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Global Telecoms Insights 2009
 A world of mobile insight
 Karin Du Chenne
 Karin.DuChenne@tns-global.co.za
 March 2009




                                   TNS Copyright   1
GTI 2009 is designed to provide insight into the four key drivers of the
   telecoms market



Consumerisation                                Convergence
                     Why do consumers                          How converged is
                     act the way they do?                      consumer behaviour?
                     What will they do                         And how convergence-
                     next?                                     ready are they?



Mobility                                       Innovation
                     Are consumers using                       Which features and services
                     their mobile potential?                   are positioned for future
                                                               growth?
                     How do different
                     mobile devices and                        Which niche brands will
                     services interact?                        become mass market?




 TNS Copyright
                                                                              2
It looks to understand the evolution of global, regional and local trends in
mobile technology


 32 markets; 20622 respondents; Interviewing Nov/Dec 2008     Regions covered:

                                                              •N America: USA, Canada
                                                              •Europe: UK, France, Germany, Spain,
                                                              Italy, Netherlands, Sweden
                                                              •Dev Asia: Japan, Korea, Hong Kong,
                                                              Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Australia
                                                              •China: China only
                                                              •India: India only
                                                              •Russia: Russia only
                                                              •Emerg Asia: Pakistan, Indonesia,
                                                              Vietnam, Thailand
                                                              •Lat Am: Mexico, Brazil, Argentina
                                                              •N Africa: Morocco, Egypt
                                                              •M East: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait
                                                              •S Africa: South Africa only

                                                              New markets for ‘09: Singapore,
                                                              Malaysia, Pakistan
                                                              Markets omitted : Algeria




TNS Copyright
                                                                                  3
THE BIG
                       PICTURE
                What do you need to know?




TNS Copyright                          4
THE BRAND FACTOR
What is the current state of the consumer-brand
relationship?




                                TNS Copyright     5
TNS uses a set of questions to calculate the level of ‘involvement’ a
consumer has in the mobile phone sector


An ‘involved’ consumer is categorised as displaying some of the following behaviours:


 Chooses quality over price



    Brand is an important
     driver of purchase

                                         ‘Involved’ and ‘Uninvolved’ consumers are different
                                         and by understanding the level of involvement,
   High levels of research
      prior to purchase                  local market strategies can be developed

    Active pursuit of new
    products and services


  Engages in discussions
 with friends and colleagues
TNS Copyright
The mobile phone sector continues to engage consumers, although
    sector involvement is regional

      % ‘Involved consumers’                              Level of sector involvement – mobile phones




                                  61
           55




                                                              High involvement               Average involvement                  Low involvement
         2008                   2009


Involvement segmentation: See slide 5 for explanation. Measure defines level of consumer involvement in the mobile phone sector
(Highly involved +8%, Involved within 8%; Uninvolved -8% on global average)
2008 Base: All mobile users; 13468
2009 TNS Copyright users; 17264 1439 333 451 373 460 437 473 492 536 557 489 607 498 494 433 523 2031 724 325 379 432
      Bases: All mobile
                                                                                                                                            7
706 325 349 361 447 506 368 496 377 393 450
TNS Conversion Model profiles the consumer relationship with individual
brands, both handset and network providers

                                                               NON-USERS
                  USERS




                                                                            Weakly            Strongly
                                                  Available   Ambivalent
Entrenched      Average   Shallow   Convertible
                                                                           Unavailable       Unavailable




    Committed                Uncommitted                   Open                  Unavailable
   Brand Users               Brand Users                 Non-Users               Non-Users



TNS Copyright
                                                                                         8
Conversion Model also profiles the relationships with mobile phones
brands generally

Consumers are asked a series of questions based on their current use of brands and
attitudes to competitors, and are placed in appropriate segments

                            •   Strong attachment to one brand
        Single-minded



                            •   Committed, but less interested in general
            Passive



     Shared (committed /
                            •   Equally attracted to two or more brands
        uncommitted



                            •   Unhappy with current brand
            Seekers



                            •   Do not care which brand they use
         Uninterested

TNS Copyright
                                                                            9
As single-minded commitment to brands is declining, substantial
    numbers are openly looking to switch

      Relationship with mobile handset brands
                                             Single-minded                         Shared              Passive              Seekers              Uninterested
   %                                                                                                                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                                                                 2                2
                                                      4                                                     4                                                                 4
                                                                                                                       7                                                                  7
               8                                                                                                                                                              1
                           11                                                                                                                                                                          9
                                                                               12                                                 13                                          4
                                                                                                                       1
                                        16                                                                                                                    12                          3
                                                                                            17                                               14
                                                                  21                                                   5
                                                  15                                                                                                                                                   3
                                                                                                        21                                                                                             4
              17                                                                                                                                                  5
                           14                                                                                                                    4
                                                                               13                                                 15
                                                      5                                                                                                           6
                                                                                                                                                 6
                                        19            6                                                     4
                                                                                            21
               7            8
                                                                                                            6
                                                                               14
                                                                  24
               5
                                                                                                                                  19
                           10
                                        11                                         4           6
                                                                                               5
                                        4                           9                                                                6
                                                                                                                                                                             91           91
                                                                    4                                                  87                                                                              83
                                                                                                                                                              75
                                                                                                                                             73
                                                  71
                                                                                                        65
              63
                           58                                                  56
                                        50                                                  49                                    48
                                                                  42




