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Investment Banking
2021 Batch
Concept of Investment Banking
• Concerned with the primary function of assisting capital market in its
function of capital intermediation.
• Savings by themselves do not create wealth unless they are
channelized into productive uses- Discuss
• How institutional intervention helps in moving investments from
financial assets to real assets?- Explain
• The extent to which institutional intervention can mobilise and
allocate capital would depend on the depth of markets & presence of
legal and regulatory bodies- Elaborate
Evolution
• What was the reason of Great Depression?
Boom in capital markets
Commercial banks started acquiring stock broking houses/ affiliates
Affiliates were thinly capitalized
Investment banks borrowed a lot from parent bank
Increase in speculation of bank stocks
Absurd PE ratio bubble
Burst in Oct 1929
Post Great Depression
• Restore confidence in banking- Glass Steagall Act 1933 (Roosevelt)
• Restrictions on commercial banks for engaging in underwriting & acting as
agents
• Restrictions on investment banks from taking deposits & corporate lending
• So commercial and investment banking were separated- the license could
be given for only one area
• It also gave start to FDIC- Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (earlier
$2500 and now $250,000)
• JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley- split
• Formation of NASDAQ 1938
Post 1970s
• Shift in investment banking methodology as “transactional banking”
rather than “relationship banking”
• Increase in growth and size, new services. M&As
• Thus post 1970 emergence of Venture Capital and Private Equity firms
• Arrival of academic finance professionals –
Modiagliani, Miller, Scholes, Merton, Markowitz
• Sophisticated statistical tools
• Emergence of Derivatives products
1990s
• Structed products
• Arbitrage speculation
• Deal making & risk taking/ management
• LBOs
• Glass Steagall Act was replaced with Gramm Leach Bliley Act of 1999
(Clinton regime)
• Technological developments – vibrant & exciting transformation
• US regulators and politicians backed financial product innovation and
made housing policy liberal
2000
• US investment banking was 22% of its GDP having assets worth $3.1 trillion
(2007)
• Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Lehman, Bear Sterns, Saloman Smith (Citigroup),
JP Morgan, BOA, Wells Fargo, Washington Mutual Bank
• Wall Street Culture- fat pay packages, astronomical bonuses, high leverage and
risk. Thrill of flamboyance, famous and arrogance.
• Increase in Rogue Traders
• Market Cap from 2002 to 2007 increased from $22.8 trillion to $60.8 trillion
• Excessive credit and outrageous products drove the real economy
• Bond issuance was $1.4 trillion (highest ever)
2008
• Sub-prime mortgage loans increased from 24000 to 2.2 million
• CDS market grew from $1trillion to $60trillion from 2001 to 2007
• Contagion Risk
As investment banks could not rely on depositors- they were funded
from capital and the money market- this integration caused a lot of
turmoil
Commercial banks, investment banks, insurance companies, and
institutional investors all suffered
• This also led to a liquidity crisis
Post 2008
• Bear Sterns takeover by JP
Morgan-
Fed financed $30b to JP.
Fed did not directly bailed Bear.
JP controlled almost 49.5% of
Bear stake.
7000 people kicked out
Though stock had dived from $93
to $2; Bear was valued at $10
• Merill Lynch merger with BOA at
premium of 38%
• Goldman Sachs was bailed out by
Berkshire Hathway
• Morgan Stanley was bailed out by
US Fed
• Wachovia was bought over by
Wells Fargo
• AIG was nationalized
• Only Lehman was bankrupted
Relief & Reform
• Financial stimulus- QE
• TARP $800 b – reduced to $475b
• Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform & Consumer Protection Act 2010
Registration of private funds with AUM more than $100m
OTC regulation with clearing & settlement
Systemic stability
Mortgage reforms
Dodd Frank Act 2010
• Similar to Glass Steagall
• End “Too Big to Fail”
• Focus on Credit Rating
• Investor Protection (taxpayer money) especially mortgage companies
from financial institutions
• Modified Fed’s lending power to non-depository institutions
• Protect minority and women-oriented
UK Merchant Banks
• 1986- UK merchant banks could not last the onslaught of US investment
banks
• Thus sale of SG Warburg to Swiss Bank Corp (later UBS acquired Swiss)
• 1997- Natwest and Barclays exited investment banking business
• Deutsche acquired Morgan Grefell, Bankers Trust, Alex Brown
• Banks which faced sub-prime heat were- UBS, RBS, Santander, ABN Amro
Other European banks- HSBC, StanC, Rothschild, BNP, Commerzbank
Indian Origin
• Foreign banks in India started investment banking operations
• Grindlays Bank in 1967 got the first license followed by Citibank 1970
• SBI in 1972, followed by many PSBs
• ICICI in 1973 was first private bank
• IFCI and IDBI got in 1992
• SEBI asks banks to keep investment banking business separated from
their entities
SEBI Guidelines
• Payment of Rs 50000 for application fee
• Initial registration fee Rs 20 lacs (validity of 5 years).
• Permanent registration fee Rs 9 lacs (every 3 years)
Category
1. Category I
These merchant bankers can act as issue manager, advisor, consultant, underwriter and portfolio
manager. Minimum networth Rs 5 crore
2. Category II
Such merchant bankers can act as advisor, consultant, underwriter and portfolio manager. They cannot
act as issue manager of their own but can act co-manager. Minimum networth Rs 50 lakhs
3. Category III
They are allowed to act as underwriter, advisor and consultant only. They can neither undertake issue
management of their own nor they act as co-manager. They cannot undertake the activities of portfolio
management also. Minimum networth Rs 20 lakhs
4. Category IV
A category IV merchant banker can merely act as consultant or advisor to an issue of capital.
SEBI classification
• Based on activities classification
• SBI, ICICI, Kotak, HDC, Axis, IDBI, PNB, BOB- offer all services
• Foreign players- Citi, Deutsche, JP, HSBC, StanC
• NBFCs- Tata Capital, ILFS, L&T, IIFL Securities, Reliance Capital
• Mid-sized Indian banks- Edelweiss, Religare, DSP, JM Financial,
Avendus, Karvy, Anand Rathi
• Recent Addition- MAPE Advisory, Spark Capital, Veda Advisors, Ripple
Wave, O3
Full Service Investment Banks
• Equity Capital Market: raising equity, underwriting, private
placement, derivatives, proprietary trading & broking, equity research
etc.
• Debt Capital Market: bond issue & placement, underwriting,
derivatives, proprietary trading & broking, fixed income research etc.
• M&A: Advisory, arranging acquisition finance, co-investing, LBOs, due
diligence, valuation, restructuring
• Egs- Universal banks + Investment banks: HSBC, JP, BOA, Citi, Wells
Fargo, UBS, Deutsche
Investment Banking Services
Core
• Public Offers
• Private Placements
• Advisory
• M&A
• Structured Products
• Mezzanine financing
Allied
• Asset Management
• Securities
• Proprietary Trading
• Risk management
• Wealth Management
• Forex, commodity and financial
derivatives
Core Functions
Non-Fund Based
• Merchant Banking Services
Public Issue, Rights Issue, Buy-Buy, Delisting,
Takeover
• Advisory & Transaction Services
QIP, Preferential Issue
Project Financing, Loan Syndication
Structured Finance, Securitization
Capital Restructuring, Turnaround financing
Acquisitions, disinvestments, divestures
Fund Based
• Underwriting
• Bought out deals
• Market making
• Proprietary
Investments in
secondary markets
Types of Equity Issues
Other Capital Market Instruments-
• Raising Finance from Overseas-
• ADR
• GDR
• ECB (FCCB)
• Overseas Investment in India
• FII (Participatory Notes/ P-Notes)
• Qualified Financial Investor
• IDR
TYPES of PROSPECTUS
• Offer Document
• Draft Offer Document
• Red Herring
• Shelf Prospectus
• Abridged Prospectus
• Statement in lieu of Prospectus
Bond Market
Basic Terminology
Face Value
Price
Maturity
Coupon Rate
Interest Rate
Yield
Inverse Relationship
Example:
Bond of 10 years 6% Rs.10000 for 10 years
Coupon is Rs 600.
Suppose for the above-mentioned
bond the redemption will take
place next year, then how much will
you pay for the bond today?
Calculate the existing price of the
bond in the 9th year with @6%
interest.
What will be the price if interest is
7% (increase of rate)
What will be the price is interest if
5% (decrease of rate)
Existing Price should be in the market
= 10000/ (1 + 0.06) = 10000/1.06
= Rs 9433
If Interest becomes 7%, price changes to
= 10000/ (1 + 0.07) = 10000/1.07
= Rs 9345
If Interest becomes 5%, price changes to
= 10000/ (1 + 0.05) = 10000/1.05
= Rs 9523
Accrued Interest
• Semi-annual coupons
• Also called- Broken Period Interest
• Market convention to quote without accrued interest but buyer agrees to pay the
same.
• Invoice Price= Quoted Price + Accrued Interest
OR
• Dirty Price= Clean Price + Accrued Price
• Accrued Interest = Interest Due in Full Period * No of Days since last coupon date
----------------------------------------------
No of Days between coupon payments
Day Count Conventions (DCC)
1. 30/365
2. 30/360
3. Actual/ 360
4. Actual/ 365
5. Actual/ Actual
According to RBI website Bond market DCC is 30/ 360 and Money
Market Actual/ 365
• Q.1 Calculate Accrued Interest according to all DCC for a bond of Face
Value Rs 100 and a coupon Rate 10%
• Last Interest Payment date= 15/10/2010
• Next Interest payment date= 15/4/2011
• Settlement date= 20/01/2011
30 days: Oct + Nov + Dec + Jan (15 + 30 + 30 + 20) = 95
Actual Days= 16+ 30 + 31+ 20 = 97 days
• Q.2 Calculate the accrued interest for a bond of Face Value Rs 500
and a coupon Rate 10%
• Last Interest Payment date= 15/01/2008
• Next Interest payment date= 15/07/2008
• Settlement date= 05/04/2008
Q.3) Calculate the accrued interest for a bond of Face Value Rs 5000 and a
coupon Rate 8%
• Last Interest Payment date= 01/01/2020
• Next Interest payment date= 01/07/2020
• Settlement date= 12/05/2020
Yield to Maturity
Realized Yield
If the bond is not held till maturity, the yield is called as realized yield.
RY= Final Proceeds 1/n
-------------------- - 1 OR (FV/PV)1/n-1
Purchase Price
Final Proceeds/ Future Value =
Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons.
Eg- What is the Realized Yield of a bond of par
value Rs 100 having coupon of 10% maturing after
5 years but sold after 4th year. The rate of interest
in the market is 8%
C4
Rs 10
Purchase C1 C2 C3 C5+ Redemption Value
(Rs 100) Rs 10 Rs 10 Rs 10 Rs 10 +Rs 100
Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value
of Bond + Reinvested Coupons.
Coupons Received = (Rs 10 * 4) = Rs 40
Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value
= Rs 10*PVAF (1yr, 8%) + Rs 100*PV (1 yr,8%)
= Rs 101.85
Reinvested Coupons =
C1= Rs10* FVF (3yrs, 8%) = 12.59
C2= Rs10* FVF (2yrs, 8%) = 11.64
C3= Rs 10*FVF (1yr, 8%) = 10. 08
-----------------------
Rs 35.06
(-) Rs 30.00
-----------------------
Rs 5.06
Thus, Future Value
= Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons
= 40 + 101.85 + 5.06
= 146.911
RY = 7.99%
Q2) Calculate the Realized Yield for an Rs 2500 bond
having a coupon of 8% maturing after 8 years but sold
in the 6th year. The current interest rate is 10%
Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value
of Bond + Reinvested Coupons.
