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EU Enlargement and the Benefits of
    Environmental Legislation


 Oxford University MSc Brussels Study Tour
MSc Environmental Change and Management
          Brussels 7 March 2008

     Patrick ten Brink / Samuela Bassi
                    IEEP
             Ptenbrink@ieep.eu
                www.ieep.eu
Presentation Overview


EU Enlargement and the accession challenge

Aim of the Benefits Studies (CC-13, Croatia, SEE & also ENP)

Methodological approaches

Benefits of improving environmental legislation

Conclusions




                            Building on work by the team:
 Study on 13 Candidate Countries: Ecotec, IEEP, Eftec, Metroeconomica and experts
 SEE Benefits study: Arcadis-Ecolas, IEEP, Metroeconomica & Enviro-L
 ENP Methodology work: IEEP
EU Enlargement and the Accession Challenge
Enlargement - a short history
Big Bang: EU-15 goes to EU-25
1 May 2004 : Hungary, Poland, the Czech
Republic, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, plus
the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and
Lithuania, and the Mediterranean islands of              The 2001 Benefits Study focus
Malta and Cyprus. The choice of these                  All 12 of the new Member States and
countries for EU accession in 2004 was the                            Turkey`
culmination of a long process of preparation
and negotiation.
The 2007 Sequel
1 May 2007 : Bulgaria, Romania
Now: 27 countries and 493 million people

European reconciliation after 50 years

The Future? Balkans? Turkey? Iceland?
ENP countries?




                                                Source: European Commission
Past EU Enlargements - Details
                                                                              1951 ECSC:
                                                                              France,Italy, Germany, Belgium,
                                                                              The Netherlands, Luxembourg

                                                                              1973:
                                                                              Denmark, Ireland, and UK

                                                                              1981:
                                                                              Greece

                                                                              1986:
                                                                              Spain and Portugal

                                                                              1995:
                                                                              Austria, Finland and Sweden

                                                                               2004:
                                                                              Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary,
                                                                              Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia,
                                                                              Slovenia.

                                                                              2007
                                                                              Romania and Bulgaria




Source: http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#376,3,Previous enlargements
SEE Countries – in due course all are
                    expected to be part of the EU
   The SEE countries - the former Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia, Albania, Serbia,
Kosovo, Bosnia & Herzegovina and Montenegro
are either formal EU-candidates or expected to
become EU candidates.
   The EU has repeatedly reaffirmed at the highest
level its commitment for eventual EU
membership of the Western Balkan countries,
provided they fulfil the accession criteria.
  Croatia and Turkey are formally recognised as
candidate countries. They started accession
negotiations on 3 October 2005.
                                                     Source: www.albic.net
   In December 2005, the European Council
granted the former Yugoslav Republic of                   Croatia Benefits Study focus (2005)
Macedonia the status of a candidate country.             The SEE Benefits Study focus (2006-7)
Future Members or special relationships ?
  What of European Neighbourhood Policy countries?

ENP countries – always simply neighbours?

Some early debate – eg on Ukraine, Moldova
Others – from Morocco to Syria – seen as special
neighbours.

Personal expectation that some will become
members (eg Moldova, Ukraine), others will
remain outside (Maghreb to Syria)

       Still Benefits of implementing
         environmental legislation
                                                   Source: European Commission
                                                                                           `
Some may build on EU example, others may           ENP Benefits studies yet to be done –
   build on other examples or build on             only a methodological guidelines and
  domestic vision for what is appropriate             partial test case on the Ukraine
Conditions for Membership


      Treaty of the European Union (TEU)
      Article 49 of the TEU:
      Any European State which respects the principles set out in
      Article 6(1) may apply to become a member of the Union.


      Article 6 of the TEU:
      The Union is founded on the principles of liberty, democracy,
      respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms, and the
      rule of law, principles which are common to the Member States.




http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#264,5,Conditions for Membership
Conditions for membership: Copenhagen, 1993

     1) Political criteria (enshrined in the TEU, article 6)
     The applicant country must have achieved stability of its institutions
     guaranteeing democracy, the rule of law, human rights and respect for
     and protection of minorities.

     2) Economic criteria
             – Functioning market economy
             – Capacity to cope with competitive pressure and market forces within the
               EU.

     3) Acquis adoption and implementation criteria
       Ability to take on the obligations related to membership, including
     adherence to the aims of political, economic and monetary union, and to
     implement them efficiently and effectively.
        The EU’s capacity to absorb new members.

http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#265,6,Conditions for membership Copenhagen - June, 1993
Accession Negotiations: the process
      •    Opening of chapters to the negotiations:
             – Screening
             – If negative: fulfillment of contractual obligations
             – EU-27 unanimous decision (Intergovernmental conference)
      •    For each chapter to be opened:
             – Negotiating position by candidate country
             – Draft Common Position by Commission to the Member States
             – EU common position adopted by MS unanimously ---- Next step
      •    Acquis, if not negotiable?
             – Transitional measures may be negotiated : limited in time and
               scope.
                    Ex: free movement of workers environment

http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#389,14,Accession Negotiations: the process
Accession negotiations: Chapters
        1.    Free movement of goods                                19.   Social policy and employment
        2.    Freedom of movement for workers                       20.   Enterprise and industrial policy
        3.    Right of establishment and freedom                    21.   Trans-European Networks
              to provide services                                   22.   Regional policy and coordination
        4.    Free movement of capital                                    of structural instruments
        5.    Public procurement                                    23.   Judiciary and fundamental rights
        6.    Company law                                           24.   Justice, freedom and security
        7.    Intellectual property law                             25.   Science and research
        8.    Competition policy                                    26.   Education and culture
        9.    Financial services                                    27.   Environment
        10.   Information society and media                         28.   Consumers and health protection
        11.   Agriculture                                           29.   Customs union
        12.   Food safety, veterinary and                           30.   External relations
              phytosanitary policy                                  31.   Foreign security and defence policy
        13.   Fisheries                                             32.   Financial control
        14.   Transport policy                                      33.   Financial and budgetary provisions
        15.   Energy                                                34.   Institutions
        16.   Taxation                                              35.   Other issues
        17.   Economic and monetary policy
        18.   Statistics

http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#266,17,Accession negotiations: Chapters
The Implementation Challenge