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E: Conversion model brand segmentation: See slide 5 for explanation. Measure defines commitment of consumers to brands in the
mobile handset sector
2008 TNS Copyright
     Base: All mobile users; 12489                                                                                                                                                                          Local market
                                                                                                                                                                                              10
2009 Bases: All mobile users; 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 724 2031 523 1380 1513 1370 808 393                                                                                                              data cuts
Nokia continues to dominate global brand commitment


      % of committed users                                         Committed           Uncommitted           Open          Unavailable / Unaware

                                                                              Users                Non-users
       2008                 2009

        77%                  78%                                               35          6    16             42
                                                         Nokia



        49%                  49%                                                        8 5 10                       75
                                                     Samsung



        53%                  54%                                                       8 6 10
                                                      Motorola                                                       76



        52%                  56%                                                         7 3 11                       79
                                              Sony Ericsson



                                                                                         44 5                        87
        47%                  50%                             LG




E: Conversion model brand segmentation: See slide 5 for explanation. Measure defines commitment of consumers to brands in the
mobile handset sector
‘% of committed users’ calculated by dividing the number of committed users by the total number of users
2008 TNS Copyright
      Base: All mobile users; 13468                                                                                                                Local market
                                                                                                                                          11
2009 Bases: All mobile users; 17264                                                                                                                  data cuts
Nokia remains the dominant global player, particularly in emerging markets

     Brand market share
                              Nokia           Samsung                   Motorola                 Sony Ericsson                     LG        Apple              Other
                                                                                                                                                                                            1
                                                                                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                                                                                           0
                                                                                                                                                            5                               4
                                                                                                                                                                           5
                                                                                                                                             11             3
                                                                                                      14                           14
                                                                15                                                                                                         2
                                                                                            18                                                              4              3
                                      21
          24       24                                                                                                                                                                   12
%                                                 27
                            29                                                                                                                              6
                                                                   1                                                               3         11
                                                                                                                      34
                                                                   4                                      8
                                                                                            2                                      7
                                         4                                                                                                               12
          1                                                                                               7
                                                                              52                                                   4
                    5                                                                       13
                                                                16
                                                      3
          7                              8
                             1                                                                                                               17                                         25
                                                                                                                                   8
                                                                                                          7
                    8       10                                                                                         2
          9                                                                                 8                          5
                                                                                                          6
                                         12                        9
                                                      24
                   15       10
          12                                                                                                          14
                                         11                                                 20
                                                                16                                                                           28
                                                      3                          6
                            12                                                                                                                                         89
          12       13                                                                                                 12
                                                                                 8
                                                                                                                                                         70
                                                      25                         5                                                 64
                            15                                                                                                                   8
                                                                                                          59                                                                            56
                                                                              13
                                         44                     40                          39
          36       35                                                                                                 34
                                                      14                                                                                     26
                            24
                                                                              17
                                                      7




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A5: Brand of main handset
2008 TNS Copyright
     Base: All mobile users; 13468                                                                                                                                                              Local market
                                                                                                                                                                               12
2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 523 2031 724 1513 1380 808 1370 393                                                                                                  data cuts
THE PURCHASE DECISION
PROCESS
How do consumers decide what they will buy?




                              TNS Copyright   13
Distress purchases continue to drive purchase decisions, requiring
    effective mechanisms to be in place to react to these urgent needs


 % Main trigger for purchasing last phone
             6     4     4     8     2    4     4     6                   7        5         11   7
                                                2
                                     4                                                  10
                         3
                   1                                  0                                           0    11   Gave away old phone
             2                            3           2
                                                5                                  2
                                                                          1                   2
                               1                                                                  6
                                                                          0        2
                   6                                                                     1    3
             6                                                                           0
                                                               24
                                                5
                               5                                                                        0
                        12          12                14                                 7
                                                                          8                   8
                                                                                   7                    7
             6     4                      16                                                      15        Given phone by employer                 ‘Convenience’
                                                14
                              10                                                        8
                         6                                                5
                                                                1                  5
                                     8
                   6                                                                                   7
            10                                                                               19                                                        triggers
                         9                6                    13                                      6    Given phone by network provider
                                    10
                                          5                                                  14
                                                      46
                                                37                                 25
                                                               13     30
                              37                                                                            Given phone by friends
                                                                                             11        20
                                                                                        41
            37                                                                                    47
                  33
                        36          31                                                                      Dissatisfied with previous phone
                                                                                             24
                                                9
                                          39                   31                                                                                     ‘Distress’
                                                                                                            Phone stopped working
                                                15                                                                                                     triggers
                         6           7                                                                 35
            20                                        32                           34
                              31                                                        24
                                                                      33                          23
                                                                                             42
                  16                                                                                        Phone lost/stolen
                        10          10
                                          4
                                                27
             8                            6           7        32                                           Wanted a phone that was better looking
                   4                                                                              8
                               6
                        18                                                              12             4
                                    18                                             2
            14                            13                                       5
                                                                          6                            6
                   8                                  14                                          12
                              11                                                                                                                        ‘Want’
                                                                                                            Wanted a phone with more features
                                                                                        11
                                                                          5                  37
                                                               2                                                                                       triggers
                                                26             5                   15
                        17                                                                             15
                                    14
            15    11          13          12          15                                          14
                                                                          9             10
                                                               7                                            Wanted a phone with latest technology
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A11: Trigger to change to current mobile phone
2009 TNS Copyright
     Bases: All who have owned more than one mobile: 14016 6757 10507 7873 6143 1559 2950 3364 574 753                                                 Local market
                                                                                                                                          14
494 1190 1033 1158 669 272                                                                                                                               data cuts
Internet consumer reviews are becoming an important source of
     information for consumers in developed markets
                  All sources of information consulted when looking to buy a mobile phone
   %                                           (2008)
                      Global                                       Developed                    Emerging                (2008)
                                                                                       (2008)
     Speak w ith                                (42%)                                                                   (55%)
                                                                                       (25%)                       64
                                         53                                      34
 friends/colleagues
                                                                                                                                  Word of
        Online                                  (N/A)                                                                   (N/A)
                                                                                                4
                                                                                       (N/A)
                      6                                            10
                                                                                                                                  mouth
     blogs/forum s
Internet consum er                              (N/A)                                                                   (N/A)
                                                                                       (N/A)    8
                           15                                               27
      review s