Coupons Received = (Rs 200 * 6) = Rs 1200
Market Value
= PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value
= C8Rs 200*PVAF (2yrs, 10%) + C7Rs 200*PVAF (1yr, 10%) +Rs 2500*PV (2 yrs,
10%)
= (Rs200 * 0.8264) + (Rs200* 0.9090) + (Rs 2500 * 0.8264)
= Rs 165.28 + Rs 181.80 + Rs 2066
= Rs 2413.08
Reinvested Coupons =
C1= Rs200* FVF (5yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.6105= Rs 322.10
C2= Rs 200* FVF (4yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.4641= Rs 292.82
C3= Rs 200* FVF (3yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.3310= Rs 266.20
C4= Rs 200* FVF (2yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.2100= Rs 242.00
C5= Rs 200* FVF (1yr, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.1000= Rs 220.00
-------------------------------------
Rs 1343.123
(-) Rs 1000.000
-------------------------------------
Rs 343.123
Thus, Future Value
= Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons
= 1200 + 2413.08 + 343.123
= 3956.203
RY = (FV/PV)1/n-1
= (1.5824)^0.125-1
= 1.0590-1
= 5.90%
Q) Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 9%
coupon bond with par value of Rs 5000, sold in the
7th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market
for the first 3 years at 8%, the next 4 years at 10%
and after that at 11%.
Coupons Received = (Rs 225 * 14) = Rs 3150
Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value
= Rs 225*PVAF (6yr, 5.5%) + Rs 5000*PVF (3yr, 11%)
= (Rs225 * 4.9955) + (Rs5000 * 0.7311)
= Rs 1123.99 + Rs 3655.95
= Rs 4779.94
Reinvested Coupons =
Step 1) Annuity for 1- 6 coupons when interest rate is 8%
= Rs 225 * FVAF (6 years, 4%)
= Rs 225* 6.6330
= Rs 1492.425
Step 2) Annuity for 7-14 coupons when interest rate is 10%
= Rs 225 * FVAF (8 years, 5%)
= Rs 225 * 9.5491
= Rs 2148.5475
Step 3) Lumpsum Compounding 1-6 coupons from 3rd year to 7th year
= Answer of Step 1*FVF(4 years, 10)
= Rs 1492.425* 1.4641
= Rs 2185
Step 4) Reinvested Amount = Step 2 + Step 3 – Coupons Received
= Rs 2148.5475 + Rs 2185.0594 – Rs 3150
= Rs 1183
Thus, Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested
Coupons
= Rs 3150 + Rs 4780 + Rs 1183.6069
= Rs 9113
Q2) Calculate the Realized Yield of an 8 year 10% coupon bond with par value of Rs
3000, sold in the 6th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market for the first 3 years
at 8%, the next 4 years at 10% and after that at 11%.
Purchase Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y7 Y8Coupon+ Sale Value
C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8 C9 C10 C11 C13 C14 C15 C16 +Rs 3000
8% 10% 11%
Y6
C12
Coupons Received = (Rs 150 * 12) = Rs 1800
Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons (Year8) + PV of Remaining Coupons (Year7) +
PV of Redemption Value
= Rs 150* (2yr, 5.5% PVAF & 1yr, 10% PVF) + Rs 150*PVAF (2yr, 5%)
+ Rs 3000*PVF (1yr, 11% & 1yr,10%)
= [Rs 150 *1.8459 = 277 * 0.9091 = 252]+ [Rs150 * 1.8500 = 277] +
[Rs 3000 *0.9009 = 2702 *0.9091 = 2457]
= 252 + 277 + 2457
= Rs 2986
Reinvested Coupons
Step 1) Annuity for 1- 6 coupons when interest rate is 8%= Rs 150 * FVAF (6 years, 4%)
= Rs 150* 6.6330
= Rs 995
Step 2) Annuity for 7-12 coupons when interest rate is 10%= Rs 150 * FVAF (6 years, 5%)
= Rs 150 * 6.8019
= Rs 1020
Step 3) Lumpsum Compounding 1-6 coupons from 3rd year to 6th year
= Answer of Step 1* FVF (3 years, 10%)
= Rs 995 * 1.3310
= Rs 1324
Step 4) Reinvested Amount = Step 2 + Step 3 – Coupons Received
= Rs 1020 + Rs 1324 – Rs 1800
= Rs 544
Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons
= Rs 1800 + Rs 2986 + Rs 544
= Rs 5330
RY = 5330 1/8
----------- - 1
3000
= 1.0744 - 1
RY = 7.44 %
Q3) Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 9% coupon bond with par value of Rs
5000, sold in the 7th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market for the first 2 years at
8%, the next 3 years at 8.5%, next 3 years is 9.5% and after that at 10%.
Purchase Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Y8 Y9 Y10Coupon+ Sale
Value
C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8 C9 C10 C11 C12 C13 C15 C16 C17 C18 C19 C20 +Rs 5000
8% 8.5% 9.5% 10%
PVAF = 1- 1 FVAF = (1+r)t
-1
(1+r)t
r
r
TOTAL RETURN OF A BOND
Yield of a bond is in percentage and the return on a bond is in value.
The return of a bond is a combination of-
• Total Coupon Interest
• Reinvestment of Coupons Interest
• Capital Gain/ Loss
Q) Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 9% coupon bond with par
value of Rs 5000, sold in the 7th year. Assume the rate of interest in the
market for the first 3 years at 8%, the next 4 years at 10% and after that
at 11%.
In this problem if the bond was purchased for Rs 4500 and sold for Rs
4800 then what was the return on the bond?
• Total Coupon Interest= (225*14) = Rs 3150
• Reinvestment of Coupons Interest = Rs 1183
• Capital Gain/ Loss = Purchase-Sale = Rs 300
• Return of the bond= 3150 + 1183 + 300 = Rs 4633
Q) Calculate the Realized Yield for an Rs 2500 bond having a coupon of
8% maturing after 8 years but sold in the 6th year. The current interest
rate is 10%
In this problem calculate the return on the bond in case it was purchased
for Rs 2100 and sold for Rs 2350.
Ans
• Total Coupon Interest= Rs 1200
• Reinvestment of Coupons Interest = Rs 343
• Capital Gain/ Loss = Purchase-Sale = Rs 250
• Return of the bond= 1200+ 343 + 250= Rs 1793
PRICING OF A BOND
• Price = PV of Coupons + PV of Redemption Value at Maturity
• Eg- At what price can I buy a bond of Face Value Rs 1000 of coupon
10% maturing after 5 years giving a return of 15%?
= [50 * PVAF (10yrs, 7.5%) ] + [1000 * PVF (5 yrs, 15%)]
= [50 * 6.864] + [ 1000*0.4971]
= 840
Eg- At what price can I buy a bond of Face Value Rs
5000 of coupon 12% maturing after 8 years.
Assume the market interest rate is 14%
• Price = PV of Coupons + PV of Redemption Value at Maturity
= [300 * PVAF (16yrs, 7%) ] + [5000 * PVF (8 yrs, 14%)]
= [300 * 9.4466] + [ 5000 * 0.3506]
= 2833.98 + 1753
= 4586.98
Combined problem-
Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 7% coupon bond with par
value of Rs 20000, sold in the 7th year. Assume the rate of interest in
the market for the first 3 years at 6%, the next 4 years at 8% and after
that at 10%.
Also calculate the return of the bond in case the bond was purchased
for Rs 14000 and sold for Rs 17000.
At what price is the investor ready to buy the bond in the 7th year?
Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested
Coupons
Coupons Received = (Rs 700 * 14) = Rs 9800
Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value
= Rs 700*PVAF (6yr, 5%) + Rs 20000*PVF (3yr, 10%)
= (Rs 700*5.0757) + Rs (20000* 0.7513)
= Rs 3552.99+ Rs 15026
= Rs 18579
Reinvestment Coupons-
Step 1) Annuity for 1- 6 coupons when interest rate is 6%= Rs 700 * FVAF (6 years, 3%)
= Rs 700* 6.4684
= Rs 4527.88
Step 2) Annuity for 7-14 coupons when interest rate is 8%= Rs 700*FVAF (8 years, 4%)
= Rs 700 * 9.2142
= Rs 6449.94
Step 3) Lumpsum Compounding 1-6 coupons from 3rd year to 7th year
= Answer of Step 1* FVF (4 years, 8%)
= Rs 4527.88 * 1.3605
= Rs 6158.82
Step 4) Reinvested Amount = Step 2 + Step 3 – Coupons Received
= Rs 6449.94 + Rs 6158.82– Rs 9800
= Rs 2808.72
Thus, Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond +
Reinvested Coupons
= Rs 9800 + Rs 18578 + Rs 2808
= Rs 31186
RY = (FV/PV) 1/10 -1
Horizon Analysis
• Total Return vs Yield
• Investment Horizon
• Evaluate the bond swaps
• Assuming all four bonds have equal credit quality, which bond is most
attractive?
Bond Coupon % Maturity YTM
P 10 4 9.0
Q 12 15 8.6
R 15 10 9.2
S 8 5 8.0
RISK ASSESSMENT & MEASUREMENT OF FIS
• Measures of Bond Price Volatility-
1. Duration-
Price sensitivity of a bond to interest rate changes. It is the average
time required to pay back on original investment. i.e. the time taken to
recover the present value of all future cash flows.
2. Convexity-
It is a non-linear relationship measurement of bond prices to interest
rates. It is the slope of the tangent becoming steeper as interest rates
fall.
Duration
Duration is the slope of the line drawn tangent to price- yield curve & shows % change in bond price
for a given change in the yield.
Duration
Macaulay Modified
Q1. Calculate the Macaulay and Modified Duration of a 5 year Rs 100
9 % coupon bond selling to yield 9% par value of Rs 100.
n CashFlows @
4.5%
PVCF @ 4.5% PVCF * n
1 Rs 4.5 4.3062 4.3062
2 Rs 4.5 4.1207 8.2915
3 Rs 4.5 3.9433 11.8300
4 Rs 4.5 3.7735 15.0941
5 Rs 4.5 3.6110 18.0551
6 Rs 4.5 3.4555 20.7331
7 Rs 4.5 3.3067 23.1470
8 Rs 4.5 3.1643 25.3146
9 Rs 4.5 3.0280 27.2526
10 Rs 104.5 67.2904 672.9044
TOTAL 100.0000 826.8789
Macaulay Duration
= 826.8789 / 100 = 8.27 years
Macaulay Duration (Years)
= 8.27/2 = 4. 13 years
Modified Duration = 4.13 / 1+y
= 4.13 / 1.0450
= 3.96 years
Q2. Calculate Macaulay and Modified duration of an 8
year Rs 1000 6% coupon bond selling to yield 10%.
n CashFlows @ 3% PVCF @ 5% PVCF * n
1 Rs 30 28.57 28.57
2 Rs 30 27.21 54.42
3 Rs 30 25.91 77.73
4 Rs 30 24.68 98.72
5 Rs 30 23.51 117.55
6 Rs 30 22.38 134.28
7 Rs 30 21.32 149.24
8 Rs 30 20.31 162.48
9 Rs 30 19.34 174.06
10 Rs 30 18.42 184.20
11 Rs 30 17.54 192.94
12 Rs 30 16.71 200.52
13 Rs 30 15.91 206.83
14 Rs 30 15.15 212.10
15 Rs 30 14.43 216.45
16 Rs 1030 471.85 7549.60
TOTAL 783.0000 9759.69
Macaulay Duration (Half Years) = 9759.69 / 783 = 12.46 years
Macaulay Duration (Years) = 12.46/2 = 6.23 years
Modified Duration = 6.23 / 1+y
= 6.23/ 1.0500
= 5.93 years
Portfolio Duration
• Duration of the portfolio is simply the weighted average duration of
the bonds in the portfolio.
• Portfolio Duration = Weight of Issue in Portfolio * Duration of Issue
• Q. Calculate portfolio duration of a portfolio having 4 bonds A,B,C and
D having market value Rs 10 lacs, Rs 40 lacs, Rs 30 lacs and Rs 20 lacs
and duration of 4, 7, 6 and 2 years respectively.
