The Future of Yellow Phosphorus in China

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The Future of Yellow Phosphorus in China
Published on October 2010

Report Summary

Yellow phosphorus, the second largest consumer of phosphorus ore, an irreplaceable and non-renewable resource and closely
related to people's life, constitutes about 15% of phosphorus ore consumption in China.

China owns the largest capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in the world. However, Overcapacity has emerged as an eminent
problem in Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in recent years. For example China's capacity in 2008 is about double the size of the
global demand, which is only about 800,000-900,000 tonnes every year. That suggests a very low operating rate of China's yellow
phosphorus industry about one third of its capacity during 2003-2008. What are reasons for the low operating rate, or why Chinese
yellow phosphorus producers expand their capacity to such a large scale'

In China, like several years ago, most yellow phosphorus was consumed by thermal phosphoric acid and phosphorus trichloride in
2008. However, the consumption structure of yellow phosphorus is changing every year. The yellow phosphorus consumption by
thermal Yellow phosphorus, the second largest consumption area of phosphorus ore, constitutes about 15% of phosphorus ore
consumption in China. And phosphorus ore is an irreplaceable and non-renewable resource and closely related to people's life,

China owns the largest capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in the world. However, overcapacity has emerged as an obvious
problem in Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in recent years. For example China's capacity in 2009 is about double the size of the
domestic demand. What's more, China has begun to restrict export of yellow phosphorus, which aggravates the overcapacity
situation. That suggests a very low operating rate of China's yellow phosphorus industry of about 40%~ 50% in recent years. What
are reasons for the low operating rate, or why Chinese yellow phosphorus producers expand their capacity to such a large scale'

After few years' structural readjustment and elimination in yellow phosphorus industry, China's yellow phosphorus production and
phosphorous chemical industry chain is much more reasonable now. How did Chinese make these achievements' What are the
details of China's yellow phosphorus industry development' What are the situation of energy consumption, waste emission and
utilization situations in Chinese yellow phosphorus production'

Chinese government had implemented policies to restrict export and exploitation of phosphorus ore, export and production of yellow
phosphorus since 2005. Currently in 2010, the last year for China's 11th National Economic and Social Development (2006-2010), the
development of phosphorus production has witnessed the major turning point of the industry. What is the trend of electricity price for
yellow phosphorus production' What is the current production cost of yellow phosphorus and how is the production cost consisted of'

China used to export large volume of yellow phosphorus until 2008, but currently the export is limited since 2008 by increasing the
tariff to 120% as highest. Though the tariff has been reduced in 2009, but the export didn't recovery, what is the trend of China's
yellow phosphorus export'

In the past of China, most yellow phosphorus was consumed by thermal phosphoric acid and phosphorus trichloride. However, the
consumption structure of yellow phosphorus is changing every year. The yellow phosphorus consumption by thermal phosphoric acid
has been shrinking by consumption share in recent years, while the share of yellow phosphorus in phosphorus trichloride has been
increasing. What other changes have taken place to Chinese yellow phosphorus consumption and what have driven such changes to
happen' How do the limitation of phosphorus detergent and development of wet-process phosphoric acid impact consumption of
yellow phosphorus'

The Future of Yellow Phosphorus in China (From Slideshare) Page 1/8


The price of Chinese yellow phosphorus, closely related to supply/demand dynamics, changing with global economic environment,
seasons, national policy etc., has experienced great fluctuations in 2008, with the highest reaching USD3,504/t and the lowest
dropping to USD1,606/t. What are the price changes of yellow phosphorus in 2009 and 2010'

It is estimated that it will take 30 years to exploit the remaining yellow phosphorus in China, so China is adjusting industrial structure
of yellow phosphorus for saving phosphorus resource. What's the influence on resource supply, manufacturers, capacity and output
of Chinese yellow phosphorus caused by adjusting industrial structure' What is the trend of resource tax levied on phosphorus ore'

In this report, you can find the answers to all the above questions.

