-1
Early excesses in sugar consumption in early childhood are compounded
over the long term, and register years later as increasing obesity rates
The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate
Wisconsin
Bentley et al. Econ Hum Biol 36:100818, 2020
Matrix of 46 calendar years vs. 75 life ages
Generational time lag:
Obesity in year t at age y is calculated based on obesity in year t-1 at age y-1
Early excesses in sugar consumption in early childhood are compounded
over the long term, and register years later as increasing obesity rates
The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate
time age
Wisconsin
Bes-Rastrollo et al. PLoS Med 10(12): e1001578
Schillinger et al. Annals Int Med 165:895, 2016
Food
Company
Sponsorship
Positive
Association
Negative
Association
RR; 95% CI; P
Yes (n=26) 0 26 RR 34.0
No (n=34) 33 1 [4.9-234.5]
P<0.001
60 studies (28 trials and 32 systematic reviews/meta-analyses)
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
• Buying scientists
• Frederick Stare, M.D., Ph.D.
Berger, The Present Illness, Harvard Medical Alumni Bulletin, Jan/Feb 1974
I would add one point which is that if you receive
support from industry or the Corn Refiners
sponsors the event, that cannot be taken as
influence unless the speaker is a representative
for that organization. The NIH is, in my view,
extremely biased in what they fund but you have
to assume that if the authors say that the funding
agency is not involved than that's how it is.
Otherwise, we have nothing. (Of course, if there
is actually evidence of wrong-doing, there are
agencies that you can take your case to).
—Dr. Richard Feinman, SUNY Downstate, 2012
I would add one point which is that if you receive
support from industry or the Corn Refiners
sponsors the event, that cannot be taken as
influence unless the speaker is a representative
for that organization. The NIH is, in my view,
extremely biased in what they fund but you have
to assume that if the authors say that the funding
agency is not involved than that's how it is.
Otherwise, we have nothing. (Of course, if there
is actually evidence of wrong-doing, there are
agencies that you can take your case to).
—Dr. Richard Feinman, SUNY Downstate, 2012
James Hill- U. Colorado
Gregory Hand- U. West Virginia
Stephen Blair-U. South Carolina
Ignores two studies which show proximate cause for sugar and diabetes
EPIC-Interact, Diabetologia Apr 2013; Basu et al. PLoS One, Feb 2013
Serodio et al. Pub Health Nutr 2018 doi 10.1017/S136898001700307X
The web of Coca-Cola funded research, 2008-2016
Hessari et al. Millbank Quarterly, 2019
It is difficult to get a man to understand something,
when his salary depends on his not understanding it.
— Upton Sinclair
“I, Candidate for Governor:
And How I Got Licked”, 1935
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
• Buying scientists
• Co-opting critics
Conflicts of Interest
October 17, 2009
American Academy of Pediatrics (Washington, DC)
Welcome Reception Sponsored by
Conflicts of Interest
Conflicts of Interest
Am J Prev Med epub
Oct 10, 2016
Medical, Professional
Government
Industry Mouthpiece
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
• Buying scientists
• Co-opting critics
• Weakening government oversight
Federal Trade Commission vs. Sugar Information, 1972
Federal Trade Commission vs. Sugar Information, 1972
The KidVid Debacle (1978-1981)
• The Federal Trade Commission initiated the "KidVid" rulemaking in
1978, seeking to regulate TV advertising to children through either a
ban on all kid-targeted ads or a requirement that ads for sugared food
products be "balanced" with disclosures about health and nutrition.
• This rulemaking ignited a political and regulatory firestorm.
• The FTC ended the proceeding in 1981.
• Congress enacted the FTC Improvements Act of 1980, which imposed
important limits on the unfairness rulemaking authority of the
commission, essentially “declawing” the agency.
• Istanbul, 2007:
52 European health ministers voted to cease marketing
of junk foods to children
• Los Angeles, 2007:
Federal Communications Comissioner (FCC) Deborah
Taylor-Tate: “I expect the food industry to police itself”.
