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OakMayor2014.com Oakland Mayoral and City Council Poll Crosstabs

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OakMayor2014

Crosstabs of the Oakland mayor and city council poll commissioned by OakMayor2014.com and conducted by FM3 Research. FM3 completed 1,012 telephone interviews with likely November 2014 voters in the City of Oakland • Interviews were conducted September 8-14, 2014 • Interviews conducted on landlines and cell phones • Interviews conducted in English, Spanish and Chinese (both Cantonese and Mandarin) 712 interviews were conducted citywide An additional 300 interviews were conducted in the 2nd, 4th and 6th City Council Districts, yielding the following total number of interviews in each District: • 209 in City Council District 2 • 206 in City Council District 4 • 211 in City Council District 6 Margin of sampling error of +/-3.7% for the citywide results Margin of sampling error of +/-6.9% for the City Council District results Due to rounding, not all percentages sum to 100% • Names and ballot designations for all certified candidates in each race were read to respondents. • The candidates were read in random order. • Respondents were asked for their first, second and third choices. • To model ranked-choice voting, undecided voters were eliminated. Supporters of the lowest-ranked candidate were re-allocated based on their second-and third-choice preferences. The process was repeated until a candidate reached majority support.

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FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE ................................................................................................................. 3 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE .............................................................................................................. 6 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE ................................................................................................... 10 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? ....................................... 13 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? ...................................... 20 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? ....................................... 27 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR ........................................................................................................ 34 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? ................................................... 38 TABLE 9: Q3A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for City Council? (City Council District 2) ................. 45 TABLE 10: Q3B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for City Council? (City Council District 2) ................ 52 TABLE 11: Q3C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for City Council? (City Council District 2) ................. 59 TABLE 12: Q3. EVER CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 ...................................................................................... 66 TABLE 13: Q4A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for City Council? (City Council District 4) ................. 69 TABLE 14: Q4B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for City Council? (City Council District 4) ................ 76 TABLE 15: Q4C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for City Council? (City Council District 4) ................. 80 TABLE 16: Q4. EVER CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ...................................................................................... 84 TABLE 17: Q5A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for City Council? (City Council District 6) ................. 87 TABLE 18: Q5B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for City Council? (City Council District 6) ................ 94 TABLE 19: Q5C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for City Council? (City Council District 6) ................ 101 TABLE 20: Q5. EVER CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 ..................................................................................... 108 TABLE 21: Q6. UNION MEMBERSHIP ............................................................................................................ 111 TABLE 22: Q7. ETHNICITY ................................................................................................................... 115 TABLE 23: Q8. More specifically, would you say that you are... ............................................................................ 119 TABLE 24: GENDER .......................................................................................................................... 123 TABLE 25: PARTY REGISTRATION .............................................................................................................. 125 TABLE 26: LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW ........................................................................................................... 129 TABLE 27: STATEWIDE ELECTION FLAGS ........................................................................................................ 131 TABLE 28: AGE ............................................................................................................................. 135 TABLE 29: CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT ........................................................................................................... 139 TABLE 30: PERMANENT ABSENTEE .............................................................................................................. 142 TABLE 31: HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE ............................................................................................................ 144 TABLE 32: DEMOGRAPHIC COMBINATIONS ........................................................................................................ 147
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 3 TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 YES 54% 55% 57% 39% 67% 35% 64% 44% 71% 55% 57% 54% 43% 51% 41% 61% 36% 67% 57% 55% 52% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 55 57 39 67 35 64 44 71 55 57 54 43 51 41 61 36 67 57 55 52 TOTAL NO 46 45 43 61 33 65 36 56 29 45 43 46 57 49 59 39 64 33 43 45 48 No, not on cell/own one 34 39 33 45 27 50 26 43 22 30 35 36 43 42 47 29 48 27 32 35 35 No, not on cell/don't own 12 6 10 16 7 15 10 12 7 14 7 11 14 7 13 11 16 6 11 9 13 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 YES 54% 65% 75% 54% 0% 73% 54% 66% 69% 63% 64% 68% 33% 49% 67% 100% 50% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 65 75 54 0 73 54 66 69 63 64 68 33 49 67 100 50 TOTAL NO 46 35 25 46 100 27 46 34 31 37 36 32 67 51 33 0 50 No, not on cell/own one 34 27 16 33 100 13 28 26 23 27 36 24 48 37 33 0 39 No, not on cell/don't own 12 8 9 14 0 14 18 8 8 10 0 8 19 13 0 0 11 Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 YES 54% 36% 49% 46% 100% 48% 45% 80% 20% 100% 54% 48% 45% 57% 44% 100% 100% 0% 84% 31% 9% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 36 49 46 100 48 45 80 20 100 54 48 45 57 44 100 100 0 84 31 9 TOTAL NO 46 64 51 54 0 52 55 20 80 0 46 52 55 43 56 0 0 100 16 69 91 No, not on cell/own one 34 46 41 37 0 41 46 11 72 0 35 42 45 36 42 0 0 74 16 69 41 No, not on cell/don't own 12 18 10 18 0 11 9 9 8 0 11 10 10 8 14 0 0 26 0 0 49
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 4 TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 YES 54% 52% 56% 54% 55% 53% 55% 60% 57% 50% 54% 57% 56% 76% 71% 61% 46% 38% 33% 68% 42% 37% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 52 56 54 55 53 55 60 57 50 54 57 56 76 71 61 46 38 33 68 42 37 TOTAL NO 46 48 44 46 45 47 45 40 43 50 46 43 44 24 29 39 54 62 67 32 58 63 No, not on cell/own one 34 30 36 33 34 34 31 31 39 41 40 35 33 18 26 30 38 45 47 25 42 46 No, not on cell/don't own 12 18 8 13 11 13 14 9 4 9 6 8 11 6 3 9 15 17 20 6 17 18 PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 YES 54% 55% 54% 54% 61% 32% 67% 44% 70% 40% 56% 53% 61% 60% 29% 36% 70% 41% 70% 47% 28% 34% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 55 54 54 61 32 67 44 70 40 56 53 61 60 29 36 70 41 70 47 28 34 TOTAL NO 46 45 46 46 39 68 33 56 30 60 44 47 39 40 71 64 30 59 30 53 72 66 No, not on cell/own one 34 35 33 34 32 45 29 41 22 42 33 34 35 28 51 36 24 41 24 42 48 44 No, not on cell/don't own 12 10 13 12 8 23 4 14 8 18 12 13 4 12 20 28 5 18 6 10 24 23 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 YES 54% 55% 57% 53% 47% 62% 51% 60% 60% 40% 36% 35% 63% 45% 53% 53% 51% 47% 44% 41% 37% 32% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 55 57 53 47 62 51 60 60 40 36 35 63 45 53 53 51 47 44 41 37 32 TOTAL NO 46 45 43 47 53 38 49 40 40 60 64 65 37 55 47 47 49 53 56 59 63 68 No, not on cell/own one 34 33 27 38 40 27 39 27 30 43 46 46 29 38 35 35 36 39 41 43 45 51 No, not on cell/don't own 12 11 15 9 13 11 10 13 10 17 18 19 8 17 12 12 13 14 15 16 18 17
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 5 TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 YES 54% 56% 52% 55% 45% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 56 52 55 45 TOTAL NO 46 44 48 45 55 No, not on cell/own one 34 32 36 33 47 No, not on cell/don't own 12 12 12 12 8
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 6 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 121 137 83 41 49 47 19 58 340 200 248 159 78 100 92 59 142 266 140 508 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 54% 60% 55% 71% 56% 77% 81% 62% 60% 59% 61% 58% 64% 56% 64% 61% 60% 63% 64% 58% All cell phone 42 36 37 30 45 25 48 63 52 46 38 39 32 40 30 44 36 44 43 44 40 Mostly cell phone 19 17 23 25 26 31 28 17 11 14 21 22 26 24 27 20 25 16 21 20 18 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 35 28 29 18 30 11 16 28 22 30 27 29 21 29 22 28 28 24 23 27 Cell and landline equally 25 35 28 29 18 30 11 16 28 22 30 27 29 21 29 22 28 28 24 23 27 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 11 12 15 10 14 12 3 10 17 11 12 12 14 13 14 11 12 13 12 14 Mostly landline 14 11 12 15 10 14 12 3 10 17 11 12 12 14 13 14 11 12 13 12 14 DK/NA 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 DK/NA 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 10 13 17 2 10 77 17 24 29 14 18 31 20 2 1 97 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 48% 75% 56% 57% 68% 61% 58% 71% 58% 64% 69% 52% 37% 67% 100% 52% All cell phone 42 25 55 35 0 46 44 33 44 41 35 34 27 30 33 100 35 Mostly cell phone 19 23 20 20 57 22 17 25 27 18 29 35 25 8 34 0 17 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 43 10 21 43 17 29 33 17 24 36 13 33 39 33 0 28 Cell and landline equally 25 43 10 21 43 17 29 33 17 24 36 13 33 39 33 0 28 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 10 9 24 0 15 8 9 8 18 0 18 15 23 0 0 20 Mostly landline 14 10 9 24 0 15 8 9 8 18 0 18 15 23 0 0 20 DK/NA 1 0 6 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DK/NA 1 0 6 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 7 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 43 34 21 1 37 11 5 5 1 50 43 23 18 18 1 551 342 540 227 122 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 48% 45% 47% 100% 47% 55% 74% 32% 0% 63% 47% 47% 48% 44% 0% 83% 24% 100% 0% 0% All cell phone 42 27 31 36 100 34 36 29 22 0 49 32 28 22 26 0 62 8 69 0 0 Mostly cell phone 19 22 14 12 0 13 20 45 10 0 15 15 19 27 18 0 20 16 31 0 0 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 36 36 33 0 35 21 13 22 42 22 32 32 30 26 42 13 46 0 100 0 Cell and landline equally 25 36 36 33 0 35 21 13 22 42 22 32 32 30 26 42 13 46 0 100 0 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 16 19 19 0 18 23 12 37 58 13 21 21 21 28 58 4 29 0 0 100 Mostly landline 14 16 19 19 0 18 23 12 37 58 13 21 21 21 28 58 4 29 0 0 100 DK/NA 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 DK/NA 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 100 73 161 725 373 242 95 64 35 99 59 494 114 176 166 231 135 65 455 431 200 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 59% 51% 58% 61% 63% 59% 63% 43% 64% 50% 66% 59% 81% 75% 70% 51% 44% 26% 75% 45% 38% All cell phone 42 46 28 41 42 42 40 47 23 46 31 52 41 57 56 45 36 29 13 52 30 24 Mostly cell phone 19 12 23 17 20 21 18 17 20 18 19 14 18 23 19 25 15 15 13 22 15 14 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 30 25 25 25 23 25 21 48 28 41 20 27 14 22 24 30 28 35 21 30 31 Cell and landline equally 25 30 25 25 25 23 25 21 48 28 41 20 27 14 22 24 30 28 35 21 30 31 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 10 24 16 13 13 16 15 10 8 9 14 14 4 3 5 18 27 38 4 24 31 Mostly landline 14 10 24 16 13 13 16 15 10 8 9 14 14 4 3 5 18 27 38 4 24 31 DK/NA 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 DK/NA 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 8 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 420 473 603 243 47 219 198 237 233 255 349 136 107 30 17 295 302 145 98 15 31 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 64% 58% 60% 64% 51% 77% 48% 72% 42% 64% 57% 65% 62% 55% 42% 74% 45% 75% 47% 88% 32% All cell phone 42 44 40 43 41 29 51 35 54 26 47 40 40 41 33 22 55 31 48 30 41 22 Mostly cell phone 19 20 18 17 23 22 26 13 19 16 17 17 25 21 23 21 19 14 27 17 46 10 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 24 27 25 28 21 19 29 23 32 23 25 24 35 24 17 20 29 23 36 12 26 Cell and landline equally 25 24 27 25 28 21 19 29 23 32 23 25 24 35 24 17 20 29 23 36 12 26 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 13 14 15 8 27 4 23 4 25 13 16 11 4 21 37 5 25 2 16 0 40 Mostly landline 14 13 14 15 8 27 4 23 4 25 13 16 11 4 21 37 5 25 2 16 0 40 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 0 2 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 0 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 189 128 148 150 81 109 88 419 144 29 9 200 92 815 790 717 552 442 328 242 135 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 67% 61% 65% 50% 64% 55% 57% 63% 50% 49% 61% 68% 50% 59% 59% 58% 55% 51% 47% 45% 41% All cell phone 42 45 42 47 33 47 40 36 46 34 33 13 43 34 40 40 39 35 32 28 27 24 Mostly cell phone 19 22 19 19 17 16 16 22 17 16 16 48 25 16 19 19 19 20 18 19 18 17 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 22 27 23 31 24 26 27 24 26 26 0 25 33 26 26 26 27 29 31 32 32 Cell and landline equally 25 22 27 23 31 24 26 27 24 26 26 0 25 33 26 26 26 27 29 31 32 32 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 10 11 12 19 13 18 16 12 23 25 33 7 17 14 15 15 17 19 21 23 26 Mostly landline 14 10 11 12 19 13 18 16 12 23 25 33 7 17 14 15 15 17 19 21 23 26 DK/NA 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 DK/NA 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 9 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 536 357 817 76 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 61% 59% 62% 40% All cell phone 42 42 42 43 23 Mostly cell phone 19 20 18 19 16 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 25 26 24 41 Cell and landline equally 25 25 26 24 41 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 13 14 13 19 Mostly landline 14 13 14 13 19 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 10 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 50% 53% 47% 66% 47% 69% 71% 58% 52% 55% 55% 50% 60% 49% 57% 51% 56% 56% 59% 51% BOTH EQUALLY 22 33 25 25 17 25 10 14 26 19 28 24 25 20 26 19 23 26 21 21 24 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 16 21 28 16 26 21 15 16 28 17 22 24 20 24 23 25 18 22 20 25 ALL OTHER 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 44% 68% 48% 57% 58% 50% 54% 66% 53% 64% 63% 42% 32% 67% 100% 46% BOTH EQUALLY 22 39 9 18 43 14 24 30 16 22 36 12 27 34 33 0 25 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 16 17 34 0 27 25 16 15 26 0 25 31 34 0 0 29 ALL OTHER 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 40% 41% 39% 100% 42% 50% 68% 29% 0% 56% 42% 42% 45% 38% 0% 83% 18% 100% 0% 0% BOTH EQUALLY 22 29 33 28 0 31 19 12 20 42 20 29 28 28 22 42 13 34 0 100 0 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 31 27 33 0 27 30 20 42 58 23 29 29 28 38 58 4 47 0 0 100 ALL OTHER 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 11 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 48% 47% 50% 54% 55% 50% 57% 41% 58% 47% 60% 52% 76% 72% 63% 43% 36% 21% 70% 38% 31% BOTH EQUALLY 22 25 23 22 23 20 22 19 46 25 38 19 24 13 21 22 26 24 28 20 25 25 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 26 30 28 23 25 28 23 13 17 14 21 24 10 6 14 31 39 51 10 36 43 ALL OTHER 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 57% 50% 52% 59% 39% 74% 41% 66% 34% 56% 50% 63% 54% 44% 31% 70% 37% 71% 42% 67% 25% BOTH EQUALLY 22 21 23 21 26 16 18 25 21 26 21 22 23 30 19 12 19 24 22 32 9 20 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 21 26 25 15 44 8 34 12 39 23 27 14 16 36 55 10 38 8 25 24 53 ALL OTHER 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 60% 52% 60% 44% 57% 50% 50% 57% 42% 40% 49% 63% 42% 52% 51% 50% 47% 43% 40% 37% 34% BOTH EQUALLY 22 20 22 21 27 21 23 24 22 22 21 0 23 27 23 23 23 23 25 26 26 27 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 20 24 19 29 22 26 27 21 36 39 46 14 31 25 25 26 29 32 34 37 39 ALL OTHER 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 12 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 54% 52% 55% 37% BOTH EQUALLY 22 22 23 21 38 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 23 25 24 25 ALL OTHER 0 0 1 1 0
