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PA Resources


               Bo Askvik, President & CEO

                Swedbank First Securities
                    Nordic Energy
                    Summit 2013

                  Oslo, 21 March 2013
Today’s three topics

                 >> FOURTH QUARTER 2012
       Q4           Financial highlights




                 >> STRENGTHENED FINANCIALS
                    Recapitalisation completed




                 >> PA RESOURCES WAY FORWARD
                    Strategy and investment focus




2
Attractive Asset Portfolio

                                  KEY FACTS:
                                  •   Oil and gas company with operations and
                                      assets in nine countries
                                  •   Exploration, development and production
                                      portfolio - key infrastructure assets in Africa
                                  •   Oil production in Equatorial Guinea,
                                      Republic of Congo (Brazzaville) and Tunisia
22 oil and gas licences
                                  •   Average production of 7,100 bopd in Q4
6 producing fields                    2012
9 potentially commercial          •   38.1 mmboe in 1P reserves, 55.7 in 2P
discoveries
                                      reserves and 142 in contingent resources
Operator of 11 licences
                                  •   124 employees in Tunisia, the UK and
                                      Sweden
                                  •   The share, convertible bond and SEK bond
      Production                      are listed on NASDAQ OMX in Stockholm
      Development
      Exploration
       Infrastructure hub




 3
Changes in Reserves and Resources 2012

                           Proven and probable reserves*               KEY COMMENTS:

                          Working                     Net              •   Improved 1P to 2P ratio from 65 to 68%
                          Interest                 Entitlement         •   1P reserves impacted by;
                                                                           • Increase of 1P volume for the Aseng field
                     1P/P90       2P/P50       1P/P90      2P/P50              (1.03 mmboe) and the Tunisian fields (1.0
                                                 25.9        40.4              mmboe) based on production performance
End 2011:              39.1        60.2
                                                                           •   Reduction for Azurite of 0.15 mmboe

                                                                       •   2P reserves impacted primarily by;
Production             -2.9         -2.9         -2.1        -2.1          • Downwards revision of Azurite reserves by
                                                                               2.9 mmboe on a working interest based
Revision               +1.9         -1.6         +1.3        -1.4
                                                                           •   Upwards revision of the producing Tunisian
                                                                               fields (1 mmboe)

End 2012:              38.1         55.7         25.1        36.9      •   Resources approximately unchanged
                                                                           •   Contingent resources of 142 mmboe (145)
* Reserves are classified accordingly to the SPE-PRMS 2007 guideline       •   Risked prospective resources of 406 mmboe
                                                                               (409) at a mid-case level




4
Financial highlights
                       Q1
Production and sales
                    Average production per country (bopd)
    12 000                                                                       bopd               Full-year           Q4      February
    10 000                                                                                              2012          2012          2013
     8 000                                                                       West Africa           5,600         4,900          4,700
     6 000
                                                                                 North Africa          2,300         2,200          2,000
     4 000

     2 000                                                                       Group Total           7,900         7,100          6,700
        0
            Q1       Q2      Q3     Q4        Q1      Q2        Q3         Q4
           2011     2011    2011   2011      2012    2012      2012       2012
           Congo: Azurite     EG: Aseng       Tunisia: Didon & Onshore
                                                                                   • ASENG: Average production level increased of
                                                                                     60,500 boepd in Q4 (3,400 net to PA Resources)
                      Average sales price (USD/bbl)
     140                                                                           • AZURITE: Production lower than expected due
                      117    113
                                             119
                                                                    110
                                                                                     to intermittently unstable flowing conditions on a
     120                            109             108      109
              106
                                             120
                                                                                     number of wells
     100              109                           109       109
               97
                             106    104                               106          • TUNISIA: Stable production
      80

      60
                                                                                   • PRICE: PA Resources realised price slightly
                                                                                     under Brent average for the quarter due to local
      40
                                                                                     discount in Tunisia
      20
              Q1      Q2     Q3     Q4        Q1     Q2       Q3       Q4
             2011    2011   2011   2011      2012   2012     2012     2012
                              PA Resources                 Brent


6
Q4 - after one-offs and set-off issue
    SEK million                  Q4         Q4     Tax and     Set-off         Q4
                               2012    One-offs   FX effects   effects   adjusted   KEY COMMENTS
    Revenue                 466,801                                       466,801
                                                                                    • Relinquishment of UK licenses
                                                                                      amounted to SEK 18 million.
    Cost of sales &
                            -201,046                                     -201,046
    other expenses
                                                                                    • After total Azurite impairment in Q3,
    Depreciation & WD       -256,752   169,226                            -87,526     all additional investments has been
    Operating profit          9,003    169,226                            178,229     treated as direct costs, amounting
                                                                                      to SEK 151 million in Q4
    Financial revenue         1,908                                         1,908
    Financial expenses      -195,697                 22,000    84,762     -88,935   • Q4 fx effects in financial net SEK
                                                                                      -22 million mainly related to NOK
    Total financial items   -193,789         0       22,000    84,762     -87,027
                                                                                    • New assessment on deductible
                                                                                      costs in Equatorial Guinea increa-
    Profit before income
                            -184,786   169,226       22,000    84,762      91,202     sed income taxes with approx. SEK
    tax
                                                                                      75 million.
    Income tax              -154,797                 75,000               -79,797
                                                                                    • Effect from set-off issue (convertible
                                                                                      bond) amounting to SEK 85 million
    Profit for the period   -339,583   169,226       97,000    84,764      11,405




