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PwC M&A 2013 Review and
2014 Outlook
22 January 2014
David Brown
Transaction Services Leader, PwC China and Hong Kong
Foreword – explanation of data shown in this presentation (1 of 2)

• The data presented is based on information compiled by ThomsonReuters,
ChinaVenture and PwC analysis unless stated otherwise
• Thomson Reuters and ChinaVenture record announced deals. Some
announced deals will not go on to complete
• The deal volume figures presented in this report refer to the number of deals
announced, whether or not a value is disclosed for the deal
• The deal value figures presented in this report refers only to those deals
where a value has been disclosed (referred to in this presentation as
“disclosed value”)
• “Domestic” means China including Hong Kong and Macau
• “Outbound” relates to mainland China company acquisitions abroad
• “Inbound” relates to overseas company acquisitions of Domestic
companies,
• “Private Equity deals” or “PE deals” refer to financial buyer deals with deal
value over US$10mn and/or with undisclosed deal value but invested by PEs
PwC

2
Foreword – explanation of data shown in this presentation (2 of 2)

• “VC deals” refer to financial buyer deals with deal value less than US$10mn
and/or with undisclosed deal value but invested by VCs

• “Strategic buyer” refers to corporate buyers (as opposed to financial buyers)
that acquire companies with the objective of integrating the acquisition in
their existing business
• “Financial buyer” refers to investors that acquire companies with the
objective of realizing a return on their investment by selling the business at a
profit at a future date and mainly, but not entirely, comprise PE and VC
funds
• In order to exclude foreign exchange impact, deal values from 2008 to 2012
were adjusted based on 2013 average Rmb/US$ exchange rate

PwC

3
Overview

PwC
Key messages (1 of 2)
Overall
•

China deal numbers recovered from multi-year lows in the first half of 2013, increasing by more
than 40% in the second half; nearly all categories of M&A showed strong growth

•

On an annualised basis – despite the quiet first half – overall deal volumes grew by 8% and
values by 28% in 2013 compared to 2012; deal values reached a record high at US$260 billion
with 43 deals greater than US$1 billion in 2013, compared to 30 in 2012

China Outbound
•

China outbound M&A recovered with more deals announced in the second half of 2013 than in
any earlier half-year period; and on a full-year basis, outbound M&A compared well with the last
few years, although the soft first half meant no new records in 2013

•

POE activity was surprisingly low in the first half but rebounded to a new six-month high with 88
announced deals in the second half, whilst SOE activity was robust and deal values held up well

•

SOEs continued to focus on E&P, resources (raw materials) and industrial sectors, whilst POE
activity was more diversified covering also industrial technologies, consumer related businesses
and high-tech

•

Destination markets were remarkably similar to 2012 with much of the POE money targeting
established technologies, know-how, IP and brands in mature markets such as the US and
Europe

PwC

5
Key messages (2 of 2)
Domestic and Foreign-Inbound Strategic
•

Domestic strategic M&A recovered strongly in the second half of 2013, although full year
numbers were less spectacular due to the slow first half which was affected by political and
economic uncertainties

•

Foreign inbound M&A was flat; Japanese investment has declined sharply over the last two years
as has investment from the US

Private Equity
•

Renminbi PE fundraising declined for the second straight year as the domestic Chinese PE
industry continued to consolidate; US$ denominated fundraising has been consistently healthy
over the same period

•

The number of new investments recovered in the second half of the year and, on a full year basis,
deal values held up well

•

Growth capital deals declined as the PE industry shifted focus towards PIPE and, increasingly,
buy-out transactions whilst PE interest in outbound deals continued, albeit still at low levels in
absolute terms

•

PE-backed IPOs showed some recovery in the second half of 2013 off a very low base but it was
the third straight year of decline for PE exits, almost entirely attributable to problems in the
equity capital markets; 2013 was the first year that IPO was not the dominant exit-route

•

The overhang of new investments compared to exits remains the number one issue affecting the
PE and VC industry

PwC

6
Outlook
•

We anticipate strong growth in China outbound, both from SOEs and POEs; 2014 will be a record
year driven by increasing experience and sophistication of Chinese buyers, underpinned by
government support and direction (including SOE reform – see below)

•

Domestic M&A will also grow to new highs, driven by industry consolidation and sector reforms
which will increase competitive pressures; A-share listed companies will be important drivers of
this activity

•

Foreign inbound investment will also grow as confidence returns in overseas markets especially
in Europe and the US, and as MNC’s realign their China strategies resulting in both sale and
purchase of business units and an increasing number of JVs with Chinese partners

•

PE exits will rebound strongly as IPO markets re-open, but sale by M&A will also grow and we
expect to see more secondary (PE to PE) activity; we also think that the number of new
investments will increase with the trend to buy-outs continuing; although smaller in number, we
will see more outbound PE deals and we expect to see some PE interest in investing in SOEs (see
below) and in A-share listed companies

•

SOE reform, including market liberalisation, specialisation, globalisation and diversified
shareholding will drive M&A activity across several of the sectors described above

•

In summary, we see strong tail-winds for M&A in China: the record trends seen in the second half
of 2013 will continue into 2014

•

Drivers of this activity will include: further liberalisation of markets; SOE reforms; government
support for M&A generally – especially outbound; increasing direct investment activities of large
financial institutions; market-driven industry consolidation; increasing sophistication of Chinese
buyers; and recovering equity capital markets

PwC

7
China deal numbers recovered from multi-year lows in the first half
of 2013, increasing by more than 40% in the second half; nearly all
categories of M&A showed strong growth

Total deal volume, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly)

1H12
Volume

2H12
Volume

1H13
Volume

2H13
Volume

% Diff
2H13 v s
2H12

% Diff
2H13 v s
1H13

St rat egic buy ers
Dom estic
Foreign
Tot al St rat egic buy ers

1 ,1 7 7
1 52
1,329

1 ,4 9 0
1 34
1,624

1 ,09 6
1 23
1,219

1 ,6 08
1 52
1,7 60

8%
13%
8%

47%
24%
44%

Financial buy ers
Priv ate Equity
VC
Tot al Financial buy ers

1 64
220
384

1 68
2 53
421

1 62
27 6
438

2 05
462
667

22%
83%
58%

27%
67%
52%

China mainland Out bound
SOE
POE
Tot al China mainland Out bound

26
70
96

22
73
95

28
53
81

31
88
119

41%
21%
25%

11%
66%
47%

HK Out bound

67

99

88

76

(23%)