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 13 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 13% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 60% 10% 9% 6% 2% 6% 8% 17% 2% 11% 18% Jean Quan 11 84 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 9 8 6 2 6 8 16 1 9 16 Lean Quan 2 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 55 10 12 7 24 14 15 21 14 12 Rebecca Kaplan 14 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 49 10 10 7 22 13 13 19 13 10 Lean Kaplan 2 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 12 53 8 21 7 29 6 18 17 4 Libby Schaaf 9 0 0 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 11 49 8 16 7 25 6 17 15 4 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 5 0 4 0 1 2 0 TOTAL PARKER 4 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 2 52 4 2 1 8 6 8 3 Bryan Parker 4 0 0 0 85 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 2 44 4 1 1 7 5 7 2 Lean Parker 1 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 2 5 16 10 50 3 8 3 10 9 3 Joe Tuman 6 0 0 0 0 98 0 0 0 0 2 5 16 10 49 3 8 3 10 9 3 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 4 6 3 3 3 51 5 7 6 8 4 Dan Siegel 4 0 0 0 0 0 81 0 0 0 4 4 3 3 3 42 3 6 5 6 3 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 10 2 1 1 2 1 TOTAL RUBY 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 2 0 5 4 6 3 30 2 3 6 1 Courtney Ruby 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 92 0 0 1 0 4 4 6 2 28 2 3 5 1 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 5 5 2 6 6 4 4 41 5 12 5 Jason Anderson 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 12 1 6 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 2 7 1 3 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 4 2 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 4% 1% 0% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 15 50 Undecided/DK/NA 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 15 50
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 14 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 13% 14% 21% 5% 0% 34% 11% 21% 19% 7% 27% 31% 8% 15% 66% 0% 11% Jean Quan 11 14 21 5 0 34 11 21 19 7 27 31 8 15 66 0 11 Lean Quan 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 16 12 18 0 26 11 13 17 18 9 18 14 3 0 100 11 Rebecca Kaplan 14 16 12 15 0 19 9 13 14 16 9 14 14 3 0 100 9 Lean Kaplan 2 0 0 3 0 7 1 0 3 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 21 16 14 0 11 8 15 17 18 15 19 47 30 0 0 15 Libby Schaaf 9 21 16 14 0 11 8 15 17 18 15 19 44 30 0 0 14 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 0 4 7 0 14 2 7 2 11 5 11 2 9 0 0 1 Bryan Parker 4 0 4 3 0 14 1 7 2 9 0 8 2 6 0 0 0 Lean Parker 1 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 2 5 3 0 3 0 0 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 14 4 19 0 0 5 8 5 13 5 0 6 4 0 0 8 Joe Tuman 6 14 4 14 0 0 5 8 5 10 5 0 6 4 0 0 8 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 0 5 14 0 0 6 4 5 9 0 7 7 0 0 0 2 Dan Siegel 4 0 5 14 0 0 5 4 5 9 0 7 7 0 0 0 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 3 Courtney Ruby 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL OTHER 6 13 4 10 29 0 3 7 7 10 23 0 4 19 34 0 2 Jason Anderson 2 0 0 0 29 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 2 6 0 0 1 Lean Anderson 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 4 0 0 3 34 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 7 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 5 0 2 0 0 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 23 32 10 71 15 52 24 26 14 16 13 8 19 0 0 46 Undecided/DK/NA 39 23 32 10 71 15 52 24 26 14 16 13 8 19 0 0 46
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 15 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 13% 12% 14% 12% 0% 16% 19% 34% 9% 0% 10% 19% 11% 21% 10% 0% 13% 12% 12% 19% 9% Jean Quan 11 12 14 12 0 13 19 23 0 0 9 16 11 18 7 0 11 10 10 17 7 Lean Quan 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 10 9 0 1 2 0 3 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 12 6 7 100 26 4 10 18 0 7 23 13 20 23 0 16 14 15 17 14 Rebecca Kaplan 14 12 6 7 100 22 0 10 18 0 4 20 9 15 18 0 14 13 14 16 11 Lean Kaplan 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 3 4 4 5 5 0 1 2 1 1 3 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 43 34 35 0 4 5 0 9 42 2 4 2 3 5 42 7 13 8 11 11 Libby Schaaf 9 41 34 35 0 3 5 0 9 42 2 2 2 3 5 42 6 12 8 10 11 Lean Schaaf 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 4 6 3 0 9 5 21 0 0 8 8 8 11 2 0 5 3 5 3 3 Bryan Parker 4 3 4 3 0 9 5 21 0 0 5 8 8 11 2 0 4 3 5 3 2 Lean Parker 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 4 7 6 0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 0 2 0 4 8 5 6 6 Joe Tuman 6 4 7 6 0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 0 2 0 3 8 5 6 6 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 5 5 8 0 5 18 10 13 0 5 6 14 6 11 0 6 4 7 2 5 Dan Siegel 4 5 5 8 0 5 14 10 13 0 5 6 12 6 9 0 5 3 6 2 3 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 TOTAL RUBY 2 3 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 1 1 Courtney Ruby 2 3 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 1 1 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 9 13 14 0 16 26 14 8 0 3 17 24 26 27 0 8 4 7 7 4 Jason Anderson 2 3 4 3 0 0 5 0 8 0 2 1 2 3 5 0 2 1 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 3 4 6 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 6 3 0 2 0 1 2 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 0 2 6 2 7 0 0 1 0 1 0 Charles Williams 1 1 4 6 0 2 8 14 0 0 0 4 4 6 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 5% 6% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 8 15 13 0 19 23 10 43 58 59 21 25 13 20 58 40 38 38 34 47 Undecided/DK/NA 39 8 15 13 0 19 23 10 43 58 59 21 25 13 20 58 40 38 38 34 47
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 16 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 13% 15% 12% 12% 13% 9% 13% 13% 30% 17% 25% 15% 16% 17% 14% 10% 9% 14% 19% 13% 12% 16% Jean Quan 11 13 11 11 10 8 10 10 30 17 25 12 13 13 11 9 8 13 15 11 11 14 Lean Quan 2 2 1 1 2 1 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 3 4 1 1 1 4 3 1 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 12 16 14 15 16 14 22 3 4 3 23 15 13 18 14 18 15 6 16 15 12 Rebecca Kaplan 14 11 14 13 14 14 14 16 3 4 3 21 13 12 18 13 15 13 5 15 13 10 Lean Kaplan 2 1 3 1 2 2 0 5 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 14 8 12 9 14 5 10 3 18 8 7 7 8 8 11 11 12 5 9 10 10 Libby Schaaf 9 13 8 11 8 12 5 8 3 18 8 7 6 8 8 9 10 11 5 8 10 9 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 9 9 9 3 2 9 2 0 4 2 5 6 3 5 3 6 4 3 4 5 4 Bryan Parker 4 6 9 7 3 2 7 2 0 4 2 5 5 3 4 2 6 2 3 3 4 2 Lean Parker 1 3 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 3 8 5 6 9 3 2 3 1 2 5 3 2 3 7 6 5 8 4 6 6 Joe Tuman 6 3 8 5 6 9 3 2 3 1 2 5 3 2 3 6 6 5 8 4 6 6 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 3 7 5 5 6 4 7 1 6 3 2 4 3 6 8 6 3 1 6 4 2 Dan Siegel 4 3 5 4 4 6 3 3 1 6 3 1 3 3 6 6 4 3 1 5 3 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 Courtney Ruby 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 5 8 7 6 5 7 7 14 5 11 6 7 4 4 7 7 7 8 5 7 7 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 2 3 0 2 4 3 4 0 1 1 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 9 0 5 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 0 2 2 Lean Liu 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 1 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 Lean Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 39 32 36 40 37 43 36 46 45 46 37 41 48 39 39 34 37 48 41 37 41 Undecided/DK/NA 39 39 32 36 40 37 43 36 46 45 46 37 41 48 39 39 34 37 48 41 37 41
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 17 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 13% 14% 12% 12% 14% 12% 14% 14% 13% 11% 14% 11% 13% 15% 17% 4% 13% 12% 15% 12% 8% 13% Jean Quan 11 12 10 10 12 12 11 12 11 9 11 10 12 12 17 4 10 10 12 12 8 13 Lean Quan 2 3 2 2 2 0 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 0 0 2 2 3 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 13 17 16 14 3 13 12 18 17 13 19 15 14 0 8 18 16 13 15 0 5 Rebecca Kaplan 14 11 15 15 13 2 13 10 16 15 11 17 15 12 0 6 17 13 12 15 0 3 Lean Kaplan 2 1 2 2 1 1 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 3 1 3 2 0 0 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 11 9 10 7 15 11 11 8 10 12 9 6 9 17 12 9 11 7 7 25 10 Libby Schaaf 9 10 8 9 7 15 10 10 7 9 11 7 6 9 17 12 8 10 7 7 25 10 Lean Schaaf 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 TOTAL PARKER 4 5 4 5 3 6 5 5 3 5 5 4 2 4 7 3 3 6 3 3 11 3 Bryan Parker 4 4 3 4 3 5 4 5 3 4 5 3 2 4 7 0 3 5 2 3 11 1 Lean Parker 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 6 6 6 7 2 8 6 6 3 7 7 7 3 2 7 9 6 7 1 4 9 7 Joe Tuman 6 6 6 7 2 8 5 6 3 7 7 7 3 2 7 9 5 7 1 4 9 7 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 5 5 4 8 1 8 3 5 5 5 4 8 8 0 3 5 4 10 6 0 2 Dan Siegel 4 4 4 4 7 1 6 3 5 3 4 3 7 6 0 3 4 3 8 4 0 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 3 1 1 3 6 1 5 2 1 1 1 4 2 11 0 1 1 2 6 5 7 Courtney Ruby 2 3 1 1 3 5 1 4 2 1 1 1 4 2 8 0 1 1 2 5 0 7 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 8 4 6 7 6 7 10 4 5 8 4 9 5 8 3 7 5 2 14 4 7 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 2 0 3 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 0 0 3 1 1 3 0 0 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 0 3 1 0 3 0 1 1 0 2 3 2 0 0 1 0 7 0 2 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 36 42 38 41 43 37 34 45 39 35 41 40 43 33 58 39 37 47 33 38 46 Undecided/DK/NA 39 36 42 38 41 43 37 34 45 39 35 41 40 43 33 58 39 37 47 33 38 46
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 18 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 13% 10% 13% 13% 12% 14% 14% 16% 13% 13% 16% 7% 14% 10% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 9% Jean Quan 11 6 13 11 11 14 12 13 11 9 16 7 12 9 11 11 11 10 10 11 10 8 Lean Quan 2 4 0 2 0 0 2 4 2 3 0 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 20 13 15 11 15 14 17 18 14 4 5 13 15 15 16 16 15 14 12 12 13 Rebecca Kaplan 14 19 11 14 10 12 11 16 16 13 4 0 12 14 14 14 14 14 13 11 11 12 Lean Kaplan 2 1 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 1 0 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 7 11 9 24 3 4 3 10 9 15 15 8 12 10 10 11 12 14 17 17 19 Libby Schaaf 9 6 11 8 22 3 3 3 8 9 15 15 8 12 9 9 10 11 13 15 16 18 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 4 4 2 2 3 8 9 5 4 2 23 3 6 4 4 5 6 5 4 4 4 Bryan Parker 4 4 2 2 1 3 7 8 4 4 2 18 2 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 Lean Parker 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 9 7 3 7 5 3 2 5 12 2 0 2 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10 Joe Tuman 6 9 6 3 7 5 3 2 5 12 2 0 2 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10 Lean Tuman 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 5 6 5 3 5 7 6 5 3 2 0 8 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 4 4 Dan Siegel 4 5 5 4 3 5 6 1 4 3 2 0 7 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 4 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 3 1 2 3 3 1 1 2 0 4 12 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 Courtney Ruby 2 3 1 2 3 3 1 1 2 0 4 12 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 4 5 4 5 9 11 9 5 7 6 6 6 9 6 6 5 5 4 5 5 5 Jason Anderson 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 1 2 1 3 1 1 0 0 2 0 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Williams 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Eric Wilson 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Other 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 38 40 46 33 42 39 37 38 39 49 32 44 34 38 37 37 36 35 33 34 31 Undecided/DK/NA 39 38 40 46 33 42 39 37 38 39 49 32 44 34 38 37 37 36 35 33 34 31
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 19 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 13% 13% 13% 12% 24% Jean Quan 11 12 9 10 23 Lean Quan 2 1 3 2 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 15 15 15 13 Rebecca Kaplan 14 14 13 14 7 Lean Kaplan 2 1 2 1 7 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 9 10 10 1 Libby Schaaf 9 9 9 10 1 Lean Schaaf 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 4 4 5 1 Bryan Parker 4 4 3 4 1 Lean Parker 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL TUMAN 6 7 4 6 2 Joe Tuman 6 7 4 6 2 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 6 4 5 7 Dan Siegel 4 5 3 4 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 6 TOTAL RUBY 2 2 2 2 0 Courtney Ruby 2 2 2 2 0 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 6 6 6 11 Jason Anderson 2 2 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 7 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 1 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 1 1 0 Charles Williams 1 1 0 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 2 Other 0 0 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 37 42 39 39 Undecided/DK/NA 39 37 42 39 39
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 20 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 6% 0% 18% 11% 6% 5% 14% 11% 15% 0% 29% 13% 9% 6% 5% 12% 5% 9% 0% 13% 7% Jean Quan 5 0 13 10 6 5 14 3 13 0 24 11 7 6 4 9 3 8 0 13 6 Lean Quan 1 0 5 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 5 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 0 1 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 17 0 25 35 10 18 0 10 0 14 30 17 20 9 15 4 11 12 13 6 Rebecca Kaplan 7 14 0 21 33 10 16 0 10 0 13 27 14 18 8 13 4 11 10 13 5 Lean Kaplan 1 2 0 4 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 9 5 0 5 38 3 39 1 0 6 7 29 7 23 1 16 0 8 7 3 Libby Schaaf 5 7 4 0 5 32 3 35 1 0 5 6 25 7 21 1 14 0 7 7 3 Lean Schaaf 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 5 0 0 1 1 4 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 3 4 2 0 11 4 0 2 0 3 3 4 25 7 4 1 3 3 3 2 Bryan Parker 2 3 4 2 0 11 4 0 2 0 3 3 4 25 7 4 1 3 3 3 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 0 3 17 9 0 5 14 8 0 0 4 10 10 32 7 12 3 8 7 1 Joe Tuman 3 0 2 15 8 0 5 9 8 0 0 3 9 8 27 6 10 3 6 7 1 Lean Tuman 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 5 2 1 0 1 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 12 1 2 3 0 6 3 0 3 7 2 2 3 27 2 4 4 3 2 Dan Siegel 2 2 8 1 0 3 0 4 3 0 3 5 2 2 3 19 1 4 2 2 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 4 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 8 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL RUBY 3 2 5 13 1 10 5 0 4 0 3 3 10 4 9 4 50 6 6 7 2 Courtney Ruby 3 2 5 12 1 10 3 0 2 0 3 3 9 3 8 3 43 5 5 6 1 Lean Ruby 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 7 2 0 1 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 14 9 6 18 5 16 12 32 0 10 9 6 14 3 12 5 53 5 19 6 Jason Anderson 2 3 1 4 3 1 8 0 3 0 2 2 2 2 1 5 0 11 1 5 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 Ken Houston 1 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 11 0 2 2 1 0 0 2 2 10 0 5 1 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 1 0 4 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 4 1 0 0 2 4 7 3 0 3 1 0 1 1 2 3 8 1 3 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 5 0 3 0 Lean McCullough 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 4 1 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 53 43 25 23 18 35 18 25 100 32 24 13 12 9 18 5 10 54 26 71 No choice 51 28 25 14 11 13 18 14 18 100 17 14 7 6 7 9 4 7 40 24 63 Undecided/DK/NA 9 25 18 11 12 5 17 4 6 0 15 10 6 6 3 9 1 3 15 3 8
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 21 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 6% 7% 20% 6% 0% 7% 4% 8% 14% 8% 5% 8% 11% 7% 0% 0% 5% Jean Quan 5 7 20 6 0 0 1 8 11 8 5 4 11 7 0 0 5 Lean Quan 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 8 6 7 0 13 5 12 6 6 0 19 15 12 33 0 6 Rebecca Kaplan 7 8 6 4 0 13 5 8 6 4 0 16 10 6 33 0 4 Lean Kaplan 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 3 5 6 0 0 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 13 6 8 0 7 4 12 9 9 5 4 10 19 0 0 9 Libby Schaaf 5 13 0 3 0 7 3 7 5 4 5 4 8 15 0 0 8 Lean Schaaf 1 0 6 5 0 0 1 5 3 5 0 0 2 4 0 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 8 0 9 0 0 0 9 3 5 6 0 0 0 0 0 2 Bryan Parker 2 8 0 9 0 0 0 9 3 5 6 0 0 0 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 0 11 10 0 0 5 0 9 11 4 9 10 16 34 0 4 Joe Tuman 3 0 11 10 0 0 5 0 9 11 4 9 8 16 34 0 4 Lean Tuman 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 6 4 7 0 6 4 4 10 8 10 6 2 0 0 0 3 Dan Siegel 2 6 4 7 0 6 2 4 10 8 10 6 2 0 0 0 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL RUBY 3 13 9 8 0 7 2 10 7 13 15 4 5 7 0 0 1 Courtney Ruby 3 13 9 8 0 7 2 10 7 13 15 4 5 7 0 0 1 Lean Ruby 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 16 12 14 29 12 1 13 14 8 23 14 9 10 33 100 5 Jason Anderson 2 0 6 4 0 6 0 0 3 2 0 4 5 0 0 0 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 33 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 0 3 0 0 1 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 9 0 0 29 6 0 5 2 0 9 3 0 0 0 0 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 7 0 3 0 0 0 4 2 2 5 0 2 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 30 32 31 71 47 75 33 29 30 32 35 38 30 0 0 64 No choice 51 30 32 24 71 34 67 29 29 26 26 28 30 22 0 0 57 Undecided/DK/NA 9 0 0 7 0 13 8 5 0 4 6 7 8 8 0 0 7