Bond MV of Bond Weight in
Portfolio
Duration Portfolio
Duration
A 10,000,000 0.10 4 0.40
B 40,000,000 0.40 7 2.80
C 30,000,000 0.30 6 1.80
D 20,000,000 0.20 2 0.40
Total 100,000,000 1.00 5.40
Q. Calculate duration of a portfolio consisting of treasury bills having 0.295 weightage in
the portfolio with duration of 7.25 years; government securities with weightage of 0.036
and duration of 1.94 years; corporate bonds with weight of 0.379 and duration of 4.85
years and mortgage backed securities with duration of 5.17 years.
Sector Weight in Portfolio Duration Portfolio Duration
Treasury Bills 0.295 7.25 2.14
Govt Securities 0.036 1.94 0.07
Corporate Bonds 0.379 4.85 1.84
Mortgage backed Sec 0.290 5.17 1.50
Total 1.000 5.55
Fixed Income Portfolios
• Portfolio need to have proper asset mix
• Rebalance when necessary
John Maginn & Donald Tuttle (2007)- process for fixed income
portfolio:
1. Setting investment objectives
2. Development & implementation of portfolio manager strategy
3. Continuous monitoring
4. Necessary adjustment whenever required
Step 1: Setting investment objectives
1. Return Objective
Return structure depends on the liability structure: source of money
Thus has concerns like:
• Sufficient & timely cash inflows to meet the liability
• Higher cost of funds will have difficulty in managing investments with
desired rate of return
• Uncertainty of amount & time of future cash inflows
• MV of investments under all circumstances must be atleast equal to
actual investments. (immune to unfavourable market)
• Perception towards market
• Maximum permissible exposure to sector, country, entity
2. Risk Objective
Risk Absorption capacity
Risk related concerns:
• Setting maximum & reasonable limit
• Asset & Liability mismatch due to buckets
• Uneven changes within the yield on investments of different
maturities
• Provisioning for risky assets
Step 2: Development & implementation of
portfolio manager strategy
• Right mix of strategy in the given constraints (policy etc.)
• Composition of portfolio: government bonds (central, state, municipality) or
non-government (PSU, Bank, NBFCs, corporate), short term money market or
long term fixed income, exchange traded or OTC
• Consideration for developing & implementing
Develop a policy- update & revise as per goal of bank
Selection of assets in right proportion in line with norms & constraints
Necessary hedging instruments (IRF, FRA, IRS)
Right trading & management strategy
Tracking & collecting markets inputs for construction of optimum portfolio
Passive Strategy
• Motive is to ensure a desired performance
• Only necessary adjustments as & when required- minor alterations
• Minimize transaction cost
• Avoid adverse consequences of failing to anticipate market
• Low management cost
• Allows for high diversification
• Passive believe in – efficient market hypothesis
• EMH- incorporate & reflect all available information
Passive strategy
• Meet regulations
• Investment of surplus funds in liquid assets
• HTM
• Focus to earn rather than beat market
Ways of managing:
1. Bond Indexing
2. Cash Flow Matching
3. Classical Immunization
Active Strategy
Convexity
• Convexity is another measure of bond risk.
• Duration applies to only small changes in yield. The relationship
between the bond prices and yield is not linear but convex.
• As convexity decreases, the exposure to the market interest rate
decreases.
• A high convexity is when a given positive or negative change in yield a
bond’s percentage rise in price is greater than the percentage price
loss. High convexity bond is more sensitive to interest rate change.
TYPES OF YIELD CURVE
• Why yield curve is important?
• It measures bond investors' feelings about risk
• What is it?
• It is a graphical representation of the yields available for bonds of equal
credit quality and different maturity dates
• Generally- the longer the maturity of the bond, the higher the risk to the
investor, and so the higher the yield.
• The yields of bonds of equal credit quality but different maturities can be
plotted and joined up into a curve
• Investors often use the yield curve of a country’s government bonds to tell
them how the economy of that country is expected to behave.
Flat Yield (Curve)
• What is the usage of yield curves?
• Interpreting the yield curve
• India Latest on Yield Curves
Yield Curve Shifts
Non- Parallel Shifts- Twists
Non- Parallel Shifts- Butterfly
Term Structure
• Developing a sharp intuition about
the shape of the yield curve and
factors that determine the same is
term structure of interest rates.
• It refers to the relationship between
YTM of default free Zero coupon
securities and their maturities.
• The difference between the spot and
forward rates is referred to as “term
premium”.
Theories-
1. Pure/ Expectations Theory
2. Liquidity Preference Theory
3. Market Segmentation Theory
4. Preferred Habitat Theory
Fixed Income Derivatives-
• Interest Derivatives-
a) Forward Rate Agreement (FRA)
b) Interest Rate Futures (IRF)
c) Interest Rate Swaps (IRS)
• Credit Derivatives-
a) Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO)
b) Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
c) Credit Linked Notes (CLN)
CORPORATE BOND MARKET CHALLENGES-
• Equity Finance is easy
• Lack of Transparency for retail
• Lack of Information for retail
• Less Liquid (Higher denomination)
• No depth in secondary market
• Lack of Derivative instruments
• Limited Foreign Investments
• Limited Infrastructure
• Bank loans are preferred over bonds
• Differential Tax rates
DEVELOPING A CORPORATE BOND MARKET-
• Trading Platforms on BSE and NSE
• Introduce repo in corporate bond market
• Benchmark Index (I-Bex)
• Reduce lot size from Rs 10 lacs to Rs 1 lac
• Establish different Regulatory Body- currently SEBI for corporate and
RBI for repos. FIMMDA is only an association
• FII and FDI rules favorable
• Derivative instruments (CDS was allowed by RBI since 2013)
Allied Services
• Asset Management Services
Mutual Funds, PMS, AIFs, PE and VC funding
• Secondary Markets
Broking, wealth management, equity and fixed income research,
derivatives- ET and OTC
• Support Services
Custodial, depositary participant
Asset Management (Allied Service)
Types of Asset Management-
• Mutual Funds
• Hedge Funds
• Private Banking
• Private Equity
• Investment Trusts (REITs)
• Fund of Funds (FoFs)
AIF
• SEBI AIF 2012- AIF means any fund established or incorporated in
India in form of trust or a company or a LLP or a body corporate-
which is privately pooled investment vehicle which collects funds
from investors (Indian or Foreign) for investing in accordance which
defined investment policy for benefit of investors and is not covered
under SEBI fund management activities.
• SEBI has defined 3 category of AIF
1. Category I- VC
2. Category II- PE
3. Category III- Hedge Funds
SEBI AIF Criteria
• Minimum corpus Rs 20 crore.
• Fund manager investment of 2.5% or Rs 5 crore whichever is less
• No more than 1000 investors
• Individual investment restricted to Rs 1 crore minimum
• Category I and II shall not invest more than 25% in one company, but
category III is only limited to 10%
Venture Capital (Allied Service)
• SEBI VC- AIF which invests primarily in unlisted securities of start-ups,
emerging or early stage undertakings mainly involved in new products,
new services, technology or intellectual property right based activities
or a new business model. (shall include angel fund)
• From SEBI perspective VC will be more risky.
• K.B. Chandrashekhar Committee of 2000 revised guidelines and
changed taxation
• E-Commerce sector “unicorns” wrote a new chapter in VC
• Top Players- Sequoia, Accel, Insight, Greycroft, Bessmer Ventures
Private Equity(Allied Service)
• SEBI PE- AIF which invests primarily in equity or equity linked instruments or
partnership interests of investee companies according to the stated objective
of the fund.
• Largest PE- Blackstone Group, Carlyle Group, KKR & Co, TPG Capital, Warbug
Pincus,
• India- Warburg Pincus investment of $292 million in Bharti Televentures was a
characteristic investment.
• Earlier PE investment in 1990s was only in IT later in 2000 changed
• Profit & Loss Sharing Mechanism of PE- debate between general and limited
partners
Limited partners take 80% & general 20%
Losses are allocated to limited partners after setting off general partners
contribution.
• SWF operate in private equity space
Hedge Funds (Allied Service)
• First hedge fund in 1949
• What is it?-
• Invest across different asset classes like financial, commodities, real
estate and precious metals taking long and short positions and
leverage.
• Thus they are highly speculative and susceptible to risk.
• SEBI – AIF which employs diverse or complex trading strategies and
invests & trades in securities having diverse risks or complex products
including listed and unlisted securities.
• Famous hedge funds- Worlds largest hedge fund- Bridgewater
Associates, Man Group, Renaissance Technologies
Fund of Funds
• It is an investment strategy of holding a portfolio of other investment
funds rather than directly investing in any asset.
• A FoF shall not invest in another FoF; but FoF can invest in another
AIF
• Thus the fees of FoF are higher as it comprises the charges of the
underlying fund as well as the FoF management charges
Securities- Broking & Trading (Allied Service)
Global investment banks famous for this service- Wells Fargo Fidelity, Franklin
Templeton, Northern Trust and Principal
• Trading: Taking positions with an intent to
make profits
• Trading operations is to take risks in
maintaining position
• Investment banks run businesses in trading
both proprietary & institutional purposes
• Some specialize in particular segments like
fixed income, arbitrage, synthetic
instruments etc.
• Eg- Salomon Brothers in bond trading
• Thus investment bankers recruit statisticians,
mathematicians and physicists
• Broking & Dealing: Fee-based
income or commissions
• Dealers are not for earning
profits but accrue transaction
based income
• Thus traders are different than
dealers
• Securities department keep
dealers and traders separate
Other Allied Services
• Institutional Sales
• Quantitative Research-
Sectoral, Company, Economic Analysis
• Advisory & Wealth Management-
Also known as private banking
Conflict of Interest
• Research Division and Investment Bank personnel
• SEC investigation- Findings of over optimistic research by research
team given to clients for vested interest.
• Thus in 2002 many clients paid fines for misleading reports
• Citigroup, Goldman, J.P Morgan, Lehman, Bear Sterns, Merrill Lynch
$100 million
• J.P Morgan for its infamous deal with Enron
• Revision-
1. Disclose the investment in the IPO/deal
2. Compensation structure
Dark Side of Investment Banking
2008 Leverage
• Merrill Lynch 46 times
• Fannie Mac/ Freddie Mae 45 times
• Lehman 34 times
• Bear Sterns 31 times
• Morgan Stanley 30 times
• Goldman 26 times
• Citigroup 19 times
• J.P Morgan 14 times
• Bank of America 12 times
• Using assets for short selling
• Obnoxious pay packages
• Insider Trading (Rajat Gupta)
Regulatory & Business Challenges
• Dodd Frank
• Volker’s Rule
• Basel III
• Curtailed Revenue generating capacity
• Increase cost of asset holding, financing,
maintaining under Basel III
• Credit valuation adjustments for OTC for
reducing counter-party risk will increase
cost of customers and reduce returns.
Investment banks as Issue Managers
• This is a core business vertical for investment bank
• Intermediation service: IPO, FPO and Rights Issue
• Issue Lead Manager or Book Running Lead Manager (BRLM) or Co-BRLM
• Asses market factors, dilution of promoter equity, lock-in period, pre-marketing
• Co-ordinate with registrar, bankers, advertisement agency, broker to issue,
underwriters, auditors, company secretary, legal advisor, any experts, printers
and couriers etc.
• There are no norms on the no.of merchant bankers for issue
• 3 considerations for IPO listing
1. Strategic Decision
2. Financial Decision
3. Investment Banking Decision
Strategic Decision
• Maruti Udyog was privately held till 2003 with Rs92.71b sales
• Bennet Coleman & Co is presently unlisted
• IPO opens large open window
• If company can be equity sourced and from debt is it wise to dilute?
• Sometime private companies generate higher returns on networth
than its listed peers
• That’s a corporate philosophy
Financial & Investment banking decision
• Capital intensive industries
• Cement, steel, shipping, energy,
transportation, pharma,
refineries, heavy engineering,
automobiles etc.