(14%)

1,87 6

2,239

1,826

2,622

17%

44%

Tot al

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

8
On an annualised basis – despite the quiet first half – overall deal
volumes grew by 8% and values by 28% in 2013 compared to 2012;
deal values reached a record high …
Total deal volume and value, from 2008 to 2013

2008

Volume

2009

Value

Volume

2010

Value

Volume

2012

2011

Value

Volume

Value

Volume

2013

Value

Volume

Value

% Diff
% Diff
volume value
2013 vs. 2013 vs.
2012
2012

Strategic buyers
Domestic
Foreign
Total Strategic buyers

3,006
61 4
3,620

1 53.2
1 9.7
172.9

2,7 7 4
409
3,183

1 02.1
1 1 .5
113.6

2,947
539
3,486

1 42.8
1 8.3
161.1

3,262
482
3,744

1 1 9.9
1 7 .6
137.5

2,667
286
2,953

89.6
9.2
98.8

2,7 04
27 5
2,979

1 48.1
1 5.1
163.2

1%
-4%
1%

65%
63%
65%

Financial buyers
Priv ate Equity
VC
Total Financial buyers

365
694
1,059

22.4
1 .8
24.2

254
712
966

22.8
1 .8
24.6

425
1 ,01 1
1,436

25.4
2.6
27.9

502
903
1,405

32.6
1 .9
34.5

332
47 3
805

23.9
1 .0
24.9

367
7 38
1,105

35.0
0.9
35.9

11%
56%
37%

46%
-12%
44%

China mainland Outbound
SOE
POE
Total China mainland Outbound

27
99
126

6.9
3.7
10.5

45
99
144

26.8
6.6
33.4

64
1 24
188

35.2
6.6
41.8

48
1 58
206

33.6
9.6
43.2

48
1 43
191

40.4*
26.0
66.4

59
1 41
200

39.5
1 2.0
51.5

23%
-1%
5%

-2%
-54%
-22%

HK Outbound

156

6.8

152

6.3

171

19.2

183

8.4

166

13.0

164

9.6

-1%

-26%

4,961

214.4

4,445

177.9

5,281

250.0

5,538

223.5

4,115

203.1

4,448

260.2

8%

28%

Total

(US$bn )

(US$bn )

(US$bn )

(US$bn )

(US$bn )

(US$bn )

* CNOOC’s US$15 bn Nexon deal was announced in 2012 and so
is included in 2012 numbers, although it was completed in 2013
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

9
… deal values reached a record high with 43 deals greater than
US$1 billion in 2013, compared to 30 in 2012

Deal value by main category
US$ billion
250
51.5
200

41.8

10.5

43.2

22.4
19.7
150

33.4

18.3

32.6

66.4

15.1

17.6

22.8

23.9

11.5

100

35.0

25.4

9.2
153.2

142.8
102.1

50

148.1

119.9
89.6

0
2008

2009

Domestic Strategic Buyers

2010
Foreign Strategic Buyers

2011
Private Equity Deals

2012

2013

China Mainland Outbound

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

10
Strategic buyers

PwC

11
Domestic strategic M&A recovered strongly in the second half of
2013 …

Strategic buyer deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly)
No.

US$ billion

2,000

120

1,800
98.5

1,600
1,400

100

80

1,200
1,000
800
600

54.0

1,177

1,608

40

35.6

1,096

20
6.7

8.4

4.0
152

5.2
134

123

152

1H2012

0

60

1,490

400
200

49.6

2H2012

1H2013

2H2013

Announced Deal Volume Inbound
Announced Deal Value Inbound

0

Announced Deal Volume Domestic
Announced Deal Value Domestic

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

12
… although full year numbers were less spectacular due to the slow
first half which was affected by political and economic
uncertainties
Strategic buyer deals, from 2008 to 2013
No.

US$ billion

4,000

180

3,500

160

153.2

142.8

148.1

3,000

2,000

120

119.9

2,500
3,006

102.1

2,947

100

3,262

2,774

89.6
2,667

1,500

2,704

80
60

1,000
500

140

40
19.7

18.3

614

11.5
409

539

2008

2009

2010

17.6
482

9.2
286

275

2011

2012

Announced Deal Volume Inbound
Announced Deal Value Inbound

20

2013

0

15.1

0

Announced Deal Volume Domestic
Announced Deal Value Domestic

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

13
Strategic M&A activity by industry was broadly consistent with
earlier years, although technology and financial services deals
showed some upward trends
Strategic buyer deal volume by industry sector
No.
4000
3500
970

743
3000
2500

1125
358

432
2000
1500
1000

522
372

1015
106
404
381
310

664

252
137
369
446
320

539

614

529

428

475

2008

2009

2010

500

653
264

500

300

273

384

697

315

402

395

352
668

400
404

570

429

575

439

434

2011

2012

2013

0
Industrials

Raw Materials

High Technology

Consumer Related

Real Estate

Financial Services

Others

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

14
Foreign inbound M&A was flat; Japanese investment has declined
sharply over the last two years as has investment from the US

No.
650

Foreign strategic buyer deal volume by region of origin

600
550
500
450
400

70

350
300

70
127
92

250

67

200

87

150

29

100
50

124

67
35
23
73

54

31
79
27
46
35

48

66

67
98

89

0
2008
SE Asia
UK
Latin America

2009
Japan
British Virgin/Cayman
Other Europe

2010
EU
Oceania
Russia

2011

25
26
34
37

53

94

58

2012
US
Canada
n.a.

2013
Other Asia
Africa

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

15
European investors did the biggest value inbound deals, as they
have for three out of the last six years

Foreign strategic buyer deal value by region of origin
US$ billion
25

20

15

0.5
3.0
0.3

10

5

0.2
2.0
0.8
2.1

3.4
4.3
3.6

0
2008
EU
Oceania
Canada

0.4
2.4
0.2
1.8
1.0
0.8
2009
SE Asia
British Virgin/Cayman
Other Europe

2.9

1.6
5.3

0.3
0.5
0.7
0.9

0.3
1.2
0.4
1.8

5.9

2010
2011
US
UK
Japan
Africa
Other North Amercia
Russia

0.1
1.2
1.3
3.4

3.6

7.1

1.0
1.3
2012

2013
Other Asia
South America
n.a.

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

16
PE

PwC

17
Renminbi PE fundraising declined for the second straight year as
the domestic Chinese PE industry continued to consolidate; US$
denominated fundraising has been consistently healthy over the
same period
PE/VC fund raising for China investment*

No.