• Santa Clara and San Francisco, 2010:
“Toy ban” on Happy Meals
• Nationally, 2012
3 states passed “ban” on “toy bans”
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
• Buying scientists
• Co-opting critics
• Weakening government oversight
• Market saturation
Environmental Working Group, 2014
Of 1556 cereals, 88% had added sugar
Of 181 children’s cereals, all had added sugar
Not one of top 10 sugared cereals had lowered
its sugar content between 2011 and 2014
Where’s the sugar?
1/3 in beverages
1/6 in desserts
½ hidden in foods that didn’t used to have sugar
e.g. salad dressings
yogurt
tomato sauce, ketchup, condiments
crackers, other carbohydrate products
They’ve even saturated medicine!
They’ve even saturated medicine!
28% of U.S. Children’s Hospitals have fast food venues.
(Cafeteria in an American Children’s Hospital)
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
• Buying scientists
• Co-opting critics
• Weakening government oversight
• Market saturation
• Astroturf groups
Citizens for Health
• Non-profit
• Funded by the Sugar
Association to take down
High- Fructose Corn Syrup
• Exec. Director George Turner
(special counsel to Senate
Select Committee on Food,
Nutrition, and Health and to
the Senate Government
Operations Subcommittee on
Government Research)
• Government intervention in the market can only be justified if
there is a market failure.
• Annual sugar consumption in Britain peaked several decades
ago.
• There is insufficient scientific evidence to label sugar as
addictive.
• There is insufficient evidence to suggest that a calorie
from sugar is more fattening than a calorie from other foods.
• There is very little evidence of consumers being limited by
choice in the food market.
• Some food campaigners may be unhappy about the kinds of
choices consumers are making.
• Dietary information and sugar content is clearly marked on
nearly all food products.
• A ban on television advertising for foods that are high in fat,
salt or sugar before 9pm would effectively be a form of
censorship.
• Limiting the availability of fast food outlets stifles competition.
• Taxes on food and soft drinks have been shown to be
ineffective in reducing obesity.
Similarly, in the United Kingdom, the Institute of Economic Affairs
(IEA), an organisation that describes itself to be ‘the UK’s original free-
market think-tank’, claims to be independent of any political party,
group or organisation. But in 2016, Transparify – which provides
ratings of financial transparency of major think tanks – gave a ‘highly
opaque’zero score.
Malhotra, Schofield, Lustig, JIR 2018
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
• Buying scientists
• Co-opting critics
• Weakening government oversight
• Market saturation
• Astroturf groups
• Marketing to children
Similarity to Tobacco
Food and SpongeBob
Squarepants
M&M’s, Hot Wheels and NASCAR
Educational Toys
Soft Drink Logos on Baby Bottles
The birth of the “Un-Cola”
It’s a global marketing campaign…
…and the effect is global, too
Methods used by the DARK FORCES
• Shoddy science
• Buying scientists
• Co-opting critics
• Weakening government oversight
• Market saturation
• Astroturf groups
• Marketing to children
• Spyware and threats
4. The solutions
The good news
Q: What Source of Calories is Most Likely to Cause Weight Gain?
(n = 1009)
2011 2018
Sugars 11% 33%
Carbs 9% 25%
Fat 14% 16%
Protein 2% 3%
All the same 40% 17%
Don’t know 24% 5%
Q: What Source of Calories is Most Likely to Cause Weight Gain?
(n = 1009)
2011 2018
Sugars 11% 33%
Carbs 9% 25%
Fat 14% 16%
Protein 2% 3%
All the same 40% 17%
Don’t know 24% 5%
} 38%
} 42%
Q: What Source of Calories is Most Likely to Cause Weight Gain?
(n = 1009)
2011 2018
Sugars 11% 33%
Carbs 9% 25%
Fat 14% 16%
Protein 2% 3%
All the same 40% 17%
Don’t know 24% 5%
} 38%
} 42%
A: 1. More people know a calorie is NOT a calorie
2. Processed food is the problem
ADDED SUGARS. Mars supports the DGAC’s recommendation that consumers
reduce their added sugars intake to no more than 10% of daily energy intake.
