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WHITE PAPER
HoW THE CREdIT CRIsIs HAs CHAngEd
CounTERPARTy RIsK mAnAgEmEnT




Authored by David Kelly (Quantifi)

•   Current trends and best practices
•   Key data and technology challenges


www.quantifisolutions.com
ABout the Author


David Kelly

david Kelly, director of Credit Products, Quantifi, brings almost 20
years of experience as a trader, quant, and technologist to Quantifi.
He has previously held senior positions at some of the largest financial
institutions including Citigroup, JPmorgan Chase, AIg and CsFB.
At Citigroup, he was the senior credit trader on the global Portfolio
optimisation desk, responsible for actively managing the credit risk in
derivatives positions. Prior to this, he ran the JPmorgan Chase global
Analytics group, where he was responsible for front-office pricing models
and risk management tools for the global derivatives trading desks
including the firm’s first CVA system. An enrolled member of the society of Actuaries, mr.Kelly
holds a B.A. in economics and mathematics from Colgate university and has completed graduate
work in mathematics at Columbia university and Carnegie mellon.
IntroDuctIon

The credit crisis and regulatory                     CVA desks have
responses have forced banks to
substantially update their counterparty              been developed in
risk management processes.                           response to crisis-driven
new regulations in the form of Basel III, the        regulations for improved
dodd-Frank Act in the u.s. and European
market Infrastructure Regulation (EmIR) have         counterparty risk
dramatically increased capital requirements
for counterparty credit risk. In addition to
                                                     management. How do
implementing new regulatory requirements,
banks are making significant changes to internal
                                                     these centralized groups
counterparty risk management practices.              differ from traditional
There are three main themes inherent in these        approaches to manage
changes. First, better firm-wide consolidated risk
reporting has become a top priority. second,         counterparty risk, and
centralized counterparty risk management
groups (CVA desks) are being created to more
                                                     what types of data and
actively monitor and hedge credit risk. Third,
banks are making significant investments in
                                                     analytical challenges do
technology to better support the firm-wide risk      they face?
reporting and CVA desk initiatives.

This paper will explore some of the key changes
to internal counterparty risk management
processes by tracing typical workflows within
banks before and after CVA desks, and how
increased clearing due to regulatory mandates,
affects these workflows. since CVA pricing and
counterparty risk management workflows require
extensive amounts of data, as well as a scalable,
high-performance technology, it is important to
understand the data management and analytical
challenges involved.
Before cVA DesKs

CVA desks or specialized risk control              charges are based on an internal qualitative and
                                                   quantitative assessment of the credit quality of
groups tasked with more actively
                                                   the counterparty by the bank’s credit officers.
managing counterparty risk are
becoming more prevalent, since banks               The credit portion of the charge is for the
that had them generally fared better               expected loss, i.e., the cost of doing business
                                                   with risky counterparties. It is analogous to CVA,
during the crisis.                                 except that the CVA is based on market implied
                                                   inputs, including credit spreads, instead of
To establish a basis for comparison, it is
                                                   historical loss norms and qualitative analysis.
important to review counterparty credit risk
pricing and post-trade risk management before      The capital portion is for the potential unexpected
the advent of CVA desks. The case where a          loss. This is also referred to as ‘economic capital’,
corporate end-user hedges a business risk          which traditionally has been based on historical
through a derivative transaction provides a        experience but is increasingly being calculated
useful example.                                    with market implied inputs. These charges go into
                                                   a reserve fund used to reimburse trading desks for
The corporate treasurer may want to hedge          counterparty credit losses and generally ensure
receivables in a foreign currency or lock in the   the solvency of the bank.
forward price of a commodity input. Another
common transaction is an interest rate swap        The trader on the desk works with the risk
used to convert fixed rate bonds issued by the     control group, which may deny the transaction
corporation into floaters to mitigate interest     if the exposure limit with that particular




    “Banks are making significant investment in technology
       to better support the firmwide risk reporting an
                    CVA desk initiatives.”