                                                (37%)                                                                   (41%)
                                                                                       (31%)                  46
                                    43                                            36
     Store displays

  Speak w ith store                             (35%)                                                                   (45%)
                                                                                                              50
                                                                                       (21%)
                                    42                                       30
       staff

                                                                                                                                   Retail
      Manufacturer                              (15%)                                                                   (11%)
                                                                                                8
                                                                                       (21%)
                          15                                                25
        w ebsite

  Netw ork provider                             (14%)                                                                   (10%)
                                                                                       (20%)    8
                          14                                                24
      w ebsite

 Telecom s retailer                             (N/A)                                                                   (N/A)
                                                                                       (N/A)    5
                       8                                               12
     w ebsite

                                                (18%)                                                                   (18%)
                                                                                                    13
                                                                                       (19%)
                           17                                               23
       Prom otions
                                                                                                                                 Marketing /
                                                                                                                                    ads
                                                (15%)                                                                   (21%)
                                                                                                         23
                                                                                       (8%)
                           19                                          11
      New spapers


                                                (14%)                                                                   (20%)
                                                                                       (4%)              27
                           19                                      6
                TV

   Contact service                              (2%)                                                                    (3%)
                                                                                       (2%)     2
                   3                                               3
       centre

         Previous                               (21%)                                                                   (21%)
                                                                                                     18
                                                                                       (22%)
                               23                                                32
        experience

A12: Sources of information consulted when buying a mobile phone
2008 TNS Copyright 5793
     Bases: 12489 6696                                                                                                                Local market
                                                                                                                            15
2009 Bases: All mobile users: 18482 8655 9827                                                                                           data cuts
Mobile music is a rapidly growing driver of choice, particularly in
    emerging markets
                    Most important features when choosing mobile phone
                                                                                                                (2008)
                                           (2008)
  %            Global                                              Developed                Emerging
                                                                                   (2008)
                                            (40%)                                  (38%)                        (42%)
                           41                                                 37                           43
Still camera
                                                                                                                          Imaging
     Video                                  (15%)                                  (11%)                        (22%)
                    18                                               8                               24
    camera

                                            (39%)                                  (51%)                        (24%)
                          34                                                  40                      31
       SMS

                                                                                                                         Messaging
                                            (6%)                                   (8%)                         (5%)
                 14                                                     14                      14
       MMS

     Mobile
                                            (7%)                                   (8%)                         (7%)
                9                                                    11                      8
     email

                                            (10%)                                  (12%)                        (8%)
                     21                                                  15                          24
       MP3
                                                                                                                           Music
    FM / AM
                                            (12%)                                  (6%)                         (7%)
                     19                                              8                               26
     Radio

                                            (15%)                                  (18%)                        (14%)
                    15                                                   17                  13
   Bluetooth


                                            (4%)                                   (7%)                         (2%)
                8                                                    12                     6
        GPS


                                            (11%)                                  (7%)                         (17%)
               8                                                    5                        11
     Games

     Mobile
                                            (6%)                                   (6%)                         (6%)
               8                                                     11                     7
    internet



A24: Most important features when looking to buy next mobile phones (top-3)
2008 TNS Copyright 5793
     Bases: 12489 6696                                                                                                       Local market
                                                                                                                    16
2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742                                                                                  data cuts
Retail channels in emerging markets are still heavily fragmented across
     multiple channels, offering opportunities for large retailers to consolidate

       Sources of purchase for last mobile phone
               3         3         4        1          3            2         1          3           2
                                                                                                     1        3   1    1    1
                                                                                                                            2    5
                                                            6                                                     5    7
                                                                                         3
   %                                                                                                          3
                                                                    8                                                                 Telesales
               6         5                                                                                                  5
                                                                                                              1
                                                                                         4
                                                                           15
                                            11
                         1
               1                                                                                                            1
                                                       13
                                   13                               3                                                  7
                                                                                                 16
                                                                                                                  15
                                                                                         8                13
               9         10                                 16
                                                                                                                                                                   Other
                                                                                                                                      Internet
                                   1                                13
                                                       6
                                            11                                                                                   29
                                                                                                                            18
                                   5                                                                                   13
                                                                           13
                                                            1
               10                                      3
                         8                                                                                        8
                                   7                   2                                         12
                                                            5                            19               12
                                                                                                                                      Open air market
                                            8                       11        6                                        8
                         7
               7                                            7
                                   7                                                                              10        9
                                                                                                              3
                                                                              5
                                                                                                                                 7
                                                            7                                                                         Generalist store
                                            15                                                                    5
                                                                                                                                 5
                                                                                         17
                         23
               28
                                                                                                                                      Consumer electronics store
                                                                    50                                                      33
                                                       63                                                                        25
                                   50                                                                     46                                                       Retail
                                                                                                 56                                   Manufacturer store
                                                                                                                       59
                                                            40             56
                                                                                                                                                                   stores
                                                                                                                  46
                                            43
                                                                                         39
                                                                                                                                      Network provider store
                         31
               29
                                                                                                                                 19
                                                                                                                            13
                                                                                                                                      Independent retailer
                                                                    12
                                   6                        6                                                 6
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A9: Source of last phone purchase
2008 TNS Copyright
     Base: All mobile users: 12489                                                                                                                                  Local market
                                                                                                                                                             17
2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 724 2031 523 1380 1513 1370 808 393                                                                      data cuts
USAGE:
THE CONSUMER ANGLE
 How do consumers use their phone?