US$ billion
60

* Excludes PEs investing in China from non-region specific funds

300

277
250

50

249
21.8

200

40

172
165

150

21.1

14.9

123

39.8
100

130
20

30

20

31.8
9.5

50

21.0

20.3

10

13
4.5

6.7

2008

0

2009

0
Renminbi Fund Size

2010

2011
Non-renminbi Fund Size

2012

2013

Fund Volume

Source: AVCJ and PwC analysis

PwC

18
The number of new investments recovered in the second half of the
year …

Private Equity deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly)
No.

US$ billion
18.5

300

20
16.5

250

18
16

15.1

14

200

12
150

8.8

10
8
205

100
168

164

162

6
4

50

2
0

0

1H2012

2H2012
Announced Deal Volume

1H2013

2H2013

Announced Deal Value

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

19
… and on a full year basis, deal values held up well

Private Equity deals, from 2008 to 2013
No.

US$ billion

550

40

500

400
350

35.0*

32.6

450

30

25.4

22.4

25

22.8

23.9

300

20

502

250
200

425
365

150

35

332

367

15
10

254

100
5

50
0

0

2008

2009

2010
Announced Deal Volume

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

2011

2012

2013

Announced Deal Value
* Includes US$9.8 bn Taikang and Guolian investment in
Petrochina’s West Pipeline JV

20
PE investors’ industry focus was broadly consistent with earlier
years; we think TMT and healthcare sectors will grow in
importance
PE deal volume by industry sector
No.
550
500
450
400

13
30

350
8
47

300
250

14
33

200

40

150

60

100

12
20
23
32

77
45

50

2008

98

2009

72

124

54

50
0

34
31

54

Industrials
Healthcare
Materials

31
31

24
46

44

32

58

45

67

73
88

90

2010

2011

Consumer related
Real Estate
Retail

Media and Entertainment
Financial Services
Others

42
2012

82
2013

High Technology
Energy and Power

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

21
Growth capital deals declined as the PE industry shifted focus
towards PIPE and, increasingly, buy-out transactions …

PE deal volume by type
No.
550
16

500
450
400
350

13
15

118
29

85

18

21

300

132

51

200
150

68

4

250

329

368

327

246

199

100

206

50
0
2008

2009

2010
Growth

2011
PIPE

2012

2013

Buyout

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

22
… whilst PE interest in outbound deals continued, albeit still at low
levels in absolute terms

China mainland PE backed outbound deal volume by PE category
No.
30

25

20
20
15

18

7

23

10
8
11

5

8
4

8

4

3

0
2008

2009

2010
SWFs

2011

2012

2013

Other PEs

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

23
PE-backed IPOs showed some recovery in the second half of 2013
off a very low base …

PE/VC backed deal exit volume by type, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly)
No.
140
120

3

100
48
5

80
60

5

44

1
34

40
64

51

20

34

29
6

0
1H2012

2H2012
IPO

1H2013
M&A - trade

2H2013

M&A - PE

Source: AVCJ and PwC analysis

PwC

24
… but it was the third straight year of decline for PE exits, almost
entirely attributable to problems in the equity capital markets;
2013 was the first year that IPO was not the dominant exit-route
PE/VC backed deal exit volume by type
No.
350
8

300

6
83

250

91

200

8

5

150

92

84
100

7

212
171

85

44
50

6

98

88
46

35

0
2008

2009

2010
IPO

2011
M&A - trade

2012

2013

M&A - PE

Source: AVCJ and PwC analysis

PwC

25
The overhang of new investments compared to exits remains the
number one issue affecting the PE and VC industry

PE/VC deal volume vs. No. of exits

No.

1,500
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,100
1,000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0

425

502
367

365

254
332
1,011

738

712

694

212

2009

97

2010
VC deals

473

171

91

88
89

46
51
2008

903

PE deals

98
100

2011
M&A exit

2012

35
91
2013

IPO exit

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture, AVCJ and PwC analysis

PwC

26
China mainland outbound

PwC

27
China outbound M&A recovered with more deals announced in the
second half of 2013 than in any earlier half-year period …

China mainland outbound deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly)
No.

US$ billion

140

45

41.8 *

40

120

35
100

28.5

80

30

24.6

23.0

60

119
96

95

20
15

81

40

25

10
20

5

0

0
1H2012

2H2012
Announced Deal Volume

1H2013

2H2013

Announce Deal Value
* Includes US$15.1 bn CNOOC – Nexus transaction

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

28
… and on a full-year basis, outbound M&A compared well with the
last few years but the soft first half meant no new records in 2013

China mainland outbound deals, from 2008 to 2013
No.

US$ billion

250

70
66.4 *
51.5

200

60
50

150

43.2

41.8

33.4
100

188

206

191

200

144

126
50

40
30
20

10.5

10

0

0
2008

2009

2010
Announced Deal Volume

2011

2012

2013

Announce Deal Value
* Includes US$15.1 bn CNOOC – Nexus transaction

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

29
POE activity was surprisingly low in the first half but rebounded to
a new six-month high with 88 announced deals in the second half …

China mainland outbound strategic buyer deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly)
US$ billion
30

No.
140
120

24.0

25

100

80

31
20.7

22

26

18.8

17.9

15
28

60
16.4
40

20

88

70

73

8.1
20

7.8

53

10

5
4.2

0

0
1H2012

2H2012

1H2013

2H2013

POE Announced Deal Volume

SOE Announced Deal Volume

POE Announced Deal Value

SOE Announced Deal Value

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

30
… whilst SOE activity was robust and deal values held up well

China mainland outbound strategic buyer deals, from 2008 to 2013
US$ billion
45

No.
250
40.4 *
35.2

200

39.5

33.6

35
48

26.8

150

64

48

59

26.0

45

20

100
158
124

99

6.9

15
143

9.6

2009

2010

10
5

6.6

3.7
2008

0
2011

2012

POE Announced Deal Volume

2013

SOE Announced Deal Volume

POE Announced Deal Value

SOE Announced Deal Value

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

141 12.0

99
6.6

0

30
25

27

50

40

* Includes US$15.1 bn CNOOC – Nexus transaction

31
SOEs continued to focus on E&P, resources (raw materials) and
industrial sectors, whilst POE activity was more diversified
covering also industrial technologies, consumer related businesses
and high-tech
China mainland outbound deals by industry sector