Further, Mars supports labeling and educational approaches, including added
sugars labeling and off-label nutrition education…. At Mars, we believe it is time
for all stakeholders – including industry – to engage in a constructive discussion
that focuses on effective approaches to helping consumers manage their intake
of added sugars.
And now Coke has too!
Governments are slowly responding
We believe higher taxation on “sugary”
food and drinks would be the best option to
reduce sugar intake and help fund the fast-
growing healthcare costs associated with
diabetes type II and obesity.
Conflicts of Interest
Question 1:
Can our “toxic environment” be changed
without government/societal intervention?
Especially when there are potentially addictive
substances involved?
Question 2:
Can we afford to wait to enact public health measures
when healthcare will be bankrupt due to
chronic metabolic disease?
Question 3:
Can 6-month old obese babies change
the medical profession?
Or the food industry?
Or Washington?
Advancing the public health
• Public education about REAL FOOD
• Business
• Government agency action
• Legal recourse
Conclusions
This is a public health crisis, because it is an “exposure”,
even in normal weight people
Processed food is the exposure
The food industry has adulterated our food supply for profit
The industry has bought off scientists and co-opted critics
Most of the checks and balances have been eroded
Government has been complacent, and in some cases complicit
Our best chances: public education, business, legal action
Proposal #1
UCSF Healthy Beverage Initiative
JAMA Internal Medicine, epub Oct 28, 2019
Proposal #2
Type 2 Diabetes should be renamed:
PROCESSED FOOD DISEASE
Proposal #3
Rollback the subsidies for processed food:
CORN
WHEAT
SOY
SUGAR
Proposal #4
Proposal #4
Eat REAL
The largest fast food restaurant chain in the United States is our public school system.
Eat REAL is a nonprofit organization on a mission to fix this.
Eat REAL empowers school district food service leaders to make improvements
and inspires students, schools, parents, and communities in their real food journeys.
Proposal #5
Take Fructose off the GRAS list
Currently under consideration by
Center for Science in the Public Interest
Public Resources
SUGARSCIENCE.ORG
Curated by UCSF
Office Infographics — at RobertLustig.com
Food Literacy For All Presentation
Food Literacy For All Presentation
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Food Literacy For All Presentation

  • 1. Corporate Wealth or Public Health? Robert H. Lustig, M.D., M.S.L. Division of Endocrinology, Department of Pediatrics Institute for Health Policy Studies University of California, San Francisco Adjunct Faculty, UC Hastings College of the Law Adjunct Faculty, Touro University—California Chief Science Officer, Eat REAL Food Literacy for All, U. Michigan, February 4, 2020
  • 3. If a researcher isn’t willing to follow his data into the policy arena, who will? — Dr. Jeremiah Stamler, “Father” of Cardiovascular Epidemiology The reason I am here today
  • 4. Agenda • 1. The problem • 2. The three myths • 3. The dark forces • 4. The solutions
  • 6. T2DM increasing around the world People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001 PROJECTED Projected annualized inflation rate 3.88%
  • 7. T2DM increasing around the world People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001 285 MILLION IN 2010 Actual annualized inflation rate 6.55%
  • 8. T2DM increasing around the world People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001 422 MILLION IN 2014 Actual annualized inflation rate 10.30%
  • 9. T2DM increasing around the world People with DM (in millions) for 2000, projection for 2010, and % increase Zimmet et al. Nature 414: 782, 2001 WTF?? 422 MILLION IN 2014
  • 10. Over the past 40 years, we’ve traded one disease for another Heart disease Diabetes Khasan, The Atlantic, Dec. 2016
  • 11. The money is not going to hospitals, physicians, or Big Pharma