Besides, this report also tries to find answers to the following questions:

Ø What is the resource supply situation in China for yellow phosphorus industry'
Ø How is the production situation of Chinese yellow phosphors' The production part covers capacity & output, manufacturers'
situation, price, existing problems, cutting edge technologies, comparison of production cost, competitive strategy, etc.
Ø How is yellow phosphorus consumed and what changes have taken place to the consumption in recent years'
Ø What are the development trends about capacity, output, manufacturers, resource supply, consumption situation in 2010-2019,
based on large number of first-hand information and advanced forecast method'
Ø What is IE analysis of Chinese yellow phosphorus in 2009'
Ø What is SWOT analysis of top 5 manufacturers of Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in Sep. 2010'

With this report, you will gain a complete and in-depth impression of Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in its past, present and
future.

Table of Content

Executive summary Introduction and methodology
I Resource supply of yellow phosphorus in China
I-1 Electricity I-2 Coke I-3 Phosphorus ore
- Distribution & reserves
- Exploitation & consumption
- Policy
- Import & export
II Production situation of yellow phosphorus in China
II-1 Overview of yellow phosphorus industry
- Capacity & output of yellow phosphorus in China
- Projects of yellow phosphorus production
- Improvements in China's yellow phosphorus production
- Geographical distribution of yellow phosphorus in China in 2010
II-2 Situation of major yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China
- Overview of major yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China
- Major manufacturers and their source supply
II-3 Price of yellow phosphorus in China in recent years
- Price of yellow phosphorus and its trend in China
- Price in the following five years



II-4 Cutting edge technologies
II-5 Problems existing in yellow phosphorus industry
II-6 Competition strategy
III Consumption of yellow phosphorus in China
III-1 Overview of yellow phosphorus consumption
III-1.1 Yellow phosphorus consumption by volume
III-1.2 Yellow phosphorus consumption by region
III-1.3 Yellow phosphorus consumption by end use
III-2 Introduction of end use segments of yellow phosphorus
III-2.1 Thermal phosphoric acid
III-2.1.1 Application of yellow phosphorus in thermal phosphoric acid
III-2.1.2 Overview of thermal phosphoric acid industry
III-2.1.3 Major end users
III-2.2 Phosphorus trichloride
III-2.2.1 Application of yellow phosphorus in phosphorus trichloride industry
III-2.2.2 Overview of phosphoric acid & phosphate industry
III-2.2.3 Major end users
III-2-3 Other industries (phosphorus pentasulfide, phosphorus pentoxide and sodium hypophosphite, etc.)
IV Import and export situation of yellow phosphorus in China
V Forecast on yellow phosphorus development in China, 2010~2014~2019
V-1 Key factors influencing yellow phosphorous development
- Overview of key factors V-2 Forecast on yellow phosphorus industry
V-2.1 Forecast on capacity & output of yellow phosphorus
V-2.2 Forecast on producers of yellow phosphorus
V-2.3 Forecast on resource supply in China
V-2.4 Forecast on consumption of yellow phosphorus
VI Conclusion and recommendation
- Conclusion
- Recommendation
VII Appendix: profiles of major manufacturers and end users
VII-1 Major manufacturers of yellow phosphorus
VII-1.1 Jiangsu Jiangyin Chengxing Industrial Group Co., Ltd.
VII-1.2 Yunnan Phosphorus Group Co., Ltd.
VII-1.3 Yunnan Malong Industry Group Co., Ltd.
'.
VII-1.20 Guizhou Qingli Tianmeng Chemical Co., Ltd.
VII-2 Major end users of yellow phosphorus (phosphoric acid)
VII-2.1 Wuhan Inorganic Salt Chemical Co., Ltd. ''
VII-2.10 Chongqing Chuandong Chemical (Group) Co., Ltd.
VII-3 Major end users of yellow phosphorus (phosphorus trichloride)
VII-3.1 Zhejiang Wynca Chemical Group Co., Ltd.
''
VII-3.10 Jiangsu Binhai Wuzhou Chemical CO., Ltd.
VIII SWOT analysis of top five producers, by capacity, Sept. 2010

LIST OF TABLES
Table I-2-1 Export tax for coke in China
Table I-3-1 Characteristics of Chinese phosphorus ore exploitation enterprises