7
Improved cash flow

                        Q4      Q3      Q4      FY     FY
                                                               KEY COMMENTS
SEK million            2012    2012    2011    2012   2011

Operating cash flow     175      64     -106    838     812    • Improved operating cash flow
                                                                 • SEK 838 million for the full year 2012
of which income           0       0       -7     -5     -45      • SEK 175 million in Q4
taxes paid                                                     • Higher capex spending in Q4 mainly
CAPEX                   -186     -16    -135   -255   -1,613     relating to Azurite sidetrack preparations
                                                               • Amortisations of SEK 568 million for full
                                                                 year
Financing activities     65      -51     36    -568    -408
                                                               • Full year net cash flow of SEK 15 million
Net cash flow            54       -2    -204     15   -1,209




8
Capex 2012 and forecast 2013

      Capex development and forecast (SEK million)
                                                        KEY COMMENTS
                                 Actual    Forecasted   • Capex in Q4 amounted to SEK 186 million
     1 800
     1 600
                                                        • Azurite investments of SEK 151 million fully
               1,613                                      expensed in Q4
     1 400
     1 200                                              • 2012 full year capex of SEK 255 million, at
     1 000
                                                          the lower end of the forecast range of SEK
                                                          240 – 275 million
      800
      600                                               • 2013 forecast of SEK 250 – 380 million,
      400
                                                          presuming maintained interest (no farm-outs)
      200                                  250-380
                              255
        0
               2011           2012          2013




9
Strengthened financial position
                                  Q1
Strengthened financial position
     Completed two-step transaction strengthens equity with approx. SEK 1.570 billion

         Set-off issue




     1
                 » Offer to convertible bondholders to set-off their convertible bonds against newly
                   issued shares at SEK 0.15
                 » Equity increased with SEK 968 million and nominal debt decreased with SEK 890
                   million (net debt reduced by 819 MSEK)

         Fully underwritten rights issue
                 » Fully underwritten rights issue at SEK 0.10 (~50% directed to old share holders and
                   ~50% to convertible bondholders)



     2           » Increases equity by SEK 604 million after transaction related costs and reduces net
                   debt by SEK 602 million
                 » Outcome of transactions to result in significant changes in shareholder structure



                                 Covenants and Net Debt development
                                  Pro forma    Q4 2012     Q3 2012     Q2 2012    Covenants
     Book Equity (SEK million)       2, 194      1 590         956        2,608       >2,000
     Book Equity to
                                       46%        37%         22%          43%         >40%
     Capital Employed

     Net debt (SEK million)           2 028      2 630       3,410        3,503          N/A


11
Strategy & focus
                   Q1
PA Resources way forward


                                >>   LONG TERM GROWTH
                                     Development of ~ 32 mmboe for
         2013 - 2018                 long-term production growth
         Development of
         prioritised projects
         with reduced risk      >>   BALANCED INVESTMENTS
                                     Farm-out of assets reducing invest-
                                     ments and risk, financing from
                                     production and debt financing at lower
                                     level




13
Business plan – development for future growth
        Operating cash flow and         » Cash flow from producing assets to finance operational expenditures at
     strengthened liquidity enables       the Aseng and Didon fields
      maintenance, financing and        » Strengthened balance sheet, in combination with new debt financing,
             amortisations                enables planned amortizations of bond loans and credit facilities



                                        » Farm-out processes ongoing to reduce interest in prioritised assets
                                               •   Zarat license in Tunisia (Elyssa, Zarat and Didon)
          Lower interest reduces               •   12/06 in Denmark (Broder Tuck and Lille John)
     the level of investment and risk   » Reduced risk exposure to individual projects and share of investment
                                        » Strengthened balance sheet enhances position for future transactions


                                        » Cash flow from producing fields combined with new debt financing
                                          enables development of ~32 mmboe to production from 2016-2018
            Development of              » Advance Broder Tuck in Denmark and Zarat in Tunisia towards into
          prioritised assets for          development. Progress the appraisal of Lille John in Denmark , Elyssa in
      long-term production growth         Tunisia and Diega in EG towards development

                                        » Maintain debt level near post-transaction level during investment phase


     Selective exploration to further   » Active and selective exploration activities to further expand the
                                          discovered resource base - few scheduled commitment wells in the
       expand the resource base
                                          coming two years




14
Investments and key assumptions
                   Capex forecast 2013-2018 before and                      KEY ASSUMPTIONS:
                  after farm out transactions (SEK million)
                                                                            Development is not progressed until farm-out
1 800                                                                       successful
1 600                                                                       •   Continued operational expenditures on
1 400
                                                                                producing fields

1 200                                                                       •   Development of existing reserves and
                                           970
                                                                                resources of 155 MMBOE will after farm-out
1 000
                                                                                add 30 MMBOE
 800     1,613
                                                   300
                                                                            •   Farm-out of prioritised assets to reach
 600                               680
                                                                                preferred working interest level and reduce risk
 400                      520                                                   on individual assets
                                           540     590
 200                                                                            • Zarat licence from 100% to 20%
                  255              270
                          170                                 230     0         • Didon field from 100%% to 50%
     0
         2011     2012   2013E   2014E    2015E   2016E   2017E     2018E       • 12/06 from 64% to 15%
     PA Resources' share of investments    Partners' share of investments   •   Present operatorship in farm-out assets
                                                                                secures development planning
                                                                            •   Oil price of 110 USD/bbl and USD/SEK of 6.53