  • 12. The money is not going to hospitals, physicians, or Big Pharma It’s going to chronic metabolic disease
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 17. Two inconvenient truths • There is no rational medical therapy to prevent chronic metabolic disease • There’s just long-term treatment
  • 18. Two inconvenient truths • There is no rational medical therapy to prevent chronic metabolic disease • There’s just long-term treatment • You can’t fix healthcare until you fix health • You can’t fix health until you fix the diet • And you can’t fix the diet until you know what is wrong
  • 19. 2. The three myths
  • 21. 1. Which predicts metabolic syndrome best? a.Total body fat b.Subcutaneous fat c. Visceral fat d.Liver fat e.Brain fat
  • 22. 1. Which predicts metabolic syndrome best? a.Total body fat b.Subcutaneous fat c. Visceral fat d.Liver fat e.Brain fat
  • 23. Obesity is the problem (?) Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
  • 24. Obesity is the problem (?) Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
  • 25. Obesity is the problem (?) Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
  • 26. Obesity is the problem (?) Basu et al. PLoS One 8:e58783, 2013
  • 27. Obesity is the problem (?) • Obesity is increasing worldwide by 2.78% per year 1975-2015 Lancet Oct 10, 2017 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60460-8 • Diabetes is increasing worldwide by 4.07% per year • 1980-2014 Lancet Apr 6, 2016 • http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00618-8
  • 28. JAMA 314:1021, 2015, doi:10.1001/jama.2015.10029 Secular trend in diabetes among U.S. adults, 1988-2012
  • 29. Secular trend in diabetes among U.S. adults, 1988-2012 25% increase in obese JAMA 314:1021, 2015, doi:10.1001/jama.2015.10029
  • 30. Secular trend in diabetes among U.S. adults, 1988-2012 25% increase in obese 25% increase in nl wt JAMA 314:1021, 2015, doi:10.1001/jama.2015.10029
  • 31. Obesity is not the problem People don’t die of obesity
  • 32. Obesity is not the problem People don’t die of obesity Metabolic Syndrome: where all the money goes (75% of all healthcare dollars)
  • 33. Obesity is not the problem People don’t die of obesity Metabolic Syndrome: where all the money goes (75% of all healthcare dollars) Diabetes Hypertension Lipid abnormalities Cardiovascular disease Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease Polycystic ovarian disease Cancer Dementia
  • 34. “Exclusive” view of obesity and metabolic dysfunction Obese (30%) Normal weight (70%) 240 million adults in U.S. 72 million 168 million
  • 35. Obese (30%) Obese and sick (80% of 30%) Normal weight (70%) 240 million adults in U.S. 72 million 168 million Total: 57 million sick “Exclusive” view of obesity and metabolic dysfunction
  • 36. Obese (30%) Normal weight (70%) 240 million adults in U.S. 72 million 168 million “Inclusive” view of obesity and metabolic dysfunction
  • 37. Obese (30%) Normal weight (70%) 240 million adults in U.S. Normal weight, Metabolic dysfunction (40% of 70%) Obese and sick (80% of 30%) 57 million 67 million Total: 124 million sick 72 million 168 million “Inclusive” view of obesity and metabolic dysfunction
  • 38. Relation between visceral and subcutaneous obesity TOFI (thin on the outside, fat on the inside) Thomas et al. Obesity doi: 10.1038/oby.2011.142, 2011
  • 40. NAFLD is a worldwide problem, even in normal weight people
  • 41. Loomis et al. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 101:945, 2016 Obese Normal Weight Obese Over Weight Normal Weight Over Weight NAFLD is associated with diabetes, even in normal weight people
  • 42. MRI Fat Fraction Maps Obese Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
  • 43. MRI Fat Fraction Maps Obese Low Liver Fat = 2.6%
  • 44. MRI Fat Fraction Maps Obese Low Liver Fat = 2.6% Obese High Liver Fat = 24%
  • 45. MRI Fat Fraction Maps Obese Low Liver Fat = 2.6% Obese High Liver Fat = 24%
  • 46. MRI Fat Fraction Maps Obese Low Liver Fat = 2.6% Obese High Liver Fat = 24% Thin High Liver Fat = 23%