Table I-3-2 Evaluation on years and cost of exploiting remaining Chinese phosphorus ore
Table I-3-3 Apparent consumption situation of phosphorus ore in China, 2005-2009
Table II-1-1 Capacity of yellow phosphorus in different regions in the world, 1985-2010, t/a
Table II-1-2 Projects of yellow phosphorus production in 2009-2010
Table II-1-2 Output of yellow phosphorus in different provinces in China, 1999-2009, tonne
Table II-1-3 Production situation of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan, 1999-2009
Table II-1-4 Output of yellow phosphorus in Sichuan in the past few years
Table II-1-5 Output of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou in the past few years, tonne
Table II-1-6 Production situation of yellow phosphorus in Hubei, 1999-2009
Table II-2-1 Main yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China, Sept. 2010
Table II-2-2 Comparison of capacity situation in Sept. 2010 and 2007
Table II-2-3 Deadline of reconstruction for existing yellow phosphorus enterprises
Table II-2-4 Requirement on indexes of yellow phosphorus equipment
Table II-2-5 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan, Sept. 2010
Table II-2-6 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou in Sept. 2010
Table II-2-7 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Sichuan in Sept. 2010
Table II-2-8 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Hubei in Sept. 2010
Table II-4-1 Content of tail gas in yellow phosphorus
Table II-4-2 Substances and their concentrations in yellow phosphorus wastewater
Table II-4-3 Comparisons of settlement-oxidation method and closed-circuit method
Table II-4-4 Some examples of utilization of tail gas, Sept. 2010
Table II-4-5 Some examples of utilization of slag, Sept. 2010
Table II-5-2 Manufacturing cost of yellow phosphorus in China in Sept. 2010
Table II-5-3 Comparison of different electricity price policy
Table III-1-2-1 Yellow phosphorus consumption situation by province in China, 2009, tonne
Table III-2-1-2-1 Competition among different phosphoric acid in China
Table III-2-1-2-2 Development and application of kiln process for phosphoric acid production in China
Table III-2-1-2-3 Usage of different phosphoric acid
Table III-2-1-3-1 Major end users of yellow phosphorus in thermal phosphoric acid industry in China, 2009
Table III-2-2-2-1 Glyphosate technical output and its PCl3 consumption by different pathways in China, 2001-2009, tonne
Table III-2-2-3-1 Major end users of yellow phosphorus in PCl3 industry in China, 2009
Table IV-1 Import and export of yellow phosphorus in China, 1997-July 2010, tonne
Table IV-2 Export tariff and export rebate situation of yellow phosphorus in China, 2002 to now
Table IV-3 Yellow phosphorus export situation in different provinces in China in 2009, tonne
Table IV-4 Active exporters of yellow phosphorus in 2009
Table IV-5 Active exporters of yellow phosphorus in 2010(Jan.-July)
Table IV-6 Export situation of yellow phosphorus manufacturers in 2009
Table IV-7 Export situation of yellow phosphorus manufacturers in 2010(Jan.-July)
Table IV-8 Export destinations of yellow phosphorus in 2009
Table IV-9 Export destinations of yellow phosphorus in 2010(Jan.-July)
Table IV-10 Export situation of yellow phosphorus by month in 2009 and 2010(Jan.-July)
Table V-2-1-1 Assumption of GDP growth, 2010-2015-2019
Table V-2-1-2 Development trends influencing capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China
Table V-2-4-1 Trends Influencing thermal phosphoric acid
Table V-2-4-2 Growth rate of yellow phosphorus consumption by thermal phosphoric acid, 2003-2009
Table V-2-4-3 Influencing factors for phosphorus trichloride
Table V-2-4-4 Growth rate of yellow phosphorus consumption by phosphorus trichloride, 2003-2009
Table V-2-4-5 Trends Influencing other products



Table V-2-4-6 Growth rate of yellow phosphorus consumption by other products, 2003-2009