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 22 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 6% 10% 13% 10% 0% 12% 4% 0% 0% 0% 2% 10% 7% 8% 11% 0% 7% 5% 7% 5% 5% Jean Quan 5 10 13 10 0 7 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 8 7 0 5 5 6 4 4 Lean Quan 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 16 13 23 0 8 5 32 8 0 9 7 4 13 9 0 8 9 9 8 6 Rebecca Kaplan 7 10 10 18 0 8 5 32 8 0 9 7 4 13 9 0 7 8 8 8 5 Lean Kaplan 1 6 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 11 14 4 0 3 0 0 9 0 1 2 0 0 2 0 4 7 5 7 4 Libby Schaaf 5 8 11 4 0 3 0 0 9 0 1 2 0 0 2 0 3 6 4 6 4 Lean Schaaf 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 21 0 0 1 9 4 12 11 0 1 3 2 2 3 Bryan Parker 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 21 0 0 1 9 4 12 11 0 1 3 2 2 3 TOTAL TUMAN 4 15 12 9 0 3 9 0 0 42 3 2 4 0 2 42 3 4 4 4 2 Joe Tuman 3 13 12 9 0 3 9 0 0 0 2 2 4 0 2 0 3 4 3 3 2 Lean Tuman 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 1 0 0 0 0 42 0 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 1 2 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 0 0 3 3 2 3 4 Dan Siegel 2 1 2 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 0 0 3 1 2 2 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 TOTAL RUBY 3 3 4 0 0 0 5 0 9 0 1 1 2 0 5 0 2 5 3 5 4 Courtney Ruby 3 3 4 0 0 0 5 0 9 0 1 1 2 0 5 0 2 4 2 4 3 Lean Ruby 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 12 17 26 100 23 19 12 13 0 3 21 30 30 28 0 11 5 8 10 6 Jason Anderson 2 3 5 7 0 3 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 6 2 0 2 2 1 2 3 Lean Anderson 0 2 0 4 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 4 3 0 6 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 3 6 0 2 0 2 1 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 1 2 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13 0 0 1 3 0 3 0 1 1 2 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 2 3 0 2 0 12 0 0 0 2 6 6 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 Lean McCullough 0 1 2 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 2 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 6 5 0 1 0 1 1 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 5 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 31 26 26 0 43 44 35 61 58 80 43 44 31 31 58 61 60 60 56 66 No choice 51 24 20 22 0 35 31 24 52 58 72 35 33 19 29 58 52 51 50 51 55 Undecided/DK/NA 9 8 7 3 0 8 12 10 9 0 8 8 10 12 2 0 10 9 10 5 11
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 23 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 6% 9% 5% 8% 6% 6% 6% 9% 4% 8% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 4% 7% 6% 6% Jean Quan 5 9 4 8 5 5 5 7 4 7 5 5 5 3 6 6 5 6 4 5 5 5 Lean Quan 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 2 1 0 1 3 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 12 10 11 7 8 8 8 1 11 5 9 8 8 9 8 10 5 10 8 8 7 Rebecca Kaplan 7 11 10 10 6 7 8 6 1 11 5 9 7 8 8 7 8 5 10 8 7 6 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 6 2 4 6 9 2 3 1 0 1 4 2 3 2 5 7 6 4 4 6 5 Libby Schaaf 5 6 2 4 5 8 2 3 0 0 0 4 2 2 2 4 6 6 4 3 5 5 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 7 3 2 1 4 1 0 0 0 6 3 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 Bryan Parker 2 0 7 3 2 1 4 1 0 0 0 6 3 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 5 2 4 4 5 2 2 6 0 4 1 2 1 3 4 5 6 2 3 5 4 Joe Tuman 3 5 2 4 3 4 2 1 6 0 4 1 2 1 2 2 4 6 2 2 4 4 Lean Tuman 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 4 1 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 9 4 0 5 1 3 5 1 2 3 3 Dan Siegel 2 4 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 0 4 1 2 3 1 2 2 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 TOTAL RUBY 3 4 2 3 4 6 1 7 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 4 5 5 1 3 4 4 Courtney Ruby 3 3 0 2 3 5 0 5 0 2 1 1 1 2 1 4 3 5 1 3 3 4 Lean Ruby 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 5 14 9 8 4 11 11 15 13 14 10 11 13 5 9 7 8 8 8 8 8 Jason Anderson 2 2 4 2 2 1 2 2 5 6 5 0 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 3 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 4 2 1 2 1 2 0 0 3 1 2 0 2 1 2 Lean Houston 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 7 2 5 4 2 2 0 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 Lean Liu 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 2 1 1 1 3 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 Charles Williams 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 56 57 56 61 59 63 56 70 64 68 55 62 62 67 59 56 57 68 63 58 61 No choice 51 48 42 45 52 50 54 45 62 54 59 50 53 57 54 50 47 48 63 53 50 53 Undecided/DK/NA 9 8 15 11 9 9 9 11 8 9 9 5 9 6 13 9 10 9 6 10 9 8
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 24 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 4% 9% 5% 5% 6% 7% 5% 7% 5% 7% 0% 7% 6% 6% 8% 13% 0% Jean Quan 5 6 4 5 6 3 8 4 3 5 6 5 7 4 5 0 6 5 4 8 9 0 Lean Quan 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 10 7 9 7 9 10 9 6 7 12 6 4 10 14 0 8 9 7 7 20 3 Rebecca Kaplan 7 9 6 8 6 9 9 9 6 5 11 5 4 8 14 0 7 8 7 5 20 3 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 5 6 6 4 8 4 6 4 6 4 6 4 4 12 0 4 6 2 7 15 4 Libby Schaaf 5 4 5 5 3 6 3 5 3 6 3 6 3 3 10 0 3 5 1 6 9 4 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 1 1 1 1 5 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 3 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 0 2 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 Bryan Parker 2 3 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 0 2 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 3 4 3 4 4 2 5 3 4 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 4 2 8 5 3 Joe Tuman 3 3 3 3 4 4 2 5 2 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 2 3 1 8 5 3 Lean Tuman 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 3 3 3 0 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 2 0 0 4 2 0 7 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 0 3 1 0 5 0 0 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 3 5 3 3 4 3 3 6 2 3 5 2 4 4 3 3 2 5 4 4 5 2 Courtney Ruby 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 4 2 3 4 3 3 2 4 4 3 5 2 Lean Ruby 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 9 7 7 10 7 9 8 8 7 7 7 12 7 6 10 9 7 9 11 5 8 Jason Anderson 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 4 2 2 1 2 5 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 2 0 1 2 1 4 0 0 3 2 1 1 3 0 2 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 3 0 0 2 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 56 64 60 60 64 57 54 68 62 56 64 58 62 52 83 62 59 69 48 38 77 No choice 51 47 55 51 50 56 49 44 56 54 48 54 47 53 43 77 53 50 56 41 38 66 Undecided/DK/NA 9 9 10 9 10 8 8 10 12 8 8 10 11 10 9 6 9 9 13 7 0 12
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 25 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 6% 5% 6% 10% 6% 7% 5% 1% 7% 4% 7% 0% 6% 4% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% Jean Quan 5 5 4 7 6 7 3 1 6 4 5 0 6 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 Lean Quan 1 0 2 3 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 7 6 8 9 6 9 13 8 9 4 18 7 9 8 9 9 10 10 11 9 9 Rebecca Kaplan 7 6 6 8 6 6 9 11 7 8 4 18 7 8 7 8 8 8 9 10 8 9 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 6 6 3 11 6 2 1 6 5 3 0 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 9 11 11 Libby Schaaf 5 5 4 3 9 6 2 1 6 5 3 0 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 8 10 10 Lean Schaaf 1 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 4 2 1 1 2 4 0 1 6 0 6 0 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Bryan Parker 2 4 2 1 1 2 4 0 1 6 0 6 0 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 TOTAL TUMAN 4 2 6 1 8 2 4 3 3 3 4 0 3 7 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 6 Joe Tuman 3 2 6 0 7 0 3 3 2 3 4 0 3 5 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Lean Tuman 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 4 3 3 3 1 2 3 4 0 0 4 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 Dan Siegel 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 0 0 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL RUBY 3 5 5 2 3 3 1 5 3 5 5 0 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 Courtney Ruby 3 4 5 2 3 1 1 3 3 4 5 0 2 4 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 Lean Ruby 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 6 6 6 7 5 12 18 7 6 9 5 10 10 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 3 Jason Anderson 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 0 1 3 5 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 0 0 1 0 3 8 2 1 0 5 3 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 0 3 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 62 60 66 53 66 61 57 61 57 68 70 63 58 59 59 59 55 53 49 49 47 No choice 51 53 54 56 45 56 52 44 51 50 59 57 52 49 50 50 50 47 45 42 43 41 Undecided/DK/NA 9 10 7 10 8 11 9 13 10 7 9 13 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 26 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% Jean Quan 5 6 3 5 3 Lean Quan 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 9 7 9 2 Rebecca Kaplan 7 8 6 8 1 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 6 4 6 1 Libby Schaaf 5 5 3 5 0 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 2 3 2 1 Bryan Parker 2 2 3 2 1 TOTAL TUMAN 4 3 4 4 2 Joe Tuman 3 3 4 3 2 Lean Tuman 1 1 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 3 3 4 Dan Siegel 2 2 1 2 4 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL RUBY 3 4 3 4 3 Courtney Ruby 3 3 3 3 0 Lean Ruby 1 1 0 0 3 TOTAL OTHER 8 8 8 7 14 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 3 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 1 1 5 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 5 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 1 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 0 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 1 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 58 64 60 68 No choice 51 49 55 51 52 Undecided/DK/NA 9 9 9 9 16
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 27 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 3% 0% 6% 7% 8% 4% 2% 5% 2% 0% 12% 6% 5% 6% 3% 5% 7% 3% 0% 5% 3% Jean Quan 2 0 6 6 6 4 2 0 2 0 10 6 4 5 3 4 5 3 0 5 3 Lean Quan 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 5 0 10 11 15 11 0 11 0 7 15 12 9 13 6 1 8 4 8 3 Rebecca Kaplan 3 4 0 8 9 13 8 0 7 0 7 12 10 8 11 5 1 6 4 5 2 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 2 2 2 3 0 4 0 1 3 2 1 2 2 0 3 0 3 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 5 7 0 3 14 7 2 4 0 6 6 18 9 8 7 7 6 3 5 3 Libby Schaaf 3 3 5 0 1 14 7 0 3 0 3 5 14 8 8 7 6 4 3 4 2 Lean Schaaf 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 3 1 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 1 3 6 0 3 1 16 5 0 2 2 5 23 5 2 9 3 3 5 1 Bryan Parker 2 1 3 6 0 3 1 12 3 0 2 2 5 21 4 2 6 3 3 4 1 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 3 1 0 1 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 2 2 7 2 0 1 16 4 0 2 3 6 3 18 3 11 2 4 5 1 Joe Tuman 2 1 2 4 2 0 1 16 4 0 1 2 5 3 14 3 8 2 4 4 0 Lean Tuman 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 3 0 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 2 4 7 3 2 0 8 4 0 4 4 4 4 5 21 5 4 3 4 1 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 7 3 2 0 0 3 0 2 3 4 4 4 17 2 4 2 4 1 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 0 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 3 1 7 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 5 1 5 0 20 1 2 3 1 Courtney Ruby 1 3 1 7 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 1 5 1 5 0 19 1 2 3 1 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 11 8 7 14 7 13 8 28 0 10 10 4 11 3 11 14 46 4 18 5 Jason Anderson 2 2 4 2 1 0 4 0 7 0 2 4 1 2 0 3 7 12 0 5 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 4 0 0 0 4 0 2 0 Lean Houston 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 1 2 0 0 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 7 0 4 1 Lean Karamooz 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 2 1 1 4 0 0 3 6 0 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 8 1 2 1 Lean Liu 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 5 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 5 1 2 0 Nancy Sidebotham 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 2 0 Eric Wilson 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 70 69 49 60 55 63 44 40 100 56 51 41 34 40 45 27 27 77 46 82 No choice 69 60 55 43 47 39 51 29 37 100 43 40 29 24 28 31 20 21 70 34 77 Undecided/DK/NA 7 11 14 6 12 15 12 16 4 0 13 12 12 10 12 14 8 6 8 12 5
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 28 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 3% 9% 0% 8% 0% 6% 3% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% Jean Quan 2 9 0 8 0 6 3 5 6 5 6 7 0 0 0 0 1 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 0 9 16 0 6 1 5 7 12 9 7 8 10 0 0 4 Rebecca Kaplan 3 0 9 11 0 6 1 5 7 9 9 7 8 0 0 0 4 Lean Kaplan 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 3 Libby Schaaf 3 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 0 13 29 6 2 3 7 10 13 7 9 6 0 0 1 Bryan Parker 2 0 0 13 29 6 2 3 7 10 13 7 7 6 0 0 1 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 0 4 7 0 21 1 4 5 10 6 15 5 4 0 0 2 Joe Tuman 2 0 4 7 0 7 1 4 2 8 0 7 5 4 0 0 2 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 3 2 6 8 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 8 9 5 0 0 3 8 8 7 4 4 5 3 67 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 8 9 5 0 0 2 8 8 7 4 4 5 0 67 0 0 Lean Siegel 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 5 4 7 0 0 3 Courtney Ruby 1 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 5 2 7 0 0 3 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 26 11 11 0 0 3 22 14 11 25 8 8 9 33 100 3 Jason Anderson 2 19 0 0 0 0 2 11 5 2 14 0 2 3 0 0 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 Saied Karamooz 1 7 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 4 5 0 2 0 0 0 1 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 5 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Pat McCullough 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 2 5 0 0 3 0 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 57 55 41 71 61 87 53 47 43 37 47 59 57 0 0 82 No choice 69 44 55 41 71 47 83 45 44 41 37 39 53 48 0 0 71 Undecided/DK/NA 7 14 0 0 0 13 4 8 3 2 0 8 7 9 0 0 11
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 29 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 0% 0% 9% 0% 1% 6% 4% 7% 11% 0% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% Jean Quan 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 9 0 1 6 4 7 11 0 2 2 2 3 2 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 9 10 6 0 4 9 11 0 0 1 7 4 6 8 0 4 5 4 4 5 Rebecca Kaplan 3 6 4 6 0 4 9 11 0 0 1 7 4 6 8 0 2 4 3 4 5 Lean Kaplan 1 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 3 4 3 0 4 13 19 0 0 1 5 12 8 13 0 3 3 4 3 3 Libby Schaaf 3 0 0 0 0 1 13 19 0 0 1 2 10 8 9 0 3 2 3 1 3 Lean Schaaf 1 3 4 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 8 9 10 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 6 2 0 1 3 2 2 1 Bryan Parker 2 6 9 10 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 6 2 0 1 3 2 2 1 Lean Parker 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 5 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 1 3 3 Joe Tuman 2 5 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 0 1 2 1 1 2 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 6 8 16 0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 2 0 3 2 2 3 1 Dan Siegel 2 6 7 13 0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 2 0 2 1 2 2 1 Lean Siegel 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 6 6 6 0 2 5 0 17 0 1 3 2 3 7 0 1 2 1 1 2 Courtney Ruby 1 4 4 3 0 2 5 0 17 0 1 3 2 3 7 0 1 2 1 1 2 Lean Ruby 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 13 14 24 100 13 15 12 0 0 4 12 16 18 11 0 9 5 7 9 4 Jason Anderson 2 3 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 3 3 0 2 1 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 0 1 0 1 1 0 Lean Houston 0 2 0 4 100 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Peter Liu 1 1 2 3 0 0 15 12 0 0 2 1 9 9 2 0 2 1 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 2 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 Nancy Sidebotham 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 1% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 50 47 36 0 59 54 57 74 100 89 57 55 51 43 100 75 76 76 73 78 No choice 69 43 42 33 0 48 49 45 74 100 87 48 49 42 38 100 70 68 69 66 71 Undecided/DK/NA 7 6 6 3 0 11 5 12 0 0 2 10 7 9 5 0 5 8 7 6 7
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 30 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 3% 4% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% Jean Quan 2 4 4 4 2 3 2 1 2 4 3 2 2 1 3 4 2 2 1 3 2 2 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 4 1 3 4 4 4 8 4 0 3 3 4 2 2 8 5 4 3 4 4 4 Rebecca Kaplan 3 4 1 3 4 4 4 3 4 0 3 3 3 2 2 4 5 4 3 3 4 3 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 3 7 5 3 4 4 3 2 0 1 3 3 5 2 6 2 4 2 4 3 3 Libby Schaaf 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 0 1 3 2 4 2 5 1 3 2 3 2 3 Lean Schaaf 1 0 3 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 2 1 2 2 0 3 2 5 3 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 Bryan Parker 2 0 2 1 2 2 0 1 2 5 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 4 2 1 3 3 Joe Tuman 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 3 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 0 1 1 2 6 1 2 1 1 4 3 2 2 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 1 1 2 5 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 1 2 3 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 3 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 8 10 8 7 4 7 10 10 15 12 10 9 11 5 4 8 6 9 6 8 7 Jason Anderson 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 5 2 0 1 4 2 1 0 0 3 4 1 0 3 3 Lean Anderson 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 3 3 3 1 0 1 1 2 8 4 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 2 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 1 1 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 77 69 74 76 75 79 69 74 74 74 78 76 73 80 73 76 73 75 76 75 74 No choice 69 67 65 66 70 68 71 64 71 69 70 67 69 72 75 66 67 66 73 71 67 68 Undecided/DK/NA 7 10 5 8 6 7 7 5 3 5 4 11 7 1 6 7 9 7 2 5 7 5