  • 47. MRI Fat Fraction Maps Obese Low Liver Fat = 2.6% Obese High Liver Fat = 24% Thin High Liver Fat = 23%
  • 48. 48 The key to the kingdom: It’s not about obesity (the fat you can see); It’s about metabolic dysfunction (the fat you can’t see); of which obesity is a result, not a cause
  • 49. Myth #2 A calorie is a calorie
  • 50. 2. Fructose increases liver fat by: a.increasing obesity b.increasing visceral fat c. by increasing de novo lipogenesis d.by reducing exercise e.by making the brain think it’s starved
  • 51. 2. Fructose increases liver fat by: a.increasing obesity b.increasing visceral fat c. by increasing de novo lipogenesis d.by reducing exercise e.by making the brain think it’s starved
  • 52. The Fiction “Beating obesity will take action by all of us, based on one simple common sense fact: All calories count, no matter where they come from, including Coca-Cola and everything else with calories…” -The Coca Cola Company, “Coming Together”, 2013
  • 53. • Some Calories Cause Disease More than Others • Different Calories are Metabolized Differently • A Calorie is Not A Calorie – Fiber – Protein – Fat – Fructose The Science
  • 54. 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Growth of Sugar Industry Stabilization HFCS + Sugar for Fat WWII U.S. Commerce Service 1822-1910, combined with Economic Research Service, USDA 1910-2010 http://ushealthcarespending.gov PROCESSED FOOD
  • 56. (80%)
  • 58. Sugar is toxic unrelated to calories Lustig et al. Obesity 24:453, 2016 Schwarz et al. Gastroenterology 153:743, 2017 Gugliucci et al. Atherosclerosis 253:171, 2016
  • 60. Ac CoA* Malonyl CoA Glycerol-P Fatty Acid* TG* De novo Lipogenesis DNL VLDL* LIVER FAT DNL VLDL* 9 days fructose restriction Visceral fat Schwarz et al. Gastroenterology 133:742, 2017
  • 61. Ac CoA* Malonyl CoA Glycerol-P Fatty Acid* TG* De novo Lipogenesis DNL VLDL* Improved Insulin kinetics LIVER FAT DNL VLDL* 9 days fructose restriction Visceral fat Schwarz et al. Gastroenterology 133:742, 2017
  • 63. Fructose reduces liver mitochondrial function, while glucose stimulates it Softic et al. Cell Metab 30:735, Oct 1, 2019 "The most important takeaway of this study is that high fructose in the diet is bad," says Dr. Kahn. "It's not bad because it's more calories, but because it has effects on liver metabolism to make it worse at burning fat. As a result, adding fructose to the diet makes the liver store more fat, and this is bad for the liver and bad for whole body metabolism." Dr. C. Ronald Kahn, CEO, Joslin Diabetes Center
  • 64. Sugar and disease • Causation – Diabetes – Heart Disease – Fatty Liver Disease – Tooth Decay • Correlation – Cancer – Dementia
  • 65. The American Heart Association knows Circulation 120:1011, 2009 Recommends reduction in sugar intake from 22 tsp/day to 9 tsp/day (males) and 6 tsp/day (females)
  • 66. Myth #3 It’s about personal responsibility
  • 67. 3. Who invented personal responsibility? a. The British b. The French c. The founding fathers d. The Supreme Court e. The tobacco industry
  • 68. 3. Who invented personal responsibility? a. The British b. The French c. The founding fathers d. The Supreme Court e. The tobacco industry
  • 71. 56 names for sugar Agave nectar Barbados sugar Barley malt Beet sugar Blackstrap molasses Brown sugar Buttered syrup Cane juice crystals Cane sugar Caramel Carob syrup Castor sugar Confectioner’s sugar Corn syrup Corn syrup solids Crystalline fructose Date sugar Demerara sugar Dextran Dextrose Diastatic malt Diatase Ethyl maltol Evaporated cane juice Florida crystals Fructose Fruit juice Fruit juice concentrate Galactose Glucose Glucose solids Golden sugar Golden syrup Grape sugar High-fructose corn syrup Honey Icing sugar Invert sugar Lactose Malt syrup Maltodextrin Maltose Maple syrup Molasses Muscovado Organic raw sugar Panocha Raw sugar Refiner’s syrup Rice syrup Sorghum syrup Sucrose Sugar Treacle Turbinado sugar Yellow sugar
  • 72. Why don’t they list “added sugars”? Why is there no Dietary Reference Intake?
  • 73.