No.
50

–By number of deals, 2013 vs. 2012

45

40
35
30

30

25

33

20

5
0

18

26

15
10

33

17 10

18

15
6

28

22

17
5

11 13

1

2013 SOE

15
1

2013 POE

4 10

10
2

2012 SOE

5
1

6

2

14
7 3

1

4
2

2012 POE

Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis

PwC

32
Destination markets were remarkably similar to 2012 with much of the
POE money targeting established technologies, know-how, IP and
brands in mature markets such as the US and Europe
Outbound M&A deal volume by region of destination 2013 vs. 2012
North America

57

Europe

57

51

Russia

63

Asia

8 5
25 33

8

11

South America

9 8
27 29
Africa

Oceania

2012
2013
Source: ThomsonReuters and PwC analysis

PwC

33
Key messages and 2014 outlook

PwC

34
Key messages (1 of 2)
Overall
•

China deal numbers recovered from multi-year lows in the first half of 2013, increasing by more
than 40% in the second half; nearly all categories of M&A showed strong growth

•

On an annualised basis – despite the quiet first half – overall deal volumes grew by 8% and
values by 28% in 2013 compared to 2012; deal values reached a record high at US$260 billion
with 43 deals greater than US$1 billion in 2013, compared to 30 in 2012

China Outbound
•

China outbound M&A recovered with more deals announced in the second half of 2013 than in
any earlier half-year period; and on a full-year basis, outbound M&A compared well with the last
few years, although the soft first half meant no new records in 2013

•

POE activity was surprisingly low in the first half but rebounded to a new six-month high with 88
announced deals in the second half, whilst SOE activity was robust and deal values held up well

•

SOEs continued to focus on E&P, resources (raw materials) and industrial sectors, whilst POE
activity was more diversified covering also industrial technologies, consumer related businesses
and high-tech

•

Destination markets were remarkably similar to 2012 with much of the POE money targeting
established technologies, know-how, IP and brands in mature markets such as the US and
Europe

PwC

35
Key messages (2 of 2)
Domestic and Foreign-Inbound Strategic
•

Domestic strategic M&A recovered strongly in the second half of 2013, although full year
numbers were less spectacular due to the slow first half which was affected by political and
economic uncertainties

•

Foreign inbound M&A was flat; Japanese investment has declined sharply over the last two years
as has investment from the US

Private Equity
•

Renminbi PE fundraising declined for the second straight year as the domestic Chinese PE
industry continued to consolidate; US$ denominated fundraising has been consistently healthy
over the same period

•

The number of new investments recovered in the second half of the year and, on a full year basis,
deal values held up well

•

Growth capital deals declined as the PE industry shifted focus towards PIPE and, increasingly,
buy-out transactions whilst PE interest in outbound deals continued, albeit still at low levels in
absolute terms

•

PE-backed IPOs showed some recovery in the second half of 2013 off a very low base but it was
the third straight year of decline for PE exits, almost entirely attributable to problems in the
equity capital markets; 2013 was the first year that IPO was not the dominant exit-route

•

The overhang of new investments compared to exits remains the number one issue affecting the
PE and VC industry

PwC

36
Outlook
•

We anticipate strong growth in China outbound, both from SOEs and POEs; 2014 will be a record
year driven by increasing experience and sophistication of Chinese buyers, underpinned by
government support and direction (including SOE reform – see below)

•

Domestic M&A will also grow to new highs, driven by industry consolidation and sector reforms
which will increase competitive pressures; A-share listed companies will be important drivers of
this activity

•

Foreign inbound investment will also grow as confidence returns in overseas markets especially
in Europe and the US, and as MNC’s realign their China strategies resulting in both sale and
purchase of business units and an increasing number of JVs with Chinese partners

•

PE exits will rebound strongly as IPO markets re-open, but sale by M&A will also grow and we
expect to see more secondary (PE to PE) activity; we also think that the number of new
investments will increase with the trend to buy-outs continuing; although smaller in number, we
will see more outbound PE deals and we expect to see some PE interest in investing in SOEs (see
below) and in A-share listed companies

•

SOE reform, including market liberalisation, specialisation, globalisation and diversified
shareholding will drive M&A activity across several of the sectors described above

•

In summary, we see strong tail-winds for M&A in China: the record trends seen in the second half
of 2013 will continue into 2014

•

Drivers of this activity will include: further liberalisation of markets; SOE reforms; government
support for M&A generally – especially outbound; increasing direct investment activities of large
financial institutions; market-driven industry consolidation; increasing sophistication of Chinese
buyers; and recovering equity capital markets

PwC

37
Data compilation methodology

PwC

38
Data compilation methodology:
Statistics contained in this presentation and the press release may vary from those contained in previous
press releases. There are three reasons for this: ThomsonReuters and ChinaVenture historical data is
constantly updated as deals are confirmed or disclosed; PricewaterhouseCoopers has excluded certain
transactions which are more in the nature of internal reorganisations than transfers of control; and
exchange rate data has been adjusted.
Included Deals
• Acquisitions of private/public companies resulting in change of
control
• Investments in private/public companies (involving at least 5%
ownership)
• Mergers
• Buyouts/buyins (LBOs, MBOs, MBIs)
• Privatisations
• Tender offers
• Spinoffs
• Splitoff of a wholly-owned subsidiary when 100%
sold via IPO
• Divestment of company, division or trading assets resulting in
change of control at parent level
• Reverse takeovers
• Re-capitalisation
• Joint Venture buyouts
• Joint Ventures
• Receivership or bankruptcy sales/auctions
• Tracking stock
PwC

Excluded Deals
• Property/real estate for individual properties
• Rumoured transactions
• Options granted to acquire an additional stake when not 100%
of the shares has been acquired
• Any purchase of brand rights
• Land acquisitions
• Equity placements in funds
• Stake purchases by mutual funds
• Open market share buyback/retirement of stock unless part of
a privatisation
• Balance sheet restructuring or internal restructuring
• Investments in greenfield operations
• Going private transactions

39
© 2014 PricewaterhouseCoopers Limited. All rights reserved. “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers
Limited or, as the context requires, the PwC global network or other member firms of the network, each
of which is a separate legal entity.