rate risk. In all of these cases, the corporate    counterparty is hit. otherwise, it provides the
treasurer explains the hedging objective to the    credit and capital charges directly or the tools
bank’s derivatives salesperson, who structures     to allow the trader to calculate them. The risk
an appropriate transaction. The salesperson        control group also provides exposure reports
requests a price for the transaction from          and required capital metrics to the bank’s
the relevant trading desk, which provides a        regulator, which approves the capital calculation
competitive market price with ‘credit’ and         methodology, audits its risk management
‘capital’ add-ons to cover the potential loss      processes and monitors its ongoing exposure and
if the counterparty were to default prior to       capital reserves according to the Basel guidelines.
maturity of the contract. The credit and capital
While counterparty risk is managed through                “To establish a basis for
reserves in this example, the market risk of
the transaction is fully hedged by the desk               comparison, it is important
on exchanges or with other dealers. If the
transaction is uncollateralized, the bank’s
                                                          to review counterparty credit
treasury provides funding for what is effectively         risk pricing and post-trade
a loan to the customer in the form of a derivative
line of credit. some portion of the exposure              risk management before the
may also be collateralized, in which case there
are additional operational workflows around
                                                          advent of CVA desks.”
collateral management.




                counterPArty rIsK WorKfloW Before cVA DesKs

                                              Corporate Treasury


                                             Derivatives Transaction

                                             Bank Derivative Sales


                                               Derivatives Pricing


     Bank Treasury (funding)    Funding     Derivatives Trading Desk   Market   Exchanges & Dealers
                                                                        Risk

                                                Credit & Capital
                                                   Reserves

           Collateral          Collateral
          Management             Risk            Risk Control

                                              Regulatory Capital
                                                 & Reporting

                                                Bank Regulator
cVA DesKs

one of the drivers for CVA desks was                   default swap (CCds). The CVA charge is passed
                                                       on to the external corporate customer by adding
the need to reduce credit risk, i.e., free
                                                       a spread to the receive leg of the trade. unless
capacity and release reserves, so banks                the CVA is fully hedged, which is unlikely, the
could do more business.                                spread charged to the customer should also
                                                       include some portion of economic capital to
In the late 1990’s and early 2000’s, in the wake of    account for CVA VaR and potential unexpected
the Asian financial crisis, banks found themselves     loss from default.
near capacity and were looking for ways to
reduce counterparty risk. some banks attempted         since credit risk spans virtually all asset classes,
to securitize and re-distribute it, as in JPmorgan’s   the CVA desk may deal with multiple internal
Bistro transaction. Another approach was to            trading desks. The risk control group treats the
hedge counterparty risk using the relatively new       CVA desk like other trading desks, imposing
Cds market.                                            trading limits and monitoring market risks using
                                                       traditional sensitivity metrics and VaR. The CVA
The recent international (2005) and u.s. (2007)        desk executes credit and market risk hedges on
accounting rules mandating the inclusion of CVA        exchanges or with other dealers and relies on the
in the mark-to-market valuations of derivatives        bank’s internal treasury to fund positions. To the
positions provided additional impetus for more         extent the CVA desk attempts to fully replicate
precisely quantifying counterparty risk. some          (hedge) CVA, while the derivatives desks also
banks attempted to actively manage counterparty        hedge the underlying market risks, there may be
risk like market risk, hedging all the underlying      some inefficiencies due to overlapping hedges.
risk factors of the CVA. given the complexity of
CVA pricing and hedging, these responsibilities        The key innovation introduced by CVA desks is
have increasingly been consolidated within             quantifying and managing counterparty credit
specialized CVA desks. now, with the increased         risk like other market risks, instead of relying
capital charges for counterparty default risk under    solely on reserves. The main challenge is that not
Basel III and the new CVA VaR charges, there is        all CVA risk can be hedged due to insufficient
even more incentive to implement CVA desks.            Cds liquidity and unhedgeable correlation and
                                                       basis risks. Therefore, some reserve-based risk
With a CVA desk, most of the trading workflow          management is unavoidable. Based on trends
is the same except the CVA desk is inserted            among the top-tier banks, the optimal solution
between the derivatives trading desks and the          involves hedging as much of the risk as possible,
risk control group. Instead of going to the risk       considering the cost of rebalancing hedges in
control group for the credit and capital charges,      a highly competitive CVA pricing context, and
the trader requests a marginal CVA price from          then relying on experienced traders well-versed
the CVA desk, which basically amounts to the           in structured credit problems to manage the
CVA desk selling credit protection on that             residual exposures.
counterparty to the derivatives desk. This is an
internal transaction between the two desks,
which can be in the form of a contingent credit
“With the increased capital charges for counterparty
default risk under Basel lll and the new CVA VaR charges,
 there is even more incentive to implement CVA desks.”