 TNS Copyright                       18
Smartphones are moving from a niche desirable towards mass market
      penetration levels, especially in Developed Asia


          % of mobile users with a Smartphone




                                                                                        34
                                                                                                   30
                                                                  27
                                         25
                                                                                                                                                               21
               20                                  18                         17                                                  15                                                          15
                                                                                                                         14
                            13
                                                                                                               6                                    5                          3




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A22. Ownership of Smartphones (defined on feature-set of current mobile phone. See study overview for details)
2009 TNS Copyright users: 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 724 2031 523 1380 1513 1370 808 393
     Bases: All mobile                                                                                                                                                                   Local market
                                                                                                                                                                        19                 data cuts
Messaging capabilities are diversifying to include MMS, email and IM

                             % using
                                                                                    (2008)
                                            (2008)                                                           (2008)
                             Global                            Developed                     Emerging
                                                                                    (69%)
                                                                               77                       82
                                       80   (78%)
                     SMS                                                                                     (84%)

                                                                                    (37%)
                                                                          48                       35
                                            (36%)
                                  40                                                                         (35%)
           MMS (pictures)


                                                                                    (17%)
                                                                    24                            28
                                            (18%)                                                            (19%)
                               26
             MMS (video)


                                                                                                                       Messaging
                                                                                    (14%)
                                                                    18                       13
                                            (11%)                                                            (9%)
                 Pull email 15


                                                                                    (6%)
                                                                12                           10
                                            (5%)                                                             (4%)
               Push email 12


                                                                                    (5%)
                                                                13                           13
                                            (8%)
        Instant Messaging 13                                                                                 (10%)

                                                                                    (30%)
                                                                         35                        36
                                            (27%)
                                  36                                                                         (24%)
                Bluetooth

                                                                                                                       Connecting
                                                                                    (9%)
                                                                16                           8
                                            (5%)                                                             (3%)
           3G capabilities 11


                                                                                    (4%)
                                            (3%)               10                            6               (2%)
                      WiFi 8

                                                                                                                           Internet
                                                                                    (N/A)
                                            (N/A)                   19                                       (N/A)
                                                                                             15
       Dedicated brow ser 16


                                                                                    (N/A)
                                            (N/A)                                                            (N/A)
                                                                    23                       14
                             17
Netw ork provider brow ser


                                                                                    (4%)
                                            (3%)                                                             (2%)
                                                                5                            3
                 Blogging 3


A22+B1: Use of connectivity features and services on mobile phone
2008 TNS Copyright users: 12489 6696 5793
     Bases: All mobile                                                                                                           Local market
                                                                                                                      20
2009 Bases: All mobile users: 15479 7114 8365                                                                                      data cuts
While there is plenty of room for new messaging forms to grow, they are
    not being used as frequently as SMS
         Daily users            Weekly users                               Infrequent users              White space (interested non-users)             Rejectors
                                                                                                                                                        %
                        SMS                                                         54                                       17           9              10        7
                 %
             MMS (pictures)             8                            13                  19                             37                                    18


                MMS (video)         5                8                         13                               42                                      24


                                                                                                                                                                        Messaging
                  Pull email        6            4               5                                       47                                        28


                 Push email         4       3        4                                             47                                         30


          Instant Messaging         5            3           4                                     44                                         30


                  Bluetooth                 11                            12             12                            37                                    19

                                                                                                                                                                        Connecting
              3G capabilities       5        3           3                                          46                                         27


                        WiFi    3       2    3                                                47                                              30


                                                                                                                                                                            Internet
         Dedicated brow ser             6            5               5                                    45                                       28


  Netw ork provider brow ser        5        4                   8                                       42                                   30


                   Blogging 1 1 1                                                   41                                               39




A22+A23+B2+B4: Use of connectivity features and services on mobile phone + interest from non-users
2009 TNS Copyright users: 17264
     Bases: All mobile                                                                                                                                                 21
The mobile internet is critical for giving emerging markets users access
    to mobile entertainment and music
                           % visiting mobile internet site
                                                       (2008)                                                                     (2008)
                                                                                             (2008)
                           Global                                Developed                            Emerging
                                                                                        38                                   31
                                                  34     (42%)                                                                    (46%)
                                                                                             (37%)
               Search


                                                                                                                                            Connecting
                                                                              20                                   19
                                        20               (16%)                                                                    (16%)
                                                                                             (16%)
    Social net working


                                                                 1                                    3
                           2                             (N/A)                                                                    (N/A)
                                                                                             (N/A)
       Virt ual worlds


                                                                         13                               8
                                   11                    (14%)                                                                    (17%)
                                                                                             (9%)
            Shopping


                                                                                                                                            Purchasing
                                                                         13                           2
                               8                         (10%)                                                                    (7%)
                                                                                             (11%)
        Auct ion sit es


                                                                 5                                    1
                           3                             (5%)                                                                     (2%)
                                                                                             (6%)
            Gambling


                                                                         14                                             25
                                        20               (30%)                                                                    (38%)
                M usic                                                                       (26%)

                                                                     6                                              20
                                   14                    (19%)                                                                    (21%)
                                                                                             (12%)
        Ent ert ainment