• Even green-field business
• Merchant banks take a call on
business strategy and financials
• In strong market conditions
merchant bankers tend to be
aggressive and push companies to
go public.
• Sometimes even of companies do
not need they raise finance and
keep it for future
• Eg- Satyam & Wipro raised from
US markets
Regulations
• SEBI – Issue of Capital & Disclosure Requirement (ICDR) regulations of
2012 – now 2018
• ICDR restrictions on issue of “general corporate purpose” – this
purpose can be only 25% of the size offer
• SCRA & LODR regulations are also applicable for issue
• Securities Contract Regulations Rules of 1957
• Listing Obligations & Disclosure Requirements 2015
Pre-Issue Process
• All due diligence – statutory compliance to be followed
• Role of advisor, external agency, event manager, co-Ordinator.
• Write the Management Discussion & Analysis (MDA) really well
• Ensure underwriters are not over-exposing themselves
• Issue marketing- road shows, journalist meet, investor associations
• As per ICDR a public offer or rights issue of more than Rs 50 lakh shall
not be made unless draft offer document filed with SEBI though lead
manager 30 days prior to registering of prospectus/ red-herring/ shelf
with ROC.
Post-Issue Process
• Finalizing basis of allotment in fair & proper manner lies with Executive
Director/ MD of stock exchange with post issue lead manager and
registrar.
• Post issue LM also needs to co-ordinate process of collection of
subscription figures from bankers to issue, processing applications,
dispatch of allotment letters, refund orders, attending grievances and
ensure listing.
• In 2010 SEBI decreased time from 12 days to 7 days for closure and
listing.
• The lead manager has to ensure that any modifications from SEBI are
adhered to quickly in the post-issue period of 6 days for getting the
listing approval.
Pricing of IPO
• Fixed Price- 100% retail
• Free pricing since 1992
• Pricing vs Valuation
• Pricing and valuation have different
purposes
• But before the issue the company
has to be valued
• Eg- If the EPS for an unlisted
company for last 3 years is 7.10;
4.59 and 2.68. The highest PE is
32.5; the lowest PE is 3.5 and
average PE in same time period is
18.6. Then how will be the IPO
priced?
Lower Band
Weighted average EPS * average PE
The weighted EPS
= (3*7.10) + (2*4.59) + (1*2.68)
= 33.16/6
= So lower band= 5.52 * 18.60 = Rs 103
Upper Band
As many companies within the sector do
not have the highest PE- its
unnecessarily exorbitant the upper PE is
rationalized
So upper band
= highest EPS * highest PE
= 24 * 7.10 = Rs 170
• ICDR regulations- price band cannot extend to more than 20%
• Price band is usually 85-90% mark of the price range. Why?
• To provide for listing gains. This is known as “Flippers Margin”
• FPO pricing is similar but depends on the market for the company
• Eg- Tata Steel FPO of Rs 3477 crore in 2011. The price band was Rs
594-610 and existing price was Rs 608.
• As per offer document PE translated to 10.6 against industry average
of 10.9.
• Due to QIB enthusiasm the listing day closing was Rs 625
• Over the time market corrected- to Rs 550 – 575. Why?
• Pricing was almost same to existing, and PE was almost at par with
industry but as additional shares were added to the free float the
price corrected.
Underwriting
• SEBI underwriters regulation 1993
• SEBI- An agreement with or
without conditions to subscribe to
the securities of a body corporate
when the existing shareholders of
such body corporate or the public
do not subscribe to the securities
offered to them.
• Sub- underwriting may be used to
spread the risk.
• Underwriting of fixed price offer is
optional but it is mandatory for
book- built offers.
• Underwriting agreement is signed
between the issuer company and
the lead underwriter only.
• Thus the risk is taken by the lead
underwriter.
• Second contract is between the
mutual obligations between the
different underwriters.
• The third contract is the dealers
agreement- a distribution
agreement akin to a brokerage
contract.
Underwriting compensation
• Its primarily “Fee based” service.
• But underwriting becomes a “fund based” service when they
purchase under subscribed investment.
• Underwriting commission is paid as a percentage of the value of
underwriting.
• In US the compensation is- the spread between the price to investor
and price issued. As in US the dealer purchases the securities as a
discount price and then sells them.
• In US alongwith the spread, there is also manager’s fee, selling
commission and an underwriting allowance.
Devolvement
• It is the amount of financial support to be provided by an underwriter
in an under-subscribed issue of securities.
• Issuer company within 30 days of subscription closure communicate
in writing to the underwriter the total no. of securities remaining
unsubscribed.
• The underwriter on being satisfied about extent of devolvement shall
within 30 days after receipt of devolvement notice, make or procure
the applications to subscribe the securities and submit them.
• The issuer company has to enforce the devolvement on underwriters.
Safety Net
• Mechanism which provides the investors the buyback facility for securities
subscribed for the same price at which the investor bought the same.
• SEBI restrictions of safety net-
Only for small investors
Limited upto 1000 securities
Available only to original resident individual
• It is an additional protection given by issuer company as a marketing effort.
• Infotech Enterprises had issued safety net through its lead merchant
banker cum underwriter IDBI Bank.
• Recently RBI has refrained from these services but not barred.
• Matured markets do not provide safety nets- as they make informed
decisions.
Risk in Underwriting
• Capital
• SEBI Regulation 7 states that minimum capital adequacy should be Rs
20 lakh and Regulation 15 states that maximum underwriting cannot
exceed 20 times the net worth
• Thus a underwriting firm having a net worth of Rs 25 lakh can do a
maximum underwriting of Rs 500 lakh.
• If the devolvement probability of the above firm is 25%; and the
quantum of devolvement is 50%; the firm falls short of capital. And
needs to source debt from outside to keep the firm viable.
Particulars
Networth 25
Maximum Underwriting 500
Devolvement Probability (25%) 125
Devolvement Quantum (50%) 62.5
Loan Financing (Shortfall) (62.50- 25.00) 37.50
Cost of Debt
Underwriters commission
Bought out Deals
• BOD is an alternative to straight IPO
• The company places stock with the investment banker with an
understanding that it would make the company public by making a
secondary offer within a specified time frame .
• The time frame is usually 9-12 months.
• The investment banker makes an OFS after the time frame
• Smaller companies earlier used to prefer this route for saving time and
expenses of retail IPO.
• After 1996 market collapse, BODs attractiveness came down as investment
banks took the shares but there were no takers for OFS.
• India there is rare occurrence, but in US it is still prevalent.
• First BOD in US was GM in 1981 for $100 million
Global Capital Raising
• Equity as well as Debt
• Magnitude of finance raised has increased
• International visibility
• 2 fold role of investment banker- home jurisdiction and place of offer
jurisdiction
• Responsible for coordination with market regulator and stock exchange
authorities
• NYSE, NASDAQ
• LSE- 2 segments. One is main and another is Alternative Investment Market
(AIM) for smaller growing companies across the world. Vedanta is listed on
AIM.
• Luxemburg, Frankfurt
• Tokyo, Singapore, Hongkong, Abu Dhabi
International Bond Market
• Compliance with local regulations- maturity, rating, size, underwriting and
documentation.
• US Bonds – Investment banks managing this issue need to comply with
SEC 144A
• Euro Bonds- Investment banks managing this need to understand that the
trade in the country of issue could result in withholding tax. Thus the
bond structure is to neutralize the incidence of the tax on income
distribution and capital gains. Usually an intermediary vehicles in a tax
friendly nation like British Virgin Islands or Netherlands Antilles are used
to float the issue.
FCCBs
• Comply with FDI policy, FEMA,
Companies Act, SEBI and SCRA
• Only through reputed investment
banker- need to give proper advice
on coupon and conversion terms.
• Denominated in any foreign
currency but underlying shares are
in Rupee terms.
• Boom from 2003-07: 201
companies raised Rs 72000 crore
• This reduced the borrowing cost
and offered low coupon rates.
• As few companies were not big
enough to issue DRs they preferred
FCCBs.
• Conversion rates were fixed at 25%
to 150% higher than the prevailing
market price.
• These bonds were maturing after
the 2008 crisis.
• Share prices had fallen for 70% of
the companies and were trading
5% to 60% lower than the
conversion price.
Depository Receipts
• 1927- originated for enabling US investors to participate in non listed US
securities
• DR = ADR
• 1983: SEC regulations for ADR: not possible to issue without registering
under Securities Act 1933
• Thus there were 2 sets of ADRs- one for US and another for non –US called
IDRs
• 1990- Amendment in SEC Rule 144A- Thus GDR was born.
• 144A rule for DR is a private placement route for securities in India.
• GDR= It’s a DR issued in US under 144A and elsewhere too
• ADR= Issued through public issue with complying US securities law.
• In India: M.S Sahoo Committee Report 2014
• Investment bankers need to ensure that the conversion of the receipt
to shares, transfers from trades, dividend distribution is done
properly.
• DR creates 2 securities-
1. One pool that of issued shares
2. Other being of the receipts representing those shares
• Every DR has different underlying no.of shares which are issued by
the local issuer company. These shares are not tradeable in domestic
market and are administered by a custodian. Global investors do not
get the shares. The shares are issued to the global depository.
• The global investors subscribe to the allotted instruments (whose
underlying are shares) in the global depository. These investors are
not direct owners and hence do not get voting rights.
• DR are listed and traded on exchanges as well as OTC.
Issue of
a DR
Types of DR
• Unsponsored DR: issued without involvement of the company
without having any formal agreement
• Sponsored Level I DR: Simplest and thus fastest. Traded on US OTC
market. GAAP compliance not necessary.
• Sponsored Level II DR: Listed on US exchange without complying with
SEC listing but must register under Exchange Act by filing with SEC a
form.
• Sponsored Level III DR: Full SEC requirements and compliance with
GAAP. Listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ.
Fungibility of DRs
• Exit of DR an happen either sale of GDR in overseas market or through sale
of underlying asset in domestic market.
• Fungibility makes the DR homogenous and convertible into underlying
shares
• Investor uses “fungibility” route for exit.
• Fungibility makes the prospects for investor better by making use of the
price differential in DR and shares.
• ADR became fungible in US in 1990.
• Investment Bankers now-a-days have a cool off period of 45-180 days in
which the DR is not fungible.
• Re-issue of these DRs are subject to host of regulations w.r.t FDI caps
permitted by RBI under FEMA.
IDRs
• Foreign companies listed overseas may make public offers in India
through issue of IDRs.
• Must be listed in home country with good track record
• IDR Rules of 2004 u/s 695A of Companies Act
• Issue not less than Rs 50 crore
• Each applicant to apply for minimum Rs 20000
• 50% allocated to institutional investors and 30% to retail
Private Placements
• With whom do companies privately place?
• Mutual Funds, Insurance companies, banks, pension funds, DIIs, registered
FPIs
• PP gives faster access to funds, less market uncertainties and is a cost
effective way for raising funds for the issuer.
• In India only investment grades and above rating can be privately placed.
• Companies Act u/s 42- Means an offer of securities or invitation to
subscribe securities to a select group of persons by a company through
issue of private placement letter.