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 31 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 4% 0% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5% 1% Jean Quan 2 3 2 3 1 1 5 1 1 2 4 2 2 1 2 0 3 2 2 1 0 1 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 6 3 5 3 3 7 5 2 4 7 4 3 2 5 0 5 5 3 2 9 0 Rebecca Kaplan 3 5 2 4 2 3 5 5 1 4 6 2 2 2 5 0 3 5 2 2 9 0 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 4 3 4 2 2 5 2 3 3 4 4 3 1 4 0 5 3 1 3 7 0 Libby Schaaf 3 3 2 3 2 1 4 2 3 2 3 3 3 0 2 0 4 2 1 2 4 0 Lean Schaaf 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 4 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 2 2 2 2 6 2 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 8 3 2 2 1 4 9 4 Bryan Parker 2 2 1 1 2 6 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 8 3 1 2 1 3 9 4 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 2 2 2 2 4 1 2 1 3 1 3 2 1 7 0 2 2 1 4 5 3 Joe Tuman 2 2 2 1 2 4 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 7 0 1 1 0 4 5 3 Lean Tuman 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 2 2 2 3 0 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 5 0 0 2 2 4 2 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 2 2 0 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 0 0 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 2 1 1 3 0 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 4 0 2 1 1 5 2 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 1 3 0 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 0 2 1 1 5 2 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 8 6 6 9 7 6 11 7 5 8 5 9 8 7 6 5 7 8 10 11 5 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 2 1 0 4 1 2 2 1 3 2 0 3 0 3 2 4 0 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 Ken Houston 1 1 1 0 0 4 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 6 0 1 0 0 1 11 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 3 1 0 2 0 3 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 72 79 75 77 72 71 72 81 77 71 78 75 80 63 87 76 74 80 73 48 84 No choice 69 65 72 68 71 69 65 64 76 70 65 71 68 75 57 87 69 67 77 63 48 79 Undecided/DK/NA 7 7 7 7 6 4 6 8 5 7 7 7 7 5 6 0 6 7 3 10 0 5
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 32 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 0% 3% 5% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% Jean Quan 2 2 4 2 1 0 3 4 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 4 4 5 6 3 3 3 5 5 0 0 2 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 Rebecca Kaplan 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 0 4 5 0 0 1 6 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 Lean Kaplan 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 5 1 6 3 0 4 2 4 4 4 0 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 4 3 Libby Schaaf 3 5 1 4 1 0 3 2 3 3 2 0 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL PARKER 2 1 3 0 3 3 2 0 1 2 10 0 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 Bryan Parker 2 1 3 0 3 2 2 0 1 2 10 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 1 3 2 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 6 2 0 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 6 Joe Tuman 2 1 2 2 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 6 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 6 Lean Tuman 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 1 4 3 2 2 2 0 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Dan Siegel 2 1 3 2 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Lean Siegel 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 1 1 4 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 3 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 3 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 6 6 4 6 6 8 15 6 6 4 23 9 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 Jason Anderson 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 5 1 3 0 5 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 18 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 2 0 1 3 0 1 1 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 78 74 76 72 83 74 74 75 76 75 70 78 74 75 74 75 73 71 68 68 63 No choice 69 72 69 72 63 75 68 64 68 67 73 70 74 66 68 67 68 65 64 60 59 56 Undecided/DK/NA 7 7 5 4 9 7 6 10 7 9 2 0 5 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 33 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% Jean Quan 2 2 2 2 1 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 4 4 4 5 Rebecca Kaplan 3 3 3 3 2 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 4 2 3 2 Libby Schaaf 3 4 1 3 2 Lean Schaaf 1 0 1 1 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 3 1 2 2 Bryan Parker 2 2 1 2 0 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 2 3 1 2 3 Joe Tuman 2 2 1 2 2 Lean Tuman 0 1 0 0 1 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 1 4 2 2 Dan Siegel 2 1 3 2 2 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 1 1 0 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 0 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 7 7 6 12 Jason Anderson 2 1 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 1 Ken Houston 1 1 1 1 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 1 1 2 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 2 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 1 2 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 1 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 0 0 1 Eric Wilson 0 0 1 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 75 77 76 74 No choice 69 66 73 69 69 Undecided/DK/NA 7 8 4 7 5
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 34 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 21% 100% 24% 18% 14% 9% 16% 16% 17% 0% 100% 30% 24% 18% 10% 22% 21% 30% 2% 30% 28% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 22 100 35 46 25 30 0 21 0 38 100 39 40 29 45 19 34 37 35 21 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 13 12 100 8 52 10 42 5 0 20 26 100 25 52 15 51 12 30 30 10 TOTAL PARKER 8 4 6 7 100 14 5 16 7 0 7 12 11 100 16 8 11 14 12 16 5 TOTAL TUMAN 11 2 6 24 11 100 7 29 12 0 5 12 32 22 100 13 31 8 21 21 5 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 5 16 7 5 5 100 15 7 0 11 16 8 9 11 100 11 16 13 15 7 TOTAL RUBY 7 5 7 21 1 10 6 100 5 0 7 5 20 9 19 8 100 9 11 16 4 TOTAL OTHER 15 21 14 10 28 8 22 15 100 0 21 19 10 26 11 23 19 100 10 34 12 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 15 50 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 21% 29% 41% 19% 0% 47% 18% 34% 38% 19% 38% 46% 19% 22% 66% 0% 18% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 23 27 41 0 45 17 30 31 36 18 44 37 26 33 100 21 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 33 28 22 0 18 13 26 29 27 20 23 59 52 0 0 27 TOTAL PARKER 8 8 4 29 29 20 4 20 13 26 24 18 11 16 0 0 4 TOTAL TUMAN 11 14 19 36 0 21 11 12 19 35 15 24 21 25 34 0 15 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 14 17 26 0 6 12 15 23 23 14 18 14 3 67 0 6 TOTAL RUBY 7 13 16 11 0 7 4 10 11 18 15 10 13 13 0 0 8 TOTAL OTHER 15 48 21 24 29 12 7 35 29 20 56 18 16 19 67 100 7 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 23 32 10 71 15 52 24 26 14 16 13 8 19 0 0 46
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 35 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 21% 22% 26% 22% 0% 35% 23% 34% 18% 0% 13% 35% 22% 36% 31% 0% 23% 20% 22% 26% 15% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 37 29 36 100 37 18 53 26 0 17 37 22 39 40 0 27 28 28 29 25 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 57 52 41 0 11 18 19 18 42 4 11 15 10 20 42 14 23 17 20 19 TOTAL PARKER 8 12 14 13 0 23 9 43 0 0 8 22 15 29 15 0 8 9 9 7 7 TOTAL TUMAN 11 24 21 15 0 6 14 0 0 42 9 6 8 0 7 42 8 15 10 13 12 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 13 15 26 0 10 28 10 13 0 7 12 19 15 14 0 11 9 11 9 10 TOTAL RUBY 7 13 10 9 0 4 10 0 26 0 3 5 5 3 12 0 5 10 7 7 7 TOTAL OTHER 15 21 26 37 100 36 37 26 21 0 6 36 46 46 43 0 18 11 16 17 11 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 8 15 13 0 19 23 10 43 58 59 21 25 13 20 58 40 38 38 34 47 Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 21% 28% 21% 25% 20% 18% 22% 24% 36% 29% 34% 22% 24% 24% 25% 21% 17% 23% 24% 23% 20% 23% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 28 27 28 27 29 27 37 8 14 11 35 27 23 29 30 32 24 19 28 27 22 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 22 17 21 18 27 10 16 6 18 10 14 12 15 12 22 20 23 11 17 19 19 TOTAL PARKER 8 9 18 13 7 6 13 6 2 9 5 13 10 7 8 8 11 8 6 8 9 7 TOTAL TUMAN 11 9 12 11 12 17 6 6 11 1 7 8 7 5 8 11 13 15 13 8 14 14 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 9 10 10 10 11 9 12 6 8 7 13 10 9 13 12 11 8 6 11 9 7 TOTAL RUBY 7 6 3 4 8 10 4 9 2 4 2 1 4 4 4 6 9 12 4 5 9 9 TOTAL OTHER 15 14 22 17 15 10 18 20 25 19 23 17 19 20 10 16 15 15 18 15 16 16 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 39 32 36 40 37 43 36 46 45 46 37 41 48 39 39 34 37 48 41 37 41
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 36 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 21% 25% 19% 21% 22% 19% 29% 21% 19% 19% 25% 19% 22% 21% 28% 4% 24% 20% 22% 21% 26% 15% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 28 27 30 24 15 30 26 26 28 32 29 22 25 20 8 30 31 23 24 29 8 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 19 17 20 13 25 20 19 14 19 20 19 13 13 34 12 18 20 10 17 47 14 TOTAL PARKER 8 10 7 9 7 13 10 10 6 8 9 8 8 5 17 6 8 10 6 7 20 9 TOTAL TUMAN 11 11 12 12 9 16 9 13 8 14 11 13 9 8 18 13 10 13 3 16 20 14 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 10 10 9 14 1 13 8 10 10 10 9 14 14 0 3 11 8 14 15 0 2 TOTAL RUBY 7 9 6 6 8 12 5 13 5 6 8 5 9 8 15 7 4 8 6 11 15 11 TOTAL OTHER 15 18 13 14 17 14 16 20 13 12 17 12 19 15 17 10 15 14 13 22 19 12 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 36 42 38 41 43 37 34 45 39 35 41 40 43 33 58 39 37 47 33 38 46 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 21% 17% 23% 25% 19% 21% 23% 23% 23% 19% 23% 7% 21% 19% 22% 22% 22% 21% 22% 23% 22% 21% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 31 23 29 25 24 26 33 31 28 8 23 22 29 28 29 29 30 30 29 28 30 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 18 17 19 37 9 10 6 20 18 21 15 13 19 19 19 20 23 26 30 32 34 TOTAL PARKER 8 10 9 3 7 8 14 9 8 11 12 30 5 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 12 TOTAL TUMAN 11 12 16 6 18 10 8 5 10 18 11 6 8 14 12 13 13 15 15 18 21 23 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 9 14 11 8 10 10 8 10 7 2 0 14 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 8 10 TOTAL RUBY 7 8 7 5 10 6 5 6 6 7 11 12 8 10 7 7 7 9 10 12 12 14 TOTAL OTHER 15 10 14 12 12 16 21 28 13 17 13 30 15 18 15 15 14 12 11 12 12 12 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 38 40 46 33 42 39 37 38 39 49 32 44 34 38 37 37 36 35 33 34 31
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 37 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 21% 23% 19% 21% 30% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 29 26 28 20 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 20 16 19 5 TOTAL PARKER 8 9 8 9 3 TOTAL TUMAN 11 13 9 12 8 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 10 10 10 13 TOTAL RUBY 7 8 6 7 3 TOTAL OTHER 15 14 16 14 27 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 37 42 39 39
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 38 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 Quan 29% 5% 40% 54% 42% 53% 36% 46% 26% 21% 3% 40% 48% 42% 56% 37% 47% 20% 100% 13% 0% Jean Quan 29 5 40 54 42 53 36 46 26 21 3 40 48 42 56 37 47 20 100 13 0 Someone else 15 13 14 27 27 24 24 41 31 6 21 19 25 29 29 23 34 34 7 100 0 Jason Anderson 3 1 3 4 6 7 2 0 7 1 4 4 3 3 5 2 3 7 1 18 0 Ken Houston 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 6 0 Rebecca Kaplan 3 2 1 9 5 9 13 23 0 1 4 1 8 11 9 9 12 4 3 23 0 Saied Karamooz 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 6 0 7 0 Pat McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 Bryan Parker 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 3 0 5 0 Courtney Ruby 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 Libby Schaaf 1 1 3 1 0 1 1 5 3 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 1 3 1 9 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 0 2 5 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 0 3 1 1 5 0 Dan Siegel 2 1 1 7 4 2 0 9 1 1 3 2 5 3 5 2 10 3 2 13 0 Joe Tuman 1 1 2 1 6 0 0 9 1 0 2 3 1 3 0 1 5 3 0 7 0 Charles Williams 1 2 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 0 4 0 Eric Wilson 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 4 1 0 3 0 Vote for any 57 82 46 25 37 32 41 33 43 73 76 43 33 36 24 41 31 46 0 0 100 No one/could vote for any 22 34 20 6 21 22 23 23 29 22 33 17 16 19 15 24 20 26 0 0 39 DK/NA 35 48 26 18 16 11 18 10 15 51 43 26 17 17 9 16 11 20 0 0 61
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 39 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 Quan 29% 34% 17% 53% 43% 20% 18% 35% 15% 48% 11% 15% 55% 42% 34% 0% 36% Jean Quan 29 34 17 53 43 20 18 35 15 48 11 15 55 42 34 0 36 Someone else 15 57 23 26 29 33 9 52 34 32 54 37 20 27 33 100 8 Jason Anderson 3 19 0 0 0 7 2 15 5 4 14 4 4 0 0 0 1 Ken Houston 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Rebecca Kaplan 3 15 4 7 0 0 2 11 2 8 5 3 8 3 0 0 2 Saied Karamooz 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 5 0 29 7 0 8 3 2 4 8 0 0 0 0 2 Pat McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Bryan Parker 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 2 5 0 0 3 0 100 0 Courtney Ruby 0 0 0 5 0 6 0 5 0 5 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 Libby Schaaf 1 0 4 3 0 6 1 0 4 4 5 6 5 4 0 0 2 Nancy Sidebotham 1 8 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 6 4 3 0 7 0 4 8 2 5 4 2 3 0 0 1 Joe Tuman 1 9 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 3 2 0 3 5 3 33 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 6 4 0 3 0 0 1 Vote for any 57 15 60 24 28 54 75 20 51 26 35 52 32 38 33 0 55 No one/could vote for any 22 7 21 14 28 26 29 7 24 12 29 19 13 18 0 0 21 DK/NA 35 8 39 10 0 28 45 13 27 14 6 33 18 20 33 0 34
FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 40 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 Quan 29% 50% 37% 31% 0% 25% 14% 44% 26% 42% 23% 26% 25% 29% 31% 42% 31% 28% 31% 28% 28% Jean Quan 29 50 37 31 0 25 14 44 26 42 23 26 25 29 31 42 31 28 31 28 28 Someone else 15 22 31 39 100 21 26 23 31 0 11 20 24 23 34 0 15 15 17 14 13 Jason Anderson 3 3 4 6 0 4 13 0 0 0 1 5 11 0 13 0 3 2 4 2 1 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 Rebecca Kaplan 3 5 5 4 0 4 4 0 22 0 4 4 5 3 6 0 2 5 4 3 3 Saied Karamooz 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Peter Liu 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 0 Pat McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 9 0 1 2 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 Bryan Parker 1 3 2 6 100 2 8 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 Courtney Ruby 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 Libby Schaaf 1 5 5 7 0 4 4 0 0 0 2 3 2 9 6 0 1 2 1 2 3 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 Dan Siegel 2 1 4 3 0 0 4 0 9 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 Joe Tuman 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Charles Williams 1 6 7 10 0 1 0 23 0 0 0 2 2 6 3 0 1 1 0 1 1 Eric Wilson 0 1 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 Vote for any 57 32 38 33 0 53 65 33 43 58 69 54 54 48 38 58 55 60 55 60 60 No one/could vote for any 22 15 13 9 0 35 30 10 22 0 23 35 31 30 22 0 21 23 21 32 16 DK/NA 35 18 24 24 0 18 35 23 20 58 45 19 23 17 16 58 34 37 34 28 44
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OakMayor2014.com Oakland Mayoral and City Council Poll Crosstabs