                                                                                                                                                Media
                                                                     8                                        12
                               10                        (N/A)                                                                    (N/A)
                                                                                             (N/A)
          Video sit es


                                                                 4                                        6
                           5                             (N/A)                                                                    (N/A)
         Pict ure sit es                                                                     (N/A)

                                                                 1                                    1
                           1                             (N/A)                                                                    (N/A)
                                                                                             (N/A)
                 Adult


                                                                                   27                                    27
                                             27          (30%)                                                                    (28%)
                                                                                             (31%)
                 News


                                                                                   27                     6
                                    16                   (25%)                                                                    (11%)
                                                                                             (34%)
             Weat her


                                                                                                                                            Information
                                                                          16                                   14
                                    15                   (18%)                                                                    (18%)
                                                                                             (18%)
                Sport


                                                                         11                                   11
                                   11                    (16%)                                                                    (20%)
                                                                                             (13%)
               Games


                                                                     8                                    7
                               8                         (12%)                                                                    (14%)
                                                                                             (11%)
     Business/ f inance


                                                                 2                                    3
                           2                             (6%)                                                                     (9%)
                                                                                             (4%)
          Aut omotive


                                                                 3                                    4
                           3                             (6%)                                                                     (8%)
                                                                                             (5%)
                Healt h


                                                                     7                                4
                               6                         (9%)                                                                     (6%)
                                                                                             (11%)
                Travel

A33: Websites visited on mobile phone
2008 TNS Copyright internet users: 9640 6337 3303
     Bases: All mobile
                                                                                                                                           22
2009 Bases: All mobile internet users: 6792 4789 2003
Mobile music continues to boom with mobile gaming somewhat stagnant

                                         % using
                                                                                                                (2008)
                                                                               (2008)
                                                   (2008)
                                     Global                    Developed                Emerging
                                                                                                                (49%)
                                                                               (64%)                       53
                                                                          71
                                         59        (55%)
      Still camera


                                                                                                                (33%)
                                                                               (31%)                  43
                                                                     40
                                    42             (32%)
   Video camera

       Do wnlo ad
                                                                                                                          Imaging /
                                                                                                                (5%)
                                                                               (3%)     6
                      5                                        3
                                                   (4%)
       TV/Video

                                                                                                                            video
        Sidelo ad
                                                                                                                (9%)
                                                                               (5%)     9
                                                   (7%)
                      8                                        5
        TV/Video

                                                                                                                (3%)
                                                                               (5%)     9
                                                   (4%)        14
                      11
          Live TV

 Lo ad graphics &
                                                                                                                (19%)
                                                                               (12%)
                                                   (15%)                                10
                          17                                   10
     themes

                                                                                                                (35%)
                                                                               (25%)        16
                                                   (31%)            31
                                38
      M P 3 player


                                                                                                                (27%)
                                                                               (14%)
                                                   (22%)                                              42
                               28                              14
  FM /A M Radio


                                                                                                                (19%)
                                                                               (11%)
                                                   (15%)                                          36                          Music
                                                               9
                          17
Do wnlo ad music


                                                                                                                (28%)
                                                                               (16%)
                                                   (22%)                                     21
                           26                                  5
  Sidelo ad music


                                                                                                                (27%)
                                                                               (20%)
                                                   (24%)                                         30
                                                               17
                           25
  Lo ad ringto nes


                                                                                                                (22%)
                                                                               (14%)
                                                   (18%)                                11
                          18                                   11
Lo ad caller tunes

                                                                                                                (57%)
                                                                               (38%)
                                                   (48%)                                              40
                                                                    37
                                    46                                                                                        Gaming
      P lay games


                                                                                                                (11%)
                                                                               (10%)
                                                   (10%)                                 14
                      10                                       9
Do wnlo ad games

                                                                                                                (12%)
                                                                               (7%)
                                                   (10%)                                         29
                                                               7
                      11
 Sidelo ad games

                                                                                                                (N/A)
                                                                               (N/A)
 Uplo ad co ntent
                                                   (N/A)
                      9                                                                      22
                                                               9
to mo bile internet

                                                                                                                (N/A)
                                                                               (N/A)
  Uplo ad co ntent
                                                   (N/A)                                     21
                                                                   25
                          19
       to P C

A22+B1: Use of content features and services on mobile phone
2008 TNS Copyright users: 12489 6696 5793
     Bases: All mobile                                                                                                                Local market
                                                                                                                         23
2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742                                                                                           data cuts
Karin Du Chenne Tns Research Surveys
Karin Du Chenne Tns Research Surveys
Karin Du Chenne Tns Research Surveys
Karin Du Chenne Tns Research Surveys
Karin Du Chenne Tns Research Surveys

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Karin Du Chenne Tns Research Surveys