  Each country that wishes to join the EU needs to implement the body of EU
environmental law, known as the ‘Acquis Communautaire’,
  This comprises around 300 Environmental Directives and Regulations, including
daughter Directives and amendments + environmental aspects of legislation in other
sectors
       Transposition : Legislative compliance
       Getting administrative capacity in place
      Implementing legislation – identifying (best/appropriate new) projects;
    covering investment costs; finding funding/finance (the financing challenge),
      Operation/maintenance (possible upgrade) of environmental infrastructure
      Monitoring and enforcing legislation
  There is the additional challenge of also respecting EU, international and domestic
commitments which go beyond implementing EU legislation, which adds to the scale
and complexity of the task (but not explored here)
The Steps in the Development of Legislation

                              Review            Commission working proposals

                            Impact Assessment                                  consultation

                                Proposed          Regulation          Directive




                                                       Council/Parliament


                                Adopted           Regulation          Directive



                             Complementary legislation          Transposition legislation



                                                  Implementation
                                              Inspection/Enforcement

                                            Insights on implementation



Source: IMPEL Workshop: Issues of Practicability and Enforcement and the Policy Cycle, Project Workshop
           11-13 October 2006, Golden Tulip Rotterdam-Centre, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
The Steps in the Legislative Process

                White Paper                           Communication                                Green Paper

    Commissioned work                                                                            Consultation
                                            Commission Internal working
                                                    proposals
                                                                                                Impact Assessment (IA)

                            Proposed Regulation                             Proposed Directive

                                                     Council/Parliament

                            Adopted Regulation                              Adopted Directive
                                                                                                                          IA
                                          Transposition: Proposed National
                                                     Legislation                                           Consultation

     Complementary legislation                       National legislation                                   Guidance


Consultation – eg for permits                         Implementation                                                     IA


                                         Monitoring, Enforcement & Reporting

                                                           Review                                          Consultation

                                                  Propose Amendment                                                      IA

                                        Regulation                      Directive
Good regulation should be Practicable and Enforceable
   Yet problems can be seen in the Regulatory Cycle


                                                                                              requirements
     Policies                           EU                                                      prove to be
                                                                      Transposition
                                        Legislation                                         unclear, conflicting

   Impact Assessment

    Consultation
                                                                                             requirements can
                                                                                             not reasonably be
                               Revision                           Implementation               complied with




                                                                                             compliance with
                                                                       Monitoring
                                     Evaluation                                               requirements
                                                                       Inspection           can not reasonably
                                      Review
                                                                      Enforcement               be checked
              policy aims of legislation are not met
               by compliance with requirements;
                                                                                             requirements can
                    requirements prove to be
                                                                                              not be enforced
                          inappropriate


Source: IMPEL Workshop: Issues of Practicability and Enforcement and the Policy Cycle, Project Workshop
           11-13 October 2006, Golden Tulip Rotterdam-Centre, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
The Financing challenge: estimated Financing Needs for
          compliance with the EU environmental acquis

Country                      BG             CY              CZ            EE           H                    LV

Total Cost 1997              15000          1118-           13400         1500         13700                1710
Estimate MEUR                               1264

2001 update                  8610           1086            6600-         4406         4118-10000           1480-
Total Cost MEUR                                             9400                                            2360



Country                    LT          MT          PL               RO            SK           SI          Total

Total Cost 1997            2380        NA          35200            22000         5400         1840        122618-
Estimate MEUR                                                                                              122764


2001 update                1600        130         22100-           22000         4809         2430        79260-
Total Cost: MEUR                                   42800                                                   110001

Source: CEC (2001) Communication from the Commission - The Challenge of Environmental Financing in the Candidate Countries
Examples of environmental legislation – areas where
        there is a real challenge to most countries

•   The Urban Waste Water Treatment Directive (UWWTD) – given that the
    costs will need to be spread over time and the smaller municipalities in particular
    will have problems raising needed investments.
•   The Landfill Directive – eg for oil shale in Estonia (2009) given particular
    resource there; for certain liquid wastes in Bulgaria (2014); also in place in
    Poland given implementation capacity issues at the level of Gminas (2012).
•   Volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions from storage and distribution of
    petrol – given difficulties facing smaller sites.
•   Sulphur content of certain liquid fuels – investment needs for certain refineries.
•   Drinking water – given infrastructure costs.
•   Discharges of dangerous substances into the aquatic environment.
•   Packaging and packaging waste – given technology availability.
•   Shipments of waste – giving time to develop national recycling infrastructure.
•   Integrated pollution prevention and control (IPPC) for existing installations –
    given costs and need to link to investment cycles.
•   Large combustion plant Directive (LCPD) – given costs.
•   Hazardous waste incineration Directive.
Legislation and Common Pollutants
              EU Directives                                               Air




                                                                              Heavy metals
                                                     Particulate




                                                                                                       Ammonia
                                                                                                                 Halogens
                                                                                             Dioxins




                                                                                                                            Ozone
                                                     VOCs
                                               NOx




                                                                   CO2
                                         SO2




                                                                                                                                    CH4
                                                                         CO
                                                     s
Air Quality
Large Combustion Plants                  x     x      x
IPPC Directive                           x     x      x            x     x        x                                x
National Emissions Ceilings Directive    x     x            x                                           x                    x
Emissions from Mobile Sources            x     x      x            x     x        x                                          x
Ambient Air Quality Directves - SO2 x          x      x     x                                                                x
and Partic ulates, Nitrogen Oxides, Lead,
Benzene et al
VOC Emissions from Storage and                              x
Transport of Petrol
VOC-Solvents Directive                                      x
Waste Incineration Directive             x            x                  x         x          x         x          x
Hazardous Waste Incineration Directive   x     x      x            x               x          x         x          x
What issues are likely to be important
Air                Water                    Waste                         Nature
Main pollutants:   Main pollutants:         Main pollutants:              Main data:
 SO2                 BOD and COD              CH4                           Ha and % of
 NOx                 pH                     Main data:                    protected areas
  Particulates      Nitrogen &                Tonnes of Domestic,           No. of species and
(PM10, PM 2.5)     Phosphorus               Industrial and Inert waste    level of risk
 VOCs                Heavy metals             Population served by           Ecosystem
                                            the collection system         services
 CO2                 Dioxins
 CO                  Fluoride                 No. of existing and
                                            planned facilities
 Heavy metals        E. coli
                                            (landfills, incineration
 Dioxins           Main data:               plants, recycling) and
 Furans            Connection to water      collected material
 Halogens          supply and waste water     No. of illegal dump
                   systems and level of     sites and quantity of waste
 Ozone
                   waste water treatment.
 CH4
                   Quality of rivers
                   (classification x km)
                   Number of aquifers
                   polluters (nitrates or
                   pesticides)
Aim of the Benefits Studies
The Benefits Studies

The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate
countries (July 2001)
led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP),
Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.