  • 76. Personal responsibility is an ideology Knowledge Access Affordability Don’t hurt anyone else
  • 77. Old medicine: infections microbes New medicine: chronic multinational disease corporations Lancet 381:670, 2013
  • 78. 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Growth of Sugar Industry Stabilization HFCS + Sugar for Fat WWII versus US health care spending (% GDP) U.S. Commerce Service 1822-1910, combined with Economic Research Service, USDA 1910-2010 http://ushealthcarespending.gov PROCESSED FOOD
  • 79. 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Growth of Sugar Industry Stabilization HFCS + Sugar for Fat WWII versus US health care spending (% GDP) U.S. Commerce Service 1822-1910, combined with Economic Research Service, USDA 1910-2010 http://ushealthcarespending.gov PROCESSED FOOD
  • 80. Morgan Stanley Report, The Bitter Aftertaste of Sugar, March, 2015
  • 81.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85. Kearns et al. PLoS Biol 15:e2003460, 2017
  • 86. 3. The Dark Forces
  • 88. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science
  • 89. World Sugar Research Organization critique of WHO proposal to reduce sugar to 5% of total calories June 9, 2014 • 3.1: Sugar is less energy dense than fat; 4 kcal/gm vs. 9 kcal/gm • In a cookie, the sugar is not displacing the fat; it’s displacing the water 1/3 fat 1/3 CHO 1/3 water 39 cal 1/3 fat 1/3 CHO 1/3 sugar 51 cal 9 gram cookie http://www.wsro.org/Portals/12/Docs/public/documents/News/FINAL%20WSRO%20Comments%20on%20Draft %20WHO%20Guideline%20on%20sugars.pdf -2 gm fat +13gm CHO + 34 cal “Snackwell”
  • 90.
  • 91. The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate
  • 92. Bentley et al. Econ Hum Biol 36:100818, 2020 Matrix of 46 calendar years vs. 75 life ages The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate Wisconsin
  • 93. Bentley et al. Econ Hum Biol 36:100818, 2020 Matrix of 46 calendar years vs. 75 life ages Generational time lag: Obesity in year t at age y is calculated based on obesity in year t-1 at age y-1 Early excesses in sugar consumption in early childhood are compounded over the long term, and register years later as increasing obesity rates The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate Wisconsin
  • 94. Bentley et al. Econ Hum Biol 36:100818, 2020 Matrix of 46 calendar years vs. 75 life ages Generational time lag: Obesity in year t at age y is calculated based on obesity in year t-1 at age y-1 Early excesses in sugar consumption in early childhood are compounded over the long term, and register years later as increasing obesity rates The sugar industry says obesity and sugar consumption don’t correlate time age Wisconsin
  • 95. Bes-Rastrollo et al. PLoS Med 10(12): e1001578
  • 96. Schillinger et al. Annals Int Med 165:895, 2016 Food Company Sponsorship Positive Association Negative Association RR; 95% CI; P Yes (n=26) 0 26 RR 34.0 No (n=34) 33 1 [4.9-234.5] P<0.001 60 studies (28 trials and 32 systematic reviews/meta-analyses)
  • 97. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science • Buying scientists
  • 98. • Frederick Stare, M.D., Ph.D.
  • 99. Berger, The Present Illness, Harvard Medical Alumni Bulletin, Jan/Feb 1974
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102.
  • 103. I would add one point which is that if you receive support from industry or the Corn Refiners sponsors the event, that cannot be taken as influence unless the speaker is a representative for that organization. The NIH is, in my view, extremely biased in what they fund but you have to assume that if the authors say that the funding agency is not involved than that's how it is. Otherwise, we have nothing. (Of course, if there is actually evidence of wrong-doing, there are agencies that you can take your case to). —Dr. Richard Feinman, SUNY Downstate, 2012
  • 104. I would add one point which is that if you receive support from industry or the Corn Refiners sponsors the event, that cannot be taken as influence unless the speaker is a representative for that organization. The NIH is, in my view, extremely biased in what they fund but you have to assume that if the authors say that the funding agency is not involved than that's how it is. Otherwise, we have nothing. (Of course, if there is actually evidence of wrong-doing, there are agencies that you can take your case to). —Dr. Richard Feinman, SUNY Downstate, 2012
  • 105.
