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The Future Perspective of the
Electricity Market –
Unbundling and Market Integration:
A German Perspective
International Symposium
“Towards YR2030 and Beyond”
Japan Renewable Energy Foundation (JREF)




Dr. Felix Chr. Matthes
Tokyo, 6 September 2012
The German context: Energiewende
Ambitious and long term targets


          GHG      Renewable Energies             Energy efficiency              Nuclear
        emissions Gross final Power     Primary   Space      Final      Power     power
                  consump- generation   energy    heating   Energy    consump-
                     tion                                                tion
 2011                                                                             -41%
 2015                                                                             -47%
 2917                                                                             -54%
 2019                                                                             -60%
 2020     -40%       18%       35%       -20%      -20%      -10%      -10%
 2021                                                                             -80%
 2022                                                                            -100%
 2030     -55%       30%       50%
 2040     -70%       45%       65%
         -80 to
 2050                60%       80%       -50%      -80%      -40%      -25%
          -95%
 Base
          1990                           2008      2008      2005       2008      2010
 year




                                                            Source: BReg (2010/2011)
Significant share of renewables
It’s reality

                              Transparency data
                              for power generation
                              Day ahead prognosis

                              6 September 2012
                              •A sunny, low-wind day
                              •Renewables share
                              at noon ~ 40%




                                  Source: EEX Transparency Platform
Power generation from renewables
Challenges & policy approaches


      600
               Main Challenges
               Take-off, technology, cost cuttings          System & market integration Storage               System services
                                                                          European Integration
      500
               Main policies
               Financial support scheme (FiT)           Market design (conventional & renewables & storage)
               Obligation for network connection        Enabling framework for massive infrastructure roll-out (T & D & S)
               Priority network access                                  European convergence
      400
                                                                                                       National targets
TWh




      300                  Historical data              Binding target (EU)

                                                                                                        Geothermal
                                                                                                        Waste (biogenic)
      200
                                                                                                        Landfill gas
                                                                                                        Biomass
                                                                                                        Photovoltaics
      100                                                                                               Wind - offshore
                                                                                                        Wind - onshore
                                                                                                        Hydro
        0
            1990    1995      2000      2005         2010       2015    2020     2025     2030     2035      2040         2045   2050




                                                                              Source: BReg (2012), Öko-Institut (2012)
Medium- and long-term challenges
for system & market integration (1)

• The recent German support scheme (Feed-in Tariff) was the key
  policy for the take-off phase
    Fixed and long-term feed-in tariffs, based on costs
    Obligation for connection to the (existing) network
    Priority access to the network and the market
• The next phase will require a broader policy approach
    Today’s liberalized (EU) electricity (energy only) market creates
     neither a solid basis for integration of renewables nor a sufficient
     economic framework for the necessary conventional investments
      • Price formation based on short-term marginal costs
        (~0 for wind & solar)
      • No long-term contracts
      • No capacity markets/payments
    Market integration of renewables requires a reform of todays
     power markets and a (stepwise) reform of the support scheme
Medium- and long-term challenges
for system & market integration (2)

• The next phase will require a broader policy approach (ctnd)
    Significant shares of renewables require new approaches to
     infrastructure design, operations & development
      • Massive upgrading of transmission and distribution networks
         is necessary (= significant investments)
      • Unbiased network operators
           In planning processes
           With regard to the necessary (long-term) investments
           Within network operations (access, system services etc.)
      • Independent regulators with a clear mandate
           Creating an enabling framework
           Avoiding abuse of market power from infrastructure
             monopolies
• This presentation is about infrastructure integration only.
  However, market integration is another challenging issue
Recent phase of infrastructure integration
benefited from EU market liberalization

• EU market liberalization
    First package (1996): opening national markets
      • Networks: legal, functional and accounting unbundling for
        TSOs and DSOs (>100,000 customers)
    Second package (2003): further opening of national markets,
     regulation of cross-border trades
      • Networks: legal, functional and accounting unbundling of
         TSOs and DSOs (>100,000 customers)
    Third package (2009): development of regional/European
     markets, institutions for European co-operation, European
     guidelines and network codes
      • Transmission Networks: ownership unbundling for TSOs or
         Independent System/Transmission Operator (ISO/ITO)
      • Distribution networks: legal, functional and accounting
         unbundling for DSOs (>100,000 customers)
      • High-standard medium-term network planning
Rapidly changing structures in the
German electricity supply system