  • 1. Global Telecoms Insights 2009 A world of mobile insight Karin Du Chenne Karin.DuChenne@tns-global.co.za March 2009 TNS Copyright 1
  • 2. GTI 2009 is designed to provide insight into the four key drivers of the telecoms market Consumerisation Convergence Why do consumers How converged is act the way they do? consumer behaviour? What will they do And how convergence- next? ready are they? Mobility Innovation Are consumers using Which features and services their mobile potential? are positioned for future growth? How do different mobile devices and Which niche brands will services interact? become mass market? TNS Copyright 2
  • 3. It looks to understand the evolution of global, regional and local trends in mobile technology 32 markets; 20622 respondents; Interviewing Nov/Dec 2008 Regions covered: •N America: USA, Canada •Europe: UK, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Netherlands, Sweden •Dev Asia: Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Australia •China: China only •India: India only •Russia: Russia only •Emerg Asia: Pakistan, Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand •Lat Am: Mexico, Brazil, Argentina •N Africa: Morocco, Egypt •M East: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait •S Africa: South Africa only New markets for ‘09: Singapore, Malaysia, Pakistan Markets omitted : Algeria TNS Copyright 3
  • 4. THE BIG PICTURE What do you need to know? TNS Copyright 4
  • 5. THE BRAND FACTOR What is the current state of the consumer-brand relationship? TNS Copyright 5
  • 6. TNS uses a set of questions to calculate the level of ‘involvement’ a consumer has in the mobile phone sector An ‘involved’ consumer is categorised as displaying some of the following behaviours: Chooses quality over price Brand is an important driver of purchase ‘Involved’ and ‘Uninvolved’ consumers are different and by understanding the level of involvement, High levels of research prior to purchase local market strategies can be developed Active pursuit of new products and services Engages in discussions with friends and colleagues TNS Copyright
  • 7. The mobile phone sector continues to engage consumers, although sector involvement is regional % ‘Involved consumers’ Level of sector involvement – mobile phones 61 55 High involvement Average involvement Low involvement 2008 2009 Involvement segmentation: See slide 5 for explanation. Measure defines level of consumer involvement in the mobile phone sector (Highly involved +8%, Involved within 8%; Uninvolved -8% on global average) 2008 Base: All mobile users; 13468 2009 TNS Copyright users; 17264 1439 333 451 373 460 437 473 492 536 557 489 607 498 494 433 523 2031 724 325 379 432 Bases: All mobile 7 706 325 349 361 447 506 368 496 377 393 450
  • 8. TNS Conversion Model profiles the consumer relationship with individual brands, both handset and network providers NON-USERS USERS Weakly Strongly Available Ambivalent Entrenched Average Shallow Convertible Unavailable Unavailable Committed Uncommitted Open Unavailable Brand Users Brand Users Non-Users Non-Users TNS Copyright 8
  • 9. Conversion Model also profiles the relationships with mobile phones brands generally Consumers are asked a series of questions based on their current use of brands and attitudes to competitors, and are placed in appropriate segments • Strong attachment to one brand Single-minded • Committed, but less interested in general Passive Shared (committed / • Equally attracted to two or more brands uncommitted • Unhappy with current brand Seekers • Do not care which brand they use Uninterested TNS Copyright 9
  • 10. As single-minded commitment to brands is declining, substantial numbers are openly looking to switch Relationship with mobile handset brands Single-minded Shared Passive Seekers Uninterested % 1 2 2 4 4 4 7 7 8 1 11 9 12 13 4 1 16 12 3 17 14 21 5 15 3 21 4 17 5 14 4 13 15 5 6 6 19 6 4 21 7 8 6 14 24 5 19 10 11 4 6 5 4 9 6 91 91 4 87 83 75 73 71 65 63 58 56 50 49 48 42 m ca a a na a a t a 9 8 ng a pe ed s ic ic si si si di 00 00 tA Ea i hi gi fr fr ro er us A A In op La l2 l2 A C A er m Eu g M ev R el ba ba er S N Em A ev D Em lo lo N D G G E: Conversion model brand segmentation: See slide 5 for explanation. Measure defines commitment of consumers to brands in the mobile handset sector 2008 TNS Copyright Base: All mobile users; 12489 Local market 10 2009 Bases: All mobile users; 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 724 2031 523 1380 1513 1370 808 393 data cuts
