CCXG Global Forum October 2018 Breakout Group 3 by Tran Thanh Thuy

1. VIET NAM INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY, HYDROLOGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE (IMHEN)
MINISTRY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT
VIET NAM’S NATIONALLY DETERMINED
CONTRIBUTION
MITIGATION COMPONENT
Numbers presented are not official. These
demonstrate the results of a technical
exercise that forms part of NDC
preparation.

2. Content
OVERVIEW
VIET NAM’S GHG EMISSIONS
GOAL AND OBJECTIVES
BAU SCENARIO BY 2030
MITIGATION OPTIONS
ON GOING PREPARATION NDC2:
MITIGATION COMPONENT

3. INFORMATION ON VIET NAM’S GHG EMISSIONS
- National GHG inventory in 1994 : 103.8 MtCO2e.
Initial National Communication of Viet Nam to UNFCCC (2004).
- National GHG inventory in 2000: 150.9 MtCO2e.
Second National Communication of Viet Nam to UNFCCC (2014)
- National GHG inventory in 2010: 246.8 MtCO2e.
Initial Biennial Update Report of Viet Nam to UNFCCC (2014)
- National GHG inventory in 2013: 259.0 MtCO2e.
Second Biennial Update Report of Viet Nam to UNFCCC (2017)
- National GHG inventory in 2014: 283.9 MtCO2e.
Third National Communications of Viet Nam to UNFCCC (to be
submitted to UNFCCC in 11/2018)

4. GHG EMISSIONS BY SECTOR
Sector 1994 2000 2010 2013 2014
Energy 25.6 52.8 141.1 151.4 171.6
Industrial
processes
3.8 10.0 21.1 31.8 38.6
Agriculture 52.4 65.1 88.4 89.4 89.8
LULUCF 19.4 15.1 -19.2 -34.2 -37.5
Waste 2.6 7.9 15.4 20.7 21.5
Total 103.8 150.9 246.8 259 283.9
Unit: MtCO2equivalent

5. VIET NAM’S NATIONAL GHG INVENTORY
(base year 2014)
Unit: MtCO2e
Source : Viet Nam’s Third National Communication
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Energy IP Agriculture LULUCF Waste Total

6. NDC2: MITIGATION COMPONENT
1. Goal and objectives
2. Business-as-Usual Scenario (BAU)
3. Mitigation options
4. Nationally Determined Contribution to Mitigation (in unconditional
and conditional cases)

7. 1. GOAL AND OBJECTIVES
Goal
Enhancing national capacity in GHG emission reduction to develop the low-carbon economy and
green growth; Serving the national sustainable development objectives, implementing the Paris
Agreement (PA) on Climate Change (CC) and actively coordinating with the international
community to contribute to achieving the Convention's objective in protecting the Earth’s climate
system.
Objectives
- Implementing the greenhouse gases (GHG) emission reduction measures in line with Vietnam's
socio-economic conditions, with a reduction target of 9% compared to the Business As Usual
(BAU) with domestic resources and a higher reduction target (of 25%) with international support.
- Increasing the country’s competitiveness towards a low-carbon economy and green growth
together with sustainable development.

8. 2. BAU SCENARIO BY 2030

9. National BAU
2014 2020 2030
Energy* 179.1 320.5 643.2
Agriculture 89.5 104.5 112.2
Waste 21.5 29.5 54.8
LULUCF -37.7 -35.7 -49.1
IP 38.6 83.3 127.7
Total 291 502.1 888.8
Unit : MtCO2e
*Not including energy saving and renewable energy development
NOT OFFICIAL NUMBERS. These are
results of a technical exercise as part
of NDC preparation.

10. National BAU
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2014 2020 2030
MtCo2equivalent
Energy IP Agriculture LULUCF Waste Total
NOT OFFICIAL NUMBERS. These are
results of a technical exercise as part
of NDC preparation.

11. 3. MITIGATION OPTIONS

12. Industrial processes (IP) sector
 Methodology: IPCC 2006 guidelines
 Number of mitigation options : 04 options
NOT OFFICIAL NUMBERS. These are
results of a technical exercise as part
of NDC preparation.

13. Rate of GHG reduction compared to BAU in
2030 and financial needs (IP)
1.5% (1.95 MtCO2e)
7.1% (9.12 MtCO2e)
Unconditional
Conditional
226.2 Million USD 911.7 Million USD
NOT OFFICIAL NUMBERS. These
are results of a technical exercise
as part of NDC preparation.

14. NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION
(MITIGATION)
Sector
Unconditional contribution Conditional contribution
Reduction
target
(%)
GHG
emission
reduction
(MtCO2e)
Reduction
target
(%)
GHG
emission
reduction
(MtCO2e)
Energy 8.6 55.48 8.6 55.01
IP 1.5 2.0 7.1 9.1
Agriculture 7.6 8.5 26.0 29.1
Waste 20.2 9.9 40.5 19.9
LULUCF* 8.3 4.6 54.5 29.9
Total 9.0 80.4 16.0 143.1
* Increase in GHG removals
NOT OFFICIAL
NUMBERS. These
are results of a
technical exercise as
part of NDC
preparation.

15. CONCLUSIONS
1. Next steps for NDC2 finalization:
 Get feedbacks to complete the NDC Technical Report (Quarter IV 2018)
 Submit to the Technical report to the Government (first quarter of 2019)
 Submit to UNFCCC (3/2019)
2. Next steps for NDC2 implementation:
 Set up national and sectorial MRV systems to support the monitoring and tracking
of progress of NDC implementation (from 2020 onwards)
 Develop Decree on Roadmap and Measures for Mitigation of GHG Emissions;

16. CONCLUSIONS
3. Challenges:
3.1. Institutional, organizational challenges:
 Limited knowledge on MRV, NAMA or even on Paris agreement and NDC
 Inter-ministerial coordination and resource allocation
 Activity Data collection and management (data sharing mechanism)
3.2. Technical challenges:
 Difficulty in MRV-ing of contributions of the NAMAs and sectorial mitigation actions to the
overall NDC mitigation targets
 Limited technical capacity for GHG inventories and emission projection in some sectors
with higher tiers (e.g. for IPCC Guideline 2006)
 Downscaling the NDC mitigation targets to subsector level;
 Scale-up implementation of mitigation actions

17. Thank you for your attention!