Benefits for Croatia of compliance with the environmental acquis
(08/2004 - 05/2005, carried out by Ecolas and IEEP with a range of national experts)

Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the
environmental acquis
by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with
input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates

P ten Brink and S Bassi (2008) A Methodology for Assessing the Benefits of the
Environment in ENP Countries - Executive Summary Working Document for
DGENV of the European Communities.
Specific Aim of the Benefits Studies

 Explore and estimate the environmental, economic, and social benefits likely to
arise from the full implementation of the EU environmental legislation for EU
candidates

  For other countries not expected to become EU candidates explore the same
type of benefits from the implementation of ambitious but realistic
environmental legislation (eg on the basis of protocols, benchmarking practice, or
link to legislation of others)

 For EU Candidates: obtain a full and better understanding of the real effects of
their accession to the EU – covering benefits & not only costs.

 And ensure that environmental concerns are given the attention, priority and
        funding that they deserve.
Use of the Benefits Studies

   For the European Commission – for dialogue, negotiations,
launching studies/cooperation

  National ministries of environment
  National ministries of health, labour and consumer protection
  Regional authorities
  For municipalities
  For inspectorates/enforcement agencies
    - eg to clarify and help argue for greater priority/resources/funding

 Good for the environment – with economic and social benefits

  Supporting move to EU accession
Methodological approaches
Background: Development Paths

Figure ES.1: Alternative Development Paths in the Accession Countries

Increased          Sustainable Development
economic                 growth path
 activity                                         quot;Minimisationquot; growth path, employing best
                                                 available technologies and waste minimisation

                                                                   quot;Traditional Business-as-
                                                                     Usualquot; growth path


                                                      EU Environmental
                                                      Legislation




                                  Current position of region economy


                                                                       Increased Environmental
                                                                                Impact
Basic Valuation Framework
   Understand state of environment ‘now’ - the reference point. This includes
and understanding of the relationship between pollution and impact

    Understand the existing policies and policy instruments that will affect the state
of environment as well as external issues (economic growth, changes in likely
exposure levels etc) - estimate the baseline (business as usual, BaU)

  Useful also to know the cost of policy inaction (COPI) – the cost of not changing
business as usual.

  Understand the possible policy targets and timescales – eg from EU legislation

   Estimate the state of environment ensuing from the policy targets – the policy
scenario

  Compare the policy scenario with the baseline and the differences are the
benefits.

  Important to look at results in qualitative, quantitative and monetary terms
What are the improvements
            and what are useful targets / benchmarks?

                  Baseline pollution levels
Level of                                                                Reference year
pollution                                                            pollution level = static
                                                                             baseline




              Current          COPI: 100%                     EU acquis           Policy Target: eg
                                              50% reduction
              Situation         reduction                                         benchmark OECD
Methodology Overview
  Three steps to Analyse the Benefits of Implementing Env
Legislation

     Type of Benefits:
          E.g. e.g. health impacts, impacts on agriculture, buildings.
     Extent of Benefits:
          E.g. level of emissions reduced
          E.g. how many cases of respiratory diseases are avoided?
     Value of Benefits:
          E.g. how much would the reduced emissions and damages avoided
        by implementing EU directives be worth?
 Need to be realistic about what can be said in what terms and to what audience.
Benefits Studies
What can be said in what terms and what was explored?
                                                                  How much would the reduced
                      Non-Specified                             emissions and damages avoided by
  Valuation                                                   implementing EU directives be worth?
                        Benefits
      and
                                                                                Quantitative:
Quantification                               Elements         No         Level of emissions reduced
                                            Monetary Value                E.g. how many cases of
     and                                                                  respiratory diseases are
                                                                                  avoided?
 Description
                                      Yes               yes        yes
     of                           Quantitative Review of Effects
                                                                                  Type of benefits
  Benefits                                                                          – eg health
                                                                                  impacts, cleaner
                            Yes         Yes          Yes                 Yes           water
                                        Qualitative Review
                                                                                         Chemicals
                     Air              Water               Waste            Nature         Nuclear

                           Full Range of Effects of All Directives
          Need to be realistic about what can be said in what terms and to what audience.
Basic Valuation Framework


     Damage Cost / Benefits
           Savings




                                                         Business as Usual
                                                   If difficult to define use
                                                   the reference year

Reference                     Full             End            Time
Year (eg 2004)                Implementation   Year
                              (2020)           (2030)
Relation between pollution and impact

Exposure to pollution leads to a possibility for illness. This is measured as a
“probability function”, known as a Dose Response Function
Quantitative results
 Likely number of impacts = number of people exposed * Dose Response
Function * ambient air quality (pollution levels).
 Results given in probable number of cases of bronchitis, probable number of
early mortality etc
Monetary results
  For health impacts - use value of statistical life (VSL) + use of transfer
values for early mortality & Cost of Illness (COI) / discomfort estimates (eg for
bronchitis), based on WTP.
 For other benefits – eg benefits from improvements in quality of access to
       drinking water – used willingness to Pay (WTP) estimates
Dose Response Functions – Some examples




Source: Elena Strukova, Alexander Golub, and Anil Markandya, Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine
Transfer Value approach – An example
                   Important as countries have different levels of wealth




Source: Elena Strukova, Alexander Golub, and Anil Markandya, Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine
Benefits of Action types - Air

    Health benefits                     Avoided respiratory illnesses and premature deaths

    Resource benefits                   Avoided damage to buildings and crops
    Ecosystem                           Avoided global warming from CO2 emissions
    benefits                            Avoided damage to lake & forest ecosystems from
                                        acidic rains
    Social benefits                     Improved access to cultural heritage (less damage to
                                        historic buildings)
                                        Lesser social inequality by poor being more exposed
                                        to air pollution
    Wider economic                      Cultural tourism.
    benefits                            Attracting investment.
                                        Employment from environmental goods


From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute
of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
Benefits - Water



 Health benefits                     Households benefiting from connection to (improved)
                                     quality water
 Resource benefits                   Reduction of contaminants in surface water
 Ecosystem                           Likely changes in river and lake water quality
 benefits
 Social benefits                     Confidence in drinking water
 Wider economic                      Employment via tourism related to water recreation
 benefits




From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute
of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
Waste: Qualitative Assessment

Health benefits              Lower pollution to groundwater and surface water
                             Reduced health and explosions risks as well as lower impact on
                             global warming as methane emissions from landfills are captured and
                             made to generate energy. Reduced health risks by improved
                             treatment and disposal of hazardous waste
Resource                     Increased efficiency in the use of material and reduced production
benefits                     of primary material as a result of higher levels of recycling. The
                             recovery of energy is increased through the Incineration Directive.