               counterPArty rIsK WorKfloW WIth cVA DesK


                                          Corporate Treasury


                                         Derivatives Transaction

                                         Bank Derivative Sales


                                            Derivative Pricing

 Bank Treasury (funding)    Funding     Derivatives Trading Desk   Market             Exchanges & Dealers
                                                                    Risk

                                           Marginal CVA Price

                            Funding            CVA Desk                     Credit Risk


                                             Exposure Limits

       Collateral          Collateral
                             Risk             Risk Control
      Management

                                          Regulatory Capital
                                             & Reporting

                                            Bank Regulator
cleArIng

The predominant issues with CVA                       not all trades can or will be cleared.
                                                      Clearinghouses will only be able to handle
desks are that they insert another
                                                      standardized contracts and the dodd-Frank and
operational layer into the workflow and               EmIR regulations specifically exempt corporate
add substantial analytical complexity.                end-user hedge transactions from mandatory
                                                      clearing, so that banks can continue to provide
CVA models have to incorporate all the market         credit lines and risk transfer services through
risk factors of the underlying derivative plus        derivatives. It is estimated that at least a quarter
the counterparty credit risk. Even the CVA on a       of derivatives transactions will remain oTC,
plain vanilla FX forward is complex because the       which means banks will need to maintain both
counterparty effectively holds an American-style      CVA and clearing workflows.
option to default. In addition to the option risk
profile, the CVA trader must also consider the
correlation between the counterparty’s default        “Transactions are assigned
probability and the underlying market risk
factors, i.e., ‘wrong-way risk’.                      or novated to the
margining formulas are much simpler than
                                                      clearinghouse, which
CVA and economic capital models, and new              becomes the counterparty
regulations are either mandating or heavily
incentivizing banks to clear or fully collateralize
                                                      to both sides of the trade.”
derivative transactions. In cleared transactions,
the clearinghouse effectively replaces the CVA
desk in the workflow. Transactions are assigned
or novated to the clearinghouse, which becomes
the counterparty to both sides of the trade.
Counterparty risk is virtually eliminated because
the exposure is fully collateralized and ultimately
backed by the clearinghouse and its members.

There is a remote risk that the clearinghouse fails
but the risk control group can focus on relatively
simpler issues like collateral management,
liquidity, and residual market risks. since cleared
transactions are fully margined, the CVA charge is
replaced by the collateral funding cost, which is
typically based on an overnight rate.
“Counterparty risk is virtually eliminated because
the exposure is fully collateralized and ultimately backed
       by the clearinghouse and its members.”


                counterPArty rIsK WorKfloW WIth cleArIng

                                       Corporate Treasury


                                      Derivatives Transaction

                                      Bank Derivative Sales


                                        Derivatives Pricing

 Bank Treasury (funding)   Funding   Derivatives Trading Desk   Market   Exchanges & Dealers
                                                                 Risk

                                        Collateral Funding
                                               Cost

       Collateral          Funding                              Credit     Clearinghouses
      Management                          Risk Control           Risk