• What is not PP is- Issue of Bonus, Issue of sweat equity, ESOP, Rights Issue,
Issue of DR
Category of Private Placement
PP with fund raising objectives
• Seed or Angel investors
• Institutional VC and PE
• Institutional & Non-institutional
domestic placement
• International capital markets
PP with Control & Strategic Objective
• Promoters & family
• Business Associates
• Strategic Investors
• JV partners
• Technical collaborators
• Persons acting in concert (have
an agreement as per voting
rights)
Investment Banking & Business Valuation
• Corporate Value vs Investment Value
• Valuation vs Pricing (pg 437)
• Drivers for Value Creation
• Approaches to Valuation
1. Asset Based
2. Cash Flow Based
3. Economic Profit Model
4. Relative Valuation Model
5. Contingent Claim Valuation
6. Enterprise Value Approach
• Special Cases
1. Bank
2. SPV
3. Insurance
4. Holding Company
5. SOTP
6. Intangible
7. Start-ups
8. Technology
• Valuation in Restructuring
• M&A Valuation (Varsha Maam)
• PE Valuation
• VC Valuation

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IB PPT.pptx

  • 2. Concept of Investment Banking • Concerned with the primary function of assisting capital market in its function of capital intermediation. • Savings by themselves do not create wealth unless they are channelized into productive uses- Discuss • How institutional intervention helps in moving investments from financial assets to real assets?- Explain • The extent to which institutional intervention can mobilise and allocate capital would depend on the depth of markets & presence of legal and regulatory bodies- Elaborate
  • 3. Evolution • What was the reason of Great Depression? Boom in capital markets Commercial banks started acquiring stock broking houses/ affiliates Affiliates were thinly capitalized Investment banks borrowed a lot from parent bank Increase in speculation of bank stocks Absurd PE ratio bubble Burst in Oct 1929
  • 4. Post Great Depression • Restore confidence in banking- Glass Steagall Act 1933 (Roosevelt) • Restrictions on commercial banks for engaging in underwriting & acting as agents • Restrictions on investment banks from taking deposits & corporate lending • So commercial and investment banking were separated- the license could be given for only one area • It also gave start to FDIC- Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (earlier $2500 and now $250,000) • JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley- split • Formation of NASDAQ 1938
  • 5. Post 1970s • Shift in investment banking methodology as “transactional banking” rather than “relationship banking” • Increase in growth and size, new services. M&As • Thus post 1970 emergence of Venture Capital and Private Equity firms • Arrival of academic finance professionals – Modiagliani, Miller, Scholes, Merton, Markowitz • Sophisticated statistical tools • Emergence of Derivatives products
  • 6. 1990s • Structed products • Arbitrage speculation • Deal making & risk taking/ management • LBOs • Glass Steagall Act was replaced with Gramm Leach Bliley Act of 1999 (Clinton regime) • Technological developments – vibrant & exciting transformation • US regulators and politicians backed financial product innovation and made housing policy liberal
  • 7. 2000 • US investment banking was 22% of its GDP having assets worth $3.1 trillion (2007) • Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Lehman, Bear Sterns, Saloman Smith (Citigroup), JP Morgan, BOA, Wells Fargo, Washington Mutual Bank • Wall Street Culture- fat pay packages, astronomical bonuses, high leverage and risk. Thrill of flamboyance, famous and arrogance. • Increase in Rogue Traders • Market Cap from 2002 to 2007 increased from $22.8 trillion to $60.8 trillion • Excessive credit and outrageous products drove the real economy • Bond issuance was $1.4 trillion (highest ever)
  • 8. 2008 • Sub-prime mortgage loans increased from 24000 to 2.2 million • CDS market grew from $1trillion to $60trillion from 2001 to 2007 • Contagion Risk As investment banks could not rely on depositors- they were funded from capital and the money market- this integration caused a lot of turmoil Commercial banks, investment banks, insurance companies, and institutional investors all suffered • This also led to a liquidity crisis
  • 9. Post 2008 • Bear Sterns takeover by JP Morgan- Fed financed $30b to JP. Fed did not directly bailed Bear. JP controlled almost 49.5% of Bear stake. 7000 people kicked out Though stock had dived from $93 to $2; Bear was valued at $10 • Merill Lynch merger with BOA at premium of 38% • Goldman Sachs was bailed out by Berkshire Hathway • Morgan Stanley was bailed out by US Fed • Wachovia was bought over by Wells Fargo • AIG was nationalized • Only Lehman was bankrupted
  • 10. Relief & Reform • Financial stimulus- QE • TARP $800 b – reduced to $475b • Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform & Consumer Protection Act 2010 Registration of private funds with AUM more than $100m OTC regulation with clearing & settlement Systemic stability Mortgage reforms
  • 11. Dodd Frank Act 2010 • Similar to Glass Steagall • End “Too Big to Fail” • Focus on Credit Rating • Investor Protection (taxpayer money) especially mortgage companies from financial institutions • Modified Fed’s lending power to non-depository institutions • Protect minority and women-oriented
  • 12. UK Merchant Banks • 1986- UK merchant banks could not last the onslaught of US investment banks • Thus sale of SG Warburg to Swiss Bank Corp (later UBS acquired Swiss) • 1997- Natwest and Barclays exited investment banking business • Deutsche acquired Morgan Grefell, Bankers Trust, Alex Brown • Banks which faced sub-prime heat were- UBS, RBS, Santander, ABN Amro Other European banks- HSBC, StanC, Rothschild, BNP, Commerzbank
  • 13. Indian Origin • Foreign banks in India started investment banking operations • Grindlays Bank in 1967 got the first license followed by Citibank 1970 • SBI in 1972, followed by many PSBs • ICICI in 1973 was first private bank • IFCI and IDBI got in 1992 • SEBI asks banks to keep investment banking business separated from their entities
  • 14. SEBI Guidelines • Payment of Rs 50000 for application fee • Initial registration fee Rs 20 lacs (validity of 5 years). • Permanent registration fee Rs 9 lacs (every 3 years)
  • 15. Category 1. Category I These merchant bankers can act as issue manager, advisor, consultant, underwriter and portfolio manager. Minimum networth Rs 5 crore 2. Category II Such merchant bankers can act as advisor, consultant, underwriter and portfolio manager. They cannot act as issue manager of their own but can act co-manager. Minimum networth Rs 50 lakhs 3. Category III They are allowed to act as underwriter, advisor and consultant only. They can neither undertake issue management of their own nor they act as co-manager. They cannot undertake the activities of portfolio management also. Minimum networth Rs 20 lakhs 4. Category IV A category IV merchant banker can merely act as consultant or advisor to an issue of capital.
  • 16. SEBI classification • Based on activities classification • SBI, ICICI, Kotak, HDC, Axis, IDBI, PNB, BOB- offer all services • Foreign players- Citi, Deutsche, JP, HSBC, StanC • NBFCs- Tata Capital, ILFS, L&T, IIFL Securities, Reliance Capital • Mid-sized Indian banks- Edelweiss, Religare, DSP, JM Financial, Avendus, Karvy, Anand Rathi • Recent Addition- MAPE Advisory, Spark Capital, Veda Advisors, Ripple Wave, O3
  • 17. Full Service Investment Banks • Equity Capital Market: raising equity, underwriting, private placement, derivatives, proprietary trading & broking, equity research etc. • Debt Capital Market: bond issue & placement, underwriting, derivatives, proprietary trading & broking, fixed income research etc. • M&A: Advisory, arranging acquisition finance, co-investing, LBOs, due diligence, valuation, restructuring • Egs- Universal banks + Investment banks: HSBC, JP, BOA, Citi, Wells Fargo, UBS, Deutsche
  • 18. Investment Banking Services Core • Public Offers • Private Placements • Advisory • M&A • Structured Products • Mezzanine financing Allied • Asset Management • Securities • Proprietary Trading • Risk management • Wealth Management • Forex, commodity and financial derivatives
  • 19. Core Functions Non-Fund Based • Merchant Banking Services Public Issue, Rights Issue, Buy-Buy, Delisting, Takeover • Advisory & Transaction Services QIP, Preferential Issue Project Financing, Loan Syndication Structured Finance, Securitization Capital Restructuring, Turnaround financing Acquisitions, disinvestments, divestures Fund Based • Underwriting • Bought out deals • Market making • Proprietary Investments in secondary markets
  • 20. Types of Equity Issues
  • 21. Other Capital Market Instruments- • Raising Finance from Overseas- • ADR • GDR • ECB (FCCB) • Overseas Investment in India • FII (Participatory Notes/ P-Notes) • Qualified Financial Investor • IDR
  • 22. TYPES of PROSPECTUS • Offer Document • Draft Offer Document • Red Herring • Shelf Prospectus • Abridged Prospectus • Statement in lieu of Prospectus
  • 23. Bond Market Basic Terminology Face Value Price Maturity Coupon Rate Interest Rate Yield Inverse Relationship
  • 24. Example: Bond of 10 years 6% Rs.10000 for 10 years Coupon is Rs 600. Suppose for the above-mentioned bond the redemption will take place next year, then how much will you pay for the bond today? Calculate the existing price of the bond in the 9th year with @6% interest. What will be the price if interest is 7% (increase of rate) What will be the price is interest if 5% (decrease of rate) Existing Price should be in the market = 10000/ (1 + 0.06) = 10000/1.06 = Rs 9433 If Interest becomes 7%, price changes to = 10000/ (1 + 0.07) = 10000/1.07 = Rs 9345 If Interest becomes 5%, price changes to = 10000/ (1 + 0.05) = 10000/1.05 = Rs 9523
  • 25. Accrued Interest • Semi-annual coupons • Also called- Broken Period Interest • Market convention to quote without accrued interest but buyer agrees to pay the same. • Invoice Price= Quoted Price + Accrued Interest OR • Dirty Price= Clean Price + Accrued Price • Accrued Interest = Interest Due in Full Period * No of Days since last coupon date ---------------------------------------------- No of Days between coupon payments
  • 26. Day Count Conventions (DCC) 1. 30/365 2. 30/360 3. Actual/ 360 4. Actual/ 365 5. Actual/ Actual According to RBI website Bond market DCC is 30/ 360 and Money Market Actual/ 365
  • 27. • Q.1 Calculate Accrued Interest according to all DCC for a bond of Face Value Rs 100 and a coupon Rate 10% • Last Interest Payment date= 15/10/2010 • Next Interest payment date= 15/4/2011 • Settlement date= 20/01/2011 30 days: Oct + Nov + Dec + Jan (15 + 30 + 30 + 20) = 95 Actual Days= 16+ 30 + 31+ 20 = 97 days
  • 28. • Q.2 Calculate the accrued interest for a bond of Face Value Rs 500 and a coupon Rate 10% • Last Interest Payment date= 15/01/2008 • Next Interest payment date= 15/07/2008 • Settlement date= 05/04/2008
  • 29. Q.3) Calculate the accrued interest for a bond of Face Value Rs 5000 and a coupon Rate 8% • Last Interest Payment date= 01/01/2020 • Next Interest payment date= 01/07/2020 • Settlement date= 12/05/2020
  • 31. Realized Yield If the bond is not held till maturity, the yield is called as realized yield. RY= Final Proceeds 1/n -------------------- - 1 OR (FV/PV)1/n-1 Purchase Price Final Proceeds/ Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons.
  • 32. Eg- What is the Realized Yield of a bond of par value Rs 100 having coupon of 10% maturing after 5 years but sold after 4th year. The rate of interest in the market is 8% C4 Rs 10 Purchase C1 C2 C3 C5+ Redemption Value (Rs 100) Rs 10 Rs 10 Rs 10 Rs 10 +Rs 100
  • 33. Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons. Coupons Received = (Rs 10 * 4) = Rs 40 Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value = Rs 10*PVAF (1yr, 8%) + Rs 100*PV (1 yr,8%) = Rs 101.85 Reinvested Coupons =
  • 34. C1= Rs10* FVF (3yrs, 8%) = 12.59 C2= Rs10* FVF (2yrs, 8%) = 11.64 C3= Rs 10*FVF (1yr, 8%) = 10. 08 ----------------------- Rs 35.06 (-) Rs 30.00 ----------------------- Rs 5.06 Thus, Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons = 40 + 101.85 + 5.06 = 146.911 RY = 7.99%
  • 35. Q2) Calculate the Realized Yield for an Rs 2500 bond having a coupon of 8% maturing after 8 years but sold in the 6th year. The current interest rate is 10%
  • 36. Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons. Coupons Received = (Rs 200 * 6) = Rs 1200 Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value = C8Rs 200*PVAF (2yrs, 10%) + C7Rs 200*PVAF (1yr, 10%) +Rs 2500*PV (2 yrs, 10%) = (Rs200 * 0.8264) + (Rs200* 0.9090) + (Rs 2500 * 0.8264) = Rs 165.28 + Rs 181.80 + Rs 2066 = Rs 2413.08
  • 37. Reinvested Coupons = C1= Rs200* FVF (5yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.6105= Rs 322.10 C2= Rs 200* FVF (4yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.4641= Rs 292.82 C3= Rs 200* FVF (3yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.3310= Rs 266.20 C4= Rs 200* FVF (2yrs, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.2100= Rs 242.00 C5= Rs 200* FVF (1yr, 10%) = Rs 200 * 1.1000= Rs 220.00 ------------------------------------- Rs 1343.123 (-) Rs 1000.000 ------------------------------------- Rs 343.123
  • 38. Thus, Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons = 1200 + 2413.08 + 343.123 = 3956.203 RY = (FV/PV)1/n-1 = (1.5824)^0.125-1 = 1.0590-1 = 5.90%
  • 39. Q) Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 9% coupon bond with par value of Rs 5000, sold in the 7th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market for the first 3 years at 8%, the next 4 years at 10% and after that at 11%.