Ecosystem                    Benefits to eco-systems and other environmental resources as
benefits                     emissions from waste activities into air, water and soil are reduced
                             (avoided leachate, methane emissions) – reduced pressure
Social benefits              Reduced discrimination by fewer low income households living close
                             to unprotected landfills, etc.
Wider economic               Lower costs for waste collection, treatment and disposal, as less
benefits                     waste will be produced.



From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute
of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
Benefits from Nature Directives
  • Environmental benefits
              Increased protected areas coverage
              Increase in the level of protection
              Increased connectivity between protected areas: eg reduced
              fragmentation in FYROM due to infrastructures, overuse of
              resources etc
              Reduced threats/risks to species and habitats: eg wetlands
              destruction, intensive agriculture etc threatening birds in Kosovo
              Eco-system benefits (: eg reduced soil erosion from deforestation
              in Albania
              Improved environmental data – especially in Kosovo and B-H




From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute
of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
Approach: Nature benefits
Quality                                        Quality

                                        1000
                    1900                       Further potential possible
Pollution starts           Transformation
to have major                                  With EU Acquis
                           of Europe to
effect on quality          Agricultural        Reduced threats,
                    1950   economy             improved mgt



           2000                                     Now

                                                           Designation of new
                                                           areas as Natura 2000

    Quantity                                        Quantity

   Qualitative benefits: environmental – social - economic
   Quantitative benefits: expected increase in protected areas size
   Monetary benefits: n/a
Benefits from improving the environment
Key Findings: CC-13 Study
                              Extent of Benefits
   Air
         43.000 and 180.000 fewer cases of chronic bronchitis;
         15.000 and 34.000 fewer cases of premature death;


 Waste
        Recycling: increase by around 3.7 million tonnes (22 kg per
      capita) due to Packaging Waste Directive;
       Reduction in waste disposed in landfill from between 59
      million tonnes (1998) to 20-35 million tonnes in 2020.


From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and
supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
Key Findings: CC-13 Study
                                 Value of Benefits
 Air
      7 to 44 billion Euro / yr for full compliance
Water
     5 to 14 billion Euro a year
Waste
    1 to 12 billion Euro a year
Total
    12.5 to 69 billion Euro / year for full compliance
    134 to 680 billion Euro for period to 2020

 Given uncertainties:
        important to show range
        important to use lower estimate for drawing insights
 important to underline what is covered and what not
  From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and
  supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
Key Findings: SEE study
   Air
         Approximately 6050 equivalent cases of chronic bronchitis / 4475 fewer
         cases of premature death arising from lung cancer could be avoided per
         year
         Air benefits : annual benefit 631 to 1.115 million EUR,
   Water
         55% to 94% of population benefiting from quality improvements of
         drinking water / 6.3 million households
         Drinking water quality benefits : around 654 million EUR/year
         Benefits of an improved surface water quality : 114 to 389 million
         EUR/year
         Total Water Benefits: 750 - 893 million EUR/year
   Total benefits air and water: 1,4 - 2 billion EUR/year

From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute
of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
Key Findings: SEE study (cont.)

   Waste
         Reduction of methane emissions from landfills: 70 - 191 ktonnes/year
         decrease in landfill disposal levels to around 64 to 54% of the non-
         implementation levels.
   Nature
         Level of nature protected areas increases from 0.5% - 8% of the territory to
         about 10% - 16%
         Level of management and protection expected to improve.
         The SEE countries will add to the wealth of EU biodiversity and ecosystems.




From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute
of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
Key Findings: Ukraine
           from reduced exposure to air pollution


 Air
       22,000-27,000 cases of early mortality and 13,000-90,000 cases of
     morbidity could potentially be avoided if city ambient air quality
     were to meet WHO standards.
        The avoided cost for improved city air quality could be of about 13
     billion grivynas (US$2.6 billion), ie 4 percent of GDP.
Source: Strukova E., Golub, A. and Markandya, A. (2006): Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine
Some country details
               Annual Value of Benefits for Full Compliance: Lower Estimate

       4500
       4000
       3500
                                                                                                                            Waste
       3000
MEUR




       2500
                                                                                                                            Water
       2000
       1500
                                                                                                                            Air
       1000
        500
          0
              PL      TU      CR      RO     HU       SK     BU       LI      SL      LV      EE     CY MA




              From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and
              supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
Annual Benefits of Full Compliance - Share of GDP
 CZ                                                                                               4.80%
RO                                                                                3.99%
 SZ                                                                             3.89%
 LI                                                          2.92%
PO                                                           2.91%
ALL                                                  2.58%
BU                                                  2.52%
HU                                          2.17%
TU                                  1.72%
 EE                                1.67%
LV                                 1.65%
 SL                        1.32%
CY             0.76%
MA            0.71%

  0%              1%                   2%                3%                    4%                   5%                   6%
                                                 (percentage of GDP)

       From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and
       supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
Transboundary Benefits

  Domestic action also benefits to other candidate countries and the
EU- notably from implementing the EU air legislation:

      Half of the total benefits in Hungary derived from action in other
    candidate countries;

      Polish initiatives will lead to between 0.6 to 3.3 billion Euro
    benefits other candidate countries;

      The EU would benefit from lower emissions in the candidate
    countries (around 6 billion Euro/year - lower estimate).

  Third countries (Russia, Ukraine…) will also benefit from compliance:

         Total benefits to third countries: around 10 billion Euros per year.


    From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and
    supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
Total Candidate Country Benefits – Benefits from Domestic Action
      and Benefits from action by other Candidate Countries
            (MEUR/year upon full compliance in 2010)
        Poland

        Turkey

       Romania
                                                                                              Dom       Other
    Czech. Rep.