  • 1. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE ................................................................................................................. 3 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE .............................................................................................................. 6 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE ................................................................................................... 10 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? ....................................... 13 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? ...................................... 20 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? ....................................... 27 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR ........................................................................................................ 34 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? ................................................... 38 TABLE 9: Q3A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for City Council? (City Council District 2) ................. 45 TABLE 10: Q3B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for City Council? (City Council District 2) ................ 52 TABLE 11: Q3C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for City Council? (City Council District 2) ................. 59 TABLE 12: Q3. EVER CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 ...................................................................................... 66 TABLE 13: Q4A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for City Council? (City Council District 4) ................. 69 TABLE 14: Q4B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for City Council? (City Council District 4) ................ 76 TABLE 15: Q4C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for City Council? (City Council District 4) ................. 80 TABLE 16: Q4. EVER CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ...................................................................................... 84 TABLE 17: Q5A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for City Council? (City Council District 6) ................. 87 TABLE 18: Q5B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for City Council? (City Council District 6) ................ 94 TABLE 19: Q5C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for City Council? (City Council District 6) ................ 101 TABLE 20: Q5. EVER CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 ..................................................................................... 108 TABLE 21: Q6. UNION MEMBERSHIP ............................................................................................................ 111 TABLE 22: Q7. ETHNICITY ................................................................................................................... 115 TABLE 23: Q8. More specifically, would you say that you are... ............................................................................ 119 TABLE 24: GENDER .......................................................................................................................... 123 TABLE 25: PARTY REGISTRATION .............................................................................................................. 125 TABLE 26: LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW ........................................................................................................... 129 TABLE 27: STATEWIDE ELECTION FLAGS ........................................................................................................ 131 TABLE 28: AGE ............................................................................................................................. 135 TABLE 29: CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT ........................................................................................................... 139 TABLE 30: PERMANENT ABSENTEE .............................................................................................................. 142 TABLE 31: HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE ............................................................................................................ 144 TABLE 32: DEMOGRAPHIC COMBINATIONS ........................................................................................................ 147
  • 2. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • 3. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 3 TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 YES 54% 55% 57% 39% 67% 35% 64% 44% 71% 55% 57% 54% 43% 51% 41% 61% 36% 67% 57% 55% 52% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 55 57 39 67 35 64 44 71 55 57 54 43 51 41 61 36 67 57 55 52 TOTAL NO 46 45 43 61 33 65 36 56 29 45 43 46 57 49 59 39 64 33 43 45 48 No, not on cell/own one 34 39 33 45 27 50 26 43 22 30 35 36 43 42 47 29 48 27 32 35 35 No, not on cell/don't own 12 6 10 16 7 15 10 12 7 14 7 11 14 7 13 11 16 6 11 9 13 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 YES 54% 65% 75% 54% 0% 73% 54% 66% 69% 63% 64% 68% 33% 49% 67% 100% 50% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 65 75 54 0 73 54 66 69 63 64 68 33 49 67 100 50 TOTAL NO 46 35 25 46 100 27 46 34 31 37 36 32 67 51 33 0 50 No, not on cell/own one 34 27 16 33 100 13 28 26 23 27 36 24 48 37 33 0 39 No, not on cell/don't own 12 8 9 14 0 14 18 8 8 10 0 8 19 13 0 0 11 Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 YES 54% 36% 49% 46% 100% 48% 45% 80% 20% 100% 54% 48% 45% 57% 44% 100% 100% 0% 84% 31% 9% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 36 49 46 100 48 45 80 20 100 54 48 45 57 44 100 100 0 84 31 9 TOTAL NO 46 64 51 54 0 52 55 20 80 0 46 52 55 43 56 0 0 100 16 69 91 No, not on cell/own one 34 46 41 37 0 41 46 11 72 0 35 42 45 36 42 0 0 74 16 69 41 No, not on cell/don't own 12 18 10 18 0 11 9 9 8 0 11 10 10 8 14 0 0 26 0 0 49
  • 4. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 4 TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 YES 54% 52% 56% 54% 55% 53% 55% 60% 57% 50% 54% 57% 56% 76% 71% 61% 46% 38% 33% 68% 42% 37% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 52 56 54 55 53 55 60 57 50 54 57 56 76 71 61 46 38 33 68 42 37 TOTAL NO 46 48 44 46 45 47 45 40 43 50 46 43 44 24 29 39 54 62 67 32 58 63 No, not on cell/own one 34 30 36 33 34 34 31 31 39 41 40 35 33 18 26 30 38 45 47 25 42 46 No, not on cell/don't own 12 18 8 13 11 13 14 9 4 9 6 8 11 6 3 9 15 17 20 6 17 18 PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 YES 54% 55% 54% 54% 61% 32% 67% 44% 70% 40% 56% 53% 61% 60% 29% 36% 70% 41% 70% 47% 28% 34% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 55 54 54 61 32 67 44 70 40 56 53 61 60 29 36 70 41 70 47 28 34 TOTAL NO 46 45 46 46 39 68 33 56 30 60 44 47 39 40 71 64 30 59 30 53 72 66 No, not on cell/own one 34 35 33 34 32 45 29 41 22 42 33 34 35 28 51 36 24 41 24 42 48 44 No, not on cell/don't own 12 10 13 12 8 23 4 14 8 18 12 13 4 12 20 28 5 18 6 10 24 23 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 YES 54% 55% 57% 53% 47% 62% 51% 60% 60% 40% 36% 35% 63% 45% 53% 53% 51% 47% 44% 41% 37% 32% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 55 57 53 47 62 51 60 60 40 36 35 63 45 53 53 51 47 44 41 37 32 TOTAL NO 46 45 43 47 53 38 49 40 40 60 64 65 37 55 47 47 49 53 56 59 63 68 No, not on cell/own one 34 33 27 38 40 27 39 27 30 43 46 46 29 38 35 35 36 39 41 43 45 51 No, not on cell/don't own 12 11 15 9 13 11 10 13 10 17 18 19 8 17 12 12 13 14 15 16 18 17
  • 5. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 5 TABLE 1: QB. ON CELL PHONE PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 YES 54% 56% 52% 55% 45% Yes, cell and can talk safely 54 56 52 55 45 TOTAL NO 46 44 48 45 55 No, not on cell/own one 34 32 36 33 47 No, not on cell/don't own 12 12 12 12 8
  • 6. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 6 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 121 137 83 41 49 47 19 58 340 200 248 159 78 100 92 59 142 266 140 508 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 54% 60% 55% 71% 56% 77% 81% 62% 60% 59% 61% 58% 64% 56% 64% 61% 60% 63% 64% 58% All cell phone 42 36 37 30 45 25 48 63 52 46 38 39 32 40 30 44 36 44 43 44 40 Mostly cell phone 19 17 23 25 26 31 28 17 11 14 21 22 26 24 27 20 25 16 21 20 18 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 35 28 29 18 30 11 16 28 22 30 27 29 21 29 22 28 28 24 23 27 Cell and landline equally 25 35 28 29 18 30 11 16 28 22 30 27 29 21 29 22 28 28 24 23 27 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 11 12 15 10 14 12 3 10 17 11 12 12 14 13 14 11 12 13 12 14 Mostly landline 14 11 12 15 10 14 12 3 10 17 11 12 12 14 13 14 11 12 13 12 14 DK/NA 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 DK/NA 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 10 13 17 2 10 77 17 24 29 14 18 31 20 2 1 97 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 48% 75% 56% 57% 68% 61% 58% 71% 58% 64% 69% 52% 37% 67% 100% 52% All cell phone 42 25 55 35 0 46 44 33 44 41 35 34 27 30 33 100 35 Mostly cell phone 19 23 20 20 57 22 17 25 27 18 29 35 25 8 34 0 17 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 43 10 21 43 17 29 33 17 24 36 13 33 39 33 0 28 Cell and landline equally 25 43 10 21 43 17 29 33 17 24 36 13 33 39 33 0 28 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 10 9 24 0 15 8 9 8 18 0 18 15 23 0 0 20 Mostly landline 14 10 9 24 0 15 8 9 8 18 0 18 15 23 0 0 20 DK/NA 1 0 6 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DK/NA 1 0 6 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
  • 7. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 7 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 43 34 21 1 37 11 5 5 1 50 43 23 18 18 1 551 342 540 227 122 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 48% 45% 47% 100% 47% 55% 74% 32% 0% 63% 47% 47% 48% 44% 0% 83% 24% 100% 0% 0% All cell phone 42 27 31 36 100 34 36 29 22 0 49 32 28 22 26 0 62 8 69 0 0 Mostly cell phone 19 22 14 12 0 13 20 45 10 0 15 15 19 27 18 0 20 16 31 0 0 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 36 36 33 0 35 21 13 22 42 22 32 32 30 26 42 13 46 0 100 0 Cell and landline equally 25 36 36 33 0 35 21 13 22 42 22 32 32 30 26 42 13 46 0 100 0 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 16 19 19 0 18 23 12 37 58 13 21 21 21 28 58 4 29 0 0 100 Mostly landline 14 16 19 19 0 18 23 12 37 58 13 21 21 21 28 58 4 29 0 0 100 DK/NA 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 DK/NA 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 100 73 161 725 373 242 95 64 35 99 59 494 114 176 166 231 135 65 455 431 200 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 59% 51% 58% 61% 63% 59% 63% 43% 64% 50% 66% 59% 81% 75% 70% 51% 44% 26% 75% 45% 38% All cell phone 42 46 28 41 42 42 40 47 23 46 31 52 41 57 56 45 36 29 13 52 30 24 Mostly cell phone 19 12 23 17 20 21 18 17 20 18 19 14 18 23 19 25 15 15 13 22 15 14 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 30 25 25 25 23 25 21 48 28 41 20 27 14 22 24 30 28 35 21 30 31 Cell and landline equally 25 30 25 25 25 23 25 21 48 28 41 20 27 14 22 24 30 28 35 21 30 31 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 10 24 16 13 13 16 15 10 8 9 14 14 4 3 5 18 27 38 4 24 31 Mostly landline 14 10 24 16 13 13 16 15 10 8 9 14 14 4 3 5 18 27 38 4 24 31 DK/NA 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 DK/NA 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1
  • 8. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 8 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 420 473 603 243 47 219 198 237 233 255 349 136 107 30 17 295 302 145 98 15 31 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 64% 58% 60% 64% 51% 77% 48% 72% 42% 64% 57% 65% 62% 55% 42% 74% 45% 75% 47% 88% 32% All cell phone 42 44 40 43 41 29 51 35 54 26 47 40 40 41 33 22 55 31 48 30 41 22 Mostly cell phone 19 20 18 17 23 22 26 13 19 16 17 17 25 21 23 21 19 14 27 17 46 10 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 24 27 25 28 21 19 29 23 32 23 25 24 35 24 17 20 29 23 36 12 26 Cell and landline equally 25 24 27 25 28 21 19 29 23 32 23 25 24 35 24 17 20 29 23 36 12 26 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 13 14 15 8 27 4 23 4 25 13 16 11 4 21 37 5 25 2 16 0 40 Mostly landline 14 13 14 15 8 27 4 23 4 25 13 16 11 4 21 37 5 25 2 16 0 40 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 0 2 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 0 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 189 128 148 150 81 109 88 419 144 29 9 200 92 815 790 717 552 442 328 242 135 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 67% 61% 65% 50% 64% 55% 57% 63% 50% 49% 61% 68% 50% 59% 59% 58% 55% 51% 47% 45% 41% All cell phone 42 45 42 47 33 47 40 36 46 34 33 13 43 34 40 40 39 35 32 28 27 24 Mostly cell phone 19 22 19 19 17 16 16 22 17 16 16 48 25 16 19 19 19 20 18 19 18 17 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 22 27 23 31 24 26 27 24 26 26 0 25 33 26 26 26 27 29 31 32 32 Cell and landline equally 25 22 27 23 31 24 26 27 24 26 26 0 25 33 26 26 26 27 29 31 32 32 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 10 11 12 19 13 18 16 12 23 25 33 7 17 14 15 15 17 19 21 23 26 Mostly landline 14 10 11 12 19 13 18 16 12 23 25 33 7 17 14 15 15 17 19 21 23 26 DK/NA 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 DK/NA 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
  • 9. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 9 TABLE 2: QC. CELL PHONE USAGE PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 893 536 357 817 76 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 60% 61% 59% 62% 40% All cell phone 42 42 42 43 23 Mostly cell phone 19 20 18 19 16 CELL/LANDLINE EQUAL 25 25 26 24 41 Cell and landline equally 25 25 26 24 41 MOSTLY LANDLINE 14 13 14 13 19 Mostly landline 14 13 14 13 19 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0 DK/NA 1 0 1 1 0
  • 10. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 10 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 50% 53% 47% 66% 47% 69% 71% 58% 52% 55% 55% 50% 60% 49% 57% 51% 56% 56% 59% 51% BOTH EQUALLY 22 33 25 25 17 25 10 14 26 19 28 24 25 20 26 19 23 26 21 21 24 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 16 21 28 16 26 21 15 16 28 17 22 24 20 24 23 25 18 22 20 25 ALL OTHER 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 44% 68% 48% 57% 58% 50% 54% 66% 53% 64% 63% 42% 32% 67% 100% 46% BOTH EQUALLY 22 39 9 18 43 14 24 30 16 22 36 12 27 34 33 0 25 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 16 17 34 0 27 25 16 15 26 0 25 31 34 0 0 29 ALL OTHER 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 40% 41% 39% 100% 42% 50% 68% 29% 0% 56% 42% 42% 45% 38% 0% 83% 18% 100% 0% 0% BOTH EQUALLY 22 29 33 28 0 31 19 12 20 42 20 29 28 28 22 42 13 34 0 100 0 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 31 27 33 0 27 30 20 42 58 23 29 29 28 38 58 4 47 0 0 100 ALL OTHER 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
  • 11. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 11 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 48% 47% 50% 54% 55% 50% 57% 41% 58% 47% 60% 52% 76% 72% 63% 43% 36% 21% 70% 38% 31% BOTH EQUALLY 22 25 23 22 23 20 22 19 46 25 38 19 24 13 21 22 26 24 28 20 25 25 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 26 30 28 23 25 28 23 13 17 14 21 24 10 6 14 31 39 51 10 36 43 ALL OTHER 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 57% 50% 52% 59% 39% 74% 41% 66% 34% 56% 50% 63% 54% 44% 31% 70% 37% 71% 42% 67% 25% BOTH EQUALLY 22 21 23 21 26 16 18 25 21 26 21 22 23 30 19 12 19 24 22 32 9 20 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 21 26 25 15 44 8 34 12 39 23 27 14 16 36 55 10 38 8 25 24 53 ALL OTHER 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 60% 52% 60% 44% 57% 50% 50% 57% 42% 40% 49% 63% 42% 52% 51% 50% 47% 43% 40% 37% 34% BOTH EQUALLY 22 20 22 21 27 21 23 24 22 22 21 0 23 27 23 23 23 23 25 26 26 27 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 20 24 19 29 22 26 27 21 36 39 46 14 31 25 25 26 29 32 34 37 39 ALL OTHER 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
  • 12. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 12 TABLE 3: QB/QC. CELL AND LANDLINE USAGE PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 ALL/MOSTLY CELLPHONE 53% 54% 52% 55% 37% BOTH EQUALLY 22 22 23 21 38 ALL/MOSTLY LANDLINE 24 23 25 24 25 ALL OTHER 0 0 1 1 0
  • 13. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 13 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 13% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 60% 10% 9% 6% 2% 6% 8% 17% 2% 11% 18% Jean Quan 11 84 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 9 8 6 2 6 8 16 1 9 16 Lean Quan 2 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 55 10 12 7 24 14 15 21 14 12 Rebecca Kaplan 14 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 49 10 10 7 22 13 13 19 13 10 Lean Kaplan 2 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 12 53 8 21 7 29 6 18 17 4 Libby Schaaf 9 0 0 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 11 49 8 16 7 25 6 17 15 4 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 5 0 4 0 1 2 0 TOTAL PARKER 4 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 2 52 4 2 1 8 6 8 3 Bryan Parker 4 0 0 0 85 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 2 44 4 1 1 7 5 7 2 Lean Parker 1 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 2 5 16 10 50 3 8 3 10 9 3 Joe Tuman 6 0 0 0 0 98 0 0 0 0 2 5 16 10 49 3 8 3 10 9 3 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 4 6 3 3 3 51 5 7 6 8 4 Dan Siegel 4 0 0 0 0 0 81 0 0 0 4 4 3 3 3 42 3 6 5 6 3 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 10 2 1 1 2 1 TOTAL RUBY 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 2 0 5 4 6 3 30 2 3 6 1 Courtney Ruby 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 92 0 0 1 0 4 4 6 2 28 2 3 5 1 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 5 5 2 6 6 4 4 41 5 12 5 Jason Anderson 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 12 1 6 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 2 7 1 3 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 4 2 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 4% 1% 0% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 15 50 Undecided/DK/NA 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 15 50