                                       Regulatory Capital
                                          & Reporting

                                         Bank Regulator
DAtA AnD technology chAllenges

Reliable data feeds that facilitate                   crisis, such as wrong-way risk. Regulators are
                                                      continuously raising the bar in terms of modeling
regular updates and data
                                                      every risk factor, such as potential shifts in
integrity checks are absolutely                       basis spreads, volatilities and correlations. new
fundamental to effective                              regulatory requirements for back-testing and
counterparty risk management.                         stress testing are designed to ensure the validity
                                                      of the model.
Banks typically maintain separate systems for
their main trading desks, roughly aligned by the      outputs of the simulation engine include current,
major asset classes – interest rates and foreign      expected and potential future exposures,
exchange, credit, commodities and equities.           CVA and economic capital by counterparty.
since counterparty risk spans all asset classes,      The system should also capture counterparty
the counterparty risk system must extract             exposure limits and highlight breaches. given the
transactions, market data and reference data          complexity of the inputs and outputs, a robust
from all the various trading systems. In addition,    reporting system is critical. The system should
supplemental reference data on legal entities         allow aggregation of exposure metrics along a




    “The most sophisticated global banks have targeted
the CVA and clearing workflows and supporting technology
    infrastructure. It is expected that regional banks will
             follow suit over the next few years.”

and master agreements may need to come from           variety of dimensions, including industry and
other databases. These systems typically use          legal jurisdiction. The system should also allow
different data formats, symbologies and naming        drilling down into results by counterparty netting
conventions, as well as proprietary interfaces,       set and individual transactions. By extension,
adding significant complexity.                        users should have an efficient means to diagnose
                                                      unexpected results.
The next set of challenges involves balancing
performance and scalability with analytical           There may also be a separate system for marginal
robustness. The simulation engine may have to         pricing of new trades and active management of
value on the order of one million transactions        CVA. The marginal pricing tools need to access
over a hundred future dates and several thousand      results of the portfolio simulation, since the price
market scenarios. depending on the size of            of each new trade is a function of the aggregate
the portfolio and number of risk factors, some        exposure with that counterparty. Because of
shortcuts on the modeling side may be necessary.      this, calculating marginal CVA in a reasonable
However, there are critical analytical aspects that   time frame can be a significant challenge. The
cannot be assumed away given their role in the        CVA risk management system provides CVA
sensitivities for hedging purposes. Hedges                         the simulation engine would upload current
booked by the CVA desk should flow through                         collateral positions and revalue them for each
the simulation engine so that they are reflected                   market scenario to determine net exposure. The
in the exposure and capital metrics. Whereas the                   simulation engine should also incorporate the
CVA desk may hedge credit and market risks,                        ‘margin period of risk’, i.e., the risk of losses from
only approved credit hedges, including Cds,                        non-delivery of collateral.
CCds and to some extent credit indices, may be
included for regulatory capital calculations.                      Even with the crisis-induced wave of
                                                                   improvements, the picture remains very complex.
Cleared transactions must be fed to the                            The most sophisticated global banks have
clearinghouses’ systems and trade repositories.                    targeted the CVA and clearing workflows and
since clearing involves daily (or more frequent)                   supporting technology infrastructure described
margining, the bank’s collateral management                        in this paper. It is expected that regional banks
system should be integrated with the                               will follow suit over the next few years in order to
clearinghouse. It should also be integrated                        optimize capital and manage risk more effectively,
with the counterparty risk system. Ideally,                        as well as comply with new regulations.




     counterPArty rIsK DAtA floWs & technology InfrAstructure


                  IR/FX                       Credit                    Commodities              Equities

                                                         Trading System(s)




                           • Counterparties              • Transaction
                           • Legal Limits                • Reference Data        • Market Data

                                                                                                     Clearing Systems
                                                                                                       & Trade Repos




           CVA Risk                                    Counterparty Exposure                         Collateral
       Management System                                Simulation Engine                        Management System




                             Marginal CVA Pricing Tool                          Reporting
ABouT QuAnTIFI

Quantifi is a leading provider of analytics, trading and risk management software for the
global oTC markets. our suite of integrated pre and post-trade solutions allow market
participants to better value, trade and risk manage their exposures and respond more
effectively to changing market conditions.