       Hungary

       Slovakia

      Lithuania

       Bulgaria

       Slovenia

         Latvia

        Estonia

        Cyprus

         Malta

                  0             500              1000             1500              2000             2500              3000
                                                                 MEUR

          From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and
          supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
Conclusions
Overall Conclusions

   Implementing the EU environmental directives can help improve the
health and quality of life for citizens across the Candidate Countries, and to
a certain extent, to citizens of the EU
   Co-operation across candidate countries is crucial to maximise the
transboundary benefits from reducing air pollution
   In narrow monetary terms, the assessed benefits are likely to be of the
same order of magnitude if not larger than the costs of implementation EU
directives.
   The results to help communicate the importance of the environmental
issues to the political level.
      quantification of the health and environmental benefits from action
      valuable economic message from the monetisation aspect – reaching
    some new audiences
Where is benefits assessment going?

 Benefits have to be assessed within the Impact Assessments that now
need to be done for all major policies/legislation, programmes etc.

  Benefits assessments for new candidates is arguably becoming ‘good
practice’ – it was done for Croatia, also for FYROM and other SEE
countries, and some scoping work for ENP. Future detailed studies can be
expected. It is a tool that can help the Commission, and help Ministries of
Environment in the countries themselves.

 Benefits assessments are being done in an increasingly wide range of
areas – eg eco-system services losses; socio-economic benefits of Natura
         2000 – major input for COP9 of the CBD and beyond.

 Being increasingly complemented by cost of policy inaction (COPI)
        studies to help present the scale of the need for action.
EU Enlargement and the Benefits of
           Environmental Legislation

  IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an
environmentally sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development and
                              dissemination.

                                Thank you !

                             Patrick ten Brink
                  Senior Fellow and Head of Brussels Office

                               Samuela Bassi
                                Policy Analyst

              Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP)
                               ptenbrink@ieep.eu
                                  www.ieep.eu

                     Building on work by the team:
  13 Candidate Countries: Ecotec, IEEP, Eftec, Metroeconomica and experts
     SEE Benefits: Arcadis-Ecolas, IEEP, Metroeconomica & Enviro-L
                      ENP Methodology work: IEEP

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Benefits Of Environmental Leglsiation Patrick Ten Brink Presentation To Oxford University Masters Students 7 March 2008 Final