  • 14. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 14 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 13% 14% 21% 5% 0% 34% 11% 21% 19% 7% 27% 31% 8% 15% 66% 0% 11% Jean Quan 11 14 21 5 0 34 11 21 19 7 27 31 8 15 66 0 11 Lean Quan 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 16 12 18 0 26 11 13 17 18 9 18 14 3 0 100 11 Rebecca Kaplan 14 16 12 15 0 19 9 13 14 16 9 14 14 3 0 100 9 Lean Kaplan 2 0 0 3 0 7 1 0 3 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 21 16 14 0 11 8 15 17 18 15 19 47 30 0 0 15 Libby Schaaf 9 21 16 14 0 11 8 15 17 18 15 19 44 30 0 0 14 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 0 4 7 0 14 2 7 2 11 5 11 2 9 0 0 1 Bryan Parker 4 0 4 3 0 14 1 7 2 9 0 8 2 6 0 0 0 Lean Parker 1 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 2 5 3 0 3 0 0 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 14 4 19 0 0 5 8 5 13 5 0 6 4 0 0 8 Joe Tuman 6 14 4 14 0 0 5 8 5 10 5 0 6 4 0 0 8 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 0 5 14 0 0 6 4 5 9 0 7 7 0 0 0 2 Dan Siegel 4 0 5 14 0 0 5 4 5 9 0 7 7 0 0 0 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 3 Courtney Ruby 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL OTHER 6 13 4 10 29 0 3 7 7 10 23 0 4 19 34 0 2 Jason Anderson 2 0 0 0 29 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 2 6 0 0 1 Lean Anderson 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 4 0 0 3 34 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 7 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 5 0 2 0 0 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 23 32 10 71 15 52 24 26 14 16 13 8 19 0 0 46 Undecided/DK/NA 39 23 32 10 71 15 52 24 26 14 16 13 8 19 0 0 46
  • 15. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 15 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 13% 12% 14% 12% 0% 16% 19% 34% 9% 0% 10% 19% 11% 21% 10% 0% 13% 12% 12% 19% 9% Jean Quan 11 12 14 12 0 13 19 23 0 0 9 16 11 18 7 0 11 10 10 17 7 Lean Quan 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 10 9 0 1 2 0 3 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 12 6 7 100 26 4 10 18 0 7 23 13 20 23 0 16 14 15 17 14 Rebecca Kaplan 14 12 6 7 100 22 0 10 18 0 4 20 9 15 18 0 14 13 14 16 11 Lean Kaplan 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 3 4 4 5 5 0 1 2 1 1 3 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 43 34 35 0 4 5 0 9 42 2 4 2 3 5 42 7 13 8 11 11 Libby Schaaf 9 41 34 35 0 3 5 0 9 42 2 2 2 3 5 42 6 12 8 10 11 Lean Schaaf 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 4 6 3 0 9 5 21 0 0 8 8 8 11 2 0 5 3 5 3 3 Bryan Parker 4 3 4 3 0 9 5 21 0 0 5 8 8 11 2 0 4 3 5 3 2 Lean Parker 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 4 7 6 0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 0 2 0 4 8 5 6 6 Joe Tuman 6 4 7 6 0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 0 2 0 3 8 5 6 6 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 5 5 8 0 5 18 10 13 0 5 6 14 6 11 0 6 4 7 2 5 Dan Siegel 4 5 5 8 0 5 14 10 13 0 5 6 12 6 9 0 5 3 6 2 3 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 TOTAL RUBY 2 3 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 1 1 Courtney Ruby 2 3 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 1 1 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 9 13 14 0 16 26 14 8 0 3 17 24 26 27 0 8 4 7 7 4 Jason Anderson 2 3 4 3 0 0 5 0 8 0 2 1 2 3 5 0 2 1 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 3 4 6 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 6 3 0 2 0 1 2 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 0 2 6 2 7 0 0 1 0 1 0 Charles Williams 1 1 4 6 0 2 8 14 0 0 0 4 4 6 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 5% 6% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 8 15 13 0 19 23 10 43 58 59 21 25 13 20 58 40 38 38 34 47 Undecided/DK/NA 39 8 15 13 0 19 23 10 43 58 59 21 25 13 20 58 40 38 38 34 47
  • 16. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 16 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 13% 15% 12% 12% 13% 9% 13% 13% 30% 17% 25% 15% 16% 17% 14% 10% 9% 14% 19% 13% 12% 16% Jean Quan 11 13 11 11 10 8 10 10 30 17 25 12 13 13 11 9 8 13 15 11 11 14 Lean Quan 2 2 1 1 2 1 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 3 4 1 1 1 4 3 1 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 12 16 14 15 16 14 22 3 4 3 23 15 13 18 14 18 15 6 16 15 12 Rebecca Kaplan 14 11 14 13 14 14 14 16 3 4 3 21 13 12 18 13 15 13 5 15 13 10 Lean Kaplan 2 1 3 1 2 2 0 5 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 14 8 12 9 14 5 10 3 18 8 7 7 8 8 11 11 12 5 9 10 10 Libby Schaaf 9 13 8 11 8 12 5 8 3 18 8 7 6 8 8 9 10 11 5 8 10 9 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 9 9 9 3 2 9 2 0 4 2 5 6 3 5 3 6 4 3 4 5 4 Bryan Parker 4 6 9 7 3 2 7 2 0 4 2 5 5 3 4 2 6 2 3 3 4 2 Lean Parker 1 3 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 3 8 5 6 9 3 2 3 1 2 5 3 2 3 7 6 5 8 4 6 6 Joe Tuman 6 3 8 5 6 9 3 2 3 1 2 5 3 2 3 6 6 5 8 4 6 6 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 3 7 5 5 6 4 7 1 6 3 2 4 3 6 8 6 3 1 6 4 2 Dan Siegel 4 3 5 4 4 6 3 3 1 6 3 1 3 3 6 6 4 3 1 5 3 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 Courtney Ruby 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 5 8 7 6 5 7 7 14 5 11 6 7 4 4 7 7 7 8 5 7 7 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 2 3 0 2 4 3 4 0 1 1 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 9 0 5 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 0 2 2 Lean Liu 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 1 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 Lean Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 39 32 36 40 37 43 36 46 45 46 37 41 48 39 39 34 37 48 41 37 41 Undecided/DK/NA 39 39 32 36 40 37 43 36 46 45 46 37 41 48 39 39 34 37 48 41 37 41
  • 17. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 17 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 13% 14% 12% 12% 14% 12% 14% 14% 13% 11% 14% 11% 13% 15% 17% 4% 13% 12% 15% 12% 8% 13% Jean Quan 11 12 10 10 12 12 11 12 11 9 11 10 12 12 17 4 10 10 12 12 8 13 Lean Quan 2 3 2 2 2 0 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 0 0 2 2 3 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 13 17 16 14 3 13 12 18 17 13 19 15 14 0 8 18 16 13 15 0 5 Rebecca Kaplan 14 11 15 15 13 2 13 10 16 15 11 17 15 12 0 6 17 13 12 15 0 3 Lean Kaplan 2 1 2 2 1 1 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 3 1 3 2 0 0 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 11 9 10 7 15 11 11 8 10 12 9 6 9 17 12 9 11 7 7 25 10 Libby Schaaf 9 10 8 9 7 15 10 10 7 9 11 7 6 9 17 12 8 10 7 7 25 10 Lean Schaaf 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 TOTAL PARKER 4 5 4 5 3 6 5 5 3 5 5 4 2 4 7 3 3 6 3 3 11 3 Bryan Parker 4 4 3 4 3 5 4 5 3 4 5 3 2 4 7 0 3 5 2 3 11 1 Lean Parker 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 6 6 6 7 2 8 6 6 3 7 7 7 3 2 7 9 6 7 1 4 9 7 Joe Tuman 6 6 6 7 2 8 5 6 3 7 7 7 3 2 7 9 5 7 1 4 9 7 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 5 5 4 8 1 8 3 5 5 5 4 8 8 0 3 5 4 10 6 0 2 Dan Siegel 4 4 4 4 7 1 6 3 5 3 4 3 7 6 0 3 4 3 8 4 0 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 3 1 1 3 6 1 5 2 1 1 1 4 2 11 0 1 1 2 6 5 7 Courtney Ruby 2 3 1 1 3 5 1 4 2 1 1 1 4 2 8 0 1 1 2 5 0 7 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 8 4 6 7 6 7 10 4 5 8 4 9 5 8 3 7 5 2 14 4 7 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 2 0 3 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 0 0 3 1 1 3 0 0 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 0 3 1 0 3 0 1 1 0 2 3 2 0 0 1 0 7 0 2 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 36 42 38 41 43 37 34 45 39 35 41 40 43 33 58 39 37 47 33 38 46 Undecided/DK/NA 39 36 42 38 41 43 37 34 45 39 35 41 40 43 33 58 39 37 47 33 38 46
  • 18. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 18 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 13% 10% 13% 13% 12% 14% 14% 16% 13% 13% 16% 7% 14% 10% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 9% Jean Quan 11 6 13 11 11 14 12 13 11 9 16 7 12 9 11 11 11 10 10 11 10 8 Lean Quan 2 4 0 2 0 0 2 4 2 3 0 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 20 13 15 11 15 14 17 18 14 4 5 13 15 15 16 16 15 14 12 12 13 Rebecca Kaplan 14 19 11 14 10 12 11 16 16 13 4 0 12 14 14 14 14 14 13 11 11 12 Lean Kaplan 2 1 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 1 0 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 7 11 9 24 3 4 3 10 9 15 15 8 12 10 10 11 12 14 17 17 19 Libby Schaaf 9 6 11 8 22 3 3 3 8 9 15 15 8 12 9 9 10 11 13 15 16 18 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 4 4 2 2 3 8 9 5 4 2 23 3 6 4 4 5 6 5 4 4 4 Bryan Parker 4 4 2 2 1 3 7 8 4 4 2 18 2 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 Lean Parker 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL TUMAN 6 9 7 3 7 5 3 2 5 12 2 0 2 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10 Joe Tuman 6 9 6 3 7 5 3 2 5 12 2 0 2 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10 Lean Tuman 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 5 6 5 3 5 7 6 5 3 2 0 8 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 4 4 Dan Siegel 4 5 5 4 3 5 6 1 4 3 2 0 7 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 4 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 2 3 1 2 3 3 1 1 2 0 4 12 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 Courtney Ruby 2 3 1 2 3 3 1 1 2 0 4 12 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 4 5 4 5 9 11 9 5 7 6 6 6 9 6 6 5 5 4 5 5 5 Jason Anderson 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 1 2 1 3 1 1 0 0 2 0 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Williams 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Eric Wilson 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Other 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 38 40 46 33 42 39 37 38 39 49 32 44 34 38 37 37 36 35 33 34 31 Undecided/DK/NA 39 38 40 46 33 42 39 37 38 39 49 32 44 34 38 37 37 36 35 33 34 31
  • 19. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 19 TABLE 4: Q1A. If the election were held today, who would be your first choice for Mayor of Oakland? PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 13% 13% 13% 12% 24% Jean Quan 11 12 9 10 23 Lean Quan 2 1 3 2 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 15 15 15 15 13 Rebecca Kaplan 14 14 13 14 7 Lean Kaplan 2 1 2 1 7 TOTAL SCHAAF 10 9 10 10 1 Libby Schaaf 9 9 9 10 1 Lean Schaaf 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 4 4 4 5 1 Bryan Parker 4 4 3 4 1 Lean Parker 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL TUMAN 6 7 4 6 2 Joe Tuman 6 7 4 6 2 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 5 6 4 5 7 Dan Siegel 4 5 3 4 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 6 TOTAL RUBY 2 2 2 2 0 Courtney Ruby 2 2 2 2 0 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 6 6 6 6 11 Jason Anderson 2 2 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 7 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 1 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 1 1 0 Charles Williams 1 1 0 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% Lean Wilson 0 0 0 0 2 Other 0 0 0 0 0 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 37 42 39 39 Undecided/DK/NA 39 37 42 39 39
  • 20. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 20 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 6% 0% 18% 11% 6% 5% 14% 11% 15% 0% 29% 13% 9% 6% 5% 12% 5% 9% 0% 13% 7% Jean Quan 5 0 13 10 6 5 14 3 13 0 24 11 7 6 4 9 3 8 0 13 6 Lean Quan 1 0 5 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 5 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 0 1 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 17 0 25 35 10 18 0 10 0 14 30 17 20 9 15 4 11 12 13 6 Rebecca Kaplan 7 14 0 21 33 10 16 0 10 0 13 27 14 18 8 13 4 11 10 13 5 Lean Kaplan 1 2 0 4 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 9 5 0 5 38 3 39 1 0 6 7 29 7 23 1 16 0 8 7 3 Libby Schaaf 5 7 4 0 5 32 3 35 1 0 5 6 25 7 21 1 14 0 7 7 3 Lean Schaaf 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 5 0 0 1 1 4 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 3 4 2 0 11 4 0 2 0 3 3 4 25 7 4 1 3 3 3 2 Bryan Parker 2 3 4 2 0 11 4 0 2 0 3 3 4 25 7 4 1 3 3 3 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 0 3 17 9 0 5 14 8 0 0 4 10 10 32 7 12 3 8 7 1 Joe Tuman 3 0 2 15 8 0 5 9 8 0 0 3 9 8 27 6 10 3 6 7 1 Lean Tuman 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 5 2 1 0 1 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 12 1 2 3 0 6 3 0 3 7 2 2 3 27 2 4 4 3 2 Dan Siegel 2 2 8 1 0 3 0 4 3 0 3 5 2 2 3 19 1 4 2 2 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 4 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 8 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL RUBY 3 2 5 13 1 10 5 0 4 0 3 3 10 4 9 4 50 6 6 7 2 Courtney Ruby 3 2 5 12 1 10 3 0 2 0 3 3 9 3 8 3 43 5 5 6 1 Lean Ruby 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 7 2 0 1 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 14 9 6 18 5 16 12 32 0 10 9 6 14 3 12 5 53 5 19 6 Jason Anderson 2 3 1 4 3 1 8 0 3 0 2 2 2 2 1 5 0 11 1 5 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 Ken Houston 1 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 11 0 2 2 1 0 0 2 2 10 0 5 1 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 1 0 4 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 4 1 0 0 2 4 7 3 0 3 1 0 1 1 2 3 8 1 3 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 5 0 3 0 Lean McCullough 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 4 1 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 53 43 25 23 18 35 18 25 100 32 24 13 12 9 18 5 10 54 26 71 No choice 51 28 25 14 11 13 18 14 18 100 17 14 7 6 7 9 4 7 40 24 63 Undecided/DK/NA 9 25 18 11 12 5 17 4 6 0 15 10 6 6 3 9 1 3 15 3 8
  • 21. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 21 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 6% 7% 20% 6% 0% 7% 4% 8% 14% 8% 5% 8% 11% 7% 0% 0% 5% Jean Quan 5 7 20 6 0 0 1 8 11 8 5 4 11 7 0 0 5 Lean Quan 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 8 6 7 0 13 5 12 6 6 0 19 15 12 33 0 6 Rebecca Kaplan 7 8 6 4 0 13 5 8 6 4 0 16 10 6 33 0 4 Lean Kaplan 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 3 5 6 0 0 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 13 6 8 0 7 4 12 9 9 5 4 10 19 0 0 9 Libby Schaaf 5 13 0 3 0 7 3 7 5 4 5 4 8 15 0 0 8 Lean Schaaf 1 0 6 5 0 0 1 5 3 5 0 0 2 4 0 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 8 0 9 0 0 0 9 3 5 6 0 0 0 0 0 2 Bryan Parker 2 8 0 9 0 0 0 9 3 5 6 0 0 0 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 0 11 10 0 0 5 0 9 11 4 9 10 16 34 0 4 Joe Tuman 3 0 11 10 0 0 5 0 9 11 4 9 8 16 34 0 4 Lean Tuman 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 6 4 7 0 6 4 4 10 8 10 6 2 0 0 0 3 Dan Siegel 2 6 4 7 0 6 2 4 10 8 10 6 2 0 0 0 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL RUBY 3 13 9 8 0 7 2 10 7 13 15 4 5 7 0 0 1 Courtney Ruby 3 13 9 8 0 7 2 10 7 13 15 4 5 7 0 0 1 Lean Ruby 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 16 12 14 29 12 1 13 14 8 23 14 9 10 33 100 5 Jason Anderson 2 0 6 4 0 6 0 0 3 2 0 4 5 0 0 0 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 33 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 0 3 0 0 1 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 9 0 0 29 6 0 5 2 0 9 3 0 0 0 0 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 7 0 3 0 0 0 4 2 2 5 0 2 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 30 32 31 71 47 75 33 29 30 32 35 38 30 0 0 64 No choice 51 30 32 24 71 34 67 29 29 26 26 28 30 22 0 0 57 Undecided/DK/NA 9 0 0 7 0 13 8 5 0 4 6 7 8 8 0 0 7
  • 22. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 22 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 6% 10% 13% 10% 0% 12% 4% 0% 0% 0% 2% 10% 7% 8% 11% 0% 7% 5% 7% 5% 5% Jean Quan 5 10 13 10 0 7 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 8 7 0 5 5 6 4 4 Lean Quan 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 16 13 23 0 8 5 32 8 0 9 7 4 13 9 0 8 9 9 8 6 Rebecca Kaplan 7 10 10 18 0 8 5 32 8 0 9 7 4 13 9 0 7 8 8 8 5 Lean Kaplan 1 6 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 11 14 4 0 3 0 0 9 0 1 2 0 0 2 0 4 7 5 7 4 Libby Schaaf 5 8 11 4 0 3 0 0 9 0 1 2 0 0 2 0 3 6 4 6 4 Lean Schaaf 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 21 0 0 1 9 4 12 11 0 1 3 2 2 3 Bryan Parker 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 21 0 0 1 9 4 12 11 0 1 3 2 2 3 TOTAL TUMAN 4 15 12 9 0 3 9 0 0 42 3 2 4 0 2 42 3 4 4 4 2 Joe Tuman 3 13 12 9 0 3 9 0 0 0 2 2 4 0 2 0 3 4 3 3 2 Lean Tuman 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 1 0 0 0 0 42 0 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 1 2 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 0 0 3 3 2 3 4 Dan Siegel 2 1 2 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 0 0 3 1 2 2 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 TOTAL RUBY 3 3 4 0 0 0 5 0 9 0 1 1 2 0 5 0 2 5 3 5 4 Courtney Ruby 3 3 4 0 0 0 5 0 9 0 1 1 2 0 5 0 2 4 2 4 3 Lean Ruby 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 12 17 26 100 23 19 12 13 0 3 21 30 30 28 0 11 5 8 10 6 Jason Anderson 2 3 5 7 0 3 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 6 2 0 2 2 1 2 3 Lean Anderson 0 2 0 4 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 4 3 0 6 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 3 6 0 2 0 2 1 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 1 2 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13 0 0 1 3 0 3 0 1 1 2 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 2 3 0 2 0 12 0 0 0 2 6 6 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 Lean McCullough 0 1 2 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 2 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 6 5 0 1 0 1 1 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% Charles Williams 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 5 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 31 26 26 0 43 44 35 61 58 80 43 44 31 31 58 61 60 60 56 66 No choice 51 24 20 22 0 35 31 24 52 58 72 35 33 19 29 58 52 51 50 51 55 Undecided/DK/NA 9 8 7 3 0 8 12 10 9 0 8 8 10 12 2 0 10 9 10 5 11