15
Expected outcome of planned development

                               Estimated development of net debt
                                    and average production                                                  KEY ASSUMPTIONS:
                   5,0                                                           16 000
                                                                                                            •   Development of existing
                                                                                 14 000                         reserves adding after farm-out
                   4,0
                                                                                                                30 MMBOE for long-term
                                                                                 12 000
                                                                                                                production growth
                   3,0




                                                                                          barrels per day
                                                                                 10 000
     SEK billion




                                                                                                            •   Debt maintained around
                   2,0                                                           8 000                          current level

                   1,0
                                                                                 6 000                      •   Expected net cash position in
                                                                                 4 000
                                                                                                                2018
                   0,0
                                                                                 2 000

                   -1,0                                                          0
                          2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E

                          Net debt actual    Production      Net debt estimate




16
Operations & Outlook
                       Q1
Capex forecast 2013/2014 – drilling programme

           Drilling programme/planned wells 2013-2014
                                                                     Capex forecast 2013 includes:
     DK: 12/06           Lille John    2013/2014    Appraisal/1-2    • Drilling campaign on 12/06 high priority
                                                                     • Drilling on 12/06, Block H and Q7/10a
                        Will Scarlet   2013/2014    Exploration/1
                                                                       dependent on rig availability
                                                        Appraisal/   • Drilling campaign in Block I in EG
     EG: Block I            Block I        2013
                                                   Exploration/1-2
                                                                     • Maintenance investments on producing
                                                                       fields
     EG: Block H              Aleta        2013     Exploration/1
                                                                     • Elyssa well assumes successful farm-out
                                                                       of Zarat license
                                              Q4       Appraisal/
     NL: Q7/10a             Q7-FA
                                       2013/2014   Development/1     • The drilling programme is revised
                                                                       continuously based on the capex budget
     Tunisia: Zarat          Elyssa    2013/2014      Appraisal/1      and prioritised commitments

     Tunisia: Makthar                      2014     Exploration/1




18
EG Block I - Plateau continues at foundation asset
 PA Resources 5.7%

 •   First oil from Aseng in November 2011, plateau level of
     around 60,000 bopd sustained since March 2012

 •   Total field production since start in November 2011 of
     ~27 mmbo + 1.5 million barrels to PA Resources

 •   Average production of 60,500 bopd in Q4,
     3,400 net to PA Resources

 •   1P reserves upgrade substantially replaces 2012 production

 •   Profitable barrels
     •   Investments of SEK 500 million recovered in 2012
     •   Opex per barrel will reduce after Alen commencement

 •   6-9 liftings per quarter generate frequent cash flow

 •   Alen field development – first oil expected in Q3 2013


                                                                    Licence Group: Operator Noble Energy (38%), Atlas
                                                                  Petroleum Int. (27.55%), Glencore (23.75%), PA Resources
                                                                                     (5.7%), GEPetrol (5%)




19
EG Block I - Exciting near term drilling program
 PA Resources 5.7%

                                Block I

     • Firm 2013 drilling programme with Atwood Hunter rig
     • Progressing two exciting fields towards development
     • Carla North and South
       • 2011 discovery in adjacent Block O (’Carla North’)
          currently being appraised in Block O, where operator
          has announced additional oil reservoir found
                                                                           Carla South
       • Operator has announced plans for fast-track
          development tied back to Aseng vessel
       • Atwood Hunter rig will shortly move to Block I to
          spud Carla South exploration well on same trend
          as Carla North

     • Diega
       • Expect appraisal well and 3 to 4 week production
          test in Block I later in 2013
       • Operator estimates Diega P75-P25 gross resource           Licence Group: Operator Noble Energy (38%), Atlas
          range of 65-116 mmboe                                  Petroleum Int. (27.55%), Glencore (23.75%), PA Resources
                                                                                    (5.7%), GEPetrol (5%)




20
Tunisia Zarat & Elyssa – Gas Market pull on development
                          PA Resources Operator with 100%

                                                           Historic Gas Demand                                                                                                                             Demand - Supply Shortfall
                          600
                                                                                                                                          544
                                                                     ~5% CAGR
                                                                                                                          502                                                        900
                          500                                                                               477                           96
                                                                                              435                         86
                                                                                                            75                                                                       800
Gas Consumption (mmcfd)




                                                               408         410
                                                  396                                                                                     47
                          400       380
                                                   25          29
                                                                           58
                                                                                               68
                                                                                                            48
                                                                                                                          49                                                                                                                                                Demand
                                    23                                                                                                    72                                         700                                          ~3% CAGR
                                    63             70          68
                                                                           45                  50
                                                                                                            74
                                                                                                                          71                                                                                                                                                outstrips




                                                                                                                                                               Natural Gas (mmcfd)
                          300
                                    54             59          61          63                  68                                                                                    600                                                                                    Supply
                                                                                                                                                                                     500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            from
                          200
                                                                                                                                          329                                                                                                                               2012
                                                                                                            280           297
                                    240           241          250         244                248                                                                                    400                                                                                    onwards
                          100
                                                                                                                                                                                     300
                            -
                                                                                                                                                                                     200
                                    2003          2004        2005         2006               2007          2008          2009           2010

                                                            STEG     IPP        Industries (HP)      Other (MP & BP)                                                                 100