  • 1. EU Enlargement and the Benefits of Environmental Legislation Oxford University MSc Brussels Study Tour MSc Environmental Change and Management Brussels 7 March 2008 Patrick ten Brink / Samuela Bassi IEEP Ptenbrink@ieep.eu www.ieep.eu
  • 2. Presentation Overview EU Enlargement and the accession challenge Aim of the Benefits Studies (CC-13, Croatia, SEE & also ENP) Methodological approaches Benefits of improving environmental legislation Conclusions Building on work by the team: Study on 13 Candidate Countries: Ecotec, IEEP, Eftec, Metroeconomica and experts SEE Benefits study: Arcadis-Ecolas, IEEP, Metroeconomica & Enviro-L ENP Methodology work: IEEP
  • 3. EU Enlargement and the Accession Challenge
  • 4. Enlargement - a short history Big Bang: EU-15 goes to EU-25 1 May 2004 : Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, plus the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, and the Mediterranean islands of The 2001 Benefits Study focus Malta and Cyprus. The choice of these All 12 of the new Member States and countries for EU accession in 2004 was the Turkey` culmination of a long process of preparation and negotiation. The 2007 Sequel 1 May 2007 : Bulgaria, Romania Now: 27 countries and 493 million people European reconciliation after 50 years The Future? Balkans? Turkey? Iceland? ENP countries? Source: European Commission
  • 5. Past EU Enlargements - Details 1951 ECSC: France,Italy, Germany, Belgium, The Netherlands, Luxembourg 1973: Denmark, Ireland, and UK 1981: Greece 1986: Spain and Portugal 1995: Austria, Finland and Sweden 2004: Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia. 2007 Romania and Bulgaria Source: http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#376,3,Previous enlargements
  • 6. SEE Countries – in due course all are expected to be part of the EU The SEE countries - the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Albania, Serbia, Kosovo, Bosnia & Herzegovina and Montenegro are either formal EU-candidates or expected to become EU candidates. The EU has repeatedly reaffirmed at the highest level its commitment for eventual EU membership of the Western Balkan countries, provided they fulfil the accession criteria. Croatia and Turkey are formally recognised as candidate countries. They started accession negotiations on 3 October 2005. Source: www.albic.net In December 2005, the European Council granted the former Yugoslav Republic of Croatia Benefits Study focus (2005) Macedonia the status of a candidate country. The SEE Benefits Study focus (2006-7)
  • 7. Future Members or special relationships ? What of European Neighbourhood Policy countries? ENP countries – always simply neighbours? Some early debate – eg on Ukraine, Moldova Others – from Morocco to Syria – seen as special neighbours. Personal expectation that some will become members (eg Moldova, Ukraine), others will remain outside (Maghreb to Syria) Still Benefits of implementing environmental legislation Source: European Commission ` Some may build on EU example, others may ENP Benefits studies yet to be done – build on other examples or build on only a methodological guidelines and domestic vision for what is appropriate partial test case on the Ukraine
  • 8. Conditions for Membership Treaty of the European Union (TEU) Article 49 of the TEU: Any European State which respects the principles set out in Article 6(1) may apply to become a member of the Union. Article 6 of the TEU: The Union is founded on the principles of liberty, democracy, respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms, and the rule of law, principles which are common to the Member States. http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#264,5,Conditions for Membership
  • 9. Conditions for membership: Copenhagen, 1993 1) Political criteria (enshrined in the TEU, article 6) The applicant country must have achieved stability of its institutions guaranteeing democracy, the rule of law, human rights and respect for and protection of minorities. 2) Economic criteria – Functioning market economy – Capacity to cope with competitive pressure and market forces within the EU. 3) Acquis adoption and implementation criteria Ability to take on the obligations related to membership, including adherence to the aims of political, economic and monetary union, and to implement them efficiently and effectively. The EU’s capacity to absorb new members. http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#265,6,Conditions for membership Copenhagen - June, 1993
  • 10. Accession Negotiations: the process • Opening of chapters to the negotiations: – Screening – If negative: fulfillment of contractual obligations – EU-27 unanimous decision (Intergovernmental conference) • For each chapter to be opened: – Negotiating position by candidate country – Draft Common Position by Commission to the Member States – EU common position adopted by MS unanimously ---- Next step • Acquis, if not negotiable? – Transitional measures may be negotiated : limited in time and scope. Ex: free movement of workers environment http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#389,14,Accession Negotiations: the process
  • 11. Accession negotiations: Chapters 1. Free movement of goods 19. Social policy and employment 2. Freedom of movement for workers 20. Enterprise and industrial policy 3. Right of establishment and freedom 21. Trans-European Networks to provide services 22. Regional policy and coordination 4. Free movement of capital of structural instruments 5. Public procurement 23. Judiciary and fundamental rights 6. Company law 24. Justice, freedom and security 7. Intellectual property law 25. Science and research 8. Competition policy 26. Education and culture 9. Financial services 27. Environment 10. Information society and media 28. Consumers and health protection 11. Agriculture 29. Customs union 12. Food safety, veterinary and 30. External relations phytosanitary policy 31. Foreign security and defence policy 13. Fisheries 32. Financial control 14. Transport policy 33. Financial and budgetary provisions 15. Energy 34. Institutions 16. Taxation 35. Other issues 17. Economic and monetary policy 18. Statistics http://www.deljpn.ec.europa.eu/data/current/EUenlargement2007.ppt#266,17,Accession negotiations: Chapters
  • 12. The Implementation Challenge Each country that wishes to join the EU needs to implement the body of EU environmental law, known as the ‘Acquis Communautaire’, This comprises around 300 Environmental Directives and Regulations, including daughter Directives and amendments + environmental aspects of legislation in other sectors Transposition : Legislative compliance Getting administrative capacity in place Implementing legislation – identifying (best/appropriate new) projects; covering investment costs; finding funding/finance (the financing challenge), Operation/maintenance (possible upgrade) of environmental infrastructure Monitoring and enforcing legislation There is the additional challenge of also respecting EU, international and domestic commitments which go beyond implementing EU legislation, which adds to the scale and complexity of the task (but not explored here)
  • 13. The Steps in the Development of Legislation Review Commission working proposals Impact Assessment consultation Proposed Regulation Directive Council/Parliament Adopted Regulation Directive Complementary legislation Transposition legislation Implementation Inspection/Enforcement Insights on implementation Source: IMPEL Workshop: Issues of Practicability and Enforcement and the Policy Cycle, Project Workshop 11-13 October 2006, Golden Tulip Rotterdam-Centre, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
  • 14. The Steps in the Legislative Process White Paper Communication Green Paper Commissioned work Consultation Commission Internal working proposals Impact Assessment (IA) Proposed Regulation Proposed Directive Council/Parliament Adopted Regulation Adopted Directive IA Transposition: Proposed National Legislation Consultation Complementary legislation National legislation Guidance Consultation – eg for permits Implementation IA Monitoring, Enforcement & Reporting Review Consultation Propose Amendment IA Regulation Directive
  • 15. Good regulation should be Practicable and Enforceable Yet problems can be seen in the Regulatory Cycle requirements Policies EU prove to be Transposition Legislation unclear, conflicting Impact Assessment Consultation requirements can not reasonably be Revision Implementation complied with compliance with Monitoring Evaluation requirements Inspection can not reasonably Review Enforcement be checked policy aims of legislation are not met by compliance with requirements; requirements can requirements prove to be not be enforced inappropriate Source: IMPEL Workshop: Issues of Practicability and Enforcement and the Policy Cycle, Project Workshop 11-13 October 2006, Golden Tulip Rotterdam-Centre, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