  • 11. Nokia continues to dominate global brand commitment % of committed users Committed Uncommitted Open Unavailable / Unaware Users Non-users 2008 2009 77% 78% 35 6 16 42 Nokia 49% 49% 8 5 10 75 Samsung 53% 54% 8 6 10 Motorola 76 52% 56% 7 3 11 79 Sony Ericsson 44 5 87 47% 50% LG E: Conversion model brand segmentation: See slide 5 for explanation. Measure defines commitment of consumers to brands in the mobile handset sector ‘% of committed users’ calculated by dividing the number of committed users by the total number of users 2008 TNS Copyright Base: All mobile users; 13468 Local market 11 2009 Bases: All mobile users; 17264 data cuts
  • 12. Nokia remains the dominant global player, particularly in emerging markets Brand market share Nokia Samsung Motorola Sony Ericsson LG Apple Other 1 2 0 5 4 5 11 3 14 14 15 2 18 4 3 21 24 24 12 % 27 29 6 1 3 11 34 4 8 2 7 4 12 1 7 52 4 5 13 16 3 7 8 1 17 25 8 7 8 10 2 9 8 5 6 12 9 24 15 10 12 14 11 20 16 28 3 6 12 89 12 13 12 8 70 25 5 64 15 8 59 56 13 44 40 39 36 35 34 14 26 24 17 7 st a a pe ia 9 8 ca m a ng a d a a si 00 00 ric si in di ic pe As Ea tA fri ro gi s A Ch er In l2 l2 Af Ru lo La er A Eu M v g Am ba ba ve De er N Em S lo lo Em De N G G A5: Brand of main handset 2008 TNS Copyright Base: All mobile users; 13468 Local market 12 2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 523 2031 724 1513 1380 808 1370 393 data cuts
  • 13. THE PURCHASE DECISION PROCESS How do consumers decide what they will buy? TNS Copyright 13
  • 14. Distress purchases continue to drive purchase decisions, requiring effective mechanisms to be in place to react to these urgent needs % Main trigger for purchasing last phone 6 4 4 8 2 4 4 6 7 5 11 7 2 4 10 3 1 0 0 11 Gave away old phone 2 3 2 5 2 1 2 1 6 0 2 6 1 3 6 0 24 5 5 0 12 12 14 7 8 8 7 7 6 4 16 15 Given phone by employer ‘Convenience’ 14 10 8 6 5 1 5 8 6 7 10 19 triggers 9 6 13 6 Given phone by network provider 10 5 14 46 37 25 13 30 37 Given phone by friends 11 20 41 37 47 33 36 31 Dissatisfied with previous phone 24 9 39 31 ‘Distress’ Phone stopped working 15 triggers 6 7 35 20 32 34 31 24 33 23 42 16 Phone lost/stolen 10 10 4 27 8 6 7 32 Wanted a phone that was better looking 4 8 6 18 12 4 18 2 14 13 5 6 6 8 14 12 11 ‘Want’ Wanted a phone with more features 11 5 37 2 triggers 26 5 15 17 15 14 15 11 13 12 15 14 9 10 7 Wanted a phone with latest technology m a a a na st a a a ng a ) ) pe ed 09 08 ic ic ic si si si di tA Ea hi gi fr fr ro er us A A In op 20 20 La A C A er m Eu g M ev R el l( l( er S N Em A ev D ba ba Em N D lo lo G G A11: Trigger to change to current mobile phone 2009 TNS Copyright Bases: All who have owned more than one mobile: 14016 6757 10507 7873 6143 1559 2950 3364 574 753 Local market 14 494 1190 1033 1158 669 272 data cuts
  • 15. Internet consumer reviews are becoming an important source of information for consumers in developed markets All sources of information consulted when looking to buy a mobile phone % (2008) Global Developed Emerging (2008) (2008) Speak w ith (42%) (55%) (25%) 64 53 34 friends/colleagues Word of Online (N/A) (N/A) 4 (N/A) 6 10 mouth blogs/forum s Internet consum er (N/A) (N/A) (N/A) 8 15 27 review s (37%) (41%) (31%) 46 43 36 Store displays Speak w ith store (35%) (45%) 50 (21%) 42 30 staff Retail Manufacturer (15%) (11%) 8 (21%) 15 25 w ebsite Netw ork provider (14%) (10%) (20%) 8 14 24 w ebsite Telecom s retailer (N/A) (N/A) (N/A) 5 8 12 w ebsite (18%) (18%) 13 (19%) 17 23 Prom otions Marketing / ads (15%) (21%) 23 (8%) 19 11 New spapers (14%) (20%) (4%) 27 19 6 TV Contact service (2%) (3%) (2%) 2 3 3 centre Previous (21%) (21%) 18 (22%) 23 32 experience A12: Sources of information consulted when buying a mobile phone 2008 TNS Copyright 5793 Bases: 12489 6696 Local market 15 2009 Bases: All mobile users: 18482 8655 9827 data cuts
  • 16. Mobile music is a rapidly growing driver of choice, particularly in emerging markets Most important features when choosing mobile phone (2008) (2008) % Global Developed Emerging (2008) (40%) (38%) (42%) 41 37 43 Still camera Imaging Video (15%) (11%) (22%) 18 8 24 camera (39%) (51%) (24%) 34 40 31 SMS Messaging (6%) (8%) (5%) 14 14 14 MMS Mobile (7%) (8%) (7%) 9 11 8 email (10%) (12%) (8%) 21 15 24 MP3 Music FM / AM (12%) (6%) (7%) 19 8 26 Radio (15%) (18%) (14%) 15 17 13 Bluetooth (4%) (7%) (2%) 8 12 6 GPS (11%) (7%) (17%) 8 5 11 Games Mobile (6%) (6%) (6%) 8 11 7 internet A24: Most important features when looking to buy next mobile phones (top-3) 2008 TNS Copyright 5793 Bases: 12489 6696 Local market 16 2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742 data cuts
  • 17. Retail channels in emerging markets are still heavily fragmented across multiple channels, offering opportunities for large retailers to consolidate Sources of purchase for last mobile phone 3 3 4 1 3 2 1 3 2 1 3 1 1 1 2 5 6 5 7 3 % 3 8 Telesales 6 5 5 1 4 15 11 1 1 1 13 13 3 7 16 15 8 13 9 10 16 Other Internet 1 13 6 11 29 18 5 13 13 1 10 3 8 8 7 2 12 5 19 12 Open air market 8 11 6 8 7 7 7 7 10 9 3 5 7 7 Generalist store 15 5 5 17 23 28 Consumer electronics store 50 33 63 25 50 46 Retail 56 Manufacturer store 59 40 56 stores 46 43 39 Network provider store 31 29 19 13 Independent retailer 12 6 6 6 1 m ca a a na a a st a 9 8 ng a pe ed ic ic si si si di tA 00 00 Ea i hi gi fr fr ro us er A A In op La l2 l2 A C A er m Eu g M ev R el ba ba er S N Em A ev D Em lo lo N D G G A9: Source of last phone purchase 2008 TNS Copyright Base: All mobile users: 12489 Local market 17 2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 724 2031 523 1380 1513 1370 808 393 data cuts