  • 40. Coupons Received = (Rs 225 * 14) = Rs 3150 Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value = Rs 225*PVAF (6yr, 5.5%) + Rs 5000*PVF (3yr, 11%) = (Rs225 * 4.9955) + (Rs5000 * 0.7311) = Rs 1123.99 + Rs 3655.95 = Rs 4779.94
  • 41. Reinvested Coupons = Step 1) Annuity for 1- 6 coupons when interest rate is 8% = Rs 225 * FVAF (6 years, 4%) = Rs 225* 6.6330 = Rs 1492.425 Step 2) Annuity for 7-14 coupons when interest rate is 10% = Rs 225 * FVAF (8 years, 5%) = Rs 225 * 9.5491 = Rs 2148.5475
  • 42. Step 3) Lumpsum Compounding 1-6 coupons from 3rd year to 7th year = Answer of Step 1*FVF(4 years, 10) = Rs 1492.425* 1.4641 = Rs 2185 Step 4) Reinvested Amount = Step 2 + Step 3 – Coupons Received = Rs 2148.5475 + Rs 2185.0594 – Rs 3150 = Rs 1183 Thus, Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons = Rs 3150 + Rs 4780 + Rs 1183.6069 = Rs 9113
  • 43.
  • 44. Q2) Calculate the Realized Yield of an 8 year 10% coupon bond with par value of Rs 3000, sold in the 6th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market for the first 3 years at 8%, the next 4 years at 10% and after that at 11%. Purchase Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y7 Y8Coupon+ Sale Value C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8 C9 C10 C11 C13 C14 C15 C16 +Rs 3000 8% 10% 11% Y6 C12
  • 45. Coupons Received = (Rs 150 * 12) = Rs 1800 Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons (Year8) + PV of Remaining Coupons (Year7) + PV of Redemption Value = Rs 150* (2yr, 5.5% PVAF & 1yr, 10% PVF) + Rs 150*PVAF (2yr, 5%) + Rs 3000*PVF (1yr, 11% & 1yr,10%) = [Rs 150 *1.8459 = 277 * 0.9091 = 252]+ [Rs150 * 1.8500 = 277] + [Rs 3000 *0.9009 = 2702 *0.9091 = 2457] = 252 + 277 + 2457 = Rs 2986
  • 46. Reinvested Coupons Step 1) Annuity for 1- 6 coupons when interest rate is 8%= Rs 150 * FVAF (6 years, 4%) = Rs 150* 6.6330 = Rs 995 Step 2) Annuity for 7-12 coupons when interest rate is 10%= Rs 150 * FVAF (6 years, 5%) = Rs 150 * 6.8019 = Rs 1020 Step 3) Lumpsum Compounding 1-6 coupons from 3rd year to 6th year = Answer of Step 1* FVF (3 years, 10%) = Rs 995 * 1.3310 = Rs 1324 Step 4) Reinvested Amount = Step 2 + Step 3 – Coupons Received = Rs 1020 + Rs 1324 – Rs 1800 = Rs 544
  • 47. Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons = Rs 1800 + Rs 2986 + Rs 544 = Rs 5330 RY = 5330 1/8 ----------- - 1 3000 = 1.0744 - 1 RY = 7.44 %
  • 48. Q3) Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 9% coupon bond with par value of Rs 5000, sold in the 7th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market for the first 2 years at 8%, the next 3 years at 8.5%, next 3 years is 9.5% and after that at 10%. Purchase Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Y8 Y9 Y10Coupon+ Sale Value C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8 C9 C10 C11 C12 C13 C15 C16 C17 C18 C19 C20 +Rs 5000 8% 8.5% 9.5% 10% PVAF = 1- 1 FVAF = (1+r)t -1 (1+r)t r r
  • 49. TOTAL RETURN OF A BOND Yield of a bond is in percentage and the return on a bond is in value. The return of a bond is a combination of- • Total Coupon Interest • Reinvestment of Coupons Interest • Capital Gain/ Loss
  • 50. Q) Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 9% coupon bond with par value of Rs 5000, sold in the 7th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market for the first 3 years at 8%, the next 4 years at 10% and after that at 11%. In this problem if the bond was purchased for Rs 4500 and sold for Rs 4800 then what was the return on the bond? • Total Coupon Interest= (225*14) = Rs 3150 • Reinvestment of Coupons Interest = Rs 1183 • Capital Gain/ Loss = Purchase-Sale = Rs 300 • Return of the bond= 3150 + 1183 + 300 = Rs 4633
  • 51. Q) Calculate the Realized Yield for an Rs 2500 bond having a coupon of 8% maturing after 8 years but sold in the 6th year. The current interest rate is 10% In this problem calculate the return on the bond in case it was purchased for Rs 2100 and sold for Rs 2350. Ans • Total Coupon Interest= Rs 1200 • Reinvestment of Coupons Interest = Rs 343 • Capital Gain/ Loss = Purchase-Sale = Rs 250 • Return of the bond= 1200+ 343 + 250= Rs 1793
  • 52. PRICING OF A BOND • Price = PV of Coupons + PV of Redemption Value at Maturity • Eg- At what price can I buy a bond of Face Value Rs 1000 of coupon 10% maturing after 5 years giving a return of 15%? = [50 * PVAF (10yrs, 7.5%) ] + [1000 * PVF (5 yrs, 15%)] = [50 * 6.864] + [ 1000*0.4971] = 840
  • 53. Eg- At what price can I buy a bond of Face Value Rs 5000 of coupon 12% maturing after 8 years. Assume the market interest rate is 14% • Price = PV of Coupons + PV of Redemption Value at Maturity = [300 * PVAF (16yrs, 7%) ] + [5000 * PVF (8 yrs, 14%)] = [300 * 9.4466] + [ 5000 * 0.3506] = 2833.98 + 1753 = 4586.98
  • 54. Combined problem- Calculate the Realized Yield of a 10 year 7% coupon bond with par value of Rs 20000, sold in the 7th year. Assume the rate of interest in the market for the first 3 years at 6%, the next 4 years at 8% and after that at 10%. Also calculate the return of the bond in case the bond was purchased for Rs 14000 and sold for Rs 17000. At what price is the investor ready to buy the bond in the 7th year?
  • 55. Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons Coupons Received = (Rs 700 * 14) = Rs 9800 Market Value = PV of Remaining Coupons + PV of Redemption Value = Rs 700*PVAF (6yr, 5%) + Rs 20000*PVF (3yr, 10%) = (Rs 700*5.0757) + Rs (20000* 0.7513) = Rs 3552.99+ Rs 15026 = Rs 18579
  • 56. Reinvestment Coupons- Step 1) Annuity for 1- 6 coupons when interest rate is 6%= Rs 700 * FVAF (6 years, 3%) = Rs 700* 6.4684 = Rs 4527.88 Step 2) Annuity for 7-14 coupons when interest rate is 8%= Rs 700*FVAF (8 years, 4%) = Rs 700 * 9.2142 = Rs 6449.94 Step 3) Lumpsum Compounding 1-6 coupons from 3rd year to 7th year = Answer of Step 1* FVF (4 years, 8%) = Rs 4527.88 * 1.3605 = Rs 6158.82 Step 4) Reinvested Amount = Step 2 + Step 3 – Coupons Received = Rs 6449.94 + Rs 6158.82– Rs 9800 = Rs 2808.72
  • 57. Thus, Future Value = Coupons Received + Market Value of Bond + Reinvested Coupons = Rs 9800 + Rs 18578 + Rs 2808 = Rs 31186 RY = (FV/PV) 1/10 -1
  • 58. Horizon Analysis • Total Return vs Yield • Investment Horizon • Evaluate the bond swaps • Assuming all four bonds have equal credit quality, which bond is most attractive? Bond Coupon % Maturity YTM P 10 4 9.0 Q 12 15 8.6 R 15 10 9.2 S 8 5 8.0
  • 59. RISK ASSESSMENT & MEASUREMENT OF FIS • Measures of Bond Price Volatility- 1. Duration- Price sensitivity of a bond to interest rate changes. It is the average time required to pay back on original investment. i.e. the time taken to recover the present value of all future cash flows. 2. Convexity- It is a non-linear relationship measurement of bond prices to interest rates. It is the slope of the tangent becoming steeper as interest rates fall.
  • 60. Duration Duration is the slope of the line drawn tangent to price- yield curve & shows % change in bond price for a given change in the yield.