  • 16. The Financing challenge: estimated Financing Needs for compliance with the EU environmental acquis Country BG CY CZ EE H LV Total Cost 1997 15000 1118- 13400 1500 13700 1710 Estimate MEUR 1264 2001 update 8610 1086 6600- 4406 4118-10000 1480- Total Cost MEUR 9400 2360 Country LT MT PL RO SK SI Total Total Cost 1997 2380 NA 35200 22000 5400 1840 122618- Estimate MEUR 122764 2001 update 1600 130 22100- 22000 4809 2430 79260- Total Cost: MEUR 42800 110001 Source: CEC (2001) Communication from the Commission - The Challenge of Environmental Financing in the Candidate Countries
  • 17. Examples of environmental legislation – areas where there is a real challenge to most countries • The Urban Waste Water Treatment Directive (UWWTD) – given that the costs will need to be spread over time and the smaller municipalities in particular will have problems raising needed investments. • The Landfill Directive – eg for oil shale in Estonia (2009) given particular resource there; for certain liquid wastes in Bulgaria (2014); also in place in Poland given implementation capacity issues at the level of Gminas (2012). • Volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions from storage and distribution of petrol – given difficulties facing smaller sites. • Sulphur content of certain liquid fuels – investment needs for certain refineries. • Drinking water – given infrastructure costs. • Discharges of dangerous substances into the aquatic environment. • Packaging and packaging waste – given technology availability. • Shipments of waste – giving time to develop national recycling infrastructure. • Integrated pollution prevention and control (IPPC) for existing installations – given costs and need to link to investment cycles. • Large combustion plant Directive (LCPD) – given costs. • Hazardous waste incineration Directive.
  • 18. Legislation and Common Pollutants EU Directives Air Heavy metals Particulate Ammonia Halogens Dioxins Ozone VOCs NOx CO2 SO2 CH4 CO s Air Quality Large Combustion Plants x x x IPPC Directive x x x x x x x National Emissions Ceilings Directive x x x x x Emissions from Mobile Sources x x x x x x x Ambient Air Quality Directves - SO2 x x x x x and Partic ulates, Nitrogen Oxides, Lead, Benzene et al VOC Emissions from Storage and x Transport of Petrol VOC-Solvents Directive x Waste Incineration Directive x x x x x x x Hazardous Waste Incineration Directive x x x x x x x x
  • 19. What issues are likely to be important Air Water Waste Nature Main pollutants: Main pollutants: Main pollutants: Main data: SO2 BOD and COD CH4 Ha and % of NOx pH Main data: protected areas Particulates Nitrogen & Tonnes of Domestic, No. of species and (PM10, PM 2.5) Phosphorus Industrial and Inert waste level of risk VOCs Heavy metals Population served by Ecosystem the collection system services CO2 Dioxins CO Fluoride No. of existing and planned facilities Heavy metals E. coli (landfills, incineration Dioxins Main data: plants, recycling) and Furans Connection to water collected material Halogens supply and waste water No. of illegal dump systems and level of sites and quantity of waste Ozone waste water treatment. CH4 Quality of rivers (classification x km) Number of aquifers polluters (nitrates or pesticides)
  • 20. Aim of the Benefits Studies
  • 21. The Benefits Studies The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts. Benefits for Croatia of compliance with the environmental acquis (08/2004 - 05/2005, carried out by Ecolas and IEEP with a range of national experts) Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates P ten Brink and S Bassi (2008) A Methodology for Assessing the Benefits of the Environment in ENP Countries - Executive Summary Working Document for DGENV of the European Communities.
  • 22. Specific Aim of the Benefits Studies Explore and estimate the environmental, economic, and social benefits likely to arise from the full implementation of the EU environmental legislation for EU candidates For other countries not expected to become EU candidates explore the same type of benefits from the implementation of ambitious but realistic environmental legislation (eg on the basis of protocols, benchmarking practice, or link to legislation of others) For EU Candidates: obtain a full and better understanding of the real effects of their accession to the EU – covering benefits & not only costs. And ensure that environmental concerns are given the attention, priority and funding that they deserve.
  • 23. Use of the Benefits Studies For the European Commission – for dialogue, negotiations, launching studies/cooperation National ministries of environment National ministries of health, labour and consumer protection Regional authorities For municipalities For inspectorates/enforcement agencies - eg to clarify and help argue for greater priority/resources/funding Good for the environment – with economic and social benefits Supporting move to EU accession
  • 25. Background: Development Paths Figure ES.1: Alternative Development Paths in the Accession Countries Increased Sustainable Development economic growth path activity quot;Minimisationquot; growth path, employing best available technologies and waste minimisation quot;Traditional Business-as- Usualquot; growth path EU Environmental Legislation Current position of region economy Increased Environmental Impact
  • 26. Basic Valuation Framework Understand state of environment ‘now’ - the reference point. This includes and understanding of the relationship between pollution and impact Understand the existing policies and policy instruments that will affect the state of environment as well as external issues (economic growth, changes in likely exposure levels etc) - estimate the baseline (business as usual, BaU) Useful also to know the cost of policy inaction (COPI) – the cost of not changing business as usual. Understand the possible policy targets and timescales – eg from EU legislation Estimate the state of environment ensuing from the policy targets – the policy scenario Compare the policy scenario with the baseline and the differences are the benefits. Important to look at results in qualitative, quantitative and monetary terms
  • 27. What are the improvements and what are useful targets / benchmarks? Baseline pollution levels Level of Reference year pollution pollution level = static baseline Current COPI: 100% EU acquis Policy Target: eg 50% reduction Situation reduction benchmark OECD
  • 28. Methodology Overview Three steps to Analyse the Benefits of Implementing Env Legislation Type of Benefits: E.g. e.g. health impacts, impacts on agriculture, buildings. Extent of Benefits: E.g. level of emissions reduced E.g. how many cases of respiratory diseases are avoided? Value of Benefits: E.g. how much would the reduced emissions and damages avoided by implementing EU directives be worth? Need to be realistic about what can be said in what terms and to what audience.
  • 29. Benefits Studies What can be said in what terms and what was explored? How much would the reduced Non-Specified emissions and damages avoided by Valuation implementing EU directives be worth? Benefits and Quantitative: Quantification Elements No Level of emissions reduced Monetary Value E.g. how many cases of and respiratory diseases are avoided? Description Yes yes yes of Quantitative Review of Effects Type of benefits Benefits – eg health impacts, cleaner Yes Yes Yes Yes water Qualitative Review Chemicals Air Water Waste Nature Nuclear Full Range of Effects of All Directives Need to be realistic about what can be said in what terms and to what audience.
  • 30. Basic Valuation Framework Damage Cost / Benefits Savings Business as Usual If difficult to define use the reference year Reference Full End Time Year (eg 2004) Implementation Year (2020) (2030)
  • 31. Relation between pollution and impact Exposure to pollution leads to a possibility for illness. This is measured as a “probability function”, known as a Dose Response Function Quantitative results Likely number of impacts = number of people exposed * Dose Response Function * ambient air quality (pollution levels). Results given in probable number of cases of bronchitis, probable number of early mortality etc Monetary results For health impacts - use value of statistical life (VSL) + use of transfer values for early mortality & Cost of Illness (COI) / discomfort estimates (eg for bronchitis), based on WTP. For other benefits – eg benefits from improvements in quality of access to drinking water – used willingness to Pay (WTP) estimates
  • 32. Dose Response Functions – Some examples Source: Elena Strukova, Alexander Golub, and Anil Markandya, Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine
  • 33. Transfer Value approach – An example Important as countries have different levels of wealth Source: Elena Strukova, Alexander Golub, and Anil Markandya, Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine
  • 34. Benefits of Action types - Air Health benefits Avoided respiratory illnesses and premature deaths Resource benefits Avoided damage to buildings and crops Ecosystem Avoided global warming from CO2 emissions benefits Avoided damage to lake & forest ecosystems from acidic rains Social benefits Improved access to cultural heritage (less damage to historic buildings) Lesser social inequality by poor being more exposed to air pollution Wider economic Cultural tourism. benefits Attracting investment. Employment from environmental goods From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