  • 106. James Hill- U. Colorado Gregory Hand- U. West Virginia Stephen Blair-U. South Carolina
  • 107.
  • 108. Ignores two studies which show proximate cause for sugar and diabetes EPIC-Interact, Diabetologia Apr 2013; Basu et al. PLoS One, Feb 2013
  • 109.
  • 110. Serodio et al. Pub Health Nutr 2018 doi 10.1017/S136898001700307X The web of Coca-Cola funded research, 2008-2016
  • 111. Hessari et al. Millbank Quarterly, 2019
  • 112.
  • 113. It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it. — Upton Sinclair “I, Candidate for Governor: And How I Got Licked”, 1935
  • 114. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science • Buying scientists • Co-opting critics
  • 116. October 17, 2009 American Academy of Pediatrics (Washington, DC) Welcome Reception Sponsored by Conflicts of Interest
  • 118. Am J Prev Med epub Oct 10, 2016 Medical, Professional Government Industry Mouthpiece
  • 119. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science • Buying scientists • Co-opting critics • Weakening government oversight
  • 120. Federal Trade Commission vs. Sugar Information, 1972
  • 121. Federal Trade Commission vs. Sugar Information, 1972
  • 122. The KidVid Debacle (1978-1981) • The Federal Trade Commission initiated the "KidVid" rulemaking in 1978, seeking to regulate TV advertising to children through either a ban on all kid-targeted ads or a requirement that ads for sugared food products be "balanced" with disclosures about health and nutrition. • This rulemaking ignited a political and regulatory firestorm. • The FTC ended the proceeding in 1981. • Congress enacted the FTC Improvements Act of 1980, which imposed important limits on the unfairness rulemaking authority of the commission, essentially “declawing” the agency.
  • 123. • Istanbul, 2007: 52 European health ministers voted to cease marketing of junk foods to children • Los Angeles, 2007: Federal Communications Comissioner (FCC) Deborah Taylor-Tate: “I expect the food industry to police itself”. • Santa Clara and San Francisco, 2010: “Toy ban” on Happy Meals • Nationally, 2012 3 states passed “ban” on “toy bans”
  • 124.
  • 125.
  • 126. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science • Buying scientists • Co-opting critics • Weakening government oversight • Market saturation
  • 127.
  • 128. Environmental Working Group, 2014 Of 1556 cereals, 88% had added sugar Of 181 children’s cereals, all had added sugar Not one of top 10 sugared cereals had lowered its sugar content between 2011 and 2014
  • 129. Where’s the sugar? 1/3 in beverages 1/6 in desserts ½ hidden in foods that didn’t used to have sugar e.g. salad dressings yogurt tomato sauce, ketchup, condiments crackers, other carbohydrate products
  • 131. They’ve even saturated medicine! 28% of U.S. Children’s Hospitals have fast food venues. (Cafeteria in an American Children’s Hospital)
  • 132. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science • Buying scientists • Co-opting critics • Weakening government oversight • Market saturation • Astroturf groups
  • 133. Citizens for Health • Non-profit • Funded by the Sugar Association to take down High- Fructose Corn Syrup • Exec. Director George Turner (special counsel to Senate Select Committee on Food, Nutrition, and Health and to the Senate Government Operations Subcommittee on Government Research)
  • 134.
  • 135. • Government intervention in the market can only be justified if there is a market failure. • Annual sugar consumption in Britain peaked several decades ago. • There is insufficient scientific evidence to label sugar as addictive. • There is insufficient evidence to suggest that a calorie from sugar is more fattening than a calorie from other foods. • There is very little evidence of consumers being limited by choice in the food market. • Some food campaigners may be unhappy about the kinds of choices consumers are making. • Dietary information and sugar content is clearly marked on nearly all food products. • A ban on television advertising for foods that are high in fat, salt or sugar before 9pm would effectively be a form of censorship. • Limiting the availability of fast food outlets stifles competition. • Taxes on food and soft drinks have been shown to be ineffective in reducing obesity.