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Etude PwC sur les fusions-acquisitions chinoises (2014)

  • 1. PwC M&A 2013 Review and 2014 Outlook 22 January 2014 David Brown Transaction Services Leader, PwC China and Hong Kong
  • 2. Foreword – explanation of data shown in this presentation (1 of 2) • The data presented is based on information compiled by ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis unless stated otherwise • Thomson Reuters and ChinaVenture record announced deals. Some announced deals will not go on to complete • The deal volume figures presented in this report refer to the number of deals announced, whether or not a value is disclosed for the deal • The deal value figures presented in this report refers only to those deals where a value has been disclosed (referred to in this presentation as “disclosed value”) • “Domestic” means China including Hong Kong and Macau • “Outbound” relates to mainland China company acquisitions abroad • “Inbound” relates to overseas company acquisitions of Domestic companies, • “Private Equity deals” or “PE deals” refer to financial buyer deals with deal value over US$10mn and/or with undisclosed deal value but invested by PEs PwC 2
  • 3. Foreword – explanation of data shown in this presentation (2 of 2) • “VC deals” refer to financial buyer deals with deal value less than US$10mn and/or with undisclosed deal value but invested by VCs • “Strategic buyer” refers to corporate buyers (as opposed to financial buyers) that acquire companies with the objective of integrating the acquisition in their existing business • “Financial buyer” refers to investors that acquire companies with the objective of realizing a return on their investment by selling the business at a profit at a future date and mainly, but not entirely, comprise PE and VC funds • In order to exclude foreign exchange impact, deal values from 2008 to 2012 were adjusted based on 2013 average Rmb/US$ exchange rate PwC 3
  • 5. Key messages (1 of 2) Overall • China deal numbers recovered from multi-year lows in the first half of 2013, increasing by more than 40% in the second half; nearly all categories of M&A showed strong growth • On an annualised basis – despite the quiet first half – overall deal volumes grew by 8% and values by 28% in 2013 compared to 2012; deal values reached a record high at US$260 billion with 43 deals greater than US$1 billion in 2013, compared to 30 in 2012 China Outbound • China outbound M&A recovered with more deals announced in the second half of 2013 than in any earlier half-year period; and on a full-year basis, outbound M&A compared well with the last few years, although the soft first half meant no new records in 2013 • POE activity was surprisingly low in the first half but rebounded to a new six-month high with 88 announced deals in the second half, whilst SOE activity was robust and deal values held up well • SOEs continued to focus on E&P, resources (raw materials) and industrial sectors, whilst POE activity was more diversified covering also industrial technologies, consumer related businesses and high-tech • Destination markets were remarkably similar to 2012 with much of the POE money targeting established technologies, know-how, IP and brands in mature markets such as the US and Europe PwC 5
  • 6. Key messages (2 of 2) Domestic and Foreign-Inbound Strategic • Domestic strategic M&A recovered strongly in the second half of 2013, although full year numbers were less spectacular due to the slow first half which was affected by political and economic uncertainties • Foreign inbound M&A was flat; Japanese investment has declined sharply over the last two years as has investment from the US Private Equity • Renminbi PE fundraising declined for the second straight year as the domestic Chinese PE industry continued to consolidate; US$ denominated fundraising has been consistently healthy over the same period • The number of new investments recovered in the second half of the year and, on a full year basis, deal values held up well • Growth capital deals declined as the PE industry shifted focus towards PIPE and, increasingly, buy-out transactions whilst PE interest in outbound deals continued, albeit still at low levels in absolute terms • PE-backed IPOs showed some recovery in the second half of 2013 off a very low base but it was the third straight year of decline for PE exits, almost entirely attributable to problems in the equity capital markets; 2013 was the first year that IPO was not the dominant exit-route • The overhang of new investments compared to exits remains the number one issue affecting the PE and VC industry PwC 6
  • 7. Outlook • We anticipate strong growth in China outbound, both from SOEs and POEs; 2014 will be a record year driven by increasing experience and sophistication of Chinese buyers, underpinned by government support and direction (including SOE reform – see below) • Domestic M&A will also grow to new highs, driven by industry consolidation and sector reforms which will increase competitive pressures; A-share listed companies will be important drivers of this activity • Foreign inbound investment will also grow as confidence returns in overseas markets especially in Europe and the US, and as MNC’s realign their China strategies resulting in both sale and purchase of business units and an increasing number of JVs with Chinese partners • PE exits will rebound strongly as IPO markets re-open, but sale by M&A will also grow and we expect to see more secondary (PE to PE) activity; we also think that the number of new investments will increase with the trend to buy-outs continuing; although smaller in number, we will see more outbound PE deals and we expect to see some PE interest in investing in SOEs (see below) and in A-share listed companies • SOE reform, including market liberalisation, specialisation, globalisation and diversified shareholding will drive M&A activity across several of the sectors described above • In summary, we see strong tail-winds for M&A in China: the record trends seen in the second half of 2013 will continue into 2014 • Drivers of this activity will include: further liberalisation of markets; SOE reforms; government support for M&A generally – especially outbound; increasing direct investment activities of large financial institutions; market-driven industry consolidation; increasing sophistication of Chinese buyers; and recovering equity capital markets PwC 7