• Starting point
    Four major vertically integrated utilities (generation,
     transmission, distribution, sales): RWE, E.ON, Vattenfall, EnBW
    Regional & municipal vertically integrated utilities
• Recent status
    Four major unbundled utilities
      • Separate entities for generation and sales
      • Unbundled transmission system
          Full ownership unbundling: 50 Hertz (formerly Vattenfall),
            TenneT (formerly E.ON)
          Partly ownership unbundling: Amprion (formerly RWE
            which still owns 25%)
          No ownership unbundling: Transnet BW (formerly EnBW
            which still owns 100%)
    Regional & municipal utilities, the larger ones legally unbundled
Experiences from unbundling
The German case

• The German government and significant parts of the German
  electricity industry opposed all mandatory unbundling
  provisions when the respective EU legislative proposals were
  discussed
• Ironically, German utilities often went beyond the minimum
  requirements for unbundling, after these has been approved
• What has changed since further steps of unbundling were
  implemented?
    Much more unbiased activities, network companies are a more
     accepted and reliable partner for policy
    Significantly more investments in network infrastructure
    Network companies became a key player on medium- and long-
     term infrastructure planning with broad and intensive
     consultations of assumptions, methodologies and results
• However, this results from the structure of the network
   companies as well as a (new) effective regulatory body
Infrastructure planning in Germany
The recent Network Development Plan




            Source: NEP 2012 as of August 2012, www.netzentwicklungsplan.de
Power system structures
Lessons learned

• An ambitious and comprehensive support scheme for
  renewables (financing, network connection, dispatch) as
  primary instrument is key for the take-off phase
• Beyond the take-off phase broader approaches are essential
    More complex financing for renewables is essential to optimize
     investments and operations
    Creating market structures which are more appropriate
    Creating an infrastructure industry (transmission and distribution)
      • which is supportive for infrastructure upgrades and roll-out
      • which has an self-interest in infrastructure investments and
        the ability for implementation of these investments
      • Far-reaching (ownership) unbundling has been effective
    Creating an effective regulatory body
      • Effective oversight on infrastructure monopolies
      • Effective planning for major infrastructure upgrades & roll-out
Thank you
                very much

Dr. Felix Chr. Matthes
Energy & Climate Division
Büro Berlin
Schicklerstraße 5-7
D-10179 Berlin
f.matthes@oeko.de
www.oeko.de

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The Future Perspective of the Electricity Market – Unbundling and Market Integration: A German Perspective