Founded in 2002, Quantifi has over 120 top-tier clients including five of the six largest global
banks, two of the three largest asset managers, leading hedge funds, insurance companies,
pension funds and other financial institutions across 15 countries.

Renowned for our client focus, depth of experience and commitment to innovation, Quantifi is
consistently first-to-market with intuitive, award-winning solutions.

For further information, please visit www.quantifisolutions.com




ConTACT QuAnTIFI
EuRoPE                                noRTH AmERICA                         AsIA PACIFIC
16 martin’s Le grand                  230 Park Avenue                       111 Elizabeth st.
London, EC1A 4En                      new york, ny 10169                    sydney, nsW, 2000

+44 (0) 20 7397 8788                  +1 (212) 784-6815                     +61 (02) 9221 0133




enquire@quantifisolutions.com

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Quantifi whitepaper how the credit crisis has changed counterparty risk management

  • 1. WHITE PAPER HoW THE CREdIT CRIsIs HAs CHAngEd CounTERPARTy RIsK mAnAgEmEnT Authored by David Kelly (Quantifi) • Current trends and best practices • Key data and technology challenges www.quantifisolutions.com
  • 2. ABout the Author David Kelly david Kelly, director of Credit Products, Quantifi, brings almost 20 years of experience as a trader, quant, and technologist to Quantifi. He has previously held senior positions at some of the largest financial institutions including Citigroup, JPmorgan Chase, AIg and CsFB. At Citigroup, he was the senior credit trader on the global Portfolio optimisation desk, responsible for actively managing the credit risk in derivatives positions. Prior to this, he ran the JPmorgan Chase global Analytics group, where he was responsible for front-office pricing models and risk management tools for the global derivatives trading desks including the firm’s first CVA system. An enrolled member of the society of Actuaries, mr.Kelly holds a B.A. in economics and mathematics from Colgate university and has completed graduate work in mathematics at Columbia university and Carnegie mellon.
  • 3. IntroDuctIon The credit crisis and regulatory CVA desks have responses have forced banks to substantially update their counterparty been developed in risk management processes. response to crisis-driven new regulations in the form of Basel III, the regulations for improved dodd-Frank Act in the u.s. and European market Infrastructure Regulation (EmIR) have counterparty risk dramatically increased capital requirements for counterparty credit risk. In addition to management. How do implementing new regulatory requirements, banks are making significant changes to internal these centralized groups counterparty risk management practices. differ from traditional There are three main themes inherent in these approaches to manage changes. First, better firm-wide consolidated risk reporting has become a top priority. second, counterparty risk, and centralized counterparty risk management groups (CVA desks) are being created to more what types of data and actively monitor and hedge credit risk. Third, banks are making significant investments in analytical challenges do technology to better support the firm-wide risk they face? reporting and CVA desk initiatives. This paper will explore some of the key changes to internal counterparty risk management processes by tracing typical workflows within banks before and after CVA desks, and how increased clearing due to regulatory mandates, affects these workflows. since CVA pricing and counterparty risk management workflows require extensive amounts of data, as well as a scalable, high-performance technology, it is important to understand the data management and analytical challenges involved.
  • 4. Before cVA DesKs CVA desks or specialized risk control charges are based on an internal qualitative and quantitative assessment of the credit quality of groups tasked with more actively the counterparty by the bank’s credit officers. managing counterparty risk are becoming more prevalent, since banks The credit portion of the charge is for the that had them generally fared better expected loss, i.e., the cost of doing business with risky counterparties. It is analogous to CVA, during the crisis. except that the CVA is based on market implied inputs, including credit spreads, instead of To establish a basis for comparison, it is historical loss norms and qualitative analysis. important to review counterparty credit risk pricing and post-trade risk management before The capital portion is for the potential unexpected the advent of CVA desks. The case where a loss. This is also referred to as ‘economic capital’, corporate end-user hedges a business risk which traditionally has been based on historical through a derivative transaction provides a experience