  • 62. Q1. Calculate the Macaulay and Modified Duration of a 5 year Rs 100 9 % coupon bond selling to yield 9% par value of Rs 100. n CashFlows @ 4.5% PVCF @ 4.5% PVCF * n 1 Rs 4.5 4.3062 4.3062 2 Rs 4.5 4.1207 8.2915 3 Rs 4.5 3.9433 11.8300 4 Rs 4.5 3.7735 15.0941 5 Rs 4.5 3.6110 18.0551 6 Rs 4.5 3.4555 20.7331 7 Rs 4.5 3.3067 23.1470 8 Rs 4.5 3.1643 25.3146 9 Rs 4.5 3.0280 27.2526 10 Rs 104.5 67.2904 672.9044 TOTAL 100.0000 826.8789 Macaulay Duration = 826.8789 / 100 = 8.27 years Macaulay Duration (Years) = 8.27/2 = 4. 13 years Modified Duration = 4.13 / 1+y = 4.13 / 1.0450 = 3.96 years
  • 63. Q2. Calculate Macaulay and Modified duration of an 8 year Rs 1000 6% coupon bond selling to yield 10%. n CashFlows @ 3% PVCF @ 5% PVCF * n 1 Rs 30 28.57 28.57 2 Rs 30 27.21 54.42 3 Rs 30 25.91 77.73 4 Rs 30 24.68 98.72 5 Rs 30 23.51 117.55 6 Rs 30 22.38 134.28 7 Rs 30 21.32 149.24 8 Rs 30 20.31 162.48 9 Rs 30 19.34 174.06 10 Rs 30 18.42 184.20 11 Rs 30 17.54 192.94 12 Rs 30 16.71 200.52 13 Rs 30 15.91 206.83 14 Rs 30 15.15 212.10 15 Rs 30 14.43 216.45 16 Rs 1030 471.85 7549.60 TOTAL 783.0000 9759.69
  • 64. Macaulay Duration (Half Years) = 9759.69 / 783 = 12.46 years Macaulay Duration (Years) = 12.46/2 = 6.23 years Modified Duration = 6.23 / 1+y = 6.23/ 1.0500 = 5.93 years
  • 65. Portfolio Duration • Duration of the portfolio is simply the weighted average duration of the bonds in the portfolio. • Portfolio Duration = Weight of Issue in Portfolio * Duration of Issue • Q. Calculate portfolio duration of a portfolio having 4 bonds A,B,C and D having market value Rs 10 lacs, Rs 40 lacs, Rs 30 lacs and Rs 20 lacs and duration of 4, 7, 6 and 2 years respectively. Bond MV of Bond Weight in Portfolio Duration Portfolio Duration A 10,000,000 0.10 4 0.40 B 40,000,000 0.40 7 2.80 C 30,000,000 0.30 6 1.80 D 20,000,000 0.20 2 0.40 Total 100,000,000 1.00 5.40
  • 66. Q. Calculate duration of a portfolio consisting of treasury bills having 0.295 weightage in the portfolio with duration of 7.25 years; government securities with weightage of 0.036 and duration of 1.94 years; corporate bonds with weight of 0.379 and duration of 4.85 years and mortgage backed securities with duration of 5.17 years. Sector Weight in Portfolio Duration Portfolio Duration Treasury Bills 0.295 7.25 2.14 Govt Securities 0.036 1.94 0.07 Corporate Bonds 0.379 4.85 1.84 Mortgage backed Sec 0.290 5.17 1.50 Total 1.000 5.55
  • 67. Fixed Income Portfolios • Portfolio need to have proper asset mix • Rebalance when necessary John Maginn & Donald Tuttle (2007)- process for fixed income portfolio: 1. Setting investment objectives 2. Development & implementation of portfolio manager strategy 3. Continuous monitoring 4. Necessary adjustment whenever required
  • 68. Step 1: Setting investment objectives 1. Return Objective Return structure depends on the liability structure: source of money Thus has concerns like: • Sufficient & timely cash inflows to meet the liability • Higher cost of funds will have difficulty in managing investments with desired rate of return • Uncertainty of amount & time of future cash inflows • MV of investments under all circumstances must be atleast equal to actual investments. (immune to unfavourable market) • Perception towards market • Maximum permissible exposure to sector, country, entity
  • 69. 2. Risk Objective Risk Absorption capacity Risk related concerns: • Setting maximum & reasonable limit • Asset & Liability mismatch due to buckets • Uneven changes within the yield on investments of different maturities • Provisioning for risky assets
  • 70. Step 2: Development & implementation of portfolio manager strategy • Right mix of strategy in the given constraints (policy etc.) • Composition of portfolio: government bonds (central, state, municipality) or non-government (PSU, Bank, NBFCs, corporate), short term money market or long term fixed income, exchange traded or OTC • Consideration for developing & implementing Develop a policy- update & revise as per goal of bank Selection of assets in right proportion in line with norms & constraints Necessary hedging instruments (IRF, FRA, IRS) Right trading & management strategy Tracking & collecting markets inputs for construction of optimum portfolio
  • 71. Passive Strategy • Motive is to ensure a desired performance • Only necessary adjustments as & when required- minor alterations • Minimize transaction cost • Avoid adverse consequences of failing to anticipate market • Low management cost • Allows for high diversification • Passive believe in – efficient market hypothesis • EMH- incorporate & reflect all available information
  • 72. Passive strategy • Meet regulations • Investment of surplus funds in liquid assets • HTM • Focus to earn rather than beat market Ways of managing: 1. Bond Indexing 2. Cash Flow Matching 3. Classical Immunization
  • 74. Convexity • Convexity is another measure of bond risk. • Duration applies to only small changes in yield. The relationship between the bond prices and yield is not linear but convex. • As convexity decreases, the exposure to the market interest rate decreases. • A high convexity is when a given positive or negative change in yield a bond’s percentage rise in price is greater than the percentage price loss. High convexity bond is more sensitive to interest rate change.
  • 75.
  • 76. TYPES OF YIELD CURVE • Why yield curve is important? • It measures bond investors' feelings about risk • What is it? • It is a graphical representation of the yields available for bonds of equal credit quality and different maturity dates • Generally- the longer the maturity of the bond, the higher the risk to the investor, and so the higher the yield. • The yields of bonds of equal credit quality but different maturities can be plotted and joined up into a curve • Investors often use the yield curve of a country’s government bonds to tell them how the economy of that country is expected to behave.
  • 77.
  • 79.
  • 80. • What is the usage of yield curves? • Interpreting the yield curve • India Latest on Yield Curves
  • 84. Term Structure • Developing a sharp intuition about the shape of the yield curve and factors that determine the same is term structure of interest rates. • It refers to the relationship between YTM of default free Zero coupon securities and their maturities. • The difference between the spot and forward rates is referred to as “term premium”. Theories- 1. Pure/ Expectations Theory 2. Liquidity Preference Theory 3. Market Segmentation Theory 4. Preferred Habitat Theory
  • 85. Fixed Income Derivatives- • Interest Derivatives- a) Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) b) Interest Rate Futures (IRF) c) Interest Rate Swaps (IRS) • Credit Derivatives- a) Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) b) Credit Default Swaps (CDS) c) Credit Linked Notes (CLN)
  • 86. CORPORATE BOND MARKET CHALLENGES- • Equity Finance is easy • Lack of Transparency for retail • Lack of Information for retail • Less Liquid (Higher denomination) • No depth in secondary market • Lack of Derivative instruments • Limited Foreign Investments • Limited Infrastructure • Bank loans are preferred over bonds • Differential Tax rates
  • 87. DEVELOPING A CORPORATE BOND MARKET- • Trading Platforms on BSE and NSE • Introduce repo in corporate bond market • Benchmark Index (I-Bex) • Reduce lot size from Rs 10 lacs to Rs 1 lac • Establish different Regulatory Body- currently SEBI for corporate and RBI for repos. FIMMDA is only an association • FII and FDI rules favorable • Derivative instruments (CDS was allowed by RBI since 2013)
  • 88.
  • 89. Allied Services • Asset Management Services Mutual Funds, PMS, AIFs, PE and VC funding • Secondary Markets Broking, wealth management, equity and fixed income research, derivatives- ET and OTC • Support Services Custodial, depositary participant
  • 90. Asset Management (Allied Service) Types of Asset Management- • Mutual Funds • Hedge Funds • Private Banking • Private Equity • Investment Trusts (REITs) • Fund of Funds (FoFs)
  • 91. AIF • SEBI AIF 2012- AIF means any fund established or incorporated in India in form of trust or a company or a LLP or a body corporate- which is privately pooled investment vehicle which collects funds from investors (Indian or Foreign) for investing in accordance which defined investment policy for benefit of investors and is not covered under SEBI fund management activities. • SEBI has defined 3 category of AIF 1. Category I- VC 2. Category II- PE 3. Category III- Hedge Funds
  • 92. SEBI AIF Criteria • Minimum corpus Rs 20 crore. • Fund manager investment of 2.5% or Rs 5 crore whichever is less • No more than 1000 investors • Individual investment restricted to Rs 1 crore minimum • Category I and II shall not invest more than 25% in one company, but category III is only limited to 10%
  • 93. Venture Capital (Allied Service) • SEBI VC- AIF which invests primarily in unlisted securities of start-ups, emerging or early stage undertakings mainly involved in new products, new services, technology or intellectual property right based activities or a new business model. (shall include angel fund) • From SEBI perspective VC will be more risky. • K.B. Chandrashekhar Committee of 2000 revised guidelines and changed taxation • E-Commerce sector “unicorns” wrote a new chapter in VC • Top Players- Sequoia, Accel, Insight, Greycroft, Bessmer Ventures
  • 94. Private Equity(Allied Service) • SEBI PE- AIF which invests primarily in equity or equity linked instruments or partnership interests of investee companies according to the stated objective of the fund. • Largest PE- Blackstone Group, Carlyle Group, KKR & Co, TPG Capital, Warbug Pincus, • India- Warburg Pincus investment of $292 million in Bharti Televentures was a characteristic investment. • Earlier PE investment in 1990s was only in IT later in 2000 changed • Profit & Loss Sharing Mechanism of PE- debate between general and limited partners Limited partners take 80% & general 20% Losses are allocated to limited partners after setting off general partners contribution. • SWF operate in private equity space
  • 95. Hedge Funds (Allied Service) • First hedge fund in 1949 • What is it?- • Invest across different asset classes like financial, commodities, real estate and precious metals taking long and short positions and leverage. • Thus they are highly speculative and susceptible to risk. • SEBI – AIF which employs diverse or complex trading strategies and invests & trades in securities having diverse risks or complex products including listed and unlisted securities. • Famous hedge funds- Worlds largest hedge fund- Bridgewater Associates, Man Group, Renaissance Technologies
  • 96. Fund of Funds • It is an investment strategy of holding a portfolio of other investment funds rather than directly investing in any asset. • A FoF shall not invest in another FoF; but FoF can invest in another AIF • Thus the fees of FoF are higher as it comprises the charges of the underlying fund as well as the FoF management charges
  • 97. Securities- Broking & Trading (Allied Service) Global investment banks famous for this service- Wells Fargo Fidelity, Franklin Templeton, Northern Trust and Principal • Trading: Taking positions with an intent to make profits • Trading operations is to take risks in maintaining position • Investment banks run businesses in trading both proprietary & institutional purposes • Some specialize in particular segments like fixed income, arbitrage, synthetic instruments etc. • Eg- Salomon Brothers in bond trading • Thus investment bankers recruit statisticians, mathematicians and physicists • Broking & Dealing: Fee-based income or commissions • Dealers are not for earning profits but accrue transaction based income • Thus traders are different than dealers • Securities department keep dealers and traders separate
  • 98. Other Allied Services • Institutional Sales • Quantitative Research- Sectoral, Company, Economic Analysis • Advisory & Wealth Management- Also known as private banking
  • 99. Conflict of Interest • Research Division and Investment Bank personnel • SEC investigation- Findings of over optimistic research by research team given to clients for vested interest. • Thus in 2002 many clients paid fines for misleading reports • Citigroup, Goldman, J.P Morgan, Lehman, Bear Sterns, Merrill Lynch $100 million • J.P Morgan for its infamous deal with Enron • Revision- 1. Disclose the investment in the IPO/deal 2. Compensation structure
  • 100. Dark Side of Investment Banking 2008 Leverage • Merrill Lynch 46 times • Fannie Mac/ Freddie Mae 45 times • Lehman 34 times • Bear Sterns 31 times • Morgan Stanley 30 times • Goldman 26 times • Citigroup 19 times • J.P Morgan 14 times • Bank of America 12 times • Using assets for short selling • Obnoxious pay packages • Insider Trading (Rajat Gupta)
  • 101. Regulatory & Business Challenges • Dodd Frank • Volker’s Rule • Basel III • Curtailed Revenue generating capacity • Increase cost of asset holding, financing, maintaining under Basel III • Credit valuation adjustments for OTC for reducing counter-party risk will increase cost of customers and reduce returns.
  • 102. Investment banks as Issue Managers • This is a core business vertical for investment bank • Intermediation service: IPO, FPO and Rights Issue • Issue Lead Manager or Book Running Lead Manager (BRLM) or Co-BRLM • Asses market factors, dilution of promoter equity, lock-in period, pre-marketing • Co-ordinate with registrar, bankers, advertisement agency, broker to issue, underwriters, auditors, company secretary, legal advisor, any experts, printers and couriers etc. • There are no norms on the no.of merchant bankers for issue • 3 considerations for IPO listing 1. Strategic Decision 2. Financial Decision 3. Investment Banking Decision
  • 103. Strategic Decision • Maruti Udyog was privately held till 2003 with Rs92.71b sales • Bennet Coleman & Co is presently unlisted • IPO opens large open window • If company can be equity sourced and from debt is it wise to dilute? • Sometime private companies generate higher returns on networth than its listed peers • That’s a corporate philosophy
  • 104. Financial & Investment banking decision • Capital intensive industries • Cement, steel, shipping, energy, transportation, pharma, refineries, heavy engineering, automobiles etc. • Even green-field business • Merchant banks take a call on business strategy and financials • In strong market conditions merchant bankers tend to be aggressive and push companies to go public. • Sometimes even of companies do not need they raise finance and keep it for future • Eg- Satyam & Wipro raised from US markets
  • 105. Regulations • SEBI – Issue of Capital & Disclosure Requirement (ICDR) regulations of 2012 – now 2018 • ICDR restrictions on issue of “general corporate purpose” – this purpose can be only 25% of the size offer • SCRA & LODR regulations are also applicable for issue • Securities Contract Regulations Rules of 1957 • Listing Obligations & Disclosure Requirements 2015
  • 106. Pre-Issue Process • All due diligence – statutory compliance to be followed • Role of advisor, external agency, event manager, co-Ordinator. • Write the Management Discussion & Analysis (MDA) really well • Ensure underwriters are not over-exposing themselves • Issue marketing- road shows, journalist meet, investor associations • As per ICDR a public offer or rights issue of more than Rs 50 lakh shall not be made unless draft offer document filed with SEBI though lead manager 30 days prior to registering of prospectus/ red-herring/ shelf with ROC.