  • 1. The Future Perspective of the Electricity Market – Unbundling and Market Integration: A German Perspective International Symposium “Towards YR2030 and Beyond” Japan Renewable Energy Foundation (JREF) Dr. Felix Chr. Matthes Tokyo, 6 September 2012
  • 2. The German context: Energiewende Ambitious and long term targets GHG Renewable Energies Energy efficiency Nuclear emissions Gross final Power Primary Space Final Power power consump- generation energy heating Energy consump- tion tion 2011 -41% 2015 -47% 2917 -54% 2019 -60% 2020 -40% 18% 35% -20% -20% -10% -10% 2021 -80% 2022 -100% 2030 -55% 30% 50% 2040 -70% 45% 65% -80 to 2050 60% 80% -50% -80% -40% -25% -95% Base 1990 2008 2008 2005 2008 2010 year Source: BReg (2010/2011)
  • 3. Significant share of renewables It’s reality Transparency data for power generation Day ahead prognosis 6 September 2012 •A sunny, low-wind day •Renewables share at noon ~ 40% Source: EEX Transparency Platform
  • 4. Power generation from renewables Challenges & policy approaches 600 Main Challenges Take-off, technology, cost cuttings System & market integration Storage System services European Integration 500 Main policies Financial support scheme (FiT) Market design (conventional & renewables & storage) Obligation for network connection Enabling framework for massive infrastructure roll-out (T & D & S) Priority network access European convergence 400 National targets TWh 300 Historical data Binding target (EU) Geothermal Waste (biogenic) 200 Landfill gas Biomass Photovoltaics 100 Wind - offshore Wind - onshore Hydro 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Source: BReg (2012), Öko-Institut (2012)
  • 5. Medium- and long-term challenges for system & market integration (1) • The recent German support scheme (Feed-in Tariff) was the key policy for the take-off phase  Fixed and long-term feed-in tariffs, based on costs  Obligation for connection to the (existing) network  Priority access to the network and the market • The next phase will require a broader policy approach  Today’s liberalized (EU) electricity (energy only) market creates neither a solid basis for integration of renewables nor a sufficient economic framework for the necessary conventional investments • Price formation based on short-term marginal costs (~0 for wind & solar) • No long-term contracts • No capacity markets/payments  Market integration of renewables requires a reform of todays power markets and a (stepwise) reform of the support scheme
  • 6. Medium- and long-term challenges for system & market integration (2) • The next phase will require a broader policy approach (ctnd)  Significant shares of renewables require new approaches to infrastructure design, operations & development • Massive upgrading of transmission and distribution networks is necessary (= significant investments) • Unbiased network operators  In planning processes  With regard to the necessary (long-term) investments  Within network operations (access, system services etc.) • Independent regulators with a clear mandate  Creating an enabling framework  Avoiding abuse of market power from infrastructure monopolies • This presentation is about infrastructure integration only. However, market integration is another challenging issue
  • 7. Recent phase of infrastructure integration benefited from EU market liberalization • EU market liberalization  First package (1996): opening national markets • Networks: legal, functional and accounting unbundling for TSOs and DSOs (>100,000 customers)  Second package (2003): further opening of national markets, regulation of cross-border trades • Networks: legal, functional and accounting unbundling of TSOs and DSOs (>100,000 customers)  Third package (2009): development of regional/European markets, institutions for European co-operation, European guidelines and network codes • Transmission Networks: ownership unbundling for TSOs or Independent System/Transmission Operator (ISO/ITO) • Distribution networks: legal, functional and accounting unbundling for DSOs (>100,000 customers) • High-standard medium-term network planning
  • 8. Rapidly changing structures in the German electricity supply system • Starting point  Four major vertically integrated utilities (generation, transmission, distribution, sales): RWE, E.ON, Vattenfall, EnBW  Regional & municipal vertically integrated utilities • Recent status  Four major unbundled utilities • Separate entities for generation and sales • Unbundled transmission system  Full ownership unbundling: 50 Hertz (formerly Vattenfall), TenneT (formerly E.ON)  Partly ownership unbundling: Amprion (formerly RWE which still owns 25%)  No ownership unbundling: Transnet BW (formerly EnBW which still owns 100%)  Regional & municipal utilities, the larger ones legally unbundled
  • 9. Experiences from unbundling The German case • The German government and significant parts of the German electricity industry opposed all mandatory unbundling provisions when the respective EU legislative proposals were discussed • Ironically, German utilities often went beyond the minimum requirements for unbundling, after these has been approved • What has changed since further steps of unbundling were implemented?  Much more unbiased activities, network companies are a more accepted and reliable partner for policy  Significantly more investments in network infrastructure  Network companies became a key player on medium- and long- term infrastructure planning with broad and intensive consultations of assumptions, methodologies and results • However, this results from the structure of the network companies as well as a (new) effective regulatory body
  • 10. Infrastructure planning in Germany The recent Network Development Plan Source: NEP 2012 as of August 2012, www.netzentwicklungsplan.de
  • 11. Power system structures Lessons learned • An ambitious and comprehensive support scheme for renewables (financing, network connection, dispatch) as primary instrument is key for the take-off phase • Beyond the take-off phase broader approaches are essential  More complex financing for renewables is essential to optimize investments and operations  Creating market structures which are more appropriate  Creating an infrastructure industry (transmission and distribution) • which is supportive for infrastructure upgrades and roll-out • which has an self-interest in infrastructure investments and the ability for implementation of these investments • Far-reaching (ownership) unbundling has been effective  Creating an effective regulatory body • Effective oversight on infrastructure monopolies • Effective planning for major infrastructure upgrades & roll-out
  • 12. Thank you very much Dr. Felix Chr. Matthes Energy & Climate Division Büro Berlin Schicklerstraße 5-7 D-10179 Berlin f.matthes@oeko.de www.oeko.de