but is increasingly being calculated useful example. with market implied inputs. These charges go into a reserve fund used to reimburse trading desks for The corporate treasurer may want to hedge counterparty credit losses and generally ensure receivables in a foreign currency or lock in the the solvency of the bank. forward price of a commodity input. Another common transaction is an interest rate swap The trader on the desk works with the risk used to convert fixed rate bonds issued by the control group, which may deny the transaction corporation into floaters to mitigate interest if the exposure limit with that particular “Banks are making significant investment in technology to better support the firmwide risk reporting an CVA desk initiatives.” rate risk. In all of these cases, the corporate counterparty is hit. otherwise, it provides the treasurer explains the hedging objective to the credit and capital charges directly or the tools bank’s derivatives salesperson, who structures to allow the trader to calculate them. The risk an appropriate transaction. The salesperson control group also provides exposure reports requests a price for the transaction from and required capital metrics to the bank’s the relevant trading desk, which provides a regulator, which approves the capital calculation competitive market price with ‘credit’ and methodology, audits its risk management ‘capital’ add-ons to cover the potential loss processes and monitors its ongoing exposure and if the counterparty were to default prior to capital reserves according to the Basel guidelines. maturity of the contract. The credit and capital
  • 5. While counterparty risk is managed through “To establish a basis for reserves in this example, the market risk of the transaction is fully hedged by the desk comparison, it is important on exchanges or with other dealers. If the transaction is uncollateralized, the bank’s to review counterparty credit treasury provides funding for what is effectively risk pricing and post-trade a loan to the customer in the form of a derivative line of credit. some portion of the exposure risk management before the may also be collateralized, in which case there are additional operational workflows around advent of CVA desks.” collateral management. counterPArty rIsK WorKfloW Before cVA DesKs Corporate Treasury Derivatives Transaction Bank Derivative Sales Derivatives Pricing Bank Treasury (funding) Funding Derivatives Trading Desk Market Exchanges & Dealers Risk Credit & Capital Reserves Collateral Collateral Management Risk Risk Control Regulatory Capital & Reporting Bank Regulator
  • 6. cVA DesKs one of the drivers for CVA desks was default swap (CCds). The CVA charge is passed on to the external corporate customer by adding the need to reduce credit risk, i.e., free a spread to the receive leg of the trade. unless capacity and release reserves, so banks the CVA is fully hedged, which is unlikely, the could do more business. spread charged to the customer should also include some portion of economic capital to In the late 1990’s and early 2000’s, in the wake of account for CVA VaR and potential unexpected the Asian financial crisis, banks found themselves loss from default. near capacity and were looking for ways to reduce counterparty risk. some banks attempted since credit risk spans virtually all asset classes, to securitize and re-distribute it, as in JPmorgan’s the CVA desk may deal with multiple internal Bistro transaction. Another approach was to trading desks. The risk control group treats the hedge counterparty risk using the relatively new CVA desk like other trading desks, imposing Cds market. trading limits and monitoring market risks using traditional sensitivity metrics and VaR. The CVA The recent international (2005) and u.s. (2007) desk executes credit and market risk hedges on accounting rules mandating the inclusion of CVA exchanges or with other dealers and relies on the in the mark-to-market valuations of derivatives bank’s internal treasury to fund positions. To the positions provided additional impetus for more extent the CVA desk attempts to fully replicate precisely quantifying counterparty risk. some (hedge) CVA, while the derivatives desks also banks attempted to actively manage counterparty hedge the underlying market risks, there may be risk like market risk, hedging all the underlying some inefficiencies due to overlapping hedges. risk factors of the CVA. given the complexity of CVA pricing and hedging, these responsibilities The key innovation introduced by CVA desks is have increasingly been consolidated within quantifying and managing counterparty credit specialized CVA desks. now, with the increased risk like other market risks, instead of relying capital charges for counterparty default risk under solely on reserves. The main challenge is that not Basel III and the new CVA VaR charges, there