  • 35. Benefits - Water Health benefits Households benefiting from connection to (improved) quality water Resource benefits Reduction of contaminants in surface water Ecosystem Likely changes in river and lake water quality benefits Social benefits Confidence in drinking water Wider economic Employment via tourism related to water recreation benefits From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
  • 36. Waste: Qualitative Assessment Health benefits Lower pollution to groundwater and surface water Reduced health and explosions risks as well as lower impact on global warming as methane emissions from landfills are captured and made to generate energy. Reduced health risks by improved treatment and disposal of hazardous waste Resource Increased efficiency in the use of material and reduced production benefits of primary material as a result of higher levels of recycling. The recovery of energy is increased through the Incineration Directive. Ecosystem Benefits to eco-systems and other environmental resources as benefits emissions from waste activities into air, water and soil are reduced (avoided leachate, methane emissions) – reduced pressure Social benefits Reduced discrimination by fewer low income households living close to unprotected landfills, etc. Wider economic Lower costs for waste collection, treatment and disposal, as less benefits waste will be produced. From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
  • 37. Benefits from Nature Directives • Environmental benefits Increased protected areas coverage Increase in the level of protection Increased connectivity between protected areas: eg reduced fragmentation in FYROM due to infrastructures, overuse of resources etc Reduced threats/risks to species and habitats: eg wetlands destruction, intensive agriculture etc threatening birds in Kosovo Eco-system benefits (: eg reduced soil erosion from deforestation in Albania Improved environmental data – especially in Kosovo and B-H From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
  • 38. Approach: Nature benefits Quality Quality 1000 1900 Further potential possible Pollution starts Transformation to have major With EU Acquis of Europe to effect on quality Agricultural Reduced threats, 1950 economy improved mgt 2000 Now Designation of new areas as Natura 2000 Quantity Quantity Qualitative benefits: environmental – social - economic Quantitative benefits: expected increase in protected areas size Monetary benefits: n/a
  • 39. Benefits from improving the environment
  • 40. Key Findings: CC-13 Study Extent of Benefits Air 43.000 and 180.000 fewer cases of chronic bronchitis; 15.000 and 34.000 fewer cases of premature death; Waste Recycling: increase by around 3.7 million tonnes (22 kg per capita) due to Packaging Waste Directive; Reduction in waste disposed in landfill from between 59 million tonnes (1998) to 20-35 million tonnes in 2020. From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
  • 41. Key Findings: CC-13 Study Value of Benefits Air 7 to 44 billion Euro / yr for full compliance Water 5 to 14 billion Euro a year Waste 1 to 12 billion Euro a year Total 12.5 to 69 billion Euro / year for full compliance 134 to 680 billion Euro for period to 2020 Given uncertainties: important to show range important to use lower estimate for drawing insights important to underline what is covered and what not From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
  • 42. Key Findings: SEE study Air Approximately 6050 equivalent cases of chronic bronchitis / 4475 fewer cases of premature death arising from lung cancer could be avoided per year Air benefits : annual benefit 631 to 1.115 million EUR, Water 55% to 94% of population benefiting from quality improvements of drinking water / 6.3 million households Drinking water quality benefits : around 654 million EUR/year Benefits of an improved surface water quality : 114 to 389 million EUR/year Total Water Benefits: 750 - 893 million EUR/year Total benefits air and water: 1,4 - 2 billion EUR/year From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
  • 43. Key Findings: SEE study (cont.) Waste Reduction of methane emissions from landfills: 70 - 191 ktonnes/year decrease in landfill disposal levels to around 64 to 54% of the non- implementation levels. Nature Level of nature protected areas increases from 0.5% - 8% of the territory to about 10% - 16% Level of management and protection expected to improve. The SEE countries will add to the wealth of EU biodiversity and ecosystems. From: Benefits for fYRoM and other countries of SEE of compliance with the environmental acquis by Arcadis-Ecolas and the Institute of European Environmental Policy (IEEP) with input from experts from across the SEE countries – Enviro-L and associates
  • 44. Key Findings: Ukraine from reduced exposure to air pollution Air 22,000-27,000 cases of early mortality and 13,000-90,000 cases of morbidity could potentially be avoided if city ambient air quality were to meet WHO standards. The avoided cost for improved city air quality could be of about 13 billion grivynas (US$2.6 billion), ie 4 percent of GDP. Source: Strukova E., Golub, A. and Markandya, A. (2006): Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine
  • 45. Some country details Annual Value of Benefits for Full Compliance: Lower Estimate 4500 4000 3500 Waste 3000 MEUR 2500 Water 2000 1500 Air 1000 500 0 PL TU CR RO HU SK BU LI SL LV EE CY MA From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
  • 46. Annual Benefits of Full Compliance - Share of GDP CZ 4.80% RO 3.99% SZ 3.89% LI 2.92% PO 2.91% ALL 2.58% BU 2.52% HU 2.17% TU 1.72% EE 1.67% LV 1.65% SL 1.32% CY 0.76% MA 0.71% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% (percentage of GDP) From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
  • 47. Transboundary Benefits Domestic action also benefits to other candidate countries and the EU- notably from implementing the EU air legislation: Half of the total benefits in Hungary derived from action in other candidate countries; Polish initiatives will lead to between 0.6 to 3.3 billion Euro benefits other candidate countries; The EU would benefit from lower emissions in the candidate countries (around 6 billion Euro/year - lower estimate). Third countries (Russia, Ukraine…) will also benefit from compliance: Total benefits to third countries: around 10 billion Euros per year. From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
  • 48. Total Candidate Country Benefits – Benefits from Domestic Action and Benefits from action by other Candidate Countries (MEUR/year upon full compliance in 2010) Poland Turkey Romania Dom Other Czech. Rep. Hungary Slovakia Lithuania Bulgaria Slovenia Latvia Estonia Cyprus Malta 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 MEUR From: The benefits of compliance with the environmental acquis for the candidate countries (July 2001) led by Ecotec and supported by the Institute for Environmental Policy (IEEP), Metroeconomica, EFTEC and national experts.
  • 50. Overall Conclusions Implementing the EU environmental directives can help improve the health and quality of life for citizens across the Candidate Countries, and to a certain extent, to citizens of the EU Co-operation across candidate countries is crucial to maximise the transboundary benefits from reducing air pollution In narrow monetary terms, the assessed benefits are likely to be of the same order of magnitude if not larger than the costs of implementation EU directives. The results to help communicate the importance of the environmental issues to the political level. quantification of the health and environmental benefits from action valuable economic message from the monetisation aspect – reaching some new audiences
  • 51. Where is benefits assessment going? Benefits have to be assessed within the Impact Assessments that now need to be done for all major policies/legislation, programmes etc. Benefits assessments for new candidates is arguably becoming ‘good practice’ – it was done for Croatia, also for FYROM and other SEE countries, and some scoping work for ENP. Future detailed studies can be expected. It is a tool that can help the Commission, and help Ministries of Environment in the countries themselves. Benefits assessments are being done in an increasingly wide range of areas – eg eco-system services losses; socio-economic benefits of Natura 2000 – major input for COP9 of the CBD and beyond. Being increasingly complemented by cost of policy inaction (COPI) studies to help present the scale of the need for action.
  • 52. EU Enlargement and the Benefits of Environmental Legislation IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an environmentally sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development and dissemination. Thank you ! Patrick ten Brink Senior Fellow and Head of Brussels Office Samuela Bassi Policy Analyst Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP) ptenbrink@ieep.eu www.ieep.eu Building on work by the team: 13 Candidate Countries: Ecotec, IEEP, Eftec, Metroeconomica and experts SEE Benefits: Arcadis-Ecolas, IEEP, Metroeconomica & Enviro-L ENP Methodology work: IEEP