                                                                                                                                                                                       -
                                                    Historic & Forecasted Gas Supply                                                                                                       2008   2009   2010 2011   2012 2013   2014 2015 2016   2017 2018   2019   2020


                           700                                                                                                                                                                                        Demand                      Supply

                                                                                                                                                                                           Note: Forecast supply does not include production from Zarat and Elyssa
                           600
                                                                                                                                                                                               fields
                           500
  Production (mmcfd)




                           400


                           300


                           200


                           100


                                -
                                     2011         2012       2013      2014            2015          2016          2017          2018          2019     2020
                                            Algerian Gas             Miskar                            Hasdrubal                        El Franig Baguel
                                            Chergui                  Adam Fields                       Oued Zar                         Maamoura and Baraka
                                            Jbel Grouz               Chouech Es Saida                  South Tunisia Gas Project        Other

                                                                                                                                        Source: STEG 2012

                          21
Tunisia Zarat & Elyssa - Beneficial economic environment
         Linkage of domestic gas price to oil price...                         …generates strong gas price for the project
                                                                                                 International Gas Prices                     Regional Gas Prices


• Gas price enshrined in Tunisian Law                                14

                                                                                                11.90
                                                                     12
• Formula is tied to 85% of Mediterranean high
                                                                             11.00                                                         10.83
                                                                                                          9.63
    sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) price                                    10                                              9.18




                                                         US$ / mcf
• Assuming USD 90/bbl long term oil price, resultant                 8
                                                                                                                                                    ~6.00
    Tunisian gas price is c. USD 11/mcf                              6
                                                                                                                                                               4.22

• Assuming USD 100/bbl long term oil price, resultant                4
                                                                                                                                                               2.4
                                                                                                                             2.24
    Tunisian gas price is c. USD 12/mcf                              2


                                                                      -
                                                                            Tunisia             Asia       TTF       NBP     Henry         Libya    Israel    Egypt
                                                                                                                              Hub         (EPSA)


                           Fiscal Incentives….           …results in Government share of profit comparable to OECD
                                                                                                                                          ~75%        ~77%

• Full recovery of exploration and development                             ~58%       ~60%              ~60%        ~62%        ~64%

    expenditure

• Partial recovery of financing costs
• One of the most attractive E&P fiscal regimes in
    North Africa
                                                                          Americas    Tunisia          OECD         Middle       Asia-    North       Sub-
                                                                                                                     East       Pacific   Africa     Saharan
                                                                                                                                                      Africa
Source: Wood Mackenzie, Bloomberg, Factset



 22
Tunisia Onshore Potential - Makthar and Jelma
 PA Resources 100%

               Makthar and Jelma permits

     •   Jelma-Makthar permits surround producing                                      NW Maiza
         Douleb, Semmama and Tamesmida (DST) fields
         onshore Tunisia                                    Makthar permit

     •   Both permits cover areas of 7,216 km² and 3,828
         km²
     •   Jelma extended until 2016 and Makthar until 2014                      Friha
                                                             Boughanem
     •   Makthar permit contains several onshore
         exploration prospects                                                           Jelma permit

     •   Regional mapping of reservoirs, seals and source
         rock formations over both permits completed
     •   Awarded open acreage around Douleb (189km2)                           Douleb & Semmama
         as integrated into Makthar permit
     •   New seismic to be acquired over Makthar’s most
         promising prospects and leads in 2013 to mature
         prospect for commitment well in 2014
                                                               Licence Group: Operator PA Resouces 100%
                                                                   ETAP has a back-in right of up to 55%




23
Denmark 12/06 - Progressing discoveries
 PA Resources Operator with 64%

                         Broder Tuck
 •   High quality Middle Jurassic reservoir proved by wells
 •   Mid to high case assessment of c. 25-50 mmboe gross
     of contingent resources including liquids
 •   Technical and commercial studies continuing with focus
     on eliminating need for further appraisal drilling
 •   Ongoing discussions with owners of infrastructure for tie                         12/06                  Broder Tuck-2
     back as one of range of possible development concepts

                                                                                                           Lille John-1
                           Lille John

 •   Wells established 35 API oil in Miocene sandstone
                                                                                               B20008-73
     at c. 900m – exceptionally light oil for shallow depth
 •   Remaining deeper potential likely – Chalk and Middle
     Jurassic
 •   Efforts to locate available rig for appraisal drilling continue
     in tight rig market                                                  Licence Group: Operator PA Resources (64%),
 •   Development options dependent on appraisal results –              Nordsøfonden (20%), Spyker Energy (8%), Danoil (8%)
     successful appraisal could lead to tieback to nearby
     infrastructure or standalone development




24
Denmark 12/06 - Exploration and appraisal potential
PA Resources Operator with 64%

           12/06 Prospectivity                         Broder Tuck (Chalk)                                                   5 km’s
                                                       •   Existing U-1X Chalk
     • Prospects at Miocene, Chalk &                             discovery
       Middle Jurassic levels                               ~ 5-10 mmbo
     • Commitments fulfilled, 2 year
       extension to 2014
     • Follow-on potential in German                                                            Broder Tuck (Jurassic)
       licence B20008-73                                                                          • M. Jurassic gas /
                                                                                                   condensate discovery
                                                                                                    ~25 – 50 mmboe