is all CVA risk can be hedged due to insufficient even more incentive to implement CVA desks. Cds liquidity and unhedgeable correlation and basis risks. Therefore, some reserve-based risk With a CVA desk, most of the trading workflow management is unavoidable. Based on trends is the same except the CVA desk is inserted among the top-tier banks, the optimal solution between the derivatives trading desks and the involves hedging as much of the risk as possible, risk control group. Instead of going to the risk considering the cost of rebalancing hedges in control group for the credit and capital charges, a highly competitive CVA pricing context, and the trader requests a marginal CVA price from then relying on experienced traders well-versed the CVA desk, which basically amounts to the in structured credit problems to manage the CVA desk selling credit protection on that residual exposures. counterparty to the derivatives desk. This is an internal transaction between the two desks, which can be in the form of a contingent credit
  • 7. “With the increased capital charges for counterparty default risk under Basel lll and the new CVA VaR charges, there is even more incentive to implement CVA desks.” counterPArty rIsK WorKfloW WIth cVA DesK Corporate Treasury Derivatives Transaction Bank Derivative Sales Derivative Pricing Bank Treasury (funding) Funding Derivatives Trading Desk Market Exchanges & Dealers Risk Marginal CVA Price Funding CVA Desk Credit Risk Exposure Limits Collateral Collateral Risk Risk Control Management Regulatory Capital & Reporting Bank Regulator
  • 8. cleArIng The predominant issues with CVA not all trades can or will be cleared. Clearinghouses will only be able to handle desks are that they insert another standardized contracts and the dodd-Frank and operational layer into the workflow and EmIR regulations specifically exempt corporate add substantial analytical complexity. end-user hedge transactions from mandatory clearing, so that banks can continue to provide CVA models have to incorporate all the market credit lines and risk transfer services through risk factors of the underlying derivative plus derivatives. It is estimated that at least a quarter the counterparty credit risk. Even the CVA on a of derivatives transactions will remain oTC, plain vanilla FX forward is complex because the which means banks will need to maintain both counterparty effectively holds an American-style CVA and clearing workflows. option to default. In addition to the option risk profile, the CVA trader must also consider the correlation between the counterparty’s default “Transactions are assigned probability and the underlying market risk factors, i.e., ‘wrong-way risk’. or novated to the margining formulas are much simpler than clearinghouse, which CVA and economic capital models, and new becomes the counterparty regulations are either mandating or heavily incentivizing banks to clear or fully collateralize to both sides of the trade.” derivative transactions. In cleared transactions, the clearinghouse effectively replaces the CVA desk in the workflow. Transactions are assigned or novated to the clearinghouse, which becomes the counterparty to both sides of the trade. Counterparty risk is virtually eliminated because the exposure is fully collateralized and ultimately backed by the clearinghouse and its members. There is a remote risk that the clearinghouse fails but the risk control group can focus on relatively simpler issues like collateral management, liquidity, and residual market risks. since cleared transactions are fully margined, the CVA charge is replaced by the collateral funding cost, which is typically based on an overnight rate.
  • 9. “Counterparty risk is virtually eliminated because the exposure is fully collateralized and ultimately backed by the clearinghouse and its members.” counterPArty rIsK WorKfloW WIth cleArIng Corporate Treasury Derivatives Transaction Bank Derivative Sales Derivatives Pricing Bank Treasury (funding) Funding Derivatives Trading Desk Market Exchanges & Dealers Risk Collateral Funding Cost Collateral Funding Credit Clearinghouses Management Risk Control Risk Regulatory Capital & Reporting Bank Regulator