  • 23. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 23 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 6% 9% 5% 8% 6% 6% 6% 9% 4% 8% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 4% 7% 6% 6% Jean Quan 5 9 4 8 5 5 5 7 4 7 5 5 5 3 6 6 5 6 4 5 5 5 Lean Quan 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 2 1 0 1 3 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 12 10 11 7 8 8 8 1 11 5 9 8 8 9 8 10 5 10 8 8 7 Rebecca Kaplan 7 11 10 10 6 7 8 6 1 11 5 9 7 8 8 7 8 5 10 8 7 6 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 6 2 4 6 9 2 3 1 0 1 4 2 3 2 5 7 6 4 4 6 5 Libby Schaaf 5 6 2 4 5 8 2 3 0 0 0 4 2 2 2 4 6 6 4 3 5 5 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 7 3 2 1 4 1 0 0 0 6 3 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 Bryan Parker 2 0 7 3 2 1 4 1 0 0 0 6 3 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 5 2 4 4 5 2 2 6 0 4 1 2 1 3 4 5 6 2 3 5 4 Joe Tuman 3 5 2 4 3 4 2 1 6 0 4 1 2 1 2 2 4 6 2 2 4 4 Lean Tuman 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 4 1 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 9 4 0 5 1 3 5 1 2 3 3 Dan Siegel 2 4 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 0 4 1 2 3 1 2 2 2 Lean Siegel 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 TOTAL RUBY 3 4 2 3 4 6 1 7 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 4 5 5 1 3 4 4 Courtney Ruby 3 3 0 2 3 5 0 5 0 2 1 1 1 2 1 4 3 5 1 3 3 4 Lean Ruby 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 5 14 9 8 4 11 11 15 13 14 10 11 13 5 9 7 8 8 8 8 8 Jason Anderson 2 2 4 2 2 1 2 2 5 6 5 0 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 3 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 4 2 1 2 1 2 0 0 3 1 2 0 2 1 2 Lean Houston 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 7 2 5 4 2 2 0 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 Lean Liu 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 2 1 1 1 3 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 Charles Williams 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 56 57 56 61 59 63 56 70 64 68 55 62 62 67 59 56 57 68 63 58 61 No choice 51 48 42 45 52 50 54 45 62 54 59 50 53 57 54 50 47 48 63 53 50 53 Undecided/DK/NA 9 8 15 11 9 9 9 11 8 9 9 5 9 6 13 9 10 9 6 10 9 8
  • 24. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 24 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 4% 9% 5% 5% 6% 7% 5% 7% 5% 7% 0% 7% 6% 6% 8% 13% 0% Jean Quan 5 6 4 5 6 3 8 4 3 5 6 5 7 4 5 0 6 5 4 8 9 0 Lean Quan 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 10 7 9 7 9 10 9 6 7 12 6 4 10 14 0 8 9 7 7 20 3 Rebecca Kaplan 7 9 6 8 6 9 9 9 6 5 11 5 4 8 14 0 7 8 7 5 20 3 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 5 6 6 4 8 4 6 4 6 4 6 4 4 12 0 4 6 2 7 15 4 Libby Schaaf 5 4 5 5 3 6 3 5 3 6 3 6 3 3 10 0 3 5 1 6 9 4 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 1 1 1 1 5 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 3 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 0 2 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 Bryan Parker 2 3 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 0 2 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 4 3 4 3 4 4 2 5 3 4 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 4 2 8 5 3 Joe Tuman 3 3 3 3 4 4 2 5 2 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 2 3 1 8 5 3 Lean Tuman 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 3 3 3 0 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 2 0 0 4 2 0 7 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 0 3 1 0 5 0 0 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 3 5 3 3 4 3 3 6 2 3 5 2 4 4 3 3 2 5 4 4 5 2 Courtney Ruby 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 4 2 3 4 3 3 2 4 4 3 5 2 Lean Ruby 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 9 7 7 10 7 9 8 8 7 7 7 12 7 6 10 9 7 9 11 5 8 Jason Anderson 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 4 2 2 1 2 5 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 2 0 1 2 1 4 0 0 3 2 1 1 3 0 2 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 3 0 0 2 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 56 64 60 60 64 57 54 68 62 56 64 58 62 52 83 62 59 69 48 38 77 No choice 51 47 55 51 50 56 49 44 56 54 48 54 47 53 43 77 53 50 56 41 38 66 Undecided/DK/NA 9 9 10 9 10 8 8 10 12 8 8 10 11 10 9 6 9 9 13 7 0 12
  • 25. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 25 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 6% 5% 6% 10% 6% 7% 5% 1% 7% 4% 7% 0% 6% 4% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% Jean Quan 5 5 4 7 6 7 3 1 6 4 5 0 6 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 Lean Quan 1 0 2 3 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 7 6 8 9 6 9 13 8 9 4 18 7 9 8 9 9 10 10 11 9 9 Rebecca Kaplan 7 6 6 8 6 6 9 11 7 8 4 18 7 8 7 8 8 8 9 10 8 9 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 6 6 3 11 6 2 1 6 5 3 0 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 9 11 11 Libby Schaaf 5 5 4 3 9 6 2 1 6 5 3 0 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 8 10 10 Lean Schaaf 1 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 4 2 1 1 2 4 0 1 6 0 6 0 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Bryan Parker 2 4 2 1 1 2 4 0 1 6 0 6 0 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 TOTAL TUMAN 4 2 6 1 8 2 4 3 3 3 4 0 3 7 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 6 Joe Tuman 3 2 6 0 7 0 3 3 2 3 4 0 3 5 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Lean Tuman 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 4 3 3 3 1 2 3 4 0 0 4 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 Dan Siegel 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 0 0 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 2 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL RUBY 3 5 5 2 3 3 1 5 3 5 5 0 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 Courtney Ruby 3 4 5 2 3 1 1 3 3 4 5 0 2 4 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 Lean Ruby 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 8 6 6 6 7 5 12 18 7 6 9 5 10 10 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 3 Jason Anderson 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 0 1 3 5 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 0 0 1 0 3 8 2 1 0 5 3 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 0 3 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 62 60 66 53 66 61 57 61 57 68 70 63 58 59 59 59 55 53 49 49 47 No choice 51 53 54 56 45 56 52 44 51 50 59 57 52 49 50 50 50 47 45 42 43 41 Undecided/DK/NA 9 10 7 10 8 11 9 13 10 7 9 13 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6
  • 26. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 26 TABLE 5: Q1B. If the election were held today, who would be your second choice for Mayor of Oakland? PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% Jean Quan 5 6 3 5 3 Lean Quan 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL KAPLAN 8 9 7 9 2 Rebecca Kaplan 7 8 6 8 1 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 5 6 4 6 1 Libby Schaaf 5 5 3 5 0 Lean Schaaf 1 1 0 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 2 3 2 1 Bryan Parker 2 2 3 2 1 TOTAL TUMAN 4 3 4 4 2 Joe Tuman 3 3 4 3 2 Lean Tuman 1 1 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 3 3 3 3 4 Dan Siegel 2 2 1 2 4 Lean Siegel 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL RUBY 3 4 3 4 3 Courtney Ruby 3 3 3 3 0 Lean Ruby 1 1 0 0 3 TOTAL OTHER 8 8 8 7 14 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 3 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 1 1 5 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 5 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 1 0 Lean McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 0 1 1 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 1 0 1 1 0 Lean Williams 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 61 58 64 60 68 No choice 51 49 55 51 52 Undecided/DK/NA 9 9 9 9 16
  • 27. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 27 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 3% 0% 6% 7% 8% 4% 2% 5% 2% 0% 12% 6% 5% 6% 3% 5% 7% 3% 0% 5% 3% Jean Quan 2 0 6 6 6 4 2 0 2 0 10 6 4 5 3 4 5 3 0 5 3 Lean Quan 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 5 0 10 11 15 11 0 11 0 7 15 12 9 13 6 1 8 4 8 3 Rebecca Kaplan 3 4 0 8 9 13 8 0 7 0 7 12 10 8 11 5 1 6 4 5 2 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 2 2 2 3 0 4 0 1 3 2 1 2 2 0 3 0 3 1 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 5 7 0 3 14 7 2 4 0 6 6 18 9 8 7 7 6 3 5 3 Libby Schaaf 3 3 5 0 1 14 7 0 3 0 3 5 14 8 8 7 6 4 3 4 2 Lean Schaaf 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 3 1 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 1 3 6 0 3 1 16 5 0 2 2 5 23 5 2 9 3 3 5 1 Bryan Parker 2 1 3 6 0 3 1 12 3 0 2 2 5 21 4 2 6 3 3 4 1 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 3 1 0 1 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 2 2 7 2 0 1 16 4 0 2 3 6 3 18 3 11 2 4 5 1 Joe Tuman 2 1 2 4 2 0 1 16 4 0 1 2 5 3 14 3 8 2 4 4 0 Lean Tuman 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 3 0 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 2 4 7 3 2 0 8 4 0 4 4 4 4 5 21 5 4 3 4 1 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 7 3 2 0 0 3 0 2 3 4 4 4 17 2 4 2 4 1 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 0 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 3 1 7 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 5 1 5 0 20 1 2 3 1 Courtney Ruby 1 3 1 7 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 1 5 1 5 0 19 1 2 3 1 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 11 8 7 14 7 13 8 28 0 10 10 4 11 3 11 14 46 4 18 5 Jason Anderson 2 2 4 2 1 0 4 0 7 0 2 4 1 2 0 3 7 12 0 5 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 4 0 0 0 4 0 2 0 Lean Houston 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 1 2 0 0 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 7 0 4 1 Lean Karamooz 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 2 1 1 4 0 0 3 6 0 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 8 1 2 1 Lean Liu 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 5 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 5 1 2 0 Nancy Sidebotham 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 2 0 Eric Wilson 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 70 69 49 60 55 63 44 40 100 56 51 41 34 40 45 27 27 77 46 82 No choice 69 60 55 43 47 39 51 29 37 100 43 40 29 24 28 31 20 21 70 34 77 Undecided/DK/NA 7 11 14 6 12 15 12 16 4 0 13 12 12 10 12 14 8 6 8 12 5
  • 28. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 28 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 3% 9% 0% 8% 0% 6% 3% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% Jean Quan 2 9 0 8 0 6 3 5 6 5 6 7 0 0 0 0 1 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 0 9 16 0 6 1 5 7 12 9 7 8 10 0 0 4 Rebecca Kaplan 3 0 9 11 0 6 1 5 7 9 9 7 8 0 0 0 4 Lean Kaplan 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 3 Libby Schaaf 3 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 0 13 29 6 2 3 7 10 13 7 9 6 0 0 1 Bryan Parker 2 0 0 13 29 6 2 3 7 10 13 7 7 6 0 0 1 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 0 4 7 0 21 1 4 5 10 6 15 5 4 0 0 2 Joe Tuman 2 0 4 7 0 7 1 4 2 8 0 7 5 4 0 0 2 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 3 2 6 8 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 8 9 5 0 0 3 8 8 7 4 4 5 3 67 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 8 9 5 0 0 2 8 8 7 4 4 5 0 67 0 0 Lean Siegel 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 5 4 7 0 0 3 Courtney Ruby 1 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 5 2 7 0 0 3 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 26 11 11 0 0 3 22 14 11 25 8 8 9 33 100 3 Jason Anderson 2 19 0 0 0 0 2 11 5 2 14 0 2 3 0 0 1 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 Saied Karamooz 1 7 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 4 5 0 2 0 0 0 1 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 5 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Pat McCullough 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 2 5 0 0 3 0 0 1 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 57 55 41 71 61 87 53 47 43 37 47 59 57 0 0 82 No choice 69 44 55 41 71 47 83 45 44 41 37 39 53 48 0 0 71 Undecided/DK/NA 7 14 0 0 0 13 4 8 3 2 0 8 7 9 0 0 11
  • 29. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 29 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 0% 0% 9% 0% 1% 6% 4% 7% 11% 0% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% Jean Quan 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 9 0 1 6 4 7 11 0 2 2 2 3 2 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 9 10 6 0 4 9 11 0 0 1 7 4 6 8 0 4 5 4 4 5 Rebecca Kaplan 3 6 4 6 0 4 9 11 0 0 1 7 4 6 8 0 2 4 3 4 5 Lean Kaplan 1 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 3 4 3 0 4 13 19 0 0 1 5 12 8 13 0 3 3 4 3 3 Libby Schaaf 3 0 0 0 0 1 13 19 0 0 1 2 10 8 9 0 3 2 3 1 3 Lean Schaaf 1 3 4 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 8 9 10 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 6 2 0 1 3 2 2 1 Bryan Parker 2 6 9 10 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 6 2 0 1 3 2 2 1 Lean Parker 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 5 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 1 3 3 Joe Tuman 2 5 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 0 1 2 1 1 2 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 6 8 16 0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 2 0 3 2 2 3 1 Dan Siegel 2 6 7 13 0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 2 0 2 1 2 2 1 Lean Siegel 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 6 6 6 0 2 5 0 17 0 1 3 2 3 7 0 1 2 1 1 2 Courtney Ruby 1 4 4 3 0 2 5 0 17 0 1 3 2 3 7 0 1 2 1 1 2 Lean Ruby 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 13 14 24 100 13 15 12 0 0 4 12 16 18 11 0 9 5 7 9 4 Jason Anderson 2 3 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 3 3 0 2 1 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 0 1 0 1 1 0 Lean Houston 0 2 0 4 100 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Peter Liu 1 1 2 3 0 0 15 12 0 0 2 1 9 9 2 0 2 1 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 2 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 Nancy Sidebotham 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 1% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 50 47 36 0 59 54 57 74 100 89 57 55 51 43 100 75 76 76 73 78 No choice 69 43 42 33 0 48 49 45 74 100 87 48 49 42 38 100 70 68 69 66 71 Undecided/DK/NA 7 6 6 3 0 11 5 12 0 0 2 10 7 9 5 0 5 8 7 6 7
  • 30. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 30 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 3% 4% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% Jean Quan 2 4 4 4 2 3 2 1 2 4 3 2 2 1 3 4 2 2 1 3 2 2 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 4 1 3 4 4 4 8 4 0 3 3 4 2 2 8 5 4 3 4 4 4 Rebecca Kaplan 3 4 1 3 4 4 4 3 4 0 3 3 3 2 2 4 5 4 3 3 4 3 Lean Kaplan 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 3 7 5 3 4 4 3 2 0 1 3 3 5 2 6 2 4 2 4 3 3 Libby Schaaf 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 0 1 3 2 4 2 5 1 3 2 3 2 3 Lean Schaaf 1 0 3 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 TOTAL PARKER 2 0 2 1 2 2 0 3 2 5 3 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 Bryan Parker 2 0 2 1 2 2 0 1 2 5 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 4 2 1 3 3 Joe Tuman 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 3 Lean Tuman 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 0 1 1 2 6 1 2 1 1 4 3 2 2 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 1 1 2 5 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 1 2 3 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 3 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 8 10 8 7 4 7 10 10 15 12 10 9 11 5 4 8 6 9 6 8 7 Jason Anderson 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 5 2 0 1 4 2 1 0 0 3 4 1 0 3 3 Lean Anderson 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 3 3 3 1 0 1 1 2 8 4 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 2 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 1 1 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 77 69 74 76 75 79 69 74 74 74 78 76 73 80 73 76 73 75 76 75 74 No choice 69 67 65 66 70 68 71 64 71 69 70 67 69 72 75 66 67 66 73 71 67 68 Undecided/DK/NA 7 10 5 8 6 7 7 5 3 5 4 11 7 1 6 7 9 7 2 5 7 5
  • 31. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 31 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 4% 0% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5% 1% Jean Quan 2 3 2 3 1 1 5 1 1 2 4 2 2 1 2 0 3 2 2 1 0 1 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 6 3 5 3 3 7 5 2 4 7 4 3 2 5 0 5 5 3 2 9 0 Rebecca Kaplan 3 5 2 4 2 3 5 5 1 4 6 2 2 2 5 0 3 5 2 2 9 0 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 4 3 4 2 2 5 2 3 3 4 4 3 1 4 0 5 3 1 3 7 0 Libby Schaaf 3 3 2 3 2 1 4 2 3 2 3 3 3 0 2 0 4 2 1 2 4 0 Lean Schaaf 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 4 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 2 2 2 2 6 2 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 8 3 2 2 1 4 9 4 Bryan Parker 2 2 1 1 2 6 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 8 3 1 2 1 3 9 4 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 2 2 2 2 4 1 2 1 3 1 3 2 1 7 0 2 2 1 4 5 3 Joe Tuman 2 2 2 1 2 4 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 7 0 1 1 0 4 5 3 Lean Tuman 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 2 2 2 3 0 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 5 0 0 2 2 4 2 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 2 2 2 2 0 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 0 0 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 2 1 1 3 0 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 4 0 2 1 1 5 2 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 1 3 0 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 0 2 1 1 5 2 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 8 6 6 9 7 6 11 7 5 8 5 9 8 7 6 5 7 8 10 11 5 Jason Anderson 2 2 1 2 2 1 0 4 1 2 2 1 3 2 0 3 0 3 2 4 0 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 Ken Houston 1 1 1 0 0 4 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 6 0 1 0 0 1 11 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 3 1 0 2 0 3 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 72 79 75 77 72 71 72 81 77 71 78 75 80 63 87 76 74 80 73 48 84 No choice 69 65 72 68 71 69 65 64 76 70 65 71 68 75 57 87 69 67 77 63 48 79 Undecided/DK/NA 7 7 7 7 6 4 6 8 5 7 7 7 7 5 6 0 6 7 3 10 0 5