           Will Scarlet
                                               12/06
       •  Tertiary prospect                                                                                Lille John (Miocene)
        supported by seismic                                   BT-1                                        •      Shallow oil discovery
       anomaly per Lille John                                                                                      requires appraisal
     • Low to moderate risk                                                                        •           If appraisal is successful:
            10-50 mmbo                                                                                               ~10-50 mmbo


                       Lille John area                                                                              Lille John area
                   •   Additional small, low                                                           •  Additional potential in Chalk
                           risk Tertiary                                                                     and Middle Jurassic
                            anomalies                                                                   • Currently reprocessing 3D
                   •   Low risk 2-10 mmbo                       LJ-1                                   • Moderate risk, potential size
                                                                                                           comparable to Lille John


                                                           = Planned/possible wells 2013/2014



25
Germany B20008-73 - Farm-out
 PA Resources Operator with 90%

                Licence B20008/73

 •   Danish and Dutch sector prospectivity extends
     onto B20008-73
 •   Danoil farming in for 10% (subject to regulatory
                                                        Broder Tuck
     approvals)
 •   PA Resources’ 2011 Danish discoveries are seen      Lille John
     to upgrade prospectivity of B20008-73                                                           Regnar

 •   Currently evaluating existing 3D over block and
                                                                                                     Vagn
     adjacent areas
                                                                                                   Tove




                                                         Hanze



                                                                 Licence Group: Operator PA Resources (90%),
                                                                   Danoil (10% subject to regulatory approvals)




26
UK 22/19a - Undeveloped field in Central North Sea
 PA Resources Operator with 50%


          Discovered resources on 22/19a
     •   Application group PA Resources 50% (Operator),
         First Oil & Gas Limited 50%, notified that award
         will be made.
     •   22/19-1 Fiddich Triassic gas condensate discovery
         (1984) flowed 15 mmcfg/d and ~1500 bcpd
     •   Fiddich discovery and low risk Fiddich East
         segment – several 10’s mmboe combined
     •   Key issue – minimum economic reserve size and
         availability of options for tieback




                                                             Application group: PA Resources 50% (Operator),
                                                                           First Oil & Gas Limited 50%.




27
Summary and outlook
        >> OPERATING CASH FLOW FROM PRODUCING FIELDS
           Important cash flow with profitable barrels from the Aseng field
           – foundation for growth


        >> STRENGTHENED FINANCIAL POSITION
           Capacity to finance development capex and planned amortisations,
           enhanced position for future transactions


        >> EXPLORATION AND APPRAISAL WITH UPSIDE POTENTIAL
           Drilling activites on prioritised assets - Block I campaign in 2013
           and 12/06 campaign possibly in 2013 or 2014


        >> FOCUS ON ADDING LONG TERM PRODUCTION GROWTH
           Focus on farm out of prioritised assets and development – 32 MMBOE
           PA Resources net participation - expected net cash position in 2018




28
Thank you!
Q1 Report on 24 April 2013
                             Q1

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Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013

