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Workplace Revolution:
The Impacts of Changing Demand
for Office Space
Appraisal Institute
Symposium
March 22, 2014
Peter Carlston
Peter Carlston
CEO | Principal Broker
801.948.0899 | 650.533.3736
pc@elevationre.com
100 S. Main Street, Suite 609
Salt Lake City, UT 84101
www.elevationre.com
Sources
• Commercial Real Estate
Brokerages: Colliers
International, CBRE, JLL,
Commerce CRG
• MIT
• NAIOP
• Urban Land Institute
• CCIM
• Appraisal Institute
• CoreNet Global
• Vendors and Consultants:
Steelcase, Others
• EDCU, Utah GOPB
• Wall Street Journal, New
York Times, Forbes
• Glassdoor.com
• Appraisers
• Developers
• Corporate real estate
directors and clients
• University of Utah
• USGBC
First, a Story
Site selection: Any office park
will do, good freeway access
Site selection: Must be close
to CalTrain station
and hip urban core
Today’s Presentation
• Drivers of Office Demand
• Current Trends
• Implications for Value
Drivers of Office Demand
• Tech and
Communications
Innovation
• Younger Workforce and
Cultural Changes
• Changing Workplace
Strategy
• Cutting Costs
Driver: Innovation
• Industrial Age to Knowledge Age
• Technology and Communications
Driver: Innovation
Driver: Innovation
Driver: Younger Workforce
• Gen X: mid-60’s to early 80’s
• Gen Y / Millennials: 1978-1989 or 1977-2000
0
20
40
60
80
100
Boomers Gen X Millennials
Gen X vs Gen Y
• Gen X: Latch-key kids
• Gen X: Radicals
• Gen Y: Most parented
generation in history
• Gen Y: Happy
conformists
Millennials
• SUPER-Confident (all those trophies)
• Crave feedback
• Want stimulating, social work
• Less materialistic – it’s about Experiences …
and then Sharing Them
• Highly educated, technologically savvy and
ambitious
• Connected
Millennials
At the workplace, Millenials want:
• Flexible work hours
• Recognition
• Social work environment
• Cool, creative & inspirational space
Millennials
• Space is PLACE; key to culture and brand
• Vital for attracting and retaining talent!
Driver: Workplace Strategy
• Increased need for collaboration and flexibility
Driver: Cutting Costs
• Pressure to minimize costs and streamline
operations
• Corporate real estate managers focus on
cutting fixed overhead expenses and
increasing efficiency
Current Trends
• Less Space per Employee
• Need More Flexibility
• Open Floor Plans for Collaboration
• Shared Workplaces: “Coworking”
• Location As Important As Ever
• Smaller Leases
• (New buildings and efficiency / style
renovations)
Trend: Less Space per Employee
0
50
100
150
200
250
2010 2012 2017 Beyond
Trend: Less Space per Employee
• Filing space has shrunk from 15 to 20 percent
of office space to around 2 to 3 percent in
many cases today
Trend: Greater Flexibility
• Flexibility is a necessary strategy, no longer a
perk
• Essential to employee retention
• American Express:
– Hub
– Club
– Home
– Roam
Trend: Greater Flexibility
• Aetna:
• 35,000 employees
• 14,500 do not have desks at Aetna
• Policies impact 47% of workforce
• Rid of 2.7 million square feet of office space
• @ $29/sf, company has saved about $78M per
year!
Trend: Greater Flexibility
• Yahoo
• “A few years ago it was bring your own device
to work, now it's bring your own [butt] to
work.”
• Collaboration, not telecommuting, is the goal
• Innovation doesn’t happen in isolation
Trend: Open Floor Plans
• “I” space to “We” space
• Allocate workspace to issues instead of
people
Trend: Open Floor Plans
Trend: Open Floor Plans
Trend: Open Floor Plans
Client Case: Color Labs
Client Case: Color Labs
Trend: Open Floor Plans
• Backlash!