  • 8. China deal numbers recovered from multi-year lows in the first half of 2013, increasing by more than 40% in the second half; nearly all categories of M&A showed strong growth Total deal volume, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly) 1H12 Volume 2H12 Volume 1H13 Volume 2H13 Volume % Diff 2H13 v s 2H12 % Diff 2H13 v s 1H13 St rat egic buy ers Dom estic Foreign Tot al St rat egic buy ers 1 ,1 7 7 1 52 1,329 1 ,4 9 0 1 34 1,624 1 ,09 6 1 23 1,219 1 ,6 08 1 52 1,7 60 8% 13% 8% 47% 24% 44% Financial buy ers Priv ate Equity VC Tot al Financial buy ers 1 64 220 384 1 68 2 53 421 1 62 27 6 438 2 05 462 667 22% 83% 58% 27% 67% 52% China mainland Out bound SOE POE Tot al China mainland Out bound 26 70 96 22 73 95 28 53 81 31 88 119 41% 21% 25% 11% 66% 47% HK Out bound 67 99 88 76 (23%) (14%) 1,87 6 2,239 1,826 2,622 17% 44% Tot al Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 8
  • 9. On an annualised basis – despite the quiet first half – overall deal volumes grew by 8% and values by 28% in 2013 compared to 2012; deal values reached a record high … Total deal volume and value, from 2008 to 2013 2008 Volume 2009 Value Volume 2010 Value Volume 2012 2011 Value Volume Value Volume 2013 Value Volume Value % Diff % Diff volume value 2013 vs. 2013 vs. 2012 2012 Strategic buyers Domestic Foreign Total Strategic buyers 3,006 61 4 3,620 1 53.2 1 9.7 172.9 2,7 7 4 409 3,183 1 02.1 1 1 .5 113.6 2,947 539 3,486 1 42.8 1 8.3 161.1 3,262 482 3,744 1 1 9.9 1 7 .6 137.5 2,667 286 2,953 89.6 9.2 98.8 2,7 04 27 5 2,979 1 48.1 1 5.1 163.2 1% -4% 1% 65% 63% 65% Financial buyers Priv ate Equity VC Total Financial buyers 365 694 1,059 22.4 1 .8 24.2 254 712 966 22.8 1 .8 24.6 425 1 ,01 1 1,436 25.4 2.6 27.9 502 903 1,405 32.6 1 .9 34.5 332 47 3 805 23.9 1 .0 24.9 367 7 38 1,105 35.0 0.9 35.9 11% 56% 37% 46% -12% 44% China mainland Outbound SOE POE Total China mainland Outbound 27 99 126 6.9 3.7 10.5 45 99 144 26.8 6.6 33.4 64 1 24 188 35.2 6.6 41.8 48 1 58 206 33.6 9.6 43.2 48 1 43 191 40.4* 26.0 66.4 59 1 41 200 39.5 1 2.0 51.5 23% -1% 5% -2% -54% -22% HK Outbound 156 6.8 152 6.3 171 19.2 183 8.4 166 13.0 164 9.6 -1% -26% 4,961 214.4 4,445 177.9 5,281 250.0 5,538 223.5 4,115 203.1 4,448 260.2 8% 28% Total (US$bn ) (US$bn ) (US$bn ) (US$bn ) (US$bn ) (US$bn ) * CNOOC’s US$15 bn Nexon deal was announced in 2012 and so is included in 2012 numbers, although it was completed in 2013 Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 9
  • 10. … deal values reached a record high with 43 deals greater than US$1 billion in 2013, compared to 30 in 2012 Deal value by main category US$ billion 250 51.5 200 41.8 10.5 43.2 22.4 19.7 150 33.4 18.3 32.6 66.4 15.1 17.6 22.8 23.9 11.5 100 35.0 25.4 9.2 153.2 142.8 102.1 50 148.1 119.9 89.6 0 2008 2009 Domestic Strategic Buyers 2010 Foreign Strategic Buyers 2011 Private Equity Deals 2012 2013 China Mainland Outbound Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 10
  • 12. Domestic strategic M&A recovered strongly in the second half of 2013 … Strategic buyer deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly) No. US$ billion 2,000 120 1,800 98.5 1,600 1,400 100 80 1,200 1,000 800 600 54.0 1,177 1,608 40 35.6 1,096 20 6.7 8.4 4.0 152 5.2 134 123 152 1H2012 0 60 1,490 400 200 49.6 2H2012 1H2013 2H2013 Announced Deal Volume Inbound Announced Deal Value Inbound 0 Announced Deal Volume Domestic Announced Deal Value Domestic Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 12
  • 13. … although full year numbers were less spectacular due to the slow first half which was affected by political and economic uncertainties Strategic buyer deals, from 2008 to 2013 No. US$ billion 4,000 180 3,500 160 153.2 142.8 148.1 3,000 2,000 120 119.9 2,500 3,006 102.1 2,947 100 3,262 2,774 89.6 2,667 1,500 2,704 80 60 1,000 500 140 40 19.7 18.3 614 11.5 409 539 2008 2009 2010 17.6 482 9.2 286 275 2011 2012 Announced Deal Volume Inbound Announced Deal Value Inbound 20 2013 0 15.1 0 Announced Deal Volume Domestic Announced Deal Value Domestic Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 13
  • 14. Strategic M&A activity by industry was broadly consistent with earlier years, although technology and financial services deals showed some upward trends Strategic buyer deal volume by industry sector No. 4000 3500 970 743 3000 2500 1125 358 432 2000 1500 1000 522 372 1015 106 404 381 310 664 252 137 369 446 320 539 614 529 428 475 2008 2009 2010 500 653 264 500 300 273 384 697 315 402 395 352 668 400 404 570 429 575 439 434 2011 2012 2013 0 Industrials Raw Materials High Technology Consumer Related Real Estate Financial Services Others Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 14
  • 15. Foreign inbound M&A was flat; Japanese investment has declined sharply over the last two years as has investment from the US No. 650 Foreign strategic buyer deal volume by region of origin 600 550 500 450 400 70 350 300 70 127 92 250 67 200 87 150 29 100 50 124 67 35 23 73 54 31 79 27 46 35 48 66 67 98 89 0 2008 SE Asia UK Latin America 2009 Japan British Virgin/Cayman Other Europe 2010 EU Oceania Russia 2011 25 26 34 37 53 94 58 2012 US Canada n.a. 2013 Other Asia Africa Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 15
  • 16. European investors did the biggest value inbound deals, as they have for three out of the last six years Foreign strategic buyer deal value by region of origin US$ billion 25 20 15 0.5 3.0 0.3 10 5 0.2 2.0 0.8 2.1 3.4 4.3 3.6 0 2008 EU Oceania Canada 0.4 2.4 0.2 1.8 1.0 0.8 2009 SE Asia British Virgin/Cayman Other Europe 2.9 1.6 5.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.4 1.8 5.9 2010 2011 US UK Japan Africa Other North Amercia Russia 0.1 1.2 1.3 3.4 3.6 7.1 1.0 1.3 2012 2013 Other Asia South America n.a. Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 16
  • 18. Renminbi PE fundraising declined for the second straight year as the domestic Chinese PE industry continued to consolidate; US$ denominated fundraising has been consistently healthy over the same period PE/VC fund raising for China investment* No. US$ billion 60 * Excludes PEs investing in China from non-region specific funds 300 277 250 50 249 21.8 200 40 172 165 150 21.1 14.9 123 39.8 100 130 20 30 20 31.8 9.5 50 21.0 20.3 10 13 4.5 6.7 2008 0 2009 0 Renminbi Fund Size 2010 2011 Non-renminbi Fund Size 2012 2013 Fund Volume Source: AVCJ and PwC analysis PwC 18