  • 136. Similarly, in the United Kingdom, the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA), an organisation that describes itself to be ‘the UK’s original free- market think-tank’, claims to be independent of any political party, group or organisation. But in 2016, Transparify – which provides ratings of financial transparency of major think tanks – gave a ‘highly opaque’zero score. Malhotra, Schofield, Lustig, JIR 2018
  • 137. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science • Buying scientists • Co-opting critics • Weakening government oversight • Market saturation • Astroturf groups • Marketing to children
  • 140. M&M’s, Hot Wheels and NASCAR
  • 142.
  • 143. Soft Drink Logos on Baby Bottles
  • 144. The birth of the “Un-Cola”
  • 145. It’s a global marketing campaign…
  • 146.
  • 147.
  • 148. …and the effect is global, too
  • 149. Methods used by the DARK FORCES • Shoddy science • Buying scientists • Co-opting critics • Weakening government oversight • Market saturation • Astroturf groups • Marketing to children • Spyware and threats
  • 150.
  • 151.
  • 154.
  • 155. Q: What Source of Calories is Most Likely to Cause Weight Gain? (n = 1009) 2011 2018 Sugars 11% 33% Carbs 9% 25% Fat 14% 16% Protein 2% 3% All the same 40% 17% Don’t know 24% 5%
  • 156. Q: What Source of Calories is Most Likely to Cause Weight Gain? (n = 1009) 2011 2018 Sugars 11% 33% Carbs 9% 25% Fat 14% 16% Protein 2% 3% All the same 40% 17% Don’t know 24% 5% } 38% } 42%
  • 157. Q: What Source of Calories is Most Likely to Cause Weight Gain? (n = 1009) 2011 2018 Sugars 11% 33% Carbs 9% 25% Fat 14% 16% Protein 2% 3% All the same 40% 17% Don’t know 24% 5% } 38% } 42% A: 1. More people know a calorie is NOT a calorie 2. Processed food is the problem
  • 158. ADDED SUGARS. Mars supports the DGAC’s recommendation that consumers reduce their added sugars intake to no more than 10% of daily energy intake. Further, Mars supports labeling and educational approaches, including added sugars labeling and off-label nutrition education…. At Mars, we believe it is time for all stakeholders – including industry – to engage in a constructive discussion that focuses on effective approaches to helping consumers manage their intake of added sugars.
  • 159. And now Coke has too!
  • 160. Governments are slowly responding
  • 161.
  • 162. We believe higher taxation on “sugary” food and drinks would be the best option to reduce sugar intake and help fund the fast- growing healthcare costs associated with diabetes type II and obesity.
  • 163.
  • 164.
  • 166.
  • 167.
  • 168.
  • 169. Question 1: Can our “toxic environment” be changed without government/societal intervention? Especially when there are potentially addictive substances involved?
  • 170. Question 2: Can we afford to wait to enact public health measures when healthcare will be bankrupt due to chronic metabolic disease?
  • 171. Question 3: Can 6-month old obese babies change the medical profession? Or the food industry? Or Washington?
  • 172. Advancing the public health • Public education about REAL FOOD • Business • Government agency action • Legal recourse
  • 173. Conclusions This is a public health crisis, because it is an “exposure”, even in normal weight people Processed food is the exposure The food industry has adulterated our food supply for profit The industry has bought off scientists and co-opted critics Most of the checks and balances have been eroded Government has been complacent, and in some cases complicit Our best chances: public education, business, legal action
  • 174. Proposal #1 UCSF Healthy Beverage Initiative
  • 175. JAMA Internal Medicine, epub Oct 28, 2019
  • 176. Proposal #2 Type 2 Diabetes should be renamed: PROCESSED FOOD DISEASE
  • 177. Proposal #3 Rollback the subsidies for processed food: CORN WHEAT SOY SUGAR
  • 179. Proposal #4 Eat REAL The largest fast food restaurant chain in the United States is our public school system. Eat REAL is a nonprofit organization on a mission to fix this. Eat REAL empowers school district food service leaders to make improvements and inspires students, schools, parents, and communities in their real food journeys.
  • 180. Proposal #5 Take Fructose off the GRAS list Currently under consideration by Center for Science in the Public Interest
  • 181.
  • 182.
  • 185. Office Infographics — at RobertLustig.com