  • 1. PA Resources Bo Askvik, President & CEO Swedbank First Securities Nordic Energy Summit 2013 Oslo, 21 March 2013
  • 2. Today’s three topics >> FOURTH QUARTER 2012 Q4 Financial highlights >> STRENGTHENED FINANCIALS Recapitalisation completed >> PA RESOURCES WAY FORWARD Strategy and investment focus 2
  • 3. Attractive Asset Portfolio KEY FACTS: • Oil and gas company with operations and assets in nine countries • Exploration, development and production portfolio - key infrastructure assets in Africa • Oil production in Equatorial Guinea, Republic of Congo (Brazzaville) and Tunisia 22 oil and gas licences • Average production of 7,100 bopd in Q4 6 producing fields 2012 9 potentially commercial • 38.1 mmboe in 1P reserves, 55.7 in 2P discoveries reserves and 142 in contingent resources Operator of 11 licences • 124 employees in Tunisia, the UK and Sweden • The share, convertible bond and SEK bond Production are listed on NASDAQ OMX in Stockholm Development Exploration Infrastructure hub 3
  • 4. Changes in Reserves and Resources 2012 Proven and probable reserves* KEY COMMENTS: Working Net • Improved 1P to 2P ratio from 65 to 68% Interest Entitlement • 1P reserves impacted by; • Increase of 1P volume for the Aseng field 1P/P90 2P/P50 1P/P90 2P/P50 (1.03 mmboe) and the Tunisian fields (1.0 25.9 40.4 mmboe) based on production performance End 2011: 39.1 60.2 • Reduction for Azurite of 0.15 mmboe • 2P reserves impacted primarily by; Production -2.9 -2.9 -2.1 -2.1 • Downwards revision of Azurite reserves by 2.9 mmboe on a working interest based Revision +1.9 -1.6 +1.3 -1.4 • Upwards revision of the producing Tunisian fields (1 mmboe) End 2012: 38.1 55.7 25.1 36.9 • Resources approximately unchanged • Contingent resources of 142 mmboe (145) * Reserves are classified accordingly to the SPE-PRMS 2007 guideline • Risked prospective resources of 406 mmboe (409) at a mid-case level 4
  • 6. Production and sales Average production per country (bopd) 12 000 bopd Full-year Q4 February 10 000 2012 2012 2013 8 000 West Africa 5,600 4,900 4,700 6 000 North Africa 2,300 2,200 2,000 4 000 2 000 Group Total 7,900 7,100 6,700 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 Congo: Azurite EG: Aseng Tunisia: Didon & Onshore • ASENG: Average production level increased of 60,500 boepd in Q4 (3,400 net to PA Resources) Average sales price (USD/bbl) 140 • AZURITE: Production lower than expected due 117 113 119 110 to intermittently unstable flowing conditions on a 120 109 108 109 106 120 number of wells 100 109 109 109 97 106 104 106 • TUNISIA: Stable production 80 60 • PRICE: PA Resources realised price slightly under Brent average for the quarter due to local 40 discount in Tunisia 20 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 PA Resources Brent 6
  • 7. Q4 - after one-offs and set-off issue SEK million Q4 Q4 Tax and Set-off Q4 2012 One-offs FX effects effects adjusted KEY COMMENTS Revenue 466,801 466,801 • Relinquishment of UK licenses amounted to SEK 18 million. Cost of sales & -201,046 -201,046 other expenses • After total Azurite impairment in Q3, Depreciation & WD -256,752 169,226 -87,526 all additional investments has been Operating profit 9,003 169,226 178,229 treated as direct costs, amounting to SEK 151 million in Q4 Financial revenue 1,908 1,908 Financial expenses -195,697 22,000 84,762 -88,935 • Q4 fx effects in financial net SEK -22 million mainly related to NOK Total financial items -193,789 0 22,000 84,762 -87,027 • New assessment on deductible costs in Equatorial Guinea increa- Profit before income -184,786 169,226 22,000 84,762 91,202 sed income taxes with approx. SEK tax 75 million. Income tax -154,797 75,000 -79,797 • Effect from set-off issue (convertible bond) amounting to SEK 85 million Profit for the period -339,583 169,226 97,000 84,764 11,405 7
  • 8. Improved cash flow Q4 Q3 Q4 FY FY KEY COMMENTS SEK million 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011 Operating cash flow 175 64 -106 838 812 • Improved operating cash flow • SEK 838 million for the full year 2012 of which income 0 0 -7 -5 -45 • SEK 175 million in Q4 taxes paid • Higher capex spending in Q4 mainly CAPEX -186 -16 -135 -255 -1,613 relating to Azurite sidetrack preparations • Amortisations of SEK 568 million for full year Financing activities 65 -51 36 -568 -408 • Full year net cash flow of SEK 15 million Net cash flow 54 -2 -204 15 -1,209 8
  • 9. Capex 2012 and forecast 2013 Capex development and forecast (SEK million) KEY COMMENTS Actual Forecasted • Capex in Q4 amounted to SEK 186 million 1 800 1 600 • Azurite investments of SEK 151 million fully 1,613 expensed in Q4 1 400 1 200 • 2012 full year capex of SEK 255 million, at 1 000 the lower end of the forecast range of SEK 240 – 275 million 800 600 • 2013 forecast of SEK 250 – 380 million, 400 presuming maintained interest (no farm-outs) 200 250-380 255 0 2011 2012 2013 9
  • 11. Strengthened financial position Completed two-step transaction strengthens equity with approx. SEK 1.570 billion Set-off issue 1 » Offer to convertible bondholders to set-off their convertible bonds against newly issued shares at SEK 0.15 » Equity increased with SEK 968 million and nominal debt decreased with SEK 890 million (net debt reduced by 819 MSEK) Fully underwritten rights issue » Fully underwritten rights issue at SEK 0.10 (~50% directed to old share holders and ~50% to convertible bondholders) 2 » Increases equity by SEK 604 million after transaction related costs and reduces net debt by SEK 602 million » Outcome of transactions to result in significant changes in shareholder structure Covenants and Net Debt development Pro forma Q4 2012 Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Covenants Book Equity (SEK million) 2, 194 1 590 956 2,608 >2,000 Book Equity to 46% 37% 22% 43% >40% Capital Employed Net debt (SEK million) 2 028 2 630 3,410 3,503 N/A 11