  • 10. DAtA AnD technology chAllenges Reliable data feeds that facilitate crisis, such as wrong-way risk. Regulators are continuously raising the bar in terms of modeling regular updates and data every risk factor, such as potential shifts in integrity checks are absolutely basis spreads, volatilities and correlations. new fundamental to effective regulatory requirements for back-testing and counterparty risk management. stress testing are designed to ensure the validity of the model. Banks typically maintain separate systems for their main trading desks, roughly aligned by the outputs of the simulation engine include current, major asset classes – interest rates and foreign expected and potential future exposures, exchange, credit, commodities and equities. CVA and economic capital by counterparty. since counterparty risk spans all asset classes, The system should also capture counterparty the counterparty risk system must extract exposure limits and highlight breaches. given the transactions, market data and reference data complexity of the inputs and outputs, a robust from all the various trading systems. In addition, reporting system is critical. The system should supplemental reference data on legal entities allow aggregation of exposure metrics along a “The most sophisticated global banks have targeted the CVA and clearing workflows and supporting technology infrastructure. It is expected that regional banks will follow suit over the next few years.” and master agreements may need to come from variety of dimensions, including industry and other databases. These systems typically use legal jurisdiction. The system should also allow different data formats, symbologies and naming drilling down into results by counterparty netting conventions, as well as proprietary interfaces, set and individual transactions. By extension, adding significant complexity. users should have an efficient means to diagnose unexpected results. The next set of challenges involves balancing performance and scalability with analytical There may also be a separate system for marginal robustness. The simulation engine may have to pricing of new trades and active management of value on the order of one million transactions CVA. The marginal pricing tools need to access over a hundred future dates and several thousand results of the portfolio simulation, since the price market scenarios. depending on the size of of each new trade is a function of the aggregate the portfolio and number of risk factors, some exposure with that counterparty. Because of shortcuts on the modeling side may be necessary. this, calculating marginal CVA in a reasonable However, there are critical analytical aspects that time frame can be a significant challenge. The cannot be assumed away given their role in the CVA risk management system provides CVA
  • 11. sensitivities for hedging purposes. Hedges the simulation engine would upload current booked by the CVA desk should flow through collateral positions and revalue them for each the simulation engine so that they are reflected market scenario to determine net exposure. The in the exposure and capital metrics. Whereas the simulation engine should also incorporate the CVA desk may hedge credit and market risks, ‘margin period of risk’, i.e., the risk of losses from only approved credit hedges, including Cds, non-delivery of collateral. CCds and to some extent credit indices, may be included for regulatory capital calculations. Even with the crisis-induced wave of improvements, the picture remains very complex. Cleared transactions must be fed to the The most sophisticated global banks have clearinghouses’ systems and trade repositories. targeted the CVA and clearing workflows and since clearing involves daily (or more frequent) supporting technology infrastructure described margining, the bank’s collateral management in this paper. It is expected that regional banks system should be integrated with the will follow suit over the next few years in order to clearinghouse. It should also be integrated optimize capital and manage risk more effectively, with the counterparty risk system. Ideally, as well as comply with new regulations. counterPArty rIsK DAtA floWs & technology InfrAstructure IR/FX Credit Commodities Equities Trading System(s) • Counterparties • Transaction • Legal Limits • Reference Data • Market Data Clearing Systems & Trade Repos CVA Risk Counterparty Exposure Collateral Management System Simulation Engine Management System Marginal CVA Pricing Tool Reporting
  • 12. ABouT QuAnTIFI Quantifi is a leading provider of analytics, trading and risk management software for the global oTC markets. our suite of integrated pre and post-trade solutions allow market participants to better value, trade and risk manage their exposures and respond more effectively to changing market conditions. Founded in 2002, Quantifi has over 120 top-tier clients including five of the six largest global banks, two of the three largest asset managers, leading hedge funds, insurance companies, pension funds and other financial institutions across 15 countries. Renowned for our client focus, depth of experience and commitment to innovation, Quantifi is consistently first-to-market with intuitive, award-winning solutions. For further information, please visit www.quantifisolutions.com ConTACT QuAnTIFI EuRoPE noRTH AmERICA AsIA PACIFIC 16 martin’s Le grand 230 Park Avenue 111 Elizabeth st. London, EC1A 4En new york, ny 10169 sydney, nsW, 2000 +44 (0) 20 7397 8788 +1 (212) 784-6815 +61 (02) 9221 0133 enquire@quantifisolutions.com