  • 19. The number of new investments recovered in the second half of the year … Private Equity deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly) No. US$ billion 18.5 300 20 16.5 250 18 16 15.1 14 200 12 150 8.8 10 8 205 100 168 164 162 6 4 50 2 0 0 1H2012 2H2012 Announced Deal Volume 1H2013 2H2013 Announced Deal Value Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 19
  • 20. … and on a full year basis, deal values held up well Private Equity deals, from 2008 to 2013 No. US$ billion 550 40 500 400 350 35.0* 32.6 450 30 25.4 22.4 25 22.8 23.9 300 20 502 250 200 425 365 150 35 332 367 15 10 254 100 5 50 0 0 2008 2009 2010 Announced Deal Volume Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 2011 2012 2013 Announced Deal Value * Includes US$9.8 bn Taikang and Guolian investment in Petrochina’s West Pipeline JV 20
  • 21. PE investors’ industry focus was broadly consistent with earlier years; we think TMT and healthcare sectors will grow in importance PE deal volume by industry sector No. 550 500 450 400 13 30 350 8 47 300 250 14 33 200 40 150 60 100 12 20 23 32 77 45 50 2008 98 2009 72 124 54 50 0 34 31 54 Industrials Healthcare Materials 31 31 24 46 44 32 58 45 67 73 88 90 2010 2011 Consumer related Real Estate Retail Media and Entertainment Financial Services Others 42 2012 82 2013 High Technology Energy and Power Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 21
  • 22. Growth capital deals declined as the PE industry shifted focus towards PIPE and, increasingly, buy-out transactions … PE deal volume by type No. 550 16 500 450 400 350 13 15 118 29 85 18 21 300 132 51 200 150 68 4 250 329 368 327 246 199 100 206 50 0 2008 2009 2010 Growth 2011 PIPE 2012 2013 Buyout Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 22
  • 23. … whilst PE interest in outbound deals continued, albeit still at low levels in absolute terms China mainland PE backed outbound deal volume by PE category No. 30 25 20 20 15 18 7 23 10 8 11 5 8 4 8 4 3 0 2008 2009 2010 SWFs 2011 2012 2013 Other PEs Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 23
  • 24. PE-backed IPOs showed some recovery in the second half of 2013 off a very low base … PE/VC backed deal exit volume by type, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly) No. 140 120 3 100 48 5 80 60 5 44 1 34 40 64 51 20 34 29 6 0 1H2012 2H2012 IPO 1H2013 M&A - trade 2H2013 M&A - PE Source: AVCJ and PwC analysis PwC 24
  • 25. … but it was the third straight year of decline for PE exits, almost entirely attributable to problems in the equity capital markets; 2013 was the first year that IPO was not the dominant exit-route PE/VC backed deal exit volume by type No. 350 8 300 6 83 250 91 200 8 5 150 92 84 100 7 212 171 85 44 50 6 98 88 46 35 0 2008 2009 2010 IPO 2011 M&A - trade 2012 2013 M&A - PE Source: AVCJ and PwC analysis PwC 25
  • 26. The overhang of new investments compared to exits remains the number one issue affecting the PE and VC industry PE/VC deal volume vs. No. of exits No. 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 425 502 367 365 254 332 1,011 738 712 694 212 2009 97 2010 VC deals 473 171 91 88 89 46 51 2008 903 PE deals 98 100 2011 M&A exit 2012 35 91 2013 IPO exit Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture, AVCJ and PwC analysis PwC 26
  • 28. China outbound M&A recovered with more deals announced in the second half of 2013 than in any earlier half-year period … China mainland outbound deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly) No. US$ billion 140 45 41.8 * 40 120 35 100 28.5 80 30 24.6 23.0 60 119 96 95 20 15 81 40 25 10 20 5 0 0 1H2012 2H2012 Announced Deal Volume 1H2013 2H2013 Announce Deal Value * Includes US$15.1 bn CNOOC – Nexus transaction Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 28
  • 29. … and on a full-year basis, outbound M&A compared well with the last few years but the soft first half meant no new records in 2013 China mainland outbound deals, from 2008 to 2013 No. US$ billion 250 70 66.4 * 51.5 200 60 50 150 43.2 41.8 33.4 100 188 206 191 200 144 126 50 40 30 20 10.5 10 0 0 2008 2009 2010 Announced Deal Volume 2011 2012 2013 Announce Deal Value * Includes US$15.1 bn CNOOC – Nexus transaction Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 29
  • 30. POE activity was surprisingly low in the first half but rebounded to a new six-month high with 88 announced deals in the second half … China mainland outbound strategic buyer deals, 2013 vs. 2012 (half yearly) US$ billion 30 No. 140 120 24.0 25 100 80 31 20.7 22 26 18.8 17.9 15 28 60 16.4 40 20 88 70 73 8.1 20 7.8 53 10 5 4.2 0 0 1H2012 2H2012 1H2013 2H2013 POE Announced Deal Volume SOE Announced Deal Volume POE Announced Deal Value SOE Announced Deal Value Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 30
  • 31. … whilst SOE activity was robust and deal values held up well China mainland outbound strategic buyer deals, from 2008 to 2013 US$ billion 45 No. 250 40.4 * 35.2 200 39.5 33.6 35 48 26.8 150 64 48 59 26.0 45 20 100 158 124 99 6.9 15 143 9.6 2009 2010 10 5 6.6 3.7 2008 0 2011 2012 POE Announced Deal Volume 2013 SOE Announced Deal Volume POE Announced Deal Value SOE Announced Deal Value Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 141 12.0 99 6.6 0 30 25 27 50 40 * Includes US$15.1 bn CNOOC – Nexus transaction 31
  • 32. SOEs continued to focus on E&P, resources (raw materials) and industrial sectors, whilst POE activity was more diversified covering also industrial technologies, consumer related businesses and high-tech China mainland outbound deals by industry sector No. 50 –By number of deals, 2013 vs. 2012 45 40 35 30 30 25 33 20 5 0 18 26 15 10 33 17 10 18 15 6 28 22 17 5 11 13 1 2013 SOE 15 1 2013 POE 4 10 10 2 2012 SOE 5 1 6 2 14 7 3 1 4 2 2012 POE Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis PwC 32
  • 33. Destination markets were remarkably similar to 2012 with much of the POE money targeting established technologies, know-how, IP and brands in mature markets such as the US and Europe Outbound M&A deal volume by region of destination 2013 vs. 2012 North America 57 Europe 57 51 Russia 63 Asia 8 5 25 33 8 11 South America 9 8 27 29 Africa Oceania 2012 2013 Source: ThomsonReuters and PwC analysis PwC 33