• High Stress
• Conflict
• High Blood Pressure
• High Staff Turnover
Trend: “Coworking”
Trend: “Coworking”
Cushman & Wakefield | Commerce to Bring
First Shared Executive Office Building to Park
City
Trend: Smaller Leases
Trend: Smaller Leases
Demand and Supply
Trend: Location Matters
• Color
• “Accelerated Serendipity”
• Near cultural amenities
• Near transit options
• Premium locations still matter
• “The City”
Trend: Sustainability
Trend: Sustainability
• “’Embracers’ have better stock prices, better
revenue growth, better everything.” MIT
• Economics
• 20,000 sf @ $18/sf = $360,000
• 15,000 sf @ $20/sf = $300,000
Implications for Value
• Lack of standardized, conceptual approach to
valuing green buildings
• Green premium data of limited use to
appraisers
• Brown discount unaddressed
• Limitations of DCF-based valuation approach
Implications for Value
• Office Demand
• Opportunities
• To Be Competitive
• How Much Space Needed?
• Future Space Needs
• Other Factors Impacting Demand
• Parking
Case Study: Adobe
• Campus helps Adobe win the "talent war“
• “Cross generational“ workforce
• Space demand is a pendulum
• What's more efficient, more sf per work space
or more meeting rooms and amenities?
• Timeless look outside, modular inside
• All about flexibility and variety.
Case Study: 222 Main
• 426,657 square feet
• Completed in December
2009 at a reported cost
of $125 million
• Designed by the
international
architecture firm
Skidmore, Owings &
Merrill
222 Main
222 Main
• SILVER LEED CERTIFICATION
• High performance glazing designed to provide daylight
harvesting
• Designed to operate 15% below the State of Utah
energy code
• Ability to integrate green technology within individual
tenant space
• Building located in a developed urban area with access
to existing infrastructure
• Portable water use for landscape irrigation & internal
use reduced by 50% and 40% respectively
222 Main
Tenants
• Goldman Sachs
• Brinks Hofer Gilson and Lione
• Holland & Hart
• CBRE
• Hamilton Partners
222 Main
222 Main
• KBS Realty purchased for $400/sf, record-
breaking price in Utah
• Key reasons for KBS purchase:
– building’s first-class finishes;
– views of the Wasatch Mountains;
– key location in Salt Lake’s central business district;
– parking facilities; and its
– proximity to TRAX and City Creek shopping mall.
222 Main
"This proves that an
outsider can come in from
out of state and build a
Class A building, lease it in
bad economic times, and
sell it at record-breaking
number for a profit.“
- Bruce Bingham,
developer of 222 Main
Thank You
Peter Carlston
CEO | Principal Broker
801.948.0899 | 650.533.3736
pc@elevationre.com
100 S. Main Street, Suite 609
Salt Lake City, UT 84101
www.elevationre.com

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Impacts of Changing Demand for Office Space

  • 1. Workplace Revolution: The Impacts of Changing Demand for Office Space Appraisal Institute Symposium March 22, 2014 Peter Carlston
  • 2. Peter Carlston CEO | Principal Broker 801.948.0899 | 650.533.3736 pc@elevationre.com 100 S. Main Street, Suite 609 Salt Lake City, UT 84101 www.elevationre.com
  • 3. Sources • Commercial Real Estate Brokerages: Colliers International, CBRE, JLL, Commerce CRG • MIT • NAIOP • Urban Land Institute • CCIM • Appraisal Institute • CoreNet Global • Vendors and Consultants: Steelcase, Others • EDCU, Utah GOPB • Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Forbes • Glassdoor.com • Appraisers • Developers • Corporate real estate directors and clients • University of Utah • USGBC
  • 4. First, a Story Site selection: Any office park will do, good freeway access
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Site selection: Must be close to CalTrain station and hip urban core
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Today’s Presentation • Drivers of Office Demand • Current Trends • Implications for Value
  • 15. Drivers of Office Demand • Tech and Communications Innovation • Younger Workforce and Cultural Changes • Changing Workplace Strategy • Cutting Costs
  • 16. Driver: Innovation • Industrial Age to Knowledge Age • Technology and Communications
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Driver: Younger Workforce • Gen X: mid-60’s to early 80’s • Gen Y / Millennials: 1978-1989 or 1977-2000 0 20 40 60 80 100 Boomers Gen X Millennials
  • 23.
  • 24. Gen X vs Gen Y • Gen X: Latch-key kids • Gen X: Radicals • Gen Y: Most parented generation in history • Gen Y: Happy conformists
  • 25.
  • 26. Millennials • SUPER-Confident (all those trophies) • Crave feedback • Want stimulating, social work • Less materialistic – it’s about Experiences … and then Sharing Them • Highly educated, technologically savvy and ambitious • Connected
  • 27. Millennials At the workplace, Millenials want: • Flexible work hours • Recognition • Social work environment • Cool, creative & inspirational space
  • 28. Millennials • Space is PLACE; key to culture and brand • Vital for attracting and retaining talent!