  • 13. PA Resources way forward >> LONG TERM GROWTH Development of ~ 32 mmboe for 2013 - 2018 long-term production growth Development of prioritised projects with reduced risk >> BALANCED INVESTMENTS Farm-out of assets reducing invest- ments and risk, financing from production and debt financing at lower level 13
  • 14. Business plan – development for future growth Operating cash flow and » Cash flow from producing assets to finance operational expenditures at strengthened liquidity enables the Aseng and Didon fields maintenance, financing and » Strengthened balance sheet, in combination with new debt financing, amortisations enables planned amortizations of bond loans and credit facilities » Farm-out processes ongoing to reduce interest in prioritised assets • Zarat license in Tunisia (Elyssa, Zarat and Didon) Lower interest reduces • 12/06 in Denmark (Broder Tuck and Lille John) the level of investment and risk » Reduced risk exposure to individual projects and share of investment » Strengthened balance sheet enhances position for future transactions » Cash flow from producing fields combined with new debt financing enables development of ~32 mmboe to production from 2016-2018 Development of » Advance Broder Tuck in Denmark and Zarat in Tunisia towards into prioritised assets for development. Progress the appraisal of Lille John in Denmark , Elyssa in long-term production growth Tunisia and Diega in EG towards development » Maintain debt level near post-transaction level during investment phase Selective exploration to further » Active and selective exploration activities to further expand the discovered resource base - few scheduled commitment wells in the expand the resource base coming two years 14
  • 15. Investments and key assumptions Capex forecast 2013-2018 before and KEY ASSUMPTIONS: after farm out transactions (SEK million) Development is not progressed until farm-out 1 800 successful 1 600 • Continued operational expenditures on 1 400 producing fields 1 200 • Development of existing reserves and 970 resources of 155 MMBOE will after farm-out 1 000 add 30 MMBOE 800 1,613 300 • Farm-out of prioritised assets to reach 600 680 preferred working interest level and reduce risk 400 520 on individual assets 540 590 200 • Zarat licence from 100% to 20% 255 270 170 230 0 • Didon field from 100%% to 50% 0 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E • 12/06 from 64% to 15% PA Resources' share of investments Partners' share of investments • Present operatorship in farm-out assets secures development planning • Oil price of 110 USD/bbl and USD/SEK of 6.53 15
  • 16. Expected outcome of planned development Estimated development of net debt and average production KEY ASSUMPTIONS: 5,0 16 000 • Development of existing 14 000 reserves adding after farm-out 4,0 30 MMBOE for long-term 12 000 production growth 3,0 barrels per day 10 000 SEK billion • Debt maintained around 2,0 8 000 current level 1,0 6 000 • Expected net cash position in 4 000 2018 0,0 2 000 -1,0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Net debt actual Production Net debt estimate 16
  • 18. Capex forecast 2013/2014 – drilling programme Drilling programme/planned wells 2013-2014 Capex forecast 2013 includes: DK: 12/06 Lille John 2013/2014 Appraisal/1-2 • Drilling campaign on 12/06 high priority • Drilling on 12/06, Block H and Q7/10a Will Scarlet 2013/2014 Exploration/1 dependent on rig availability Appraisal/ • Drilling campaign in Block I in EG EG: Block I Block I 2013 Exploration/1-2 • Maintenance investments on producing fields EG: Block H Aleta 2013 Exploration/1 • Elyssa well assumes successful farm-out of Zarat license Q4 Appraisal/ NL: Q7/10a Q7-FA 2013/2014 Development/1 • The drilling programme is revised continuously based on the capex budget Tunisia: Zarat Elyssa 2013/2014 Appraisal/1 and prioritised commitments Tunisia: Makthar 2014 Exploration/1 18
  • 19. EG Block I - Plateau continues at foundation asset PA Resources 5.7% • First oil from Aseng in November 2011, plateau level of around 60,000 bopd sustained since March 2012 • Total field production since start in November 2011 of ~27 mmbo + 1.5 million barrels to PA Resources • Average production of 60,500 bopd in Q4, 3,400 net to PA Resources • 1P reserves upgrade substantially replaces 2012 production • Profitable barrels • Investments of SEK 500 million recovered in 2012 • Opex per barrel will reduce after Alen commencement • 6-9 liftings per quarter generate frequent cash flow • Alen field development – first oil expected in Q3 2013 Licence Group: Operator Noble Energy (38%), Atlas Petroleum Int. (27.55%), Glencore (23.75%), PA Resources (5.7%), GEPetrol (5%) 19
  • 20. EG Block I - Exciting near term drilling program PA Resources 5.7% Block I • Firm 2013 drilling programme with Atwood Hunter rig • Progressing two exciting fields towards development • Carla North and South • 2011 discovery in adjacent Block O (’Carla North’) currently being appraised in Block O, where operator has announced additional oil reservoir found Carla South • Operator has announced plans for fast-track development tied back to Aseng vessel • Atwood Hunter rig will shortly move to Block I to spud Carla South exploration well on same trend as Carla North • Diega • Expect appraisal well and 3 to 4 week production test in Block I later in 2013 • Operator estimates Diega P75-P25 gross resource Licence Group: Operator Noble Energy (38%), Atlas range of 65-116 mmboe Petroleum Int. (27.55%), Glencore (23.75%), PA Resources (5.7%), GEPetrol (5%) 20
  • 21. Tunisia Zarat & Elyssa – Gas Market pull on development PA Resources Operator with 100% Historic Gas Demand Demand - Supply Shortfall 600 544 ~5% CAGR 502 900 500 477 96 435 86 75 800 Gas Consumption (mmcfd) 408 410 396 47 400 380 25 29 58 68 48 49 Demand 23 72 700 ~3% CAGR 63 70 68 45 50 74 71 outstrips Natural Gas (mmcfd) 300 54 59 61 63 68 600 Supply 500 from 200 329 2012 280 297 240 241 250 244 248 400 onwards 100 300 - 200 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 STEG IPP Industries (HP) Other (MP & BP) 100 - Historic & Forecasted Gas Supply 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 700 Demand Supply Note: Forecast supply does not include production from Zarat and Elyssa 600 fields 500 Production (mmcfd) 400 300 200 100 - 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Algerian Gas Miskar Hasdrubal El Franig Baguel Chergui Adam Fields Oued Zar Maamoura and Baraka Jbel Grouz Chouech Es Saida South Tunisia Gas Project Other Source: STEG 2012 21