  • 34. Key messages and 2014 outlook PwC 34
  • 35. Key messages (1 of 2) Overall • China deal numbers recovered from multi-year lows in the first half of 2013, increasing by more than 40% in the second half; nearly all categories of M&A showed strong growth • On an annualised basis – despite the quiet first half – overall deal volumes grew by 8% and values by 28% in 2013 compared to 2012; deal values reached a record high at US$260 billion with 43 deals greater than US$1 billion in 2013, compared to 30 in 2012 China Outbound • China outbound M&A recovered with more deals announced in the second half of 2013 than in any earlier half-year period; and on a full-year basis, outbound M&A compared well with the last few years, although the soft first half meant no new records in 2013 • POE activity was surprisingly low in the first half but rebounded to a new six-month high with 88 announced deals in the second half, whilst SOE activity was robust and deal values held up well • SOEs continued to focus on E&P, resources (raw materials) and industrial sectors, whilst POE activity was more diversified covering also industrial technologies, consumer related businesses and high-tech • Destination markets were remarkably similar to 2012 with much of the POE money targeting established technologies, know-how, IP and brands in mature markets such as the US and Europe PwC 35
  • 36. Key messages (2 of 2) Domestic and Foreign-Inbound Strategic • Domestic strategic M&A recovered strongly in the second half of 2013, although full year numbers were less spectacular due to the slow first half which was affected by political and economic uncertainties • Foreign inbound M&A was flat; Japanese investment has declined sharply over the last two years as has investment from the US Private Equity • Renminbi PE fundraising declined for the second straight year as the domestic Chinese PE industry continued to consolidate; US$ denominated fundraising has been consistently healthy over the same period • The number of new investments recovered in the second half of the year and, on a full year basis, deal values held up well • Growth capital deals declined as the PE industry shifted focus towards PIPE and, increasingly, buy-out transactions whilst PE interest in outbound deals continued, albeit still at low levels in absolute terms • PE-backed IPOs showed some recovery in the second half of 2013 off a very low base but it was the third straight year of decline for PE exits, almost entirely attributable to problems in the equity capital markets; 2013 was the first year that IPO was not the dominant exit-route • The overhang of new investments compared to exits remains the number one issue affecting the PE and VC industry PwC 36
  • 37. Outlook • We anticipate strong growth in China outbound, both from SOEs and POEs; 2014 will be a record year driven by increasing experience and sophistication of Chinese buyers, underpinned by government support and direction (including SOE reform – see below) • Domestic M&A will also grow to new highs, driven by industry consolidation and sector reforms which will increase competitive pressures; A-share listed companies will be important drivers of this activity • Foreign inbound investment will also grow as confidence returns in overseas markets especially in Europe and the US, and as MNC’s realign their China strategies resulting in both sale and purchase of business units and an increasing number of JVs with Chinese partners • PE exits will rebound strongly as IPO markets re-open, but sale by M&A will also grow and we expect to see more secondary (PE to PE) activity; we also think that the number of new investments will increase with the trend to buy-outs continuing; although smaller in number, we will see more outbound PE deals and we expect to see some PE interest in investing in SOEs (see below) and in A-share listed companies • SOE reform, including market liberalisation, specialisation, globalisation and diversified shareholding will drive M&A activity across several of the sectors described above • In summary, we see strong tail-winds for M&A in China: the record trends seen in the second half of 2013 will continue into 2014 • Drivers of this activity will include: further liberalisation of markets; SOE reforms; government support for M&A generally – especially outbound; increasing direct investment activities of large financial institutions; market-driven industry consolidation; increasing sophistication of Chinese buyers; and recovering equity capital markets PwC 37
  • 39. Data compilation methodology: Statistics contained in this presentation and the press release may vary from those contained in previous press releases. There are three reasons for this: ThomsonReuters and ChinaVenture historical data is constantly updated as deals are confirmed or disclosed; PricewaterhouseCoopers has excluded certain transactions which are more in the nature of internal reorganisations than transfers of control; and exchange rate data has been adjusted. Included Deals • Acquisitions of private/public companies resulting in change of control • Investments in private/public companies (involving at least 5% ownership) • Mergers • Buyouts/buyins (LBOs, MBOs, MBIs) • Privatisations • Tender offers • Spinoffs • Splitoff of a wholly-owned subsidiary when 100% sold via IPO • Divestment of company, division or trading assets resulting in change of control at parent level • Reverse takeovers • Re-capitalisation • Joint Venture buyouts • Joint Ventures • Receivership or bankruptcy sales/auctions • Tracking stock PwC Excluded Deals • Property/real estate for individual properties • Rumoured transactions • Options granted to acquire an additional stake when not 100% of the shares has been acquired • Any purchase of brand rights • Land acquisitions • Equity placements in funds • Stake purchases by mutual funds • Open market share buyback/retirement of stock unless part of a privatisation • Balance sheet restructuring or internal restructuring • Investments in greenfield operations • Going private transactions 39
  • 40. © 2014 PricewaterhouseCoopers Limited. All rights reserved. “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers Limited or, as the context requires, the PwC global network or other member firms of the network, each of which is a separate legal entity.