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure I-1-1 Electricity supply structure in China by source, in 1990-2009
Figure I-1-2 Electricity installed capacity in China, 2003-2009
Figure I-1-3 Electricity generation and consumption in China, 1990-2009
Figure I-2-1 Output and its growth rate of coke in China, 2004-2009
Figure I-2-2 Distribution of coke output in China, Jan. 2010-July 2010
Figure I-2-3 Export volume of coke in China, 2004-2009
Figure I-2-4 Distribution of phosphorus ore in china
Figure I-3-1 Phosphorus resource of main regions in China, million tonnes
Figure I-3-2 Consumption structure of phosphorus ore in China, 2005-2009
Figure I-3-3 Comparison of consumption pattern of phosphorus ore in China and overseas countries, 2008
Figure I-3-4 Export volume of phosphorus ores in China, 2005-2009
Figure II-1-1 Capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000-2010
Figure II-1-2 Capacity structure of yellow phosphorus in China by province, Sept. 2010,
Figure II-1-3 Yellow phosphorus output structure in China by province, 1999-2009
Figure II-2-1 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in China in Sept. 2010
Figure II-3-1 Price changes of yellow phosphorus in China, 2006-2010
Figure II-3-2 Average price of yellow phosphorus in main phosphorus-producing areas 2008, 2009 and Sept. 2010, USD/t
Figure II-4-1 Production process of electric furnace method
Figure III-1 Industrial chain of yellow phosphorus in China in recent years
Figure III-1-1-1 Apparent consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000-2009
Figure III-1-2-1 Yellow phosphorus consumption structure by province in China, 2009
Figure III-1-3-1 Yellow phosphorus consumption in downstream industries in China, 2000-2009
Figure III-1-3-2 Consumption structure of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000-2009
Figure III-2-1-1-1 Consumption of yellow phosphorus in thermal phosphoric acid industry in China, 2000-2009
Figure III-2-1-2-1 Output of sodium tripolyphosphate and its consumption share in thermal phosphoric acid in China, 2000-2009
Figure III-2-1-2-2 Output, export volume and apparent consumption of sodium tripolyphosphate in China, 2000-2009
Figure III-2-1-2-3 Export volume and export share in output of sodium tripolyphosphate in China, 2000-2009
Figure III-2-2-1-1 Consumption of yellow phosphorus in phosphorus trichloride industry in China
Figure III-2-2-2-1 Consumption structure of PCl3 in China by end use, 2009
Figure IV-1 Export volume and export-output ratio of yellow phosphorus in China, 1997-July
Figure IV-2 Export price of yellow phosphorus in China, 1997-July 2010
Figure IV-3 Export price and volume of yellow phosphorus in China by month, 2008 and 2009
Figure IV-4 Distribution of export destinations for Chinese yellow phosphorus by export volume, 2009 and 2010(Jan.-July)
Figure V-2-1-1 GDP growth in China, 2003-2009
Figure V-2-1-2 Historical growth rate of capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China, 2003~2009
Figure V-2-1-3 Projection on capacity of yellow phosphorus in China, 2010-2019
Figure V-2-1-4 Projection on output of yellow phosphorus in China, 2010-2019
Figure V-2-4-1 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus by thermal phosphoric acid in China, 2010-2019
Figure V-2-4-2 Projection on yellow phosphorus consumption by phosphorus trichloride in China, 2010-2019
Figure V-2-4-3 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus by other products in China, 2010~2019
Figure V-2-4-4 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2010-2019
Figure V-2-4-1 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus by thermal phosphoric acid in China, 2010-2019
Figure V-2-4-2 Projection on yellow phosphorus consumption by phosphorus trichloride in China, 2010-2019
Figure V-2-4-3 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus by other products in China, 2010~2019
Figure V-2-4-4 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2010-2019



Companies mentioned
Sichuan Chuantou Electrometallurgy Co., Ltd.; Yunnan Malong Industry Group Co., Ltd.; Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co., Ltd.;
Guangxi Mingli Group; Zhejiang Wynca Chemical Group Co., Ltd.etc.


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The Future of Yellow Phosphorus in China

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The Future of Yellow Phosphorus in China