  • 22. Tunisia Zarat & Elyssa - Beneficial economic environment Linkage of domestic gas price to oil price... …generates strong gas price for the project International Gas Prices Regional Gas Prices • Gas price enshrined in Tunisian Law 14 11.90 12 • Formula is tied to 85% of Mediterranean high 11.00 10.83 9.63 sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) price 10 9.18 US$ / mcf • Assuming USD 90/bbl long term oil price, resultant 8 ~6.00 Tunisian gas price is c. USD 11/mcf 6 4.22 • Assuming USD 100/bbl long term oil price, resultant 4 2.4 2.24 Tunisian gas price is c. USD 12/mcf 2 - Tunisia Asia TTF NBP Henry Libya Israel Egypt Hub (EPSA) Fiscal Incentives…. …results in Government share of profit comparable to OECD ~75% ~77% • Full recovery of exploration and development ~58% ~60% ~60% ~62% ~64% expenditure • Partial recovery of financing costs • One of the most attractive E&P fiscal regimes in North Africa Americas Tunisia OECD Middle Asia- North Sub- East Pacific Africa Saharan Africa Source: Wood Mackenzie, Bloomberg, Factset 22
  • 23. Tunisia Onshore Potential - Makthar and Jelma PA Resources 100% Makthar and Jelma permits • Jelma-Makthar permits surround producing NW Maiza Douleb, Semmama and Tamesmida (DST) fields onshore Tunisia Makthar permit • Both permits cover areas of 7,216 km² and 3,828 km² • Jelma extended until 2016 and Makthar until 2014 Friha Boughanem • Makthar permit contains several onshore exploration prospects Jelma permit • Regional mapping of reservoirs, seals and source rock formations over both permits completed • Awarded open acreage around Douleb (189km2) Douleb & Semmama as integrated into Makthar permit • New seismic to be acquired over Makthar’s most promising prospects and leads in 2013 to mature prospect for commitment well in 2014 Licence Group: Operator PA Resouces 100% ETAP has a back-in right of up to 55% 23
  • 24. Denmark 12/06 - Progressing discoveries PA Resources Operator with 64% Broder Tuck • High quality Middle Jurassic reservoir proved by wells • Mid to high case assessment of c. 25-50 mmboe gross of contingent resources including liquids • Technical and commercial studies continuing with focus on eliminating need for further appraisal drilling • Ongoing discussions with owners of infrastructure for tie 12/06 Broder Tuck-2 back as one of range of possible development concepts Lille John-1 Lille John • Wells established 35 API oil in Miocene sandstone B20008-73 at c. 900m – exceptionally light oil for shallow depth • Remaining deeper potential likely – Chalk and Middle Jurassic • Efforts to locate available rig for appraisal drilling continue in tight rig market Licence Group: Operator PA Resources (64%), • Development options dependent on appraisal results – Nordsøfonden (20%), Spyker Energy (8%), Danoil (8%) successful appraisal could lead to tieback to nearby infrastructure or standalone development 24
  • 25. Denmark 12/06 - Exploration and appraisal potential PA Resources Operator with 64% 12/06 Prospectivity Broder Tuck (Chalk) 5 km’s • Existing U-1X Chalk • Prospects at Miocene, Chalk & discovery Middle Jurassic levels ~ 5-10 mmbo • Commitments fulfilled, 2 year extension to 2014 • Follow-on potential in German Broder Tuck (Jurassic) licence B20008-73 • M. Jurassic gas / condensate discovery ~25 – 50 mmboe Will Scarlet 12/06 • Tertiary prospect Lille John (Miocene) supported by seismic BT-1 • Shallow oil discovery anomaly per Lille John requires appraisal • Low to moderate risk • If appraisal is successful: 10-50 mmbo ~10-50 mmbo Lille John area Lille John area • Additional small, low • Additional potential in Chalk risk Tertiary and Middle Jurassic anomalies • Currently reprocessing 3D • Low risk 2-10 mmbo LJ-1 • Moderate risk, potential size comparable to Lille John = Planned/possible wells 2013/2014 25
  • 26. Germany B20008-73 - Farm-out PA Resources Operator with 90% Licence B20008/73 • Danish and Dutch sector prospectivity extends onto B20008-73 • Danoil farming in for 10% (subject to regulatory Broder Tuck approvals) • PA Resources’ 2011 Danish discoveries are seen Lille John to upgrade prospectivity of B20008-73 Regnar • Currently evaluating existing 3D over block and Vagn adjacent areas Tove Hanze Licence Group: Operator PA Resources (90%), Danoil (10% subject to regulatory approvals) 26
  • 27. UK 22/19a - Undeveloped field in Central North Sea PA Resources Operator with 50% Discovered resources on 22/19a • Application group PA Resources 50% (Operator), First Oil & Gas Limited 50%, notified that award will be made. • 22/19-1 Fiddich Triassic gas condensate discovery (1984) flowed 15 mmcfg/d and ~1500 bcpd • Fiddich discovery and low risk Fiddich East segment – several 10’s mmboe combined • Key issue – minimum economic reserve size and availability of options for tieback Application group: PA Resources 50% (Operator), First Oil & Gas Limited 50%. 27
  • 28. Summary and outlook >> OPERATING CASH FLOW FROM PRODUCING FIELDS Important cash flow with profitable barrels from the Aseng field – foundation for growth >> STRENGTHENED FINANCIAL POSITION Capacity to finance development capex and planned amortisations, enhanced position for future transactions >> EXPLORATION AND APPRAISAL WITH UPSIDE POTENTIAL Drilling activites on prioritised assets - Block I campaign in 2013 and 12/06 campaign possibly in 2013 or 2014 >> FOCUS ON ADDING LONG TERM PRODUCTION GROWTH Focus on farm out of prioritised assets and development – 32 MMBOE PA Resources net participation - expected net cash position in 2018 28
  • 29. Thank you! Q1 Report on 24 April 2013 Q1