  • 32. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 32 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 0% 3% 5% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% Jean Quan 2 2 4 2 1 0 3 4 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 4 4 5 6 3 3 3 5 5 0 0 2 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 Rebecca Kaplan 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 0 4 5 0 0 1 6 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 Lean Kaplan 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 5 1 6 3 0 4 2 4 4 4 0 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 4 3 Libby Schaaf 3 5 1 4 1 0 3 2 3 3 2 0 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 Lean Schaaf 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL PARKER 2 1 3 0 3 3 2 0 1 2 10 0 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 Bryan Parker 2 1 3 0 3 2 2 0 1 2 10 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL TUMAN 2 1 3 2 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 6 2 0 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 6 Joe Tuman 2 1 2 2 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 6 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 6 Lean Tuman 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 1 4 3 2 2 2 0 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Dan Siegel 2 1 3 2 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Lean Siegel 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 1 1 4 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 3 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 3 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 6 6 4 6 6 8 15 6 6 4 23 9 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 Jason Anderson 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 5 1 3 0 5 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ken Houston 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 18 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 Lean Karamooz 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 2 0 1 3 0 1 1 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lean Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Charles Williams 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Eric Wilson 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 78 74 76 72 83 74 74 75 76 75 70 78 74 75 74 75 73 71 68 68 63 No choice 69 72 69 72 63 75 68 64 68 67 73 70 74 66 68 67 68 65 64 60 59 56 Undecided/DK/NA 7 7 5 4 9 7 6 10 7 9 2 0 5 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7
  • 33. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 33 TABLE 6: Q1C. If the election were held today, who would be your third choice for Mayor of Oakland? PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% Jean Quan 2 2 2 2 1 Lean Quan 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL KAPLAN 4 4 4 4 5 Rebecca Kaplan 3 3 3 3 2 Lean Kaplan 1 1 1 1 2 TOTAL SCHAAF 3 4 2 3 2 Libby Schaaf 3 4 1 3 2 Lean Schaaf 1 0 1 1 0 TOTAL PARKER 2 3 1 2 2 Bryan Parker 2 2 1 2 0 Lean Parker 0 0 0 0 2 TOTAL TUMAN 2 3 1 2 3 Joe Tuman 2 2 1 2 2 Lean Tuman 0 1 0 0 1 TOTAL SIEGEL 2 1 4 2 2 Dan Siegel 2 1 3 2 2 Lean Siegel 0 0 1 0 0 TOTAL RUBY 1 1 1 1 0 Courtney Ruby 1 1 1 1 0 Lean Ruby 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL OTHER 7 7 7 6 12 Jason Anderson 2 1 2 2 2 Lean Anderson 0 0 0 0 1 Ken Houston 1 1 1 1 0 Lean Houston 0 0 0 0 0 Saied Karamooz 1 1 1 1 2 Lean Karamooz 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 2 Lean Liu 0 0 0 0 0 Pat McCullough 1 1 0 1 2 Nancy Sidebotham 0 0 0 0 1 Lean Sidebotham 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Charles Williams 0 0 0 0 1 Eric Wilson 0 0 1 0 0 NO CHOICE/UNDCD/DK/NA 76 75 77 76 74 No choice 69 66 73 69 69 Undecided/DK/NA 7 8 4 7 5
  • 34. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 34 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 TOTAL QUAN 21% 100% 24% 18% 14% 9% 16% 16% 17% 0% 100% 30% 24% 18% 10% 22% 21% 30% 2% 30% 28% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 22 100 35 46 25 30 0 21 0 38 100 39 40 29 45 19 34 37 35 21 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 13 12 100 8 52 10 42 5 0 20 26 100 25 52 15 51 12 30 30 10 TOTAL PARKER 8 4 6 7 100 14 5 16 7 0 7 12 11 100 16 8 11 14 12 16 5 TOTAL TUMAN 11 2 6 24 11 100 7 29 12 0 5 12 32 22 100 13 31 8 21 21 5 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 5 16 7 5 5 100 15 7 0 11 16 8 9 11 100 11 16 13 15 7 TOTAL RUBY 7 5 7 21 1 10 6 100 5 0 7 5 20 9 19 8 100 9 11 16 4 TOTAL OTHER 15 21 14 10 28 8 22 15 100 0 21 19 10 26 11 23 19 100 10 34 12 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 15 50 Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 TOTAL QUAN 21% 29% 41% 19% 0% 47% 18% 34% 38% 19% 38% 46% 19% 22% 66% 0% 18% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 23 27 41 0 45 17 30 31 36 18 44 37 26 33 100 21 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 33 28 22 0 18 13 26 29 27 20 23 59 52 0 0 27 TOTAL PARKER 8 8 4 29 29 20 4 20 13 26 24 18 11 16 0 0 4 TOTAL TUMAN 11 14 19 36 0 21 11 12 19 35 15 24 21 25 34 0 15 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 14 17 26 0 6 12 15 23 23 14 18 14 3 67 0 6 TOTAL RUBY 7 13 16 11 0 7 4 10 11 18 15 10 13 13 0 0 8 TOTAL OTHER 15 48 21 24 29 12 7 35 29 20 56 18 16 19 67 100 7 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 23 32 10 71 15 52 24 26 14 16 13 8 19 0 0 46
  • 35. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 35 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 TOTAL QUAN 21% 22% 26% 22% 0% 35% 23% 34% 18% 0% 13% 35% 22% 36% 31% 0% 23% 20% 22% 26% 15% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 37 29 36 100 37 18 53 26 0 17 37 22 39 40 0 27 28 28 29 25 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 57 52 41 0 11 18 19 18 42 4 11 15 10 20 42 14 23 17 20 19 TOTAL PARKER 8 12 14 13 0 23 9 43 0 0 8 22 15 29 15 0 8 9 9 7 7 TOTAL TUMAN 11 24 21 15 0 6 14 0 0 42 9 6 8 0 7 42 8 15 10 13 12 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 13 15 26 0 10 28 10 13 0 7 12 19 15 14 0 11 9 11 9 10 TOTAL RUBY 7 13 10 9 0 4 10 0 26 0 3 5 5 3 12 0 5 10 7 7 7 TOTAL OTHER 15 21 26 37 100 36 37 26 21 0 6 36 46 46 43 0 18 11 16 17 11 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 8 15 13 0 19 23 10 43 58 59 21 25 13 20 58 40 38 38 34 47 Q6 UNION MEMBERSHIP Q7/Q8 ETHNICITY AGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- YES, YES, TOTAL AFRCN OTHER TOTAL MIXED NON- Total SELF FAMLY YES NO WHITE AMRCN LATNO CHNSE API API /OTHR WHITE 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65-74 75+ 18-49 50+ 65+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 122 80 186 817 429 281 105 66 39 105 64 555 121 182 182 273 162 81 486 516 243 TOTAL QUAN 21% 28% 21% 25% 20% 18% 22% 24% 36% 29% 34% 22% 24% 24% 25% 21% 17% 23% 24% 23% 20% 23% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 28 27 28 27 29 27 37 8 14 11 35 27 23 29 30 32 24 19 28 27 22 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 22 17 21 18 27 10 16 6 18 10 14 12 15 12 22 20 23 11 17 19 19 TOTAL PARKER 8 9 18 13 7 6 13 6 2 9 5 13 10 7 8 8 11 8 6 8 9 7 TOTAL TUMAN 11 9 12 11 12 17 6 6 11 1 7 8 7 5 8 11 13 15 13 8 14 14 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 9 10 10 10 11 9 12 6 8 7 13 10 9 13 12 11 8 6 11 9 7 TOTAL RUBY 7 6 3 4 8 10 4 9 2 4 2 1 4 4 4 6 9 12 4 5 9 9 TOTAL OTHER 15 14 22 17 15 10 18 20 25 19 23 17 19 20 10 16 15 15 18 15 16 16 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 39 32 36 40 37 43 36 46 45 46 37 41 48 39 39 34 37 48 41 37 41
  • 36. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 36 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR PARTY GENDER REGISTRATION GENDER BY AGE PARTY BY GENDER PARTY BY AGE ----------- ----------------- ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- NPP/ MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP DEM DEM NPP/O NPP/O REP REP Total MEN WOMEN DEM OTHER REP 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ 18-49 50+ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 466 546 688 263 61 228 231 258 285 288 401 141 122 37 24 311 367 154 109 20 40 TOTAL QUAN 21% 25% 19% 21% 22% 19% 29% 21% 19% 19% 25% 19% 22% 21% 28% 4% 24% 20% 22% 21% 26% 15% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 28 27 30 24 15 30 26 26 28 32 29 22 25 20 8 30 31 23 24 29 8 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 19 17 20 13 25 20 19 14 19 20 19 13 13 34 12 18 20 10 17 47 14 TOTAL PARKER 8 10 7 9 7 13 10 10 6 8 9 8 8 5 17 6 8 10 6 7 20 9 TOTAL TUMAN 11 11 12 12 9 16 9 13 8 14 11 13 9 8 18 13 10 13 3 16 20 14 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 10 10 9 14 1 13 8 10 10 10 9 14 14 0 3 11 8 14 15 0 2 TOTAL RUBY 7 9 6 6 8 12 5 13 5 6 8 5 9 8 15 7 4 8 6 11 15 11 TOTAL OTHER 15 18 13 14 17 14 16 20 13 12 17 12 19 15 17 10 15 14 13 22 19 12 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 36 42 38 41 43 37 34 45 39 35 41 40 43 33 58 39 37 47 33 38 46 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLD PARTY TYPE FLAGS ----------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- DEM DEM REP REP IND Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2+ 1 2+ 1+ MIXED 1+/8 2+/8 3+/8 4+/8 5+/8 6+/8 7+/8 8/8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 213 152 162 172 91 121 101 465 172 35 12 217 111 930 902 822 643 522 391 295 163 TOTAL QUAN 21% 17% 23% 25% 19% 21% 23% 23% 23% 19% 23% 7% 21% 19% 22% 22% 22% 21% 22% 23% 22% 21% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 31 23 29 25 24 26 33 31 28 8 23 22 29 28 29 29 30 30 29 28 30 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 18 17 19 37 9 10 6 20 18 21 15 13 19 19 19 20 23 26 30 32 34 TOTAL PARKER 8 10 9 3 7 8 14 9 8 11 12 30 5 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 12 TOTAL TUMAN 11 12 16 6 18 10 8 5 10 18 11 6 8 14 12 13 13 15 15 18 21 23 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 9 14 11 8 10 10 8 10 7 2 0 14 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 8 10 TOTAL RUBY 7 8 7 5 10 6 5 6 6 7 11 12 8 10 7 7 7 9 10 12 12 14 TOTAL OTHER 15 10 14 12 12 16 21 28 13 17 13 30 15 18 15 15 14 12 11 12 12 12 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 38 40 46 33 42 39 37 38 39 49 32 44 34 38 37 37 36 35 33 34 31
  • 37. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 37 TABLE 7: Q1. EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR PERMANENT LANGUAGE OF ABSENTEE INTERVIEW ----------- ----------- SPNSH Total YES NO ENGSH CHNSE ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 606 406 930 82 TOTAL QUAN 21% 23% 19% 21% 30% TOTAL KAPLAN 27 29 26 28 20 TOTAL SCHAAF 18 20 16 19 5 TOTAL PARKER 8 9 8 9 3 TOTAL TUMAN 11 13 9 12 8 TOTAL SIEGEL 10 10 10 10 13 TOTAL RUBY 7 8 6 7 3 TOTAL OTHER 15 14 16 14 27 UNDECIDED/DK/NA 39 37 42 39 39
  • 38. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 38 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? Q2 WOULD NEVER Q1A FIRST CHOICE FOR OAKLAND MAYOR Q1 EVER CHOICE FOR MAYOR VOTE FOR ----------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL SMONE VT FR Total QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER DK/NA QUAN KPLAN SCHAF PARKR TUMAN SIEGL RUBY OTHER QUAN ELSE ANY ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 128 152 98 44 57 53 21 62 397 216 277 184 84 114 103 71 152 298 154 580 Quan 29% 5% 40% 54% 42% 53% 36% 46% 26% 21% 3% 40% 48% 42% 56% 37% 47% 20% 100% 13% 0% Jean Quan 29 5 40 54 42 53 36 46 26 21 3 40 48 42 56 37 47 20 100 13 0 Someone else 15 13 14 27 27 24 24 41 31 6 21 19 25 29 29 23 34 34 7 100 0 Jason Anderson 3 1 3 4 6 7 2 0 7 1 4 4 3 3 5 2 3 7 1 18 0 Ken Houston 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 6 0 Rebecca Kaplan 3 2 1 9 5 9 13 23 0 1 4 1 8 11 9 9 12 4 3 23 0 Saied Karamooz 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 Peter Liu 1 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 6 0 7 0 Pat McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 Bryan Parker 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 3 0 5 0 Courtney Ruby 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 Libby Schaaf 1 1 3 1 0 1 1 5 3 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 1 3 1 9 0 Nancy Sidebotham 1 1 0 2 5 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 0 3 1 1 5 0 Dan Siegel 2 1 1 7 4 2 0 9 1 1 3 2 5 3 5 2 10 3 2 13 0 Joe Tuman 1 1 2 1 6 0 0 9 1 0 2 3 1 3 0 1 5 3 0 7 0 Charles Williams 1 2 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 0 4 0 Eric Wilson 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 4 1 0 3 0 Vote for any 57 82 46 25 37 32 41 33 43 73 76 43 33 36 24 41 31 46 0 0 100 No one/could vote for any 22 34 20 6 21 22 23 23 29 22 33 17 16 19 15 24 20 26 0 0 39 DK/NA 35 48 26 18 16 11 18 10 15 51 43 26 17 17 9 16 11 20 0 0 61
  • 39. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 39 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? Q3A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q3 EVER CHOICE FOR Q4A FIRST CHOICE FOR CITY COUNCIL DIST 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 2 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 4 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD Total BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK DK/NA BLKBR GUILN KING MAXEY PARK BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER DK/NA ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 10 14 20 2 11 94 19 27 33 14 19 38 23 2 1 108 Quan 29% 34% 17% 53% 43% 20% 18% 35% 15% 48% 11% 15% 55% 42% 34% 0% 36% Jean Quan 29 34 17 53 43 20 18 35 15 48 11 15 55 42 34 0 36 Someone else 15 57 23 26 29 33 9 52 34 32 54 37 20 27 33 100 8 Jason Anderson 3 19 0 0 0 7 2 15 5 4 14 4 4 0 0 0 1 Ken Houston 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Rebecca Kaplan 3 15 4 7 0 0 2 11 2 8 5 3 8 3 0 0 2 Saied Karamooz 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Liu 1 0 5 0 29 7 0 8 3 2 4 8 0 0 0 0 2 Pat McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Bryan Parker 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 2 5 0 0 3 0 100 0 Courtney Ruby 0 0 0 5 0 6 0 5 0 5 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 Libby Schaaf 1 0 4 3 0 6 1 0 4 4 5 6 5 4 0 0 2 Nancy Sidebotham 1 8 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 Dan Siegel 2 6 4 3 0 7 0 4 8 2 5 4 2 3 0 0 1 Joe Tuman 1 9 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 Charles Williams 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 3 2 0 3 5 3 33 0 0 Eric Wilson 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 6 4 0 3 0 0 1 Vote for any 57 15 60 24 28 54 75 20 51 26 35 52 32 38 33 0 55 No one/could vote for any 22 7 21 14 28 26 29 7 24 12 29 19 13 18 0 0 21 DK/NA 35 8 39 10 0 28 45 13 27 14 6 33 18 20 33 0 34
  • 40. FAIRBANK, MASLIN, MAULLIN, METZ & ASSOCIATES OAKLAND MAYORAL ELECTION SURVEY - 220-4006 (SEPTEMBER 8-14, 2014) 40 TABLE 8: Q2. Is there any candidate for Mayor of Oakland that you would never vote for? Q4 EVER CHOICE FOR Q5A FIRST CHOICE FOR Q5 EVER CHOICE FOR QB ON CELL QB/QC CELL AND CITY COUNCIL DIST 4 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 CITY COUNCIL DISTRICT 6 PHONE LANDLINE USAGE ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL UNDCD TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL ALL/M BOTH ALL/M Total BRDHR WSHNG LIM OTHER BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER DK/NA BROOK JHNSN MOORE NSKHR OTHER YES NO CELL EQUAL LADNL ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Base 1012 52 38 25 1 41 12 5 6 1 56 48 26 19 21 1 551 461 540 227 241 Quan 29% 50% 37% 31% 0% 25% 14% 44% 26% 42% 23% 26% 25% 29% 31% 42% 31% 28% 31% 28% 28% Jean Quan 29 50 37 31 0 25 14 44 26 42 23 26 25 29 31 42 31 28 31 28 28 Someone else 15 22 31 39 100 21 26 23 31 0 11 20 24 23 34 0 15 15 17 14 13 Jason Anderson 3 3 4 6 0 4 13 0 0 0 1 5 11 0 13 0 3 2 4 2 1 Ken Houston 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 Rebecca Kaplan 3 5 5 4 0 4 4 0 22 0 4 4 5 3 6 0 2 5 4 3 3 Saied Karamooz 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Peter Liu 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 0 Pat McCullough 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 9 0 1 2 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 Bryan Parker 1 3 2 6 100 2 8 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 Courtney Ruby 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 Libby Schaaf 1 5 5 7 0 4 4 0 0 0 2 3 2 9 6 0 1 2 1 2 3 Nancy Sidebotham 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 Dan Siegel 2 1 4 3 0 0 4 0 9 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 Joe Tuman 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Charles Williams 1 6 7 10 0 1 0 23 0 0 0 2 2 6 3 0 1 1 0 1 1 Eric Wilson 0 1 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 Vote for any 57 32 38 33 0 53 65 33 43 58 69 54 54 48 38 58 55 60 55 60 60 No one/could vote for any 22 15 13 9 0 35 30 10 22 0 23 35 31 30 22 0 21 23 21 32 16 DK/NA 35 18 24 24 0 18 35 23 20 58 45 19 23 17 16 58 34 37 34 28 44