  • 18. USAGE: THE CONSUMER ANGLE How do consumers use their phone? TNS Copyright 18
  • 19. Smartphones are moving from a niche desirable towards mass market penetration levels, especially in Developed Asia % of mobile users with a Smartphone 34 30 27 25 21 20 18 17 15 15 14 13 6 5 3 m ca a a na a a t a 9 8 ng a pe ed s ic ic si si si di tA 00 00 Ea i hi gi fr fr ro us er A A In op La l2 l2 A C A er m Eu g M ev R el ba ba er S N Em A ev D Em lo lo N D G G A22. Ownership of Smartphones (defined on feature-set of current mobile phone. See study overview for details) 2009 TNS Copyright users: 17264 8522 8742 1772 3222 3528 724 2031 523 1380 1513 1370 808 393 Bases: All mobile Local market 19 data cuts
  • 20. Messaging capabilities are diversifying to include MMS, email and IM % using (2008) (2008) (2008) Global Developed Emerging (69%) 77 82 80 (78%) SMS (84%) (37%) 48 35 (36%) 40 (35%) MMS (pictures) (17%) 24 28 (18%) (19%) 26 MMS (video) Messaging (14%) 18 13 (11%) (9%) Pull email 15 (6%) 12 10 (5%) (4%) Push email 12 (5%) 13 13 (8%) Instant Messaging 13 (10%) (30%) 35 36 (27%) 36 (24%) Bluetooth Connecting (9%) 16 8 (5%) (3%) 3G capabilities 11 (4%) (3%) 10 6 (2%) WiFi 8 Internet (N/A) (N/A) 19 (N/A) 15 Dedicated brow ser 16 (N/A) (N/A) (N/A) 23 14 17 Netw ork provider brow ser (4%) (3%) (2%) 5 3 Blogging 3 A22+B1: Use of connectivity features and services on mobile phone 2008 TNS Copyright users: 12489 6696 5793 Bases: All mobile Local market 20 2009 Bases: All mobile users: 15479 7114 8365 data cuts
  • 21. While there is plenty of room for new messaging forms to grow, they are not being used as frequently as SMS Daily users Weekly users Infrequent users White space (interested non-users) Rejectors % SMS 54 17 9 10 7 % MMS (pictures) 8 13 19 37 18 MMS (video) 5 8 13 42 24 Messaging Pull email 6 4 5 47 28 Push email 4 3 4 47 30 Instant Messaging 5 3 4 44 30 Bluetooth 11 12 12 37 19 Connecting 3G capabilities 5 3 3 46 27 WiFi 3 2 3 47 30 Internet Dedicated brow ser 6 5 5 45 28 Netw ork provider brow ser 5 4 8 42 30 Blogging 1 1 1 41 39 A22+A23+B2+B4: Use of connectivity features and services on mobile phone + interest from non-users 2009 TNS Copyright users: 17264 Bases: All mobile 21
  • 22. The mobile internet is critical for giving emerging markets users access to mobile entertainment and music % visiting mobile internet site (2008) (2008) (2008) Global Developed Emerging 38 31 34 (42%) (46%) (37%) Search Connecting 20 19 20 (16%) (16%) (16%) Social net working 1 3 2 (N/A) (N/A) (N/A) Virt ual worlds 13 8 11 (14%) (17%) (9%) Shopping Purchasing 13 2 8 (10%) (7%) (11%) Auct ion sit es 5 1 3 (5%) (2%) (6%) Gambling 14 25 20 (30%) (38%) M usic (26%) 6 20 14 (19%) (21%) (12%) Ent ert ainment Media 8 12 10 (N/A) (N/A) (N/A) Video sit es 4 6 5 (N/A) (N/A) Pict ure sit es (N/A) 1 1 1 (N/A) (N/A) (N/A) Adult 27 27 27 (30%) (28%) (31%) News 27 6 16 (25%) (11%) (34%) Weat her Information 16 14 15 (18%) (18%) (18%) Sport 11 11 11 (16%) (20%) (13%) Games 8 7 8 (12%) (14%) (11%) Business/ f inance 2 3 2 (6%) (9%) (4%) Aut omotive 3 4 3 (6%) (8%) (5%) Healt h 7 4 6 (9%) (6%) (11%) Travel A33: Websites visited on mobile phone 2008 TNS Copyright internet users: 9640 6337 3303 Bases: All mobile 22 2009 Bases: All mobile internet users: 6792 4789 2003
  • 23. Mobile music continues to boom with mobile gaming somewhat stagnant % using (2008) (2008) (2008) Global Developed Emerging (49%) (64%) 53 71 59 (55%) Still camera (33%) (31%) 43 40 42 (32%) Video camera Do wnlo ad Imaging / (5%) (3%) 6 5 3 (4%) TV/Video video Sidelo ad (9%) (5%) 9 (7%) 8 5 TV/Video (3%) (5%) 9 (4%) 14 11 Live TV Lo ad graphics & (19%) (12%) (15%) 10 17 10 themes (35%) (25%) 16 (31%) 31 38 M P 3 player (27%) (14%) (22%) 42 28 14 FM /A M Radio (19%) (11%) (15%) 36 Music 9 17 Do wnlo ad music (28%) (16%) (22%) 21 26 5 Sidelo ad music (27%) (20%) (24%) 30 17 25 Lo ad ringto nes (22%) (14%) (18%) 11 18 11 Lo ad caller tunes (57%) (38%) (48%) 40 37 46 Gaming P lay games (11%) (10%) (10%) 14 10 9 Do wnlo ad games (12%) (7%) (10%) 29 7 11 Sidelo ad games (N/A) (N/A) Uplo ad co ntent (N/A) 9 22 9 to mo bile internet (N/A) (N/A) Uplo ad co ntent (N/A) 21 25 19 to P C A22+B1: Use of content features and services on mobile phone 2008 TNS Copyright users: 12489 6696 5793 Bases: All mobile Local market 23 2009 Bases: All mobile users: 17264 8522 8742 data cuts