  • 107. Post-Issue Process • Finalizing basis of allotment in fair & proper manner lies with Executive Director/ MD of stock exchange with post issue lead manager and registrar. • Post issue LM also needs to co-ordinate process of collection of subscription figures from bankers to issue, processing applications, dispatch of allotment letters, refund orders, attending grievances and ensure listing. • In 2010 SEBI decreased time from 12 days to 7 days for closure and listing. • The lead manager has to ensure that any modifications from SEBI are adhered to quickly in the post-issue period of 6 days for getting the listing approval.
  • 108. Pricing of IPO • Fixed Price- 100% retail • Free pricing since 1992 • Pricing vs Valuation • Pricing and valuation have different purposes • But before the issue the company has to be valued • Eg- If the EPS for an unlisted company for last 3 years is 7.10; 4.59 and 2.68. The highest PE is 32.5; the lowest PE is 3.5 and average PE in same time period is 18.6. Then how will be the IPO priced? Lower Band Weighted average EPS * average PE The weighted EPS = (3*7.10) + (2*4.59) + (1*2.68) = 33.16/6 = So lower band= 5.52 * 18.60 = Rs 103 Upper Band As many companies within the sector do not have the highest PE- its unnecessarily exorbitant the upper PE is rationalized So upper band = highest EPS * highest PE = 24 * 7.10 = Rs 170
  • 109. • ICDR regulations- price band cannot extend to more than 20% • Price band is usually 85-90% mark of the price range. Why? • To provide for listing gains. This is known as “Flippers Margin” • FPO pricing is similar but depends on the market for the company • Eg- Tata Steel FPO of Rs 3477 crore in 2011. The price band was Rs 594-610 and existing price was Rs 608. • As per offer document PE translated to 10.6 against industry average of 10.9. • Due to QIB enthusiasm the listing day closing was Rs 625 • Over the time market corrected- to Rs 550 – 575. Why? • Pricing was almost same to existing, and PE was almost at par with industry but as additional shares were added to the free float the price corrected.
  • 110. Underwriting • SEBI underwriters regulation 1993 • SEBI- An agreement with or without conditions to subscribe to the securities of a body corporate when the existing shareholders of such body corporate or the public do not subscribe to the securities offered to them. • Sub- underwriting may be used to spread the risk. • Underwriting of fixed price offer is optional but it is mandatory for book- built offers. • Underwriting agreement is signed between the issuer company and the lead underwriter only. • Thus the risk is taken by the lead underwriter. • Second contract is between the mutual obligations between the different underwriters. • The third contract is the dealers agreement- a distribution agreement akin to a brokerage contract.
  • 111. Underwriting compensation • Its primarily “Fee based” service. • But underwriting becomes a “fund based” service when they purchase under subscribed investment. • Underwriting commission is paid as a percentage of the value of underwriting. • In US the compensation is- the spread between the price to investor and price issued. As in US the dealer purchases the securities as a discount price and then sells them. • In US alongwith the spread, there is also manager’s fee, selling commission and an underwriting allowance.
  • 112. Devolvement • It is the amount of financial support to be provided by an underwriter in an under-subscribed issue of securities. • Issuer company within 30 days of subscription closure communicate in writing to the underwriter the total no. of securities remaining unsubscribed. • The underwriter on being satisfied about extent of devolvement shall within 30 days after receipt of devolvement notice, make or procure the applications to subscribe the securities and submit them. • The issuer company has to enforce the devolvement on underwriters.
  • 113. Safety Net • Mechanism which provides the investors the buyback facility for securities subscribed for the same price at which the investor bought the same. • SEBI restrictions of safety net- Only for small investors Limited upto 1000 securities Available only to original resident individual • It is an additional protection given by issuer company as a marketing effort. • Infotech Enterprises had issued safety net through its lead merchant banker cum underwriter IDBI Bank. • Recently RBI has refrained from these services but not barred. • Matured markets do not provide safety nets- as they make informed decisions.
  • 114. Risk in Underwriting • Capital • SEBI Regulation 7 states that minimum capital adequacy should be Rs 20 lakh and Regulation 15 states that maximum underwriting cannot exceed 20 times the net worth • Thus a underwriting firm having a net worth of Rs 25 lakh can do a maximum underwriting of Rs 500 lakh. • If the devolvement probability of the above firm is 25%; and the quantum of devolvement is 50%; the firm falls short of capital. And needs to source debt from outside to keep the firm viable.
  • 115. Particulars Networth 25 Maximum Underwriting 500 Devolvement Probability (25%) 125 Devolvement Quantum (50%) 62.5 Loan Financing (Shortfall) (62.50- 25.00) 37.50 Cost of Debt Underwriters commission
  • 116. Bought out Deals • BOD is an alternative to straight IPO • The company places stock with the investment banker with an understanding that it would make the company public by making a secondary offer within a specified time frame . • The time frame is usually 9-12 months. • The investment banker makes an OFS after the time frame • Smaller companies earlier used to prefer this route for saving time and expenses of retail IPO. • After 1996 market collapse, BODs attractiveness came down as investment banks took the shares but there were no takers for OFS. • India there is rare occurrence, but in US it is still prevalent. • First BOD in US was GM in 1981 for $100 million
  • 117. Global Capital Raising • Equity as well as Debt • Magnitude of finance raised has increased • International visibility • 2 fold role of investment banker- home jurisdiction and place of offer jurisdiction • Responsible for coordination with market regulator and stock exchange authorities • NYSE, NASDAQ • LSE- 2 segments. One is main and another is Alternative Investment Market (AIM) for smaller growing companies across the world. Vedanta is listed on AIM. • Luxemburg, Frankfurt • Tokyo, Singapore, Hongkong, Abu Dhabi
  • 118. International Bond Market • Compliance with local regulations- maturity, rating, size, underwriting and documentation. • US Bonds – Investment banks managing this issue need to comply with SEC 144A • Euro Bonds- Investment banks managing this need to understand that the trade in the country of issue could result in withholding tax. Thus the bond structure is to neutralize the incidence of the tax on income distribution and capital gains. Usually an intermediary vehicles in a tax friendly nation like British Virgin Islands or Netherlands Antilles are used to float the issue.
  • 119. FCCBs • Comply with FDI policy, FEMA, Companies Act, SEBI and SCRA • Only through reputed investment banker- need to give proper advice on coupon and conversion terms. • Denominated in any foreign currency but underlying shares are in Rupee terms. • Boom from 2003-07: 201 companies raised Rs 72000 crore • This reduced the borrowing cost and offered low coupon rates. • As few companies were not big enough to issue DRs they preferred FCCBs. • Conversion rates were fixed at 25% to 150% higher than the prevailing market price. • These bonds were maturing after the 2008 crisis. • Share prices had fallen for 70% of the companies and were trading 5% to 60% lower than the conversion price.
  • 120. Depository Receipts • 1927- originated for enabling US investors to participate in non listed US securities • DR = ADR • 1983: SEC regulations for ADR: not possible to issue without registering under Securities Act 1933 • Thus there were 2 sets of ADRs- one for US and another for non –US called IDRs • 1990- Amendment in SEC Rule 144A- Thus GDR was born. • 144A rule for DR is a private placement route for securities in India. • GDR= It’s a DR issued in US under 144A and elsewhere too • ADR= Issued through public issue with complying US securities law. • In India: M.S Sahoo Committee Report 2014
  • 121. • Investment bankers need to ensure that the conversion of the receipt to shares, transfers from trades, dividend distribution is done properly. • DR creates 2 securities- 1. One pool that of issued shares 2. Other being of the receipts representing those shares • Every DR has different underlying no.of shares which are issued by the local issuer company. These shares are not tradeable in domestic market and are administered by a custodian. Global investors do not get the shares. The shares are issued to the global depository. • The global investors subscribe to the allotted instruments (whose underlying are shares) in the global depository. These investors are not direct owners and hence do not get voting rights. • DR are listed and traded on exchanges as well as OTC.
  • 123. Types of DR • Unsponsored DR: issued without involvement of the company without having any formal agreement • Sponsored Level I DR: Simplest and thus fastest. Traded on US OTC market. GAAP compliance not necessary. • Sponsored Level II DR: Listed on US exchange without complying with SEC listing but must register under Exchange Act by filing with SEC a form. • Sponsored Level III DR: Full SEC requirements and compliance with GAAP. Listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ.
  • 124. Fungibility of DRs • Exit of DR an happen either sale of GDR in overseas market or through sale of underlying asset in domestic market. • Fungibility makes the DR homogenous and convertible into underlying shares • Investor uses “fungibility” route for exit. • Fungibility makes the prospects for investor better by making use of the price differential in DR and shares. • ADR became fungible in US in 1990. • Investment Bankers now-a-days have a cool off period of 45-180 days in which the DR is not fungible. • Re-issue of these DRs are subject to host of regulations w.r.t FDI caps permitted by RBI under FEMA.
  • 125. IDRs • Foreign companies listed overseas may make public offers in India through issue of IDRs. • Must be listed in home country with good track record • IDR Rules of 2004 u/s 695A of Companies Act • Issue not less than Rs 50 crore • Each applicant to apply for minimum Rs 20000 • 50% allocated to institutional investors and 30% to retail
  • 126. Private Placements • With whom do companies privately place? • Mutual Funds, Insurance companies, banks, pension funds, DIIs, registered FPIs • PP gives faster access to funds, less market uncertainties and is a cost effective way for raising funds for the issuer. • In India only investment grades and above rating can be privately placed. • Companies Act u/s 42- Means an offer of securities or invitation to subscribe securities to a select group of persons by a company through issue of private placement letter. • What is not PP is- Issue of Bonus, Issue of sweat equity, ESOP, Rights Issue, Issue of DR
  • 127. Category of Private Placement PP with fund raising objectives • Seed or Angel investors • Institutional VC and PE • Institutional & Non-institutional domestic placement • International capital markets PP with Control & Strategic Objective • Promoters & family • Business Associates • Strategic Investors • JV partners • Technical collaborators • Persons acting in concert (have an agreement as per voting rights)
  • 128. Investment Banking & Business Valuation • Corporate Value vs Investment Value • Valuation vs Pricing (pg 437) • Drivers for Value Creation • Approaches to Valuation 1. Asset Based 2. Cash Flow Based 3. Economic Profit Model 4. Relative Valuation Model 5. Contingent Claim Valuation 6. Enterprise Value Approach • Special Cases 1. Bank 2. SPV 3. Insurance 4. Holding Company 5. SOTP 6. Intangible 7. Start-ups 8. Technology • Valuation in Restructuring • M&A Valuation (Varsha Maam) • PE Valuation • VC Valuation

Notas do Editor

  1. Market making- Process of floating issues on SME platform for small companies
  2. https://www.livemint.com/Money/o5kGeUMtYhsPrux1zzKbhI/The-exciting-new-world-of-unsponsored-ADRs.html https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/now-sebi-wants-to-clamp-down-on-unsponsored-depositary-receipts/articleshow/52681483.cms?from=mdr https://www.financialexpress.com/opinion/listing-trading-unsponsored-drs-in-the-ifsc/2348929/
  3. Fungibility is the ability of an asset to be interchanged with same type of asset.