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Driver: Workplace Strategy • Increased need for collaboration and flexibility
  • 32. Driver: Cutting Costs • Pressure to minimize costs and streamline operations • Corporate real estate managers focus on cutting fixed overhead expenses and increasing efficiency
  • 33. Current Trends • Less Space per Employee • Need More Flexibility • Open Floor Plans for Collaboration • Shared Workplaces: “Coworking” • Location As Important As Ever • Smaller Leases • (New buildings and efficiency / style renovations)
  • 34. Trend: Less Space per Employee 0 50 100 150 200 250 2010 2012 2017 Beyond
  • 35. Trend: Less Space per Employee • Filing space has shrunk from 15 to 20 percent of office space to around 2 to 3 percent in many cases today
  • 36.
  • 37. Trend: Greater Flexibility • Flexibility is a necessary strategy, no longer a perk • Essential to employee retention • American Express: – Hub – Club – Home – Roam
  • 38. Trend: Greater Flexibility • Aetna: • 35,000 employees • 14,500 do not have desks at Aetna • Policies impact 47% of workforce • Rid of 2.7 million square feet of office space • @ $29/sf, company has saved about $78M per year!
  • 39. Trend: Greater Flexibility • Yahoo • “A few years ago it was bring your own device to work, now it's bring your own [butt] to work.” • Collaboration, not telecommuting, is the goal • Innovation doesn’t happen in isolation
  • 40. Trend: Open Floor Plans • “I” space to “We” space • Allocate workspace to issues instead of people
  • 46. Trend: Open Floor Plans • Backlash! • High Stress • Conflict • High Blood Pressure • High Staff Turnover
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. Cushman & Wakefield | Commerce to Bring First Shared Executive Office Building to Park City
  • 52.
  • 55.
  • 57. Trend: Location Matters • Color • “Accelerated Serendipity” • Near cultural amenities • Near transit options • Premium locations still matter • “The City”
  • 59. Trend: Sustainability • “’Embracers’ have better stock prices, better revenue growth, better everything.” MIT • Economics • 20,000 sf @ $18/sf = $360,000 • 15,000 sf @ $20/sf = $300,000
  • 60. Implications for Value • Lack of standardized, conceptual approach to valuing green buildings • Green premium data of limited use to appraisers • Brown discount unaddressed • Limitations of DCF-based valuation approach
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63. Implications for Value • Office Demand • Opportunities • To Be Competitive • How Much Space Needed? • Future Space Needs • Other Factors Impacting Demand • Parking
  • 64. Case Study: Adobe • Campus helps Adobe win the "talent war“ • “Cross generational“ workforce • Space demand is a pendulum • What's more efficient, more sf per work space or more meeting rooms and amenities? • Timeless look outside, modular inside • All about flexibility and variety.
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  • 71. Case Study: 222 Main • 426,657 square feet • Completed in December 2009 at a reported cost of $125 million • Designed by the international architecture firm Skidmore, Owings & Merrill
  • 73. 222 Main • SILVER LEED CERTIFICATION • High performance glazing designed to provide daylight harvesting • Designed to operate 15% below the State of Utah energy code • Ability to integrate green technology within individual tenant space • Building located in a developed urban area with access to existing infrastructure • Portable water use for landscape irrigation & internal use reduced by 50% and 40% respectively
  • 74. 222 Main Tenants • Goldman Sachs • Brinks Hofer Gilson and Lione • Holland & Hart • CBRE • Hamilton Partners
  • 76. 222 Main • KBS Realty purchased for $400/sf, record- breaking price in Utah • Key reasons for KBS purchase: – building’s first-class finishes; – views of the Wasatch Mountains; – key location in Salt Lake’s central business district; – parking facilities; and its – proximity to TRAX and City Creek shopping mall.
  • 77. 222 Main "This proves that an outsider can come in from out of state and build a Class A building, lease it in bad economic times, and sell it at record-breaking number for a profit.“ - Bruce Bingham, developer of 222 Main
  • 79. Peter Carlston CEO | Principal Broker 801.948.0899 | 650.533.3736 pc@elevationre.com 100 S. Main Street, Suite 609 Salt Lake City, UT 84101 www.elevationre.com